USD/CHF H1: Kal ke trading ke natayij ke baad, Swiss franc ke kharidar ne pehla upward impulse banaya aur H1 timeframe par, jiss ke baad shomali shuruati line 0.8660 se USD/CHF ki qeemat janub ki taraf correction ke liye mur gayi. Swiss dollar ke liye qareebi ahm support SOP 0.8551 par hai, aur agar bears is level se niche pair ko giraane mein kaamyaab ho jaate hain, toh pair ki surat-e-haal phir se tabdeel ho sakti hai. Agar yeh support barqarar rehti hai aur us ke baad qeemat shomali shuruati line ke upar wapas aa jati hai, toh mumkin hai ke bulls ek aur upward impulse shuru karen jin ke targets pehle impulse zone ke levels 0.8802 aur 0.8890 par honge. Is waqt, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/CHF aglay shomali correction ka aaghaz kar raha hai, aur ismein bohat kuch market ke reaction par munhasir hoga jo resistance ke shomali shuruati line 0.8660 par hai.
Market ki harkat ko is ilaaqe mein maine impulse sellers ke breakout ke zariye bearish energy ke izafay ke taur par tashkhees kiya hai. Is ilaaqe mein chart ne 200-day moving average ko hour ke hisaab se cross kiya hai, jo ke "death cross" ke saath 50MA ke intersection par hai aur is sab ko do oscillators se milne walay bearish signals mazboot banate hain. Yani, is ilaaqe mein bears ne ek mazboot difa kiya hai jo bullish correction ke mazeed taraqqi ko rokti hai. Iss zone mein main pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga, is idea ke saath ke bullish pullback mukammal ho jaye. Agar aisa hota hai ke bulls qeemat ko channel mein wapas lane aur uske structure ko qaim rakhne mein kaamyaab ho jaate hain, toh deep correction ke taraqqi ka scenario saamne aayega, jiss mein channel ki resistance line tak moomkin harkat hogi, aur phir wahan se niche ki taraf.
Qeemat channel ke upper border (neeli dandi line) se guzar gayi, maximum se bounce kiya, aur phir middle line (peeli dandi line) ki taraf wapas aa gayi. Issi waqt, RSI oscillator se milne wala buy signal poori tarah se validate hota hai, kyun ke iski upward curve iss waqt overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Yeh natija nikalta hai ke ek munafe baksh long-term buy transaction mukammal karne ka acha mauka hai aur channel ke lower border (surkh dandi line) par qeemat ke point 0.85602 tak pohanchne ka. Minimum 0.85430 zahir kiya gaya hai. Agar qeemat barhni shuru hoti hai aur market structure tabdeel hota hai, toh mujhe nuksan ki bharpai karni hogi.
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