امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

USD/CHF
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Swiss franc jodi ne mazbut oopri raftar hasil ki. Aaj, bears ne apne ibtedai nuqsanat ko pur kiya aur qimat ko niche khinch liya. Zyada imkan hai keh dollar/franc jodi 0.8405 ki support satah par fisal jayegi. Halankeh, aage kya hoga yah abhi sawal bana hua hai. Agar qimat 0.8405 ke nishan se niche fix ho jati hai to, tawaqqo hai keh asset kamzori ko badha dega. Agar is satah ke ooper kharid signal paida hota hai to, bulls market par control hasil kar lenge aur qimat ko opper dhakel denge, lekin yah yaqini taur par aaj hone wala nahin hai. Yaumiyah chart se pata chalta hai keh ek mandi ki candlestick ban rahi hai, halankeh chizen badal sakti hai kiyunkeh aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me America se aham khabron ki release shamil hain.

USD/CHF currency pair ki live pricing ko decipher karna hai. Analyzed graph dikhata hai ke asset ke liye ek clear bullish sentiment hai, jo ke Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator se sabit hota hai. Ye technique traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein price fluctuations ka ek smoother aur averaged representation deti hai, jo technical analysis ko asaan banati hai aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko behtar karti hai. Saath hi, TMA Triangular Moving Average linear channel indicator jo ke current support aur resistance levels ko Moving Average lines ke saath outline karta hai, trading mein madadgar sabit hota hai aur currency pair ki movement boundaries ko delineate karta hai. RSI oscillator final signal filtering aur trade decisions ke liye use hota hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ko identify karta hai.
Chart par is period ke bullish candlesticks blue hain, jo ek evident upward price movement ko show karte hain. Market quotes initially linear channel ki lower boundary se neeche gaye, lekin ek minimum point par pohanch kar rebound kiye aur wapas channel ke midpoint ki taraf move kiye. RSI (14) oscillator, jo signal filtering ke liye use hota hai, bhi buy signal ko confirm karta hai kyun ke iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se door hai.
Financial instrument dheere dheere channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ke iss waqt 0.88137 par priced hai. Hourly chart par, bearish forces koshish kar rahe hain ke wo ongoing correction phase ko torain. Lekin, unke liye abhi act karna thoda jaldi hoga, kyun ke consolidation process abhi tak mukammal nahi hui hai. Price 1/3 angle se thoda upar aur 0.8628 ke 25% support level ke just upar hai. Bears shayad price ko in levels ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke ek rebound bullish direction mein hoga, jo ke shayad 1/4 angle tak pohanch sakta hai ya agar bulls momentum gain kar lein to 50% resistance level tak 0.8826 par bhi pohanch sakta hai
USD/CHF currency pair ke price behavior ko ghair mamooli taur par monitor kiya ja raha hai. Haal hi mein, US dollar ne market sentiment management ke mukhtalif tareeqon ka samna kiya hai. Yeh manipulation Powell ke speech se pehle aur uske dauraan wazeh hui. Media ne pehle se hi yeh report kar diya tha ke Fed September mein rates cut karega, jab ke Powell ne is baat ko wazeh taur par confirm nahi kiya. Uska lehja zyada dovish tha, lekin khaas details ka fauqdaan tha. Yeh rate cut November ya December mein US elections ke baad ho sakta hai, aur agar yeh September mein hota hai, toh shuru mein US dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Support 0.8434 par hai, jahan se neeche interest kam ho raha hai. Powell ke speech ke baad, USD/CHF ne Jumma ko triangle se breakout show kiya, aur 0.8434 ke support level ka test mumkin hai, jahan buyers ka interest mojood hai. Lekin yeh pair ab bhi heavily overbought hai, jo bullish sentiment ko momentum hasil karne se mazbooti se rok raha hai kyun ke 0.8434 se neeche interest mein kami aa rahi hai.

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**USD/CHF H-1**

USD/CHF H1 US Dollar/Swiss Franc ke liye. H1 time frame par currency pair ka technical analysis dekhte huye, mujhe lagta hai ke market mein sell karna maqool hai. Mere mukhya wajahen yeh hain:

1. Price MA200 moving average ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai.
2. Pichle din ke dusre hissa mein, pair opening mark ke neeche trading kar raha tha aur trading day bhi iske neeche khatam hua.
3. Price values din ke doran lower Bollinger band ko upar se neeche cross karti hain, jo southern mode ko emphasize karta hai aur zyada mumkin hai ke instrument girta rahe.
4. Trading mein, main RSI indicator ke reading par khas dhyan deta hoon. Agar RSI overbought period (70 ke upar) ya oversold period (30 ke neeche) dikhata hai, to main trade nahi karta. Ab, RSI selling ke khilaf nahi hai, kyunki price favorable zone mein hai.
5. Main take profit ko Fibo level 211% par set karunga, jo price level 0.84095 ke barabar hai. Aur phir, position ka ek hissa breakeven par move karne ke baad, main zyada door ke Fibo levels par move karunga.

**Technical Analysis**

**USD/CHF H-4**

USD/CHF H4 ke liye sab kuch waise ka waisa hai aur H4 sellers 0.9048 ke high ke neeche trading kar rahe hain. Kal ka USD/CHF price 0.8446 ke doosre zone level ke neeche stable hai. Price ab bhi 0.8358 ke doosre zone ke lower border par girti ja rahi hai. Lekin, agar hum dekhein ke kal ka bearish candlestick volume itna convincing nahi tha, to yeh mumkin hai ke 0.8446 par support ka breakout false prove ho. Agar dollar-franc price aaj is level ko break kar deti hai aur phir se surface par aati hai, to device ka image dobara badal sakta hai. Trading ke maamle mein, main short selling ke liye bohot cautious hoon. Halankeh yeh USD/CHF ke liye historical lows hain, yeh mere liye nahi hai aur main choti choti purchases hi karta hoon.

Hum USD/CHF currency pair ki pricing movement par ongoing study par focus kar rahe hain. Is waqt, USD/CHF currency pair hourly chart par downward trend dikhara hai, aur price 132-period moving average ke neeche position hai, jo is movement ko reinforce karta hai. Shorter time frame par bhi price ne 132-period moving average ke neeche close kiya hai, jo is trend mein selling opportunities ko present karta hai. Agar price 0.8464 ke level par pullback karta hai, to yeh selling transactions ke liye ek acha setup ho sakta hai. Buying ka scenario tabhi viable hoga agar price 0.8599 ke level ke upar stable ho jaye. Abhi ke liye, hourly chart par trend ke andar trading ko priority di gayi hai.

Agar price unexpectedly 0.84727 ke neeche drop hota hai, to mujhe losses cut kar ke trade se exit karna parega, lekin yeh meri pasandida approach nahi hogi. Bullish momentum abhi develop ho raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh continue karega. Halaanki, abhi selling trades ki probability low hai, lekin 0.84346 ka level sell positions ke liye ek target ho sakta hai.

Lambi muddat mein, Swiss franc US dollar ke muqablay mein strength gain kar raha hai, jo ke ek ahem factor hai. Weekly chart par USD/CHF pair ke observations mein selected sections mein bullish formations ne bearish ones ko absorb kar liya hai, jo continued downtrend ka signal deti hai. Overall, mujhe umeed hai ke price 0.8329 ke area ko test karega.

USD/CHF pair ke hawalay se, mujhe strong reasons nazar aate hain is pair ke saath upward movement ki expectation ke sath trade karne ke liye. Main capital investment ke liye options explore kar raha hoon, taake USD/CHF prices mein increase ka faida uthaya ja sake. Aaj ek notable resistance level hai—0.85108—jiski taraf buying ek strategic move ho sakta hai. Positive trade ka likelihood promising lag raha hai, aur pair is waqt 0.84819 level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. General tor par, agar price 0.84727 level ke upar rehta hai, to additional purchases consider karna munasib hai.

USDCHF currency pair abhi H1 (one-hour) timeframe par aik kafi significant bearish trend dekh raha hai. Haal ki price movements consistent lower highs aur lower lows ka pattern dikha rahi hain, jo ke downward momentum ko signify karta hai. Technical analysis mein bearish trend ka matlab hota hai lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila. Is pattern ka matlab hai ke sellers market mein dominate kar rahe hain, aur har move ke sath price neeche ja rahi hai. H1 chart par USDCHF ka yeh trend clearly nazar aata hai, jahan har peak aur trough pichle se neeche girte ja rahe hain, jo bearish outlook ko mazid taqat deta hai.

Is bearish trend ke peeche kai factors hain. Market sentiment aur broader economic conditions kaafi aham kirdar ada karte hain currency pair direction ko influence karne mein. Agar investors Swiss franc ko US dollar ke muqable mein zyada safe investment samjhein, to woh CHF ko zyada hold karenge, jis se USDCHF mein decline aayega. Economic data, geopolitical events, aur interest rate changes bhi sentiment ko shift karne mein madadgar ho sakti hain.

Technical indicators bhi is bearish trend ki aur confirmation dete hain. Misal ke taur par, moving averages jaise ke 50-period aur 200-period MAs market ki overall direction ko highlight kar sakti hain. Agar price consistently in moving averages ke neeche rahe, to yeh bearish sentiment ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Is ke ilawa, oscillators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi dikha sakte hain ke pair overbought ya oversold hai, jo potential reversals ya trend continuations ke baray mein insights de sakte hain.

Traders aksar bearish trend se faida uthane ke liye mukhtalif strategies use karte hain. Woh short-selling opportunities talash kar sakte hain, jahan price lower highs show kare, aur stop-loss orders recent peaks ke upar set karein taake risk manage ho sake. Ya phir woh retracement ya correction ka intezar karte hain bearish trend ke andar, taake behtar price level par enter kar sakein.

Trading mein effective risk management zaroori hai, khaaskar strong trending market mein. Stop-loss orders set karna taake potential losses limit ho sakein aur position sizes ko ache tareeqe se manage karna exposure control karne ke liye aham hai. Market conditions rapidly change kar sakti hain, is liye new information ke mutabiq strategies adjust karna bhi bohot zaroori hota hai.

In summary, USDCHF pair ka current bearish trend H1 timeframe par lower highs aur lower lows ka pattern dikha raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke downward momentum abhi barkarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Traders ko technical indicators aur broader market factors ko decision-making mein consider karna chahiye, jab ke sound risk management practices ke sath is trend ko navigate karna chahiye

USD/CHF currency pair ne recent dino mein achi khasoosiyat se upar ki taraf harkat ki hai, jabke broader market trend ab bhi bearish hai. Yeh recent bullish pressure ek bara downtrend ke context mein ek upward correction lagti hai. Aise corrections trend ke markets mein aam hote hain, jahan temporary price reversals dekhne ko milte hain uske baad dominant trend phir se resume hota hai. Is waqt ka correction price ko ek critical supply area mein le aya hai, jo ke 0.86948 se 0.87141 ke darmiyan hai, aur traders is area ko nazar mein rakh rahe hain kyunki yeh price direction ko reverse kar sakta hai.

Supply area jo 0.86948 aur 0.87141 ke beech hai, yeh ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh ek aisa zone hai jahan selling pressure barh sakta hai. Technical analysis ke context mein, supply area wo jagah hoti hai jahan asset ne pehle selling pressure ka samna kiya hota hai, aksar sell orders ke concentration ya pehle ke high ke wajah se jahan se price reverse hoti hai. Jab price is area ko dobara visit karti hai, traders ko lagta hai ke market shayad phir se selling ke sath react karegi, jo ke current upward correction ko rok sakti hai ya reverse kar sakti hai. Is case mein, supply area ek resistance zone ka kaam karta hai, jahan sellers ki strength buyers se zyada ho sakti hai, leading to price decline.

Yeh situation aur bhi complex hai kyunki overall trend USD/CHF mein bearish hai. Recent bullish correction ke bawajood, larger downtrend US dollar ke muqablay Swiss franc mein underlying weakness ko reflect karta hai. Yeh bearish trend kai factors se driven ho sakta hai, jaise Federal Reserve ki dovish stance, US mein economic uncertainty, ya Swiss franc ki strong position jo global instability ke dauran safe-haven ke tor par dekhi jaati hai. Swiss franc ki strength, jo economic ya geopolitical stress ke dauran refuge ke tor par dekhi jaati hai, bhi USD/CHF par downward pressure ko contribute kar sakti hai.

Is context ko dekhte hue, recent bullish move ko ek temporary retracement ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai na ke trend reversal ke tor par. Traders shayad 0.86948 se 0.87141 supply area ke aas paas cautious rahenge, reversal ke signs ke liye dekhenge jo broader bearish trend ke resumption ko indicate kar sakte hain. Agar price is resistance zone ko break nahi karti aur decline shuru karti hai, to yeh prevailing downtrend ko reinforce karega aur suggest karega ke correction apna course complete kar chuki hai.

122 USD-CHF currency brace ne H4 timeframe ke trading map par ek force area banaya jo 0.8670 ke price se lekar 0.8680 ke price tak tha. Jahan tak demand area ka taluq hai, pichlay haftay ke trading mein 4 August 2024 se 9 August 2024 tak, USD-CHF currency brace ne bhi 0.8430 se lekar 0.8420 tak ek demand area banaya. Yeh areas iss waqt ke trading ke liye ek ahmiyat rakhte hain ke kya yeh trend jo ab tak bana hai, uski durability dekhne ko milay gi ya phir trend mein koi tabdeeli aaye gi Follow the Trend Index ka Tajziya Iss dafa maine 3 follow the trend pointers istimaal kiye hain. Pehla follow the trend index hai moving average index period 7 operation to close system to exponential (EMA period 7), doosra moving average index period 15 operation to close system to exponential (EMA period 15), aur teesra Bollinger Bands index period 23 operation to close system to exponential. H4 timeframe ke trading map par yeh saaf zahir hai ke USDCHF currency brace ab tak in teeno follow the trend pointers ke ooper hi move kar raha hai. Price ab tak limited range mein move kar rahi hai aur Bollinger Band index period 23 operation ke middle band aur upper band ke darmiyan trade ho rahi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke H4 timeframe ke trading map par USDCHF currency brace ab tak uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai. Waisa hi, 7-period moving average index aur 15-period moving average index exponential system operation ke liye ab tak USDCHF currency brace ke trading map par bullish trend hi dikha rahe hain Counter the Trend Index ka Tajziya
Agar hum relative strength indicator (RSI) index ko dekhein, toh RSI 14 index ka wind ab 50 aur 70 ke darmiyan move ka


r raha hai H4 timeframe ke trading map par. Yeh dikhata hai ke H4 timeframe ke trading map par USDCHF currency brace ab tak uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai. Lekin agar hum RSI 14 index ke wind ko dekhein, toh yeh subha ya more specifically Asian trading session ke baad thoda neeche ki taraf dip kar gaya hai jab buyers 0.8740-0.8750 ke price par force area position ko access karne mein kamiyab nahi ho paye. Toh yeh mumkin hai ke RSI 14 index ka wind position 50 ki taraf dive kare, jisse ke trading correction ho sakti hai jo ke iss haftay ke aakhir mein trading mein guzar chuki uptrend par hoga

franc ki safe-haven currency ke taur par pehchaan hai, jo global economic uncertainty ke doran investors ko apni taraf khenchti hai. Dosri taraf, US dollar dunya ki dominant reserve currency hai, jo Federal Reserve policies, economic data releases, aur geopolitical developments jaise mukhtalif factors se mutasir hoti hai. Jab hum USD/CHF ka H4 chart dekhte hain, to ye wazeh hota hai ke yeh pair promising price action dikha raha hai, jo profitable trading opportunities ko janam de sakta hai. Price ke recent movement se ek optimistic outlook ka pata chalta hai, jisme aagay mazeed upward momentum ki gunjaish hai. H4 time frame traders ko ek qeemti nazariya deta hai, jo short-term fluctuations aur medium-term trend development ke darmiyan balance paish karta hai. Technical analysis ke lehaaz se, H4 time frame traders ko potential entry aur exit points ke bare mein ahem insights faraham karta hai. Chart par recent candles ek series of higher lows aur higher highs dikhati hain, jo aam tor par ek bullish signal hota hai. Ye pattern suggest karta hai ke market filhaal buyers ko support kar raha hai, aur price ke near future mein naye resistance levels tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. USDCHF H1 time frame chart par, traders aksar technical analysis ka sahara lete hain apne trading decisions ko guide karne ke liye. Is tareeqay mein resistance aur support levels, trading volumes, aur mukhtalif technical indicators ka ghor se jaiza liya jata hai, jo ke potential future price movements ke bare mein insight fa


raham karte hain. Is analysis mein, hum in ahem pehluon par focus karenge taake USD/CHF pair ke liye ek outlook bana sakein. Trading volumes bhi price movements ki strength ko confirm karne mein ahem kirdar ada karti hain. Zyadah volumes aam tor par mazid strong price movements ko dikhati hain, chahe price upar ja rahi ho ya neeche. H1 time frame par, support ya resistance levels ke qareeb volume spikes ka dekhna market ke confidence ke bare mein clues deta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar resistance ke upar breakout ho aur sath hi high volume ho, to ye ek mazid sustainable move ko suggest karta hai, kyun ke ye traders mein strong interest ko zahir karta hai. Wohi, agar breakout ke waqt volume kam ho, to ye conviction ki kami ka ishara karta hai, jo false breakout ka ehtimal barha sakta hai. USD/CHF currency pair ka technical outlook H1 time frame par resistance aur support levels, volume activity, aur basement indicators, jaise ke RSI aur MACD, ka tehqiqi jaiza lekar bana h

bulls ke hawalay karne ke liye tayar nahi hain. Zigzag line ka neeche ki taraf trend bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke iss waqt sell positions zyada munasib hain. Mera MACD indicator, jo main signals ko validate karne ke liye istemal karta hoon, yeh bhi yeh batata hai ke abhi sales sab se behtar option hain. Mera irada hai ke main apna open order tab close karoon jab price 61.7% Fibonacci level tak pohanch jaye, jo ke 0.84311 par hai. Agar mera deposit zyada hota, toh main euro-dollar ko aur aggressively short karta kyun ke iske upar jaane ke imkaanaat kam hain, aur lagta hai ke sellers ne apni potential thak li hai. Four-hour chart par dollar-Franc pair ka tajziya karte hue, main Francs ke liye dollars bechne ko dollar yen ke muqable mein zyada munasib samajhta hoon. Aaj subah main ne dollar-yen aur euro-dollar pairs donon ko becha tha. Maine pound bechne ka bhi socha tha, lekin dollar-yen zyada appealing laga kyun ke us mein zyada movement points dikhai de rahe the. Lekin, maloom hua ke dollar-Franc ne aaj sab se zyada points pass kiye hain, aur sab tawaqquat se zyada behtar perform kiya. Dollar-yen ke baraks, dollar-Franc ne koi pullback nahi dekha. Yen-dollar pair mein thoda retracement hua, lekin Franc-dollar ne apni steady decline ko jaari rakha. Agar main uski peak se sell karta, toh mujhe kaafi munafa ho sakta tha, khas kar jab ke do euro aur dollar ke pairs invest kiye hue hain. Mujhe tawaqqu hai ke dollar-Franc mazeed neeche girega aur yeh 0.84365 ke support level tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. Main abhi bhi yeh samajhne ki koshish kar raha hoon ke


ine pehle dollar-yen USD/CHF Analysis Aaj hum USD/CHF currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mera maqsad aaj dollar-franc pair ki future price movement ko channel indicator ke zariye predict karna hai, jo ke moving average trends par mabni hai. Price neeche ki taraf hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers buyers par haavi hain. Chote bullish pullbacks ke bawajood, bears ab bhi dominant hain aur wo abhi tak control bulls ke hawalay karne ke liye tayar nahi hain. Zigzag line ka neeche ki taraf trend bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke iss waqt sell positions zyada munasib hain. Mera MACD indicator, jo main signals ko validate karne ke liye istemal karta hoon, yeh bhi yeh batata hai ke abhi sales sab se behtar option hain. Mera irada hai ke main apna open order tab close karoon jab price 61.7% Fibonacci level tak school

Jumay ke European session ke doran, USD/CHF pair 0.8400 ke round-level support ke qareeb aa gaya. US Dollar (USD) ki intehai kamzori ki wajah se, Swiss Franc asset chothay trading session mein bhi nuqsan uthata ja raha hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo USD ki qeemat ko chheh doosri currencies ke muqablay mein napta hai, is hafte 101.00 se neeche gir gaya hai, kyunke US labor market ki halat ke hawalay se tashweesh barh rahi hai. August ke liye US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke numbers, jo 12:30 GMT par jari honay walay hain, ke intezar mein market ab bhi risk se bachne wali position mein hai. Apni risk-averse khasiyat ki wajah se, Swiss Franc (CHF) ki haven ke tor par maqbooliyat barh gayi hai.

Investors bade shiddat se US NFP data ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke ye data Federal Reserve (Fed) ke iss maheenay ke monetary policy meeting mein rate cut ke decision ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Maashiyat-dano ke mutabiq, US companies ne August mein 160K naye employees ko shamil kiya, jo July ke 114K ke muqablay mein zyada hain. Berozgari ki shara 4.3% se ghatt kar 4.2% hone ki umeed hai.

Swiss National Bank (SNB) se bhi umeed hai ke wo is maheenay dobara se interest rates kam karega, kyunke iss ilaqay mein inflationary pressures ab kam ho rahe hain. Switzerland ka saalana Consumer Price Index (CPI) peechlay release ke 1.3% se zyada tez raftar mein ghatt kar, estimates ke mutabiq 1.1% par aa gaya hai.

1H Chart





USD/CHF horizontal support line ki taraf gir raha hai, jo December 28, 2023 ke daily low 0.8333 se draw ki gayi hai. Choti Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) gir rahi hain, jiski wajah se Swiss Franc asset ka short-term aur long-term outlook ab bhi negative hai. Mazid, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 20.00–40.00 ke bearish zone mein hai, jo ke mazid negative momentum ko barqarar rakhta hai.

Agar yeh asset 0.8400 ke round-level support ke neeche girta hai, toh aage mazid downside dekhne ko milegi, jo 28 December 2023 ke low 0.8333 aur 0.8300 ke round-level support tak le ja sakti hai. Iske baraks, agar asset weekly high 0.8540 ke upar bounce karta hai, toh 0.8600 ke round-level resistance aur 20 August ke high 0.8632 tak barh sakta hai.

4H Chart

USD/CHF currency pair is currently trading at 0.8649 aur is waqt bearish trend mein hai, jo traders aur analysts ki attention ko attract kar raha hai. Halankeh iski gradual decline ke bawajood, ye pair critical levels ke kareeb aa raha hai jo aane wale dinon mein significant movement ki nishandahi kar sakti hai. USD/CHF exchange rate US dollar (USD) aur Swiss franc (CHF) ke beech value ko reflect karta hai, dono hi duniya ki sabse influential currencies mein se hain. Swiss franc ko aksar ek safe-haven currency ke tor par dekha jata hai jo global economic uncertainty ke dauran mazid strong ho jata hai, jabke US dollar bhi ek safe haven mana jata hai, lekin yeh zyada tar economic data aur interest rates ke fluctuations se mutasir hota hai.
Maujooda level 0.8649 par, USD/CHF key support levels ke nazdeek hai jo iski agli direction ko determine karenge. Ongoing bearish trend is baat ko indicate karta hai ke selling pressure barqarar hai, lekin market ki slow pace yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ek decisive move ka intezar kar rahe hain jo kisi catalyst se driven ho sakta hai.

USD/CHF pair US dollar (USD) aur Swiss franc (CHF) ke beech exchange rate ko reflect karta hai, dono ka global impact kaafi significant hai. Swiss franc ko global economic uncertainty ke dauran stronger currency ke tor par dekha jata hai. Iske muqablay mein, jabke US dollar bhi ek safe haven hai, yeh zyada tar global economic dynamics, interest rates, economic data, aur geopolitical developments se influence hota hai.

Filhal, 0.8649 par, USD/CHF important support levels ke nazdeek hai. Bearish trend yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers control mein hain aur gradually pair ko lower push kar rahe hain. Lekin market ki slow movement bhi traders ke beech strong conviction ki kami ko indicate karti hai, jo ek significant breakout ka

August mein, US mein job growth 142 hazar raha, jo ke thoda kam tha jo umeed kiya gaya tha (consensus 165 hazar, Commerzbank ka forecast 150 hazar), Commerzbank ke Senior Economist Dr. Christoph Balz kehte hain.

Pair 0.8375 ke low par bottom kiya aur phir 0.8400 ke upar recover ho gaya lekin daily losses ko hold kiya. US ke August ke NFPs umeed se kam aaye, jo ke weak labor market data trend ko follow karte hain. Investors shayad September mein Fed se zyada cut ki umeed laga sakte hain.

Friday ko USD/CHF ne 0.8375 ke daily low tak gir gaya aur phir 0.8400 ke upar recover ho gaya. Lekin, upside limited hai kyunke US ne weak labor market figures report kiye hain.

US Dollar ki appeal kam ho gayi hai August ke lower-than-expected NFP report ke baad, jisne 142,000 naye jobs create kiye, jo ke 160,000 ke forecast se kam hai lekin July ke revised figure 89,000 se zyada hai. Unemployment Rate as expected kam ho kar 4.3% se 4.2% ho gaya. Additionally, Average Hourly Earnings saal dar saal 3.8% barh gayi, jo ke expectations se zyada hai.

Data ke baad, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September 18 ke meeting mein 0.50% rate cut ki likelihood lagbhag 40% par bani hui hai, lekin ek cheez pakki hai ke easing cycle us mahine se shuru hoga, 25 bps cut ke sath. Aane wale data isse bada cut justify karenge ya nahi.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook

USD/CHF ka outlook neutral se bearish hai kyunke Relative Strength Index (RSI) deep negative territory mein hai lekin iska slope flat hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat green bars dikha raha hai, jo pair ke neutral outlook ko further support karta hai. Overall, bias ab bhi downside ki taraf hai kyunke pair apne 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke neeche trade kar raha hai.

Hum USD/CHF currency pair ki pricing movement par ongoing study par focus kar rahe hain. Is waqt, USD/CHF currency pair hourly chart par downward trend dikhara hai, aur price 132-period moving average ke neeche position hai, jo is movement ko reinforce karta hai. Shorter time frame par bhi price ne 132-period moving average ke neeche close kiya hai, jo is trend mein selling opportunities ko present karta hai. Agar price 0.8464 ke level par pullback karta hai, to yeh selling transactions ke liye ek acha setup ho sakta hai. Buying ka scenario tabhi viable hoga agar price 0.8599 ke level ke upar stable ho jaye. Abhi ke liye, hourly chart par trend ke andar trading ko priority di gayi hai.
Agar price unexpectedly 0.84727 ke neeche drop hota hai, to mujhe losses cut kar ke trade se exit karna parega, lekin yeh meri pasandida approach nahi hogi. Bullish momentum abhi develop ho raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh continue karega. Halaanki, abhi selling trades ki probability low hai, lekin 0.84346 ka level sell positions ke liye ek target ho sakta hai.

Lambi muddat mein, Swiss franc US dollar ke muqablay mein strength gain kar raha hai, jo ke ek ahem factor hai. Weekly chart par USD/CHF pair ke observations mein selected sections mein bullish formations ne bearish ones ko absorb kar liya hai, jo continued downtrend ka signal deti hai. Overall, mujhe umeed hai ke price 0.8329 ke area ko test karega.

USD/CHF pair ke hawalay se, mujhe strong reasons nazar aate hain is pair ke saath upward movement ki expectation ke sath trade karne ke liye. Main capital investment ke liye options explore kar raha hoon, taake USD/CHF prices mein increase ka faida uthaya ja sake. Aaj ek notable resistance level hai—0.85108—jiski taraf buying ek strategic move ho sakta hai. Positive trade ka likelihood promising lag raha hai, aur pair is waqt 0.84819 level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. General tor par, agar price 0.84727 level ke upar rehta hai, to additional purchases consider karna munasib hai.

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD exchange rate 1.1100 ke round-level number ke upar stable hai. Leading currency pair ka short-term outlook unchanged hai, jo 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas, yaani 1.1055 ke aas-paas stabilize ho raha hai. 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, jo 1.0970 aur 1.0865 ke aas-paas upward trend dikha rahe hain, ye indicate karte hain ke longer-term view bhi positive hai. Daily time level par, shared currency pair bhi Rising Channel breakthrough ko maintain kar raha hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI 75.00 ke aas-paas overbought ho gaya tha aur ab 60.00 ke neeche aa gaya hai. Euro ke bulls ke liye agle targets upar ki taraf 1.1200 aur July 2023 ka high 1.1275 honge. Niche ke movement ko psychological support level 1.1000 ke paas roknay ki umeed hai.

Technical Analysis

USD/CHF horizontal support line ke taraf gir raha hai, jo daily low 0.8333 se 28 December 2023 ko draw kiya gaya tha. Sabhi short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) gir rahe hain, isliye Swiss Franc asset ke liye short- aur long-term outlook ab bhi negative hai. Strong negative momentum bana hua hai, kyunki 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish band 20.00–40.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai.

Agar asset round-level support 0.8400 ke neeche girta hai, to aur girawat dekhi ja sakti hai, jo major ko 28 December 2023 ka low 0.8333 aur round-level support 0.8300 tak le ja sakti hai. Iske vipreet, agar asset weekly high 0.8540 ke upar bounce back karta hai, to asset ko round-level resistance 0.8600 aur August 20 ka high 0.8632 ki taraf push kiya ja sakta hai.

USDCHF currency pair abhi H1 (one-hour) timeframe par aik kafi significant bearish trend dekh raha hai. Haal ki price movements consistent lower highs aur lower lows ka pattern dikha rahi hain, jo ke downward momentum ko signify karta hai. Technical analysis mein bearish trend ka matlab hota hai lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila. Is pattern ka matlab hai ke sellers market mein dominate kar rahe hain, aur har move ke sath price neeche ja rahi hai. H1 chart par USDCHF ka yeh trend clearly nazar aata hai, jahan har peak aur trough pichle se neeche girte ja rahe hain, jo bearish outlook ko mazid taqat deta hai.
Is bearish trend ke peeche kai factors hain. Market sentiment aur broader economic conditions kaafi aham kirdar ada karte hain currency pair direction ko influence karne mein. Agar investors Swiss franc ko US dollar ke muqable mein zyada safe investment samjhein, to woh CHF ko zyada hold karenge, jis se USDCHF mein decline aayega. Economic data, geopolitical events, aur interest rate changes bhi sentiment ko shift karne mein madadgar ho sakti hain.

Technical indicators bhi is bearish trend ki aur confirmation dete hain. Misal ke taur par, moving averages jaise ke 50-period aur 200-period MAs market ki overall direction ko highlight kar sakti hain. Agar price consistently in moving averages ke neeche rahe, to yeh bearish sentiment ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Is ke ilawa, oscillators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi dikha sakte hain ke pair overbought ya oversold hai, jo potential reversals ya trend continuations ke baray mein insights de sakte hain.

Traders aksar bearish trend se faida uthane ke liye mukhtalif strategies use karte hain. Woh short-selling opportunities talash kar sakte hain, jahan price lower highs show kare, aur stop-loss orders recent peaks ke upar set karein taake risk manage ho sake. Ya phir woh retracement ya correction ka intezar karte hain bearish trend ke andar, taake behtar price level par enter kar sakein.

Trading mein effective risk management zaroori hai, khaaskar strong trending market mein. Stop-loss orders set karna taake potential losses limit ho sakein aur position sizes ko ache tareeqe se manage karna exposure control karne ke liye aham hai. Market conditions rapidly change kar sakti hain, is liye new information ke mutabiq strategies adjust karna bhi bohot zaroori hota hai.

In summary, USDCHF pair ka current bearish trend H1 timeframe par lower highs aur lower lows ka pattern dikha raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke downward momentum abhi barkarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Traders ko technical indicators aur broader market factors ko decision-making mein consider karna chahiye, jab ke sound risk management practices ke sath is trend ko