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EUR/JPY pair ki Daily time frame ki tafseeli tashreeh:

Aaj EUR/JPY market mein aik bara gap ke saath khula tha, aur abhi tak khareedaron ne qeemat ko barhane ki koshish ki hai. Jaisa ke pehle bhi zikr kiya gaya tha, mein nazdeek tarin resistance level se pullback hone ki mumkinat par ghor kar raha hoon, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 174.740 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb hone par, do scenarios mumkin hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke qeemat is level ke upar consolidate ho jaye aur phir upar jaaye. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, to mein umeed karta hoon ke qeemat 178.499 ke resistance level tak pohanch jaye gi.

Is resistance level ke qareeb hone par, trading setup ki formation ka intezar kar raha hoon takay trading ke mazeed raaste ka faisla kiya ja sake. Beshak, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke qeemat ko mazeed upar ki taraf dhakel diya jaye, lekin mein is waqt is ke jald ijaad ke imkaanat ko nahi dekh raha hoon. Jab resistance level 174.740 ke qareeb pohanch jaye ga, to price movement ka alternative scenario yeh hai ke aik reversal candle banaye aur phir neechay ki taraf mudakhlat shuru ho.

Agar yeh plan ka amal kiya jaye, to mein umeed karta hoon ke qeemat support level 171.588 ya phir support level 170.890 tak wapis laut ayegi. Support level ke qareeb, mein mazeed bullish signals dhoondta rahunga takay upar ki taraf price movement dobara shuru ho sake. Beshak, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke mazeed door ke southern targets ki taraf nishana rakhna, jin ke mutabiq meri analysis ke mutabiq 168.294 ya 167.516 par hain. Lekin agar yeh plan implement ho jaye, to mein support level ke qareeb upar ki taraf price movement ke dobara shuru hone ki umeed mein bullish signals dhoondta rahunga.

Mukhtasar mein, aaj se shuru kar ke mein yeh ghor raha hoon ke qeemat mazeed north ki taraf jaari rahe gi nazdeek tarin resistance level ke taraf, aur market ke halaat ke mutabiq amal kiya jayega.

EURJPY H4

Forex market aaj behad utsuk hai kyunki do mukhya central bank ghoshnaayein EUR/JPY jodi par gehra asar daal sakti hain. European Central Bank (ECB) ke President ke bayaan se euro (EUR) EUR/JPY jodi mein majboot ho sakta hai. Agar bayaan mei koi aggressive stance dikhai de, jaise ki future mein tight monetary policy ya interest rates badhane ki sambhavna ho, to yeh euro ko investors ke liye adhik akarshit bana sakta hai. Isse EUR/JPY ke price ko upar le jaane ka bhi prabhav ho sakta hai. Lekin sabhi nazar sirf ECB par nahi hai. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke rate statement, monetary policy ki ghoshna aur press conference se euro (EUR) kamzor aur Japanese yen (JPY) majboot ho sakta hai EUR/JPY jodi mein. Agar BOJ ka stance dovish hota hai, matlab ki monetary policy mein aaram se chalne ki suchna ho, to short term mein yen kamzor ho sakta hai, jisse EUR/JPY mein kharidne ka mauka ban sakta hai.

Forex trading mein, higher timeframes jaise ki four-hour chart par gaps ka prachalan kam hota hai. Ek gap ka arth hota hai jab ek trading session ka opening price pichle session ke closing price se kafi alag hota hai, jisse price chart par "gap" dikhai deta hai. Jab yeh gap niche ki taraf dikhai deta hai, to yeh sanket deta hai ki opening price pichle close se kam hai, jisse market sentiment mein ek sudden badlaav ka suchak hota hai.

EUR/JPY jodi, Euro aur Japanese Yen ke beech ka exchange rate pradarshit karta hai, aur yeh vibhinna arthik aur rajnitik karanon ke prati bhautikvadi hai. Kai karan is anjaane hue niche ki disha wale gap mein yogdan kar sakte hain. Ek sambhav karan hai ki kisi anjaane economic data ka turant prakashan jo Euro par nakaratmak prabhav dalta hai ya Yen par sakaratmak prabhav dalta hai. Udaharan ke liye, Eurozone se nirasha janak arthik indicators jaise ki kam se kam ummid se kam GDP vruddhi ya badhte berojgaari dar Euro par bhari pad sakta hai, jisse yeh yen ke khilaf gir sakta hai. Virodh mei, Japan ki arthvyavastha mein sakriya utpadan figures ya ummid se majboot vyapar surplus jaise sakaratmak vikas aapko Yen mein majbooti dikhayi de sakta hai, jisse Euro ke khilaf yeh bharosemandi dikha sakte hain. Iske alawa, rajnitik asthirata Europe mein ya antarrashtriya vyapar sambandhon mein uchhal bhi currency ke gati ko prabhavit kar sakti hai.

Jodi ko 171.60 ke daam par kafi mahatvapurn pratirodh ka samna karna padega, isliye hum pratikriya ke chart ka vyavahar dekh rahe hain. Agar jodi daily candle ko is par bandh kar leti hai, to yeh pratiksha kar sakte hain ki yeh ek chhoti punaravritti banayegi Fibonacci 38 aur 61 ke beech ke kshetra mein. Uske baad yeh upar ki oor badhne ke liye ja sakti hai, lekin agar jodi is pratirodh ke upar stable nahi ho paati aur pehla support tod deti hai, to shayad niche ja sakti hai.

Euro ki mukhtalif currencies ke muqable mein majmooi taqat ne EUR/JPY pair ko kafi asarandaaz kiya hai, jo ke isko 0.6900 level par le aaya hai. Agar hum technical analysis ke pehlu se dekhein, toh current price action mein tabdeeli ki umeed tab tak nahi ki ja sakti jab tak price 173.40 level cross nahi kar leti. Yeh movement pair ko un current levels ke zariye le jayegi, jo ke 173.37 aur 173.02 ke darmiyan hain. EUR/JPY pair ki price action ke liye yeh level (173.40) ek aham pivot point ka kaam karta hai. Yeh level pair ko bohot arsey se neeche rakha hua hai. 0.6900 par, EUR/JPY pair is waqt H1 envelope ke neeche hai, jo ke daily chart par bearish trend ko dikhata hai. Is surat-e-haal ko gehrai mein samajhne ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke hum in levels ki technical analysis ke context mein ahmiyat ko samjhein. 173.40 level isliye pivotal hai kyun ke yeh wo threshold hai jahan market sentiment shift ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ko tor kar upar sustain kar leti hai, toh yeh current bearish trend mein reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Iska matlab yeh hoga ke buyers ne itni momentum hasil kar li hai ke price ko upar dhakel sakein, un selling pressure ko paar karte hue jo ke pair ko daba ke rakha hua tha. Dusri taraf, 173.37 aur 173.02 ke darmiyan ka range critical hai kyun ke yeh ek immediate support aur resistance zone ko define karta hai. Agar price is range ke andar rehti hai, toh yeh consolidation period ko suggest karta hai jahan na buyers aur na hi sellers ko faisal kon faida hai. Traders aksar aisay ranges ko dekhte hain taake entry aur exit points ka faisla kar sakein price ke behavior ke asar par. EUR/JPY pair ka 0.6900 level par move, jo ke Euro ki majmooi taqat ki wajah se hai, key technical levels ko highlight karta hai jo traders ko dekhne chahiyein. 173.40 level ek crucial pivot point hai jo ke trend reversal ko indicate kar sakta hai agar breach ho jaye. 173.37 aur 173.02 ke darmiyan ka range immediate support aur resistance ko define karta hai, aur pair ka H1 envelope ke neeche 0.6900 par hona strong bearish trend ko signal karta hai. In levels ko samajhna traders ko pair ke future price action ke baray mein informed decisions lene mein madad de sakta hai.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

EUR/JPY currency pair ne aaj traders ko chonkadiya jab chaar ghanton ke chart par noticeable gap downside mein open hui. Yeh development ek significant price movement downward direction mein zaahir karti hai, jo peechle close se mukhtalif hai. Iss downward gap ne market ke participants mein charcha ko hawa di, aur iss move ke potential causes aur implications ka qareebi jaiza lenay par majboor kiya.

Forex trading ke duniya mein, gaps qaleel hi hoti hain, khaskar higher timeframes jaise ke chaar ghante ke chart par. Gap ka matlab yahan woh surat-e-haal hai jab trading session ka opening price pichle session ke closing price se significant mukhtalif hota hai, jo ke price chart par "gap" banata hai. Jab yeh gap downward direction mein aati hai, toh yeh sign hota hai ke opening price pichle close se neeche hai, jo market sentiment mein achanak tabdeeli ko zaahir karta hai.

EUR/JPY pair, jo ke Euro aur Japanese Yen ke exchange rate ko represent karta hai, apni sensitivity ke liye mashhoor hai mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors par. Kai elements is unexpected downward gap mein contribute kar sakti hain. Ek possible waja yeh ho sakti hai ke achanak economic data release hua ho jo Euro ko negative impact kar gaya ho ya Yen ko positive influence. Maslan, agar Eurozone ke disappointing economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth expectations se neeche ho ya unemployment rates badh jayein, toh yeh Euro par bohat bura asar daal sakte hain, usko Yen ke muqable mein girne par majboor karte hue.

Iske bar’aks, agar Japan ke economy mein positive developments hon jaise ke industry mein zabardast production figures ya trade surplus expected se ziyada strong ho, toh yeh Yen ko support kar sakti hain, Euro ke muqable mein mazeed strong bana sakti hain. Mazid, geopolitical events jaise ke political instability Europe mein ya international trade relations mein heightened tensions bhi currency movements ko bohri tarh se affect kar sakti hain.

EUR/JPY currency pair ki direction par zyada control mil gaya, Europe mein siyasi bechaini kay bawajood. Control ke gains ne EUR/JPY pair ko 171.44 resistance level tak pohcha diya, jo do mahine ki buland tareen satah hai. Analysis likhne ke waqt ye 171.14 level ke qareeb mustahkam hai. Euro aur yen ke haal hi ke faiday technical indicators ko strong overbought levels tak push karne ke liye kaafi thay, aur kisi bhi waqt faida uthana ke liye bechna mumkin hai, khaaskar jabke Japan ki taraf se currency markets mein expected mudakhlat ho sakti hai. Isliye, mein ab bhi Japanese yen ke muqablay mein euro bechna pasand karta hoon har rising level par.
Doosri taraf. German 10-year bond yield 2.4% ke qareeb pohchi jab German Ifo business survey ne June ke liye business sentiment mein ghair mutawaqqa kami ka izhar kiya. Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq, German Ifo business climate index 88.6 tak ghata 89.3 se, jabke expectations 89.7 ki thi, aur expectations measure bhi 89 se ghata 90.4 tak. Pichle haftay, Germany mein borrowing costs ghati thin kamzor PMI data aur Swiss aur British central banks ke dovish signals ke baad.
Investors ab 30 June ko French legislative elections ke pehle round ke voting ke hawale se chintit hain. President Emmanuel Macron ke snap elections ne bohot zyada uncertainty paida kar di hai, barhti borrowing concerns ke sath French bond risk premiums ko 2012 ke baad apni buland tareen satah tak pohcha diya hai. Yeh financial markets ko significant tor par impact kar sakta hai, chahe woh Marine Le Pen ki far-right party ke haq mein ho ya ek left-wing alliance ke, khaaskar agar yeh major policy changes tak le jaata hai.
Stock trading platforms ke level par... Germany ka DAX index gains ko extend kar ke 0.6% izafa karke 18,280 tak pohch gaya June ke aakhri haftay ke aghaz mein, jabke traders ne week ke baad mein key events ka intezar kiya, jinmein US PCE inflation aur French elections ka pehla round shamil hain. Isi dauran, Germany ka Ifo business climate index ghair mutawaqqa tor par ghata, jo is baat ka sign hai ke Europe ki sabse bari economy ab bhi mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hai
Trading options jo abhi bhi bullish trend mein hain aur structure mein break ho chuka hai, is liye BUY position primary choice rehni chahiye. Position entry point resistance (R1) 168.83 aur do moving average lines ke aas-paas liya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ka histogram upward rally ke continuation ka saucer signal confirm kar chuka hai. Jabke Stochastic indicator ko doosra parameter crossing level 80 aur level 50 ke darmiyan confirmation ke liye intezar karna par sakta hai. Resistance (R2) 171.26 ko take profit aur pivot point (PP) 168.65 ko stop loss ke tor pe use kiya ja sakta hai

EURJPY pair ki price movement ko observe karte hue lagta hai ke yeh resistance (R1) 169.82 ko test kar raha hai taake yeh upward rally ko high prices 170.84 tak continue kar sake. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price downward correction experience kare kyunki resistance (R1) 169.82 strong resistance hai jo hamesha price ko reflect karta hai. Iske ilawa, ongoing bullish trend kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai jab EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ek dosre ke kareeb hain. Agar, for example, koi false break ya rejection hoti hai, to price pivot point (PP) 168.65 tak push back ho jayegi aur ussi waqt do Moving Average lines ko cross karayegi. Kyunki current price pattern structure abhi bhi lower low - lower low dikhata hai aur yeh low prices 167.48 se dekha ja sakta hai jo support (S1) 167.22 ke kareeb hai jo ke pehle ke low prices 167.97 se neeche hai.
Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter hone ke baad cross hue hain, price ko neeche correct hone ko support karte hain. Downward correction valid ho sakta hai agar close candle bearish engulfing wide volume ke sath form hoti hai. Doosri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram abhi bhi price rally ko support kar raha hai kyunki yeh uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai jo bullish trend ke direction ke sath hai. Agar histogram ka color red mein change hota hai aur ek parameter add hota hai jo level 50 ko cross kar ke oversold zone mein jata hai, iska matlab downward correction pivot point (PP) 168.65 pe kaafi potential rakhta hai rather than upward rally ko continue karna aur resistance (R1) 169.82 ko test karna

Trading options ko abhi bhi BUY re-entry ka mauqa milna chahiye kyunki trend direction bullish hai halaan ke yeh kamzor hai. Iske ilawa, koi death cross signal nahi hai jo prices ko lower low structure ko follow karte hue neeche move karne ko project karta hai. Position entry point pivot point (PP) 168.65 ke aas paas hai to pehle price ko neeche correct hone ka wait karein rather than instantly position place karein. Confirm karein agar Stochastic indicator ke parameters oversold zone mein cross hote hain. AO indicator ka histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar rehna chahiye halaan ke later weakness ho sakti hai. Take profit placement abhi bhi resistance (R1) 169.82 ko target karna chahiye aur stop loss ko 30 - 40 pips support (S1) 167.22 ke upar rakhein

EUR/JPY H4 chart

EUR/JPY currency pair ne aaj traders ko surprise kar diya jab four-hour chart par gap downwards opening hui. Yeh matlab hai ke price previous close ke muqable mein ek jump hui southward direction mein. Interesting baat yeh hai ke yeh initial trades already closed ho chuki hain, jo suggest karta hai ke kuch quick buying hui hai taake larger drop prevent kiya ja sake. Opening dip ke bawajood, bulls (jo merchants hain jo believe karte hain ke price rise hogi) ab bhi control mein hain. EUR/JPY price firmly key blue moving average ke upar hai four-hour chart par, jo ek technical indicator hai jo aksar support ka kaam karta hai. Bulls ki yeh continued dominance suggest karti hai ke wo price ko aur bhi upar push karne ka aim rakhte hain. Aagey dekhte hue, do main scenarios likely lagte hain. Analysts ke mutabiq, sab se probable scenario yeh hai ke current upward trend continue karega. Yeh involve karega price ko reach karna current local high jo is period ka hai, jo 171.57 par baitha hai.

Is hafta ke start par trading activity ne major economic data include nahi kiya, magar EUR/JPY price volatility kaafi strong thi. Iske ilawa, prices girti hui nazar aa rahi hain, jo ho sakta hai ke Germany ke business climate data se ho jo Ifo se below expectations thi. Halanki report data ka moderate impact tha, prices high of 171.24 se low of 170.27 tak gir gayi almost 100 points se. Magar, yeh decline ne current bullish trend ko particularly affect nahi kiya. Sirf agar hum Stochastic indicator ko overbought point par dekhain to downward correction phase pehle ho sakti hai. Kyunke parameters crossing the overbought zone ongoing upward rally ko khatam kar sakte hain. Downside price correction potential EMA 50 ke kareeb wapas aasakta hai kyunke previous price movements ka history bhi similar hai. Magar, price ko actually downward correct karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke kam az kam ek bearish engulfing candlestick pattern form ho wide volume ke saath. Mera personal trading plan yeh hai ke bullish trend ko follow karna continue karoon even agar price overbought point par pahunch gayi ho. Magar, EUR/JPY pair ki price movement ab bhi Japanese Yen exchange rate forecast se zyada influenced hai, to is liye, patience se wait karna zaroori hai moment ko BUY karne ka rather than current trend ke against move karna. EMA 50 aur 169.88 RBS area ko entry points ke taur par use kiya ja sakta hai position mein enter karne ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ke intersection ke confirm hone ke baad 80 aur 50 levels ke beech. Take profit high price of 171.24 par aim kiya ja sakta hai, aur stop loss SMA 200 ke near ya 10–20 points lower par place kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR/JPY market

Adaab aur Subah Bakhair sabko!

Kal ECB ke president ke taqreer se koi naya nahi aaya. Isi wajah se EUR/JPY market 174.25 zone ke aas paas ghoom raha tha. Aaj calendar mein koi khaas news event nahi hai, jis se traders ko technical analysis par focus karna pad raha hai. Mojudah indicators sellers ko support kar rahe hain, jo keh rahe hain ke EUR/JPY pair ke liye ek bearish trend expected hai. Bina impactful news ke, market sentiment bechani ke raaste par lag raha hai.

Aam taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/JPY market aaj sellers ke favor mein rahega. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, sellers agle kuch ghanton ya dinon mein 173.85 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. EUR/JPY market patterns dikha raha hai jo keh correction process ke saath milte hain, jo ek possible downward movement ko suggest karte hain ek potential rebound se pehle. Market ka yeh rawaiya consolidation phase ke saath consistent hai, jo ek deeper pullback ko allow karta hai. Traders ko savdhaan rehna chahiye, 173.85 support level ko breach karne ke potential ke saath.

Yeh correction phase pichle bullish movements ko balance karne ke liye zaroori hai aur market ko ek potential upward trend ke liye tayyar karta hai. Mukhtasar mein, key technical levels aur indicators ko monitor karna zaroori hai trades ke optimal entry aur exit points ke liye. EUR/JPY market ko expected hai ke woh ek correction process ke baad wapas aayega aur uske baad upar jaayega. Technical charts resistance aur support zones dikhate hain jo traders ko closely watch karna chahiye.

Moving averages, RSI, aur doosre technical tools sell-off ki taraf point kar rahe hain, lekin longer term mein ek recovery ke prospects ke saath. Aaj ke bina kisi significant news ke, technical factors market dynamics ko mainly drive karenge. Is tarah, EUR/JPY ko correction phase se guzarna expected hai, jo market stabilizes hone ke baad buying opportunities offer kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein real-time technical analysis ke saath updated rehna zaroori hai takay market ke changes ko effectively adapt kiya ja sake.

Khush rahein aur calm rahen.

EUR/JPY PAIR REVIEW

Japanese currency markets mein Japanese yen ke nuqsan ko rokne ke liye dastandazi mein taakhir hui, jis se euro ke mukablay mein Japanese yen (EUR/JPY) ki keemat mein zor ka izafa hua aur aaj yeh 174.18 ki resistance level par pahunch gaya. Iss harkat ki wajah se tamam technical indicators kharidari ke itne buland aur tezi se saturation levels par pahunch gaye hain. Is liye, in uchaiyon par bechna euro ke mukablay mein Japanese yen (EUR/JPY) ko kharidne se behtar hai, kyunki munafa hasil karne ke liye bechne ki harkatein tezi se hongi, aur yeh currency pair neeche ki taraf rukh karlega.

Euro ke hawale se, abhi France ke legislative elections par zyada tawajjo hai, jahan par parties ittihad banane ki koshish kar rahi hain dusre vote se pehle jo ke itwaar ko hoga. Halankeh National Rally Party pehle round mein agay barh gayi thi, magar tactical voting se yeh hukoomat banane mein naakami ho sakti hai dusre round ke baad. Boht se constituencies mein three-way runoff ka samna hai, center aur left ittihad apne third-placed candidates ko dusre maqam par aanay wale candidate ko National Rally ke candidate ko harane ka behtar moka dene ke liye step down karne ki himayat kar rahe hain. Halankeh yeh hung parliament ki surat ikhtiyar kar sakta hai, yeh investors ke liye behtar ho sakta hai agar far right power mein na aaye. Is liye, euro keemat yeh faida utha sakti hai. Magar aaj euro neeche ja raha hai jab flash CPI readings ne dikhaya ke headline inflation June mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo ke is saal mazeed interest rate cuts ke imkaanat ko barhata hai.

Dusri taraf, German 10-year bond yield 3-week high par hai.
Market trading ke mutabiq... German 10-year bond yield July ke aghaz par 2.6% mark ke qareeb tha, jo ke teen hafton ka buland tareen level hai, jabke markets European Central Bank ki policy outlook aur euro zone ke main banks ke financial stability par key elections ke asrat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Euro zone mein core inflation June mein 2.5% tak slow hui, jo ke markets ke aam tor par expected thi, halankeh core inflation ke measures uchaiyon par barqarar rahe. Yeh data markets ko mazeed interest rate cuts ke imkaanat ka bagh karke aaya European Central Bank is saal mazeed interest rate cuts ka intezar karte hain.

Isi dauran, German bonds pressure mein rahe kyunke European Economic Area mein financial imbalances ke hawale se chinta kam hui. Far-right French National Rally party ne pehle round mein jeet hasil ki, magar doosri parties ke National Front party ko aksariyat hasil karne se rokne ki koshish ne French Oats Party ke haq mein massive rally kar di. Iske natije mein safe-haven bonds ki demand kam hui aur bonds aur higher debt members ke bonds ke darmiyan spreads narrow ho gayi.

Stock trading platform front par... dono STOXX 50 aur STOXX 600 index of European stocks Tuesday ko gire, pehla 0.6% aur dosra 0.4%, kyunke traders yeh samajhne lage ke European Central Bank mazeed interest rates jaldi kam nahi karega. President Lagarde ne kaha ke European Central Bank ko inflation aur economic trends ka tajziya karne ke liye mazeed waqt chahiye. Chief Economist Philip Lane ne bhi kaha ke June inflation data central bank ke underlying price pressures ke baare mein sawalat ka jawab nahi dega. Official announcement ke mutabiq, euro zone mein inflation June mein 2.5% tak gir gaya 2.6% se, jo expected thi, magar base rate 2.9% par stable raha, jabke expectations 2.8% ki thi.

Corporate side par, L'Oréal shares (-1.4%), Inditex shares (-1.5%), Airbus shares (-0.9%), Bayer shares (-2.8%), aur Munich Re shares (-4%) bhi gire. Bank stocks bhi pressure mein rahe: BNP Paribas (-0.5%), Banco Santander (-2.3%) aur BBVA (-1.1%). Doosri taraf, Siemens Energy shares 4.3% barh gaye jab company ne 2030 tak 10,000 employees ko hire karne ka plan announce kiya.

The New Zealand dollar (NZD) has been on a tear for the past three days, reaching around 0.6120 against the US dollar (USD) in European trading on Thursday. This surge is fueled by a weakening USD, possibly due to disappointing US data that sparked speculation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The ADP employment report showed a measly 150,000 new jobs added in June, the lowest increase in five months and falling short of expectations. Across the Tasman Sea, New Zealand's Reserve Bank (RBNZ) is set to make a rate decision next week after holding rates at 5.5% for seven consecutive meetings. Traders will be looking for clues in the accompanying statement to gauge the future path of interest rates. However, a potential headwind for the NZD emerged as China's Service PMI, a key indicator of economic health for New Zealand's major trading partner, dipped to 51.2 in June from 54.0 in May. Click image for larger version Name: Screenshot_2024-07-04-14-46-55-939_net.metaquotes.metatrader4.jpg Views: 0 Size: 298.8 KB ID: 18446126 This uptrend for the NZD/USD pair comes after it hit a 2024 low of 0.5851 in mid-April, followed by a strong rally that took it to a six-month high of 0.6220 in June. However, the pair has faced some selling pressure recently, with the 200-day moving average currently acting as resistance. If the bulls lose momentum and the price dips, immediate support can be found at 0.6048, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the decline from 0.6368 to 0.5851. Further downside protection might be found at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.5972. A break below this area could open the door to revisiting the 2024 low of 0.5851. On the other hand, if the NZD/USD rebounds, the first hurdle for the bulls would be the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 0.6109. Further gains could be met with resistance at the 61.8% level of 0.6170 before reaching the six-month high of 0.6220. Finally, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6257 could act as a ceiling for the NZD/USD's upward trajectory. rewrite roman urdu

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New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne teen dinon se lagataar izafa dekha hai, aur yeh European trading mein Thursday ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 0.6120 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh izafa kamzor USD ki wajah se hai, jo shayad disappointing US data ke natayij se hai, jisne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke baray mein speculation ko hawa di. ADP employment report ne sirf 150,000 naye jobs dikhaye jo ke pichle paanch mahinon mein sabse kam hain aur umeedon se kam. Tasman Sea ke doosri taraf, New Zealand ka Reserve Bank (RBNZ) agle hafte rate decision lene wala hai jab ke rates ko 5.5% par saat meetings tak barqarar rakha hai. Traders statement mein clues dhondhenge takay future interest rates ka raasta andaza lagaya ja sake. Lekin, NZD ke liye aik potential headwind samne aya hai jab ke China's Service PMI, jo ke New Zealand ke bara trading partner ke economic health ka aik key indicator hai, June mein 51.2 tak gir gaya jo ke May mein 54.0 tha.

NZD/USD pair ke liye yeh uptrend us waqt aya jab yeh mid-April mein 2024 ka low 0.5851 par pohanchi thi, uske baad aik strong rally dekhi gayi jo ise June mein chay mahinon ke high 0.6220 tak le gayi. Magar, pair ne kuch selling pressure face kiya hai, jahan 200-day moving average is waqt resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar bulls momentum kho dete hain aur price girti hai, tou foran support 0.6048 par mil sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai decline ke 0.6368 se 0.5851 tak. Mazeed downside protection 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.5972 par mil sakta hai. Agar yeh area toot jata hai tou 2024 ka low 0.5851 dubara dekha ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar NZD/USD rebound karti hai, tou pehla hurdle bulls ke liye 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6109 par hoga. Mazeed gains 61.8% level 0.6170 par resistance face karenge pehle ke chay mahinon ke high 0.6220 tak pohanchne se pehle. Aakhir mein, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6257 NZD/USD ke upward trajectory ke liye ceiling ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai.





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EUR/USD Forecast: Will the recent rally last? After investors reacted to the contents of the last Fed meeting minutes, the EUR/USD exchange rate found an upside opportunity and briefly touched the 1.0816 resistance level, the highest level since 2019. Three weeks later, it stabilized around 1.0785 at the start of trading on Thursday. For its part, the Fed maintained the federal funds target range at 5.25%-5.50% in June 2024 for the seventh consecutive meeting, as expected. US policymakers believe that it would be inappropriate to cut interest rates until they are more confident that inflation will continue to move towards 2%. Meanwhile, the bullet chart shows that policymakers expect only one rate cut this year and four in 2025. In March, the Fed cut interest rates three times in 2024 and three times in 2025. In fact, the initial June estimate shows that services inflation remains high, and the core rate has not slowed down, while headline inflation has slowed down. Meanwhile, Eurozone producer prices fell slightly more than expected in May, and the final PMI readings confirmed a slowdown in both the services sector and the private economy. Click image for larger version Name: 1-7-2024 2-38-52 PM.jpg Views: 0 Size: 79.9 KB ID: 18446124 EUR/USD traded within a descending triangle before rising, indicating an imminent rise to the same height as the chart pattern. The price fell to the previous resistance level, which now appears to be acting as support. The Fibonacci Extension tool shows the following upside targets, with the pair having experienced a 38.2% stretch at the second psychological level of 1.0750. Stronger bullish momentum could push it to the 50% Fibonacci level of 1.0762 or the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which coincides with the swing high of 1.0775. The 76.4% level is located at 1.0790, and the full extension is located at 1.0815. Overall, the 100 SMA has just crossed above the 200 SMA, confirming that the rally is strengthened rather than falling. The moving averages are also aligned with the broken tip of the triangle, adding to the strength of the support. However, the Stochastic Oscillator is moving lower from the overbought region, indicating buyer fatigue and a possible return of selling pressure. The oscillator still has a lot of room to move down before reflecting seller fatigue. On the other hand, the RSI still has room to move higher before reaching the overbought region, indicating buyer fatigue and the rally may continue. Later this week, the US non-farm payrolls report will be released, which is expected to show weak employment in June. If that is the case, the dollar may weaken further as traders once again call for the federal government to ease monetary policy further. Weak fundamental data such as the labor force participation rate and average hourly earnings may also affect the direction of the dollar. rewrite roman urdu

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EUR/USD Forecast: Kya recent rally barqarar rahegi?

Jab investors ne Fed ke aakhri meeting ke minutes ka mutala kiya, tou EUR/USD exchange rate ne ek upside opportunity dekhi aur mukhtasir tor par 1.0816 resistance level ko choo liya, jo ke 2019 se sabse ooncha level hai. Teen hafton baad, yeh Thursday ko trading ke aghaz par 1.0785 ke qareeb stabilize ho gaya. Fed ne apni taraf se, June 2024 mein federal funds target range ko 5.25%-5.50% par saatwain martaba barqarar rakha, jo ke expected tha.

US policymakers ka ye maanna hai ke interest rates ko cut karna na-munasib hoga jab tak ke unhe yeh yaqeen na ho jaye ke inflation 2% ke qareeb barqarar rahega. Bullet chart dikhata hai ke policymakers sirf is saal ek rate cut ki tawakku rakhte hain aur 2025 mein chaar rate cuts ki umeed hai. March mein, Fed ne 2024 mein teen baar aur 2025 mein teen baar interest rates cut kiye the.

Darhaqiqat, June ka initial estimate dikhata hai ke services inflation ab bhi high hai, aur core rate slow down nahi hua, jab ke headline inflation slow down hui hai. Dosri taraf, Eurozone ke producer prices May mein thode ziada gir gaye jitna expected tha, aur final PMI readings ne services sector aur private economy dono mein slowdown confirm kiya.

EUR/USD ek descending triangle mein trade kar raha tha pehle ke rising dikhaye, jo ke is chart pattern ke height ke barabar ek rise dikhata hai. Price pichle resistance level par gir gayi, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Fibonacci Extension tool ke mutabiq following upside targets hain, aur pair ne 38.2% stretch ka tajurba kiya second psychological level 1.0750 par. Mazid bullish momentum ise 50% Fibonacci level 1.0762 tak ya 61.8% Fibonacci level tak push kar sakta hai, jo swing high 1.0775 ke saath coincide karta hai. 76.4% level 1.0790 par hai, aur full extension 1.0815 par hai.

Overall, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke oopar cross hua hai, jo confirm karta hai ke rally strengthened hai na ke falling. Moving averages bhi triangle ke broken tip ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko mazid taqat deta hai. Magar, Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neechay move kar raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur possible selling pressure return ko dikhata hai. Oscillator ke paas abhi bhi neechay move karne ki kafi gunjaish hai seller fatigue reflect karne se pehle. Dusri taraf, RSI ke paas abhi bhi upar move karne ki gunjaish hai overbought region tak pohanchne se pehle, jo buyer fatigue ko dikhata hai aur rally ko jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai.

Is haftay ke aakhir mein, US non-farm payrolls report release hogi, jo June mein weak employment show karne ki tawakku hai. Agar aisa hota hai, tou dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai jab traders dobara federal government se monetary policy ko ease karne ki demand karte hain. Weak fundamental data, jaise ke labor force participation rate aur average hourly earnings bhi dollar ki direction ko affect kar sakte hain.





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USDJPY MARKET ANALYSIS On Wednesday (July 3), the dollar fell after the release of a series of weak data from the United States, but the dollar remained on the rise against the yen, closing at 161.64 in New York, up 0.1% for the day. The yen fell to 161.96, the lowest level since December 1986. Data from the United States on Wednesday showed that the number of initial unemployment claims increased to 238,000 in the week ending June 29, seasonally adjusted. The number of continuing unemployment claims increased to 1.858 million in the week ending June 22, seasonally adjusted, the highest level since the end of November 2021. The ADP employment report released on Wednesday showed that private employment increased by 150,000 jobs in June (expected to increase by 160,000). The U.S. service sector report released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) was weak, with data showing that the U.S. service sector purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 48.8 from 53.8 in May, a four-year low. This is the second time this year that the index has fallen below 50, indicating a contraction in the service sector. U.S. factory orders also unexpectedly fell by 0.5% in May, compared with expectations for growth. After a series of U.S. data, the U.S. interest rate futures market raised the probability of a rate cut in September to 74% from 69% late Tuesday, according to calculations by the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG). The market also believes that there will be two rate cuts in 2024. Although a series of weak data has slightly frustrated the dollar in early trading, the active influx of bargain-hunting orders, including from Japanese importers, has made it difficult to stop the depreciation of the yen. Click image for larger version Name: image_5012929.jpg Views: 4 Size: 156.7 KB ID: 18446118 At the moment, investors are more concerned about whether the Bank of Japan can continue to raise interest rates. Without any more radical actions in this regard, even if intervention occurs, it is difficult to stop the wave of carry trades. However, in the short term, the overbought USD/JPY is getting worse, and we must guard against the risk of profit-taking adjustments.rewrite roman urdu

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USDJPY MARKET ANALYSIS

Wednesday, July 3 ko, United States se aane wale weak data ke baad dollar gir gaya, magar yen ke muqable mein dollar phir bhi barh raha, aur New York mein 161.64 par close hua, jo ke din ka 0.1% izafa tha. Yen 161.96 tak gir gaya, jo December 1986 ke baad se sabse kam hai. United States ke data ne dikhaya ke initial unemployment claims ka number 238,000 tak barh gaya week ending June 29 tak, seasonally adjusted. Continuing unemployment claims ka number 1.858 million tak barh gaya week ending June 22 tak, seasonally adjusted, jo ke November 2021 ke end ke baad se sabse zyada hai. ADP employment report ne Wednesday ko dikhaya ke private employment mein 150,000 jobs ka izafa hua June mein (expected 160,000 tha).

Institute for Supply Management (ISM) se release hone wale U.S. service sector report bhi weak thi, jisme data dikhata hai ke U.S. service sector purchasing managers' index (PMI) 48.8 tak gir gaya May ke 53.8 se, jo ke chaar saalon ka sabse kam hai. Yeh is saal doosri dafa hai ke index 50 se neechay gaya hai, jo service sector mein contraction dikhata hai. U.S. factory orders bhi unexpectedly 0.5% gir gaye May mein, jab ke growth expected thi. Aik series of U.S. data ke baad, U.S. interest rate futures market ne September mein rate cut ki probability 74% tak barha di 69% se jo Tuesday late ko thi, London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) ke calculations ke mutabiq. Market bhi yeh samajhti hai ke 2024 mein do rate cuts honge. Weak data ke series ne early trading mein dollar ko thoda frustrate kiya, magar Japanese importers se bargain-hunting orders ke active influx ne yen ki depreciation ko rokna mushkil banaya.

Is waqt, investors zyada concern hain ke Bank of Japan interest rates ko barha sakti hai ya nahi. Agar is hawale se koi aur radical action nahi hota, tou intervention ke bawajood, carry trades ka wave rokna mushkil hai. Magar, short term mein, overbought USD/JPY aur bhi bigad raha hai, aur hume profit-taking adjustments ke risk se bachna hoga.





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EUR/JPY/H1 The movement of the EURJPY currency pair on Friday actually fell quite sharply from a price of 170.40 to 169.34. The decline in the EURJPY currency pair was due to the euro currency exchange rate weakening against the yen since the release of data regarding the French flash manufacturing PMI which decreased to 45.3 and German flash manufacturing also decreased to 43.4, causing the movement of the EURJPY to fall by 100 pips. However, on Friday evening it turned out that the movement of the EURJPY jumped quite significantly up to 140 pips, this increase was due to the yen exchange rate weakening against the Euro currency as a result of the news that Japan's National Core CPI had decreased by 2.5% and Japan's Flash Manufacturing PMI also decreased by up to 50.1, causing the EURJPY movement to rise to a price of 170.85. The results of my fundamental analysis for the future movement of EURJPY seem to still tend to BUY EURJPY up to a price of 171.00. Click image for larger version Name: image_5011263.jpg Views: 0 Size: 26.5 KB ID: 18446095 The ongoing rally to the upside is still supported by the Awesome Oscillator (AO) and Stochastic indicators. Since the red histogram is squeezed by the green histogram with a wider volume, it gives a saucer signal for the upward trend momentum. Also, the parameter failed to pass level 50 and then crossed between level 50 and level 20. This indicates that there is scope for the rally to continue to increase as the parameter that will enter the overbought zone at the 90 - 80 level has not yet been crossed. A sign of over-buying. EUR/JPY/H1 Trading options that are still in a bullish trend and a break in structure has occurred, so a BUY position remains the primary choice. Position entry point can be taken around resistance (R1) 168.83 and two moving average lines. The histogram of the AO indicator has confirmed the presence of a saucer signal as a signal of the continuation of an upward rally. Meanwhile, Stochastic indicator may have to wait for another parameter crossing between level 80 and level 50 as confirmation. Resistance (R2) 171.26 can be used as place to place take profit and pivot point (PP) 168.65 as stop loss. rewrite roman urdu

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EUR/JPY/H1

Friday ko EURJPY currency pair ka movement kaafi tezi se gira, jo 170.40 se 169.34 tak gaya. EURJPY currency pair mein yeh decline euro currency exchange rate ke yen ke muqable mein kamzor hone ki wajah se tha, jab France ka flash manufacturing PMI 45.3 tak gir gaya aur Germany ka flash manufacturing bhi 43.4 tak kam ho gaya, jiski wajah se EURJPY 100 pips gir gaya. Magar, Friday raat ko EURJPY ka movement kaafi significant tor par 140 pips tak barh gaya, yeh izafa yen exchange rate ke euro currency ke muqable mein kamzor hone ki wajah se hua jab Japan ka National Core CPI 2.5% tak gir gaya aur Japan ka Flash Manufacturing PMI bhi 50.1 tak kam ho gaya, jiski wajah se EURJPY movement 170.85 tak barh gaya. Mere fundamental analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, EURJPY ka ainday ka movement ab bhi BUY EURJPY ki taraf lagta hai jo ke 171.00 tak ja sakta hai.

EURJPY ka ongoing rally ab bhi Awesome Oscillator (AO) aur Stochastic indicators se support ho raha hai. Jab red histogram green histogram se squeeze ho gaya with wider volume, yeh upward trend momentum ka saucer signal deta hai. Aur, parameter level 50 ko pass nahi kar saka aur phir level 50 aur level 20 ke beech cross kiya. Yeh dikhata hai ke rally ko barhawa milne ki scope ab bhi hai jab ke parameter jo overbought zone mein enter karega 90-80 level par, abhi cross nahi hua. Yeh over-buying ka sign hai.

EUR/JPY/H1

Trading options jo ab bhi bullish trend mein hain aur ek break in structure ho gaya hai, tou ek BUY position primary choice rahegi. Position entry point resistance (R1) 168.83 aur do moving average lines ke ird gird liya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ke histogram ne saucer signal ki mojoodgi ko confirm kiya hai jo ek upward rally ka continuation signal hai. Dusri taraf, Stochastic indicator ko level 80 aur level 50 ke beech mein doosra parameter crossing ka intezar karna pad sakta hai as confirmation. Resistance (R2) 171.26 ko take profit place karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai aur pivot point (PP) 168.65 ko stop loss ke tor par.

EUR-JPY PAIR FORECAST
Main EURJPY currency pair mein mazeed bullish potential dekh raha hoon jo ke aaj ke trading session tak poori tarah khatam nahi hua hai. Kharid-daroon ke kamyabi ke sath jo ke qeemat ko 174.24 ke darj zail tak pohonchne mein kamiyab rahe, is ke agle izafa ke imkanat abhi bhi khuli hain. Aap dekh sakte hain ke kal raat tak ke trading session tak qeemat abhi bhi bullish rahi hai.

Is ke ilawa, qeemat ke mojoodagi jo ke abhi bhi asaan murti mein upar hain, jo ke peeli mein moving average 60 ke oopar hain, yeh is baat ka tasavvur deta hai ke bazaar abhi tak dominantly upar ja raha hai jo ke qeemat ko mazeed upar lene ke liye aik sabqat hai jis ke liye 174.50 ke qeemat mein umeed hai jis ke mujhe mutabiq trend ki jari rahne ke liye ahim had tak ban sakta hai jo ke bichar ke sath chalne wale hain

MACD indicator ke histogram bar ka position jo ke lambi shakal mein hai, consistent taur par zero level ke upar move kar raha hai jo ke bullish bazaar ko darshata hai. Market ke is upward potential ke sath, candlestick ki umeed hai ke phir se izafa ho sakta hai aur agar Yen currency ko kamzor karne wale bunyadi asool hain to qeemat ke mazeed ooper urane ka bhi mauqa hai.

Dominant market ke movement ke khasiyat ko tajziye ke zareye jo ke ek upar ki raftar mein hai, main tijarat ki manazil mein jaldi na karein ka tawon deta hoon. Behtar yeh hai ke is darja ke meyar par intezar karein ke mazeed izafa ho jaye jo ke bullish signal ko tasdeeq kare. Agar qeemat maqsad ke level tak pohonch sakti hai, to is se ooper ke darja ke liye bhi azad ho sakta hai

EURJPY currency pair daily timeframe pe bohot zyada dominant buying pressure dikhata hai. Ye clearly dikh raha hai EMA 50 ke around 167.520 price level se rejection ke baad. Ye level phir strong support ka kaam karta hai, jisse buyers ko price upar push karne ka mauka milta hai. Is buying pressure ne price ko 170.820 ke important resistance ko successfully break karwa diya. Is resistance ka breakout yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market pe strong control mein hain, aur current price movement mein significant corrections ka koi sign nahi hai. Corrections ka absence yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi bohot strong hai. Lekin, traders ko potential corrections ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo kisi bhi waqt ho sakti hain. Corrections market movements ka natural part hain, jahan prices temporarily decline karti hain before continuing the main trend. Ye corrections buyers ko jo peeche reh gaye hain, unhe market mein better price pe re-enter karne ka mauka de sakti hain. Isliye, halanki current focus long positions pe hai, technical signs pe dhyan dena zaruri hai jo correction indicate kar sakti hain, jaise ke reversal candlestick patterns ya overbought indicators.
H1 timeframe pe, EURJPY currency pair ek kaafi strong bullish trend dikhata hai. EMA 50 indicator EMA 100 ke upar hai, jo confirm karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi dominate kar raha hai. Lekin, price abhi ek important resistance level 173.653 pe stuck hai. Ye level break through karna mushkil area sabit hua hai, jo significant selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Kal, price ne correction kiya tha lekin strong support 173.101 level ke around mila. Is support ka formation important hai kyunke yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain aur temporary decline ke baad price ko wapas upar push karne ke liye ready hain. Agar price 173.653 resistance ko break karne mein successful ho jati hai, yeh ek strong bullish signal dega aur further upward movement ka most likely follow karega. Lekin, 173.653 resistance level pe rejection ka bhi possibility hai. Agar yeh hota hai, price phir se 173.101 support ko retest kar sakti hai. Mere trading plan mein 173.653 resistance ka clear breakout hone ka wait karunga pehle long position lene se. Is level ke upar ek strong breakout confirm karega ke bullish trend continue ho raha hai aur further upside ka potential wide open hai. Conversely, agar correction hoti hai aur price phir se girti hai, main price 173.101 support tak pahunchne ka wait karunga. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, yeh sell position enter karne ka signal ho sakta hai, is expectation ke saath ke price continue to fall karega. Lekin, yeh note karna zaruri hai ke 173.101 pe support ek key level hai jo watch karna chahiye, kyunke is level pe strong support ka formation ek buy opportunity provide kar sakta hai agar price wapas bounce karti hai.

EUR/JPY currency pair Euro aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan exchange rate ko darshaata hai aur forex market mein sab se active pairs mein se aik hai. Traders is pair ko tawajjo se monitor karte hain is ki volatility aur Eurozone aur Japan se aane wale economic indicators ke wajah se jo is ke movement ko gehra asar daalte hain. Abhi EUR/JPY aik makhsoos range ke andar trade kar raha hai, jis ka matlab hai ke yeh mukarrar levels of support aur resistance ke darmiyan fluctuate hota hai. In levels ka traders ke liye ahem hai kyun ke yeh unhe market mein entry aur exit points banane mein madad dete hain. Market mein do tarah ke players hote hain: buyers aur sellers. Buyers wo log hain jo sochte hain ke keemat barh jayegi, aur wo cheez kharidte hain. Sellers wo hote hain jo samajhte hain ke keemat kam hogi, aur wo apni cheez farokht karte hain. Jab sellers zyada taqat mein hotay hain, to wo apni cheez kam keemat par bechne ke liye tayar hote hain, jo keemat ko neeche le aati hai.
168.02 ka level ek psychological aur technical barrier hai. Market ke traders aksar is tarah ke levels ko dhyan mein rakhte hain. Agar keemat is barrier ko tor kar neeche jaye, to bohot se traders aur investors isay bearish signal samajhte hain. Iska matlab ye hota hai ke sellers ki taqat zyada hai aur buyers ko shikast mili hai.
Jab ek ahem sahara ka level toot jata hai, to market mein panic ya hyperactivity dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is situation mein, kai buyers apni position ko cut kar lete hain aur zyada se zyada sellers market mein aa jate hain. Ye panic selling kehlata hai, jahan log apne losses ko rokne ke liye jaldi se jaldi bechte hain, jo ke keemat ko aur neeche le jata hai.
Bearish market ka jazba is baat par mabni hota hai ke log sochte hain ke aane wale dinon mein market ki haalat aur bigad sakti hai. Ye jazba sirf stocks ya commodities tak mehdood nahi hota, balki currencies aur bonds par bhi asar daalta hai. Ek bearish market mein, investors aksar safe-haven assets ki taraf ruch karte hain, jaise ke gold ya stable currencies jese USD.
Lekin hamesha yaad rakhein ke market mein uncertainty bohot hoti hai. Ek technical level ka tootna ek strong signal zaroor hota hai, magar 100% guarantee nahi. Market kabhi kabhi unexpected tareeke se react kar sakti hai, aur kuch factors jese economic data, geopolitical events, aur investor sentiment turant market ka rukh badal sakte hain.

Akhri taur par, EUR/JPY currency pair ab aik makhsoos range ke andar trade kar raha hai jahan ke fori support level 148.50 par mojood hai. Yeh level traders ke liye ahem hai ke woh potential buying opportunities ko pehchanne mein madad dete hain. Support aur resistance levels ko samajhna aur unka analysis karna technical analysis ke mukhtalif ahem hisson mein shaamil hain, jo ke traders ko maloomat par mabni faislay lene aur apni trades ko behtar tareeqay se manage karne mein madad dete hain.

EURJPY currency pair daily timeframe pe bohot zyada dominant buying pressure dikhata hai. Ye clearly dikh raha hai EMA 50 ke around 167.520 price level se rejection ke baad. Ye level phir strong support ka kaam karta hai, jisse buyers ko price upar push karne ka mauka milta hai. Is buying pressure ne price ko 170.820 ke important resistance ko successfully break karwa diya. Is resistance ka breakout yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market pe strong control mein hain, aur current price movement mein significant corrections ka koi sign nahi hai. Corrections ka absence yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi bohot strong hai. Lekin, traders ko potential corrections ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo kisi bhi waqt ho sakti hain. Corrections market movements ka natural part hain, jahan prices temporarily decline karti hain before continuing the main trend. Ye corrections buyers ko jo peeche reh gaye hain, unhe market mein better price pe re-enter karne ka mauka de sakti hain. Isliye, halanki current focus long positions pe hai, technical signs pe dhyan dena zaruri hai jo correction indicate kar sakti hain, jaise ke reversal candlestick patterns ya overbought indicators. H1 timeframe pe, EURJPY currency pair ek kaafi strong bullish trend dikhata hai. EMA 50 indicator EMA 100 ke upar hai, jo confirm karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi dominate kar raha hai. Lekin, price abhi ek important resistance level 173.653 pe stuck hai. Ye level break through karna mushkil area sabit hua hai, jo significant selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Kal, price ne correction kiya tha lekin strong support 173.101 level ke around mila. Is support ka formation important hai kyunke yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain aur temporary decline ke baad price ko wapas upar push karne ke liye ready hain. Agar price 173.653 resistance ko break karne mein successful ho jati hai, yeh ek strong bullish signal dega aur further upward movement ka most likely follow karega. Lekin, 173.653 resistance level pe rejection ka bhi possibility hai. Agar yeh hota hai, price phir se 173.101 support ko retest kar sakti hai. Mere trading plan mein 173.653 resistance ka clear breakout hone ka wait karunga pehle long position lene se. Is level ke upar ek strong breakout confirm karega ke bullish trend continue ho raha hai aur further upside ka potential wide open hai. Conversely, agar correction hoti hai aur price phir se girti hai, main price 173.101 support tak pahunchne ka wait karunga. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, yeh sell position enter karne ka signal ho sakta hai, is expectation ke saath ke price continue to fall karega. Lekin, yeh note karna zaruri hai ke 173.101 pe support ek key level hai jo watch karna chahiye, kyunke is level pe strong support ka formation ek buy opportunity provide kar sakta hai agar price wapas bounce karti hai.

EUR/JPY pair mein growth ka silsila jaari hai, jo ke ab aam baat hai aur ummid thi. Buyers ab us range ke qareeb hain jo pehle growth ko rokti thi. Dekhte hain is dafa kya hota hai, lekin 170.25 ko tor kar us se ooper consolidate karne ke chances kaafi zyada hain. Bank of Japan rates badha raha hai aur ECB rates kam kar raha hai, lekin ab tak is ka natija sirf growth mein slow down ki surat mein nikal raha hai. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke woh din door nahi jab 180.00 ki mark aaegi aur prices girengi. Lekin lagta hai ke aaj yeh nahi hoga. Aaj technology ke mutabiq, levels 169.09-169.53 ki zone support ka kaam kar rahi hai, aur kyun ke hum is zone ke ooper trade kar rahe hain, EUR/JPY pair ki price is waqt 169.49 hai. Hum us ke baad resistance (170.78-171.16) ki taraf barh rahe hain, lekin mujhe nahi lagta ke woh ooper consolidate kar payenge. Main sochta hoon ke main 170.78 se rebound par sell karunga, stop loss 171.20 ke ooper laga kar. 4-hour chart par indicators bhi uper ki taraf dekh rahe hain; yahan, Bollinger Channel ne ek local correction ka ishara dena shuru kar diya hai, to short term mein, main thodi si decline ki umeed karta hoon, aur yeh possibility hai ke bears initiative ko retain karenge

Kher, kisi bhi surat mein, abhi badi turn ke baare mein baat karna jaldi hai. Agar 170.25 ke ooper successful consolidate kar lete hain, to growth 172.80 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Maximum ko renew karne ka kaafi arsay se zarurat thi, to main is dafa expect karta hoon ke bulls yeh plan implement kar payenge. Downward pullbacks mumkin hain, lekin jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, yeh sellers ko zyada success nahi dilaate. Upward trend relevant hai, to agar trading ko consider karein, to sirf uper. Aaj ek acha support level 169.10 par form ho gaya hai, jahan se hum purchases par paisa banane ka plan karenge. Agar sab kuch plan ke mutabiq hota hai, to profit kal ka high 169.80 update karke le sakte hain. Lekin agar plan kaam nahi karta, to hume losses 168.80 par record karne padenge. Ainday mein, loss ke sath transaction close karte hue, 169.10 ke mirror level se selling consider kar sakte hain. Market mein price movement sab se zaruri cheez hai; price ko aik jagah par nahi rukhna chahiye, balki move karna chahiye. Market mein volatility chahiye. General mein, hum initially purchase plan ko follow karte hain, lekin agar purchase par paisa nahi bana sakte, to hum sales plan ke mutabiq chalenge