امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

USD/CHF Tahlil 03 July 2024

USDCHF jodi ne do mustaqil hafton tak beghair kisi girawat ke oonchaai haasil ki hai. Yeh kafi taizi se girne ke liye mutasir hai. Agar hum mojooda qeemat harkat ko dekhen jo SMA 200 ke oopar hai, to mumkin hai ke yeh jari rahe. Is ke alawa, EMA 50 ki fasla SMA 200 ke qareeb aa rahi hai aur yeh golden cross signal ke paida hone ki mumkinat rakhti hai. 0.8992 unchi qeemat jo mansookh ke darja ko guzar chuki hai jis se lower low - lower high pattern ke khilaf ek toot hota hai. Is tarah, jab qeemat ne nichle EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke neeche theek ho kar correct kiya jaye, to yeh ek naye lower low pattern ki bajaye ek higher low pattern bana sakti hai. Uptrend ki momentum abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator histogram level 0 ya positive area ke oopar hai aur USDCHF jodi ke daam mein rally ko support karta hai. Aaj raat jo New York session mein daakhil hoga, us mein JOLTS Job Openings US data report aur Fed chairman J. Powell ke bayan par tawajjo dena zaroori hai. Masalan, agar data report ke natije kafi umeednaak hon aur Fed chairman ka bayan hawkish tasawwur kiya jaye, to US Dollar currency ke liye mustaqbil mazboot ho sakta hai. Is ka ulta bhi ho sakta hai is liye market mein dakhil hone se pehle faislay mein zyada ehtiyat ke sath karna zaroori hai.

Karobaar ki planning ke baray mein, aap qeemat 0.9068 tak pohanchne ke baad SELL entry position istemal karne ka tajziya kar sakte hain. Tasdeeq agar phir se Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke liye hai jo oversold zone mein level 90 - 80 par cross kar raha hai. Jabke AO indicator histogram jo level 0 ya positive area ke oopar hai, uptrend ki momentum ko banaye rakhta hai ta ke yeh kamzor na ho. Take profit rakhne ke liye nishast RBS area ke qareeb 0.8983 hai aur stop loss supply area mein 0.9142 - 0.9124 par hai.

USD/CHF Ke Mawaqe Aur Risks

Main USD/CHF currency pair ke price action ka analysis kar raha hoon. USD/CHF chart ek bullish momentum mein pause show kar raha hai. Agar price apne upward trend ko continue nahi kar sakti ya apne peak ke upar stabilize nahi hoti, toh ek bearish scenario unfold ho sakta hai, jo 0.8969 ke accumulation area ki taraf decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, agar price resistance face karti hai aur 0.9013 ke level ko surpass karne mein nakam hoti hai, toh 0.8911 ki taraf ek substantial downward movement ka imkaan hai. Price outlook bullish raha hai, aur market better price momentum show kar raha hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke jab market mein solid price volatility ho tab trade kiya jaye. Mojooda halaat ke mutabiq, ek level of uncertainty hai. Lekin, aaj ke overall market movement ko analyze karne ke baad, mujhe bullish trend ki taraf strong leaning nazar aayi hai.

Main significant resistance level 0.9122 par focus kar raha hoon, aur main anticipate karta hoon ke agar buyers control establish kar lein, toh ek powerful bullish momentum ho sakta hai. Is waqt, meri bias upward trajectory ki taraf hai. Lekin, agar price nearest support level ke neeche break hoti hai, toh ek directional shift prompt ho sakta hai, halan ke abhi yeh conclusion premature hai. Aaj ke news events humare pair ko impact kar sakte hain, khaaskar Fed Chairman Mr. Powell ka speech, JOLTS labor market data for May, aur API ka weekly crude oil reserves report, jo US dollar ke liye crucial hain. Dosri taraf, Swiss Franc (CHF) ke liye koi significant events planned nahi hain. Isliye, humein mukhtalif currencies ke news aur technical analysis ko madde nazar rakhna hoga. High-impact events, jo aam tor par three stars se denote kiye jate hain, market volatility ko raise karte hain, aur substantial price fluctuations ke liye preparation zaroori hai.

The US Dollar (USD) aur Swiss Franc (CHF) currency pair (USD/CHF) European trading hours ke doran, Thursday ko 0.8840 ke qareeb kamzor trading kar rahi thi. Ye intezar aur dekhne wala rukh traders ki taraf se Swiss National Bank (SNB) ke policy meeting ke foran baad aane ke chakkar mein tha. Market widely anticipated kar raha tha ke SNB 25 basis point ka interest rate cut karegi, jo ke 1.50% se kam hoke 1.25% par aayegi. Nomura European economist George Moran ke mutabiq, "cut expect kiya ja raha hai... kyunke inflation target mein hai aur wahan rehne ki umeed hai, aur SNB current policy ko restrictive samajhta hai." Agar SNB rate cut se bache, toh Swiss Franc USD ke muqable mein mazboot ho sakti hai. Ulta, rate cut CHF ko kamzor kar sakti hai. Is doran, US Federal Reserve ehtiyaat se kaam le rahi thi, aur agle inflation data ka intezar kar rahi thi pehle ke potential rate cuts ka faisla karein. Market umeed kar raha hai ke saal ke end tak ek ya do cuts honge, jahan September rate cut ki umeed 67% tak barh gayi thi weaker-than-expected retail sales data ke baad. June ke liye stronger-than-expected preliminary US S&P Global PMI data USD ko mazboot kar sakti hai aur USD/CHF pair ki downside ko limit kar sakti hai

Ek hairat angaiz morr pe, USD/CHF pair surge kar gayi jab SNB ne waqai rate cut kiya, kuch investors ke no change ke expectations ke baraks. Ye rally pair ko 0.8890 par apni 200-day simple moving average ki taraf dhakel gayi. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI aur Stochastic pe oversold signals ne yeh bounce signal diya jo ke pehle ke 0.8840 support level par dip ke baad aayi thi. Magar, kuch investors ehtiyaat barat sakte hain jab tak 200-day SMA support se resistance mein flip nahi hota, jo 20-day SMA ko 0.8970 ki taraf apni rise extend karne ka moqa de sakta hai. December-June rally ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, 0.9012 ke qareeb, ek aur hurdle ban sakta hai. Is hurdle ko paar karne par pair ke short-term descending channel ke top ko test karne ka darwaza khul sakta hai jo 0.9065 par hai. Agar pair is level ko paar kar le, focus November 2022 se establish hone wale major downtrend line par shift ho sakta hai jo ke filhal 0.9135 ke aas-paas hai.

USD/CHF


Kal, USD/CHF currency pair ne significant turnaround dekha. Ek choti si dip ke baad, ek strong bullish impulse ne price trend ko reverse kar diya, jo price ko decisively upward push kar raha tha. Yeh result hua ek complete bullish candlestick ke formation me, jo sirf previous resistance level 0.8994 (meri analysis ke mutabiq) ke upar close nahi hui, balki prior day's high ko bhi surpass kar gaya. Yeh bullish surge effectively earlier bearish reversal candle ko break kar diya.

Is price action ke base par, mujhe lagta hai ke strong possibility hai ke uptrend aaj continue hoga. Mera target next resistance level 0.9158 par hai, jo maine pehle bhi mention kiya hai. Do potential scenarios unfold ho sakte hain jab price is resistance zone ke paas pohonchta hai. Pehle scenario me, price 0.9158 resistance level ke upar consolidate karega, jo ek sustained upward move indicate karega. Agar aisa hota hai, to main wait karunga ke price is resistance zone tak pohonche pehle, aur phir ek trading setup dekhunga jo future price direction ke clues de sakta hai.

Yeh setup ek continuation pattern ya reversal pattern ho sakta hai, market conditions par depend karta hai. Jabke ek aur distant northern target aim karne ki possibility hai, main abhi uspar focus nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe yeh jaldi hota nahi dikh raha. Alternative scenario me, price 0.9158 par resistance encounter karega aur ek reversal candle form karega. Yeh ek potential resumption of downward price movement signal karega.

Agar aisa hota hai, to main expect karta hoon ke price wapas support level 0.8994 ya usse bhi neeche, potentially 0.8914 support level tak retrace karega. Jab price in support zones ko reach karega, to main phir se bullish signals ki search resume karunga jo ek aur upward price movement indicate kar sakta hai. Upside target ki tarah, main abhi distant southern targets par priority nahi de raha kyunki unki immediate feasibility kam hai. Simple terms me, meri local analysis yeh suggest karti hai ke price ke closest resistance level (0.9158) tak apni upward journey continue karne ki high likelihood hai aaj. Jab price us level tak pohonchega, to main apni strategy adapt karunga prevailing market conditions aur kisi bhi trading signals ke base par jo emerge hote hain.

ja raha kyunki yeh saaf nahi hai ke current support level kahan hai ya kis point ke baad stop hata sakte hain. Sales ka haal bhi kuch acha nahi: 0.8933 ka breakout chahiye, aur ideally 0.8950 ka test. Phir growth ke khatam hone ke umeed mein sell kar sakte hain aur correction ke hissay mein kuch kamai kar sakte hain. Aur current prices pe short jana option nahi hai; movement abhi tak khatam nahi hua. Doosri taraf, main bhi maximum ke kareeb buy nahi karna chahta, khas tor par jab demand ka level nazar nahi aa raha. Isliye, abhi ke liye main is pair ko touch nahi karunga; main dekhta hoon ke yeh flights kaise khatam hoti hain, aur agar south resume hoti hai, to main target 0.8800 hoga. Swiss National Bank ke sharp interest rate cut ki wajah se Swiss franc US dollar ke against gir gaya. Natijatan, USD/CHF resistance level 0.8925 tak utha. Pullbacks pe 0.8905 pe, dollar ke liye demand barqarar hai, jo 0.8950 ki taraf mazeed growth ka



potential banata hai. Agar is level pe support loss ho jata hai to franc 0.8890-0.8880 ki taraf gir sakta hai, magar wahan dollar ka re-buy possible hai. Aaj wo price ko upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain, magar ab tak achi tarah kaam nahi kar raha. Shayad American session mein kuch progress ho; wahan calendar pe news aayegi. H4 pe, bulls ko pair ko 0.8991 mark se upar le jana hoga downward structure ko todne ke liye. Yeh intraday kal hi draw hua jab impulsively price tag ko 0.8900 se upar le gaye. Pair ek range mein trade kar raha tha; range 0.8850 aur 0.8831 tak limited thi, aur phir yeh range se nikal kar north direction mein gaya. Pair ne upward trade karna jari rakha; seller yahan volume gain kar raha tha; keh sakte hain ke pair thoda niche correct karega, magar kyunki main decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh stops ko range se remove karne ka kaam tha seller ki taraf se. Main higher timeframes pe decline expect kar raha hoon, to yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke pair

USD/CHF currency pair ke daily (D1) timeframe chart par dilchaspi angaiz patterns nazar aa rahe hain, khaas tor par 0.8923 level ke aas paas aik ahem farokht zone ka izhar ho raha hai. Yeh level traders aur analysts ke liye ahem nazar aa raha hai, kyun ke yeh forex market ke bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan jari muqablay mein aik ahem dilchaspi ka markaz hai.
Haal hi mein trading sessions mein, USD/CHF ne buland volatility ke daur se guzar raha hai, jahan qeemat ki harkat wazeh hai jo ke mukhtalif arzi aur siyasi maamlat ko reflekt karti hai jo chal rahe hain. 0.8923 level ne aik ahem resistance point sabit kiya hai, jahan bechnay walay consistent tor par qeemat ko nichay le jane ke liye kadam utha rahe hain. 0.8923 mark par yeh mazid bechnay ki dabao ne traders ke nazdeek 'key selling zone' ki shakal ikhtiyar ki hai.

Is key selling zone ke banne ka sabab technical aur bunyadi factors ki milawat mein hai. Technical hawale se, 0.8923 level kuch indicators aur chart patterns ke saath milta julta hai jo ke bearish trend ka izhar karte hain. Maslan, moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels, aur pehlay ke support aur resistance zones is price point ke aas paas mojood hain, jo market mein aik mukhtalif point ki sakhawat ko mustahkam karte hain

Bunyadi tor par, USD/CHF pair ke movements ko US dollar ki mazbooti Swiss franc ke muqablay mein influence karta hai, jo ke arzi data releases, central bank policies, aur siyasi maamlat ke asar mein ata hai. Hal ki data jo ke United States se aayi hai, jaise ke rozgar ke figures, mahangi dar aur GDP ki growth, unhone mukhtalif tasawwur-e-maqasid-e-maal ki tasweer pesh ki hai, jo Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke future rukh ke baray mein uncertainty paida karte hain. Yeh uncertainty USD/CHF pair mein dekhi jane wali halchal ki wajah hai

/CHF pair ke liye consolidation ka waqt dikhata hai. Ye tab hota hai jab price ek nazdik range mein move karta hai bina kisi wazeh directional trend ke. Traders aur investors aise pattern ko aksar market ke indecision ka signal samajhte hain, jahan bulls aur bears dono mein se kisi ka upper hand nahi hota USD/CHF pair ki pehle ki girawat kayi wajoohat ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Ek badi wajah broader economic environment aur Swiss Franc ki relative strength hai. CHF ko aksar safe-haven currency mana jata hai, jo ke global economic uncertainty ya geopolitical tensions ke waqt appreciate hoti hai. Investors Swiss Franc ko safe asset ke tor par pasand karte hain, jo iski value ko USD ke muqable mein mazbooti deta hai
Swiss Franc ki recent mazbooti Switzerland ke economic policies aur conditions se bhi juri hai. Switzerland ki stable economy, low inflation rates, aur strong financial system CHF ko investors ke liye attractive banate hain. Swiss National Bank (SNB) ki monetary policy decisions, jo stability aur low inflation ko maintain karne ke liye hain, ne bhi CHF ki value ko support kiya hai. SNB ne forex market mein intervene karne mein ehtiyaat se kaam liya hai, jo bhi karansi ki mazbooti mein kirdar ada karta hai
Dosri taraf, US Dollar ne mukhtalif challenges ka samna kiya hai jo iski relative weakness ka sabab bane hain. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance, economic data releases, aur geopolitical factors sab USD ki value ko asar andaz karte hain. Haal hi mein, Fed ki dovish stance, jo interest rate hikes mein slowdown ya pause ko indicate karti hai, ne USD par weight dala hai. Lower interest rates currency ko kam attractive banate hain jabke investors higher yields ke liye doosri jagah dekhtay hain
Iske ilawa, United States ka economic data mixed raha hai. Kuch indicators strong economic activity dikhate hain, jabke doosray potential slowdowns ya challenges ki taraf ishara karte hain. Jaise labor market reports, inflation data, aur GDP growth figures sab USD ke liye overall sentiment mein kirdar ada karte hain. Kisi bhi economic weakness ke asar currency ke depreciation mein hote hain jabke investors future interest rate movements aur economic performance ke liye apni expectations ko adjust karte hain
Geopolitical factors bhi USD aur CHF ke dynamics mein crucial role ada karte hain. Global events, jaise trade tensions, political instability, aur international conflicts, forex market mein volatility barhati hain. Aise scenarios mein, Swiss Franc aksar safe-haven status ki wajah se faida uthata hai, jabke USD international events ke US economy par asar ko dekhte hue fluctuations ka samna karta hai.
Khulasa ye hai ke USD/CHF karansi pair ka early Asian session mein sideways trading ka pattern consolidation period ko reflect karta hai jo pehle ki girawat ke baad hai. Swiss Franc ki USD ke muqable mein mazbooti Switzerland ke stable economic conditions, SNB ki prudent policies, aur karansi ke safe-haven appeal ki wajah se hai. Iske baraks, US Dollar ko Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, mixed economic data, aur geopolitical uncertainties se challenges ka samna h ai. Ye factors mil kar USD/CHF forex pair ke current dynamics ko bana rahe hain

USD/CHF TAAKEEK 04 JULY 2024



Kai dinon tak USDCHF ki raftar barhne ke baad, aakhirkaar Wednesday ko USDCHF ki raftar girne shuru ho gayi. Kami kafi gehri keh sakti hai kyunki currency pair lagbhag 60 pips gir gaya. USDCHF girne ka sabab yeh tha ke candle ne 0.9050 ke resistance ko penetrate karne mein nakami ka samna kiya. Jab woh gir gaya, kharidari karne wale se resistance zaroor thi, isliye agar aap chart dekhen to wahan ek bohot lambi candle ki dum thi. Isliye ab USDCHF phir se barh gaya hai. Yah Thursday ko USDCHF trade 0.9014 ke price par shuru hua. Is baar trading position sach mein kal se neeche shuru hui thi.
Agar h1 timeframe se taa'asur kiya jaaye ke candle ne 0.9047 ke supply area mein penetrate karne mein nakami ka samna kiya, to pehle se up raftar ke movement ne achanak se down mein badal gaya. Jab supply area chhue bagair, USDCHF ki movement asal mein zyada tar up ki taraf hoti thi. Magar, jab candle demand area 0.8987 ko haasil hua, phir USDCHF ki raftar barh gayi. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh sirf ek correction tha. Agar woh up jaye, main yaqeenan ke yeh apne qareebi resistance 0.9047 ko paar nahi karega. Kyunki, agar woh resistance paar ho gaya, to nichay jaane ki sambhavnaen apne aap patli ho jaayengi.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ki madad se taaqub kiya jaaye, to USDCHF bohot gehri girne ke baad, candle ka maqam badal gaya hai. Ab candle ka maqam Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke nichay chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke USDCHF ki trend bearish hone ki shuruat ho gayi hai. Asal mein, Ichimoku indicator ne USDCHF ko girne ke liye instructions di hain. Kumo cloud ke chhed hona yeh dikhata hai ke bearish pressure mazeed taqatwar ho rahi hai. Is se USDCHF ko agle support tak girne ka ishaara hai.

Is ke sath, stochastic indicator se, hum dekh sakte hain ke jab line apne lowest level, yani 20 ko chho gayi to USDCHF foran wapas upar chala gaya. Ab line abhi bhi upar dekhai de rahi hai, jo ke USDCHF ko apni raftar barhane ki ijaazat deti hai. Jaise maine upar kaha, USDCHF ki upar ki movement sirf ek correction hai, baqi ke price niche ki taraf jayenge. Shayad USDCHF ka maqool maqsad aaj 0.9050 ke price ko test karna ho.

To aaj ki taa'asur ka nateeja yeh hai ke USDCHF ka abhi bhi moka hai mazeed gehre girne ka kyunki candle abhi tak 0.9047 ke supply area mein penetrate nahi kar saka. Jab tak supply area nahi chhua jaata, girne ka moka abhi tak bohot zyada hai. Ichimoku indicator bhi yahi kehta hai ke candle ka maqam abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke nichay hone se, yeh dikhata hai ke trend bearish ki taraf ja raha hai. Isliye, main doston ko jinhone is pair mein trade karna hai, sirf sell positions kholne par tawajjo dena chahta hoon. Aap target ko 0.8950 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 0.9050 par rakh sakte hain.

Baad mein 0.90407 ke aas paas ke izafa ke baad, USD/CHF currency pair ne downturn shuru kiya, jo ke aaj bhi jaari hai. Pair ke recent movements mein further declines ka potential nazar aa raha hai, isliye traders ke liye zaroori hai ke woh key support aur resistance levels identify karen taake informed trading decisions le saken.

Agar current downward movement zyada hoti hai, to USD/CHF pair 0.9036-0.9010 ke area ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Yeh zone crucial hai kyunki yahan buying opportunities mil sakti hain un traders ko jo potential bounce se faida uthana chahte hain. Is range mein, 0.9036 initial level of interest hai, aur uske baad 0.9010 significant support zone hai.

Is area tak pahunchne se pehle, traders ko interim support levels 0.9003 aur 0.90241 par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Yeh levels short-term cushions ka kaam kar sakte hain further declines ke against, aur buying ke potential entry points provide kar sakte hain.

Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke agar USD/CHF pair 0.9000 ke critical psychological level se niche girta hai, to yeh near term mein deeper downside move ko trigger kar sakta hai. 0.9000 se niche ka break market sentiment mein shift indicate kar sakta hai, jo ke increased selling pressure aur lower support levels ka test la sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, traders ko caution exercise karna chahiye aur apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye taake risk ko effectively manage kar sakein.

Agar USD/CHF pair apni current downturn se recover karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to traders ko key resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke bullish moves ke potential targets ho sakte hain. Rise par pehla target 0.9035 hai, jo ke near-term resistance level hai. Is level ke successful break se further gains ke liye raasta mil sakta hai jo ke next resistance 0.9026 hai.

Agar bullish momentum continue karta hai, to USD/CHF pair 0.9012 ki taraf aim kar sakta hai, jo ke ek aur notable resistance level hai jo further upward movements ke against barrier ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance levels traders ke liye critical hain, kyunki yeh long positions ke exit points ya short positions enter karne ke opportunities provide karte hain agar price rejection face karta hai.

Conclusion mein, USD/CHF currency pair abhi recent rise 0.90407 ke aas paas ke baad downturn face kar raha hai. Traders ko 0.9036-0.9010 ke potential support areas par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur additional supports 0.9003 aur 0.90241 par bhi. 0.9000 ke crucial level se niche girna deeper downside move ko signal kar sakta hai, jo ke cautious trading strategies ki zaroorat hai.

Dusri taraf, agar pair rise karta hai, to immediate targets 0.9035, phir 0.9026 aur 0.9012 hain. In levels ko monitor karna traders ko informed decisions lene mein madad de sakta hai aur current market conditions ko effectively navigate karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Key support aur resistance levels ko identify kar ke, traders apni positions ko better manage kar sakte hain aur USD/CHF market mein potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ne apna bullish trend dobara shuru kar diya hai. USD/JPY mein haal hi mein girawat zyada dair tak nahi rahi, aur yeh pair phir se upar ja raha hai. Yeh resurgence positive risk sentiment aur US Dollar ki mazbooti se support ho rahi hai. Market ka optimism US economy ke hawale se, aur favorable economic indicators ne USD/JPY pair ki renewed strength mein aham kirdar ada kiya hai. Investors barhati hui global uncertainties ke darmiyan US Dollar ko safe-haven asset ke taur par dekh rahe hain. Iss ke natije mein, Dollar ki demand ne USD/JPY ko upar push kiya hai, jo bullish trend ke continuation ka signal de raha hai. Traders ko key resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye jo long positions ke potential targets provide kar sakti hain. Immediate focus upward momentum ko maintain karne aur buying opportunities ke strategic entry points ko identify karne par hai.
Doosri taraf, USD/CHF currency pair ne 0.9040 aur 0.9036 ke significant resistance zones ko break kar liya hai. Yeh breakout market dynamics mein shift indicate karta hai, jahan buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. 0.9030 level ke upar, buyers ko mazid upward movements ki taraf target karne ka mauka milega, pehle 0.9000 aur phir 0.8989 tak. USD/CHF ka 0.9030 level ke upar rehna zaroori hai taake 0.90215-0.9003 ke support range ki taraf stronger correction se bacha ja sake. Current trajectory suggest karti hai ke USD/CHF 0.89974-0.90162 ke range ki taraf ja raha hai. Lekin traders ko 0.90251-0.89936 ke levels ke aas paas ke potential obstacles se hoshyar rehna chahiye jo target zone tak pohanchne se pehle challenges pose kar sakte hain. In key levels ke ird gird vigilance ko maintain karna trades ko effectively manage karne aur risks ko mitigate karne ke liye aham hoga.

Overall market sentiment dono USD/JPY aur USD/CHF mein bullish trends ko support kar rahi hai. USD/JPY ke liye, continued rise favorable economic conditions aur positive risk sentiment se underpinned hai. USD/CHF ke liye, resistance zones ke upar breakout strong buying interest signal kar raha hai, aur agar key levels hold kiye gaye to mazid gains ka potential hai.

Traders ko in strategic points ko consider karna chahiye: Resistance levels aur economic indicators ko monitor karna jo pair ke movement ko influence kar sakti hain. US economy ke positive developments ya global risk sentiment mein shifts further bullish trend ko support kar sakti hain. 0.9030 level ko closely monitor karna kisi bhi correction ke signs ke liye. Is level ke upar rehna upward movement ko sustain karne ke liye crucial hai. Additionally, 0.90251-0.89936 ke obstacles ko dekhna zaroori hai jo pair ke progress ko target range ki taraf impact kar sakte hain. Forex markets ki volatile nature ko dekhte hue, effective risk management strategies zaroori hain. Stop-loss orders aur position sizing ka use karke adverse market moves se bachne ki koshish karni chahiye. Global economic news aur events ke baare mein informed rehna jo market sentiment ko impact kar sakte hain. Unexpected geopolitical developments ya economic data releases currency movements ko significantly influence kar sakti hain.

Conclusion mein, dono USD/JPY aur USD/CHF bullish tendencies exhibit kar rahe hain jo market sentiment aur economic factors se support ho rahi hain. Traders ko key resistance aur support levels par focus karna chahiye, risks ko effectively manage karna chahiye, aur market developments ke baare mein informed rehna chahiye taake potential trading opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein.

correction phase ke. Ye ek bohat zyada impulsive decline ke liye prone hai. Agar hum current price movement ko dekhein jo SMA 200 ke upar hai, toh ye mumkin hai ke ye jari rahega. Mazeed ye ke EMA 50 ka fasla SMA 200 ke nazdeek aane ki surat mein hai aur golden cross signal dene ki potential hai. High price 0.8992 jo ke invalidation level hai, isay successfully cross kar liya gaya hai jis se lower low - lower high pattern ke khilaf break of structure ho gaya hai. Isi tarah, jab price neeche correction kare bhi, woh EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke neeche ho sakta hai, lekin naye lower low pattern ki bajaye higher low pattern bana sakta hai. Uptrend ki momentum abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai aur price ke USDCHF pair mein rally ko support kar raha hai. Aaj raat New York session mein, JOLTS Job Openings US data report aur Fed chairman J. Powell ke statement ka tawazun rakhna zaroori hai. Agar data report ke natije optimistic hote hain aur Fed chairman ka statement hawkish maana jata hai, toh US Dollar currency ke liye outlook mazboot hoga. Isi tarah se, ulta bhi ho sakta hai, is liye market mein dakhil hone se pehle faisla karne mein ziada ehtiyat zaroori hai.
Trading plan ke hawale se, aap high price 0.9068 tak pohanchne ke baad SELL entry position istemal kar sakte hain. Tasdeeq ke liye, Stochastic indicator ke parameters mein crossing ho jaane ki zarurat hai jo oversold zone mein level 90 - 80 hai. Jab tak AO indicator histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar rahega, uptrend ki momentum ko maintain karta rahega aur kamzor nahi hoga. Take profit ke liye target qareebi RBS area ke aas paas 0.8983 aur stop loss supply area mein 0.9142 - 0.9124 rakh sakte hain.USD/CHF Analysis 03 July 2024

USDCHF pair ne do consecutive hafton tak upar ki taraf move kiya hai bina kisi downward correction phase ke. Ye ek bohat zyada impulsive decline ke liye prone hai. Agar hum current price movement ko dekhein jo SMA 200 ke upar hai, toh ye mumkin hai ke ye jari rahega. Mazeed ye ke EMA 50 ka fasla SMA 200 ke nazdeek aane ki surat mein hai aur golden cross signal dene ki potential hai. High price 0.8992 jo ke invalidation level hai, isay successfully cross kar liya gaya hai jis se lower low - lower high pattern ke khilaf break of structure ho gaya hai. Isi tarah, jab price neeche correction kare bhi, woh EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke neeche ho sakta hai, lekin naye lower low pattern ki bajaye higher low pattern bana sakta hai. Uptrend ki momentum abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunki Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai aur price ke USDCHF pair mein rally ko support kar raha hai. Aaj raat New York session mein, JOLTS Job Openings US data report aur Fed chairman J. Powell ke statement ka tawazun rakhna zaroori hai. Agar data report ke natije optimistic hote hain aur Fed chairman ka statement hawkish maana jata hai, toh US Dollar currency ke liye outlook mazboot hoga. Isi tarah se, ulta bhi ho sakta hai, is liye market mein dakhil hone se pehle faisla karne mein ziada ehtiyat zaroori hai.

Trading plan ke hawale se, aap high price 0.9068 tak pohanchne ke baad SELL entry position istemal kar sakte hain. Tasdeeq ke liye, Stochastic indicator ke parameters mein crossing ho jaane ki zarurat hai jo oversold zone mein level 90 - 80 hai. Jab tak AO indicator histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar rahega, uptrend ki momentum ko maintain karta rahega aur kamzor nahi hoga. Take profit ke liye target qareebi RBS area ke aas paas 0.8983 aur stop loss supply area mein 0.9142 -

USD/CHF resistance ke tor par EMA200 ke level 0.8980 par trade kar raha hai, aur agar yeh is se upar jata hai toh yeh strong buy signal dega, jiska agla target 0.9150 ke qareeb hoga, lekin resistance ko cross karna hoga jo ke 80% Fibonacci level 0.9040 par ho sakta hai. Qareebi support fast EMA8 par 0.8965 hai aur phir EMA20 par 0.8950, jab ke main support EMA50 ke tor par 0.8935 par barh gaya hai. Iss tarah, humare paas ek trading range hai jisme local support levels hain jo bounce provide kar sakte hain aur pair ko upar bhej sakte hain. Aaj, GDP data aur initial jobless claims ke release par movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Pehle kuch dafa indicators negative thay, toh har martaba positive publication ka chance barh jata hai, probability theory ke mutabiq. Lekin dekhte hain kya hota hai. Pehle US mein kuch negativity thi production growth ke hawale se, jo GDP ko asar kar sakti hai. Is liye, main positivity expect kar raha hoon in indicators ke base par aur accordingly asset mein izafa, lekin main ghalat bhi ho sakta hoon, is liye data release ka intezar karna abhi bhi zaroori hai.
Hum USDCHF pair ko dekh rahay hain jiska price action resistance (R1) 0.8977 tak pohanch gaya hai, jab ke Pivot Point (PP) 0.8920 ko successfully cross kar ke aur EMA 50 ke oopar reh kar. Aasaar hain ke yeh rally continue kare aur resistance (R2) 0.9020 ko test kare, aur SMA 200 ko dynamic resistance ke tor par samnay la sakti hai. Agar current price ek false breakout banata hai, toh downward correction pivot point (PP) 0.8920 tak wapas aasakti hai. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke ongoing trend ka direction bearish hai, lekin kamzor ho raha hai. Iss tarah, price dobara neeche ja sakta hai aur support (S1) 0.8859 ko test kar sakta hai.

Agar hum Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke uptrend momentum ko dekhein, toh yeh ongoing upward rally ko support karta hai. Kyun ke positive area mein volume histogram abhi bhi kaafi wide hai aur level 0 ke qareeb nahi aa raha. Lekin Stochastic indicator ke parameters, jo ke overbought zone 90 – 80 ke levels par enter karne ke baad cross hue hain, price fall ko support karte hain. Jab tak trend ka direction bearish hai aur golden cross signal nahi aata, USDCHF price trend decline hota rahega. Aur, current min-min-min-max pattern ko disrupt karne wala koi break in structure nahi hai.

USD/CHF ANALYSIS 04 JULY 2024
Chand dinon ke baad jab USDCHF ki harkat barhti rahi, aakhirkaar budh ke din se USDCHF ki harkat girne lagi hai. Giravat ka izafa kaafi gehra keh sakta hai kyunki currency pair lagbhag 60 pips neeche gir gaya. USDCHF ki giravat ka sabab yeh tha ke mumkin tha qimati 0.9050 ke saath mehsoos kiya gaya candle ne kamiyabi haasil karne ki koshish ki. Jab yeh gir gaya, to kharid-daroon se haqiqatan rukawat thi, is liye agar aap chart ki taraf dekhein to yeh dekh sakte hain ke ek candle ka lamba dumm tha. Ab USDCHF phir se barh gaya hai. Is jumeraat ko USDCHF ki tijarat ne 0.9014 ke qeemat par aaghaaz kiya. Is dafa tijarat ke maqami is waqt bhi kal se kam darjey ke to upar khola.

Agar h1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaye ke qimati 0.9047 ke aas pass bejne wale wakt mein, to jo pehle se upar ki movement thi, woh achanak se neeche badal gayi. Jab tak supply area tak pohanchne se qabal, USDCHF ki harkat asal mein zyada tar upar ki thi. Lekin jab candle ne demand area tak pohanch gaya jo ke 0.8987 hai, to USDCHF ki harkat phir se barh gayi. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh sirf aik correction tha. Agar yeh upar jaye, to mein yakeen hai ke yeh apne qareebi resistance 0.9047 se ooper nahi jayega. Kyunki agar yeh resistance ko paar karay, to is ke neeche jaane ke imkaniyat khud ba khud kamzor ho jaayengi.

Agar hum Ichimoku indicator ke madad se tajziya karein, to USDCHF jo ke bohat gehre tareek se gir chuka hai, to candle ka moqa badal gaya hai. Ab candle ka moqa Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo ke is ka matlab hai ke USDCHF ki trend bearish ho rahi hai. Asal mein, Ichimoku indicator ne USDCHF ko girne ke liye hukm diya hai. Kumo cloud ke andar ghuse hone ka ishara hai ke bearish dabao zyada ho raha hai. Is se USDCHF ko agle support tak girne ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator se dekha ja sakta hai ke line apne sab se kam level, jo ke 20 hai, ko chhoo kar USDCHF foran wapas upar chala gaya hai. Ab line abhi bhi upar ki taraf mojood hai, jo ke USDCHF ko is ki barhne ki ijazat deta hai. Bilkul waise jaise mein ne pehle kaha, USDCHF ki upar ki raftar sirf aik correction hai, baki qeemat neeche jaayegi. Shayad USDCHF ka maqsad aaj 0.9050 ke qeemat par resistance ko test karna ho.

To aaj ke tajziye ka ikhtataam yeh hai ke USDCHF ko mazeed girne ka moqa hai kyunki candle abhi tak 0.9047 ke supply area ko nahi tor saki hai. Jab tak supply area ko nahi tora jaye, to girne ka moqa bohat bara hai. Ichimoku indicator bhi yahi kehta hai ke jab tak candle Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche rahe, to is ka matlab hai ke trend bearish ki taraf ja raha hai. Is liye, mein apne dostoon ko jo ke is jodi mein tijarat karte hain, unhe yeh mashwara doonga ke sirf bechnay ki positions par tawajjo den. Aap apna nishana qareebi support 0.8950 ke qeemat par rakh sakte hain aur apna stop loss 0.9050 ke qeemat par rakh sakte hain.

Jab yeh article likha gaya, toh USDCHF currency H1 chart par 0.90372 ke maqam par north ki correction dikhayi di. Forum par Instaforex indicator ne pehle hisse mein 66.84% ke range ke sath buyer ka faida dikhaya. Dusre hisse mein, indicator ne northern trend dikhayi. Aaj ka waqi'a kaise taraqqi karega? Switzerland aur United States se important news nahi aayengi: President Powell ka khitab aur labor market mein khuli vacancies ki tadaad. Mere khayal se hum sirf technical analysis nahi, balke basic analysis bhi kar sakte hain. Mukhtasir mein, yeh kahaan hai aur kya hai? Mujhe umeed hai yeh jodi north ko 0.9060 tak correct karegi aur phir south ko 0.9005 tak mod jayegi. Sabka shikari

M15 time limit mein. Simple aur familiar movements humari madad karengi analysis mein. Main 9 aur 22 periods ke index levels ka istemal kar raha hoon. Hum market ko signals bhejte hain. Humara cross-point mark: 0.90284 project? Main ne current price ka istemal kiya aur hum market mein chale gaye. Agar price diya gaya, toh main ek aur order add karunga. Main transaction volume ko do levels mein divide karta hoon. Rolling nahi hai, aur phir doosre order flight mein hum market mein kharidte hain. Jo minimum limit main istemal karta hoon, woh 1 to 3 ratio hai. Agar transaction zyada de, toh main sirf peechay rahta hoon. Jab price ek-tihayi profit zone se upar chale jaye, toh main payment balance ko reach karunga, jo mujhe aur bhi sukoon deta hai aur aap kisi bhi waqt dobara enter kar sakte hain. Sabko maloom hai currency market jhootay actions aur price gun battles se bhari hoti hai. Isliye mera parking order 20 points par kaafi wide hai, taake main galtiyon se bach sakoon. Aap faisla karein ke meri salahiyat ko follow karein ya nahi. Aap sabko din ki kamiyabi ki dua karta hoon

Market ahista chal rahi hai kyun ke USA se kuch ahem khabren aane wali hain. Khaaskar, Powell ka taqreer bohot ahmiyat rakhti hai aur ye USDCHF ko upar dhakel sakta hai, shayad 0.9065 level ko tor de. Yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke hum sirf guzishta data ke buniyad par aanewale tabdeeliyon ka andaza laga sakte hain. Humein overall market ke bare mein ya kisi buniyadi khabar ke aane ka ilm nahi hai. Is ke ilawa, ISM aur Final Manufacturing PMI rates bhi release hongi. Kal, humne dekha ke ISM news achi nahi thi, lekin iska USDCHF par zyada asar nahi hua. Magar kal phir se high-impact khabren aane ki umeed hai. Is liye, USDCHF traders ko aaj aur kal bohot ehtiyaat se trade karna chahiye. Ye market aaj upar ja sakti hai aur resistance level 0.9065 ko choo sakti hai, wahan ke irrd gird reh sakti hai. Is liye, humein apni trading activities ko is bullish market concept ke mutabiq set karna hoga

Aaj ke USDCHF market analysis ke liye hum larger time frames, khaaskar daily aur weekly ko follow kar sakte hain. Aam tor par, aanewali news data market ko mints mein tabdeel karne ki taqat rakhti hain. Is liye, jaldi karein aur Fed Chair Powell ke taqreer aur doosri khabron se aaj ke liye hoshiyar rahein. Is ke ilawa, ISM aur Final Manufacturing PMI rates bhi release hongi. Ye economic indicators manufacturing sector aur overall economic activity ki sehat ko assess karne ke liye bohot zaroori hain. Kal, humne dekha ke ISM news achi nahi thi, lekin iska USDCHF par zyada asar nahi hua. Ye resilience yeh suggest karti hai ke traders shayad zyada faislay karnay se pehle mazeed faisla kun khabron ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is liye, kal phir se high-impact khabren aane ki umeed hai jo market mein kaafi volatility la sakti hain. USDCHF traders ko aaj aur kal bohot ehtiyaat se trade karna chahiye. Ehtiyaat khas tor par zaroori hai kyun ke achanak aane wali khabren tezi se price changes la sakti hain, jo ke potential gains ya losses ko janam de sakti hain