امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

USD/CHF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

Swiss franc ne extreme southern impulse se apni northern correction jaari rakhi. Rastay mein 0.9025-35 tak, yeh doosra retracement zone hai. Main kisi bhi ziyata cheez ka intezar nahi karta. Rich. Mazeed, mojooda upar ki taraf, spire wahan chhod diya ja sakta hai ya phir flat ho sakta hai. Murray levels ke mutabiq 0.9033, jahan theory ke mutabiq unhe rebound ya rukawat milni chahiye. Aur amm tor par yeh aik acha mirror zone hai. Margin technique ke mutabiq, yeh jagah ab bhi bechna hai. Phir neeche 0.8950 area tak. Aaj ya Saturday, mujhe nahi pata. Haan, H4 chart par aap dekh sakte hain ke MA 200 aur 100 ko test kiya gaya aur ek doosre se uljha hua hai. Yahan khareedna khatarnak hai, yeh ek rollback ki khushboo hai. Jo khatra nahi uthata, aur kahin khareedne ke liye jagah nahi hai, doosra retracement zone qareeb hai. Jab tak din ke andar 0.8977 ke oopar rahe, uttar ki taqat hai, ek nishana hai, khareedna bohot der ho chuki hai. 0.8977 ke neeche uttar kamzor ho jayega, lekin aaj bhi 0.8950-35 ke neeche jane ka intezar nahi kiya ja sakta.

H4 Timeframe Analysis:

US Dollar Swiss Franc 4 ghantay ke chart par bullish trend mein hai, aur qeemat Ichimoku badal ke oopar hai, jo upar ki momentum ko darust karta hai. Stochastic indicator resistance zone ki taraf ja raha hai. Aap aik lambi position ko mohtaat taur par khol sakte hain. Pichli trading session mein, jodi ne uttar ki taraf rukh jari rakha aur mojooda waqt mein pivot level par trading kar rahi hai ek qeemat par 0.9009. Agar bullish momentum jari rahe, to qeemat ka tajwez hai ke pehla resistance level 0.9021 ko toden, aur level ko toorna ek naye uthane ki lehar ko le kar jaye ga aur jodi mein izafa ki taraf rukh jari rahe ga, aur 0.9070 ke qareeb resistance line ke oopar uttar ki taraf raftar mein jari rahe ga. Ek doosre manzar ke tor par, qeemat palat sakti hai aur 0.8915 support level ko dobara test karne ke liye neeche chali ja sakti hai. Faisla karne se pehle, bazar ki pasandeedgiyon aur trend ka aam trend ka khayal zaroor karna, is ke khilaf trade na karna.

Pichle Jumma ko USDCHF zyada nahi hila. Agar aap range ka hisaab lagayein, to sirf qareeb qareeb 30 pips hai. Pehle Thursday ko currency pair ne bohot zyada izafa dekha tha, baad mein jab bohot taqatwar bearish pressure mehsoos hua. Qeemat 0.8745 ko mombatti lagne ke baad bharak gayi. Agar hisaab lagaya jaye, to izafa 73 pips tak pohanchta hai. Amreeki dollar ka mazboot hona French currency ko kamzor bana diya. Yeh yehi matlab hai ke buyers ne mukha resist karna shuru kar diya hai. Na-mumkinah taur par agle din izafa jaari nahi raha kyunki harkat abhi tak ek consolidation phase se nikal nahi saki. USDCHF aj subah 0.8807 ke qeemat range me band hui. Kal, Monday, ke liye, main ye keh raha hoon ke harkat izafa jaari rahegi kyunki mujhe yeh nazar aata hai ke correction abhi tak poori tarah se pura nahi hua hai. Jab qeemat barhti hai aur jab girti hai, unka farq abhi tak bohot bara hai. Mera target, misaal ke tor par, agar mombatti barhti hai, toh woh supply area ko chhoo sakti hai qeemat 0.8875 mein. Wahan pohanchne ke liye abhi tak lagbhag 68 pips ka bohot lamba safar baqi hai. Qareebi support par bullish engulfing mombatti pattern ka zahir hona bhi ye tasdeeq hai ke harkat asal mein izafa jaari rahegi.

Agar Stochastic indicator ka istemal karke tajziya kiya jaye to yeh bhi wahi kehta hai. Mombatti ka position pehle se hi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, ye usdchf ko mazeed izafa karne ka moqa dega. Surkhi rang ka moving average bhi lag raha hai ke woh toot gaya hai. Yeh ishaara hai ke ye bullish trend ka dabao mazeed barh gaya hai. Magar, main kafi pareshan hoon agar harkat abhi tak seedhi hai kyunki yeh rukawat ka sabab ban sakti hai. Waise, high stochastic indicator se, mombatti thodi dair baad level 80 ko chooegi. Shayad, misaal ke tor par, agar girawat hoti hai, toh sirf izafa ke baad thodi hoti hai. Magar, filhal line abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, jo kehta hai ke izafa ka moqa abhi bhi hai. Jab tak koi mazeed muktalifat na ho, izafa ka moqa qaim rehta hai. Main yeh mashwara deta hoon ke dosto jo USDCHF pair mein trade karte hain, woh sirf buy positions kholne ki pasand karen. Jab tak 0.8785 area ka support na guzara ja sake, khuli position ko na badlein. Agar support achanak toot gaya, toh aap sell position kholne ka bhi ghoor karsakte hain. Take profit ko 0.8873 area mein rakh sakte hain. Aur stop loss ko 0.875 area mein rakh sakte hain. Yahi sab kuch hai jo main share kar sakta hoon, umeed hai ke yeh kaam aayega

Swiss franc (CHF) ne America ki dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein aik hairat angez mukhtalif mojooda halat mein foran izafa kiya. Yeh tezi Jerome Powell ke congressional gawahim par aai, jahan unho ne qareebi mustaqbil mein interest rate ko khatra darja denay ka ishara kiya. Ye, sath hi mil kar, kuch nakaam America ki ma'ashiyati data aur behtar asar ke aane par USD par neeche dabaav daal gaya, jo ke USD/CHF jori ko kamzor kar diya. Taaza riwayat ADP rozgar aur JOLTS naukriyon ki dukaan dono aashaiyon se kam reh gayi, jis ne USD ke bulion ke jazbaat ko aur bhi kamzor kar diya. Magar, franc ka khud ka mustaqbil Switzerland mein sust inflation ke imkanat se dhundla hai. Ye ishara karta hai ke markazi bank zahiran kam interest daro ko barqarar rakhe gi, jo ke gair mulki maal ka dakhil honay ko rokay gi aur franc ko kamzor kar sakti hai. In fikron ke bawajood, December mein shuru hui izafa rasta par hai, jo ke mojooda 0.8765 par sahara par imtehan kar raha hai. January ki unchaai 0.8727 bhi ahem hai, jo ke buland dabaav ko asan kar sakta hai. Is darjeel se neeche girna is leval ko tor sakta hai, jo ke 0.8680 zone ki taraf keemat ko kheench sakta hai. Ye ilaqa aik ahem Fibonacci punar atraaf leval ko darust karta hai, jo ke tareekhi keemat ke harkaat par aik potenshal mawqay ko darust karta hai. Aur mazeed tezi se kami keemat ko 0.8545 ilaqa tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke doosra Fibonacci punar atraaf leval ke saath markazi hai.



Technicail numainde bhi ek bearish tasveer ka paigham pesh karte hain. RSI ka tajwiz hai ke 50 ke neeche giray ga, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche hee barqarar rahe ga. Stochastic numainde bhi ek neeche ki raah ko ishaara dete hain, bhalay hee wo oversold leval ke oopar abhi tak hai. Rozana ka chart February aur March ke unchaiyon ke darmiyan ek bearish keemat ka farq numaya karta hai. Jabke March ki unchaai February ki unchaai se zyada thi, lekin MACD is izafa ko naqal na kar saka, ishara dete hue ke ek kamzor bullish harkat aur aik potenshal rukawat hai. Mazeed, late February aur early March mein aik mumkin doosra top pattern ban raha hai jo trend ka ulta karne ke imkanat ko mazboot karta hai.

Ek munasib buland theek karna hamen ek munasib buland theek hone par farokht karne ki ijaazat dega. Hum is douran ek bara rukh ko 0.8841 tak pohanchne ka imkan samajhte hain. Aap jitna chaho farokht kar sakte hain, aur jitna farokht kar sakte hain uska koi had nahi hai. Aane wale minor uchalne ke sabab se darajat girne ka imkan hai. Agar aap makhol 0.8791 ke local kam se kam torh sakte hain to aap mazeed bechnay ka imkan hoga. Jab yeh local unchaai 0.8809 tak pohanch jaye to jori par lamba sa waqt guzarna acha nishan hai. Interest rates yahan se barqarar rehne ka imkan hai. Agar ham torh lete hain, to 0.8741 range ke neeche ek buland theek aur milavat bechnay ka behtareen moqa hoga. Mazeed, yeh ghanto ke chart ke bearish trend par mabni hai, jaise ghanto ke chart mein dekha gaya hai.
Jab ham ek islahi buland rukh ka samna karte hain, to ek mustaqil girawat ka natija ho sakta hai. Agar aap keemat ko neeche dabate rahenge to aap cheez ko farokht kar sakte hain. Agar ham local kam 0.8740 ko torh lete hain aur uske neeche mila lete hain to aage bechnay ka shandar sabab hoga. Bazaar ki dhancha ke aadhar par, farokht karne wale mazboot hain, aur gire huye kamzor hain. Yeh Jumeraat ko 0.8791 par ghalat torh kar gir gaya. Agar aap 0.8791 ko torh lete hain to aik khareed ka ishara numaya ho sakta hai, lekin aap ko mehnat karne ki zarurat hai taake aik nikal sake. Agar ham 0.8740 ilaqa ko torh lete hain aur uske neeche mila lete hain to farokht kar sakte hain. Ham 0.8708 ke neeche torh kar wahan pe qayam hasil kar sakte hain to farokht kar sakte hain. Acha rahega ke agar kharidne walay oopar chalay jayein to baad mein farokht karna. Agar jori 0.8841 ilaqa ko torh leti hai to unko milana agla behtareen kadam hoga. Mazeed girawat ke imkanat hone ke bawajood, farokht karne wale ko ummeed karni hogi ke wo aam taur par ek umoomi buland theek ke pesh pechhe hon.

Is haftay mein jodi ki raftar mein khaas giravat dekhi gayi, jismein qeemat 0.8771 ka ahem darwaza guzra, jo keh ek zaroori had ka tootna hai. Agar yeh giravat agle haftay tak jaari rahe, toh umeed hai ke mazeed nichi taraf giravat ki taraf jaayi jaaye, bearish Wolfe pattern ke 5th wave ke nishaanay pe 0.8521 ke darje pe. Magar, ek dosri soorat-e-haal samne aati hai, jahan 4 ghante ka chart dekha jata hai wahaan qeemat ki harkat ek ulta tircha mein muzmar lagti hai. Iss manzar nama mein, agar jodi apna rukh badal de aur ek oopri raftar par safar shuru kare, toh ek oopri tircha ke oopri had pe chadhne ki mumkinat hai, jo 0.8899 ke darje pe waqai hai. Ye tajziya bazar ki ajaibat mein shamil honay wale mukhtalif patterns aur ishaaraat ka intricately samna karta hai, jahan ek saath kai patterns aur indicators currencyAgar yeh neeche ki taraf raftar aane wala haftay mein bhi jaari rahe, toh umeed hai ke ek mazeed zawaal ka samna karna pare ga jo bearish Wolfe pattern ke 5th wave ke maqamiya level 0.8521 par ho sakta hai. Lekin, aik dosra manzar saamne aata hai, jismein 4 ghantay ka chart tafseel se dikhata hai ke qeemat ka amal ek mukhalif tirchayi mein bandha hua hai. Is manzar mein, agar jodi apni raftar palat kar oopri raftar par jaati hai, toh yeh mumkin hai ke inverted triangle ke oopri hudood ki taraf chadhay, jo ke 0.8899 ke darje mein mojood hain. pairs ki raftar ko shakl dete hain. Jab traders in tarteeb-o-tazjeebat se guzarte hain, toh technical analysis frameworks ka mukhtalif samajh forex trading ke hamesha badalte peyzaj mein maloom hoti hai, jo ke faisle karne mein madadgar hoti hai.

Swiss franc (CHF) ne Ameeri dollar (USD) ke khilaf numaindgi mein izafa kiya, jo aik hairat angez waqiya tha. Yeh izafa Jerome Powell ke congressi gawahi ke doran aaya, jahan unho ne qareebi mustaqbil mein interest rate kaatne ki ishaarat di. Yeh, sath hi, musalsal naqalati hui Amreeki ma'ashiyati data ke sath jura hua, USD par nichi dabao dala, jo USD/CHF jodi ko kamzor kar diya. Halqi adadat ke mutabiq ADP rozmara ki mulazmat aur JOLTS nokriyon ke imkanat dono umeedon se kam rahe, jo USD ke bullon ke jazbat ko aur bhi kamzor kar diya. Magar, franc ka apna mustaqbil Switzerland mein sust inflation ke ihtemam se dhundla hai. Yeh ishaarat deti hai ke markazi bank zahiran low interest rates ko barqarar rakhegi, foreign capital ki dakhilat ko manaa karte hue aur franc ko kamzor kar sakti hai. In tamaam shakayat ke bawajood, December mein shuru hui up-trend ab bhi track par hai, jo mojooda mein 0.8765 par support ko test kar rahi hai. January ke unchaai 0.8727 bhi bara hai, jo upar ki dabao ko kam kar sakta hai. Is level ke neeche girne se neeche ki lehar ka aghaz ho sakta hai, jo keemat ko 0.8680 zone ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh ilaqa ek ahem Fibonacci retracement level ko darust karta hai, jo tareekhi keemat ki harkaton par aik potenshal mawqe par ishara deta hai. Aur mazeed tezi se giravat ke sath, keemat ko 0.8545 ilaqa tak le ja sakta hai, jise doosra Fibonacci retracement level nishanakht karta hai

Jab hum ek tasleem karne wale up-trend ko mehsoos karte hain, to aik mustaqil giravat hosakti hai. Agar keemat ko neeche daba dete hain to aap cheez ko bech sakte hain. Agar hum sthaniya kamzori ko 0.8740 par toorna aur uske neeche milana to is par bechna jaari rakhna ek barhiya wajah hoga. Market ka dhancha dekhte hue, bechne walay mazboot hain aur kharidne walay kamzor hain. Yeh Jumma ko 0.8791 par jhooti toot ke baad gir gaya. Agar hum 0.8791 ko toorna to aik khareedne ka signal shayad aaye, magar aap ko mehnat karni hogi isay paida karne ke liye. Bechain agar hum 0.8740 ilaqa ko toorna aur uske neeche mila len to. Hum bech sakte hain jab hum 0.8708 ko toorna aur us par qaim ho jate hain. Agar khareedne wale upar chale jayein to baad mein bechna acha rahega. Agar jodi 0.8841 ilaqa ko toorna to inhen jorna aik behtareen qadam hoga. Mazeed giravat ke imkanat ke bawajood, bechne walay ko umoomi tor par ek aam up-trend rollback karna hoga, phir wo mazeed giravat ka intezar kar sakte hain

Swiss Franc ki kharab performance ka hissa uski safe haven ki hesiyat se bayan kiya ja sakta hai, jab ke global stock markets mein izafa ho raha hai. Swiss Franc ko bhi Swiss National Bank ke currency ke hawale se tone ka tabadla ka asar para hai, jab ke currency ki taqat siyasi tool ya hawaas nahi lagti. February mahine ki shama ek bullish engulfing pattern bana, aur darmiyanay dor mein, mein joroon ko barhne ka taayun karta hoon. Mumkin hai ke mojooda urooj movement jaari rahe ya mazeed girawat ho 50-day moving average tak 0.86798 level par aur ek kharidari pattern. Agar keemat 0.88845 ki unchi ke upar mazid jamay, to kharidaron ka agla nishana November 13, 2023 ke level par 0.9050 hai

Switzerland ke hawale se, State Secretariat for Economic Affairs ki taraf se jari shuda data ne dikha ke Switzerland mein berozgari ka dar February mein 2.5% se 2.4% tak ghata. Is ke ilawa, February mein Swiss inflation mein kami hone se umeedon ko taqwiyat mil sakti hai ke Swiss National Bank is mahine ke akhir mein interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Switzerland mein interest rate 1.75% par qaim hai aur June 2023 se tabdeel nahi hua hai. Maaliyat ke markets SNB ko agle hafton mein darjat kam karne ka intezar kar rahe hain. Jumeraat ko, keemat 0.87758-0.8765 ki 1/2 zone ke andar band hui, aur agar European session agle haftay ke peer ko is zone ke neeche khulta hai, to 0.86633 ki taraf farokht karna pehli tahqeeq hai. Agar European session 0.87758-0.8765 ki 1/2 zone ke upar khulta hai, to hum session ka band ho jaaye ga aur agar ye bhi 1/2 zone ke upar band hota hai, to bailon ka pehlu bazaar mein pehli fikr hai aur farokht ke bare mein abhi baat karna bohot jaldi hai

USD/CHF H4 Timeframe.

The USD/CHF currency pair abhi ek numaya technical pattern dikh rahi hai jahan Tenkan-Sen line 0.8720 par intersect ho rahi hai, jo Kijun-Sen line (0.8700 par) ke neeche maujood hai. Ye milaap ek bechnay ka signal paida kar raha hai, jo market mein ek mogheera giraawat ka ishaara hai. Nazdeek se tajziya karne par wazeh ho raha hai ke indicator ek mazboot bechnay ka jazba zahir kar raha hai, jisse traders ko short positions mein dakhil hone ki mumkin raahat ka ghoor se ghoor karna chahiye. Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen lines ka milaap technical analysis mein ek ahem waqia hota hai, jo aksar market ke momentum mein tabdeeli aur potential trading opportunities ko zahir karta hai. Is mamlay mein, Tenkan-Sen ke nichle cross neeche Kijun-Sen ke neeche ek bearish trend ki nishaandahi karta hai, jo traders ko USD/CHF pair mein mazeed downside movement ka intizaar karne par majboor karta hai. Traders is signal ko tajziya karte huye, market sentiment, economic indicators, aur geopolitical events jaise mazeed factors ko mad e nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo currency pair movement ko asar andaz bana sakte hain. Jabke technical analysis qeemat angootha deti hai, usay bunyadi tajziya ke saath mila kar market dynamics ka zyada mukammal samajh milta hai. Qeematen ghata rahi nazar aati hain, agar aap makhsoos local izafon ka khayal na karein, jo hume qeemat mein dekhte hain. Lagta hai ke hum ab tak pohanch chuke qeemat se ye level, 0.8890, ahem hai. Beshak, jaise har koi, mujh se ghalat ho sakta hai, magar main samajhta hoon ke hum intehai qareeb mustaqbil mein is muqarrar level ka dobara test karne ke baad ek kami dekh sakte hain. Mujhe yeh lagta hai ke pehli kami 0.8570 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Agar kami achhi volume par hoti hai, to ye ek signal hoga ke hum mazeed kami dekh sakte hain candebobbers ke saath neeche dabaav wale zone mein 0.8646 aur 0.8863 ke darmiyan.

Uperward trend ka nichla hissa, khaaskar ahem darwaza 0.8771 ko qataan kar chuka hai. Agar ye neeche ki rukh jaari rahe to aanay waale haftay mein aur nichlne ki umeed hai bearish Wolfe pattern ke 5th wave ka maqsaad 0.8521 ke level par. Magar, ek mukhtalif scenario ubharta hai, jahan 4 ghantay ka chart dekhte hue qeemat kaa amal inverted triangle ke hadood mein ghera hua hai. Is scenario mein, agar pair apna rukh palat kar ooparward raasta ikhtiyaar karta hai, to ooparward triangle ke upper boundary ki taraf chadhne ki sambhavna maujood hai, jo ke 0.8899 ke qareeb mojood hai. Ye tajziya market dynamics ke mufawazan khail ki roshni mein aata hai, jahan mukhtalif patterns aur indicators currency pairs ke raaste ko shakl dete hain. Jab traders in halchalat se guzar rahe hote hain, to technical analysis frameworks ki nazakat se samajh forex trading ke hamesha ke chaltay hue manzar mein intekhabat ki sahi hawai mein madadgar hoti hai.

Is haftay ki pehli trading din kaafi sukoon se guzra, chalo hum D1 dora chart phir se dekhte hain. Pichli trading haftay mein February ka maheena khatam hua aur is maheenay mein poori tarah izafa hua. Ziyada tar pichlay maheenay mein, qeemat oonchaiyon par aik jagah par chali gayi. February ke shuru mein tezi se barhne lag gaye, phir achanak ruk gaye. Qeemat girne ka jo ghamand tha, usay dekhte hue, umeed thi ke izafa jari rahega, jo ke pichli Jum'ah, 1st March ko hoa. Magar wo qeemat ko door nahi le gaye; jese he qeemat apni sar ki unchai ko choo gai aur apni naak udhar jhela, foran wapis gir gayi. Magar lekin wave structure ab bhi barh rahi hai; MACD indicator upperbuy zone mein hai. Agar pehle wave par target Fibonacci grid rakha jaye, toh ek potential izafa ka maqami hadaf nazar aata hai - is grid par level 161.8. Abhi tak, asal mein, waha barhna kafi umeedwar nazar ata hai. Thori dair pehle, CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha tha aur is par aik mazboot sell signal tha - bearish divergence. Asal mein, ye kaam kiya, magar zyada taraqqui nahi hui; ye nazdeek tareen support level tak pohanch gaya tha 0.8746. Jab tak wo sar ki oonchai ko jane nahi dete, ek dobara is level aur ek barhte hue line ka re-test auratay hain. Aik mubahsirat situation hai, lagta hai ke maqsaad tak pohanchanahi gaya aur trend uparward tha, magar qeemat sar se gir gayi aur candle aik khas hammer ke sath band hui, aur CCI indicator phir se upper overheating zone mein dakhil ho gaya. Agar hum euro-Swiss franc pair ko le len, toh isne apna level 161.8 pichle haftay tak pohanch gaya tha, aur ye pairs, agar na kehna toh kam az kam, bohot mushabeh hain. Har surat mein, abhi tak jari izafa zyada ahem hai, kyunke neeche ek support zone hai levels 0.8746 aur 0.8702 ke darmiyan, shayad wo isay test karein. Magar jab tak ye zone tora nahi jata, trend ka palatna ke baray mein koi guftagu nahi hosakti.



Amomi tor par, darjaat kaafi kamzor nazar atay hain, agar hum mahalli izafon ko nazar andaz karte hain, jo hum qeemat mein dekhte hain. Lagta hai ke ab tak jo darjaat hai, jahan tak hum pohanch gaye hain, 0.8890, ye intehai ahem hai. Beshak, jese har koi, mein bhi ghalat ho sakta hoon, magar mujhe lagta hai ke bohot jald aik kami nazar ayegi uske baad ke qeemat ka aik retest hoga. Mujhe yakeen hai ke pehli kami 0.8570 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Agar kami achi volume par hoti hai, toh ye ek signal hoga ke hum mazeed kami dekh sakte hain aik aur downward pressure ke candebobbers ke baad 0.8646 aur 0.8863 ke darmiyan mein.

Swiss franc (CHF) ne achanak mukhtalif mor par US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein izafa kiya Ye izafa Jerome Powell ke Congress mein gawahi dene ke doran hua, jahan unho ne qareebi mustaqbil mein interest rate kaatne ki ishara ki Is ke sath hi, mukhtalif naqaise inaami imarati dathay, jese ke ADP rozgaar aur JOLTS naukriyon ki fariyadain, ne USD ke bullon ke jazbaat ko aur bhi kamzor kar diya Magar, franc ki khud ki mustaqbil ko bhi saaye mein le kar wazeh kar diya gaya hai ke Switzerland mein sust inflaishan ki tawwakal hai Ye ishara deta hai ke markazi bank zahiran kam darjat ke sath qayam rakhna chahega, jo ke gharibi se kapital ka inflow kam kar de ga aur franc ko kamzor kar sakta hai In fikron ke bawajood, December mein shuru hone wala uptrend abhi bhi durust hai, jo halat mein support ko 0.8765 par test kar raha hai January ke 0.8727 ki bulandi bhi bohot bara hai, jo ke upar ki dabawat ko aasani se halka kar sakta hai Is darja ke neeche girne se neeche ke wave ko chalane ke liye kai area hai, jisme 0.8680 ka zaviya shamil hai Ye ilaqa aik ahem Fibonacci retracement level ko darust karta hai, jo tareekhi keemat ki harkat ke buniyadi point par mabni hai Aur mazeed zor daar girawat 0.8545 ilaqa tak keemat ko le kar a sakti hai, jo ke dosra Fibonacci retracement level ke saath nishan dahi hai




Technically tajziyat bhi ek bearish tasweer dikhate hain RSI ka intezar hai ke 50 ke neeche chala jaye, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche trade karna jaari hai Stochastic indicators bhi ek neeche ki rukh ki tasdeeq dete hain, haalaanki abhi tak oversold level ke oopar hain Rozana ka chart February aur March mein chotiyan ke darmiyan ek bearish keemat ka fasla dikhata hai Jab ke March ki choti February ki choti se ooncha tha, MACD is izafay ko naqal karne mein naqami ka muzahira nahi kiya, ye ek kamzor bullon ki momentum aur aik potential ulat jane ki ishara karta hai Mazeed, February aur March ke akhri dino mein aik mumkin double top pattern ka bana hona trend ka ulat jane ke imkanat ko mazbooti deta hai

This week the pair experienced a decline and the price reached the upward trend, this is the level of 0.8771, which the pair broke down. Now it is possible that if the pair continues to move downwards from Monday, then there may be a decline to the target of the 5th wave of the bearish Wolfe, this is the level of 0.8521. And there is such an option, we can assume that on the 4-hour chart the price is inside the inverted triangle and if the pair begins to grow, then moving up, the price may go up to the upper border of the inverted triangle, this is to the level of 0.8899. And of course, if the price moves down from this triangle, then, as I wrote above, we move towards the target of Wolfe’s 5th wave.
According to my TA, it turns out that the price was kicked out of the structure of the daily ascending channel and the channel support line is pushing to return. It is quite possible that we are dealing with a “false breakout”, but then the price tag should be returned inside its structure and not just for a while to drink tea, but with consolidation based on the support of the channel and using it as a basis for a jump. Then it will be possible to talk about a rise to the upper limit of the daily corridor of elevation. 0.88845. Those. It’s too early to get into the market and you need to be patient.
Iss haftay mein yeh jodi giray aur keemat 0.8771 tak pahunchi, jo jodi ne todi. Ab yeh mumkin hai ki agar jodi somvar se neeche jaari rakhti hai, toh girawat ho sakti hai bearish Wolfe ki 5th wave ki taraf, jo hai 0.8521 ki manzil. Aur ek aur vikalp hai, hum ye samajh sakte hain ki 4 ghante ka chart dekhte hain, toh keemat ulte tirchey mein hai aur agar jodi badhne lagti hai, toh upar badh kar keemat 0.8899 tak ja sakti hai. Aur beshak, agar keemat is tirchey se neeche jaati hai, toh, jaise maine likha hai, hum Wolfe ki 5th wave ki taraf badh rahe hain.

Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, lagta hai ki keemat ne daily ascendingchannel ke dhang se bahar jaakar ek girawat mehsoos ki hai aur channel ki support line wapas lane mein lagi hai. Yeh mumkin hai ki hum ek "false breakout" ke saath deal kar rahe hain, lekin fir keemat ko iski structure mein laana chahiye, aur wo bhi bas tea peene ke liye nahi, balki channel ki support par consolidation ke saath. Fir hum upper limit of the daily corridor of elevation tak badhne ki baat kar sakte hain, jo hai 0.88845. Matlab, abhi market mein enter hone ka waqt nahi hai, aur aapko sabr rakhna hoga.

Main samajhta hoon ke hum ittefaq kar sakte hain ke choti faslon par hamesha kuch bataur tijarat mil jata hai. Bohat kuch yahan lalach ke daraje par munhasar hota hai... Jumeraat ko, maine koshishen ki thi ke USDCHF ko 0.8752 se barhana. Nateeja yeh nikla ke ghata pichhle se hua aur din ka minimum 0.8729 par muntaqil kiya gaya. Main ne mabainat jodne ki koshish nahi ki, lekin main yeh kahunga ke main pehle chahta tha ke 0.8752 se khareedun. Har surat mein, main thoda paisa kamane ka taqaaza kar sakta tha.

Aaj humein khabron ke lehaz se khali din hai, jiska matlab hai ke humein zyada sakriyat ka intezar nahi karna chahiye. Wahi flat agle dor mein mutawaqqa hai, lekin yahan asal cheez yeh hai ke woh kheench dete hain. Jaisa pehle tha, main ab bhi barhne ki koshish kar raha hoon, lekin sirf muqami tor par, kyunke ghata saaf tor par abhi khatam nahi lag rahi hai

Asal mein, 0.8752 support ke taur par kaam karta hai, aur resistance zone pehle wazeh ki gayi nishan 0.8805 hai. Yahan main intezar kar raha hoon ke qiymatain barhain aur yahan se kamyabi se farokht karne ka har imkaan hai. Daily chart par ek horizontal level 0.8743 ka dhuwaan tha, lekin yeh kuch ahem cheez ko nahi darust karta. Bas yeh ek taqreerati dohray ke hisse ke tor par neeche ki taraf ek ishara hai. Levlon ki ahmiyat ke aadhar par, markazi zone be shak 0.8546 hai, lekin main abhi yahan qiymat girne ka intezar nahi karta. Main samajhta hoon ke abhi humein sirf 0.8677 tak giravat mein simatna chahiye, phir hum halat ka mutala karenge

Jab USD/CHF ka jaiza lagaya jata hai, to bullish movement ka imkan wazeh rehta hai, jo mustaqbil mein mazeed mazboot bullishness ka mawad hai. Magar, khareedne walon ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyun ke mojooda surat hal overbought position mein hai, jo ulte ka imkan barha deta hai. Kisi bhi faislay se pehle intezar karna aur dekhna munasib ho sakta hai. Shakhsti taur par, agar jodi 0.87 ilaqa par H4 mombatti ko band karti hai, to phir se kharidne ka tawazon karna mujhe munasib lagayega. Mutasir taur par, agar EMA50 par ahem ilaqa ko totnay ki khatraat barh jaati hain to main mazbooti se ghor karna pasand karunga. Sabar aur waqt bohot ahem hain, hatta ke peer ko jab ahem harkatain kam mumkin hain. Isliye, sahi moqa ka intezar karna aur tamam dastiyab wasail ko efektiv taur par istemal karna zaroori hai.
Behtareen nateeja hasil karne aur mansoobay ka paalan karne ke liye, imkanat ke mojoodgi ko tasleem karna aur unka mutalah karna zaroori hai. Kharidar 0.8725 ke qeemat ke andar mojooda resistance level ko nishana bana sakte hain. Is resistance level ke upar safal tor par tor par bahar aana, USD/CHF jodi ko mazeed buland kar sakta hai. Halanki, jodi mein abhi tak rozana 70 pips tak ka range banane ka imkan hai, jismein peak raat ko New York session ke doraan intezar kiya ja raha hai. Mukhtasir taur par, jabke USD/CHF bullish movement ke mauqe pesh karta hai, to uski overbought halat ki wajah se ehtiyaat zaroori hai. H4 mombatti ko 0.87 ilaqa ke upar band hone jaise tasdeeqi signals ka intezar karna munasib hai. Isi tarah, EMA50 par ahem ilaqa ko dekhna aur kisi bhi tor par tor par toot jane par wazeh farokht karne ke liye ahem hai. Sabr aur dastiyab wasail ka istemal karke, traders market ko kamyabi se samajh sakte hain aur apne kamyabi ke imkanat ko intehai buland kar sakte hain

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:


Thursday ko, USDCHF ne consolidation phase se nikal kar kaafi tezi se barhna shuru kiya kyunki maine calculate kiya tha ke currency pair lagbhag 58 pips tak barh sakta hai. Buyer pressure us waqt sach mein zyada dominant tha. Haqeeqat mein, yeh mazid mazbooti se barhna Jumma tak jaari raha. Iska matlab hai ke pichle kuch dino mein buyer pressure bohot strong raha hai. Iske alawa, mazid US dollar ki mazbooti bhi keemat ko aur tezi se oopar push kar rahi hai. Magar jab market band hone wala tha, tab seller pressure achanak zahir ho gaya, natije mein, jo pehle zyadatar upar ki movement thi, wo achanak neeche mud gayi. Yeh hua us waqt jab candle ne supply area ko level 0.8882 mein nahi cheer paya. Giravat ko kaafi gehri kaha ja sakta hai kyunki currency pair lagbhag 61 pips tak gir gaya. Agar hum isey takneekan se tajziyan karein, to jab tak 0.8882 ke keemat wala supply area cheer nahi gaya hai, toh main yeh maanta hoon ke giravat ki mauqa bohot badi hai. Mazeed iska haal bhi over bought hai. Magar, aap ko bhi ihtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye kyunki agar USDCHF supply area ko cheer leta hai, toh wo mazeed oopar uthne ka dhamaka la sakta hai. Haqeeqat mein, ek bearish engulfing pattern ka ubhar resistance area mein signal hai ke peer ko USDCHF girne ka jari rahega kyunki yeh pattern yeh batata hai ke yeh market mukhalif raaste par palatne wala hai. Lagta hai ke qeemat ka agla maqsad qareebi support area ki taraf hoga jo ke level 0.8785 par hai.



Wahan pohanchne ke liye lagbhag 61 pips ki safari ki zaroorat hai. Kyunki jab wo neeche jata hai, to candle ne pehle se hi support ko cheer diya hai, to shayad pehle ek correction ho phir mazeed gehri giravat ka jari rahega. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kar ke tajziya karein, to qeemat girne ke baad, candle ka maqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche raha hai. Yeh yeh dikhata hai ke usdchf trend girne ki taraf mael ho jayega taake mustaqbil mein raftar zyadatar neeche ki taraf hogi. Farq yeh hai ke jab candle ka maqam abhi bhi line ke upar hota hai, to candle ka maqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hota hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke trend abhi tak bullish halat mein hai. Halankeh, woh stochastic indicator jo mein istemal karta hoon, ek ishara deta hai ke haalat over sold hai. Yeh Jumma ko bohot tezi se girne ki wajah se hua hai. Jaise maine pehle kaha, USDCHF ko sab se pehle 0.8869 ke keemat tak barhne ka imkaan hai. Sirf uske baad candle apni giravat ko mazeed gehra karega. Mera mansooba yeh hai ke candle 0.8869 area ko chooegi aur phir raftar mazeed neeche jari rahegi.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:


USD/CHF currency pair ne 0.8870 ke critical juncture par aik ahem rukawat ka samna kia hai, jis ne ek khas double top pattern banaya hai. Ye waqiya market dynamics mein numaya tabdeeli ki alaamat hai, jo ek corrective movement ko trigger karta hai neeche ki taraf. Abhi market mein hosla afzai ka mahol hai, jo 0.8840 key resistance level ke upar se guzarne ka potential breakthrough ke sath hai. Bohat se traders is positive momentum ka agay barhne ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Magar ehtiyaat ki salahiyat di ja rahi hai, kyun ke upar di gayi resistance level ko guzar jana ek potential reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Traders developments par nazar rakhte huye cautious approach apna rahe hain, is resistance level tak pohanche ki ahmiyat ko tasleem karte huye. Agar USD/CHF pair 0.8890 ke resistance barrier ko kamiyabi se guzar jata hai, toh is se aage ka rasta ek mustaqil upward trajectory ke liye khula hoga.


Market sentiment abhi positive expectations se buland hai, traders bullish momentum ke mazeed hone ki confidence express kar rahe hain. Is ahem level ki ahmiyat ko iski potential ko ek breakthrough ke liye catalyst banane ki wajah se izhar kiya gaya hai, jo currency pair ko buland darjaat tak le ja sakta hai. Market participants ye situation nazdeek se monitor kar rahe hain, kyun ke 0.8890 ke resistance level ko kamiyabi se guzar jana bullish momentum ko barhawa de sakta hai, jo USD/CHF pair mein mazeed upward movement ko janam de sakta hai. Khulasa karte hue, market optimism aur bullish expectations se bhari hui hai, jabke nazar mukammal tor par ahem resistance levels par hai. Traders is dynamic manzar ko ehtiyaat ke sath samajh rahe hain, ye tasleem karte huye ke breakthrough aur reversal ke scenario mein potential dono hain, currency pair ke in ahem levels ke sath ta'alluq par depend karta hai.