یورو / جاپانی ین: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

**EUR/JPY/H1**

Friday ko EURJPY currency pair ka movement kaafi tezi se gira, jo 170.40 se 169.34 tak gaya. EURJPY currency pair mein yeh decline euro currency exchange rate ke yen ke muqable mein kamzor hone ki wajah se tha, jab France ka flash manufacturing PMI 45.3 tak gir gaya aur Germany ka flash manufacturing bhi 43.4 tak kam ho gaya, jiski wajah se EURJPY 100 pips gir gaya. Magar, Friday raat ko EURJPY ka movement kaafi significant tor par 140 pips tak barh gaya, yeh izafa yen exchange rate ke euro currency ke muqable mein kamzor hone ki wajah se hua jab Japan ka National Core CPI 2.5% tak gir gaya aur Japan ka Flash Manufacturing PMI bhi 50.1 tak kam ho gaya, jiski wajah se EURJPY movement 170.85 tak barh gaya. Mere fundamental analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, EURJPY ka ainday ka movement ab bhi BUY EURJPY ki taraf lagta hai jo ke 171.00 tak ja sakta hai.

EURJPY ka ongoing rally ab bhi Awesome Oscillator (AO) aur Stochastic indicators se support ho raha hai. Jab red histogram green histogram se squeeze ho gaya with wider volume, yeh upward trend momentum ka saucer signal deta hai. Aur, parameter level 50 ko pass nahi kar saka aur phir level 50 aur level 20 ke beech cross kiya. Yeh dikhata hai ke rally ko barhawa milne ki scope ab bhi hai jab ke parameter jo overbought zone mein enter karega 90-80 level par, abhi cross nahi hua. Yeh over-buying ka sign hai.

**EUR/JPY/H1**

Trading options jo ab bhi bullish trend mein hain aur ek break in structure ho gaya hai, tou ek BUY position primary choice rahegi. Position entry point resistance (R1) 168.83 aur do moving average lines ke ird gird liya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ke histogram ne saucer signal ki mojoodgi ko confirm kiya hai jo ek upward rally ka continuation signal hai. Dusri taraf, Stochastic indicator ko level 80 aur level 50 ke beech mein doosra parameter crossing ka intezar karna pad sakta hai as confirmation. Resistance (R2) 171.26 ko take profit place karne ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai aur pivot point (PP) 168.65 ko stop loss ke tor par.

### EURJPY D1 Period Chart Analysis

**Pichle Trading Week Ki Halat**

D1 period chart ko ek baar phir se dekhte hain - EURJPY currency pair ke hawale se. Pichle trading week mein, sellers ka control lagbhag poori tarah se tha. Sirf hafte ke shuruat mein thoda uchaayi dekhi gayi, aur phir poore hafte ke dauran decline dekha gaya. Kuch dinon mein intraday rollbacks bhi huye, magar har baar sellers ne price ko niche ki taraf gira diya. Wave structure apni downward order mein ban rahi hai, aur MACD indicator phir se lower sales zone mein aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Mere khayal se, decline general downward trend ke sath continue karega, aur decline ka target pichle August ka minimum level ho sakta hai.

**Chhoti Time Periods Par Working Tactics**

Chhoti time periods par kaam karte waqt, sirf downward trend ke formations pe focus rakhna chahiye. Shayad, hum turant niche nahi jaayenge, kyunki CCI indicator ki position lower overheating zone mein hai. Decline se pehle, ek corrective growth ho sakti hai jo nearest strong resistance level 160.45 tak pahunch sakti hai. Agar yeh rollback hoti hai, toh is level ke paas M15 jaise chhote time period par sale ke formations ko dekha ja sakta hai, jahan support resistance mein badal sakta hai. Phir aap lower level par entry le sakte hain jo higher level ke basis par ho.

**General Trading Approach**

General approach yeh honi chahiye ke lower levels par entries ki jayein jo higher levels se supported ho. Lekin buying se parhez karna chahiye kyunki chhoti rollback ke baad price general trend ke sath niche ja sakti hai, khaaskar jab euro market mein weaken hone lag gaya hai.

**Future Prospects**

Agar pichle August ke low ka renewal hota hai, toh MACD indicator par bullish divergence ka signal mil sakta hai jo aage ke growth ke liye indication dega. Magar yeh future ka matter hai aur abhi se iske baare mein baat karna thoda jaldi hai.

**Recent Price Movements**

Pichle do dinon mein, price ko niche ki taraf press kiya gaya hai, jaise ke expected tha. In observations ke sath, trading strategy ko carefully plan karna chahiye, aur sirf well-supported levels par entries lene chahiye jo overall trend ke sath align ho.

Yeh analysis aapko EURJPY ke current trend aur potential movements ke bare mein insight deta hai, aur aapko apni trading decisions ko accordingly adjust karne mein madad karega.

EUR/JPY ke H1 chart par Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karke dekha gaya hai ke kuch ahem bearish signals saamne aaye hain. Ibtida mein price Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar thi, jo bullish momentum ka izhar tha. Magar abhi haal mein price Tenkan-sen line ke neeche aa chuki hai, jo ek kamzor hoti hui trend ko zahir karta hai. Saath hi, price Kumo cloud ko tor kar neeche gir chuki hai, jo yeh batata hai ke bearish pressure mein kaafi izafa ho gaya hai. Yeh breakdown yeh mazid darust karta hai ke EUR/JPY pair neeche girna jaari rakh sakta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi is bearish nazar ka tasdeeq karta hai. Filhal, stochastic lines neeche ki taraf ishara kar rahi hain, jo downward momentum ko zahir karti hain. Yeh lines oversold area ke qareeb hain, takriban 20 level ke paas, jo yeh batata hai ke downward pressure to hai, magar market ab oversold halat mein dakhil ho raha hai. Agar price extreme lows ko choo leta hai to ek reversal aasakta hai, magar philhal bearish trend dominant hai. Ek aur ahem baat jo zehan mein rakhni chahiye woh yeh hai ke price abhi apne halya lows ke qareeb hai, aur agar price 171.58 ka qareebi support level tor deta hai, to aur zyada girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Magar stochastic indicator yeh ehtiyaat ka mashwara deta hai ke market oversold halat mein hai, jo ek temporary upward correction ka sabab ban sakta hai. H1 timeframe par ek triple top pattern bhi dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh pattern ek classic reversal signal hota hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market apni direction badal sakta hai jab yeh ek hi resistance level ko teen martaba test karne ke bawajood break nahi kar pata. Yeh pattern bearish sentiment ko mazid taqat deta hai, kyun ke yeh aksar girawat se pehle nazar aata hai. Is analysis ke madde nazar, traders ke liye yeh behtar hoga ke woh sell positions par focus karein. In sell positions ka target qareebi support level 171.58 par set karna chahiye. Yeh level current bearish momentum aur technical indicators ke hawalay se ek logical target hai. Risk management ke liye, stop loss qareebi resistance level par lagana chahiye, jo ke 174.79 ke aas paas hai. Yeh level kisi bhi unexpected upward movement ke khilaf ek safeguard ka kaam karega aur market ke achanak reverse hone ki surat mein losses se bachayega.

EURJPY ka market lagatar upar ki taraf barh raha hai aur din-ba-din bulls majboot hotay ja rahe hain. Aaj ke tez raftar financial environment mein, ongoing market trends ko follow karna bohot zaroori hai. Aaj ke din market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo ek asset ke liye increased demand ka darshaata hai, khaaskar forex ya stock trading ke context mein. Jab market buyer-dominant hoti hai, to yeh upward price movements ka faida uthane ke liye ek range of opportunities provide karta hai.
Is halat mein, sellers ko mushkil ka saamna karna padta hai. Jab market buyers ke haq mein hota hai, to prevailing price action ke chalte sellers ko viable entry points milna mushkil hota hai. Ek sell entry ka matlab hai ki aap asset ke price ke girne par bet kar rahe hain. Lekin jab market mein buying pressure prices ko upar ki taraf push kar raha hota hai, to decline hone ki probability kam ho jati hai. Is wajah se, sell entries kam attractive aur potentially detrimental ban jati hain.

EURJPY ke liye, ho sakta hai ke market phir se 158.85 level ko test kare. Is scenario mein, sellers naturally bearish indicators dhoondhte hain, jaise ke weakening price support, overbought conditions, ya koi aise factors jo price ke girne ke izhaar karte hain. Lekin is waqt ki conditions sellers ke liye favorable nahi hain. Sabhi signals yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke market mein buyers dominate kar rahe hain aur upward momentum aur bhi barh raha hai.

Technical analysis ke zariye, agar hum EURJPY ke daily aur hourly charts ko dekhein, to yeh pata chalta hai ke short-term aur long-term trends dono buyers ke haq mein hain. Daily chart par agar hum dekhen, to long-term uptrend clear hai, jahan price consistently upar ja rahi hai. Hourly chart par bhi, short-term fluctuations ke bawajood, overall trend bullish hi nazar aata hai.

Is situation mein, traders ko apne strategies ko market ke dominant trend ke saath align karna chahiye. Buyers ko is upward movement ka faida uthane ke liye opportunities mil rahi hain, jabke sellers ko cautious rehkar aur market indicators ko dhyan se dekh kar hi decisions lena chahiye. Overall, EURJPY ki current scenario mein, buying pressure aur bullish signals ke chalte buyers ka dominance barh raha hai aur upward trend continue ho raha hai

EUR/JPY pair ne Wednesday ko decline dekha, jo ke August 5 ke Asian session ke baad se lowest level par aa gaya. Is downward movement ko kai factors ne influence kiya, jismein US inflation data ke aane se pehle market caution, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke hawkish comments, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke expected interest rate cut shamil hain. Jaise-jaise US inflation data release ke qareeb aata gaya, investors zyada cautious ho gaye, kyunki yeh data Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cuts ke baare mein insights provide karega. Weaker equity market tone aur yen mein safe-haven flows ne EUR/JPY par downward pressure ko aur bhi badhaya.

BOJ ke Governing Council member, Junko Nagakawa, ne hawkish comments kiye, jismein unhone kaha ke real interest rates ab bhi deeply negative hain aur monetary conditions ab bhi loose hain. Unhone suggest kiya ke BOJ apne monetary easing ko adjust kar sakti hai agar economic aur price trends unki expectations ke saath align karte hain. Dusri taraf, ECB ka September meeting mein interest rates cut karna expected hai, eurozone inflation ke easing ko dekhte hue. ECB aur BOJ ke darmiyan is monetary policies ki divergence ne EUR/JPY pair ko aur bhi pressure mein daala. Yen ki strength ko Japan ke sabse bade manufacturers ke business confidence mein decline se bhi support mila, jo September mein seven-month low par aa gaya. Lekin, isne EUR/JPY cross ke liye significant support provide nahi kiya.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to EUR/JPY pair ko 162.30 level par resistance ka saamna karna pad raha hai, jo ke downward range 175.37 se 154.40 tak ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Bulls ke liye ek zyada important battle psychological level 164.00 par ho sakti hai, jo ke 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath overlap karta hai. Technical indicators mixed hain: RSI downward direction ko indicate kar raha hai aur MACD apne positive momentum ko extend kar raha hai. Agar price 162.30 ke upar close hoti hai, to 164.00 ki taraf battle shuru hogi, jo shayad further gains ko lead kare.

EUR/JPY ka jo jorh hai, usne Wednesday ko girawat dekhi, aur August 5 ke Asian session ke baad se sabse neeche level tak pohnch gaya. Is downward movement ke peeche kuch wajahien thi, jaise ke US inflation data ke aane se pehle market ki cautiousness, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke hawkish comments, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke expected interest rate cut. Investors zyada cautious ho gaye the kyunki US inflation data ke release ke qareeb aa gaya tha, jo ke Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cuts ke baare mein insights provide karega. Weaker equity market tone aur yen ki taraf safe-haven flows ne EUR/JPY par downward pressure ko aur barhaya.

BOJ ke Governing Council ki member, Junko Nagakawa, ne hawkish comments diye, ye kehkar ke real interest rates ab bhi deeply negative hain aur monetary conditions abhi bhi loose hain. Unhone suggest kiya ke BOJ apne monetary easing ko adjust kar sakti hai agar economic aur price trends unke expectations ke saath align karte hain. Iske muqable mein, ECB ke expected interest rate cut hai September meeting mein, kyunki eurozone inflation me easing dekhne ko mili hai. ECB aur BOJ ke beech is monetary policy ka farq EUR/JPY pair par aur wazan daal raha hai. Yen ki strength ko Japan ke sabse bade manufacturers ke beech business confidence ke decline se bhi support mila, jo ke September mein saath mahine ke low tak gir gaya. Lekin, ye EUR/JPY cross ko zyada support nahi de paya.

Technical nazar se, EUR/JPY pair ko 162.30 level par resistance ka samna karna pad raha hai, jo ke 175.37 se 154.40 tak ke downward range ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Bulls ke liye ek zyada important battle 164.00 ke psychological level par ho sakti hai, jo ke 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath overlap karta hai. Technical indicators mixed hain, jahan RSI downward ki taraf point kar raha hai aur MACD apni positive momentum ko extend kar raha hai. Agar price 162.30 ke upar close karti hai, to 164.00 ki taraf battle shuru ho sakti hai, jo further gains ki taraf le ja sakti hai.

EUR/JPY ka aaj ka technical analysis hai. Hum trend lines, indicators, aur resistance aur support levels ka istemal karte hue market ka direction ka taayun karenge, aur yeh H4 time frame ka analysis hai. Abhi ke liye, market ek uptrend mein hai, aur 162.70 ka resistance break karke ooper ki taraf jaa raha hai. Is chart par hum dekh rahe hain ke market resistance ko break karne ke bajaye ek trend line ka jawab de raha hai. Market history yeh dikhati hai ke market trend line ke ooper move kar chuka hai. Yeh trend line market ko ooper ki taraf guide karti rahegi. Market ne system level se breakout kiya, ooper aur neeche gaya, resistance ko support mein badal diya, aur phir dobara upar chala gaya. Abhi 50-day simple moving average market ke 161.55 ke neeche hai, jo humara qareebi support level hai. Hamara 200-day simple moving average market ke neeche hai, aur humara initial support 160.20 par hai. RSI indicator 30 aur 70, ya 75 ke darmiyan hai. Market waqai mein gir raha hai, aur humare paas is baat ka saboot dene wale indicators hain. Market mein mazeed growth ki umeed hai. EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive dinon tak rehte hue bullish breakout ka potential dikhaya hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo ek upward move ka possibility support karte hain.
Euro against Japanese yen pair, jo pichle hafte gir gaya tha, ab dheere dheere apni position recover kar raha hai. Overall, markets panic mein kaafi neeche gir gayi thi, to chahe fundamentals isko support na karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke prices is decline ka significant hissa recover kar sakti hain. Haan, higher timeframes pe dekhte hue trend downward hi hai, lekin chhote timeframes pe kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain. EUR/JPY pair ke liye, long positions tab open ki ja sakti hain agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehne mein kamyab ho jati hai. Agar pair neeche jata hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 pe hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur buying ke entry points wahan se dhoonde ja sakte hain, preferably ek signal ki base pe rather than ek limit order.

EUR/JPY ki Price Movement

EUR/JPY currency pair ki movement aaj dopahar tak abhi bhi apne bullish trend ko continue kar rahi hai, jo is Monday ko 161.00 ki price tak pohanch sakti hai. Aaj EUR/JPY currency pair mein izafa us wajah se hai ke yen ki exchange rate euro ke muqable mein kamzor hui hai, jab se Japan mein M2 Money Stock ke data mein 0.2% ki kami aayi hai aur Nikkei index mein 7,500 points ki girawat ne EURJPY ko mustaqbil mein 161.00 ki price tak barhane mein madad ki hai. Iske ilawa, Euro ki value mein bhi mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai kyunke Germany ka CPI abhi bhi kaafi uncha hai, jo ke 0.3% ke natije mein saamne aaya hai aur German WPI mein bhi 0.1% ka izafa hua hai jis ki wajah se Euro currency is Monday ko mazeed mazbooti ki taraf rujhaan rakhti hai. Mere fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY currency pair ki movement ke liye maine faisla kiya hai ke EUR/JPY ko 161.00 ki price tak BUY kiya jaye. Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, EURJPY currency pair ki movement aaj dopahar tak abhi bhi umeed hai ke 161.00 ki price tak phir se barhe gi. Yeh is liye kyunke H1 time frame mein EURJPY currency pair ki movement ne ek bullish engulfing candle banai hai, jo EUR/JPY ko 161.00 ki price tak BUY karne ke liye ek bohat mazboot signal hai. Iske ilawa, mere monitoring ke mutabiq RSI 14 indicator par, yeh pata chalta hai ke EUR/JPY ki price 160.75 par abhi overbought nahi hui hai, yani khareedari abhi itni zyada nahi hui ke price ruk jaye, is liye bohot imkaan hai ke aaj EUR/JPY mein 10-50 pips ka mazeed izafa hoga. BUY EUR/JPY ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke istemal se bhi support hota hai, kyunke jab EUR/JPY ki price 160.50 ke aas paas thi, toh yeh apne RBS area mein thi, is liye bohot imkaan hai ke European market mein khareedaar dobara EURJPY ko 161.10 ki price tak khareeden ge. Mere technical analysis ke natije mein, maine faisla kiya hai ke EUR/JPY ko mustaqbil mein 161.10 ki price tak BUY kiya jaye. Iss analysis ko finalize karne se pehle, technical indicators ka jaiza lete hain. Relative Strength Index (14) ki Lime line level 70 ke aas paas hai, jo ongoing bullish movement ka signal de rahi hai. Iske ilawa, MACD histogram zero ke upar hai lambi bar ke sath, jo mazeed upward momentum ko zahir karta hai. Peeli point wali MACD signal line bhi upwards trend kar rahi hai. Yellow Simple Moving Average 60 abhi bhi red Simple Moving Average 150 ke upar hai, jo EUR/JPY ke liye bullish trend ko mazbooti deta hai. Yeh indicators yeh zahir karte hain ke market mein bullish rujhaan qaim rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe charts ke mutabiq, zyada indicators upward trend ke sath milte hain. Is liye, yeh munasib hai ke price barhni jari rahe. Iss se faida uthane ke liye, bullish trend ke direction mein trade karne ka sochna chahiye. BUY trade ka behtar entry point tab hoga jab price 162.60 tak pohanchti hai, kyunke yeh level ek mazeed mazboot upward movement ka signal de sakta hai. Agar price 163.10 tak barhti hai, toh mazeed 163.60 tak pohanchne ke imkaanat mazboot ho jate hain. Yeh EUR/JPY currency pair ke liye Tuesday ke trading journal update ka khulasa hai. Umeed hai ke yeh maloomat aap ke liye mufeed sabit hogi aur Investsocial forum ke members ke liye ek qeemati trading reference ke tor par kaam ayegi. Sab ke liye mazeed kamyabi aur is haftay ke liye ziyada munafa kamane ki dua karta hoon

EUR/JPY pair ki daily chart par aik naya support level tor diya gaya hai, jo ke aane walay dino mein mazeed girawat ki nishandahi karta hai.

Pair ki daily chart par humne pichlay se pichlay mahine ke dauran ek mazboot downward wave dekhi thi, phir qeemat pichlay mahine ke dauran sideways move hui, aur yeh mumkin tha ke is mahine ke aaghaz mein qeemat ka behavior aglay rujhan ka taayun karega. Qeemat ne mahine ke pivot level ke upar trading shuru ki aur saath hi aik price channel ke andar sideways rukh mein thi, jo ke pichlay mahine ke dauran qeemat ki harkat ko dikhata hai. Qeemat barh gayi aur phir girawat shuru hui.

Qeemat ki girawat ke dauran, is ne mahine ke pivot level aur laal channel ko bhi tor diya, aur issi tarah qeemat ek downward trend mein aa gayi hai, jahan pehli support level 155.94 ka level hai.

Maashi side par, EUR/JPY ki qeemat aane walay dino mein global central bank policies ke raaste aur sarmayakar ke risk lene ke rawaiye par munhasir hogi...

Is performance ke darmiyan... German 10 saal ke bonds ki yield aik mahine ke buland tareen satah par hai. Mo'tabar trading platforms ke mutabiq, German hukoomati bonds ki 10 saal ki yield September ke aaghaz mein 2.33% tak pohanch gayi, jo takreeban aik mahine ki buland tareen satah hai, jaise ke traders maashi aur maali manzar aur Germany mein ilaaqai intekhabat ke nateejon ko hazm kar rahe hain. Traders is baat par shart laga rahe hain ke European Central Bank 12 September ko apni meeting mein doosri dafa sood ki sharah mein kami karega, aur yeh imkaanaat mazeed barh gaye hain jab ibtidayi figures se pata chala ke eurozone ki mahangai August mein 2.2% tak gir gayi, jo July 2021 ke baad se sab se kam hai, aur core inflation 2.9% ke teen mahinon ke baad 2.8% tak gir gayi hai. Is dauran, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz ke hukoomati ittehad ne ilaaqai intekhabat mein haar ka saamna kiya, jahan door-dasht dahi ilaqon mein far-right Alternative for Germany party ne Thuringia mein jeet hasil ki aur center-right Christian Democratic Union ne Saxony mein jeet hasil ki. Lekin far-right AfD ke liye hukoomat banana mumkin nahi lagta, kyun ke doosri parties iske saath taawun nahi karengi ta ke hukoomat banane ke liye zaroori aksariyat hasil ki ja sake.

rok sakti hai. Is wajah se traders ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur clear price action ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, immediate support 160.40 par hai, jabke mazeed support levels February ke low 158.06, January ke low 155.05, aur year-to-date low 154.34 par hain. Upside par, agar pair March ki resistance 165.34 ko tod deti hai, to ye June ke support-turned-resistance level 167.50 tak movement ka raasta khol sakti hai. Eurozone CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release se euro aur EUR/JPY pair dono par asar hoga. Agar inflation figure expected se zyada aati hai to euro mazid barh sakta hai, aur agar kam aati hai to euro kamzor ho sakta hai. Summary ye hai ke EUR/JPY pair ne strong upward momentum dikhaya hai, lekin traders ko economic aur geopolitical factors ko dekh kar hi bade investments karni chahiye. Interest rates, inflation data, aur global political dynamics future mein is currency pair ko shape dene mein important roles play karenge.

Kya increase continue karegi? Ye hum jaldi hi dekh lenge. Kal ke live ranges kya hain? Sell zone (154.50–159.50) aur buy zone (159.60–164.65) hain. Is waqt ka technical price 161.50 hai. Mera khayal hai ke is halat mein position kholna galat faisla hoga. Lekin agar kisi ko puri yaqeen hai ke wo sahi hai, to faisla aapka hai. Pehle din ka plan do benchmarks par based hai, aur inhi se main orders kholna shuru karunga. Hamne apne liye do belts set kiye hain: 161.25 aur 162.50. Ye wo area hai jahan hum abhi bhi ping-pong ball ki tarah ghoom sakte hain. Agar hum in limits ke andar zigzags karte rahte hain, to main entry nahi karunga. Lekin agar 161.25 ke niche break hota hai, to sellers ko aggressive hone ka mauka milega aur girawat shuru ho sakti hai. Is case mein main sales open karunga. Short term ke liye pehli aur main target expectation 160.40 hai. Ye distance kaafi acha hai, aur agar halat favorable hue, to ye achieve karna accha hoga. Ek deeper decline point bhi hai (159.60), lekin mujhe nahi lagta ke itni tezi se decline ek din mein hogi. Doosra scenario rise ka hai, aur yahan 162.50 ek beacon hai. Yahan se +100 points ki movement shuru honi chahiye, lekin tez upar uthane ki ummed nahi hai. Agar hum upar jaate hain aur 162.50 ke breakthrough se pehle phir se decline shuru hoti hai, to ye ek unpleasant picture hogi. Acha ye hai ke plan ready hai, aur ab dekhte hain speculators humein entry kahan dete hain. Sab ko jaldi nahi karni chahiye aur

of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments ki wajah se hui, jis ne yen ko support diya aur uske muqablay mein euro ko kamzor kiya. Ueda ne apni commitment ko dohraya ke agar mehngai 2% target se zyada rahi, toh woh interest rates barhane ke liye tayar hain. Economists yeh anticipate karte hain ke is sal rate hike hoga, lekin zyada chances hain ke yeh December mein hoga, October ki bajaye. BOJ ki taraf se further monetary tightening ki speculation ne yen ki qeemat ko euro ke muqablay mein barhaya hai. Eurozone mein, investors harmonized consumer price index (HICP) data ke release ka intezar kar rahe the August ke liye. Yeh inflation report European Central Bank (ECB) ke September mein interest rate decision ke bare mein insight dene wali thi. Jis tarah se mehngai ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke August mein year-on-year 2.3% tak slow hogi, ECB se ab bhi umeed hai ke woh is saal ke baqi hisse mein rates ko cut karta rahega. Is umeed ne euro par kuch selling pressure dala hai. ECB Governing Council member Olli Rehn ne is raaye ko echo karte hue kaha ke kamzor hoti hui eurozone economy aur slow hoti hui mehngai ECB ke interest rates kam karne ke case ko mazid mazboot karti hai agle mahine ke liye. EUR/JPY pair ne July mein aik tezi se sell-off dekha, jab yeh 32 saal ke high 175.41 se gir kar 154.34 tak pohonch gaya August 6 ko. Uske baad se, yeh pair recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin iska upward momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke kareeb ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh kareebi support level 160.40 par ek barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Agay barh kar nuksaan February ke low 158.06 tak ruk sakte hain. Agar pair 158.06 se upar rehne mein nakam rehta hai, toh yeh January ke low 155.05 ko challenge kar sakta hai aur shayad 2024 ke low 154.34 ko phir se test kare, jo August 6 ko set hua tha. Agar pair 200-day SMA se upar break kar jata hai, toh yeh ek potential recovery ka darwaza khol sakta hai. March ke resistance level 165.34 ko ek significant hurdle ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Is resistance ko overcome karne ke liye, bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 se upar push karna padega, jo future mein resistance barrier ka kaam kar sakta Click image for larger version

rok sakti hai. Is wajah se traders ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur clear price action ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, immediate support 160.40 par hai, jabke mazeed support levels February ke low 158.06, January ke low 155.05, aur year-to-date low 154.34 par hain. Upside par, agar pair March ki resistance 165.34 ko tod deti hai, to ye June ke support-turned-resistance level 167.50 tak movement ka raasta khol sakti hai. Eurozone CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release se euro aur EUR/JPY pair dono par asar hoga. Agar inflation figure expected se zyada aati hai to euro mazid barh sakta hai, aur agar kam aati hai to euro kamzor ho sakta hai. Summary ye hai ke EUR/JPY pair ne strong upward momentum dikhaya hai, lekin traders ko economic aur geopolitical factors ko dekh kar hi bade investments karni chahiye. Interest rates, inflation data, aur global political dynamics future mein is currency pair ko shape dene mein important roles play karenge.
Kya increase continue karegi? Ye hum jaldi hi dekh lenge. Kal ke live ranges kya hain? Sell zone (154.50–159.50) aur buy zone (159.60–164.65) hain. Is waqt ka technical price 161.50 hai. Mera khayal hai ke is halat mein position kholna galat faisla hoga. Lekin agar kisi ko puri yaqeen hai ke wo sahi hai, to faisla aapka hai. Pehle din ka plan do benchmarks par based hai, aur inhi se main orders kholna shuru karunga. Hamne apne liye do belts set kiye hain: 161.25 aur 162.50. Ye wo area hai jahan hum abhi bhi ping-pong ball ki tarah ghoom sakte hain. Agar hum in limits ke andar zigzags karte rahte hain, to main entry nahi karunga. Lekin agar 161.25 ke niche break hota hai, to sellers ko aggressive hone ka mauka milega aur girawat shuru ho sakti hai. Is case mein main sales open karunga. Short term ke liye pehli aur main target expectation 160.40 hai. Ye distance kaafi acha hai, aur agar halat favorable hue, to ye achieve karna accha hoga. Ek deeper decline point bhi hai (159.60), lekin mujhe nahi lagta ke itni tezi se decline ek din mein hogi. Doosra scenario rise ka hai, aur yahan 162.50 ek beacon hai. Yahan se +100 points ki movement shuru honi chahiye, lekin tez upar uthane ki ummed nahi hai. Agar hum upar jaate hain aur 162.50 ke breakthrough se pehle phir se decline shuru hoti hai, to ye ek unpleasant picture hogi. Acha ye hai ke plan ready hai, aur ab dekhte hain speculators humein entry kahan dete hain. Sab ko jaldi nahi karni chahiye aur

Euro apni qeemat khone laga Japanese yen ke muqable mein Europe ke awal trading session mein Monday ke din, jahan EUR/JPY pair 160.70 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Ye girawat zyada tar Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments ki wajah se hui, jinhon ne yen ko support diya aur iske mukablay mein dusri currencies par dabao dala. Ueda ne apni commitment dohrayi ke agar mehngai 2% target se ooper rahi to woh sood ki shara ko barhane ke liye tayar hain. Jabke economists is saal rate hike ki umeed rakhte hain, aksar logon ka maanna hai ke ye October ke bajaye December mein hone ka imkaan hai. BOJ ke mazeed monetary tightening ke baray mein barhti hue speculation ne yen ki qeemat ko euro ke muqable mein mazid barhadiya. Eurozone mein, sarmaiya daar August ke harmonized consumer price index (HICP) data ke intizar mein the. Ye inflation report European Central Bank (ECB) ke September mein interest rate ke faislay par asar daal sakti hai. Jabke umeed ki ja rahi hai ke August mein inflation 2.3% year-on-year tak kam ho jayegi, ECB ab bhi is saal ke baqi months mein rates kam karne ki umeed hai. Is umeed ne euro par kuch selling pressure dala hai. ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne bhi is soch ko mazid barhawa diya ke eurozone ki kamzor hoti hui economy aur sust inflation borrowing costs ko agle mahine kam karne ke liye mazid sabab ban rahi hai. EUR/JPY pair ne July mein aik tezi se sell-off ka samna kiya, jo 32 saal ke buland point 175.41 se gir kar 6 August ko 154.34 par a gayi. Iske baad se, ye pair recover karne ki koshish kar raha hai, magar iska upward momentum lagta hai ke 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke aas paas ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish sentiment barqarar raha, to qareebi support level 160.40 aik rukawat ban sakta hai. Mazeed losses February ke low 158.06 tak limit ho sakte hain. Agar ye pair 158.06 ke ooper qaim rehne mein nakam hota hai, to ye January ke low 155.05 ko challenge kar sakta hai aur shayad 6 August ko set hone wale 2024 ke low 154.34 ko dobara test kare. Dusri taraf, agar ye 200-day SMA ke ooper break karta hai to ye mazeed recovery ke darwaze khol sakta hai. March ke resistance level 165.34 par aik significant rukawat ban sakta hai. Is resistance ko overcome karne ke liye, bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 se ooper push karna hoga, jo agle waqt mein resistance barrier ban sakta hai.

EUR/JPY currency pair ka condition samajhnay ke baad, guzishta haftay ke aakhri dinon se ye wazeh hai ke sellers ne abhi bhi market par qabza jama rakha hai. Price ne haftay ke aghaz mein bullish move shuru kiya tha lekin weekend ke qareeb strong momentum ne downward pressure dala jisse price 162.22 tak bearish ho gaya. Ye market ki situation aik important reference ho sakti hai aane walay haftay ke liye jab hum trading positions ka tayun karain ge. Ye expect kiya ja raha hai ke price abhi bearish hi move kare ga.
Pichlay haftay market buyers ke control mein tha, lekin phir bhi price neeche gaya. Is market condition ko dekh kar andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke trend mein ab bhi taqat hai aur sellers price ko phir se neeche dhakel sakte hain. Ham ye maan sakte hain ke price dobara bearish ho sakta hai aur pehla target 160.45 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

Lime Line ke analysis ke mutabiq, jo Relative Strength Index 14 indicator ka istemal karke kiya gaya, price level 50 ke neeche gir chuka hai, jo ke strong bearish move ka signal hai. Ab tak market mein sellers dominate kar rahe hain aur price downward trend mein move karne ka imkaan hai. Agar hum long-term trend conditions par focus karain, to EUR/JPY currency pair ab bhi bearish trend mein hai, aur is liye expect kiya ja raha hai ke price mazeed neeche ja sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/JPY ke price action ko daily chart par dekhain ge. Mera ye khayal hai ke jab bears ne weekly trend line ko torh diya, bullish trend ka momentum khatam ho gaya aur ab pair market mein downward move kar raha hai. Yeh koi recovery correction nahi lagti, jo ke trend line ke torhne se pehle kaam kar sakti thi, balke ab trend change ka imkaan hai. Main ne ek matrix structure identify kiya hai jo Fibonacci ke mutabiq probable downward movement ka level dikhata hai.

Is wajah se, sirf local support break hone ke baad hi maine sell kiya aur mera profit target 158.79 par hai. Main yeh nahi samajhta ke pair aik linear decline kare ga, jo market ne pichlay dinon mein dikhaya hai. Smooth, rollback-free impulses ziada market manipulation lagti hain banisbat aik actual downward movement ke. MACD technical indicator abhi negative zone mein hai. Ye ziada imkaan hai ke aglay haftay trading instrument ka price 155.00 tak neeche move kare. Price ne sideways trend ke upper border ko kaam kar liya hai aur ab lower border ki taraf move kar raha hai. Jab price lower side par kaam kar le gi, to wapis upper side par bhi ja sakti hai. Chart par aik bari green zone bani hui hai, jise price kaam kar sakta hai

EUR/JPY H1 chart analysis:

Pichlay teen hafton mein EUR/JPY ka notable uptrend dekhne ko mila hai, jo zyada tar kamzor JPY ki wajah se hai. Yeh trend is pair ko 167 se 174 ke range tak le gaya. Mazeed gains ka imkan mojood hai, aur ideal buy target 175 ke qareeb hai. Is haftay bhi buyers ki taraf se bullish response jari hai, jo prices ko 100 period wali simple moving average tak push kar raha hai. Kal raat ki trading mein bhi ek significant bullish movement nazar ayi, jahan price 172.06 zone ke upar rahi, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke upward trend ka silsila jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Halankeh pichlay haftay ek bearish koshish hui thi ke prices ko 171.41 tak giraya jaye, magar abhi ka trend zyada high price range ke signal de raha hai, jo ke 172.66 tak ja sakti hai.

Agle chand dino mein focus buying opportunities ko identify karna hona chahiye, kyun ke bullish trend jari hai. Magar hamesha ki tarah, market ke kisi bhi reversal ya unexpected movement par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, lekin is stage par girawat ka imkaan kam lagta hai.

**Technical Perspective:**

Technically, EUR/JPY pair ab bhi ek overall uptrend mein hai, jise key moving averages se support mil raha hai, jo bullish momentum ko zahir karte hain. 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ab bhi upwards trend mein hai aur 162.00 mark ke qareeb ek solid support level provide kar raha hai. Saath hi, Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral levels par hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke pair abhi overbought nahi hai, aur is mein mazeed upside movement ki gunjaish hai. Magar, traders ko potential downside risks ka hamesha khayal rakhna chahiye, khaaskar agar pair 163.00 support level ke upar hold karne mein nakam hota hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh deeper correction ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo ke 162.00 support area ka retest bhi ho sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar pair apna upward momentum regain karta hai aur 164.00 resistance level ko break karta hai, to yeh mazeed gains ka rasta khol sakta hai jo ke 165.00 level tak ja sakte hain. Akhir mein, EUR/JPY pair mein kuch softness ke bawajood, overall bullish trend ab bhi intact hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur Eurozone aur Japanese economic policies ke developments ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye, taake pair ke aglay potential move ka andaza lagaya ja sake.