saal ki upar ki taraf ka trend palatne ka khadshat ka sabab bana hai. 0.9224 ke qareeb paanch mah ke uchayi tak pahunchne ke baad, USD/CHF pair ne mazid dollar ki kamzori par 0.9095 tak giravat dekhi hai. Investors ab ehtiyaat se US non-farm payrolls data ke intezar mein hain, jise April mein 243,000 jobs ki izafa darj karne ka intezar hai. Yeh data point USD/CHF exchange rate par badi asar daalta hai. Mazboot jobs report ameerika ki mazboot maeeshat ka ishaara de sakta hai, jo mustaqbil mein unchi darjat ki batacheet ki baat ko janam de sakta hai. Yeh, apne aap mein dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur USD/CHF pair ke maujooda downtrend ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Magar haal hi mein Federal Reserve ki meeting ne is manzar par kuch shak peda kiya hai. Jabke Fed ne apni mojooda maali siyaasat ko barqarar rakha, chairman Powell ne maqrooz inflation par tawajju ki dili kami ko tasleem kiya. Yeh darust hai ke Fed ke 2% inflation target ko haasil karne mein pehle se zyada waqt lagega. Is progress ki kami ke saath, balance sheet reduction (quantitative
tightening) ka dhire dhire hota hua rukh bhi dollar ke liye enthusiasm ko km kar sakta hai.
Technically, USD/CHF pair ne kuch fikar angez nishanat dikhai hain. Yeh do martaba February ki bulandi (0.8884) aur 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke key resistance levels ko paar kar chuka hai. Yeh darr paida karta hai ke upar ki taraf ka trend apni uchayi ki inteha ko paar kar raha hai, khaas taur par ek haal hi mein 0.8780 ke qareeb support ko todkar. Magar, yehan abhi bhi kuch cheezen hain jo puri aik ulatna ko rok sakti hain. December ki kam se kam bulandi se shuroo ki gayi upar ki taraf ki lakeer mojood hai, jo ke ab 0.8765 par test ho rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, January ki bulandi 0.8727 ko kuch support de sakta hai aur neeche ki taraf ki dabaav ko halka kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support levels qaim na rahen, to downtrend mein bohot zyada momentum aajayega. January ki bulandi ke neeche ke giravat 0.8680 zone ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke October-December ka downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Aur mazeed tezi se giravat 23.6% Fibonacci level par 0.8545 tak pahunch sakti hai. Technical indicators bhi is bearish outlook ke sath mutabiq nazar aate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche girne ki umeed hai, jo ke momentum ka aik mumkinah shift darust karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab apni signal line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo aik mumkinah downtrend ko mazeed support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic oscillator, haalaanki ab oversold territory mein hai, lekin aage ki taraf iska downward trajectory ka maafi dene wala hai.
Ikhtitam mein, USD/CHF pair aik maqam par hai jahan par wo rukawat ka samna kar raha hai. Anay wale US jobs data aur Fed ki haal hi ki stance ki tabeer future exchange rate ke rukh ka taeen karne ke liye aham factors honge. Jabke technical indicators aik mumkinah reversal ka ishaara dete hain, kuch support levels mojood hain, jo ke investors ke liye ek intezar ki mazid
tightening) ka dhire dhire hota hua rukh bhi dollar ke liye enthusiasm ko km kar sakta hai.
Technically, USD/CHF pair ne kuch fikar angez nishanat dikhai hain. Yeh do martaba February ki bulandi (0.8884) aur 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke key resistance levels ko paar kar chuka hai. Yeh darr paida karta hai ke upar ki taraf ka trend apni uchayi ki inteha ko paar kar raha hai, khaas taur par ek haal hi mein 0.8780 ke qareeb support ko todkar. Magar, yehan abhi bhi kuch cheezen hain jo puri aik ulatna ko rok sakti hain. December ki kam se kam bulandi se shuroo ki gayi upar ki taraf ki lakeer mojood hai, jo ke ab 0.8765 par test ho rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, January ki bulandi 0.8727 ko kuch support de sakta hai aur neeche ki taraf ki dabaav ko halka kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support levels qaim na rahen, to downtrend mein bohot zyada momentum aajayega. January ki bulandi ke neeche ke giravat 0.8680 zone ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke October-December ka downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Aur mazeed tezi se giravat 23.6% Fibonacci level par 0.8545 tak pahunch sakti hai. Technical indicators bhi is bearish outlook ke sath mutabiq nazar aate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche girne ki umeed hai, jo ke momentum ka aik mumkinah shift darust karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab apni signal line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo aik mumkinah downtrend ko mazeed support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic oscillator, haalaanki ab oversold territory mein hai, lekin aage ki taraf iska downward trajectory ka maafi dene wala hai.
Ikhtitam mein, USD/CHF pair aik maqam par hai jahan par wo rukawat ka samna kar raha hai. Anay wale US jobs data aur Fed ki haal hi ki stance ki tabeer future exchange rate ke rukh ka taeen karne ke liye aham factors honge. Jabke technical indicators aik mumkinah reversal ka ishaara dete hain, kuch support levels mojood hain, jo ke investors ke liye ek intezar ki mazid
تبصرہ
Расширенный режим Обычный режим