امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

**USD/CHF Analysis: Bullish Trend ke Imkanat aur Key Support Levels**

#### Haal Ka Market Overview

USD/CHF currency pair filhaal "village zone" ke andar H1 (ek ghante) timeframe par trade kar rahi hai. Ye zone ek ahem area hai jahan significant price actions hone ke chances hain. Halankeh overall direction bullish trend ke liye ishara de rahi hai, lekin price ka 0.88-0.87 range ke midpoint ke neeche rehna traders ke liye ehtiyaat ka signal hai.

#### Key Observations

1. **Village Zone Dynamics**:
- "Village zone" wo price area hai jahan market mein activity ka high level aur potential reversals hoti hain. Filhaal price action is zone ke andar hone se ye clear hai ke pair ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake potential breakouts ya breakdowns ko pakra ja sake.

2. **Potential Bullish Trend**:
- USD/CHF ka overall direction upar ki taraf momentum dikhata hai. Key indicators aur recent price movements ye indicate karte hain ke buyers pair ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin bullish trend abhi tak confirm nahi hui hai kyunki price critical levels ke neeche hai.

3. **Support aur Resistance Levels**:
- **Support**: Immediate support level 0.8700 par hai. Is level ke upar firmly hold karna bullish outlook ko banaye rakhne ke liye zaroori hai. Agar pair is support ke neeche break karti hai, to aur downside pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai.
- **Resistance**: Upar ki taraf significant resistance 0.8800 par hai. Agar price is level ke upar break aur close hoti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho sakti hai aur further gains ki raah khul sakti hai towards 0.8850 aur beyond.

#### Technical Indicators

1. **Moving Averages**:
- Pair filhaal apne short-term moving averages ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai H1 timeframe par. 50-period aur 200-period moving averages key levels hain jo watch karna zaroori hai. In averages ka crossover bullish trend ki additional confirmation provide kar sakta hai.

2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**:
- RSI 60 ke qareeb hai, jo indicate karta hai ke bullish momentum mojood hai lekin zyada strong nahi. Agar RSI 70 ke upar move karta hai to ye strong buying interest ko signal karega aur bullish outlook ko further validate karega.

3. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**:
- MACD histogram filhaal positive territory mein hai lekin consolidation ke signs dikhata hai. Traders ko MACD lines ke bullish crossover par nazar rakhni chahiye jo upward momentum ko reinforce kar sakta hai.

### Conclusion

USD/CHF pair ek critical juncture par hai, "village zone" ke andar trade kar rahi hai aur bullish trend ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Lekin current price fixation 0.88-0.87 level ke midpoint ke neeche hone se ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Traders ko support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, khas taur par 0.8800 ke upar breakout ko bullish trend ke confirmation ke liye. Technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI, aur MACD ko bhi additional confirmation ke liye dekha jana chahiye.

kar sake. Yeh lagta hai ke yeh pichle growth phase se ek technical correction ki wajah se ho raha hai. Hum dekh rahe hain ke price 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 0.8864 ko break kar raha hai, aur support 0.8861 pe expected hai. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, to price mazid gir ke 50% Fibonacci level 0.8776 tak ja sakta hai, jo ek important correction point hai jahan reversal ho sakta hai. Agar US retail sales data positive aata hai, to hum current levels se ek reversal dekh sakte hain. Buy signal tab milega jab price wapas 0.8884 se upar jaye, aur yeh signal tab mazid strong hoga jab price EMA50 0.8941 aur EMA20 0.8916 se upar jaye. Descending wedge pattern bhi ek correction ka ishara de raha hai. H1 chart par, USD/CHF pair 0.89151 par flat hai. Instaforex indicator 66.39% buyers show kar raha hai aur ek potential upward trend ko indicate kar raha hai.




Switzerland se koi major news expected nahi hai, magar US se important data hai jaise manufacturing aur services activity indices, secondary housing market sales, aur Federal Reserve ka monetary policy report. Fundamental aur technical analysis ko combine karke lagta hai ke pair pehle 0.8935 tak rise karega phir 0.8860 tak drop karega. USD/CHF currency pair is waqt ek technical correction se guzar raha hai. Swiss franc strong ho raha hai aur ek key support level 0.8861 pe hai. Agar yeh break hota hai, to price 0.8776 tak gir sakta hai. Positive US retail sales data se yeh trend reverse ho sakta hai, USD/CHF pair ke current uptrend mein contribute kar rahe hain. US economy ne resilience dikhai hai strong employment numbers, robust consumer spending, aur stable inflation outlook ke sath. Yeh positive economic indicators US dollar ko mazbooti de rahe hain. Ise ke sath, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance, jo relatively hawkish rahi hai, bhi mazid interest rate hikes ke potential ke zariye stronger dollar ko support karti hai. Iske muqabil, Swiss National Bank ne cautious approach rakha hai, Swiss economy ke challenges jaise ke slow growth aur low inflation ko reflect karte hue Geopolitical factors bhi bohot ahem role ada karte hain. Swiss franc ka relative stability aur safe-haven status aksar global uncertainty ke dauran iski mazbooti ko dekhata hai. Magar, haali global geopolitical tensions kuch kam hone ke sath, Swiss franc ki safe-haven asset ke taur par demand kam ho gayi hai, jo ke USD/CHF pair ke strengthening mein contribute kar rahi hai Nateejatan, USD/CHF currency pair ke haali uptrend ko market analysts bohot dilchaspi se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh ek corrective phase ya broader market cycle ki fifth wave ki shuruaat ko signify kar sakta hai. Is movement ka interpretation future trading strategies aur economic outlooks ke liye ahem implications rakhta hai. USD/CHF pair ko neeche le gaye. Is harakat se pair ne 0.8894 ke neeche apna maqam banaya, jo ke ek sell entry point paida kar raha hai. Maujooda market trends dheemi magar mustahkam girawat ka ishara de rahe hain, jo agar bina kisi bari rukawat ke barqarar rehti hai, to support level 0.8837 tak pahunch sakti hai. Lekin, ye yaad rakna zaroori hai ke agar bearish forces mudakhlat karti hain, to woh pehle dekhe gaye bullish sentiment ko disrupt kar sakti hain aur market trend par qaboo paa sakti hain. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, agar price 0.8894 level ke neeche rehti hai, to mojooda downtrend barqarar rehne ke imkaanat hain. Chart par latest candlestick ke mutabiq current trading day ke liye bearish sentiment dikhayi

**USD-CHF Currency Pair Analysis**

**Weekly Analysis:**

Aapko senior weekly period dekhna hoga is pair ke liye. Yahan kuch interesting nazar aa raha hai. Price pichle kuch hafton se intensive gir rahi hai aur ab 0.8547 ke level par pause kar gayi hai, jo ke ek mirror level hai pehle ke growth ke edge par. Ye working levels hain aur halan ke kuch levels isse nikal chuke hain, yahan se upward correction hone ke chances barh gaye hain. Agar hum decline ki current wave ko choti waves mein breakdown karein, to hum dekh sakte hain ke pehli wave thi, phir ek rollback, aur ab teesri wave chal rahi hai. Agar hum pehli wave par Fibonacci grid impose karein, to hum dekh sakte hain ke targets kaam ho chuke hain, level 161.8 aur 200 conquer kiye ja chuke hain. Isse yeh lagta hai ke fourth wave mein kuch growth hone ke high chances hain, aur phir fifth wave tak pahunchne ke liye 0.8322 ke level tak, jo ke last year ka minimum bhi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price yahan tak pahunchne ki koshish karegi, lekin pehle ek upward rollback hone ke baad. CCI indicator bhi lower overheating zone mein hai. Is chart se yeh lagta hai ke short-term periods mein growth priority hai. Agar aaj hammer ke saath close hota hai, to yeh bhi ek growth ka signal hai.

**H1 Chart Analysis:**

Yahan kuch aisa nazar aa raha hai. Kal MACD aur CCI indicators par ek choti bullish divergence bani thi, aur yeh kaam ki - growth hui. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke level 0.8535 ke upar consolidation ho rahi hai, jo ke ab ek mirror level ban gaya hai, resistance se support ban gaya hai. Growth targets ke liye koi clearly defined levels nahi hai, isliye main Fibonacci correction grid use kar raha hoon. Growth normal lagti hai level 38.2 aur shayad 50 tak. Euro dollar ke opponent pair ke decline se growth confirm hoti hai, jo aaj neeche ja raha hai aur aage bhi aise hi chalta rahega. Aaj economic calendar mein koi important news nahi hai.

USDCHF currency pair ka muzakarah karain. Aur is currency pair ki surat e haal aisi hai ke shayad ye waqt ho deal karne ka, is surat mein aik sell deal. Bears abhi bhi kuch dar se ghira hue hain, aur ye cheez hai aik "trend line ka breakout", jise USDCHF ki qeemat ne is waqt pohanch chuki hai. Zahir hai ke USDCHF ki qeemat is key level ko aane wale ghanton mein test karegi, aur phir dekhte hain ke ye "test" kaisa rehta hai. Agar level na tootay, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ye sab se zyada mumkin nateeja hai, phir shayad humein doosri qeemat ke rajaht ki umeed rakhni chahiye is level ke neeche tak ke phir se vikas. Aur harakat kafi badi ho sakti hai, kyun ke corridor khud kafi wide hai, aur jab tak qeemat is mein gir sakti hai, support ki neeche wali limit, jo ke is tarah ke giraawat ka mumkin target hai, neeche gir sakti hai. Lekin khaaskar aane wale ghanton mein, mujhe lagta hai ke USDCHF ki qeemat ab bhi upar jayegi mojooda qeemat triangle ke daira mein general trend aur internal impulse qeemat corridors ke beech. Acha, sab kuch jo ke technical indicators par ho raha hai hourly chart par, aise lagta hai. Main sab ko jo dusre trading din ki shuruat kar rahe hain, ache sehat ki dua deta hoon. Aayiye USDCHF pair ka tajziya shuru karte hain M15 time frame par. Aik bullish moving average ke sath intervals of 9 aur 22 kuch wazahat layenge mojooda surat e haal mein. Tools ma’roof aur simple hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke sab ne in ka samna kiya hai. Simplecity talent aur luck ki behan hai, is liye trading indicators kafi simple hain, moving average ka intersection, is surat mein ye qeemat mark par hai: 0.85227. Main trading volume ko do positions mein divide karta hoon. Pehla hissa mojooda qeematon se aata hai. Dusra hissa chota time frame par rollback ke baad aata hai, jahan hum market mein buy karte hain. Har transaction mein, hum mo'aid risk lete hain, risk/reward ratio 1 se 3 aur 1 se 5 ke darmiyan. Jab position profitable zone mein chali jati hai, main usay back karta hoon. Mere case mein, stop order 20 points hai, ye fixed hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke ye mojooda market situation ke liye sab se behtar option hai. Agli baar hawaa pe, dosto! Faida mand deals!

USD/CHF currency pair ne chaar maheenay se zyada ke low par aa kar 0.8750 ke aas-paas trade kiya hai, European trading ke doran Thursday ko. Ye naya downturn tab aaya hai jab ke US dollar ne apni strength mein strong rebound dekha hai, jo naye weekly lows ke baad hua. Swiss franc ka resilience bohot noticeable hai, jab ke broader market context dekha jaye. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke greenback ki strength ko chhah major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, ne takreeban 104.35 tak chadh gaya hai, jab ke weekly low 103.86 se recovery hui hai. Lekin, Swiss franc ka dominance baqi major currencies ke muqablay mein uski unique position ko safe-haven asset ke taur par highlight karta hai. Swiss National Bank (SNB) se interest rate cut ki ummeed se franc ki strength barh rahi hai. July ke Consumer Prices Index (CPI) ki release ki intezaar hai, jo month-over-month 0.2% ki kami dikhane ki umeed hai, jo price pressures ke easing ko indicate karegi. Ye SNB ke zyada dovish monetary policy stance ki ummeed ko mazid barhawa dega. Wahi, US dollar ki recent rally ka sabab market participants ka Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko unchanged rakhnay ka faisla samajhna hai, jab ke future outlook ka hint bhi diya gaya hai. Agle economic data, jisme US ISM Manufacturing Index aur Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report shamil hain, dollar ki agli move ko decide karne mein crucial honge. Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/CHF pair downtrend mein hai. Average Directional Index (ADX) moderate directional trend ko indicate karta hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Stochastic Oscillator dono bearish momentum dikhate hain. Yeh pair shayad March 13, 2014 ke low ko break kar sakta hai aur support level 0.8552 aur 0.8593 ke beech target kar sakta hai. Summary yeh hai ke Swiss franc ka exceptional performance US dollar ke muqablay mein uski safe-haven status k

a saboot hai. Jab ke dollar ne recovery ke signs dikhaye hain, franc ki strength, jo SNB ke rate cut ke expectations se drive ho rahi hai, abhi ke liye pair ke dynamics ko dominate kar rahi hai. Traders ko economic indicators aur technical signals par nazar rakhni chahiye potential shifts in market sentiment ke liye.

USD/CHF currency pair ne chaar maheenay se zyada ke low par aa kar 0.8750 ke aas-paas trade kiya hai, European trading ke doran Thursday ko. Ye naya downturn tab aaya hai jab ke US dollar ne apni strength mein strong rebound dekha hai, jo naye weekly lows ke baad hua. Swiss franc ka resilience bohot noticeable hai, jab ke broader market context dekha jaye. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke greenback ki strength ko chhah major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, ne takreeban 104.35 tak chadh gaya hai, jab ke weekly low 103.86 se recovery hui hai. Lekin, Swiss franc ka dominance baqi major currencies ke muqablay mein uski unique position ko safe-haven asset ke taur par highlight karta hai. Swiss National Bank (SNB) se interest rate cut ki ummeed se franc ki strength barh rahi hai. July ke Consumer Prices Index (CPI) ki release ki intezaar hai, jo month-over-month 0.2% ki kami dikhane ki umeed hai, jo price pressures ke easing ko indicate karegi. Ye SNB ke zyada dovish monetary policy stance ki ummeed ko mazid barhawa dega. Wahi, US dollar ki recent rally ka sabab market participants ka Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko unchanged rakhnay ka faisla samajhna hai, jab ke future outlook ka hint bhi diya gaya hai. Agle economic data, jisme US ISM Manufacturing Index aur Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report shamil hain, dollar ki agli move ko decide karne mein crucial honge. Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/CHF pair downtrend mein hai. Average Directional Index (ADX) moderate directional trend ko indicate karta hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Stochastic Oscillator dono bearish momentum dikhate hain. Yeh pair shayad March 13, 2014 ke low ko break kar sakta hai aur support level 0.8552 aur 0.8593 ke beech target kar sakta hai. Summary yeh hai ke Swiss franc ka exceptional performance US dollar ke muqablay mein uski safe-haven status ka saboot hai. Jab ke dollar ne recovery ke signs dikhaye hain, franc ki strength, jo SNB ke rate cut ke expectations se drive ho rahi hai, abhi ke liye pair ke dynamics ko dominate kar rahi hai. Traders ko economic indicators aur technical signals par nazar rakhni chahiye potential shifts in market sentiment ke liye.

### Weekly Analysis: USD-CHF
Aayiye hum senior weekly period mein is pair ko dekhtay hain. Aakhri chand hafton mein price ne bohot ziyada girawat dekhi hai aur ab 0.8547 ke level par ruk gayi hai, ye wohi mirror level hai jo pichle growth ke edge par tha. Ye kaam karne wale levels hain aur halankeh kuch points ne isse paar kar liya hai, lekin yahan se upar ki taraf kuch correction hone ka ziada imkaan hai. Agar hum current wave of decline ko choti waves mein torain, toh hum dekhenge ke pehle ek wave thi, phir uska ek rollback aur ab teesri wave. Agar hum pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid impose karain, toh hum dekhenge ke targets achieve ho chuke hain, 161.8 aur 200 levels par price aagayi hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke yahan se fourth wave mein kuch growth hone ka imkaan hai, aur phir fifth wave mein niche ki taraf, yani level 0.8322 tak pohnchne ka, jo pichle saal ka minimum bhi hai. Mera khayal hai ke price wahan tak zaroor pohanchegi, lekin pehle ek upward rollback ke baad. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai. Is chart se ye nikalta hai ke shorter periods mein ab growth ek priority hai. Agar aaj ka din hammer ke sath close hota hai, toh ye growth ka ek aur signal hoga.

### H1 Chart

Yahan mujhe kuch is tarah ka manzar nazar aa raha hai. Kal MACD aur CCI indicators ne neeche ek choti bullish divergence form ki thi aur isne kaam kar diya - growth hui. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke price 0.8535 ke level par consolidation kar rahi hai, ye mirror ban gaya hai aur apna status resistance se support mein badal liya hai. Main growth targets ke liye koi clearly defined levels nahi dekh raha, isliye main Fibonacci correction grid ka istemal kar raha hoon. Growth 38.2 aur shayad 50 level tak normal lagti hai. Euro dollar ke direct pair ka decline yahan growth ko confirm kar raha hai, ye aaj neeche ja raha hai aur apna course jari rakhne ke mood mein hai. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi important news nahi hai.

Main abhi ongoing USD/CHF currency pair ke price action ko study kar raha hoon. USD/CHF pair ke liye, trading day's opening level 0.8551 ke neeche aur daily Pivot level 0.8516 ke kareeb hai. Primary indicators ek bearish trend ko suggest karte hain, jahan price MA72 trend line ke neeche hai, jahan volume aksar unload hota hai. Agar price 0.8551 ke upar move karta hai, to yeh 0.8572 aur shayad 0.8601 tak upward ja sakta hai. Bar'aks, agar yeh 0.8503 ke neeche girta hai, to 0.8491 ya shayad 0.8445 tak decline expected hai. Pair monthly Pivot level 0.8867 (pehle 0.8940) aur weekly Pivot level 0.8676 (pehle 0.8846) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ek bearish outlook ko indicate karta hai. Daily Pivot 0.8516 ke neeche, pair ke downward movement ko continue karne ki umeed hai, jabke is level ke upar ek correction ho sakti hai. Aaj, H1 chart par, bulls ne bullish buy level 0.85479 ko breach kiya, jo growth potential ko indicate karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke upward movement priority hai, aur resistance levels Bollinger lines par pohanch sakti hain, aur shayad 0.87685 tak pohanch jaye.Agar bearish sell level 1.84901 ko tor diya jata hai, to ek mazeed decline Bollinger lines ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh lines strong hain, aur agar price in tak pohanch bhi jaye, to yeh mazeed declines ke against resistance provide kar sakti hain. Profits Bollinger lines ke paas ho sakte hain ya jab price un tak kareeb pohanch jaye agar bearish scenario play out hota hai. USD/CHF pair hourly time frame par ek downtrend mein hai, jahan price 133-period moving average ke neeche hai, jo trend ko confirm karta hai. Ek lower time frame par, price 133-period moving average ke upar close hui hai, jo ek possible correction suggest karta hai. Price ko 0.8526 ke neeche consolidate karna chahiye, jo selling consider karne ka ek mauka provide karta hai. Buying ka ek alternative scenario relevant hoga agar price 0.8771 ke upar stabilize hoti hai. Priority hourly time frame par downtrend ke andar selling par hi rahti hai.

### USD/CHF Ke Harkaat Ke Asbaab
1. **Economic Indicators**:
Dono mulkon ke GDP growth rates, employment figures, aur inflation rates jese economic data releases exchange rate par bohot asar daalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar US ka economic data taqatwar ho toh USD majboot ho sakta hai, jabke kamzor data se further depreciation ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, Swiss economic indicators, khaaskar banking sector aur export performance related, CHF ko asar daal sakte hain.

2. **Monetary Policy**:
Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Swiss National Bank (SNB) ki monetary policies bhi USD/CHF exchange rate ke liye aham driver hain. Fed ke interest rate decisions, quantitative easing measures, aur overall economic outlook USD ki taqat ko asar daal sakte hain. Dosri taraf, SNB ki policies, negative interest rates aur foreign exchange market interventions ka asar CHF par padhta hai. In policies me kisi bhi unexpected change se USD/CHF pair me tezi se harkat aa sakti hai.

3. **Geopolitical Events**:
Geopolitical tensions aur events, jaise trade negotiations, political instability, ya conflicts, markets me risk aversion ko barha sakte hain. Swiss franc ko aksar safe-haven currency mana jata hai, yani ye global uncertainty ke doran appreciate karta hai. USD bhi kuch had tak safe-haven attributes rakhta hai. Geopolitical developments ke response me ye dynamics kis tarah se play out hote hain, isse USD/CHF pair me significant volatility aa sakti hai.

4. **Market Sentiment**:
Market sentiment, investor perceptions aur risk appetite se driven hoti hai, jo USD/CHF ke direction ko asar daal sakti hai. Agar investors global economic slowdown ya financial market instability ke concerns ke wajah se zyada risk-averse ho jayein, toh woh Swiss franc ki taraf flock karenge, jis se USD/CHF neeche ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar risk-on environment ho, jahan investors zyada risk lena chahein, toh USD support ho sakta hai.

5. **Technical Analysis**:
Technical analysis ke nazriye se, key support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur trend lines USD/CHF pair ke potential future movements ke baray me insights de sakte hain. Traders aksar in technical tools ko entry aur exit points identify karne ke liye use karte hain, aur current trend ki strength ko gauge karte hain. Agar koi significant support level ke neeche break ho jaye, toh further downside potential ho sakta hai, jabke resistance ke upar break reversal ya uptrend continuation ka signal ho sakta hai.

### Mutawaqqa Harkat

Given ke USD/CHF abhi bearish trend me hai, yeh aforementioned factors ko closely monitor karna zaruri hai. Agar US ka economic data disappointing raha ya Fed zyada dovish stance le, toh USD par additional pressure aa sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar Swiss economy slow down ke signs de ya SNB CHF ko weaken karne ke liye intervene kare, toh bearish trend me reversal ya slowdown ho sakta hai.

Isi tarah, kisi bhi sudden geopolitical events ya market sentiment shifts USD/CHF pair me significant movement trigger kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar trade tensions escalate ho jayein ya Europe ya US me koi major political development ho, toh volatility increase ho sakti hai.

### Khulasa

USD/CHF abhi bearish trend me 0.8538 par hai, magar kayi factors suggest karte hain ke ek bari movement aanewali ho sakti hai. Economic indicators, monetary policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sab crucial role play karte hain pair ke future direction ko determine karne me. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko dekhte hue vigilant rehna chahiye aur aanewali volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. In elements ke interplay ko samajh kar, market participants USD/CHF ki complexities ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain aur informed trading decisions le sakte hain.

### USD/CHF Analysis: Potential Bullish Trend with Key Support Levels
#### Current Market Overview

USD/CHF currency pair is abhi "village zone" me H1 (one-hour) timeframe par dekhi ja rahi hai. Ye zone ek crucial area ko represent karta hai jahan significant price actions hone ke chances hain. Bhalay hi overall direction potential bullish trend ko suggest kar rahi hai, lekin price fixation below the midpoint of the 0.88-0.87 range traders ke liye caution signal kar rahi hai.

#### Key Observations

1. **Village Zone Dynamics**:
- "Village zone" aam tor par us price area ko refer karta hai jahan market high level of activity aur potential reversals dikhata hai. Current price action is zone me highlight karta hai ke pair ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai potential breakouts ya breakdowns ke liye.

2. **Potential Bullish Trend**:
- USD/CHF ka overall direction upward momentum ko suggest karta hai. Key indicators aur recent price movements ye dikhate hain ke buyers pair ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar, bullish trend ab tak confirm nahi hua hai kyunki price fixation below critical levels hai.

3. **Support and Resistance Levels**:
- **Support**: Immediate support level 0.8700 par identified kiya gaya hai. Is level ke upar firm hold bullish outlook ko maintain karne ke liye crucial hai. Agar pair is support ke neeche break kare, toh further downside pressure aa sakta hai.
- **Resistance**: Upside par significant resistance 0.8800 par hai. Agar ye level break aur close ho jaye, toh bullish trend confirm ho jaye ga, jo further gains towards 0.8850 aur uske aage ke raaste kholega.

#### Technical Indicators

1. **Moving Averages**:
- Pair currently apni short-term moving averages ke qareeb H1 timeframe par trade kar raha hai. 50-period aur 200-period moving averages key levels hain jo dekhne walay hain. In averages ka crossover additional confirmation provide karega bullish trend ke liye.

2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**:
- RSI 60 level ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke bullish momentum present hai lekin overly strong nahi hai. Agar ye 70 ke upar move karta hai, toh strong buying interest ko signal karega aur bullish outlook ko further validate karega.

3. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**:
- MACD histogram currently positive territory me hai lekin consolidation ke signs dikha raha hai. Traders ko watch karna chahiye ek bullish crossover ke liye MACD lines me, jo upward momentum ko reinforce karega.

### Conclusion

USD/CHF pair ek critical juncture par hai, "village zone" me trade kar raha hai potential bullish trend ke horizon par hone ke sath. Magar, current price fixation below the midpoint of the 0.88-0.87 level caution ka talabgaar hai. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye support aur resistance levels ko, khaaskar ek breakout above 0.8800 ko confirm karne ke liye bullish trend. Technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI, aur MACD ko bhi watch karna chahiye additional confirmation ke liye.

### USD/CHF H1 TIME FRAME CHART
Ek aur salam Pashkal ko, aur sab colleagues aur guests ko thread mein, ke sath hi USDCHF currency pair ko discuss karne ka proposal. Is currency pair ke sath situation aisi hai ke shayad ye deal karne ka waqt hai, is case mein ek sell deal. Bears ko abhi bhi kuch dar hai, aur ye cheez hai "breakout of the trend line," jo USDCHF price ne iss waqt tak pohonch li hai. Zahir hai, USDCHF price is key level ko agle ghanton mein test karegi, aur phir ye depend karega ke "ye test" kaise khatam hota hai. Agar level break nahi hota, aur mujhe lagta hai ye sab se zyada likely outcome hai, toh zyada se zyada humein ek aur price retirement expect karna chahiye iss level ke neeche continuation ke sath. Aur ye movement kaafi bara ho sakta hai, kyunki corridor khud kaafi wide hai, aur jab tak price isme gir sakti hai, lower limit of support, jo aise decline ka potential target hai, neeche gir sakti hai.. Magar khaaskar agle ghanton mein, mujhe lagta hai ke USDCHF ka price abhi bhi higher hoga within the framework of current price triangle between general trend aur internal impulse price corridors. Aur hourly chart par technical indicators par jo kuch ho raha hai, wo kuch is tarah se dikhai de raha hai.

### USD/CHF H1 TIME FRAME CHART
Ek aur salam Pashkal ko, aur sab colleagues aur guests ko thread mein, ke sath hi USDCHF currency pair ko discuss karne ka proposal. Is currency pair ke sath situation aisi hai ke shayad ye deal karne ka waqt hai, is case mein ek sell deal. Bears ko abhi bhi kuch dar hai, aur ye cheez hai "breakout of the trend line," jo USDCHF price ne iss waqt tak pohonch li hai. Zahir hai, USDCHF price is key level ko agle ghanton mein test karegi, aur phir ye depend karega ke "ye test" kaise khatam hota hai. Agar level break nahi hota, aur mujhe lagta hai ye sab se zyada likely outcome hai, toh zyada se zyada humein ek aur price retirement expect karna chahiye iss level ke neeche continuation ke sath. Aur ye movement kaafi bara ho sakta hai, kyunki corridor khud kaafi wide hai, aur jab tak price isme gir sakti hai, lower limit of support, jo aise decline ka potential target hai, neeche gir sakti hai.. Magar khaaskar agle ghanton mein, mujhe lagta hai ke USDCHF ka price abhi bhi higher hoga within the framework of current price triangle between general trend aur internal impulse price corridors. Aur hourly chart par technical indicators par jo kuch ho raha hai, wo kuch is tarah se dikhai de raha hai.
discuss karne ka proposal. Is currency pair ke sath situation aisi hai ke shayad ye deal karne ka waqt hai, is case mein ek sell deal. Bears ko abhi bhi kuch dar hai, aur ye cheez hai "breakout of the trend line," jo USDCHF price ne iss waqt tak pohonch li hai. Zahir hai, USDCHF price is key level ko agle ghanton mein test karegi, aur phir ye depend karega ke "ye test" kaise khatam hota hai. Agar level

### USD/CHF Currency Pair Weekly Analysis
Humien iss pair ke liye senior weekly period ko dekhna chahiye. Yahan kuch interesting cheez dekh sakte hain. Price pichle kuch hafton se intensively gir rahi thi aur ab 0.8547 level par ek pause dekhne ko mila hai, ye mirror level hai jo pehle ke growth ke edge par hai. Ye working levels hain aur is baat ke bawajood ke kuch iske bahar chale gaye hain, yahan se kuch upward correction develop hone ki increased probability hai. Agar hum current wave of decline ko choti waves mein tod kar dekhein, toh pehli wave, phir dusri ki taraf ek rollback aur ab teesri wave dekh sakte hain. Agar hum pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid impose karain, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke targets worked out hain, level 161.8 aur 200 ko price ne conquer kar liya hai. Yeh nikalta hai ke fourth wave mein kuch growth develop hone ki high probability hai, aur phir fifth wave mein neeche pohonchne ki, yani level 0.8322, jo pichle saal ka minimum bhi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price wahaan tak strive karegi, magar sirf ek upward rollback ke baad. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai. Is chart se yeh nikalta hai ke shorter periods par growth abhi priority hai. Agar aaj ka closure hammer ke saath hota hai, toh yeh growth ka aur ek signal hoga.

### M15 Chart

Yahan mein kuch yeh picture dekhta hoon. Kal, MACD aur CCI indicators par neeche ek choti bullish divergence form hui thi, aur yeh worked out hui - growth hui. Ab hum consolidation dekh sakte hain level 0.8535 ke upar, yeh mirror ban gaya hai, isne apna status resistance se support mein change kar liya hai. Mujhe growth targets ke liye koi clearly defined levels nahi dikhte, isliye mein Fibonacci correction grid use karta hoon. Growth normal lagti hai level 38.2 tak aur shayad 50 tak. Euro dollar ka direct pair yahan growth ko confirm karta hai apni decline se, yeh aaj neeche ja raha hai aur apni course continue karne ke liye set hai. Economic calendar mein aaj koi important news nahi hai.

USDCHF pair ka price pehle se bhi neeche ja raha hai. Iss liye, price pattern structure ab bhi lower low - lower high condition mein hai. Agar hum observe karen, toh jo price upar ko correct hoti hai woh hamesha EMA 50 ko reach karne ke baad bounce karti hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price support (S1) 0.8765 ko test kare agar yeh pivot point (PP) 0.8843 ke neeche rahe. Kyunki price jo last time upar ko correct hui thi, woh higher high pattern banane mein fail hui thi, iss liye ek downward rally honi chahiye jo naya lower low pattern banaye 0.8776 ke neeche. Agar FOMC meeting ka fundamental impact US Dollar currency ke outlook ko support nahi karta, toh price upar ko support hogi aur shayad pivot point (PP) 0.8843 ko cross karke EMA 50 ke upar chali jaye.

Agar hum Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko observe karen, toh ek bullish divergence signal dekha ja sakta hai jo price ko upar correct hone ko support karta hai taake woh high prices 0.8874 ko reach kar sake. Is waqt, histogram volume jo level 0 ke neeche ya negative area mein hai, woh USDCHF pair ke price ke increase ke volume ke liye kam theek hai. Kyunki price jo neeche move kar rahi hai woh kaafi impulsive hai aur histogram volume ke widening ke baghair hai jo ke downtrend momentum ko indicate karta hai. Dusri taraf, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke oversold zone mein hain level 20 - 10 pe, yeh indicate karte hain ke price decline ne selling ka saturation point reach kar liya hai. Yeh possibility deti hai ke price pehle ek upward correction phase experience kare agar yeh support (S1) 0.8765 pe decline ko continue karna chahta hai.

Trading options agar aap ab bhi bearish trend direction ko refer karte hain, toh focus SELL moment ka wait karen, chahe baad mein Fed's interest rate policy ka release ho. Entry position ko place karte waqt jab price correct hokar EMA 50 ya pivot point (PP) 0.8843 tak pahuche. Confirmation agar Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 ke around cross karen kyunki yeh overbought zone ko reach karne mein fail hoti hai. AO indicator histogram volume jo level 0 ke neeche ya negative area mein hota hai, usse downtrend momentum ke mutabiq widen hona chahiye. Take profit support (S1) 0.8765 pe place karen aur stop loss resistance (R1) 0.8911 pe

sirf Relative Strength Index indicator use kiya hai, fourteen period ke sath, jo standard values hain. Umeed hai ke is simple combination se meri analysis par koi bias nahi hoga. Kabhi kabhi, simple ka matlab bura nahi hota. Buy ka signal mujhe tab mila jab RSI level 30 se neeche gir gaya. Yeh indicate karta hai ke current trend mein kamzori aur exhaustion aa rahi hai. Sab kuch dekh kar, maine decide kiya ke market mein level 0.87991 par buy karoon. Sab pros aur cons dekh kar, aur phir situation ko clearly evaluate karke, hum buy karte hain. Profit lene ke liye, mera strategy hai ke ratio kam se kam 1 to 3 ka ho. Mein apna profit target teen times zyadah set karta hoon jitna risk leta hoon. Agar profit zyadah hota hai, to mein apni position hold karta hoon jab tak mujhe iske baraks koi signal na mile ya mera patience khatam na ho jaye. Stop loss ke liye, mein 15 pips ka fixed stop loss use karta hoon. Yeh stop loss randomly nahi lagaya jata position open karne ke baad, balki last price extreme ke peechay rakha jata hai, yeh false breakouts se bachata hai. Ek wave pattern downward direction mein form ho rahi hai, MACD indicator sell zone mein gir raha hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Pehle, jab price barh rahi thi, to yeh descending resistance line ko cross nahi kar saki jo nearest wave ke peak ke basis par banayi gayi thi, phir yeh usse neeche move ki aur ek naya low banaya, aur last week ka low bhi. Yahan bechne ki recommendation nahi di ja rahi kyunke yeh buying ka potential zone hai. CCI indicator oversold zone se barhne ke liye tayar hai, aur MACD aur CCI dono indicators par bullish signals hain - bullish divergence. Halanke yeh confirm nahi hui, lekin iski mojoodgi hi enough hai ke na becha jaye. Is divergence ka confirmation tab hoga agar price kam se kam ek ghante ke liye resistance level 0.8774 ke upar hold karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, yeh level support ban jayega aur is case mein, wave ke peak ke upar located descending line ki taraf increase likely hai. Halaanki, abhi buy karne ka waqt nahi hai kyunke yeh abhi tak sure nahi hai ke price kitna neeche gir sakti hai. Aaj ki news dekhne ke liye: 3:30 PM ET: US mein total number of individuals receiving unemployment benefits, US mein initial jobless claims ka number, US mein past 4 weeks ka average number of jobless claims, US nonfarm productivity rate, US labor expenditures. 4:45 PM ET: US manufacturing business activity index (PMI). 5:00 PM ET: US construction spending, ISM US manufacturing employment index, ISM US manufacturing business activity index (PMI), ISM US manufacturing price index. Yeh likely hai ke news release hone tak low level par stuck rahega.