یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Yeh correction kafi lamba chala hai aur yeh expect karna ke market seedha collapse ho jaye, bilkul maqool nahi lagta. Hum dheere dheere upar ja rahe hain, smoothly aur bina kisi interruption ke, aur filhaal koi impulsive move ki zarurat bhi nahi hai. Recent price ka MA se bounce karna noteworthy hai, aur yeh recovery continue hone ka ek strong signal de raha hai. Haan, kuch bearish candles bhi hain lekin woh size ma kaafi choti hain aur unka koi significant impact nahi lagta, in par ziada dhyan dene ki zarurat nahi. Upar resistance bhi koi significant nahi hai, aur lagta nahi ke price yahan ruke ga. Ho sakta hai ke ek temporary halt aaye, lekin woh bhi ek ya do din se ziada nahi chale ga, bina kisi major pullback ke.
Agar correction aata hai, aur wo bhi accha khasa, jaisay ke ek pin bar ya kuch bearish candles, to around 158.40 ke aas paas buying ka moka ban sakta hai. Yeh zone kaafi strong hai aur yahan se ek acha bounce expect kiya ja sakta hai, target 160.80 tak ho sakta hai.
Lekin agar price wahan se reverse hota hai aur downward move continue karta hai, to pehla target 156.93 ke neeche ho ga. Agar bears 153.03 tak push karne mai kamiyab ho jate hain, to ek aur strong support test ho sakta hai. Filhaal, jab tak price MA 46 se neeche hai, sales relevant rahengi. Agar market wapas MA 46 ki taraf jata hai to sales ki relevance kam ho jayegi. Mai suggest karta hoon ke sales ko 156.93 ke neeche consider kiya jaye.
Inflation data ke baad, jo Eurozone ki expectations ke mutabiq tha, EUR/JPY ne 161.00 tak ka jump liya. Germany aur Spain se pehle data ne yeh bataya ke inflation kam ho rahi hai,
EUR/JPY market sellers ke haq mein move karega, aur ho sakta hai ke 155.80 level tak pohch jaye. Yeh forecast is assumption par mabni hai ke German ZEW Economic Sentiment release ek aisa market environment banayega jo downward move ke liye favorable ho. Yeh economic indicator bohot ahem hota hai, is liye jab yeh data release ho to ek strong news strategy adopt karna zaroori hai. Is strategy mein market reaction ko closely monitor

EUR-JPY JOR KAI JAIZA

Aaj raat EURJPY currency pair ka harkat bohot zyada badha hai, jo 140 pips ke aas-paas utha hai, jo 158.80 se 160.220 tak pohanch gaya. EURJPY ki is izafa ka sabab yeh hai ke euro ki qeemat mazboot hui hai, jab Spain ka berozgari ka data aaya, jo 3200 berozgar tak kam ho gaya, aur Italy ki maamooli berozgari ki dar bhi 6.2% per month tak kam hui. Is wajah se EURJPY ka harkat raat ko phir se 160.30 tak upar ja sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, aaj YEN ki qeemat bhi kamzor hui hai, jab Japan ka Monetary Base ka data -0.1% tak gira, aur kai Japanese investors ne apne 4 trillion yen ke investments wapas le liye, jis ki wajah se EURJPY ka harkat kaafi zyada barh gaya hai aur yeh 160.30 tak pohanch gaya. Meri buniyadi tajziya ke mutabiq, aaj raat EURJPY ko BUY karne ka faisla kiya hai takay yeh 160.30 tak pohanch sake.




Meri technical tajziya ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke EURJPY ka harkat raat ko aur bhi barhne ki taraf ja raha hai, jo 160.40 tak pohanch sakta hai. Iski wajah yeh hai ke H1 time frame mein EURJPY ne ek bullish engulfing candle banai hai, jo ke BUY karne ka ek mazboot ishara hai. Mere RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq, EURJPY ki qeemat kal 158.30 par oversold thi, is liye raat ko yeh 160.50 tak barh sakta hai. EURJPY ko BUY karne ka ishara SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi madad milta hai, kyunki jab EURJPY ki qeemat 159.00 ke aas-paas aayi thi, tab yeh RBS area mein thi, yaani Resistance Become Support, isliye yeh bahut mumkin hai ke buyers aaj raat EURJPY mein shamil ho jayen. Meri technical tajziya ke natije ke mutabiq, maine EURJPY ko 160.50 tak BUY karne ka faisla kiya hai.

EUR/JPY Ki Qeemat Ka Andaza

Iss doran, geopolitical tensions ke barhne se lagta hai ke investors behtari se kaam le rahe hain. Iran ne report kiya hai ke usne Israel par 200 se zyada ballistic missiles chalayi hain, aur Israel ne is hamle ka jawab dene ka waada kiya hai. Israel ke Wazir-e-Azam Benjamin Netanyahu ne kaha ke Iran ne "bari ghalti" ki hai aur "usay is ka bhugtan karna hoga," jis se Middle East mein conflict ke barhne ka khauf phir se ujagar hua hai. Market ka manzar-e-qaabil dekhte hue, US stock index futures press ke waqt 0.3% se 0.4% tak kam hain.

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko 0.5% se zyada ka nuqsan uthaya aur ye teesri martaba musbat territory mein band hui. Press ke waqt, yeh pair thoda upar 1.1050 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko tezi se girawat dekhi aur yeh 19 September ke baad se apni sabse kam level 1.3250 se neeche chala gaya. Yeh pair Wednesday ki subah European market mein stable hai, lekin 1.3300 se neeche trade kar raha hai. Bank of England aaj Financial Policy Committee (FPC) ki meeting ke minutes aur FPC Statement publish karega.

EUR/JPY ne Wednesday ki subah European session mein 158.80 ke aas-paas girawat dekhi, jo din mein 0.06% ka nuqsan hai. Cross ka negative nazariya barqarar hai, aur bearish RSI indicator isay support karta hai.

Turanat resistance level 161.80 par hai; pehla support level 158.10 par hai. EUR/JPY cross apni girawat ko Wednesday ki subah European session mein 158.80 tak extend karta hai. Global markets mein risk aversion Japanese Yen (JPY) jese safe-haven asset ko kuch support faraham karta hai.

Technical tor par, EUR/JPY daily chart par bearish trend ko barqarar rakhta hai kyun ke yeh 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) se neeche hai. Is ke ilawa, downward momentum Relative Strength Index (RSI) se support milta hai, jo midline ke neeche 45.80 ke aas-paas hai, yeh dikhata hai ke aane wale waqt mein aur girawat ka mauqa ho sakta hai.




30 September ka low 158.10 cross ke liye pehla support level hai. Is level ka todne par 155.60 tak giraawat dekhi ja sakti hai, jo Bollinger Band ka lower limit hai. Zyada nuqsan 154.41 tak le ja sakta hai, jo 5 August ka low hai.

Dusri taraf, pehla upar ka barrier 161.80 par hai, jo Bollinger Band ka upper boundary hai. Agar is level ke upar koi kharidari hui to yeh 163.15 tak ki udaan dekh sakta hai, jo 100-day EMA hai. Aur ek aur upar ka filter jo dekhna hai wo 164.00 ka psychological mark hai.

EUR/JPY Pair Ki Harkat Ka Jaiza

EUR/JPY pair ki asal harkat US trading session ke doran shuru hui, jo ke European session mein dekhi gayi sookhi price action se kaafi mukhtalif thi. European session ke doran, price mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi aayi, yeh ek narrow range mein rahi aur 159.89 se 159.51 ke darmiyan maujood ek aham support/resistance zone ko nazarandaaz kiya. Yeh range, jo aam tor par traders ke liye aham isharaat faraham karti hai, trading din ke shuruati hisson mein respect nahi hui, jis se traders ko pehle se saaf positions tay karna mushkil ho gaya.

European session ke dauran jo traders mauqe talash kar rahe the unhein volatility aur saaf price direction ki kami ke wajah se mushkilat ka samna karna pada. 159.89-159.51 area par react nahi karna iska matlab tha ke traders ke paas actionable signals ki kami thi. Yeh sookhi price behavior bohot se traders ko sidelines par rehne par majboor kar diya, jo breakout ya kisi form ki directional clarity ka intezar kar rahe the. Jab market ne is aham price zone ko respect nahi kiya, positions bohot se European session ke liye hold par rahi.

US trading session tak market ne zyada dynamic harkat dikhana shuru kiya. Price action zyada numayan ho gaya, jo traders ko market mein enter karne ke mauqe faraham kar raha tha. Lekin, US session ke doran hone wali tez girawat ko pehle se andaza lagana mushkil tha. Market sentiment mein achanak badlav ne bohot se logon ko hairaan kar diya, kyunki is se pehle is tarah ki girawat ke liye koi saaf nishan nahi mile the.




Jabke US session ke doran overall harkat kafi substantial thi, aur baad mein ye trading ke behtareen mauqe faraham karte hain, lekin in moves ka faida uthana waqt par kafi challenging sabit hua. Jo tez girawat hui woh bohot hi jaldi thi aur traders ko asar darust tor par react karne ka zyada waqt nahi diya. Jinhein momentum ka shift samajh aaya unhein is se faida mila, lekin bohot se logon ke liye girawat ki achanakiyat ka faida uthana mushkil raha.

Aakhir mein, jab EUR/JPY pair ne US trading session ke doran mazboot harkat dekhi, European session mein volatility ki kami ne traders ko subsequent action ka andaza lagana mushkil kar diya. 159.89-159.51 ka key support/resistance zone nazarandaaz kiya gaya, aur US session mein hone wali achanak price drop ka pehle se andaza lagana mushkil tha. Jab market ne aakhirkar ek saaf direction mein harkat ki, toh girawat ki tezi ne un traders ke liye challenge pesh kiya jo is mauqe ka faida uthana chahte the.

EUR-JPY Pair Ka Andaza

EUR/JPY pair ki qeemat ne bohot tez girawat ke baad dhire dhire upar ki taraf sudhar shuru kiya, jab yeh 158.06 ke low tak pahuncha. Is waqt qeemat ka upar ki taraf chalne ka potential correction phase FR 50 - 160.75 ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo SBR area ke sath milta hai, ya phir FR 61.8 - 161.38 se upar bhi ja sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, qeemat ko EMA 50 ya SMA 200 ke neeche phir se move karna hoga taake bearish trend jaari rahe. Kam se kam qeemat ko FR 38.2 - 160.11 ke neeche consistently move karna chahiye, kyunki agar qeemat neeche ki taraf rally ko jaari rakhne mein nakam hoti hai, toh trend direction badalne ka andaza lagaya jata hai. Dono Moving Average lines ke darmiyan faasla ab itna zyada nahi hai, is liye isay mazid mazboot karne ke liye qeemat ko phir se neeche jaana hoga.

Bari structure ke hawale se, yeh lagta hai ke yeh lower low - lower high par reh raha hai, kyunki 163.81 ke high prices par structure ka break nahi hua. Qeemat jo kuch hafte upar gayi, sirf 163.43 ke high prices tak pohanchi. Agar Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhein, jiska volume histogram abhi bhi level 0 ya positive area ke upar wide hota ja raha hai, toh uptrend momentum EUR/JPY pair ki qeemat ke upward correction ko support karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone ke taraf level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja rahe hain, level 50 ko cross karne mein nakam hone ke baad bhi price ke upward correction phase ko support karte hain. Yeh is liye hai ke saturation point abhi tak nahi aaya, kyunki parameters ne overbought zone ko cross nahi kiya.




Setup Entry Position:

Trading options mein, jab price ka upward correction FR 50 - 160.75 tak pahunche, jo SBR area ke sath milta hai, toh ek re-entry SELL position lene ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke trend direction abhi bhi bearish hai aur death cross signal kaafi taza nazar aa raha hai. Confirmation Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke cross hone ka intezar karega jab yeh overbought zone mein level 90 - 80 par pahunchenge. AO indicator ka volume histogram, jo uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai, ko level 0 ke kareeb aate hue kamzor hona chahiye aur yeh red hona chahiye. FR 23.6 - 159.33 ko sabse kareeb aur door ka take profit target ke tor par istemal kiya jayega, jabke stop loss FR 61.8 - 161.38 se lekar FR 70.5 - 161.85 ke darmiyan rakha jayega.

EUR/JPY Ka Haal

Hourly chart par, EUR/JPY ne Monday ko giraawat se shuru kiya, 155.630 ke support level ko todte hue, jis se ek ghalat sell signal paida hua. Lekin is support level se ghalat break ke baad, Monday ko ek buy signal phir se nazar aaya, jo resistance level 158.574 ko target karta tha. Yeh buy signal Tuesday ko realize hua.

Wednesday ko, qeemat resistance level ke ird gird trade kar rahi thi, aur Thursday ko yeh resistance ko successfully todti hai, jo resistance level 160.319 ki taraf ek aur buy signal paida karta hai. Yeh signal bhi Thursday ko realize hua. Phir qeemat ne is level se bounce kiya aur Friday ko yeh 158.574 ke support level tak pahuncha. Lekin, qeemat ne us support level se rebound kiya aur 160.319 ke resistance level ko todte hue is break ko confirm kiya.




Ab ek naya buy signal nazar aaya, jo agle resistance level 162.885 ko target kar raha hai, aur yeh signal agle Monday ke liye bhi relevant hai. EUR/JPY ne hafte ki shuruaat neeche ki taraf harkat karte hue 155.630 support level ko todte hue ki. Is break par pehli reaction ek ghalat sell signal tha, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ke paas qeemat ko neeche push karne ki kafi taqat nahi thi. Iske baad, ek buy signal nazar aaya jab qeemat ne reversal kiya aur 158.574 resistance level ki taraf move kiya. Monday ka buy signal realize hua, jab qeemat 158.574 ke resistance level tak pahunchi. Yeh level aage ki qeemat mein izafa karne ke liye ek rukawat bana.

Qeemat is resistance level ke ird gird ghoomti rahi bina kisi clear breakout ke. Yeh consolidation ka dor dikhata hai ke market kisi bhi direction mein move karne ki tayyari kar rahi hai. 158.574 ka resistance tod gaya, aur ek naya buy signal nazar aaya, jo qeemat ko agle resistance level 160.319 ki taraf push karta hai. Yeh buy signal jaldi hi realize hua jab qeemat ne 160.319 ke resistance level ko test kiya. Phir qeemat thodi si peeche hui lekin uncha hone par taqat dikhati rahi. Phir se 158.574 ke support level ko test karne ke baad, qeemat ne rebound kiya aur aakhir kar 160.319 ke resistance level ko tod diya, is breakout ko confirm karte hue.

Ab ek naya buy signal nazar aaya, jo agle resistance 162.885 ko target kar raha hai. Yeh buy signal Monday ke liye valid hai, jahan agla target resistance level 162.885 hai. Traders ko aage aur buying opportunities talash karni chahiye, khas taur par agar qeemat 160.319 ke level se upar taqat dikhati hai, jo bullish continuation ko confirm karega.

EUR/JPY Analysis Update

H4 HOUR

Is hafte ke trading daur mein EurJPY bazar ka jo haal hai, wo abhi bhi kharidaaron ke control mein hai, jo pehle ke hafton ki tarah nahi hai. Pichle hafte ke weekly time frame mein, mujhe lagta hai ke ek bearish candlestick bana hai, jo yeh ishara hai ke price shayad mazeed correction ka shikar ho sakti hai, lekin kal raat se bazar ne upar ki taraf chalna shuru kar diya hai. Is hafte ka bazar 158.74 se khula hai, aur ab tak price ne 160.18 tak ki rally dekhi hai.

Agar hum 4-ghante ke time frame ka jaiza lein, to mujhe lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon mein bazar bullish taraf chalne ka mauqa rakh raha hai. Kam se kam EurJPY jor mein abhi bhi upar jane ka mauqa hai. Meri prediction hai ke price abhi bhi upar jaana chahti hai aur ek aham asar ko trigger kar sakti hai taake candlestick 100-period simple moving average zone se door ja sake.




Wahin agar hum chhote time frame, yani 1 ghante ka jaiza lein, to ye saaf hai ke bazar consolidation kar raha hai, jo strong momentum ka intezaar kar raha hai taake uptrend ka safar jaari rakh sake. Upar di gayi baaton se hum ye nikaal sakte hain ke trading ke liye, EurJPY jor ke price ke paas bullish safar jaari rakhne ka mauqa hai, jiska target lagbhag 161.25 zone ke aas-paas hai. Agar ye target zone cross hota hai, to kharidaaron se ummeed hai ke wo price ko 162.43 zone tak le jaane ki koshish karein ge.

EUR/JPY ANALYSIS

D1 Period Chart

Chaliye D1 period chart ka jaiza lete hain - EURJPY currency pair ka. Yahan wave structure ne neeche ki taraf apna order banana shuru kiya hai. MACD indicator abhi bhi lower sales zone mein hai aur aakhri girawat ke baad dobara gir raha hai. Yeh samjha gaya tha ke agar descending resistance line ko upar ki taraf toota jata hai, to shayad kuch growth ho sakti hai, aur phir horizontal resistance level 160.37 ke aas-paas. Aur waqai mein, kuch growth hui, jo din ke chhote periods mein kaafi thi. Lekin jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, unhoon ne kharidaaron ko dhoka diya, wo puri yaqeen se upar gaye, sabhi purchases ko activate kiya, phir neeche gir gaye aur resistance level 160.37 ka false breakout mila.




Saath hi, CCI indicator ne bhi girawat ka ishara diya, jo upper overheating zone se neeche gaya. Iske ilawa, is indicator mein bearish convergence hai - ek sell signal. EURUSD pair ab apne maximum se girna shuru kar chuka hai aur aisa lagta hai ke yeh girawat ko aage badhane par focus kar raha hai. USDJPY pair bhi neeche ki taraf jaane ki taraf zyada hai, yahan downward trend hai. Aur yeh pair euro aur yen ka hissa hai; euro kamzori dikhata hai jabke dollar taqatwar hai, is liye yahan aane wale waqt mein downward movement zyada mumkin hai.

Chhote periods mein kaam karne ki tactics sirf neeche ki taraf hain jab rollbacks aur sales ke mutabiq formations ban rahe hain. Girawat ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai, aur kafi space hai. Pichhli dafa hum August ka minimum nahi pahunche the aur September ka minimum lagbhag 154.80 ke same level par tha. Ab kuch bhi asal mein price ko neeche jaane aur is mark ko update karne se nahi rok raha. Mujhe yahan kisi bhi qabil-e-zikar growth ke liye koi wajah nazar nahi aati hai, lekin ye market hai aur kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Lekin filhal main downward scenario par hi dekh raha hoon.

EUR/JPY Analysis

Filhal euro Japanese yen ke muqable mein kamzori ke asar dikhata hua nazar aa raha hai, jahan EUR/JPY pair lagbhag 160.70 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh girawat zyada tar Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish bayanat ki wajah se hai, jinhon ne yen ko mazid mazboot kiya hai aur euro ko kamzor kar diya hai. Ueda ne ye dohraaya ke agar inflation 2% ke target se upar rehta hai, to wo interest rates badhane ka iraada rakhte hain. Economists is saal ek rate hike ki umeed kar rahe hain, lekin yeh zyada mumkin hai ke yeh December mein ho, na ke October mein. BOJ ki taraf se mazeed monetary tightening ke speculation ne yen ko support diya hai, jisne euro par dabao daala hai.

Is beech, Eurozone mein investors Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) ka data release hone ka intezar kar rahe the. Yeh inflation report yeh jaankari dene ki umeed thi ke European Central Bank (ECB) ka interest rate ka faisla September mein kya hoga. Inflation ka August mein saalana rate 2.3% tak kam hone ki umeed hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke ECB shayad is saal ke baaki hisson mein rates ko aur bhi kam karta rahe. Is anticipation ne euro par bechne ka pressure daala hai. ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne bhi yeh baat kahi ke Eurozone ki kamzor economy aur kam hoti inflation, ECB ke liye interest rates ko mazeed kam karne ka mauqa mazboot karte hain.




EUR/JPY pair ne July mein tezi se bechne ka silsila dekha, jab yeh 32 saal ki unchai 175.41 se gir kar 154.34 tak pahunch gaya tha 6 August ko. Tab se, yeh pair recovery karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin iska upar ki taraf ka momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke paas ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish jazbat barqarar rehte hain, to nazdeek ka support level 160.40 rukawat bana sakta hai. Mazeed girawat February ke minimum 158.06 tak pahuncha sakti hai. Agar yeh pair 158.06 se upar nahi reh pata, to yeh January ka minimum 155.05 ko challenge kar sakta hai aur shayad August 6 ko set kiya gaya 2024 ka low 154.34 tak bhi wapas aa sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar yeh pair 200-day SMA ko cross kar leta hai, to yeh recovery ka ek mauqa de sakta hai. March ka resistance level 165.34 bulls ke liye ek significant rukawat hai. Is resistance ko paar karne ke liye, bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 se upar le jaana hoga, jo ek sustained upward move ka ishara de sakta hai.

In natije mein, EUR/JPY pair ka mauqa mix nazar aa raha hai, jahan technical levels aur central bank ki policies iski aane wali disha tay karengi. Traders ko in factors par nazar rakhni hogi taake wo potential opportunities ka faida utha sakein.

JPY 159.50 ka support maintain karne mein nakam hota hai, toh traders ka focus aglay critical support level par shift hona chahiye, jo ke January ka low, yani 159.37 hai. Agar EUR/JPY 160.30 se neeche break karta hai, toh yeh growing bearish pressure ka clear signal hoga. Yeh level pehle bhi ahmiyat rakhta tha, aur iske neeche break ka matlab hoga ke sellers market par control hasil kar rahe hain. Is region mein price action ko monitor karna traders ke liye intehai zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh aglay downward movement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar EUR/JPY 160.30 se neeche break karta hai aur girawat jari rehti hai, toh yeh bearish momentum ke mazid strong hone ka pata dega, aur aage aur bhi girawat ki umeed barh jati hai. Agar yeh bearish trend 159.57 se neeche jata hai, toh yeh market mein aur bhi deep losses ka indication hoga. Jo traders downward trend ki confirmation dhoond rahe hain, unke liye 159.57 se neeche ka sustained move ek strong signal hoga ke mazid selling pressure aane wala hai. Agar price 159.50 ke level ko hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek bearish shift ko confirm karega, jo ke mazid downtrend ko janam de sakta hai.

Aaj ke din, EUR/JPY pair ECB ke decision se pehle positive momentum dikhara hai, jab ke Japanese yen mein monthly low se recovery ke baad thori si weakness hai. Expected hai ke ECB apni September monetary policy meeting ke baad 25 basis point ka rate cut announce karega. Yeh is dafa ki easing cycle ka dosra adjustment hoga. Lekin traders ko updated economic forecasts par bhi tawajju deni hogi. Saath hi, ECB ki President Christine Lagarde ke comments post-meeting press conference mein bhi common currency aur EUR/JPY pair ke short-term trajectory ko influence kar sakte hain.

Eurozone central bank ke upcoming events se pehle, Japan ke weak PPI (Producer Price Index) data ne Bank of Japan ke hawkish signals ko undermine kar diya hai, jiski wajah se Japanese yen ki selling hui hai. Dar haqeeqat, Japan ka core PPI August mein 0.2% decline hua, aur annual rate bhi expectations se zyada gira, July ke 3.0% se gir ke 2.5% par aa gaya. EUR/JPY pair abhi bearish trend mein hai, aur price takreeban 157.72 par trade kar raha hai. Magar, technical aur fundamental factors dono yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke aglay chand dinon mein ek bara movement ho sakta hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels, aur ECB ya BoJ ke announcements par ghaur se nazar rakhni chahiye

EURJPY ke hourly chart par, Euro Yen ne aaj se shuru hone wale din mein girawat ka silsila shuru kiya. Yeh 155.630 ka support level ke neeche gir gaya, lekin yeh sirf ek jhooti sell signal tha. Is jhooti break ke baad, ek buy signal nikaala gaya, jo ke Monday ko tha, jo ke 158.574 ke resistance tak chala gaya. Yeh buy signal Tuesday ko confirm ho gaya.
Wednesday ko, price is resistance ke qareeb trade ki, aur Thursday ko, yeh is resistance ko todte hue aage badh gaya, jisse ek aur buy signal mila jo ke 160.319 ke resistance tak tha. Yeh signal Thursday ko dobara confirm ho gaya. Price ne Thursday ko is level se rebound kiya aur Friday ko 158.574 ke support tak pahuncha.

Friday ko, price ne is support se upar ki taraf bounce kiya aur 160.319 ke resistance ko tod diya, jisse is resistance ka breakout confirm ho gaya. Ab ek buy signal nikalta hai jo ke 162.885 ke resistance tak jaane ke liye hai, aur yeh buy signal aane wale Monday ke liye valid hai.

Is waqt, EURJPY ka trend dekhte hue yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke price movements kaise support aur resistance levels ke aas paas hoti hain. Har ek level, chahe wo support ho ya resistance, market ki psychology ko darshata hai. Jab price kisi resistance ko todta hai, yeh investors aur traders ke liye ek positive signal hota hai, jab ke support level ke neeche girna aksar negative perception ko janm deta hai.

Ab jab ke EURJPY ne 160.319 ke resistance ko tod diya hai, iski momentum ko dekhte hue aisa lagta hai ke price 162.885 tak pahunchega. Is scenario mein, traders ko chahiye ke wo apni positions ko samjhdari se manage karein, aur market ke fluctuations ke liye tayyar rahen.

Yeh bhi samajhna chahiye ke market mein volatility kabhi kabhi unexpected movements la sakti hai. Isliye, stop-loss orders ka istemal karna bhi ek acha strategy hai taake risk ko kam kiya ja sake. Aane wale dinon mein, market ka reaction 162.885 ke resistance par dekhna bhi maamool ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh ek critical level hoga jo price direction ko tay karega.

In sab analysis ke sath, traders ko chahiye ke wo apne research aur technical indicators ko istemal karein, taake informed decisions le sakein aur market ke dynamics ko behtar samajh sakein

/JPY pair ki asal harkat US trading session ke doran shuru hui, jo ke European session mein dekhi gayi sookhi price action se kaafi mukhtalif thi. European session ke doran, price mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi aayi, yeh ek narrow range mein rahi aur 159.89 se 159.51 ke darmiyan maujood ek aham support/resistance zone ko nazarandaaz kiya. Yeh range, jo aam tor par traders ke liye aham isharaat faraham karti hai, trading din ke shuruati hisson mein respect nahi hui, jis se traders ko pehle se saaf positions tay karna mushkil ho gaya.
European session ke dauran jo traders mauqe talash kar rahe the unhein volatility aur saaf price direction ki kami ke wajah se mushkilat ka samna karna pada. 159.89-159.51 area par react nahi karna iska matlab tha ke traders ke paas actionable signals ki kami thi. Yeh sookhi price behavior bohot se traders ko sidelines par rehne par majboor kar diya, jo breakout ya kisi form ki directional clarity ka intezar kar rahe the. Jab market ne is aham price zone ko respect nahi kiya, positions bohot se European session ke liye hold par rahi.

US trading session tak market ne zyada dynamic harkat dikhana shuru kiya. Price action zyada numayan ho gaya, jo traders ko market mein enter karne ke mauqe faraham kar raha tha. Lekin, US session ke doran hone wali tez girawat ko pehle se andaza lagana mushkil tha. Market sentiment mein achanak badlav ne bohot se logon ko hairaan kar diya, kyunki is se pehle is tarah ki girawat ke liye koi saaf nishan nahi mile the

t, market uptrend mein hai, jo resistance level 162.70 ko tor kar upar jaa raha hai. Is chart mein hum dekh sakte hain ke market resistance ko torne ke bajaye ek trend line ko follow kar raha hai. Market history dikhati hai ke market trend line ke upO weak buy signal de raha hai, aur price peechlay din ki trading range se neeche hai. Signals weak hain, magar yeh thoda decline ki imkaniyat dikhate hain. Is liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke pair support level 155.40 ko phir se test karega. Analysis ki buniyad pe, filhal ehtiyaat ke sath 155.50 ka target rakh kar sale karna behtar rahega. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak tabdeel bhi ho sakta hai, is liye apne risks ko ache tareeke se assess karein. Asal mein, hamara forecast current EUR/JPY asset ke liye lagbhagar move kar chuka hai. Yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf guide karti rahegi. Market ne system level se break kiya, upar aur neeche gaya, resistance ko support mein badla, aur phir se upar chala gaya. Filhaal, 50-day simple moving average market ke 161.55 ke neeche hai, jo takreeban hamara support level hai. Hamara 200-day simple moving average market ke neeche hai, aur hamara pehla support 160.20 pe hai. RSI indicator 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai, yaani ke 75 ke aas-paas. Market waqai neeche ja raha hai, aur humare paas sahi indicators hain jo is baat ko sabit karte hain. Market mein mazeed growth ki umeed hai EUR/JPY currency pair ke prospects technical analysis ki buniyad pe. Hum resistance aur suppo levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par khaas tawajju dein ge. Chaliye chart ko dekhein: Pair ne aaj phir se thora neeche move kiya hai. Yeh jew growth nahi dikhana chahta, aur aaj phir se neeche ja raha hai. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne support level 155.40 ko test kiya aur ab yeh 156.59 pe trade ho raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai aur neeche ki taraf bemani nazar aa raha

bohot hi impulsive decline ka samna karne ke baad 158.06 ke low prices tak pohanchi. Price ke upar ki taraf move karne ka potential, correction phase ke taur par, FR 50 - 160.75 ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo SBR area ke sath bhi hai, ya phir FR 61.8 - 161.38 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, price ko EMA 50 ya SMA 200 ke neeche phir se move karna hoga taake bearish trend continue rahe. Kam se kam price ko FR 38.2 - 160.11 ke neeche consistently move karna chahiye, kyunki agar price downward rally ko continue karne mein nakam rahti hai, toh trend direction change hone ka andaza lagaya jata hai.
Bari structure ki baat karein, toh yeh abhi bhi lower low - lower high ki halat mein hai, kyunki high prices 163.81 par structure break nahi hua hai, jo ke sab se nazdeek invalidation level hai. Price jo kuch hafton tak upar gayi, sirf 163.43 ke high prices tak hi pahunche. Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhein, jiska volume histogram ab bhi level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, toh yeh uptrend momentum EUR/JPY pair ki upar ki taraf correction ko support karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ki taraf ja rahe hain, lekin level 50 ko cross karne mein nakam rahe, yeh bhi price ke upward correction phase ko support karte hain. Yeh is liye hai kyunki saturation point ab tak nahi pahuncha, kyunki parameters overbought zone ko cross nahi kiye hain

Trading options ke liye re-entry SELL position tab rakhne ki koshish karni chahiye jab price ka upward correction FR 50 - 160.75 tak pahunche, jo SBR area ke sath bhi hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke trend direction abhi bhi bearish hai aur death cross signal kaafi fresh nazar aata hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ko cross karne ka intezar karna hoga. AO indicator ka volume histogram jo uptrend momentum dikhata hai, level 0 ke nazdeek aur red hone par kamzor hona chahiye. FR 23.6 - 159.33 ko sab se nazdeek aur door take profit target ke taur par istemal kiya jayega, jabke stop loss FR 61.8 - 161.38 se FR 70.5 - 161.85 ke beech rakhna chahiye.

correction kafi lamba chala hai aur yeh expect karna ke market seedha collapse ho jaye, bilkul maqool nahi lagta. Hum dheere dheere upar ja rahe hain, smoothly aur bina kisi interruption ke, aur filhaal koi impulsive move ki zarurat bhi nahi hai. Recent price ka MA se bounce karna noteworthy hai, aur yeh recovery continue hone ka ek strong signal de raha hai. Haan, kuch bearish candles bhi hain lekin woh size ma kaafi choti hain aur unka koi significant impact nahi lagta, in par ziada dhyan dene ki zarurat nahi. Upar resistance bhi koi significant nahi hai, aur lagta nahi ke price yahan ruke ga. Ho sakta hai ke ek temporary halt aaye, lekin woh bhi ek ya do din se ziada nahi chale ga, bina kisi major pullback ke. Agar correction aata hai, aur wo bhi accha khasa, jaisay ke ek pin bar ya kuch bearish candles, to around 158.40 ke aas paas buying ka moka ban sakta hai. Yeh zone kaafi strong hai aur yahan se ek acha bounce expect kiya ja sakta hai, target 160.80 tak ho sakta hai.
Lekin agar price wahan se reverse hota hai aur downward move continue karta hai, to pehla target 156.93 ke neeche ho ga. Agar bears 153.03 tak push karne mai kamiyab ho jate hain, to ek aur strong support test ho sakta hai. Filhaal, jab tak price MA 46 se neeche hai, sales relevant rahengi. Agar market wapas MA 46 ki taraf jata hai to sales ki relevance kam ho jayegi. Mai suggest karta hoon ke sales ko 156.93 ke neeche consider kiya jaye.
Inflation data ke baad, jo Eurozone ki expectations ke mutabiq tha, EUR/JPY ne 161.00 tak ka jump liya. Germany aur Spain se pehle data ne yeh bataya ke inflation kam ho rahi hai,
EUR/JPY market sellers ke haq mein move karega, aur ho sakta hai ke 155.80 level tak pohch jaye. Yeh forecast is assumption par mabni hai ke German ZEW Economic Sentiment release ek aisa market environment banayega jo downward move ke liye favorable ho. Yeh economic indicator bohot ahem hota hai, is liye jab yeh data release ho to ek strong news strategy adopt karna zaroori hai. Is strategy mein market reaction ko closely monitor