امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

USD/CHF currency pair ke current trading situation par charcha karte hue, yeh wazeh hai ke yeh pair abhi tor par mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Agar hum iske technical aur fundamental aspects ko dekhein, toh pata chalta hai ke kuch factors is pair ke upar dabaav daal rahe hain. Pehle toh, geopolitical tensions aur global economic uncertainty ki wajah se safe-haven currencies, jaise ke Swiss Franc, mein demand badh gayi hai. Isse USD/CHF pair ko neeche press kiya ja raha hai. Doosri taraf, Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions aur US economy ke indicators ki expectations bhi is pair par asar daal rahe hain. Agar US Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko badhane ya kam karne ki koi hint di hai, toh yeh USD/CHF pair par asar daal sakta hai. Iske alawa, Swiss National Bank (SNB) ki monetary policy bhi is pair ke movement par prabhav daal sakti hai. SNB ki intervention ki khabrein ya unki monetary policy mein koi tabdeeli bhi is pair par asar daal sakti hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar USD/CHF pair 0.9019 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, toh yeh level ek crucial support ya resistance ke roop mein kaam kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh iska matlab hai ke pair aur neeche ja sakta hai, jabki agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh iska matlab hai ke pair mein kuch stability aa sakti hai. Traders ko current situation ke samay mein vigilant rehna chahiye aur market ki movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Market sentiment, economic indicators, aur geopolitical developments par dhyan dena bhi zaroori hai. In sab factors ko madhyaan mein rakhte hue, traders ko apne risk management strategies ko adjust karna chahiye aur apne trades ko monitor karna chahiye taaki woh market ke latest developments ke saath pace rakh sakein. Overall, USD/CHF currency pair abhi tor par challenging times ka samna kar raha hai, aur traders ko cautious approach apnana chahiye jab tak market mein koi clarity na aaye.

USD/CHF

Mukhtalif hafton mein, US dollar (USD) Swiss franc (CHF) ke khilaaf mustaqbil mein safar kar raha hai, jab ke USD/CHF pair ek bullish consolidation phase mein dakhil ho raha hai. Is ka matlab hai ke qeemat ek khaas range ke qareeb ghoom rahi hai, jo ke November 2023 se us ki buland tareen satah ke qareeb hai. Yeh uparward trend mukhtalif factors ki milaap ki wajah se mumkin hai. Ek taraf, Swiss National Bank (SNB) ka faisla March mein interest rates ko kam karne ka franc ko kamzor kar diya hai. Yeh is liye ke kam interest rates investors ke liye franc ko kam attractive banate hain. Mukhalif taur par, US Federal Reserve ab interest rate cuts par rok lagaane ki umeed rakhti hai, jo USD ko mazboot karta hai. USD ko support karne wala ek aur factor US Treasury yields mein haal hi mein izafa hai. Yeh yields aam tor par US government bonds par offer kiye jane wale interest rates hote hain. Jaise ke yields buland hote hain, dollar ko un investors ke liye zyada attractive banate hain jo zyada wapas hasil karne ki talash mein hain.




Magar, USD ke izafa ke khilaaf bhi kuch taqatayn kaam kar rahi hain. Kabhi kabhi investors mushkilat ke waqt mein CHF jaise safe-haven assets ki taraf ruju karte hain. Yeh dollar ke izafay ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Traders ane waale US economic data aur Federal Reserve officials ke taqreeron ko nazar andaaz kar rahe hain taake USD/CHF pair ke future rukh ka pata chal sake. Technically, USD/CHF ke short-term outlook mein mufeed hai. Magar jald hi momentum thama ja sakta hai jab ke aik ahem indicator market ko thora sa zyada overbought dikhata hai. Agar bullish trend jari rahe, to pair ahem resistance levels ko tor kar 0.9100 nishan ko haasil kar sakta hai, jo ke currency exchange rates ke liye ek nafsiyati level hai. Mukhalif taur par, mojooda support levels ke oopar rehna na kaami ke surat mein January ki bulandiyon ki taraf ek giravat ka izhar kar sakta hai. 200-day SMA ko torhne se mukhtalif levels provide karega takay position ko 0.9234 ke aas paas rakh sakein.

USD/CHF Daily Time Frame:

Mujhe phir se haftawar ka chart dekhna par raha hai, jahan maine bar bar isharat ki hai ke technique kaafi zyada asar daar hoti hai, pehle case mein humein 500 ke setting ke sath ek bhari MA ke saath muqabla karna para, phir rebound hua, aur ek mushaba situation ab bhi develop ho rahi hai jab diagonal laal line ko test kiya ja raha hai, jo ek zyada ahem resistance ke tor par kaam karti hai. Aam tor par, price ne 0.8333 se zyada se zyada 760 points tak chadhav kiya, nateeja shandar tha, takneeki sudhar bahut kam tha, chalein aage dekhte hain ke ye candle kaise band hota hai, kyun ke Price Action method ka istemal karke ek pin bar ya koi aur model milne ki mumkinat hai. Economic calendar ke tehat US dollar ke liye teen-star category se bohot zyada news background plan kiya gaya tha, jo ab shumaraat ho chuki hain, woh dono "green" aur "red" mein aaye, kal subah hum zaroor daily chart ka tajziya karenge - shayad wahan se acha signal mil jaye.

USD/CHF H1 Time Frame:

Asalam-o-Alaikum! Mujhe lagta hai ke ab USD/CHF H1 currency pair ne nichay ki taraf lotnay ka faisla kiya hai. Keemat, barhti hui, rozmara ke resistance level par pohanch chuki hai jo 0.9087 hai aur isne pehle teen martaba isko hit kiya hai magar is se paar nahi kar saki aur neechay murh gayi hai. Kharidar ab kamzor lag rahe hain aur keemat ko zyada buland nahi kar sakte. Ek saath, teer aur bhi neechay indicators signal de rahe hain ke keemat gir rahi hai, jo ke nichay ka murhav movement ko aur bhi saabit karta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yahan hum lotna karke peechay ja sakte hain, tootay hue level tak ke, do supports ke saath, ek haftawar ka lagbhag 0.9053 ke qareeb, agar hum is level tak laut kar jate hain aur jab keemat is level ko test karti hai to agar keemat ko ek ooper ki taraf ki reaction milta hai jaise rebound, to main trend ke saath kharidai ko ghooronga, magar humein intezaar karna hoga ke keemat is level ka kaise react karti hai. Kharidai ke liye maqsad wo level ka tor karne ka ho sakta hai jahan se hum abhi peechay ki taraf lot rahe hain, jo ke qareeb 0.9087 hai.

USD/CHF ki jodi ke 0.90525 level par kamyaabi se chadhne ka matlab hai ki bearish trend ko mazboot karne ki sambhavna hai. Ye level technical analysis mein mahatvapurn hota hai aur traders ke liye ek crucial point represent karta hai. Is level par kamyaabi se chadhna, ek mazboot bearish trend ke liye strong indication ho sakta hai, aur yeh traders ko future ki disha ka ek idea pradan karta hai. Is tarah ki kamyaabi ka ek moolya asar market psychology par hota hai. Agar USD/CHF ki jodi 0.90525 level ko chhoo leti hai, to yeh dikhata hai ki sellers ne market ko control mein le liya hai aur buyers ki shamta ko daboch liya hai. Iska matalab hai ki market sentiment bearish ho sakta hai aur traders bearish trend ko follow kar sakte hain.
Is level par kamyaabi se chadhna bhi technical analysis ke moolyon par adharit hota hai. Technical indicators jaise ki moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur support/resistance levels ka istemal karke, traders is level ki ahmiyat ko samajh sakte hain. Agar 0.90525 level ko chhoo kar upar chale gaye to, yeh ek confirmation ho sakta hai ki bearish trend mazboot ho raha hai aur traders ko bearish positions lena chahiye.

Is moolya sambandhit samiksha ke alawa, fundamental factors bhi bearish trend ko mazboot kar sakte hain. USD/CHF ki jodi par impact dalne wale kai factors hote hain, jaise ki US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, Swiss National Bank ki intervention, geopolitical tensions, economic data releases, aur global market sentiments. Agar ye factors bearish hain, to USD/CHF ki jodi ko 0.90525 level par kamyaabi se chadhna, un bearish sentiments ko aur bhi mazboot kar sakta hai. Yadi traders is level ko dhyaan se dekhte hain aur market ka samayojan karte hain, to ve ek mazboot bearish trend se labh utha sakte hain. Is level ki upar ki kamyaabi se, traders ko apne trades ko manage karne aur profit banaane ka mauka mil sakta hai. Lekin, hamesha yaad rahe ki market mein kisi bhi samay par badlav ho sakta hai, isliye stop-loss aur risk management ka dhyaan rakha jaana chahiye.

Jumma ko, jab Thursday ko gehri giraavat ke baad, USDCHF currency pair ka movement aahista ho gaya, yeh ek samajhdaari ka nateeja ho sakta hai. Candle ab bhi 0.9015 ilaqa mein ghoom rahi hai, jo kuch ziada nahi hai. Iska ek sabab yeh ho sakta hai ke kai duniya ke banks chhutti par thay. Jab banks chhutti par hote hain, toh market activity mein kami hoti hai, khaaskar forex market mein. Banks hote hain jinse traders transactions karte hain aur jab yeh banks band hote hain, toh trading volume kam ho jata hai. Kam volume ka matlab hai ke currency pairs ka movement bhi kam hota hai.

Is situation mein, jab market volume kam hota hai, traders cautious ho jate hain. Woh positions ko hold karte hain ya phir naye positions enter karne se pehle wait karte hain. Aisa karne se, market ki volatility kam ho jati hai aur candles ki range chhoti rehti hai. Is tarah ka market behavior aam tor par weekends ya holidays ke waqt dekha jata hai. Log chhutti par hote hain aur trading activity kam hoti hai. Isliye, agar kisi bhi currency pair ka movement aahista ho raha hai aur candles ki range chhoti hai, toh yeh samajhna chahiye ke market mein activity kam hai.

Traders ko aise waqt par extra cautious rehna chahiye. Kyunki kam volume mein market mein sharp movements ya sudden price changes ho sakte hain, jo traders ke liye risk create kar sakte hain. Isliye, aise samay mein, risk management ko aur bhi zyada importance di jani chahiye. Agar traders ko pata hai ke banks chhutti par hain aur market activity kam hai, toh woh apne trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain. Woh kam volume ke dino mein aggressive trading se bach sakte hain aur wait kar sakte hain jab market activity normal ho.

USD/CHF ke trend ka akhtitam hone wala hai aur yeh ab wapis sell ki janib wapis anay wala hai. Is uptrend ka mukhy hadaf 0.9116 hai. Jab tak yeh level ko paar nahi karta, bearish movement jari rahegi. Yeh analysis technical aur fundamental factors par mabni hai. Sabse pehle, technical analysis ke mutabiq, price action aur indicators, jaise ki moving averages aur RSI, indicate kar rahe hain ke market ka trend badalne wala hai. Price ne recent high ko cross kiya hai aur ab neeche ki taraf jaa raha hai, jo ke bearish sign hai. Iske saath hi, RSI bhi overbought zone se neeche aane ka sanket de raha hai, jo ke selling pressure ki bhavna ko darust karta hai. Iske alawa, fundamental factors bhi is analysis ko support karte hain. USD/CHF ke parity ko influence karne wale kai factors hain, jaise ki US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, US economic indicators, Swiss National Bank ki interventions, geopolitical tensions, aur global economic conditions. Agar US dollar kamzor hota hai ya phir Swiss franc strong hota hai, toh USD/CHF pair niche ki taraf jaa sakta hai.


Is tarah ke analysis ke tahat, traders ko sell ki taraf tezi se rehna chahiye. Woh 0.9116 level ko ek mukhya hadaf ke roop mein dekh sakte hain, jahan se price ka bearish momentum aur tezi se badh sakta hai. Stop loss orders ko sahi dhang se lagana bhi zaroori hai, taaki in case of unexpected market movements, nuksaan kam ho sake. Lekin, trading mein risk hamesha hota hai, aur yeh prediction sirf ek estimate hai. Market conditions kabhi bhi badal sakti hain, isliye traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur market ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Technical aur fundamental analysis ka combination karke, sahi trading decisions liye ja sakte hain.

USD/CHF H1

Apni guftaguon mein, karobari log sood ke pesh-e-nazar ahadon ko hal karne ki koshish karte hain. Muqami bank, jo chand muddat ke soodon ko nigrani karta hai, uske paas mulk ki currency ke qeemat par kisi aur shakhs se zyada asar hota hai. Karobaron ko uski aam hissa dari ko janchte hain kyun ke ye aksar aane wale mali policies ke bare mein pesh karte hain. Unke izhaarat press conferences ya interviews mein jo hoti hain, unko future mali policies ya sood ke bare mein kisi bhi ishaarat ya nishaat ke liye nigrani ki jati hai, jo mali soko ke liye aham asarat ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Markazi bank governors mali policies ke zariye economy par bhaari asar rakhte hain, soodon ke darajat, currency supply, aur doosri mali policies ke faislon ke zariye. Unke amal se mahangai, rozgar, aur overall mali haleat par asar par sakta hai. Issi tarah, unki alfaz ko investors, traders, aur analysts tez taur par nigrani karte hain takay ane wale mali policies aur mali haleat ke baray mein izafi maloomat hasil ki ja sake jo ke invest karne ke faislon, market trends, aur overall mali performance par asar dal sakti hai.

Central bank governors ke alfaz ka istemal mali soko mein nigrani mein rehne wale investors, analysts, aur traders ke liye aham hota hai. Unke bayanat aur taqreerat ko future mali policies aur mali haleat ke baray mein izafi maloomat hasil karne ke liye dekha jata hai, jo ke invest karne ke faislon, market trends, aur overall mali performance par asar dal sakti hai.

USD/CHF H4

Aur aik taraf, barhte hue mahangi ke shakaayat ne American dollar ko dubara daboch diya. Taaza data ne dikhaya ke consumer prices ne 40 saalon ke record level par izafa kiya, jis se darr tha ke Federal Reserve ko mahangi ke khilaaf apni mali policy ko mazid sakht karna parega. Ye aam tor par investors ko mahangi dabao ke khilaaf bachao ke tor par alag currencies aur assets ki taraf rujoo karne par majboor kiya, jo ke dollar par neeche ki dabao dalta hai.

Is ke ilawa, mashriqi Europe mein jang ke barhte hue tanazur aur shak o shubhat ke maamle ne American dollar ko mazeed pareshan kiya. Safe-haven demand for the dollar typically rises during times of geopolitical turmoil, but in this case, the escalating crisis raised concerns about the potential economic fallout and global implications, leading investors to adopt a more cautious stance towards the greenback.

Is ke ilawa, bari central banks ke darmiyan mukhtalif monetary policies ke baray mein rae tarjeeh karne se dollar par dabaao padta hai. Jab Federal Reserve ne mali tightening ki raah par ishara kiya, to doosri central banks, jese ke European Central Bank aur Bank of Japan, negative interest rates aur ongoing asset purchases jese munasib policies par mabni rahe. Ye policy outlooks ke mukhtalif honay se dollar ke muqablay mein kamzoriyon ka asal sabab bana.

Agla manzar, American dollar ke liye ghair yaqeeni hai, mukhtalif factors ke under iski raftar par asar padega. Inflation ko control karne aur economic growth ko support karne ki jaari taraqqi agar hoti hai, to yeh dollar par iqbal barhane wala hai, khaas kar agar Federal Reserve mahangi ke dabao ke khilaaf munasib mali policies ko istemal karne ka irada dikhae. Mutasir mahangi ke kisi bhi nishan ya geo-political instability ka dollar par asar padne ke surat mein, investors apne positions ko dobara jaiza lenge aur doosri assets ki taraf rujoo karne par mazboor honge.

Aakhir mein, American dollar ki karkardagi mali data, monetary policy decisions, aur geo-political developments ke complex tasuraat ke silsile par mabni hogi. Is tarah, market participants ane wale maalumat ka tawazun talash karain ge takay dollar ki future direction ke baray mein ishara mil sake aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banayein.

USD/CHF H4Timeframe.

0.90525 ke darje par USD/CHF jodi ka yeh matlab hai ke bearish trend mazid barhne ka imkaan hai. Yeh darja takneeki tajziya mein ahem hai aur traders ke liye ek moharab nukaat ko darust karne ka paigham hai. Is darje par breakthrough, mazid taqatwar bearish trend ka aham pehloo ho sakta hai, aur yeh traders ko mustaqbil ki raah ka andaza deta hai. Aise kamyabi ka bazaar ki psikoloji par gehra asar hota hai. Agar USD/CHF jodi 0.90525 ke darje tak pohanchti hai, toh yeh dikhata hai ke farokht karne wale ne bazaar par qabza kar liya hai aur kharidne wale ki taqat ko chhin liya hai. Iska matlab hai ke bazaar ki raaye mei mumkinah tor par bearish hosakti hai aur traders bearish trend ka tajziya kar sakte hain. Is darje ki kamiyabi takneeki tajziye ke qeemat par bhi hai. Takneeki indicators jaise ke moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur support/resistance levels ka istemal karke, traders levels ki ahmiyat ko samajh sakte hain. Agar yeh halat 0.90525 ke darje tak pohanchte rahenge, toh yeh darust ho sakta hai ke bearish trend mazid barh raha hai aur traders ko ek bearish position leni chahiye.

Is ke ilawa, qeemati factors bhi bearish trend ko mazid mazboot kar sakte hain. Kuch factors jo USD/CHF jodi ko mutasir karte hain, wo hain US Federal Reserve ka maaliya policy, Swiss National Bank ke interventions, sahgiyati tanazaat, ma'ashiyati deta releases, aur global bazaar ki psikoloji. Agar yeh factors bearish hain, toh USD/CHF jodi 0.90525 ke darje se guzarna chahiye, jo ke bearish raaye ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai. Agar traders is darje ko tawajjo se dekhte hain aur bazaar ke mutabiq apne apko adjust karte hain, toh wo ek mazboot bearish trend se faida utha sakte hain.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S

U S D / C H F

Introduction

Assalam-o-Alaikum dosto. Umeed hai ke aap sab theek honge. Main USD/CHF market ka tajziya karne ki koshish karunga, aur umeed hai ke meri tajziyaat humein hamari trading ki kualiti ko behtar banane mein madadgar sabit hongi. USD/CHF likhne ke waqt 0.9016 par trade ho raha hai. Is chart ke mutabiq, relative strength index 64.9043 hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke market abhi tak zyada kharidaar ho chuka hai aur upar ja sakta hai. Is USD/CHF timeframe ke mutabiq, hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/CHF kharidaar apni taqat dikharahe hain aur keemat ko upar ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Iske alawa, MACD indicator bhi musbat nazar aa raha hai, jo ke kharidaaron ke liye keemat ko upar push karne ka acha moqa hai. Moving averages bhi ek bullish signal dikhate hain. USD/CHF sirf 20-day exponential moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai. Upar ki taraf, USD/CHF ka fori resistance qareeb 0.9082 level ke paas hai. Doosra bara resistance kareeb 0.9267 level hai jo ke doosra level of resistance hai.

Resistance aur Support

Iske baad, market price mukhtalif scenarios mein mazeed 0.9435 resistance area tak barh sakta hai jo ke teesra level of resistance hai. Dosri taraf, neeche ki taraf, USD/CHF ka fori support qareeb 0.8903 level ke paas hai. Doosra bara support kareeb 0.8619 level hai jo ke doosra level of support hai. Iske baad, market price mukhtalif scenarios mein mazeed 0.8348 support area tak gir sakta hai jo ke teesra level of support hai. Agar aapke account mein acha capital hai, to main suggest karta hoon ke USD/CHF ko mojooda keemat se 0.9435 resistance tak khareedain, lekin agar aapke pass acha sabr aur kam raqam hai to USD/CHF ko neeche se khareedain.

Chart Mein Istemaal Kiye Gaye Indicators:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average rang Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

USD/CHF

Main tasleem karta hoon ke humein umeed hai ke pichle Jumme ko 0.9000 range mein jhooti breakdown dekhne ko milega, aur phir girawat agle kuch dinon ke liye isi ke baad jaari rahegi. Main is par believe karta hoon ke agar girawat jaari rahegi to hum 0.9050 range ka breakdown dekhenge agar girawat jaari rahegi. Jab tak 0.9002 ko nahi toota jata, wahan bohot mazboot resistance range hai jo agar keemat isey na tode to ussey cross kiya ja sakta hai. 0.9000 se correctie growth hui thi, lekin jaise hi growth khatam hui, girawat dobara shuru ho gayi aur girawat ne 0.8800 tak pohanch gayi. 0.8980 ke upar agar break ho jaye to iska matlab hai ke ab waqt hai sell karne ka agar keemat uske neeche settle ho jaye aur phir se uske upar se break ho. Jab aap doosra chhota upward impulse nahi bana sakte, toh aapko ye pehchanna zaroori hai ke agar aap doosra chhota upward impulse nahi bana sakte, toh aap girawat jaari rakhenge. Ye zaroori hai ke note karen ke situation badal jaegi agar hum 0.8850 ke local minimum range ko todein, jismein halat badne ke liye humein bohot ache reasons milenge ki humein selling jaari rakhni chahiye. Girawat ab tak uttar mein jaari rahi hai woh bhi bina kisi special correctie movement se dakheel hone ke, ab tak uttar mein cheezein waisi hi hai. Agar sellers local minimum range 0.8800 mein se bahar nikal kar isey consolidate karte hain, toh ye unke liye ek bohot achha signal hoga shuru karne ke liye selling agar wo is range mein se bahar nikal kar isey consolidate karte hain. Agar girawat jaari rahegi toh chhota upward rollback ho sakta hai, jaise ke girawat jaari rahegi, ek area tak pohanch sakti hai 0.8955 tak, agar girawat jaari rahegi. Girawat jo ab tak dekhi gayi hai wo jaari rahegi agar humein ek chhota upward impulse milega itni badi girawat ke baad, toh agar humein ek chhota downward impulse milega itni badi girawat ke baad, toh girawat jaari rakhna mumkin hai. Jab tak stock price 0.9000 ke local minimum range mein se bahar nahi nikalti, tab ye achha nishaan hoga sell karne ke liye agar stock price us level se bahar nikal jaye. Humne pehle se hi server ko correct kiya hai, aur uske baad humein dekhne ko milega badi girawat direction se, kyunke pehle se server ko correct kar diya gaya hai. Utar ke baad ab bhi ek gap hai north mein new year ke baad, aur ye sambhavna hai ke girawat north mein new year ke baad jaari rahegi.

USD/CHF currency pair ab headwinds ka samna kar rahi hai, taqreeban 0.9030 ke aas paas thori si girawat ke saath trade ho rahi hai. Ye kamzori Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish comments se hai, jo ke US dollar ki taqat ko kamzor kar diya. Investors ab aage ki ahem data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain jo pair ke rukh par mazeed asar daal sakti hain. Ek bada factor upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI data hai. Kamzor reading USD/CHF par aur dabao daal sakti hai. Magar, market activity Swiss Easter holiday ki wajah se dhimi hone ki ummeed hai. Dusri taraf, Swiss National Bank (SNB) ke haal mein interest rate cut ne Swiss Franc (CHF) ko mazboot kiya hai, jo ke 1.5% par hai. ING ke analysts ke mutabiq is saal do aur rate cuts hone ka tajziya hai, agar anjaane economic halat se inflation mein tezi se izafa ho. Aanay wala data Swiss CPI ka bhi investors ke radar par hai. Agar umeed se kam inflation reading aaye toh CHF par bechne ka dabao ho sakta hai, jo ke USD/CHF ko waqtan-fa-waqtan aik temporary boost de sakta hai.
RSI ka imkan hai ke 50 ke neechay gir jaye, aur MACD manfi rehta hai. Jabke Stochastic indicator filhal oversold hai, lekin phir bhi ek neeche ki taraf raftar ko barqarar rakhta hai. Aam tor par, USD/CHF ek challenging mahol ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke dovish comments, mumkinah kamzor US data, aur SNB policies ki wajah se mazboot ho rahi CHF, dono pair par neechay ki taraf dabao daal rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi is bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Aane wale dino mein ahem data releases, khaaskar US employment data aur Swiss CPI, pair ke mustaqbil ki taraf maloom karne mein ahem sabit honge.

Yeh mumkin hai, walaikin agar aap chaar ghantay ki muddat ke USD/CHF chart ko dekhein, jo halaat ki mojooda lehar ka dhancha dikhata hai, toh is tasveer se aap aise manzar bana sakte hain, aur aagey is trading aalaat par qeemat ka taqseem bhi kaafi haqeeqati sabit ho sakta hai. Asal mein, is jodi ki kam qeemat 0.9013 ki ikhtraaq ko nahi guzarna chahti, aur agar bazaar ke khulne ke baad qeemat ooper jaati hai, toh 0.9056 ke darja ko mazbooti se dekhte rahna hoga, jo mojooda qeemat se ooper hai. Agar qeemat ooper jaati hai aur aise sharaarton mein USD/CHF 0.9056 ke darja qeemat ko mazeed ooper jaane deta hai, toh hum aakhir tak ooper uda sakte hain jab tak ooper ki liquidity poori tarah se khatam nahi hoti, yaani ke is maamle mein hum banaye gaye zyada se zyada darja ko update kar sakte hain.






Main dollar-Swiss franc currency pair mein aik tehqiqati kheenchna ka mohtamim mushahida ka imkaan dekhta hoon dainik ghantay ke doran. Ab currency pair hamein akhar pan ki rok dikhata hai aur kuch had tak darwazi zone banata hai, 0.9100 ke darja tak pohanch kar, yeh nafsiyati rukawat darja mojooda qeemat ko mazeed nahi jaane deti. Main ek mumkinah giravat ka nichla girne ka intizaar karta hoon 0.8880 tak - yeh sahara aik darmiyani hilne wali line ke elaqe mein hai Bollinger indicator ke, jo jodi ke darmiyani qeemat ke farq aur rukawat ki dastaan bayan karta hai. Keemat karwai mumkin hai, ulta candlestick analysis system ke mutabiq, hamari aakhri dainik mombatti ek farokht pin bar ya ulta hathiyaar thi, jo aik signal aur asbab ko farokht aalaat ki kaam ko puri karne ki imkaan deta hai.

USD/CHF

USDCHF currency pair ki harekati samet shuda rahi. Candle abhi tak 0.9015 ilaqa ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai, kuch zyada nahi. Shayad yeh is wajah se hua kyunki kai duniyawi bank chhuttiyon par thi. Yeh Jumeraat se mukhtalif hai kyunki duniyawi bank aam tor par khuli hoti hain. Main khush hoon keh haalaat darmiyan hain, ahem baat yeh hai ke USDCHF ne ooncha chadhne ki bajaye neeche jaane ki koshish shuru ki hai.

Agar h1 timeframe se takniki tor par tajziya kiya jaye, to giravat shuru tab hui jab candle ne 0.9064 ilaqa ko chhua. Yeh is wajah se hota hai ke farahmi ilaqa abhi tak paar nahi kiya ja sakta. Jab tak isay tora nahi gaya hai, main yaqeen karta hoon ke mustaqbil mein USDCHF girane ka silsila jari rahega. Kuch din pehle bohot gehri giravat ke baad, qareebi support 0.9033 ko paar kar liya gaya hai. Shayad kal somvar ko pehle taqat barhne ka kuch ishaara hoga kyunki aam tor par qareebi support ko paar karne ke baad kam az kam halki taqat barhne ka tajziya hota hai. Mera mansooba yeh hai ke USDCHF qeemat 0.9051 par chadh kar phir girne ja raha hai. Is ke ilawa, maine bari time frame par aik bearish engulfing pattern bhi paya hai. Mere khayal mein, yeh tasdeeq hai ke market palat jayega.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ke istemal se tajziya kiya jaye, to ab candle ke haalat tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hain, jo kehta hai ke yeh indicator hamain batata hai ke trend gir chuka hai. To kal somvar ko girne ki mumkinat ab bhi bohot zyada khuli hui hai. Magar, candle ko darkhwast ilaqa mein qaim rakhna USDCHF ko pehle chadh sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Kumo badal bhi neeche ghus chuka hai.

Dusray janib, stochastic indicator ke candle ka haalat pehle se level 50 ke oopar hai aur sirf level 80 tak pohanchne mein thoda sa waqt baqi hai. Market abhi tak tarafdar hai, is liye stochastic indicators aam tor par kam aeham hote hain, is liye abhi main is indicator ko market ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal nahi kar raha hoon. Behtar hai ke hum pehle market ko masroof hone ki muntazir rahen.

To aaj ka tajziya yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke jab tak 0.9068 ki farahmi ilaqa paar nahi kiya gaya hai, main yeh tajziya karta hoon ke currency pair neeche ki taraf hi chalega. Magar, is se pehle, shayad pehle taqat barhne ka muka ho. Main un logon ko jo ek bechnay ki position kholna chahte hain, mashwarah deta hoon ke woh sirf qeemat 0.9042 ki range mein bech kar set karen. Munafa lenay ka maqsood qareebi support par 0.8969 ki qeemat par rakh sakte hain. Jabke stop loss ko qareebi resistance par 0.9072 ki qeemat par rakh sakte hain.

USD/CHF H-1 Timeframe Analysis:
Mujhe lagta hai ke Guzishta Jumma hum 0.9000 ke range ka jhoota breakdown dekhein ge, aur phir girawat agle kuch dinon ke liye jari rahegi. Main yeh manta hoon ke agar girawat jari rahti hai, to hum 0.9050 ke range ka breakdown dekhein ge agar girawat jari rahti hai. Jab tak 0.9002 ko tora nahi jata, wahan bohot mazboot resistance range hai jo ke tora ja sakta hai agar keemat isse tor nahi sakti. 0.9000 se taqreeban aik tajziyati izafa tha, lekin jaise hi izafa khatam hua, girawat jari rahi jab tak girawat 0.8800 tak pohanch gayi. Agar 0.8980 ke upar se tor hota hai, to yeh darasal samjha jaye ga ke agar keemat iske neeche baith jaye aur phir se tor jaye. Jab aap doosre chhotay izafe nahi kar sakte, to samajhna zaroori hai ke agar aap doosre chhotay izafe nahi kar sakte to aap girawat jaari rakhoge. Zaroori hai ke yaad rakha jaye ke agar hum 0.8850 ke local minimum range ko tor dete hain, to is halat mein humein bechne ke liye bohot achay sabab mil jayein ge. Girawat ab tak uttar mein jari rahi hai, mukhtalif koi khaas tajziyati movement ke asar se girawat ab tak pur khaab hai, ab tak uttar mein cheezen waisi hi hain. Agar bechne walon ko 0.8800 ke local minimum range se bahar nikalne mein kamiyabi milti hai aur iske neeche mazboot hota hai, to yeh unke liye behtareen signal hoga ke agar wo is range se bahar nikal sakte hain aur iske neeche mazboot hote hain to bechna shuru karen. Agar girawat jaari rahe, to aik chhoti izafe ka chhota upward rollback bhi ho sakta hai, masalan, girawat jaari rahti hai, 0.89555 ke area tak, agar girawat jaari rahti hai. Girawat jo humne ab tak dekhi hai, agar hume itni badi girawat ke baad aik chhota upward impulse milta hai, to agar hume itni badi girawat ke baad aik chhota downward impulse milta hai, to girawat jaari rehne ka mumkin hai. Jab tak stock price 0.90000 ke local minimum range ko tor nahi leti, tab tak agar stock price is level ke upar tor leti hai, to yeh bechna ke liye aik achay ishara hoga. Hum ne pehle se hi aik server ka tajziyati izafa dekha hai, aur uske baad hum dekhein ge ke junoob ki taraf se bada asar hai, kyunki pehle se hi aik server ka tajziyati izafa ho chuka hai. North mein ab tak aik khalal hai naye saal ke baad, aur naye saal ke baad bhi girawat jaari rehne ka imkan hai.

USDCHF H1 Time Frame

Is waqt jab ye post likha ja raha hai, USDCHF currency pair, H1 chart par, southern correction dikhata hai aur 0.90161 ke range mein hai. Instaforex company ke indicator ke mutabiq, jo is forum par maujood hai, pehle hisse mein sellers ka halka faiyda dikhata hai, 54.5% ke range mein. Dusra hissa, indicator ek short-term southern trend dikhata hai. Aaj kahan ja raha hai sab kuch? Aaj Switzerland se koi ahem aur dilchasp khabrein umeed nahi ki ja rahi hain, lekin USA se hain: Average hourly wages, non-agricultural sector mein mulazimeen ki tadad mein tabdiliyan, be-rozgari dar. Yeh kaafi hai fundamental analysis ke liye. Technical cheezon ko bhoolna nahi chahiye. Chhote mein, kya umeed hai? Main samajhta hoon ke pair pehle 0.8970 ke level tak ek southern correction karega, aur phir ek reversal ke liye 0.9090 ki taraf.

USDCHF H4 Time Frame

Main kharidariyon ka intezar kar raha tha, lekin USD/CHF abhi bhi major currencies ko follow kar raha hai, aur iska natija hai ke US mein negative asar pair ko 0.9020 ke support ko test karne bhej dega. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke ab major currencies dollar ke khilaaf girne shuru ho gaye hain, lekin franc abhi tak koi uchhal nahi dikhaya hai. Lekin is par abhi bhi keh sakte hain ke investors ne gold ke peeche bhagte hue franc ko ek panah currency ke roop mein liya. Lekin phir bhi, main dakheelan ko dakheelan ke liye umeed nahi rakhta hoon, halan ke mujhe slope pasand nahi hai, aur ye ke USD/CHF ne maximum ko dohraya nahi hai, ye bhi thodi negative hai bulls ke liye. Lekin 0.9020 se rebound ek kharidne ka signal dega, lekin trading ke neeche chalne par ek gehri correction ko darust karega jiska nishana 0.8980 ke ilaake mein hoga. Kal hum USA mein non-farm ki taqreeb ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur is waqt pair ya toh 0.8980 tak correction ka kaam karega, ya 91 figure ke saath badhega.