امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

Filhaal, pair mein koi bullish reversal ke aasaar nahi dikhai de rahe, aur agar aaj ka CPI data dollar ke liye support nahi deta, jaisa ke peechlay din ke trading mein dekha gaya, to girawat jaari reh sakti hai. Aisi surat mein, USD/CHF 0.8635 ka level torh sakta hai, jo ke is waqt ek ahem support ke tor pe kaam kar raha hai. Yeh support level ab tak price ko mazeed girne se roknay mein kaamyaab raha hai, lekin bearish sentiment ke barhnay ke saath yeh dabaav mein hai.
H4 timeframe par dekha jaye to 0.8635 ke ird gird ek imbalance zone mojood hai. Yeh zone wo price area hai jahan buying aur selling barabar nahi rahi, jo aksar significant price movement ka sabab banta hai jab is area ko dobara dekha jata hai. USD/CHF ko neeche jane ke liye is imbalance zone ko torhna hoga, jo ke downward trend ke tez hone ka ishara hoga.

Agar pair 0.8635 ke neeche break kar jata hai aur H4 chart par is level ke neeche close hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karega. Is se mazeed girawat ke darwazay khul sakte hain, jo aane walay sessions mein niche support levels ko target karenge. Dosri taraf, agar CPI data dollar ke liye support faraham karta hai, to girawat mein waqti rukawat dekhi ja sakti hai, lekin overall bearish bias tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak market sentiment mein koi bara reversal na ho.

Khol kar kaha jaye to, USD/CHF pair filhaal ek declining trend mein hai, jahan 0.8635 ek ahem support level hai. Market CPI data ka intezar kar raha hai, jo ke is pair ka agla bara move tay karega. H4 timeframe par imbalance zone ka break downtrend ke jaari rehne ko tasdeeq karega, is liye traders ke liye is level par ghehri nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Hamesha ki tarah, trading strategies ko market ke halat ke mutabiq dalna risk ko manage karne aur potential opportunities ka faida uthane ke liye zaroori hai

Hamari guftagu ka mawzu USD/CHF currency pair ke price behavior ka tajzia hai. USD/CHF pair ke girne ke imkanaat mazid mazboot hain. 4-hour chart par, pair ne downtrend ko follow kiya hai, jahan price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke downward momentum ko zahir karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Aaj ke session mein, pair ne bearish movement barqarar rakha, aur bears ne koshish ki ke pivot level ke neeche kaarobar karte hue 0.8630 par qaim rahen. Agar candle is reversal level ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh sell karne ka mazboot signal hoga. Intraday sales ke targets classic Pivot points ke support levels hain. Mein tawakku karta hoon ke mojooda levels se mazid kami hogi, aur agar 0.8599 ke support level ka break hota hai to ek naya downward pressure aayega, jo ke price ko support line ke kareeb 0.8542 ke neeche le ja sakta hai.
Aaj ka downtrend barqarar raha, jahan USD/CHF ne 0.8621 ke support level ka test kiya lekin is ke neeche mazboot position nahi bana saka. Ek choti si upward pullback ke baad, bears ne phir se control hasil kiya aur price ko wapas 0.8621 ke support level par le gaye taake usay dobara test karen. Ho sakta hai ke bears isay break karne ki koshish karen aur us ke neeche consolidate karen. Agar wo is mein kamyab ho jate hain, to agla support level 0.8580 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar 0.8621 ke upar buying ka mauqa milta hai, to bulls control hasil kar sakte hain, aur pair ko 0.8677 resistance level ki taraf le jaane ki koshish karenge. Yeh pichle trading range ki limits ko zahir karta hai jo ke hourly chart par dikhayi de raha hai. Bulls ne pehle price ko old descending channel mein wapas laane ki koshish ki lekin wo apni position ko consolidate nahi kar sake. Bears ne breakout ko rok diya aur bulls ko channel se nikal diya, price ko uski asli position par wapas le aaye

Is hafta ke beech mein, USD/CHF currency pair ke D1 chart par nazar daali jaye. Iss hafta, price ko neeche dhakelne ka silsila qaim hai. Wave structure apna downward pattern barqarar rakhta hai, jahan MACD indicator lower zone mein hai, lekin signal line ke upar. Hali mein, price ki girawat ko support level 0.8634 ne rok liya tha, magar yeh level neeche se break ho chuka hai. Agar yeh level neeche se test hota hai, to selling consider ki ja sakti hai, aur umeed hai ke current downward wave ke minimum tak girawat hogi. Shayad yahan se is level tak uthaan ho, kyun ke major pairs US dollar ke lambe waqt se weakening ke baad correct karne ke liye hain. Khaaskar euro ke khilaf direct pair ne aham resistances tak pohanch liya hai aur apne targets ko hit kiya hai, is liye isme girawat ka imkaan hai, jo specified level tak uthaan mein reflect hoga. Isliye, downward trend ke bawajood, behtar yeh hoga ke sirf upward entries ko din ke andar consider kiya jaye. 0.8634 ke level tak ka rasta free hai, takriban 70-80 points ke darmiyan. Iss range mein, short-term M5 period par upwards trade kiya ja sakta hai. Wahan se, nazar aaye ga, aur 0.8634 ke level se selling consider ki ja sakti hai agar euro dollar apne growth ko dobara shuru karne ka irada confirm karta hai. Aaj zyada news nahi hain, sirf shaam mein Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes aayegi. Lekin yeh news sirf interest rates ke bagair hai, itni ahmiyat wali nahi hai, agar rates ka zikar hota to baat alag hoti.
Choti H1 period par, CCI indicator par ek choti bullish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai, aur M5 ke levels ne upward order banana shuru kar diya hai. Mere khayal mein, market se yahi se buying ki ja sakti hai. H1 timeframe chart par USD/CHF currency pair mein bearish movement hai, jahan significant lows kam ho rahe hain, aur 120-period moving average price ke upar hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers buyers par haavi hain. Sellers ki dominance zigzag indicator se bhi confirm hoti hai, jo ek clear descending structure dikhata hai. Price ki position moving average indicator ke relative se selling confirm hoti hai. Yeh level 0.8540 par hai. Yeh behtar hai ke buying ki bajaye selling consider ki jaye. Main 0.8540 ke level se do orders ke sath selling consider karta hoon, jahan pehli profit target price level 0.8500 par hai, aur doosri target 0.8460 par hai, aur stop-loss 0.8570 par set karta hoon. Buying tabhi munasib hai jab pair 0.8600 ke price level ko tod kar uske upar consolidate kare. Purchases ko 0.8640 ke level par close karna behtar hoga, aur purchases se honay wale nuksan ko 0.8570 par limit karna chahiye.
Price movement EMA 200 ke neeche move kar rahi hai, jo confirm karta hai ke USD/CHF pair mein sellers dominate kar rahe hain, jahan Rising Wedge pattern aur price movements ke darmiyan Deviation se yeh tasdeeq hoti hai. Anqareeb USD/CHF apni weakening ko jari rakh sakti hai jahan 0.8502 ka level test kiya jayega. Agar yeh break karne mein kaamyab hota hai, to agla target 0.8460 hoga, aur agar momentum aur volatility support karti hai, to 0.8430 agla target hoga. Lekin yeh sab weakening scenarios tabhi invalid aur cancel ho jayein gay agar achanak koi significant strengthening correction aata hai, jahan 0.8653 ka level break ho jaye aur USD/CHF iske upar chala jaye.

USD/CHF currency pair is currently trading at 0.8649 aur is waqt bearish trend mein hai, jo traders aur analysts ki attention ko attract kar raha hai. Halankeh iski gradual decline ke bawajood, ye pair critical levels ke kareeb aa raha hai jo aane wale dinon mein significant movement ki nishandahi kar sakti hai.

USD/CHF exchange rate US dollar (USD) aur Swiss franc (CHF) ke beech value ko reflect karta hai, dono hi duniya ki sabse influential currencies mein se hain. Swiss franc ko aksar ek safe-haven currency ke tor par dekha jata hai jo global economic uncertainty ke dauran mazid strong ho jata hai, jabke US dollar bhi ek safe haven mana jata hai, lekin yeh zyada tar economic data aur interest rates ke fluctuations se mutasir hota hai.

Maujooda level 0.8649 par, USD/CHF key support levels ke nazdeek hai jo iski agli direction ko determine karenge. Ongoing bearish trend is baat ko indicate karta hai ke selling pressure barqarar hai, lekin market ki slow pace yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ek decisive move ka intezar kar rahe hain jo kisi catalyst se driven ho sakta hai.

USD/CHF pair US dollar (USD) aur Swiss franc (CHF) ke beech exchange rate ko reflect karta hai, dono ka global impact kaafi significant hai. Swiss franc ko global economic uncertainty ke dauran stronger currency ke tor par dekha jata hai. Iske muqablay mein, jabke US dollar bhi ek safe haven hai, yeh zyada tar global economic dynamics, interest rates, economic data, aur geopolitical developments se influence hota hai.

Filhal, 0.8649 par, USD/CHF important support levels ke nazdeek hai. Bearish trend yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers control mein hain aur gradually pair ko lower push kar rahe hain. Lekin market ki slow movement bhi traders ke beech strong conviction ki kami ko indicate karti hai, jo ek significant breakout ka early sign ho sakta hai.

USD/CHF dheere dheere apne bearish trend mein move kar raha hai, lekin kuch factors significant movement ki possibility suggest karte hain. Economic data releases, central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, aur overall market sentiment sab mil kar pair ki direction ko determine karenge aane wale dinon mein.

Traders aur investors ke liye, iska matlab hai ke USD/CHF significant opportunities provide kar sakta hai. Chahe pair mein sharp rebound ho ya further decline, market ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake potential breakout ke signs mil saken. Technical aur fundamental factors par nazar rakh kar, traders apne positions ko accordingly adjust kar sakte hain upcoming movements ki anticipation mein

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

USD/CHF rebounds to near 0.8550 as traders await FOMC Minutes

USD/CHF ne Wednesday ki Asian session mein mazboot note par trade kiya, taqriban 0.8545 par. Fed rate cut expectations ka badhna, pair ke upside ko rok sakta hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ka Friday ko hone wala speech closely watch kiya jayega.

Wednesday ke early European trading hours ke dauran USD/CHF pair 0.8545 ke qareeb positive ground hold kar raha hai. Greenback ka modest recovery major pair ko kuch support faraham kar raha hai. Lekin, pair ka upside limited ho sakta hai rising expectation ki wajah se ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) apne September meeting mein interest rate cut karega. Traders Wednesday ko July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes ka intezar kar rahe hain.

US mein monetary policy apne inflection point ke qareeb hai. Iss easing cycle mein rate cuts ka pace aur number data-dependent hoga. Markets ab takreeban 67.5% odds price kar rahe hain ke September meeting mein 25 basis points (bps) ka Fed rate cut hoga, jo ke kal ke 76% se neeche hai, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq. 50 basis points rate cut ki probability 32.5% tak gir gayi hai, jo pichle hafte 53.0% thi.

Tuesday ko, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ne note kiya ke woh apne policy stance mein kisi bhi tabdeeli par ehtiyaat baratengi. Unhone yeh bhi kaha ke kisi bhi single data point par zyada react karna jo progress ab tak hui hai usko khatrey mein daal sakta hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ka Friday ko Jackson Hole Symposium mein hone wala speech aur ziada hints de sakta hai ke Fed ke plans kya hain. Rising bets of rate cuts aur Fed ka dovish stance USD ke Swiss Franc (CHF) ke muqable mein kamzor hone ke chances ko barha sakta hai.

Swiss National Bank (SNB) ne apna policy rate 1.75% tak badhaya tha pehle ke woh apna interest rate March mein cut karna shuru karen. Bloomberg ke surveyed majority economists ne anticipate kiya ke September mein ek aur 25 bps ka cut hoga, jabke traders aur zyada loosening par betting kar rahe hain. Issi dauran, economic uncertainty aur Middle East mein geopolitical tensions safe-haven flows ko boost kar sakte hain, jo ke Swiss Franc (CHF) ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai.

USDCHF Fundamental Analysis

Swiss Franc (CHF) Switzerland ka official currency hai. Yeh duniya ke top ten most traded currencies mein shamil hai, jo ke Switzerland ki economy ke size se bohot zyada hai. Iski value broad market sentiment, country ki economic health, ya Swiss National Bank (SNB) ke liye gaye actions se determine hoti hai, aur kayi doosray factors se bhi. 2011 se 2015 ke darmiyan, Swiss Franc Euro (EUR) ke saath peg tha. Peg ko achanak remove kiya gaya, jisse Franc ki value mein 20% se zyada ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jo ke markets mein turmoil ka sabab bana. Peg ab force mein nahi hai, lekin CHF ki fortunes Euro ke saath highly correlated rehne ka imkaan hota hai, Switzerland ki economy ka neighboring Eurozone par zyada dependency hone ki wajah se.

Swiss Franc (CHF) ko ek safe-haven asset mana jata hai, ya woh currency jo investors market stress ke dauran khareedte hain. Yeh Switzerland ke world mein perceived status ki wajah se hai: ek stable economy, ek strong export sector, big central bank reserves, ya global conflicts mein longstanding political neutrality ka stance banata hai country ki currency ko investors ke liye ek acha choice jab woh risks se bachne ke liye flee karte hain. Turbulent times CHF ki value ko doosri currencies ke muqable mein jo ke zyada risky invest karna mana jata hai, strong kar sakta hai.

Swiss National Bank (SNB) saal mein char martaba milti hai – har quarter mein ek dafa, baqi major central banks se kam – monetary policy ka faisla karne ke liye. Bank ka aim annual inflation rate ko 2% se kam rakhna hota hai. Jab inflation target se upar ho ya foresee karna ke target se upar hogi, bank price growth ko tame karne ke liye apna policy rate badhata hai. Higher interest rates aam tor par Swiss Franc (CHF) ke liye positive hoti hain kyun ke ye higher yields ki wajah se investors ke liye mulk ko zyada attractive banati hain. Ulta, lower interest rates CHF ko weak kar deti hain.

Macroeconomic data releases Switzerland mein economy ke state ko assess karne mein key hoti hain aur Swiss Franc’s (CHF) valuation par asar daal sakti hain. Swiss economy broadly stable hai, lekin koi bhi achanak economic growth, inflation, current account ya central bank ke currency reserves mein change CHF ko moves mein trigger karne ki potential rakhta hai. Generally, high economic growth, low unemployment aur high confidence CHF ke liye achi hoti hain. Wahi, agar economic data weak momentum ki taraf ishara karay, CHF depreciate ho sakta hai.

Ek choti aur open economy hone ke natay, Switzerland zyada tar Eurozone economies ke health par depend karta hai. Broader European Union Switzerland ka main economic partner hai aur ek key political ally bhi, to Eurozone mein macroeconomic aur monetary policy stability Switzerland aur, thus, Swiss Franc (CHF) ke liye essential hoti hai. Iss dependency ke saath, kuch models suggest karte hain ke Euro (EUR) aur CHF ki fortunes ka correlation 90% se zyada hai, ya close to perfect hai.

USDCHF Wave Analysis

USDCHF currency pair ne recently apne resistance area se neeche reverse kiya jo resistance level 0.8735 (former monthly low from March), 20-day moving average aur downward impulse ka 50% Fibonacci correction from the start of July ke beech set tha.



Is resistance area se downward reversal ne active minor corrective wave B ko shuru kiya, jo ke ABC correction (4) ka hissa hai.

Widespread US dollar sales aur multi-month downtrend ko dekhte hue, USDCHF currency pair ka fall hote hue expect kiya ja sakta hai agle support level 0.8500 tak (active wave B ke completion ka target).

USD/CHF H1 chart
Aaj market band hai, yeh acha waqt hai agle hafte ke liye trading strategy banane ka. Market ki mojooda soorat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, yeh behtar hoga ke USD/CHF ke liye ek buy order place kiya jaye, aur short-term target 0.8682 par set kiya jaye. Yeh target recent upward momentum aur market ke halat ke saath strategically aligned hai, jo traders ko ongoing trend ka faida uthane mein madad karega
Zaroori hai ke kisi bhi aanay wali news ya economic data par nazar rakhi jaye jo USD/CHF market ko affect kar sakti hai. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank announcements jese factors pair ki movement ko asar dal sakte hain, jo market sentiment ko badal sakte hain. Is liye, news par informed rehna aur relevant updates par foran react karna ek kamyab trading strategy ke liye zaroori hai
Iske ilawa, trading decisions ko market sentiment ke saath align karna bhi maslehatmand hoga. Bari market trend ke saath chalne se traders apni position ko behtar banane mein madad karte hain, jo nuksan ka risk kam kar ke targets hasil karne ke imkanat ko barhata hai. Isliye, agle hafte ke liye strategy USD/CHF ko buy karne par focus karni chahiye, 0.8682 ka target rakhtay hue aur har us news par nazar rakhtay hue jo market sentiment ko affect kar sakti hai
Chart patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur mukhtalif technical indicators ka istemal kar ke market ke behavior ki pehchan ki ja sakti hai aur potential price targets establish kiye ja sakte hain. Traders in tools ka istemal karke woh aham levels identify karte hain jahan buying ya selling pressure intensify ho sakta hai. Agar kisi significant technical threshold ke ooper ya neeche breakout hota hai, to isse bari price movements ho sakti hain, jab traders accordingly react karte hain
Mojooda market dynamics ko dekhte hue, ek ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai. Buyers ke liye growth ka potential hai, lekin yeh samajhna bhi aham hai ke sellers ki underlying strength bhi barqarar hai, khaaskar agar descending channel ke andar downward momentum jaari hai. 0.59138 level ka test karna aglay market move ko determine karne ke liye pivotal hoga. Agar market is level ke ooper rehta hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko confirm kar sakta hai; lekin agar yeh threshold ke neeche chala jata hai, to yeh bearish activity ki wapsi ka signal ho sakta hai. Key levels aur linear regression channel ke behavior ko closely monitor kar ke, traders market ke direction ko behtar samajh sakte hain

mixed signals diye hain. US economy resilient rahi hai, strong labor market data aur robust consumer spending ke sath, halaanke kuch inflation concerns hain. Dosri taraf, Swiss economy, jo aam tor par safe haven mana jata hai, global economic uncertainties se asar andaz hui hai. Traders in indicators ko ghore se dekh rahe hain taake mustaqbil ki movements ko andaza laga sakein. ### Central Bank Policies Central bank policies forex market mein aik aur critical factor hain. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Swiss National Bank (SNB) ka USD/CHF pair par significant asar hota hai. Fed ki interest rates par stance, khaaskar inflation-targeting regime ke hawale se, closely monitor ki jaegi. Kisi bhi rate hikes ya cuts ke hints sharp movements mein USD ko le ja sakte hain. Isi tarah, SNB ki policy decisions, khaaskar negative interest rates aur forex market interventions ke hawale se, CHF ko asar andaz karengi. SNB ne tareekhi tor par CHF ki excessive appreciation ko prevent karne ke liye intervene kiya hai, aur mustaqbil mein aise actions USD/CHF pair mein volatility ko janam de sakte hain. ### Geopolitical Events Geopolitical events bhi forex market mein substantial movements ka sabab ban sakte hain. USD/CHF ke liye, developments jaise ke trade tensions, political instability, ya global economic crises increased volatility ko le aati hain. Swiss franc, jo safe-haven status ke liye jana jata hai, global uncertainty ke waqt appreciate hota hai. Isliye, kisi bhi significant geopolitical events ke nateeje mein USD/CHF pair mein sharp movement aa sakti hai. ### Technical Analysis Technical analysis ke point of view se, USD/CHF is waqt aik bearish trend
Hai

uptrend mein contribute kar rahe hain. US economy ne resilience dikhai hai strong employment numbers, robust consumer spending, aur stable inflation outlook ke sath. Yeh positive economic indicators US dollar ko mazbooti de rahe hain. Ise ke sath, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance, jo relatively hawkish rahi hai, bhi mazid interest rate hikes ke potential ke zariye stronger dollar ko support karti hai. Iske muqabil, Swiss National Bank ne cautious approach rakha hai, Swiss economy ke challenges jaise ke slow growth aur low inflation ko reflect karte hue Geopolitical factors bhi bohot ahem role ada karte hain. Swiss franc ka relative stability aur safe-haven status aksar global uncertainty ke dauran iski mazbooti ko dekhata hai. Magar, haali global geopolitical tensions kuch kam hone ke sath, Swiss franc ki safe-haven asset ke taur par demand kam ho gayi hai, jo ke USD/CHF pair ke strengthening mein contribute kar rahai USD/CHF currency pair ki price behavior analysis ke pechida details par gaur kar rahe hain. Aakhri waqt mein currency pair ke dynamics kaafi stable rahe hain, is wajah se humne daily aur weekly charts ko weekends par ghor se dekha. Aham tor par, humne dekha ke yeh pair 50th Fibonacci level ko pohanch gaya hai, jo ke iski price movement mein aik ahem point hai. Aage dekhte hue, agla critical level jo dekhne layak hai woh 61.8 Fibonacci level hai, jo ke 0.8672 ke barabar hai, aur is se current position se 160 points se zyada ka potential gain mil sakta hai. Pichle paanch kaam ke dinon mein, market mein thori si volatility ke sath 150 points se thori zyada ka modest movement dekhne ko mili, jo scalping enthusiasts ke liye khasa dilchasp hai. Swiss franc se mutaliq routine economic data ke bawajood, dollar-franc pair ke hourly

USD/CHF Price Movement Strategies

Daily Timeframe Analysis

USDCHF currency pair ka chart daily timeframe par hai. Mere khayal se, aakhri kuch dinon mein candlestick movement bearish trend ki taraf ja rahi hai. Pichle hafte yeh kaafi tez niche gaya, 0.9510 ke level tak gir gaya. Pichle mahine ke shuruati trading session mein, market ne 0.8777 se khula aur is hafte phir se bearish movement dekhi gayi. Kal raat tak, decline kaafi significant range ke saath nazar aayi. Bearish price movement ab bhi 0.8537 ke level par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke price ke downward trend ki taraf wapas jane ke chances abhi bhi kaafi bade hain.

Indicators Analysis

Ab main market movement ko dekhunga jo ke kuch indicators ke zariye analysis ke liye use kiya gaya hai:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14): Lime Line 30 ke qareeb gir gayi hai, jo ke market mein abhi bhi bearish situation ko reflect karta hai.
• MACD Indicator: Histogram bar consistently zero level ke neeche move kar rahi hai aur iska size bhi lamba hai. Yellow dotted signal line bhi histogram ke saath neeche ja rahi hai, jo ke bearish market situation ko indicate karta hai.
• Simple Moving Average 60: Yellow Simple Moving Average indicator bhi downward trend ko show kar raha hai.

Is analysis ke madde nazar, bearish trend abhi bhi continue hota hua lagta hai. Price movements aur indicators ko monitor karte rahna zaroori hai taake accurate trading decisions liye ja sakein.

USD/CHF Price Movement Analysis

H4 Timeframe Analysis

Agla, maine USDCHF chart ko H4 timeframe par monitor karne ki koshish ki. Indeed, Monday ko trading ke dauran market ne bearish movement ke sath start kiya jo candlestick ko neeche push karne mein successful raha. Uske baad, Tuesday raat tak, seller's troops market ko control karte hue nazar aaye, jis se candlestick phir se neeche move hui.

Current Market Condition

Aaj subah se trading session mein, market trend conditions sideways phase mein dekhi gayi. Yeh condition indicate karti hai ke market ab bhi bearish movement ki taraf hi move kar raha hai. Sideways movement ke bawajood, overall bearish trend ab bhi dominate kar raha hai, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke price movement ab bhi niche ki taraf hone ke zyada chances hain.

USD/CHF Price Movement Analysis

Indicator Development

Ab main indicators ka development dekhunga. Indeed, Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) ka Lime Line level 30 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke week ke shuru se lekar kal raat tak bearish trend ko dikhata hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar ab zero level ke neeche positioned hai, iska size stable aur long hai, aur yellow signal line bhi neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Aakhri kuch dinon mein, candlestick neeche move hui hai aur Simple Moving Average indicators 60 aur 150 ke area ke neeche penetrate kar gayi hai.

Conclusion

Technical data analysis ke adhar par, indicators ab bhi USDCHF price ko bearish dikhate hain jo is hafte consistently bearish raha hai. Abhi bhi price sideways movement mein hai. Aakhri kuch dinon mein trend ke madde nazar, market ab bhi bearish lagti hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price phir se niche move kar sakti hai, khaaskar H4 timeframe mein, jahan price decline Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 lines se door hoti ja rahi hai.

Trading Plan

Sell transaction ko level 0.8528 se execute karna plan hai. Bearish target ko level 0.8485 rakha hai aur Stop-loss ko level 0.8555 par set kiya jayega.

USD/CHF Price Movement ke Liye Strategies

USD/CHF currency pair ka chart daily timeframe par hai. Mere khayal mein, aakhri kuch dinon mein, candlestick movement ko aise trend ki taraf tend karna kaha ja sakta hai jo bearish path ki taraf le ja raha hai. Pichle hafte, price kaafi strongly downward move hui, 0.9510 tak gir gayi. Pichle mahine ke early trading session mein, market 0.8777 se open hui aur is hafte bearish movement phir se dekhi gayi. Kal raat tak, decline kaafi significant range ke sath nazar aayi. Bearish price movement ab bhi 0.8537 ke level par hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke price ke niche move karne ka possibility abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai.

Agla step yeh hai ke market movement ko kuch indicators ke zariye monitor karunga jo analysis ke liye use kiye gaye hain. Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par, Lime Line level 30 ke nazdeek gir gayi hai aur yeh situation market mein chal rahi bearish prices ki tarah hai. MACD indicator par, histogram bar ab bhi consistently zero level ke neeche move kar rahi hai aur iska size bhi lamba hai, yellow dotted signal line bhi histogram ke saath neeche ja rahi hai, jo ke bearish market situation ko indicate karti hai. Is waqt, yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator bhi downward trend par hai.

USD/CHF Chart Analysis with H4 Timeframe

Agla, maine USD/CHF chart par H4 timeframe ke sath price movement ko monitor kiya. Haqiqat mein, Monday ke trading mein market ne bearish movement se shuru kiya jo candlestick ko neeche push karne mein kaamyaab raha. Iske baad, Tuesday raat tak, sellers ke troops market ko control karte nazar aaye, jis wajah se candlestick phir se neeche move hui.

Aaj subah se trading session mein, market trend conditions abhi bhi sideways phase mein dekhi gayi hain, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke market bearish hi hai.

Indicator Development Analysis

Ab main indicators ke development ko dekhta hoon. Haqiqat mein, Relative Strength Index (14) ka Lime Line level 30 ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke is hafte ke shuru se lekar kal raat tak bearish situation ko darshata hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar filhaal zero level ke neeche positioned hai, iska size stable aur long hai, aur yellow signal line bhi neeche ja rahi hai. Pichle kuch dinon mein, candlestick neeche move hui hai aur Simple Moving Average (SMA) indicators 60 aur 150 ke area ke neeche penetrate kar chuki hai.

Conclusion:

Kuch technical data aur indicators ke tajziye ke base par, zyada tar indicators ab bhi USD/CHF price ko bearish show karte hain jo is hafte consistently bearish move kar raha hai. Abhi bhi price sideways move kar rahi hai. Pichle kuch dinon ke trend ko dekhte hue, jo market ab bhi bearish lagti hai, mujhe lagta hai ke price phir se niche move kar sakti hai, khaaskar H4 timeframe mein price ka decline ab Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 lines se aur bhi door nazar aa raha hai.

Trading Plan:

Sell transaction ko 0.8528 level se execute karna hai, bearish target ko 0.8485 level par set kiya hai aur Stop-loss ko set karne ki zaroorat hai.

Siyasat qareeb ke dorani bazaar ke manzar-e-qabul ko shaamil karti hai. Amreeki President Biden Democratic National Convention ka ijra Chicago mein shuru karenge. Ye zyada zaroori nahi ke Biden ke hawale se khitabat par tawajjo ho, balki Vice-President Harris ke policy proposals par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. Bazaar yeh nahi samajhte ke campaign ki baatein asal policy banengi.

“Food retailers ke ‘price-gouging’ ka masla zyada mushkil hota ja raha hai. Amreeki retailers ka profits-to-GDP ratio pandemic se pehle 14% ke qareeb tha jo ab tak 22% ke nazdeek hai (wholesalers ka profit ratio pandemic se pehle ke levels par hi raha). Absolute price controls aam tor par economists ke nazdeek bekaar hai. Competition ko enforce karna aur consumers ko educate karna profit-led inflation se niptne ke liye behtar hai.”

“Federal Reserve ka summer camp central bankers ke liye hafte ke akhir mein hai, aur behtareen Fed meeting ke minutes mid-week mein milenge. Summer camp zyada tawajjo ka markaz ban sakta hai. Fed President Daly ek series of rate cuts ke aane ki isharaat de rahi thi.”

USD/CHF ne pichle dino mein correction ki hai, jo ye sawaal uthata hai ke kya ye niche ki taraf revers ho raha hai. Abhi tak ye itna nahi gira ke trend reversal ka confident indicator ban sake aur uptrend ka dubara shuru hona mumkin hai.

USD/CHF ne August 5 ko ek naya low banane ke baad raasta badal diya aur upar ki taraf trend shuru kar diya. Yeh 4-hour chart par higher highs aur lows bana raha hai jo short-term uptrend ko darshata hai. Yeh August 15 ko 0.8749 par peak hua. Uske baad se correction shuru hui. Yeh August 19 ko 0.8616 ka naya low bana chuka hai.

Sawaal yeh hai ke kya ye correction sirf ek pullback hai ya ek gehra niche ka move shuru ho raha hai?

Halaanki USD/CHF bearish signs dikha raha hai, magar ye phir bhi thoda bullish lagta hai, halanki risks ke bina nahi. Yeh August 4 ke lows se rally ke trendline ke neeche aur dono 100 aur 50-period Simple Moving Averages ke neeche gir chuka hai – aur daily chart par kaafi bearish lagta hai (jo yahan nahi dikhaya gaya). Ye sab negative signs hain, magar short-term trend abhi bhi intact hai. Zyada niche jane ki zaroorat hai taake trend reversal confirm ho sake.

Agar 0.8618 support level ke neeche close hota hai, to yeh short-term trend ka reversal aur naye downtrend ka shuru hone ka confirmation dega. Aise mein yeh niche target 0.8560 tak gir sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, yeh pair recover bhi kar sakta hai. August 15 ki high se pullback ko agar ABC correction ke taur par dekha jaye, to uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai.

Agar current lows par bullish reversal candlestick pattern banta hai to yeh saboot ho sakta hai ke pair apne uptrend ko dobara shuru karne wala hai. Ya phir 100 SMA ke 0.8688 par close hone se bhi confirmation mil sakti hai.

Phir yeh pair August 15 ki high 0.8749 tak phir se chadh sakta hai. Agar isse upar break ho jaye to trend shayad 0.8776 ke resistance tak extend ho sakta hai

USD/CHF currency pair ki price action ka tajziya aaj humare guftagu ka main topic hai. Aaj, main bearish channel indicator ka istemal karke price movement ka forecast karna chahta hoon jo moving average analysis par mabni hai. Filhaal channel south ki taraf ja raha hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ki dominance buyers par zyada hai. Halankeh kuch bullish pullbacks bhi dekhne ko mil rahe hain, lekin bears abhi bhi control mein hain aur bulls ko zyada chance nahi de rahe. Zigzag line ki direction yeh batati hai ke ab short positions kholna behtar hai. MACD aur momentum indicators bhi bearish signals ko filter karte hain aur short sales ke liye indicate karte hain. Main khula hua order tab band karunga jab yeh Fib level 61.8% tak pahunch jaye, jo 0.84311 par hai. Lekin pehle pair ko support level 0.8537 ko paar karna hoga, jo filhaal further bearish movement ko rok raha hai. Sellers ka target 0.8405 hai, aur jab yeh target reach ho jayega, to upward reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
USD/CHF pair downward trend mein hai, jo 0.8529 ka low hit karke bounce back karne ki koshish kar raha hai. TF M15 par bearish trend already lagbhag confirm hai, aur yeh zaroori hai ke is level ko barqarar rakhein bina H1 pivot 0.8544 ke neeche girte hue, jo ke rise ko support karega towards the break zone of the bearish H1, jo 0.8589 aur 0.8594 ke beech hai. Yeh bearish trends ko H1, H4, aur Daily par support karega aur naye lows ki taraf decline ko enable karega. Agar price pivot H1 5/8 (0.8696) aur pivot H1 7/8 (0.8757) ke beech consolidate hoti hai, to bearish H4 ka break hoga aur bearish Daily ke break zone ki taraf aage badhega. Daily abhi bhi bearish hai, aur decline ke liye 0.8309 tak ka stronger push dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Bullish reversal tab confirm hoga jab growth aur consolidation 0.8929 se 0.8981 ke beech hogi

Pichle Wednesday ko USDCHF ki harkat zyada bara nahi thi kyunki currency pair sirf 50 pips ke aas paas move hui. Magar iske bawajood, USDCHF ka girna jaari raha aur isne 0.8549 se 0.8506 tak girawat dekhi. Is girawat ne h1 support jo ke 0.8518 par tha, usko niche ki taraf tod diya. Is wajah se trade ki opening position kal se neeche thi kyunki USDCHF abhi bhi pressure mein thi.

H1 timeframe se dekhne par, h1 support jo ke 0.8522 par tha, usko bhi tod diya gaya, jo ke USDCHF ke aur girne ka ishara hai. Abhi candle ka position support ke neeche hai aur demand area jo ke 0.8506 par tha, usko penetrate karne mein asam hai. Agar ye demand area break na ho, to USDCHF wapas upar aa sakti hai. Lekin agar ye break ho jaye, to girawat aur barh sakti hai. Abhi seller ka pressure kaafi zyada hai, isliye demand area break karne ke baad USDCHF 0.8436 ke agle demand area ki taraf gir sakti hai jo ke abhi tak nahi chhuna gaya aur yeh target ke liye theek hai. Ichimoku indicator ke zariye analysis karne par, candle Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke USDCHF ka bearish trend dikhata hai. Ichimoku indicator bhi signal de raha hai ke Thursday ko USDCHF phir se gir sakti hai. Jab tak candle line aur Kumo ke neeche hai, USDCHF ka movement pichle kuch dinon mein ziada gir raha hai aur rise hone ke chances kam hain.



Stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke USDCHF oversold condition mein hai. Yeh natural hai kyunki pichle teen din se USDCHF gir rahi hai. Stochastic ab level 20 par hai jo ke oversold condition ko dikhata hai. Isliye, mujhe ehtiyaat rakhni hogi kyunki oversold condition USDCHF ko upar bhi le ja sakti hai, khas taur par jab candle demand area ko penetrate nahi kar rahi. Aaj ke analysis ka nishkarsh yeh hai ke USDCHF ke girne ke chances hain. Ichimoku indicator ke hisaab se, candle abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai aur 0.8522 ka support bhi neeche hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke aap USDCHF mein buy positions par focus karein. Take profit target 0.8436 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko sabse nazdeek resistance par 0.8589 par set kar sakte hain.

Us dollar aur Swiss franc ka currency pair pichlay chand dino se barh raha hai. Magar yeh barhawa aik correction ke dauran aya hai, kyunkay baray timeframes par neechey ki taraf rujhan dekha ja sakta hai. Aaj price ne hamen aik achi neechey ki taraf impulse di, jo is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke yeh pair apni giraawat jari rakhnay ke liye tayar hai. Is liye, kal short positions kholne ki koshish karni chahiye, misaal ke taur par resistance level 0.8855 se. Agar price mazeed girti hai, to 0.8840 ka level, jo ke guzashta Jumay ka high hai, bhi acha lagta hai. Targets ke liye, koi naye tareeqay se sochne ki zaroorat nahi hai, kyunkay correction gehra hai.

Agar USDCHF currency pair apna mojooda minimum 0.8776 update karta hai, to yeh kaafi acha hoga. Jaise ke purchases ka taluq hai, yeh tabhi mumkin hain agar price descending channel ko tor de.

Main daily chart par dekhta hoon ke yeh currency pair teen din se gir raha hai. Aaj trading mein giraawat jari hai. Dekhna dilchasp hoga ke aaj yeh giraawat jari rehti hai ya phir koi doosra scenario ban jata hai. Aao is currency pair ki aaj ki harkat ko predict karne ki koshish karte hain. Is ke liye, aaj ke liye is currency pair ka technical analysis aur recommendations dekhte hain. Moving averages - sell, technical indicators - sell, conclusion - sell. Aisa lagta hai ke aaj hum is currency pair ki neechey ki taraf harkat ki tawakku kar sakte hain. Aaj ke important news releases par bhi nazar daalte hain. United States se important news release hui hai, is ka asar manfi ho sakta hai. United States se doosri important news bhi expected hai, jiska projection neutral hai. Switzerland se koi important news expected nahi hai, aur aaj yehan chutti bhi hai. Mera khayal hai ke aaj is currency pair ki harkat sideways rehnay ka imkaan hai. Main support level 0.8730 tak sales ki tawakku karta hoon. Purchases resistance level 0.8755 tak mumkin hain

Filhal, hum USD/CHF currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Friday ko, pair ne bearish movement dikhayi, lekin agar hum daily chart ko dekhen, to pehle yeh upar ki taraf move kar raha tha. Ab sab se bara sawal yeh hai ke kya downward trend Monday ko bhi continue karega ya humein kisi different direction ki ummeed rakhni chahiye. Chaliye, technical analysis mein ghuss karte hain taake hum pair ke next movement ko predict kar saken. Moving averages selling ka signal de rahe hain, technical indicators bhi strong sell ki taraf indicate kar rahe hain aur recommendation yeh hai ke selling ko continue kiya jaye. Pair ke niche aur movement ka mushkil hai. Switzerland se koi significant updates nahi hain, lekin US se kuch important news hai, jo ke currently neutral forecast hai. Iska matlab hai ke pair ke decline ko continue karne ka chance hai. Selling price ko support level 0.8609 tak le ja sakti hai, jabke buying price ko resistance level 0.8669 tak push kar sakti hai.

4-Hour Chart Analysis

Maine 4-hour chart ko dobara dekha taake bullish activity ke potential ko gauge kiya ja sake—price abhi 1/7 angle aur 24% support level 0.8554 ke just upar hai. Agar price is level tak correct hoti hai, to north momentum ko regain kar sakti hai, jo price ko 1/4 angle tak ya phir higher, 49% resistance level 0.8776 tak push kar sakta hai. Magar, yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke market is correction ko skip kare aur foran selling start kar de, jo traders ko USDX ko lower prices par buy karne se rok sakta hai. Main Monday ke market opening ko monitor karunga taake yeh decide kar sakoon ke current zone se short position open karna behtar hai ya price ke channel mein wapas enter hone ka intezar karna chahiye. Agar price channel ke resistance line tak pohnchti hai, to yeh shayad shorting ke liye optimal point ho sakta hai. Abhi jo pullback descending channel ke support line ke breakdown zone mein ho raha hai, yeh short trading aur analysis ke liye aik exciting opportunity banata hai.