Monday ke din USD/CHF currency pair ne apne Friday ke nuqsan se mukammal taur par recovery ki aur North American trading session ke doran takriban 0.8985 tak barh gaya. Ye izafa ziyada tar US dollar ki mazbooti ki wajah se dekhne ko mila, jabke Swiss franc weaken ho gaya, kyunke Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawale se market ke andazay badal gaye.US Dollar Index (DXY), jo dollar ki value ko major currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, tezi se barh kar 108.20 tak pohanch gaya. Dollar ki mazbooti ka sabab ye tha ke Fed officials ab interest rate cuts ke liye ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain.Stabilized deflationary pressures aur resilient labor market ne policymakers ko agle decisions mein ziada sochnay par majboor kar diya hai.Sath hi, nayi US administration ki economic policies ke hawale se uncertainty ne Federal Reserve ke officials ko ek measured approach rakhne par zor diya hai. Latest projections ke mutabiq, Fed ka federal funds rate 2025 mein 3.9% tak barhne ki umeed hai.Iske ilawa, CME ke FedWatch tool ke hisaab se market expect kar rahi hai ke January 2025 ki policy meeting mein Fed interest rates ko 4.25% aur 4.50% ke darmiyan barqarar rakhega.September ke akhri hisse se USD/CHF mein 7% ka izafa dekhne ko mila jisme pair 0.9020 ke five-month high tak pohanch gaya. Magar abhi pair ne thoda retreat kiya hai lekin phir bhi ye 0.8955 ke key support level ke upar hai.Agar technical indicators ka jaiza liya jaye, toh Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bullish momentum show kar raha hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral 50 ke upar hai jo short-term mein correction ka ishara deta hai. Agar ye upward trend barqarar raha toh pair 0.9050 ke resistance level ka samna karega, jo pichle July ka ek significant high tha. Iske baad, agla resistance zone 0.9160 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jo agle movement ko limit kar sakta hai.Market participants ko ab bhi ehtiyat baratni chahiye kyunke volatility ke bawajood, ye pair agle kuch dinon mein nayi directions le sakta hai.
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