eur/jpy

Mausam ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY currency pair ab 164.00 par trade ho raha hai, jo aik chart par resistance zone hai. Mahatvapurn hai ke haftay bhar mein market ka rawayya samajhna taake aap samajhdar faislay kar sakein. Ye matlab hai ke EUR/JPY agle kuch dinon mein 165.25 ke range ko cross karne ka imkaan hai. Mazeed, indicators traders ko market ka rawayya dekhne ka bohot hi wusat taur par zariya faraham karte hain, chahe woh overbought ya oversold conditions ko pehchanne ke liye istemal kiye jayein, trend reversals ko pehchanne ke liye ya momentum ko judge karne ke liye. EUR/JPY market ko khareedne wale dominate karte hain, jo ek trend hai jo market ke hissedaron ko aik maoqay par faida uthane ka imkaan faraham karta hai. News-driven trading strategies mein shamil traders ke liye, ye zaroori hai ke woh taaza news data ko chaukasi se nazar andaaz karte rahen. Maqbol news ko waqt par assimilate kar ke, traders market ko behtar tor par samajh sakte hain. Market ka jazba traders ke faislon ko inform kar sakta hai tor par breaking developments ko faida utha ke. Market ki volatality ke bais, apni risk ko manage karna aur hoshiyar taur par agay barhna zaroori hai. Mashwara hai ke chuninda tor par stop-loss mechanisms ko hoshyarana taur par adopt kiya jaye. Stop-loss orders trading strategies mein shamil kiye jate hain taake sudden changes aur price declines ke khilaf bachaya ja sake; stop-loss proactive approach capital ko protect karne aur trading amaliyat mein discipline aur tajziya ko dakhil karne ka ek faida hai. Hum zyada tar EUR/JPY market par agle level 165.32 ko jald hi cross kar sakein ge. Humein system mein any new data par tawajjo deni chahiye. Is natije mein, hum EUR/JPY market ke tabdiliyon ko bahtar tor par baad mein sahih taur par pehch sakte hain

Jor shuru hone ka imkan hai ek urooj dar to haftawarana satah 170.92 ka. Din ke doran, jor ki keemat chart par dikhaye gaye daameno ke andar trade karna shuru karta hai, jisme se ek laal rang mein niche ki taraf ja raha hai, aur yeh keemat ka raftar ka rukh kal ke doran dikhata hai.
Keemat ab tak lahar hai jab tak ab yeh laal channel se bahar nahi nikla hai upar ki taraf sath hi haftawarana pivot satah ke upar trade kar raha hai.
Is tarah, jab keemat jaari hai haftawarana pivot satah, 167.65, se aur neela channel ke darmiyan ki madhya rekha se, to yeh imkan hai ke keemat 170.93 ki rukh ki taraf barh sake.
Maeeshat ki taraf se, EUR/JPY ke liye achanak ek urooj dar ka daameno mein farq dekha gaya hai, jaise ke ye sab currencies ke sath bharatiy yen ke samne trading ke is haftay ke shuruat mein, jisme currency pair ne 168.85 ke darje ko chhod diya aur isse faiday ka samjhaya gaya 171.60 ke rukh tak, phir jaldi hi 165.63 ke satah tak wapis laya aur aaj, mangalwar, ke trading ke shuruat mein 167.40 ke darje ke qareeb stable hua. Bharatiy yen ki keemat abhi tak kamzor hai.

Jo hua hai bharatiy yen ke imkaanat... Yen ki keemat ne ashtami ke douran achanak tezi se barh gayi jab asian trading ke waqt, jab bharatiy bazaar chhuti ke liye band tha. Is harkat ne ye afwah paida ki ke bharatiy afseeron ki sabr khatam ho gayi hai apni hatmi aur islahi harkat par aur unki dhamkiyon ke mutabiq iska support karna. Forex currency market ke trading ke mutabiq... currency is saal tak lagbhag 10% gir gaya hai amreeki dollar ke mukable mein, jo ke dus group ke apne shamilon mein se sabse bada hai, aur 34 saalon ke record ke neeche chhu gaya hai

Aam tor par... bharatiy yen ki keemat chaure mahine tak girne wali hai. Traders ko bechne ke liye ek naya sabab mila Bank of Japan ne pichle hafte standard interest rate ko 0% se lekar 0.1% tak rakha, jaisa ki ummeed thi, aur apni bondon ke kharid ko kam karne ka ishara nahi kiya. Waqt ke doran, sanyukta rastra mein, federal reserve ke americai interest rates ko is satah se chauthe kuartar tak paanch percentage point tak barqarar rakhne ka intezar kiya ja raha hai

EUR/JPY pair ka tajwez

167.50 ke mutabiq, euro teesri musalsal din tak pound sterling ke khilaaf gir gaya tha. Federal Reserve ke elaan ke baad ke interest rates jald az jald barh jayenge, market ne neeche dekha. Is ke ilawa, America ke markazi bank ke policymakers ne tanqeed ke balance sheet ko kam karne ki baat ki taa ke mahangai ko kabu mein rakha ja sake.

EUR/JPY crosses rozana timeframe par niche ki taraf ja raha hai, rozana ek niche ki bias ko dikhate hue. Yeh ahem hai ke chhoti arsi moving average jis tarah se EUR/JPY pair ke price ke muqablay mein ziada hai. Fed minutes ke elaan hone ke natije mein, EUR/JPY pair elaan ke baad niche ja raha hai, 167.10 ke qareeb ruk gaya hai, jo is haftay ka rozana kam hai, qareebi muddat mein EUR bullish ko mazeed girawat se bachata hai.

Chhoti muddat mein, EUR/JPY ko upar ki taraf rukawat ka samna karna parega 166.60 ke price level par, rozana pivot level par. 168.10 par, hum 50 muddat ki moving average ko aam nazar aata hai, jald hi rozana pivot 168.401 par, jo hum din ke ikhtitam ke qareeb dekh sakte hain. Agar pair is level ko tode, to yeh 200 muddat ki moving average ki taraf 167.40 par tej ho jayega agar yeh level ko tode.

Dusra tareeqa yeh hai ke pehla support level 167.75 ke price level ke qareeb ho sakta hai, jo haftay ke rozana kam ko darust karta hai pehla support level ko dharakta hai. In levels ko toorna zaroori hai taake mazeed nuqsanat ke liye stage set ho. Niche ki taraf harkat ke doran, swing low 167.90 ke qareeb tha.

EURJPY

Daily time frame par dekha ja sakta hai ke RSI level 70 ke overbought area ke range mein aik bullish movement hai jo abhi bhi jaari hai. Abhi, bechnay walay lag rahay hain ke wo bearish correction movement ko overbought area ke limit se aur door push karna chahte hain. Bearish correction ka target abhi bhi jaari lagta hai, khaaskar 165.50 ke aas paas RBS area tak pohanchne ka maumla hai aur aglay demand area tak pohanchne ka koshish karna hai jo ke 164.65 ke aas paas hai. Bechnay walon ke koshishon ka mojood hona ke wo trend ki direction ko bearish mein tabdeel karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, pehle se confirm ho sakta hai agar keemat 162.27 ke qareeb crucial support area se nichay gir jaye. Bechnay ka irada phir se ghor kar liya ja sakta hai agar keemat 162.27 ke neeche girne ka irada ho aur target hai ke 200 Ma (blue) ke movement limit ko test karna hai 160.00 ke range mein. Agar bullish trend ki koshishat jaari rakhni hain, to wo phir se shuru ki ja sakti hain agar keemat demand area aur RBS base ke range 164.65–165.30 mein bearish projection condition ko experience karti hai. Is price level range se zyada valid bullish price action confirmation ke sath khareedari ke transactions par focus karna chahiye.

EUR-JPY H4 TIME FRAME CHART

FOMC ki khabron ka asar dekha gaya hai ke EUR-JPY par bhi kafi asar hai, jahan ek bearish movement dekhi gayi jab khabrein jaari hui, lekin jo dilchasp lagta hai wo yeh hai ke khabron ka asar sirf chand waqt ke liye tha, ya kehna chahiye ke temporary correction ke liye conditions banaya ke EUR-JPY ab tak bullish direction mein lautne ki tendency rahi hai. H4 time frame mein, technical analysis abhi tak ek bullish trend ko maintain kar rahi hai.

Yeh dilchasp lag raha hai. H4 team ka technical picture MA area par nirbhar karta hai jo ke MA 50, MA 100, aur MA 200 se milta hai jahan EUR-JPY ka movement jab bearish hota hai, to MA 50 aur MA 100 ko toot sakta hai lekin MA 200 se ek rejection response mila, aur is rejection ke waqt se yeh bullish movement ko trigger kiya gaya jo ke MA 50 resistance level ko toot kar bullish trend mein wapas lautne ka confirmation ban gaya ke EUR-JPY bullish trend ko dobara shuru kar raha hai.

EUR/JPY Price Surge Ka Tareeqa:

1. Ibtidaai Ubhaar aur Resistance Ka Imtehan:

EUR/JPY currency pair ne aik achanak ooper ki taraf harkat dikhayi, jo dusri currencies ke pairs ke saath bhi dekhi gayi thi Japanese yen ke khilaaf trading week ke ibtida mein. Ye surge ne exchange rate ko 168.85 level se aagey bhadhaya, jo Euro ke maqool hone ki market sentiment ka ishaara tha. Ibtidaai momentum ne jaise hi trading Mangalwar ko shuru hui, pair ke faiday ko 167.60 resistance level tak pohancha. Magar, is resistance level ko toorna ke bawajood, qeemat jaldi se wapas 167.63 support level par chali gayi. Ye waqiyat ka silsila forex market ki dynamic fitrat ko highlight karta hai, jahan qeemat ki harkatain tezi se aur mutaharrik ho sakti hain.

2. Mustaqil Hona aur Kamzor Yen:

Ibtidaai surge aur mazeed wapas aane ke baad, EUR/JPY exchange rate ne 167.90 level ke aas paas mustaqil ho gaya. Ye mustaqil hone ka dorra ye darust karta hai ke market ka rukh ki taraf tafreehi fikarbandi ka dor hai jab traders hal halaat aur bunyadi market dynamics ka jaeza le rahe hain. Dusri taraf, yen apne muqableen ke muqable mein kamzor nazar aata hai, jese ke Euro, jo EUR/JPY pair mein dekha gaya bullish sentiment mein izafa kar raha hai. Yen ki kamzori ka istemal yen ke valuations par asar dalta hai jo overall EUR/JPY pair mein dekha gaya hai. Yen ki kamzori ka barqarar rehna macroeconomic indicators aur central bank policies ko nigrani mein rakhne ki ahmiyat ko dikhata hai jo currency values ko influence karte hain.

Jab traders EUR/JPY price surge ka rasta taalte hain, to hamesha mushahida aur musalat rehna zaroori hai aur market ke halat par tayar rehna zaroori hai. Achanak ooper ki taraf ki harkat forex market ki fitrat ki ahmiyat ko darust karta hai, traders ke liye mauqe aur khatray dono ko present karta hai. Ahem support aur resistance levels ko nazdeek se monitor karke, traders potential entry aur exit points ko pehchan sakte hain, risk ko behtar taur par manage kar sakte hain, aur trading opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain. Mazeed, macroeconomic developments aur geopolitical events ke baray mein maloomat rakhte rehna market sentiment ke baray mein ahem insight faraham kar sakta hai aur traders ko inform kiya ja sakta hai faisla karne ke liye.



Halaat ki taiziyon mein taqat hasil karne ki ahamiyat ko samajhne ka tajziya karte hue, haal hi mein EUR/JPY ke tanasub mein izafa ahem hai, jo currency trading ki tanzimi fitrat aur market ke uchalne mein tezi ki ahmiyat ko nishaan deta hai. Jabke pehli raftaar ne jor se jayeziyat ko barhaya, to mazeed kam honay aur mustaqil honay ne ehtiyaat aur strateji faislay ka muzahira kiya hai. Technical analysis tools ka faida utha kar, market ke rujhanon ko nigrani mein rakhte hue, aur bunyadi factors ke mutalliq maloomat barqarar rakh kar, traders apne aap ko forex ke hamesha tabdeel hone wale manzar mein mojood mauqe ko hasil karne ke liye tayyar kar sakte hain.

EURJPY

TF Daily ke hawale se dekha ja sakta hai ke yeh abhi bhi overbought area ke RSI level 70 ke range mein ek bullish movement mein hai. Abhi, bikri karne wale aise lagte hain ke woh bearish correction ko overbought area ke had se door tak le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Bearish correction ka target abhi bhi jaari hai, khaaskar RBS area tak neeche jaane ka jo kareeb 165.50 par hai aur agle demand area tak pohanchne ki koshish karega jo kareeb 164.65 par hai. Sellers ke koshishon ka asar pehle se hi confirm ho sakta hai agar keemat 162.27 ke crucial support area se nichle jaati hai. Bechne ke plans ko dobara consider kiya ja sakta hai agar giravat 162.27 level ke neeche jaati hai aur target hai ke 160.00 ke range mein 200 MA (blue) ki movement limit ka test kiya ja sake.

Bullish trend ki koshishen jaari rakhne ke liye, wo yeh shuru kar sakte hain agar keemat demand area aur RBS base ke range mein 164.65–165.30 mein bearish projection condition experience karti hai. Iss price level range se purchase transactions banane par focus zyada valid bullish price action confirmation ke saath karein.

EURJPY

Daily time frame par dekha jata hai ke ek bullish movement hai jo abhi bhi RSI ke level 70 ke overbought area ke range mein hai. Abhi sellers aisa lagta hai ke wo bearish correction movement ko overbought area ke limit se door karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Bearish correction target abhi bhi jari hai, khaaskar takreeban 165.50 ke aas paas RBS area tak pohanchne ka potential hai aur agle demand area tak pohanchne ki koshish hai jo 164.65 ke aas paas hai. Sellers ke koshishen direction ko bearish banane ki koshish ko pehle se tasdeeq di ja sakti hai agar keemat 162.27 ke qareeb crucial support area ke neeche gir jaye. Agar girawat 162.27 ke level se neeche jaati hai to selling plans dobara ghoor sakte hain aur target hai ke 200 Ma (blue) ke movement limit ko test karne ka potential 160.00 range mein hai.

Bullish trend ke efforts ko jari rakhne ke liye, woh phir se shuru kar sakte hain agar keemat demand area aur RBS base ke range mein 164.65–165.30 ke andar bearish projection condition ka samna kare. Is price level range se valid bullish price action confirmation ke saath khareedne ki transactions par tawajjo deni chahiye.

EUR-JPY H4 time frame chart mein FOMC news ka asar dekha gaya hai jahan EUR-JPY par bearish movement dekhi gayi jab news jaari ki gayi, lekin jo dilchasp hai ke news ka asar sirf chand waqt ke liye tha, ya phir temporary correction ke conditions ko paida kiya kyunkay EUR-JPY ka tendency abhi tak bullish direction mein lautne ki taraf hai. H4 time frame mein, technical analysis abhi tak ek bullish trend ko maintain kar rahi hai.

Yeh dilchasp lagta hai. H4 team ki technical picture MA area par mabni hai jo MA 50, MA 100, aur MA 200 se banti hai jahan EUR-JPY ka movement bearish hote hue MA 50 aur MA 100 ko toor sakta tha lekin MA 200 se inkar ka jawab mila, aur is inkar ke moment se ek bullish movement trigger hui jo MA 50 resistance level ko toorna sakta hai aur isse tasdeeq hoti hai ke EUR-JPY ne bullish trend ko phir se shuru kiya hai.

Moving Average, Bollinger Bands, aur CCI Indicators ki Tashkeel ka Tajarba Trading Faislon ke liye

Moving average indicator jo EMA doura ke sath 13-150 period ke sath istemal kiya jata hai, traders ke liye keematdar aala hai jo keemat ke harkat ko tajziya karte hain aur market mein potential trends ko pehchante hain. Is manzar mein, EMA doura ka period niche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo ke market mein ek bearish trend ki sifarish karta hai. Jab moving average indicator niche ki taraf slope dikhta hai, to ye traders ke liye ek bechnay ki mumkin moqa ki alamat ho sakti hai jo ke potential downtrend par faida uthane ke liye talaash kar rahe hote hain. Bollinger line ko 163.49 par todkar guzarne ki koshish asafal rahi, jis ka is darja par rok tok ke sath milta hai. Keemat is pabandi ko paar karne mein asafal rahi aur is se bullish rukh kharidar ho gaya. Bollinger line ko todkar guzarne ki yeh asafal koshish 163.49 par resistance level ko tasdeeq kar sakti hai, aur traders ko mustaqbil mein potential trading moqay ke liye is keemat par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye. Madadgar indicator - CCI (Commodity Channel Index), jis ka doura 150-150 hai, ne neechay ki sima ko tor diya hai. Is neechay ki sima ka tor hone ka matlab hai ke kharidaron ne apne stop orders daal diye hain, jo ke market ke jazbaat mein tabdeeli ki nishani hai. Ye tabdeeli ek selling trend ke mukammal taluq ko mukammal taluq se palat sakti hai, jahan kharidaron ko keemat ko buland karne ke liye aane ka ishara mil sakta hai. Traders ko is potential trend ke palatne ki mazeed tasdeeq ke liye CCI indicator ko nigrani mein rakhni chahiye.


Ek nichle manzarat se ek bearish trend ka vikas hone ke sath, pehla darja lene ke liye ek le lo darja 162.36, channel ki line ki support par hoga. Channel ki line ek ahem satah ka darja hai jo keemat aksar yahan pratikriya karti hai aur rukh ki taraf mudam ko palat deti hai. Traders is satah ko ek potential dakhli nukta ke roop mein dekh sakte hain market mein ek position lena ke liye, ya to lambi ya chhoti, maujooda trend par bharosa karte hue. Is muhim ke critical range mein Maximum 162.47 hoga, jahan par ek Stop order lagana mashwara hai. Bollinger indicator ke kinare ke paar ek Stop order lagana traders ko nuksan ko mehdood karna aur apne peshevar ko mohtaj ko tezi se bachane mein madad karta hai agar karobar unke khilaf chalta hai. 162.47 par ek Stop order lagakar, traders apna khatra mufeed tor par tanzim kar sakte hain aur ek bigri hue karobar mein bade nuksan se bach sakte hain. Ikhtitam mein, moving average, Bollinger Bands, aur CCI indicators ka tajziya forex market mein trading faislon ke liye qeemti shaoor faraham kar sakta hai. Technical indicators ko jorna, traders ek mukammal trading strategy ka taraqqi kar sakte hain jo market trends, support aur resistance levels, aur potential reversals ko gina leti hai. Ye indicators traders ko munafa bakhsh trading moqay ka pata lagane aur khatra ko mufeed tor par idare karne mein madad faraham karte hain, aakhir mein unke kamyabi ke chances ko barha dete hain forex market mein mukhail.

EUR/JPY Pair ka Jaiza:

Dusra din lagatar, EUR/JPY currency pair ki keemat urooj par barhne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin iski izafaat 163.33 ke darje tak nahi pohanchi, aik taqatwar farokht ke aamal se jis ne ise 162.60 ke darje tak dhakel diya tha, aur tasleem 163.20 ke darje ke qareeb hai likhne waqt tajziya. Euro ki keemat ka performance ab tak sab se kamzor hai euro zone ke inflation figures ka elaan hone se pehle. Is par tawajjo is negetively affect hui thi ke European Central Bank global central banks ke darmiyan sab se pehle interest rates ko kam karne ka irada rakhti hai, jo euro ke liye investors ki tawajo ko kamzor kar diya.

Tehqiqati nazar ke mutabiq: Rozana chart ke performance ke mutabiq, currency pair EUR/JPY ke price ne farokht ke dabaw mein hai, aur amm trend bearish ho jaega 160.00 ke nafsiyati level ko tor kar pehle marhale mein. Hal ki performance hamari tawajjo ko behtareen taur par sabit karti hai ke euro ko Japanese yen ke khilaaf har uroojati darje se bechne ke mufeed mashware ke mukhtalif levels se giraya gaya, jo khaas tor par dollar ke muqable mein yen ki keemat ko kamzor kar diya. Agar mazeed qareebi waqt mein Japani interventions ka imkan ho, to Euro/Japanese Yen currency pair tezi se farokht ke aamal ka shikaar ho sakta hai, jisse trend jald se jald bearish ho jaega.

Mehngai se mutaliq, ma'loomat ke calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq, March mein German mehngai dar teesri maheena tak gir gayi, jo ke European Central Bank ko June mein interest rates ko kam karne ki umeedon ko mazid saabit karti hai. Is ad ke mutabiq, consumer prices ko maheena dar maheena 2.3% ke sath barhaya gaya, statistics bureau ke mutabiq, February mein 2.7% se kam aur Bloomberg ke mahireen ki aam 2.4% ke tajziya ke neeche. Ghiza ke qeemat is slow down ka bara sabab thi.

Mehngai ke data France mein bhi Jumeraat ko slow down ka elaan kiya gaya. Isi doran Italy aur Spain mein price barhane lag gaye - policymakers ki tanbeehon ke mutabiq ke 2% ke nishan tak rasta nahi asaan hoga. Jab energy ke qeemat barhne par intekhab ki gayi hifazati iqdamaat ko hukoomaton ne manzoori di hai, to mehngai ko aik barre par laga hota hai. Yeh Germany mein bhi mumkin hai, jahan par 2023 mein tax ke tabdil aur sasta transport ticket darust karne se price ko ooncha dabao hai, Deutsche Bank ke mahireen ke mutabiq.

Magar aam tasveer phir bhi barre istadaad ki taraf ishaara karti hai, jis se European Central Bank ko June mein apni pehli interest rates kam karne ke liye tayyar kar diya ja sakta hai. Eurozone ke data, budh ke din jaari hone wale hain, unhe 2.5% ki kami ka dikhawa hai.

Germany mein kam companies apne qeematon ko barhane ka irada rakhte hain, khaaskar consumer-related industries mein, Ifo institute ne mangal ko kaha. In umeedon mein ek khaas dar ke baare mein tehqiqat shamil hain jo ke March mein teen saalon ke dar se gir gayi. Wages ke barhne ki ahem shorat aur is se mukhtalif saal tak core mehngai ko barqarar rakh sakti hai. Wages ke izafaat ka qabzah dhaire dhaire sabit hoga, jo ke zyada se zyada afseeron ko agle hafte ke policy meeting par darust karne ke liye dafa iltizam karte hain.

Is ke saath, European Central Bank ke executive board ke aik rukun, Piero Cipollone, ne ghareeb euro zone ki mojooda mandi ko mad e nazar rakhte hue keemat ko zyada taw

EUR/JPY Pair Tafseeli Tajziya: Bearish Rawaaya Signals Neeche Ki Simt Ki Mumkin Harkat

EUR/JPY pair ko aik 15-minute chart par tajziya karne ke baad, ahem taraqqiyan samne aayi hain, jo pair ke liye neeche ki simt ki mumkin harkat ka ishaara deti hain. Haal hi mein daam ka rawaya kuch ahem factors se charha hua hai jo ek bearish nazarie ke liye ishaarat faraham karte hain.

Sab se pehle, pair ne 163.161 ke ahem support level ko tor diya, jo ke bazaar ke jazbaat mein ahem tabdeeli ka aik numainda hai. Halankeh is level ke upar ek choti si upward correction tha, lekin bechne wale volume mein barqarar izafa ye dikhata hai ke neeche ki dabaawat barqarar hai.

Mausool daam ab aik makhsoos qeemat range mein mehdood hai. Magar jo cheez numaya hai, wo hai is range ke andar bechne wale volume mein izafa. Ye bechna pressure barqarar bearish jazbaat ko dikhata hai.

In tajziyaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, bohot zyada mumaan hai ke pair apni neeche ki harkat jaari rakhega, agla maqsood 162.665 ke support level par hai. Ye level ahem hai kyunke ye aik moqami darkhwast ka area hai jahan kharidar darakht ki taraf dakhil ho sakte hain. Magar mojooda bechna pressure ko dekhte hue, afsoos hai ke pair qareebi muddat mein is support level ko test kar sakta hai.

Karobarion ko 162.665 ke support level ke ird gird ke daam ka rawaya tafteesh karne ke liye khaas tor par ghor karna chahiye, mukhtalif buying opportunities ya reversals ke ishaaraat ke liye. Agar is level ke neeche qataee tor par tor ho gaya, to ye mazeed neeche ki harkat ka darwaza khol sakta hai, jahan potential maqamaat neeche ke support levels hain.

Ikhtitam mein, EUR/JPY pair 15-minute chart par bearish rawaaya darust kar raha hai, ahem support levels ko tor kar bechna wale volume mein izafa ek mumkin neeche ki trend ka ishaara dete hain. Karobarion ko ihtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur maujooda bazaar ke jazbaat ke mutabiq short-term trading strategies ko shamil karna chahiye.

Kal EUR/JPY mein, rozana ke range ke buland tajweez ke baad, qeemat palat gayi aur junoob ki taraf daba gayi, dohra tasweer mein chhote se shak ka mombati sath le kar ek bearish bias ke saath. Aaj, Asia session ke doran, qeemat ko bechnay ka mahol ke saath neechay dhakka diya gaya, lekin ab ek mazboot corrector pullback ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai. Agar aaj ek saaf bullish u-turn mombati banati hai, to main ummeed karta hoon ke kharidari karne wale doosri qareebi rukhawat darjoo karnay ke liye doosra koshish karenge. Is halat mein, tawajju qeemat par 165.174 aur 165.355 ke rukhawat darjoo par hogi. Qareebi rukhawat darjoo mein, do haalaat darjoo kye ja sakte hain. Pehla masla ye hai ke darjoo ke ooper ke aqiqaat mazboot hain aur bhuul ko uthaya gaya hai. Agar diye gaye mansoobe ka amal hua, to main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat rukhawat darjoo par chal kar 169.968 ke rukhawat darjoo ki taraf jayegi. Is qareebi rukhawat darjoo ke qareeb, main aik trade setup ka intezaar karoonga, jo trade ke faiday ko barqarar rakhne mein madad karega. Beshak, main ye maanta hoon ke safar ke doran hasil hui faida doosray manzil tak ka dohra pullback, jo main qareebi support darjoo se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal karunga, umeed hai ke global bullish trend ko dobara shuru kiya ja sakta hai. Keemat ki taraf se, doosra mansooba 165.174 ya 165.355 rukhawat darjoo ke qareeb dekhna ho sakta hai, rukhawat darjoo aur downtrend ke qeemat range mein ek aur harkat ke liye mansooba banana. Agar ye mansooba amal mein aata hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat 162.606 ke support darjoo par gir jayegi. Is qareebi support darjoo ke qareeb, main umeed karta hoon ke bullish signals ko doondhta rahunga umeed hai ke mukhya qeemat ki taraf irtifa hasil hoga. Beshak, dakhil ke maze ke dakhil ki junoobi hisse par kaam karne ki mumkinat hai, lekin main abhi is par nazar nahi daal raha kyunki main umeed nahi karta ke is par jald amal kiya jayega. Rozana ke bunyadi tor par, agar hum chhotay alfaz mein baat karein, to main aaj zyada dilchaspi nahi dekh raha hoon, lekin agar rozana ke hadood ko buland tajweez ke roop mein set kiya gaya hai, to ye bullish patterns ishara dete hain ke mukhtasir samay ke liye umeed hai, jab tak jodi apni irtifa ko barqarar rakh sakti hai. Magar, Awesome Oscillator (AO) ke hilalay mein haal hi mein girawat jo ke 0 darja ke qareeb lai gayi hai, yeh ek possible oopar ki irtifa ka nuqsaan nazar aata hai. Jab tak niche ki saham ko 160.25 ke qeemat se zyada na barha diya jaye, naye buland qeemat ke jariye irtifa ko barqarar rakhne ki koi imkan hai. Ye darja aik mukhya support ka kaam karta hai, aur agar is ke neeche puri tor par phela diya jaye, to ye aik bearish signal hoga jo zyada mazboot pullback ko dobara shuru kar sakta hai.

EURJPY H1 waqt frame ke zariye dekha gaya to, lambay arsay se ek chadta hua channel ke andar aik mustaqil pattern ko dikhata hai. Diye gaye diagram mein yeh chadta hua channel tasveer ki shakal mein darust nishan ke tor par istemal hota hai taake qeemat ke harekat ka jaiza lene ke liye. Pura hafta, Peer se Jumeraat tak, market mein kuch ziada garamiyon ki kami wali ho gayi, jisme price main khaas farq nahi para. Lekin, manzar Jumma ko tabdeel ho gaya, jab bearish rujhan qaboo pa gaya, jo qeemat main tazz giravat ka sabab bana. Yeh foran neeche neechay le gaya EURJPY pair ko aur 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) line ko bhi paar kar diya, aik mukhfi pin bar candlestick pattern banane ke natije main. Iske ilawa, Jumma ko price action ne EURJPY pair ko chadte hue channel ke neeche border tak le gaya, jo ke is neechay neechay ki harekaton ke sath milta tha. Aj ke trading session ne aik ahem izafa aik pehlu zahir kiya hai, jisme mojooda candlestick main qeemat main numaya izafa wazeh hai. Halankeh yeh zahir hone par bhi ke kul kharidari dabao main kami dikhayi deti hai. Yeh tajziya ehtiyaati nazar ke saath ek mutawari nazar ke andar munafaqat ke intezar ko le kar aata hai, jo ke chadhta hua channel ke neeche girne ke imkanat ko darust karta hai. Market dynamics ko tajziya karte hue, yeh baat samne aati hai ke haal hi main bearish rujhan ne pehle mustaqil price raftar mein shakhsiat ka aik darja shak o shubha paida kiya hai. Jabke pin bar candlestick ka banawat aur 50 EMA line ke paar karne ka maqsad bearish rujhan ke ahmiyat ko samjhaate hain, to baad mein price mein rebound aik aham challenge ka markaz bana hai. Ghor karne wali baat ek balance ki tabdeeli hai kharidari aur farokht dabao ke darmiyan. Halankeh aaj ki qeemat ke izafa pehli nazar mein umeed deh lag sakta hai, lekin bunyadi dynamics market sentiment mein aik roshan karwai ka ishara dete hain. Ghatte hue kharidari quwwat, halankeh haal hi ke bearish rujhan ke sath mukhtalif hai, is baat ko le kar sawal uthate hain ke mojooda upar ki raftar ka mustaqil paidaishiyaat ka maqsad kya hai. Is tawaju ke sath, chadhta hua channel ke neeche girne ke imkanat ka eham pehlu hai. Aise manzar ki soorat mein mojooda market trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho ga, jo ke mazeed neechay ki taraf raftar ka raasta ban sakta hai. Traders aur investors ko aane wale sessions mein qeemat ke tohfah ko nigrani mein rakhne ke liye hawalat karne ka mashwara diya jata hai, kyunke yeh mojooda halat ki mukhtasir toor par numaindari faraham kar sakte hain. Akhri tor par, EURJPY pair ki haalat, tez girawat ke baad aik hadd tak istirahat, market mein shubha jama di hai. Halankeh aaj ki qeemat ka izafa waqtan-fa-waqtan mufeed lag sakta hai, lekin mukhtalif dynamics ne chadhta hua channel ke neeche girne ka markaz banaya hai. Is tarah, traders se daryaft aur nigrani mein ehtiyaat bartaraf ki jati hai.

EUR-JPY DAILY TIMEFRAME CHART:

Dinansoo time frame ke hawale se dekha ja sakta hai ke ek bullish tehreek hai jo abhi tak RSI ke 70 ke overbought area ke range mein hai. Abhi, farokhtkar lag rahay hain ke woh bearish correction movement ko overbought area ke hadood se door karne ki koshish kar rahay hain. Bearish correction ka maqsad phir se jaari rehne ka bohat zyada pota hai, khaaskar 165.50 ke aaspaas RBS area tak pohanchne ke liye aur agle demand area 164.65 ke qareeb jaane ki koshish karne ke liye. Farokhtkar ke koshishon ki mojoodgi ke trend ke rukh ko bearish mein tabdeel karne ki koshish ko pehle se tasdeeq kiya ja sakta hai agar keema eham support area 162.27 ke aaspaas gir jaye. Agar girawat 162.27 ke darjay se neeche chale aur target ko 200 Ma (neela) ke movement limit ko test karne ki pota banay, to phir se farokht karne ka mansooba zaroor soocha ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ki koshishen jaari rakhne ke liye, yeh dobara jaari kar sakte hain agar keema demand area aur RBS base ke 164.65–165.30 ke range mein bearish projection condition ka samna karta hai. Is qeemat darja ke range se zyada durust bullish price action tasdeeq ke saath khareedai ka mahoul par tawajjo dijiye.

EUR-JPY H4 TIME FRAME CHART:





Yeh dekha gaya hai ke FOMC khabro ka asar bhi EUR-JPY par aham asar daalta hai, jahan FOMC khabron ka asar jab khabar jaari hoti hai to wahan ek bearish tehreek hai jiska bohot zyada taaqat hai, lekin jo dilchaspi ki baat hai woh yeh hai ke khabron ka asar sirf chand der ke liye hota hai, ya yeh ke taareef ki bharmaar ke liye moqay paida karta hai ki kuch waqt ke liye correction ko aasar andaaz karta hai, EUR-JPY ke bullish rukh ko phir se paisha karta hai. H4 time frame mein, technical analysis abhi tak ek bullish trend ko banaye rakhta hai.





Yeh dilchaspi wali baat hai. H4 ki technical tasweer MA area ke hawale se hai jo MA 50, MA 100, aur MA 200 se milta hai jahan EUR-JPY ka rukh jab bearish tha to MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor diya gaya lekin MA 200 se inkar ka jawab mila, aur is inkar ke lamha se ek bullish tehreek ko rukh mila jo MA 50 ki resistance level ko torne mein kamiyab raha aur tasdeeq yeh hai ke EUR-JPY phir se bullish trend par aagaya.

Yen ki barabar mein karobaar ki taraf se Japan ke maali hukoomat ki dakhilat ka shor aa raha hai. Ab tak yeh apne mukhalifon mein se kai dushmanon se hamle ke shikaar hai, jinmein euro bhi shamil hai. EURJPY trend khud ab bhi ek bullish haalat mein hai jo qareebi supply area ki taraf ja raha hai jo mahinay ke doran dekha ja sakta hai moolyaon 167,320 se 169,970 tak. Magar haal hi mein, position ab bhi rozana ke time frame mein SBR area mein phasta hua hai moolyaon 166,168 par. Isliye agar yeh ab bhi resistance ko paar karne mein nakam hai, to zyada tar SMA5 dynamic support mein gir sakta hai moolyaon 165,472 ke daayre mein.

Isliye, agar intraday mein position ab bhi upar se nichayi gayi SBR area ke neeche daba hua hai jise upar se SMA10 dynamic support mein guzar jata hai, to ismein girne ka imkaan hai qareebi demand area ki taraf moolyaon 165,548 se 165,353 tak. Khaaskar agar SMA5 aur SMA10 curves ne niche ki taraf se guzar gaye hain. Intehayi, agar yeh SBR area mein sahih tor par ghus jaata hai, to ismein uska irtiqaa ka imkaan hai mahinay ke doran ek naye supply area ko banane tak ya phir izafa karna.





Karobaar ki options:

Kharidne ke options taiyar kiye gaye hain agar intraday tasdeeq SBR area mein sahih qeemat par dakhil ho gayi hai 166,158. Munafa ke nishan ko mahinay ke doran supply area ke qeemat 167,320 par rakha gaya hai. Stop loss H1 time frame mein qareebi demand area ke kuch pips neeche rakha gaya hai moolyaon 165,353 par.

Becho option taiyar kiya gaya hai agar yeh 166,168 ke upar izafa ko jaari nahi rakh sakta jab tak ke yeh H1 time frame mein RBS area ke neeche daba hua na ho moolyaon 165,935 par. Tasdeeq baad mein hoti hai jab position SMA5 aur SMA10 curves ke neeche guzar jata hai aise haalat mein jab woh neeche ki taraf se guzar gaye hain. Munafa ke nishan ko demand area ke qeemat par 165,548 par rakha gaya hai. Stop loss SBR area ke kuch pips oopar rakha gaya hai qeemat par 166,158.

Mudda Daraust Eur-Jpy

Chaliye mojooda market movement ka tafseel se jaiza lain, jahan ham tawajjuh dete hain Extended Regression StopAndReverse, ke linear regression indicator ke signals par, sath hi RSI aur MACD oscillators ke confirming indicators par. Teen naamwar indicators ke signals ka ittefaq, ek barqi processing ke buland imkanat ke sath, hamain dakhil hone ke liye behtareen point ka pata batayega. Kamiyabi aur maqsood munafa hasil karne ke liye, sahi maqbuul nikaalne ka point bhi barabar ahem hai. Fibonacci grid, muaqqay doran ke intihaon par phaila hua, hamain ismein madad faraham karega. Jab qeematat correct Fibo levels tak pohanch jayen, to transaction band kiya ja sakta hai.





Is instrument ka chart chune gaye time frame (H4 time-frame) par hamain wazeh taur par dikhata hai ke pehla darja ka regression line (golden dotted line), jisne hamein haqeeqat mein trend ki taraf aur halat ki disha ko dikhaya hai, uttar ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo ke zyada tar ki upward movement ki doar ko darust karti hai. Ghair linear regression channel, jo ke dikhaya gaya chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, ooper ki taraf murattab hua aur golden uptrend line LP ke saath neeche se oopar se guzra, lekin linear channel ka resistance line (red dotted line) bhi. Ab ghair linear regression channel uttar ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo ke khareedaron ki quwat ko tasdiq karta hai. Qeemat ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko guzara lekin High ke maximum quote value (165.742) tak pohanch gaya, uske baad yeh apna izafa band kar diya aur mustaqil tor par girne laga. Ab instrument ek qeemat ke darje par 165.630 par trading kar raha hai. Sab se upar zikr kiye gaye par, main umeed karta hoon ke market ki qeematat wapas aur aqrat channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (162.762) FIBO level 50% ke nichay wapas aur mazeed neeche utar jayegi, golden average line LR of the linear channel 161.913 tak, jo ke FIBO level 38.2% ke saath milti hai. Bech ka transaction mein dakhil hone ki mufeed aur darusti ko RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ne poora kar diya hai, ke ab wo overbought zone mein hain.