امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

USD/CHF pair Asian trading session mein thori si tezi ke saath shuru hui, jabke US dollar kamzor hotay ja raha hai, jo Swiss franc ko relative tor par sasta banata hai. Aaj, Switzerland se koi bari economic updates nahi thay, isliye investors Europe aur US se anay wali data releases par tawajjo de rahe hain. Jabke US dollar kamzor ho raha hai, Swiss franc zyada mazboot nahi ho raha, iska matlab hai ke market sentiment USD/CHF ke liye dollar performance se aage bhi ja sakti hai. Pehle ye pair 0.9000 level ko toorna koshish ki lekin nakaam raha, jisse indicate hota hai ke mazeed tezi ki sambhavna hai.

Aage dekha ja raha hai ke USD/CHF par mukhtalifliers mein bullish sentiment hai, jo mazeed izafa ke liye jagah dikhata hai. Abhi pair apne nedami range ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai, iska matlab hai ke koi wazeh direction abhi tak nahi hai. Aaj ka focus US PMI data release par hai, jo pair par asar daal sakta hai, saath hi shaam mein hone wali US Federal Reserve meeting minutes bhi.

Technically, attention 0.92244 level par hai. Is level ke qareeb do mumkinha scenarios hain: pehla, breakout jo mazeed tezi ke liye le jaye 0.94096 aur shayad 0.95986 tak, jahan pullbacks bullish signals dhoondne ke liye mauka deinge. Dusra, ek reversal scenario jo support levels 0.90989 ya 0.90112 ki taraf retreat dekhe, jahan bullish signals mazeed tezi ki taraf wapis jane ki sambhavna darust kareinge.

Mukhtaliflements ke baad, umeed hai ke minor pullbacks ke baad uttar ki taraf chalne ka. Ye data release, saath hi Switzerland se koi bari khabar na hone ke bahana, spotlight par US economy aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke agle qadam par hai. Data ne dikhaya ke May mein inflation 2.6% tak kam hui, jo tawakulon ke mutabiq thi lekin investors ko impress nahi kiya. Is ke saath, price indexes mein tabdeeli na hone se September mein ek Fed rate cut ki speculation barh gayi. CME FedWatch tool jese financial instruments ab September cut ki chances ko taqreeban 66% estimate kar rahi hain.

USD/CHF currency pair ne recently aik corrective phase guzaari hai, jo kay significant technical levels ko mark karti hai aur uski current trading range ko delineate karti hai. Filhaal, market analysis ek distinct resistance level 0.8960 par indicate karti hai, jo kay firmly established support level 0.8933 ke saath juxtaposed hai.
Yeh correction USD/CHF exchange rate framework mein pivotal developments ko underscore karti hai, jahan traders in delineated levels ko strategic decision-making ke liye keenly monitor karte hain. 0.8960 par resistance ek critical barrier signify karta hai jo kay pair ne encounter kiya hai, historically market participants ko potential breakout scenarios ya sustained reversals ke baare mein scrutiny karne par majboor karta hai.

Conversely, 0.8933 par support level aik robust foundation serve karta hai, jo kay buying interest ko historically intensify karta hai, further declines ko prevent karta hai aur potentially renewed buying activity ko spark karta hai. Traders particularly attentive rehte hain ke price is level ke ird gird kaise behave karti hai, kyun ke breaches ya rebounds from 0.8933 aksar short-term market sentiment aur trading strategies ko dictate karte hain

Technical analysts aur forex enthusiasts dono in key levels ki importance ko short-term price action ko shape karne aur broader market trends ko influence karne mein emphasize karte hain. Aise precise resistance aur support levels ki identification sirf tactical entry aur exit points ko inform nahi karti balkay prevailing market trends ki strength aur potential shifts in investor sentiment ko assess karne ke liye ek barometer ke taur par bhi serve karti hai

Aaj ke trading ke feasibility aur munafa ke liye ye jaanch lenge ke aaj USD/CHF currency pair par trading karne ka zariya hu. Signals ke relevance ke pehlu se Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD indicators se, jo market mein entry points tay karne mein madad karte hain signal processing ke imkan ke liye. Agar positive processing ho, to hum processed position se nikalne ka sabse behtar exit point dhundenge. Is maksad ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ko trading chart par extreme points par muntaqil karenge aur market se bahar nikalne ke liye nazdeekan correction levels ko plan karenge.

Sabse pehle, kehna zaroori hai ke muntazam samay ke intezaam ke saath chart ko select karenge (time frame H4) jo saaf dikhata hai ke pehla degree regression line (golden dotted line) instrument ki direction aur current trend ko dikhata hai, jo niche ki taraf taez trend movement ke saath taez hoti ja rahi hai. Nonlinear regression channel (concave ya convex range coloured lines) golden line of the ascending trend ko upar se nichle taraf cross kar raha hai aur ab dheere dheere niche ki taraf movement dikhata hai.

Price ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin quotes ke HIGH (0.92250) tak pohancha jahan par uska barhna ruk gaya aur mazboot tor par gira. Abhi instrument price mark of 0.89316 par trade kar raha hai. Sab yeh dekhte hue ke chart mein, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes ab linear channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (0.88645) ke neeche laut kar consolidate honge aur further downward movement hoga golden middle line LR of the linear channel 0.88361 tak, jo Fibo level ka -61.8% se milta hai. Yeh bhi zarur shamil karna hai ke is waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ziddi taur par indicate kar rahe hain ke instrument overbought hai kyunki woh ek sell deal karne ka mukammal chance dene wali zone mein hain.

USD/CHF pair ne Asian trading session slight uptrend ke saath shuru ki, aur apni momentum ko barqarar rakha bawajood US dollar ke weakening ke, jo Swiss franc ko relatively sasta banata hai. Aaj Switzerland se koi major economic updates nahi aayi, isliye investors Europe aur US se aanay wali data releases par focus kar rahe hain. Jabke US dollar weak ho raha hai, Swiss franc significantly strengthen nahi ho raha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke broader market sentiment USD/CHF ko favor kar raha hai beyond sirf dollar performance. Pehle, pair ne 0.9000 level ke upar break karne ki koshish ki thi lekin nakam raha, jo potential further upward movement ka indication hai.

Aage dekhte hue, USD/CHF par ek general bullish sentiment hai, jo growth ke liye room suggest karta hai. Abhi, pair apni recent range ke midway mein trade kar raha hai, implying ke koi clear direction abhi nahi hai. Aaj ka focus US PMI data release par hai, jo pair ko impact kar sakta hai, saath hi shaam ko US Federal Reserve meeting minutes.

Technically, attention resistance level 0.92244 par hai. Is level ke qareeb do possible scenarios hain: pehla, ek breakout jo further upward movement ko lead karega towards 0.94096 aur potentially 0.95986, jahan pullbacks anticipated hain taake support levels ke qareeb bullish signals mil sakein. Dusra, ek reversal scenario jo support levels 0.90989 ya 0.90112 ki taraf retreat dekhega, jahan bullish signals potential return to upward movement ko indicate karenge.

Kul mila kar, expectation minor pullbacks ke baad northward continuation ki hai, with adjustments based on market developments. Yeh data release, aur Switzerland se significant news ki kami, US economy aur Federal Reserve ke next move on interest rates par spotlight daalti hai. Data ne May mein inflation cooling down 2.6% dikhayi, jo expectations ko meet karti hai lekin investors ko impress nahi kar saki. Yeh, aur unchanged price indexes, ne September mein Fed rate cut ki speculation ko fuel kiya. Financial instruments jaise CME FedWatch tool ab September cut ke odds ko nearly 66% par place karte hain.

maine trading range 0.90680 se 0.91560 tak ke andar girawat ka intezar kiya tha, jahan 0.89890 par possible support tha. Magar, pair mein unexpected increase dekha gaya. Isme se ek factor seller ke stops ka mojood hona hai, jo keemaat ke harkat ko asar andaz kar sakta hai. Despite the decline, clear selling volume was still present, indicating that sellers were waiting for the decline to end. Interesting thing is that initial volume came from buyers, validating the potential for northern movement. While I had estimated a decline, initial buyer momentum suggests that there is potential for an increase in the USD/CHF pair. The southern correct movement has likely ended, so the northern trend may continue. As long as the MA is rising, USD/CHF will change accordingly. It is important to set the upper level at 0.9327, which corrects the debt shortage for USD/CHF. If the plan is successful, the market can reach this crucial point and release pressure. However, reaching 0.9327 does not necessarily mean a reversal of the decline, but rather a small shift. When this part passes, the southern trend may be forgotten for a while. If the plan fails, the bearish level of 0.9064 also needs to be addressed with caution. I am not ready to analyze until 0.92110 is broken. If the price exceeds this level, it will be a sign of a bullish trend, and I will reconsider my position. Until then, I am waiting for a decline and expecting the pair to fall. When the price action appears, the pair may find support at the level of 0.90730. This support is important because it corresponds to my anticipated downward movement. If the pair stays above this level, it confirms a temporary direction, giving buyers a chance to buy. But if it falls below this support, it can start spreading more selling pressure, leading to a significant decline.While holding the resistance level at 0.93448, there are two possible scenarios. The first scenario is that the price will consolidate above this level and then move towards the north. If this plan is executed, we can expect the price to move towards the resistance level at 0.94096. Near this resistance level, I will wait for a trading setup to help determine the further direction of trading. It is acknowledged that the price may push further towards the resistance level at 0.94986, but this situation depends on the price's reaction and the designated higher northern targets. The second scenario is that when the price approaches the resistance level at 0.93448, a reversal candle forms, and a southern corrective movement begins. If this plan is executed, I will wait for the price to return to the support level of 0.90846 or the support level of 0.89989. Near these support levels, I will look for bullish signals, expecting the price to resume its upward movement. In summary, for today, I understand that there may be a locally impulsive price breakout.Their stance reflects assertiveness in sentiment, which is in their favor. Similarly, sellers are positioned to capitalize on this sentiment, earning profits of up to 20 pips and potentially recovering any incurred losses. However, in this dynamic market environment, it is crucial to factor in upcoming news events. For me, the USD/CHF market will remain in favor of sellers today and tomorrow. Especially US dollar-related news developments are very significant, which historically have a significant impact on market trajectories. The implications of such news resonate in different trading sessions, emphasizing vigilance in each period, particularly during the influential US trading session

USD/CHF ke taur par ek critical risk zone jo pehle seller activity ke saath mark kiya gaya tha aur orange arrows se indicate hua tha, woh around 0.91567 level par hai. Yeh level traders ke liye ek significant indicator hai. Agar current uptrend fifth wave ka hissa hai, toh is risk zone ko surpass karna ek strong bullish signal hoga, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market naye highs achieve karne ke liye poised hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh uptrend sirf ek corrective move hai, toh yeh pehli third wave se pehle wali larger second wave ke characteristics ko resemble kar sakta hai. Iss case mein, correction USD/CHF ko lower target levels tak drive kar sakti hai, specifically around 0.91025, aur phir se 0.90857 tak decline ka imkaan hai. Yeh downside targets potential areas ko mark karte hain jahan buying interest dobara emerge ho sakta hai, jo support provide karta hai aur shayad ek aur bullish phase ko lead karta hai. Interestingly, dono scenarios - chahe yeh uptrend ka continuation ho ya ek correction - initially ek target level par converge karte hain jo ke 0.91443 hai. Yeh convergence point traders ke liye crucial hai kyunki yeh market ka agla move assess karne ke liye ek benchmark serve karta hai. Is level ke upar break karna fifth wave continuation hypothesis ko support karega, jabke iske upar sustain na kar paana current uptrend ki corrective nature ko indicate karega, jo pehle observe hui larger wave pattern ke sath align karta hai.

Akhir mein, USD/CHF pair ki current price action do primary scenarios present karti hai traders ko consider karne ke liye. Uptrend ka continuation naye highs tak jaane ka favorable lagta hai agar market critical resistance around 0.91567 ko break kar sake. Dusri taraf, agar yeh resistance hold karta hai aur price reverse hoti hai, toh yeh corrective move ko confirm karega, targeting 0.91025 aur potentially 0.90857 downside par. Dono scenarios traders ke liye important levels offer karte hain, particularly 0.91443 level, jo shayad agle major market direction ko determine karne mein pivotal role play karega.

USD/CHF currency pair, jo abhi 0.9029 par hai, bearish trend experience kar raha hai jo ke economic data, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur monetary policies ka combination hai. Yeh gradual downward movement potential significant changes ko suggest karta hai near future mein. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake USD/CHF exchange rate mein possible developments ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

Main abhi USD/CHF currency pair ki mojudah keemat ka tafteesh kar raha hoon. USD/CHF pair ki keemat girte ja rahi hai aur haalat ye batate hain ke is samay is trading instrument ko bechna munasib nahi hai. Agar keemat neechay jaati hai aur liquidity poori tarah se khatam ho jati hai, toh keemat ko aur nicha kheenchna bekar ho sakta hai. Aise halat mein akalmand investors ko rujhan nahi aayega aur United States ki aaj ki khabron ke baad, USD/CHF ke chart mein tezi aane ki sambhavna hai. Agar yeh haalat puri hoti hai, toh keemat mein izafa hone ki kafi sambhavna hai, jisme accumulation area tak 0.9142 ke qareeb pohanchne ka imkan hai. Keemat abhi bullish hai aur mustaqbil ke liye mazboot nazar aa raha hai

Bulls ne 0.8894 resistance level par qamyabi nahi haasil ki, jisse bears ko control mil gaya aur USD/CHF pair ko neechay kheench liya gaya. Is harkat se pair ne 0.8894 ke neeche apni jagah bana li hai, jahan se selling ka point aaya hai. Mojudah market trends ke mutabiq keemat mein dheere dheere kami aane ki sambhavna hai, aur agar yeh downtrend beech mein kisi badi rukawat ke baghair jaari rahe, toh support level 0.8837 tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin yeh bhi gaur karna zaroori hai ke agar bearish forces daakhil ho gaye toh pehle se dekhi gayi bullish sentiment ko khatre mein daal sakte hain aur market trend par qabza kar sakte hain. Daily chart ki tafseeli analysis ke mutabiq, agar keemat 0.8894 level ke neeche rahti hai, toh mojudah downtrend jaari rahega. Chart par mojood latest candlestick is trading day ke liye bearish sentiment darsha rahi hai

"Sellers ki taraf se dabaav kam hone laga hai. Dabaav pehle do din se kam bhi tha. Monday aur Tuesday ko USDCHF mein bohat gehri girawat hui thi. Sirf do din mein, total mein, USDCHF kareeb 90 pips tak gir gaya hai. 0.8892 ke price par support ko safaltapurvak todkar, dikhai deta hai ke USDCHF ki girawat aur gehri ho gayi hai.

Agar H1 timeframe se support area mein tafteesh ki jaye, to mujhe ek bullish Harami candle pattern nazar aane laga hai. Is pattern ki khasiyat yeh hai ke bullish candle bearish candle se chota hota hai. Aam tor par pattern ke appearance ke baad market turant ulta ho jata hai. Iske alawa, jab candle demand area 0.8833 ke price par phans gaya tha, tab USDCHF currency pair ki girawat ruk gayi thi. Farq yeh hai ke jab tak area chu nahi jati, tab movement niche ki taraf jaati hai. Asian session mein USDCHF dheere dheere barhne laga hai. Upar di gayi demand area tak ko chhute tak, mujhe lagta hai ki upar ki mauka abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Lekin, demand area ko penetrate hone par sambhal jaaye, kyun ke yeh mauka ko aur bhi patla kar sakta hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se tafteesh ki jaye, to candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Jab intersection hua tha, tab USDCHF ki movement girne ki taraf mili thi. Aise position se yeh zahir hota hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Lekin, yehi hua ke candle demand area mein phans gaya hai, ummid hai ke tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines phir se cross ho jaye aur upar ki taraf movement ho sake.

Isi dauraan, stochastic indicator khud bhi beech mein hai. Iska matlab hai ke yeh na to oversold hai aur na hi overbought. Yeh isliye hua ke kal USDCHF ki movement side mein thi. Lekin, agar aap ek badi timeframe dekhte hain, to yeh saaf dikhata hai ke haalat pehle hi oversold ho chuki hai kyun ke kuch din pehle USDCHF ki girawat bhi bohat gehri thi. Shayad ab USDCHF ka palatna ka waqt aa gaya hai

To aaj ki tafteesh ka nateeja yeh hai ke USDCHF currency pair ke upar barhne ki abhi bhi mauka hai pehli wajah yeh hai ke candle abhi tak 0.8833 ke price par demand area ko nahi chhoo saka hai. Dusra wajah yeh hai ke support area mein ek bullish Harami candle pattern hai jo market ke ulte hone ki nishani hai."

Hello. Raaste mein, price drop ne niche se saari liquidity nikal di thi, isliye USD/CHF overall in segments mein flat tha, aur isko kheench diya gaya tha kyunki kuch na kuch puppet ke liye tha. Yeh bhi koi khaas baat nahi thi... Iska seedha matlab yeh hai ki is trading instrument ki keemat aur neeche nahi jaegi. Agar price 0.8842 tak rally karti hai jahan price stuck hai, to mukhya key ke mutabiq, meri data ke mutabiq, aisa scenario execution phase mein aa sakta hai. Yahan se, hum 0.8893 ki taraf rally ki taraf badhte hain. Agar yeh sach hai, to do tests ke baad expected support 0.8842 par jo maine is chart par draw kiya hai, agar false breakout dekhte hain is level ka teesri baar, aur agar aisi price action ke baad hum USD/CHF price range mein lautte hain, to yeh dikhayega ki puppet ne zyada market participants ko trading positions lene ke liye provoke kiya hai. Aur agar yeh sach hai, to 0.8842 level ka false breakout ke baad, yeh mumkin hai ki hum upar ja sakte hain. Majority ke against 0.9120 congested area mein gap mein.
USD/CHF H-4

Hello. Yeh bilkul ho sakta hai, khaas karke jabki US US mein operate nahi karta hai, aur isliye movements strong hone ka kam possibility hai, lekin NBS rates kal Europe mein early publish hone ki ummeed hai. Aur is point par USD/CHF is week ke liye major movement hoga. Situation yeh hai ki NBS rates cut karne ki kam ummeed hai, kyunki Switzerland mein inflation theek hai, lekin NBS ke comments yahan dilchaspi ke hain, aur is point par hum 0.8775 level tak support pahunch sakte hain. Yahan options hain, lekin tone ke hisaab se sab theek hoga. Isliye main current conditions se growth ya support test aur wedge ke lower border par 50% fib tak expect karta hoon, jo 0.8775 hai, aur growth above 0.8883 ke liye immediate current position. Pullback ke direction mein move karna, jo aapke targets ko 0.9120 tak khol dega. Events develop karne ke liye options hain, aur sabhi humein kabhi na kabhi 0.9120 tak pahunchayenge

USD/CHF

Aaj ke trading ki feasibility aur profitability ka study karenge, Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD indicators ke signals ki relevance ke point of view se. Yeh indicators market mein entry points ko determine karne mein madad karte hain, in terms of probability of signal processing. Agar positive processing hoti hai, to hum processed position se nikalne ka sabse optimal exit point dhoondenge. Is maqsad ke liye, hum trading chart ke extreme points par Fibonacci grid ko stretch karenge aur nearest correction levels par market se exit plan karenge.

Sabse pehle, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke attached chart mein selected hourly period (time frame H4) clearly show karta hai ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo instrument ka direction aur current trend ko dikhata hai, niche ki taraf hai, ek acute angle par. Yeh indicate karta hai ke ek bohot strong trend movement hai jo increasing dynamics ke sath south ki taraf ja raha hai. Nonlinear regression channel (concave ya convex colored lines) straight ho gaya hai aur golden line of the ascending trend ko top se bottom cross kar gaya hai, aur filhal downward southern movement dikha raha hai.

Price ne linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine ki red resistance line ko cross kar liya, lekin quotes ka maximum value (HIGH) 0.92250 tak pahunch gaya, uske baad growth ruk gaya aur price steadily decline hone lagi. Filhal, instrument 0.89316 ke price mark par trade kar raha hai. In sab ko dekhte hue, main expect karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (0.88645) of the FIBO level -50% ke niche wapas aaenge aur further downward movement golden middle line LR of the linear channel 0.88361 tak jaayegi, jo Fibo level of -61.8% ke sath coincide karti hai. Yeh add karna zaroori hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators persistently signal kar rahe hain ke instrument overbought hai, kyunki yeh zone mein hain jo profitable sell deal banane ke liye invite karte hain.

USD/CHF Price Direction
Hamara abhi tawajjo USD/CHF currency pair ki keemat action ke jaaizay par hai. USD/CHF ne kal daily time frame par ek pin bar banakar is haftay ke trading ko khatam kiya. Yeh pattern 0.8971 resistance level ke false breakout se nikla. 0.9001 round level tak pohanchne ke baad, pair active taur par girne laga. Agar pattern somvar ko 0.8961 breakout par activate ho jaye, to hum ummeed kar sakte hain ke pair 0.8943 tak girne ka silsila jaari rahega. Lekin agar pattern paida na ho aur dobara resistance mukhtalif ho, to ek potential breakout aur phir 0.9081 ki taraf izafa ho sakta hai.

Mahatvapurn US statistics somvar ko jaari kiye jayenge, jisse ki volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai. Maujooda halat kafi unpredictable hai, aur pin bar ki formation is do rae aur bechaini ko zahir karta hai.

Kal, USD/CHF currency pair ne apni poori din ki izaafat ko khatam kar diya, din ke ikhtitam par ek daily Doji reversal candle banaya jo ke lambi upper shadow ke saath tha aur zyada volume ke saath, jo ke seller ki hukoomat ko darshata hai. Ahem hai ke hum agle daily candle ki formation ka intezaar karen jo ke pair ke giravat ki shuruat ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai agar woh bearish initiative dikhaata hai. Is surat-e-haal mein pehla target area 0.8891 support level ko test karna hoga.

Haftawar ke time frame par ek bullish candle bana tha lekin uska volume kamzor tha. Yeh surat-e-haal pehle bhi aayi hai, jahan ek mawafiq setup ne mazboot local giravat ki taraf le gaya tha. Is baar bhi aisa ho sakta hai. Support aur resistance levels ke qareeb ehtiyat ke saath trading karna behtar trading nataij ke liye mashwara hai.

USD/CHF pair 0.8935 ke qareeb trading kar raha hai, jo ke 0.8883 ke key support level se mazbooti se bounce hone ke baad notable movement dikhata hai, jahan pichle hafte oversold tha. H4 chart par, 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) confirmed uptrend ko indicate karte hain, aur price in levels ke upar hai, jo increased buying momentum aur positive investor sentiment ka ishara hai. MACD indicator bhi bullish signal dikhata hai kyun ke MACD line ne signal line ko cross kiya hai, jo upward trend ko further support karta hai
Aaj ke news release ke baad, agar current upward trajectory continue karti hai, to price 0.9000 ko target kar sakti hai. Ye bullish outlook ongoing buying momentum aur SMAs aur MACD ke signals se backed hai. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, khas tor par market news ke asrat ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Key levels jo dekhne chahiyein unmein current 0.8935 price aur anticipated 0.9000 target shamil hain. Sustained bullish momentum feasibly pair ko near future mein 0.9000 level ki taraf le ja sakti hai
Ek hairan kun moڑ par, USD/CHF pair mein izafa hua jab SNB ne waqai rates mein kami ki, jo ke kuch sarmaayakaron ki umeedon ke bar-aks tha jo kisi tabdeeli ki umeed nahi kar rahe the. Yeh rally pair ko is ke 200 din ke simple moving average ki taraf dhakel diya jo ke 0.8890 par tha. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI aur Stochastic par oversold signals ne yeh darshaaya ke pehle girawat ke baad 0.8840 support level tak bounce hone ka waqt tha. Magar, kuch sarmaayakaron mein ehtiyaat reh sakti hai jab tak 200 din ka SMA support se resistance mein tabdeel nahi hota, jo ke 20 din ke SMA ko 0.8970 ki taraf apna izafa barhane ka mauqa de sakta hai. December se June ke rally ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo ke 0.9012 ke qareeb hai, ek aur rukawat ban sakta hai. Is rukawat ko paar karne se short-term descending channel ke top ko test karne ka rasta khul sakta hai jo ke 0.9065 par hai. Agar pair is level ko paar kar leta hai, to tawajjo major downtrend line par shift ho sakti hai jo November 2022 se qaim hai aur filhal 0.9135 ke qareeb hai.


Summary mein, USD/CHF pair recovery aur
potential growth ke signs dikhata hai, jo ke current technical indicators se supported hain aur bullish trend favor karte hain. Traders ko upward movement ke sath aligned opportunities ko seekh karna chahiye, jab ke significant price levels aur market developments ke hawale se further validation ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye

USD/CHF/H1

USD/CHF pair ne Asian trading session ko thoda sa uptrend ke saath shuru kiya, aur apni momentum ko barqarar rakha hai, halanki US dollar kamzor ho raha hai, jo Swiss franc ko muqable mein sasta bana raha hai. Aaj Switzerland se koi bari economic updates nahi aayi hain, isliye investors Europe aur US se aane wali data releases par focus kar rahe hain. US dollar kamzor ho raha hai lekin Swiss franc zyada mazboot nahi ho raha, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke broader market sentiment USD/CHF ke haq mein hai sirf dollar ki performance se hat kar. Pichle dino, pair ne 0.9000 level ke upar break karne ki koshish ki thi lekin nakam raha, jo further upward movement ki potential dikhata hai.

Aage dekha jaye to, USD/CHF par general bullish sentiment hai, jo growth ki gunjaish dikhata hai. Filhal, pair apni recent range ke beech mein trade kar raha hai, jo koi clear direction nahi dikhata. Aaj ka focus US PMI data release par hai, jo pair ko impact kar sakta hai, aur shaam ko US Federal Reserve ki meeting minutes par bhi.

Technically, resistance level 0.92244 par focus hai. Is level ke qareeb do mumkin scenarios hain: pehla, ek breakout jo further upward movement ki taraf le jaye ga towards 0.94096 aur potential 0.95986, jahan pullbacks expected hain aur bullish signals dhoondh sakte hain near support levels. Dusra, ek reversal scenario jo retreat kar sakta hai support levels 0.90989 ya 0.90112 ki taraf, jahan bullish signals upward movement ka signal denge.

Overall, expectation hai ke northward continuation ho minor pullbacks ke baad, market developments ke mutabiq adjustments ke saath. Is data release aur Switzerland se significant news ki kami US economy aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki agle interest rate move par spotlight dalte hain. Data ne May mein inflation ko 2.6% tak cool down hota dikhaya, jo expectations par tha lekin investors ko impress nahi kar saka. Iske saath hi, unchanged price indexes ne September mein Fed rate cut ki speculation ko fuel kiya. Financial instruments jaise CME FedWatch tool ab September cut ke chances ko takriban 66% par rakhte hain.

USD Swiss Franc (CHF) ke khilaaf Kamzor ho gaya, jabki US mein May ke shakhsiyatmi istamal infaqaat ke maqami data ke baad. Is data ke ikhraj ke sath, Switzerland se koi numaya khabar na hone ki wajah se, tawajjo ab US maeeshat aur Federal Reserve ke agle qadam par hai. Data ne dikhaya ke tanaza mein kami hogayi aur May mein mahangai 2.6% tak kam hui, jo ke tawakalat ko poora nahi kar saki lekin sarfeen ko khush nahi kiya. Is ke sath, jis par qeemat mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui, September mein Federal Reserve ke darjat mein kami ka khayal phail gaya. Maaliyat ke asbab jaise ke CME FedWatch ka aalaat ab September mein darjat kam karne ki imkanat ko takriban 66% par rakh raha hai. Lekin khud Federal Reserve ahtiyati rahe hai. Jabke kuch afsaran ke mutabiq jaise ke Bostic, saal ke akhir mein aik darjat kam honay ki mumkinat ke tasawwur ko tasleem karte hain, lekin 2025 ke liye mazeed darjat ka mutakhabat darjat hain. Federal Reserve ki yeh mukamal wazahat ki kami, sarmaya danon ko hoshyaar rakhti hai. Federal Reserve ke wazeh isharon ke baagair, maarkit US maeeshat ki haliyat ka behtar idraak ke liye June ke rozgar ke data ki taraf dekh rahi hai

Tekniki lehaaz se, USD/CHF jora kuch umeed afzal nishan dikhata hai. Ye zaraiyeh ahem moving averages (20 din, 100 din aur 200 din) ke upar moqif hai, jis se mustaqbil mein aala irtekab ki mumkinat hai. Is ke sath, jora ne pichle chaar dinon mein jeet ke silsile mein safar shuru kiya hai aur pichle haftay mein takreeban 1.5% izafa hua hai. Bull (maliyat ke tez rehne walay) ke liye asal baat yeh hai ke abhi haal mein faiday ke izafi bunyadi aur 100 din ke moving average ke upar rehna hai jo ke 0.8980 ke as paas hai. Lekin 200 din ke moving average tabdeel hone tak, jo ke sath se mansoob kar sakta hai, zyada hawala ki zarurat hai aur saktar irtekab ki nishan dahi kar sakta hai. 23.6% Fibonacci mulaazim (0.9012 ke as paas) aur ooper wale channel line (0.9065 ke as paas) jaise mukhalif darjat ko munqooz karna, jora ko zyada maqsad tak pohanchne ke liye ahem hoga. Is ke ooper, November 2022 se mojood down trend line (0.9135 ke as paas) agla rukawat ho sakta hai. Kul mila ke, USD/CHF jora ek intezaar aur dekho mode mein hai. Raah kaar mutanaza se mutasir hoga jis ki tawakalat aane wale US maeeshati data aur Federal Reserve ke darjat par munsalik rahegi. Jabke takhmeenat mazahir kuch umeed afzai dete hain, maalikat ki hawala se federal reserve ki wazahat ki kami hamare paas baqi bachi hui ahami baat hai

Hum aaj ke trading ka feasibility aur profitability ka mutala karenge, jo ke Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD indicators ki signals ki relevance ke lehaz se dekhenge. Yeh indicators hume market mein sabse munasib entry points dhoondhne mein madad karte hain. Agar signal processing positive ho, to hum processed position se nikalne ka sabse behtareen waqt dhoondhenge. Is ke liye, hum trading chart ke extreme points pe Fibonacci grid ko stretch karenge aur nearest correction levels pe market se nikalne ka plan banayenge.
Sabse pehle, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke attached chart mein selected hourly period (time frame H4) ke sath pehli degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke instrument ka direction aur current trend dikhati hai, niche ki taraf acute angle pe jati hui nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke ek bohot strong trend movement aur increasing dynamics ko south ki taraf indicate karti hai. Nonlinear regression channel (concave ya convex colored lines) seedha ho gaya hai aur ascending trend ki golden line ko upar se niche cross kar gaya hai aur ab downward southern movement dikha raha hai

Price ne red resistance line of linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin quotes ka maximum value (HIGH) 0.92250 tak pohnch gaya, us ke baad price ka growth ruka aur price steadily decline karne lagi. Iss waqt, instrument 0.89316 ki price mark par trading kar raha hai. Sab kuch dekhte hue, mein expect karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine (0.88645) ke channel line ke neeche consolidate hongi aur phir downward movement golden middle line LR of the linear channel 0.88361 tak jayega, jo ke Fibo level of -61.8% se coincide karta hai. Yeh bhi add karna zaroori hai ke iss waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators yeh signal de rahe hain ke instrument overbought hai aur profitable sell deal ke liye invite kar rahe hain