امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

USD/CHF ka daily chart analysis ye suggest karta hai ke halaat ab ek important level par pohonch chuke hain. Pechlay kuch mahino mein hum ne is pair mein ek downward trend dekha, jisme July aur August ke doraan USD/CHF neeche ki taraf sustain hua. Lekin September se price ne thora stability dikhayi aur ab ek bullish trend mein recover ho raha hai. Is waqt price 0.87616 ke aas-paas trade ho rahi hai, jo ke ek critical resistance level hai. Ye woh level hai jahan se pehle bhi price ne resistance face kiya tha aur wapas neeche gir gayi thi. Ab agar price is level ko strong volume aur bullish candle ke sath break karti hai, toh yeh bullish continuation ka sign ho sakta hai, aur is se ye bhi signal mil sakta hai ke price mazeed oopar ja sakti hai. Is situation mein agla target 0.8800 aur 0.8850 ka ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar price is level ko break nahi karti aur wapas neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish pressure ko dobara la sakta hai. Is case mein USD/CHF 0.8600 aur 0.8550 ke support levels tak ja sakta hai. Yeh levels wo hain jahan par pehle bhi buyers ne price ko support diya hai. Chart mein MACD indicator bhi positive momentum dikhata hai, lekin yeh level important hai jahan par buyer aur seller ke darmiyan thori ambiguity hai. Agar MACD mein further strength aati hai aur resistance breakout hota hai, toh yeh buyers ke liye ek positive signal hoga.
Risk management aur patience is waqt bohot zaroori hai. Trend confirm hone ka intizaar kiya jaye toh behtar hoga, khas taur par agar price 0.87616 ke upar close nahi karti. Yeh bhi dhyaan mein rakha jaye ke market sentiments aur fundamentals ke updates par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki koi unexpected economic data ya news sentiment ko badal sakti hai.
Aakhir mein, trading ke liye behtar hai ke apna entry aur exit level bilkul clear hon, aur zaroori stop loss lagaya jaye taake kisi bhi unexpected reversal mein losses ko control kiya ja sake.

USD/CHF currency Pair

ke current pricing behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Is waqt upar ki taraf rebound ka acha theme nazar aa raha hai, lekin agar yeh phir se north ki taraf jaata hai, to yeh 0.8696 se upar nahi jaayega. Mushkilat ke bawajood, yeh apni position hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar market is direction mein aage barhti rahe, to thodi der ke stabilization ke baad humein 0.8607 ki taraf aur girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh acha hai ke 0.8700 ka number USD/CHF pair ko aur aage badhne nahi de raha, kyunki mujhe is dheemi growth se thakawat mehsoos ho rahi hai aur main chahata hoon ke koi significant collapse ho, lekin abhi is bare mein baat karna jaldi hai. Theoretically, wahan kharidari ka mauqa mil sakta hai, lekin yahan poori problem elections ki hai, jo halchal paida kar sakti hai. Aaj hum bilkul bhi movement nahi dekh rahe hain kyunki volatility bilkul zero hai.
Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke dollar ab bhi thodi pressure mein hai, lekin yeh dekhna ahmiyat rakhta hai ke dollar aage kis tarah trade karega kyunki aaj Amreeka ke liye kaafi aham statistics hain, jin mein GDP bhi shamil hai. Is waqt USD/CHF currency pair ek upward trend mein hai; trend indicator, jo ke 120-period ka moving average hai, price ke neeche hai, jo buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai. Zigzag indicator bhi buyers ki sellers par faida confirm karta hai; yeh upar ki taraf chadhne wale extremes se zahir hai. Lekin mere liye kuch bhi nahi badla hai, kyunki main abhi bhi in prices par kharidari nahi karna chahta. Magar main yeh nahi keh sakta ke shayad hum phir se 0.8700 ke area aur thoda upar ja sakte hain, jahan main ab bhi sales par nazar rakhunga. Is waqt hum 0.8673 par trade kar rahe hain. Jab tak hum 0.8669 ke level se upar hain, main additional buy orders kholne ka plan bana raha hoon. Sellers ke taraf se price ko neeche karne ki har koshish ab tak koi tangible results nahi laayi hai.

USD/CHF currency pair jo ke filhal 0.87708 level ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, mein ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai, jo ke dheere dheere neeche ke taraf move kar raha hai. Market gradual movement kar raha hai lekin kuch signals aise hain jo ane wale dino mein ek bara momentum shift show kar sakte hain.Is outlook mein kai factors shaamil hain. Pehle to United States aur Switzerland ke economic indicators aur announcements ka bara role hai. Agar U.S. Federal Reserve apni hawkish stance par qaim rehta hai jo ke dollar ki strength ko reinforce karta hai, to USD/CHF mein upward movement dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin agar Swiss economic indicators strength show karte hain ya safe-haven assets ka demand barhta hai, to Swiss franc ki value mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo USD/CHF ko niche ki taraf push karega.Pehle bhi aise market patterns mein unexpected volatility dekhi gayi hai. Analysts aksar inflation reports, employment data aur interest rate adjustments ko monitor karte hain taake shifts ko anticipate kar sakein. Agar U.S. economy resilience show karti hai aur Federal Reserve future interest rate hikes ka ishara dete hain, to yeh dollar ka demand barha sakta hai jo USD/CHF par asar karega. Mazeed agar koi geopolitical events hotay hain, to yeh bhi sudden market shifts la sakte hain. Switzerland ko traditionally ek safe-haven currency samjha jata hai, to political instability ya economic concerns ke hawalay se franc ka demand bhi barh sakta hai jo ke bearish trend ko intensify kar sakta hai.Traders ke liye ye zaroori hai ke support aur resistance levels par focus rakhen. Agar USD/CHF support zone ke kareeb pohonchta hai to ek reversal ya lower levels ka test ho sakta hai. Lekin agar koi breakout hota hai, to aage mazeed volatility aa sakti hai. Technical indicators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Averages bhi overbought ya oversold conditions ko hint kar sakte hain, jo traders ko market corrections ke bare mein insights de sakte hain.
Akhir mein, recent trend mein bearish sentiment to nazar aa raha hai lekin USD/CHF mein baray activity ka potential hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur economic news aur technical levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye kyunke koi bara movement ho sakta hai, ya to ek strong continuation bearish trend ka ya phir ek sharp corrective rebound.

USD/CHF currency pair ne apne decline ko dusre consecutive din tak extend kar diya hai, aur filhal 0.8630 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai Wednesday ke Asian trading hours mein. Yeh downward movement US Dollar (USD) ke recent economic data ke badle mein kamzor hone ke baad aayi hai. Yeh data is baat ko fuel karta hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) apni upcoming meeting mein ek significant interest rate cut implement kar sakta hai, jo USD ki appeal ko aur kamzor bana raha hai. Ab latest updates ke mutabiq, price 0.8629 region ke qareeb hai, jo ek subdued performance show karta hai.USD/CHF ke recent decline ka main driver Thursday ke US economic data par market ka reaction tha. Khaaskar Consumer Price Index (CPI) data jo ke August ke liye tha, ne dikhaya ke headline inflation teen saalon ke lowest level par pohonch gayi hai, jo ke ek potential 25 basis point interest rate cut ke liye speculation ko barha raha hai. Yeh sentiment shift hua hai, jise traders ne adjust karte hue USD ki pehli strength kho di, aur iska knock-on effect USD/CHF pair par pada.Halaanki recent decline ke bawajood, kuch bullish factors hain jo USD/CHF pair ko near term mein support kar sakte hain. Ek key development yeh hai ke Fed ke October meeting mein moderate rate cut ke expectations badh gaye hain. Inflation ke US mein ease hone ke saath, market participants ye anticipate kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve chhoti increments mein interest rates cut kar sakta hai, jo ke 25 basis point cut se shuru ho sakta hai. Is shift ne USD ko kuch support diya hai, lekin yeh pair narrow range mein trap hai.Is beech, Switzerland mein economic indicators dikhate hain ke inflation five-month low tak ease ho gaya hai. Iske baad speculation yeh bhi hai ke Swiss National Bank (SNB) bhi apni monetary policy mein easing ki taraf ja sakta hai. Traders SNB officials ke comments ko closely watch karenge, kyunke is hafte koi major Swiss economic releases schedule nahi hai. SNB ke taraf se kisi bhi monetary tightening ya easing ke indications ka Swiss Franc aur resultantly USD/CHF exchange rate par bara asar ho sakta hai.

USD/CHF ke 4-hour time frame ka chart kuch ahem technical indicators ke sath bearish (neeche ki taraf) trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Chart mein 3 moving averages hain jo alag-alag time periods ke liye set kiye gaye hain. Yellow line jo 50-period moving average hai, short-term trend ko dikhati hai aur filhal price ke kareeb hai. Yeh support ke taur par kaam kar sakti hai, lekin agar price iske neeche break ho jaaye, toh selling pressure barh sakta hai. White lines jo 100 aur 200-period moving averages hain, woh longer-term trend indicators hain aur neeche ki taraf slope karti hui nazar aa rahi hain, jo overall bearish trend aur selling bias ko support karti hain.
Is chart mein OsMA (Moving Average of Oscillator) bhi use kiya gaya hai, jo momentum indicator hai aur hamen trend ki strength ka pata deta hai. Is waqt OsMA negative zone mein hai, jo ke selling pressure ko support karta hai. Pehle OsMA bullish zone mein tha, lekin ab iska negative mein rehna yeh dikhata hai ke selling momentum barh raha hai. Dusra indicator jo use kiya gaya hai woh Stochastic oscillator hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ka pata deta hai. Abhi Stochastic oversold zone mein tha lekin wahan se reverse ho raha hai, jo ke short-term buying interest ko indicate karta hai. Lekin iska downward trend yeh dikhata hai ke yeh sirf ek chhoti si pullback ho sakti hai, aur bearish trend abhi bhi intact hai.

Mukammal taur par dekha jaye toh USD/CHF ka overall trend bearish hai. Agar price 50-Period MA (yellow line) ke neeche break ho jati hai, toh yeh selling ka strong signal ho sakta hai, aur is case mein OsMA aur Stochastic indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Lekin agar price yellow line ke upar rehne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh chhoti si pullback ya temporary buying opportunity ho sakti hai, lekin yeh trend reversal ka signal nahi hoga. Yeh analysis un traders ke liye faidemand hai jo abhi ke bearish trend ke saath chalna chahte hain, lekin pullback trades ko bhi consider kar sakte hain.

USD/CHF currency pair is waqt takreeban 0.8342 par trade kar raha hai, jo ek wazeh bearish trend ko zahir karta hai kyun ke pichlay kuch sessions mein yeh musalsal gir raha hai. Yeh movement halan ke dheemi hai, magar mukhtalif economic aur technical asbaab ki wajah se aane wale dinon mein ahem volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Is outlook ko chand buniyadi indicators support karte hain. U.S. dollar ki taaqat ek bara factor hai, jo Federal Reserve ki policy decisions se mutasir hoti hai. Hal hi mein, Fed ka hawkish rukh, jis mein bohot se interest rate hikes shamil hain, dollar ko mazid mazboot bana raha hai. Lekin investors thorey mutashakkik hain kyun ke aise andazay lagaye ja rahe hain ke agar inflation data stable hota hai to Fed apne rate hikes ko kam ya rok bhi sakta hai. Fed ki approach mein koi bhi tabdeeli foran USD/CHF pair ko mutasir kar sakti hai, aur yeh ya to current bearish trend ko ulat sakta hai ya aur zyada intense kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, Swiss franc ko hamesha se market ki uncertainty ya global economic instability ke daur mein safe-haven currency samjha gaya hai. Swiss National Bank (SNB) ne recent mein apni policies mein tabdeeli ki hai taake woh inflation ko manage kar sakein aur economic growth ko support kar sakein. SNB ki taraf se koi bhi anhooni tabdeeli USD/CHF pair par asar dal sakti hai. Agar SNB ek ziyada dovish rukh ikhtiyar karta hai to franc kamzor ho sakta hai, jo USD/CHF par upward pressure daalega. Is ke bar'aks, agar SNB apne inflation control ke irade ko aur mazid tight karne ka signal deta hai, to franc aur mazboot ho sakta hai, jisse bearish trend aur zyada barh sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke lehaaz se, USD/CHF ne kuch ahem support levels tor diye hain, jo is baat ki nishandahi karte hain ke downward momentum barqarar reh sakta hai. Pair ka hal hi mein 0.8350 ke neeche girna ek ahem mark hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke abhi bears control mein hain. Technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), bearish outlook ko mazid reinforce karte hain, kyun ke prices abhi bhi key moving averages se neeche hain aur RSI oversold conditions ko zahir kar raha hai. Halan ke agar pair in oversold levels se bounce back karta hai to ek correction ya retracement dekhne ko mil sakta hai pehle ke mazeed girawat dekhi jaye.

Market sentiment aur external factors, jaise ke geopolitical tensions, bhi volatility mein apna kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Koi bara global event jo safe-haven assets ki demand ko barhaye, Swiss franc ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai aur USD/CHF ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Is ke bar'aks, agar U.S. economic performance ki wajah se dollar ki maqbooliyat barhti hai, to pair current bearish trend ke bawajood upward movement dekh sakta hai.

USD/CHF ke weekly chart ke mutabiq, abhi tak market bearish trend mein hai, aur price ne lower lows aur lower highs banaye hain jo selling pressure ko indicate karte hain. Yeh chart humein moving averages, RSI, aur MACD jese technical indicators ke through market ki current situation ko samajhne mein madad deta hai. Resistance aur Support Levels
Chart par kuch important horizontal levels nazar aa rahe hain, jo resistance aur support ke tor par kaam kar rahe hain. Sabse neeche wali support line takreeban 0.8376 par hai, jo abhi price ko neeche girne se rok rahi hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh price mein aur decline ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, 0.8536 ek important resistance level hai jo agar break ho, toh price bullish side mein move kar sakti hai. Moving Averages (MAs)**
Chart par dikhaye gaye pink aur yellow moving averages bhi bearish trend ko support karte hain. Yeh moving averages abhi price ke upar hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price abhi tak selling pressure mein hai. Agar price in moving averages ke upar close karti hai, toh yeh trend reversal ka pehla indication ho sakta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
RSI abhi oversold zone ke kareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price sold out condition mein hai aur buying interest wapas aa sakta hai. Lekin oversold hone ke bawajood koi strong bounce nazar nahi aa raha, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke abhi tak selling ka control hai. MACD Moving Average Convergence Divergence
MACD indicator bhi abhi negative side par hai aur selling momentum ko confirm kar raha hai. Histogram bars bhi negative hain jo ye dikhata hai ke price mein abhi tak bearish momentum hai. USD/CHF ka trend abhi bearish hai, aur major support 0.8376 par hai. Agar ye support level break hota hai, toh price aur neeche ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price move karti hai aur moving averages ke upar close karti hai, toh ek trend reversal ke asaar ho sakte hain. Buyers ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke woh patience se kaam lein aur kisi strong support ya confirmation ka intezaar karein pehle entry lenay se pehle.

Jaisay Federal Reserve ke September meeting ke liye markets tayari kar rahe hain, expect kiya ja raha hai ke central bank kam az kam 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut implement karega. Iss waqt aggressive 50 bps rate cut ki probability thodi kam ho gayi hai, jo ab 31% par hai, jab ke pichlay hafte ye 38% thi. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo greenback ko chay major currencies ke against track karta hai, paanchwein din se apni upward momentum continue kar raha hai aur ab tak 104.30 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Isi tarah, U.S. Treasury yields bhi steady market ko reflect kar rahe hain, jahan 2-year aur 10-year yields 3.67% aur 3.65% par hain. New York Fed ke former President William Dudley ne recently kaha hai ke 50 bps rate cut ka strong case hai, lekin unka kehna hai ke shayad Fed itna aggressive act na kare. Bretton Woods Committee ke annual Future of Finance Forum mein, jo Singapore mein hua tha, Dudley ne yeh bhi kaha ke agarche possibility hai, magar abhi tak ye unclear hai ke Fed yeh step le ga ya nahi.USD/CHF kaafi volatility face kar raha hai aur kuch key support levels ko test kar raha hai. Pair ne intraday mein chaar mahine ke high ko touch kiya tha jo ke around 0.8775 par tha, magar yeh up move short-lived tha aur pair European trading session ke doran fresh daily low tak retreat kar gaya. Iss waqt pair around 0.8725 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke day mein minimal changes ko show karta hai. Price ne shuru se ek well-established range ke andar trade kiya hai, jo ke consolidation period ko indicate karta hai. Agar pair 0.8611 ke key support level ke neeche break karta hai, toh aur downside expected hai, jo USD/CHF ko December 2023 ke low 0.8334 tak push kar sakta hai, aur additional support 0.8300 ke round-figure level par mil sakti hai. Traders yeh levels closely dekh rahe hain ke koi potential breakout ya further decline ke signals mil saken.

USD/CHF (U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc) pair filhal 0.87289 ke qareeb trade ho rahi hai aur bearish trend ko follow kar rahi hai. Yeh downtrend dheemi lekin barqarar kamzori ko reflect karta hai jo USD ko CHF ke muqable mein show ho raha hai. Halanki trend abhi subtle lag raha hai, lekin kuch indicators hain jo future mein ek bara shift suggest kar rahe hain.Bohat se factors hain jo ke USD/CHF mein bara movement la sakte hain aane wale dino mein. Ek main factor U.S. Federal Reserve ke ongoing interest rate policies hain. Fed ne ab recently apna stance zara cautious rakha hai aur hints diye hain ke further rate hikes limited ho sakte hain agar inflation thoda thanda hota hai. Iss dovish outlook ne U.S. Dollar ki demand ko thoda soft kiya hai. Wahi, Swiss National Bank (SNB) bhi CHF ki stability ko manage kar raha hai, jo ke CHF ko mazid strengthen karta hai, khaaskar jab global economic uncertainty barh jati hai. Investors aksar Swiss Franc ko safe-haven asset ke taur par dekhte hain, yani agar doosri economies mein volatility ya risk barh raha ho, toh CHF ki demand mein izafa ho sakta hai jo ke USD/CHF pair par aur pressure daal sakta hai.Technical analysis bhi ye signal de raha hai ke ek bara movement ho sakta hai. Ek key support level 0.87289 ke qareeb hai jo ke multi-year lows ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh yeh selling wave ko trigger kar sakta hai aur pair ko aur neeche push kar sakta hai. Agar ulta USD mein strength aa jati hai aur yeh level se rebound karta hai, toh bullish reversal ho sakta hai aur pair mein ek significant upward movement aa sakti hai.Saath hi, geopolitical tensions, economic data releases, aur market sentiment bhi external factors hain jo volatility ko barha sakte hain. Agar kisi unexpected economic data jese ke strong U.S. employment numbers ya zyada-than-expected inflation ka release ho, toh USD ki demand mein izafa ho sakta hai aur bearish trend reverse ho sakta hai.Traders ko economic events par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke ye insights de sakte hain ke price movements kis taraf ja sakte hain.

USD/CHF ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum! Halankeh dollar/franc ki jodi me izafa hua, lekin is se kuch khas hasil nahin hua. Yah char-ghante ke chart par 0.8789 (8/8) ki kaledi satah tak pahunchne me bhi nakam raha, jise chune ka mai pichle ek hafte se intezar kar raha tha. 0.8789 ki satah se thik pahle reversal mazid izafe ke liye kamzor imkan ko zahir karta hai. 0.8728 (the 7/8 reversal level) se niche ki girawat is bat ki nishandahi karta hai keh qutes 0.8667 (6/8 reversal level) par support tak gir sakti hain, jisa keh niche chart par dikhaya gaya hai.
Natije ke taur par, aaj mai tawaqqo karta hun keh jodi 0.8667 ki satah ka test karegi. Agar aisa hota hai to, ham 0.8728 aur 0.8667 ke darmiyan tejarati hadd dekh sakte hain. Halankeh, agar qimat 0.8667 se niche toot jati hai to, farokht karne walon ka agla hadaf 0.8606 (5/8 channel ki oopri hadd) ka support level hofa, jahan black 200-roza moving average (MA200) bhi ja raha hai. Yah iski taqat ka ek accha test hoga.

USD/CHF currency pair


jo ke filhal 0.87708 level ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, mein ek bearish trend nazar aa raha hai, jo ke dheere dheere neeche ke taraf move kar raha hai. Market gradual movement kar raha hai lekin kuch signals aise hain jo ane wale dino mein ek bara momentum shift show kar sakte hain.Is outlook mein kai factors shaamil hain. Pehle to United States aur Switzerland ke economic indicators aur announcements ka bara role hai. Agar U.S. Federal Reserve apni hawkish stance par qaim rehta hai jo ke dollar ki strength ko reinforce karta hai, to USD/CHF mein upward movement dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin agar Swiss economic indicators strength show karte hain ya safe-haven assets ka demand barhta hai, to Swiss franc ki value mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo USD/CHF ko niche ki taraf push karega.Pehle bhi aise market patterns mein unexpected volatility dekhi gayi hai. Analysts aksar inflation reports, employment data aur interest rate adjustments ko monitor karte hain taake shifts ko anticipate kar sakein. Agar U.S. economy resilience show karti hai aur Federal Reserve future interest rate hikes ka ishara dete hain, to yeh dollar ka demand barha sakta hai jo USD/CHF par asar karega. Mazeed agar koi geopolitical events hotay hain, to yeh bhi sudden market shifts la sakte hain. Switzerland ko traditionally ek safe-haven currency samjha jata hai, to political instability ya economic concerns ke hawalay se franc ka demand bhi barh sakta hai jo ke bearish trend ko intensify kar sakta hai.Traders ke liye ye zaroori hai ke support aur resistance levels par focus rakhen. Agar USD/CHF support zone ke kareeb pohonchta hai to ek reversal ya lower levels ka test ho sakta hai. Lekin agar koi breakout hota hai, to aage mazeed volatility aa sakti hai. Technical indicators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Averages bhi overbought ya oversold conditions ko hint kar sakte hain, jo traders ko market corrections ke bare mein insights de sakte hain.


Akhir mein, recent trend mein bearish sentiment to nazar aa raha hai lekin USD/CHF mein baray activity ka potential hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur economic news aur technical levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye kyunke koi bara movement ho sakta hai, ya to ek strong continuation bearish trend ka ya phir ek sharp corrective rebound.

Kal forex market mein USD/CHF currency pair ne achi khasi girawat dekhi, jahan price 0.8700 zone tak gir gayi. Yeh itni bari girawat is baat ki nishani hai ke ab market mein sellers ne apni pakad mazboot kar li hai, khaaskar US elections ke chalte hue uncertainty ki wajah se. Jaise ke hum sab jaante hain, US ka siyasi mahaul dollar ki value par asar daal sakta hai, aur yeh electoral process bhi is se mutasir ho raha hai.Traders ab intezar kar rahe hain do important economic indicators ka: unemployment claims aur Employment Cost Index (ECI). Yeh dono reports US labor market aur economy ki halat par roshni dalti hain. Pehle, unemployment claims report har haftay aati hai aur yeh batati hai ke kitne log jobless hone ke baad pehli dafa claim file kar rahe hain. Agar yeh claims umeed se zyada aate hain, to iska matlab ho sakta hai ke job market kamzor ho raha hai, jo dollar ko neeche le ja sakta hai kyun ke investors economy ki stability par shak karenge.Dusri taraf, ECI report har quarter aati hai aur yeh wages aur benefits ke cost ko measure karti hai. Agar ECI high ho, to iska matlab hota hai ke wages tezi se barh rahi hain, jo dollar ke liye positive ho sakta hai, kyun ke yeh ek sehatmand economy ki nishani hoti hai. Lekin agar wages bohat zyada barh jati hain, to inflation bhi barh sakti hai, jo Federal Reserve ko apni policy badalne par majboor kar sakti hai. Agar bullish scenario ki baat karein, to agar USD/CHF 0.9050-0.9070 resistance zone ko torh kar upar chala jata hai, aur apni position ko is level ke upar sustain karta hai, to yeh ek aur rally ka signal de sakta hai, jahan target 0.91 level tak ja sakta hai. Lekin is scenario ke liye zaroori hai ke market yeh level torh kar close kare taake buyers ka momentum barh sake.
Wahin bearish scenario mein, agar price 0.9050 resistance ko torhne mein naakam hoti hai, to yeh batata hai ke sellers wapas aa gaye hain. Aur agar price 0.90 support level ke neeche girti hai, to aur ziada downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jahan target 0.8950 ya us se neeche ka ho sakta hai. Yeh tabhi mumkin hoga agar 0.90 level par selling volume barh jata hai, jo buyers ke interest ko kam karne ka ishara dega.

USD/CHF ka yeh technical analysis humein market ke current trend aur future movement ke hawale se insight de raha hai. Chart par Ichimoku Cloud, Moving Average (200-period), MACD aur RSI indicators use kiye gaye hain jo price ke movement ko behtar samajhne mein madadgar hain.
Ichimoku Cloud ke analysis ke mutabiq, price action is waqt cloud ke andar move kar raha hai, jo ke ek uncertain market condition ko dikhata hai. Yeh cloud buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ka pata de raha hai. Agar price cloud ke neeche break hoti hai toh yeh bearish signal hoga aur mazid girawat ki umeed hai. Lekin agar price cloud ke upar break karti hai toh yeh bullish momentum ka indication hoga aur buyers ke liye ek positive sign hoga. Chart par neeche ek blue line nazar aa rahi hai jo 200-period moving average ko represent karti hai. Yeh moving average asar ki base pe strong support level provide karti hai. Jab tak price is level ke upar hai, support mazboot hai. Lekin agar price iske neeche break karti hai toh yeh market mein ek strong bearish signal hoga, jo price ko further neeche le ja sakta hai. MACD mein recent bearish crossover dekha gaya hai, jo selling pressure ke barhne ka ishara deta hai. MACD ke histogram mein negative bars hain jo ke price ke neeche jaane ke imkanat ko support karte hain. Yeh signal de raha hai ke sellers abhi bhi market pe dominant hain aur yeh trend aage bhi barqarar reh sakta hai. RSI indicator bhi downward trend mein hai aur 50 ke level se neeche move kar raha hai. Yeh momentum ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Agar RSI 30 ke level ke kareeb aata hai toh oversold condition mein hoga, jo ke price ke mazeed neeche girne ka signal dega. In tamam indicators ke analysis ke mutabiq, filhaal USD/CHF pair mein bearish signs zyada mazboot hain. Lekin agla support level moving average ke paas hai. Agar price yeh support todti hai toh girawat barh sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh waqt hai ke woh moving average aur Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche break ke confirmation ka intezar karein taake apne trading decisions behtar bana sakein.

USD/CHF ka tajziyah


Assalam Alaikum! Halankeh dollar/franc ki jodi me izafa hua, lekin is se kuch khas hasil nahin hua. Yah char-ghante ke chart par 0.8789 (8/8) ki kaledi satah tak pahunchne me bhi nakam raha, jise chune ka mai pichle ek hafte se intezar kar raha tha. 0.8789 ki satah se thik pahle reversal mazid izafe ke liye kamzor imkan ko zahir karta hai. 0.8728 (the 7/8 reversal level) se niche ki girawat is bat ki nishandahi karta hai keh qutes 0.8667 (6/8 reversal level) par support tak gir sakti hain, jisa keh niche chart par dikhaya gaya hai.
Natije ke taur par, aaj mai tawaqqo karta hun keh jodi 0.8667 ki satah ka test karegi. Agar aisa hota hai to, ham 0.8728 aur 0.8667 ke darmiyan tejarati hadd dekh sakte hain. Halankeh, agar qimat 0.8667 se niche toot jati hai to, farokht karne walon ka agla hadaf 0.8606 (5/8 channel ki oopri hadd) ka support level hofa, jahan black 200-roza moving average (MA200) bhi ja raha hai. Yah iski taqat ka ek accha test

Jaisay Federal Reserve ke September meeting ke liye markets tayari kar rahe hain, expect kiya ja raha hai ke central bank kam az kam 25 basis point (bps) interest rate cut implement karega. Iss waqt aggressive 50 bps rate cut ki probability thodi kam ho gayi hai, jo ab 31% par hai, jab ke pichlay hafte ye 38% thi. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo greenback ko chay major currencies ke against track karta hai, paanchwein din se apni upward momentum continue kar raha hai aur ab tak 104.30 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Isi tarah, U.S. Treasury yields bhi steady market ko reflect kar rahe hain, jahan 2-year aur 10-year yields 3.67% aur 3.65% par hain. New York Fed ke former President William Dudley ne recently kaha hai ke 50 bps rate cut ka strong case hai, lekin unka kehna hai ke shayad Fed itna aggressive act na kare. Bretton Woods Committee ke annual Future of Finance Forum mein, jo Singapore mein hua tha, Dudley ne yeh bhi kaha ke agarche possibility hai, magar abhi tak ye unclear hai ke Fed yeh step le ga ya nahi.USD/CHF kaafi volatility face kar raha hai aur kuch key support levels ko test kar raha hai. Pair ne intraday mein chaar mahine ke high ko touch kiya tha jo ke around 0.8775 par tha, magar yeh up move short-lived tha aur pair European trading session ke doran fresh daily low tak retreat kar gaya. Iss waqt pair around 0.8725 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke day mein minimal changes ko show karta hai. Price ne shuru se ek well-established range ke andar trade kiya hai, jo ke consolidation period ko indicate karta hai. Agar pair 0.8611 ke key support level ke neeche break karta hai, toh aur downside expected hai, jo USD/CHF ko December 2023 ke low 0.8334 tak push kar sakta hai, aur additional support 0.8300 ke round-figure level par mil sakti hai. Traders yeh levels closely dekh rahe hain ke koi potential breakout ya further decline ke signals mil saken.