Saal ke aaghaz mein trend upar ka tha, lekin ab palatne ka khatra hai kyunke traders jo lambi positions mein hain, woh bechne ya munafa lene par majboor hain. Jab daam niche aata hai, to woh neechay ke saktaun par support dhoondhta hai, jisse bearish trend ka jari rehna mumkin hai. Is currency pair ko dekhte hue, traders aur investors ko ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur market dynamics ko samajhne ke liye risk management strategies ko istemal karna chahiye. USD/CHF pair ne 0.9224 ke qareeb paanch mah ke uchayi tak pohonchne ke baad, 0.9095 tak girawat dekhi hai jo mazid dollar ki kamzori ko darshaata hai.
Investors ab ehtiyaat se US non-farm payrolls data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo April mein jobs ki izafat ka zikr kar sakta hai. Yeh data USD/CHF exchange rate par asar dal sakta hai. Mazboot jobs report ameerika ki mazboot maeeshat ko darsha sakti hai, jo mustaqbil mein unchi darjat ki umeed ko barhawa de sakti hai. Yeh apne aap mein dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur USD/CHF pair ke downtrend ko rokh sakta hai. Magar, haal hi mein Federal Reserve ki meeting ne is tasveer mein kuch shak paida kiya hai.
Jabke Fed ne apni mojooda maali siyaasat ko barqarar rakha, chairman Powell ne maqrooz inflation par tawajju ki kami ko tasleem kiya. Yeh saheeh hai ke Fed ke 2% inflation target ko haasil karne mein zyada waqt lagega. Yeh USD/CHF do martaba February ki bulandi (0.8884) aur 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke key resistance levels ko paar kar chuka hai, jo upar ki taraf ke trend ki inteha ka darsha de raha hai, khaas taur par jab 0.8780 ke qareeb support toot gaya.
Magar, kuch factors hain jo poori ulat ko rok sakte hain. December ki kam se kam bulandi se shuroo ki gayi upar ki line ab 0.8765 par test ho rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, January ki bulandi 0.8727 bhi kuch support de sakti hai aur neeche ki taraf ke dabaav ko kam kar sakti hai. Agar yeh support levels qaim na rahen, to downtrend mein zyada momentum aajayega. January ki bulandi ke neeche girawat 0.8680 zone ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke October-December ka downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Mazeed girawat 23.6% Fibonacci level par 0.8545 tak pohonch sakti hai. Technical progress ki kami aur balance sheet reduction (quantitative tightening) ka dheema asar bhi madadgar ho sakta hai.
Investors ab ehtiyaat se US non-farm payrolls data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo April mein jobs ki izafat ka zikr kar sakta hai. Yeh data USD/CHF exchange rate par asar dal sakta hai. Mazboot jobs report ameerika ki mazboot maeeshat ko darsha sakti hai, jo mustaqbil mein unchi darjat ki umeed ko barhawa de sakti hai. Yeh apne aap mein dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur USD/CHF pair ke downtrend ko rokh sakta hai. Magar, haal hi mein Federal Reserve ki meeting ne is tasveer mein kuch shak paida kiya hai.
Jabke Fed ne apni mojooda maali siyaasat ko barqarar rakha, chairman Powell ne maqrooz inflation par tawajju ki kami ko tasleem kiya. Yeh saheeh hai ke Fed ke 2% inflation target ko haasil karne mein zyada waqt lagega. Yeh USD/CHF do martaba February ki bulandi (0.8884) aur 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke key resistance levels ko paar kar chuka hai, jo upar ki taraf ke trend ki inteha ka darsha de raha hai, khaas taur par jab 0.8780 ke qareeb support toot gaya.
Magar, kuch factors hain jo poori ulat ko rok sakte hain. December ki kam se kam bulandi se shuroo ki gayi upar ki line ab 0.8765 par test ho rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, January ki bulandi 0.8727 bhi kuch support de sakti hai aur neeche ki taraf ke dabaav ko kam kar sakti hai. Agar yeh support levels qaim na rahen, to downtrend mein zyada momentum aajayega. January ki bulandi ke neeche girawat 0.8680 zone ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke October-December ka downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Mazeed girawat 23.6% Fibonacci level par 0.8545 tak pohonch sakti hai. Technical progress ki kami aur balance sheet reduction (quantitative tightening) ka dheema asar bhi madadgar ho sakta hai.
تبصرہ
Расширенный режим Обычный режим