امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

Pichle haftay Swiss CPI dar aur doosre khabron ke asar behtareen thay jo bikne walon ki madad mein aham thi. Dusray janib, Amreeki khabron ka data behtar nahi tha aur ye khareedne walon ko kamzor bana diya. Isi wajah se humne kal USD/CHF ke bazaar ko 0.9058 zone ke neeche dekha. Humain apni parhai ka intezam naye market updates ke mutabiq karna chahiye aur hoshiyar risk management ka framework mazbooti se apnana chahiye. USD/CHF ke mamle mein, 20 pips tak ka munasib take-profit had muqarrar karna bazaar ke hawale se trade ko behtar tareeqe se anjam dene ke liye ek moqarrar framework faraham karta hai, jo hamein mojooda market mahol mein faida hasil karne ki tadbirat mein madad faraham karta hai. Mazeed, istiqamat pasandi ke hawale se barqarar khareedne walon ke asar ke hawale se umeed afzai mazbooti se humein oonchi keemat ke harkaton ka mustaqbil mein bharosa dilaata hai. Khareedne walon ke mustaqil dairaft ke sath, mojooda bazaar ke mahol ke faiday ko istemal karne ke liye ishtihar shudah

strategies ko apnane ke liye waja ho rahi hai. Har hal mein, main USD/CHF par ek kharidari order tajwez karta hoon jiska short target agle trading haftay mein 0.9100 hai. Magar, is manzar mein chalne ke liye chaukasi aur lacharpan ki zarurat hai, mahsus hone wale halki phulki awami harkaton aur bazaar ki jazbat mein tezi ke mukhtalif surton par pehchan karna. Jabke khareedne walon ka dabao ab mojood hai, bazaar ki dynamics tabdeel hone ke imkaanat ke tahat mohtaj hain, jo trading mein lachar aur disipline dar tareeqe se kaam karte hain. Chalte phirte USD/CHF ke mamle mein, 0.9052 ke support zone ko samajhne ki koshish karen aur is ilaqe se neeche se koi kharidari order nahi kholen. Aakhir mein, barhte hue khareedne walon ke dabao ka mojooda trend mojooda market jazbat ki istaqamat ko markaz par rakhne par zor deti hai. Is manzar ke sath, ek ihtiyati aur strategy ka intezami nazriya trading ke liye wajib hai, jo bikne walon ki nisbat bikne walon ki kamzori aur bikne walon ki mustaqil umeedon ko pehchan leta hai. Anay wale khabron ke istemal aur trade ko mojooda khareedne walon ke momentum ke sath milana, traders ko faraiz mein kamiyabi hasil karne aur maali asbaq mein kamiyabi ke liye apni jagah bana sakte hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke agle hafton mein USD/CHF ke bazaar mein kya ho ga. Aap ko munafa bhari hafta guzarne ki umeed hai!

Swiss CPI ki dar aur digar khabron ne guzishta haftay mein farokht karne walon ki madad ke liye bohot achhi thi. Dusri taraf, Amreeki khabron ka data behtar nahi tha aur ye khareedne walon ko kamzor kar diya. Isliye, humne kal USD/CHF ke market ko 0.9058 zone se neeche dekha. Humein apni parhai ka mansooba naye market updates ke mutabiq tayar karna chahiye aur aik mahfooz risk management framework ka palan karke karobar ke nateejay ko behter banane ki koshish karni chahiye. USD/CHF ke mamle mein, 20 pips ki had tak munasib take-profit threshold qaim karna bhi aham hai jo tajziyaati framework faraham karta hai karobar ke anjam ko behtar banane ke liye aur hamain mojooda market mahol mein faida uthane ki salahiyat faraham karta hai. Mazeed, mustaqbil mein barqarar khareedne walon ke asar ke ird gird tawanai ka husool humein oonchi keemat ki rawani ke mustaqbil ki ummed par yaqeen dilata hai. Khareedne walon ke mazboot maujoodgi ke sath, market ke mustaqbil ke faavorable shura'at ko istemal karne ki strategies ka intikhab karna, faida uthane ke liye aham hai. Har hal mein, main agle trading haftay mein USD/CHF par khareedne ki order ko pasand karta hoon jis ka chhota nishana 0.9100 hai. Magar, is manzar mein savdhan aur tabdeeli pasandi se faida uthana zaroori hai, jo market ke istehsal aur jaldi badalne wale nazaray ko pehchanne ki zaroorat hai. Jab ke khareedne walon ka dabao mojooda waqt mein afzal hai, lekin market ke dynamics tabdeel hone ki sambhavna hai, jise karobar ke liye chust aur k disciplined tareeqa ikhtiyaar karna hai. USD/CHF ke mamle mein, 0.9052 ki support








zone ko samajhna zaroori hai aur is area se neeche se koi khareedne ki order nahi kholni chahiye. Aakhir mein, barhte hue khareedne walon ke dabao ka mojooda trend mojooda market nazar ki sath sharmindagi ki sifarish karta hai. Is pechida manzar ke khilaf, karobar mein ihtiyaat aur tajziyati tareeqa se kaam karna zaroori hai, bechne walon ki nisbat mein nihayat aur khareedne walon ki sadaqat ko tasleem karte hue. Aane wale hafton mein USD/CHF ke market mein kya ho ga, dekhte hain

Subah Bakhair, Sab Ko!

Aaj ki dars mein, ham seedha taur par forex tabadla kaise kaam karta hai, is ka achi samajh hasil karne ki koshish karenge. Ye khaas taur par bada nahi hai aur abhi bhi maqool darjay mein hai, lekin kuch jode ne din ki shuruaat mein kuch GAP dekha hai. Aaj, main USD-CHF currency pair ko tajziya karunga, jo pichle kuch hafton mein GBP-JPY currency pair ke baad barh chuka hai jo kal discuss kiya gaya tha. Behtar samajh ke liye abai taur par aaj ki ma'ashi halat ka ek jaldi nazara mumkin hai.

1 Din Ka Manzar-e-Aam

USD CHF pair ki taraf dekhte hue, neeche diye gaye chart mein dikhaya gaya, qeemat hal mein mazid mazbooti milti rahi hai. Magar, mahine ke qeemat ke rukh pehle ke mahine ke muqabil ka buland tareen star hai. Hairat hai ke dealer ko qeemat ko mazeed kam karne ki koshish nahi ki gayi lagti hai takay faida hasil kiya ja sake. Qeemat ke imlaq ko mazid mazbooti dene ki kuch mumaar kaafi mumkin hai, jo ke baray izafay se barh gaya hai. Ab tak zyada tar khareedaron ko mazid mazbooti milti ja rahi hai, aur mojooda qeemat ke rukh ko bulish trend ke saath jari rakhne ka intezar hai jisme kafi zyada izafay ke imkanat hain.

Aaj Ka Trading Plan

Hamari takneeki tahlil upar dikhayi gayi hai ke USD-CHF pair abhi bhi halat ke mutabiq bulish hai, isliye main aksar sab se qareebi resistance level ko mazid mazboot karnay wale qeemat ko chununga ab hawi tajziyat ke mutabiq. Dakhli alaqa ke liye, pehle qeemat ko gir kar qareebi madad level tak pahunchana parega jis ka SL misaal kuch 50 pips hai, aur mukhtasir qeemat ke liye, sab se qareebi rukawat level par thehrna mumkin hai. Bikiyaat se inkar har tarah ke tabadla se barah hai, lekin jab tak cheezon ki keemat madad level ke ooper rehti hai, khareedne ka intekhab ahem hai jab tak qeemat us ke ooper rehti hai.

Main mahina dar chart par dollar/franc jodi ko dekh raha hoon. Pehle, jab ye jodi support 0.87618 ki taraf ja rahi thi, to main umeed kar raha tha ke is par phir se oopri hawale tak chadh jayegi aur is range ke ulte shorau tak barh jayegi, ye level 1.00913 ke the. Jodi ne is support ko tor diya, yeh support ko tor diya, to pehli dafa bohot saalon ke baad, 2011 mein shuru hote hue, yeh support kabhi tora nahi gaya tha. Is liye, main ne neeche ke dhaire aur is jodi mein giravat ki update ka intezar rakha. Main is giravat ka intezar kar raha tha jab ye phir se wapas aakar in nishaano ko test karega, lekin phir ye in nishaano se oopar chala gaya, in nishaano ke oopar jam gaya. Aur lagbhag woh pehle hi pro-trading level ko paar kar chuka tha, main pehle hi yeh maan chuka tha ke ye range ka oopri had tak jayega, jo 1.00913 hai. Is ne apni neeche ki giravat ko dobara shuru kiya aur 0.82207 ke level tak pahunch gaya. Pehle main ye samajh raha tha ke jab ye shaktishaali giravat shuru hui, to ye 0.78015 ke level tak jayega, lekin achanak phir se mud gaya aur peechle oonchai tak wapas chala gaya. Mere khayal mein, yeh izafa sirf is baat ki wajah se hua hai ke Fed ne dar ko kam karne ka intezar kiya. Agar ye na hota, to jodi 0.82207 tak gir jati. Ye mumkin hai ke yeh jald shuru ho jaye.
Dollar-franc mudra jodi ne trading haftay ko 0.9050 ke qeemat par khatam kiya aur ye jodi bhi thoda sa uttar ki taraf barhi, lekin haqeeqat mein dollar-franc mudra jodi 0.9000 ke qeemat par gira aur ye is wajah se hua ke negative khabrein pooray haftay dollar ke khilaaf a rahi thin, mangal se jumma tak. Aur is tarah dollar-franc mudra jodi teen hafton se ab tak dakhilay ki taraf gir rahi hai. lekin dollar aam tor par itni deer tak daba nahi rehta aur analysts ke mutabiq jaldi hi dollar ka jazba barhna chahiye aur uttar ki taraf chalna chahiye, kyunke franc ka trend abhi bhi uttar ki taraf hai aur 0.9260 ke qeemat mein ek potenti target hai, lekin abhi tak wapas 0.9200 ke qeemat par chal raha hai.

Bilkul, yeh trading analysis kaafi optimistic aur bullish nazar aata hai. H1 chart par dekha gaya hai ke jodi 0.9125 ke upar hai aur din ka daily Pivot level bhi 0.9121 ke bahut oopar hai, jo keh support level se oopar ki taraf indicate karta hai. Ye ek initial indication hai ke bulls market mein dominate kar rahe hain aur future mein bhi is trend ka aage istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Mukhtalif technical indicators aur patterns bhi yeh khyal dilate hain ke market bullish hai. Ek ahem point ye hai ke MA50 trend line ke upar keemat hai, jo ke general volume mein stability laata hai. MA50 line ke upar trade karna ek mazboot bullish signal hai, jo keh darust hota hai ke kharid daaron ne is market mein ziada interest liya hai aur unka confidence level buland hai. Is context mein, 0.9135 ke qareeb jaane ki baat bhi zikr hai, jo ke ek significant level hai. Agar ye darja paar ho gaya, to ye ek aur confirmation hoga ke bullish trend barqarar hai aur buyers market mein ziada powerful hain. Ye ek mauqa bhi ho sakta hai kharidari karne ka, khaaskar agar traders aur investors ko long term ke liye market mein shakhsiyat chaiye. Magar, yaad rahe ke har trading decision risk ke saath aata hai. Isliye, zaroori hai ke traders apni khud ki analysis bhi karein aur market ki movements ko mazbooti se monitor karein. Taake woh apne trades ko effectively manage kar sakein aur market ke mukhtalif scenarios ka tayari kar sakein. Overall, yeh analysis ek bullish outlook ko darust karti hai aur traders ko agle kuch sessions mein mazeed bullish movement ki umeed hai. Lekin, hamesha kehti hoon ke trading mein hoshyari aur risk management zaroori hai, taake nuqsaan se bacha ja sake.


H1 chart par dekha ja raha hai ke currency pair 0.9125 ke oopar darust kar raha hai aur din ka daily Pivot level bhi 0.9121 ke bahut oopar qaim hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke support level se shuru hone wala pehla upward momentum abhi tak barkarar hai. Ye ek saboot hai ke bullish signals talash rahe hain. Ahem nishane ye hain ke bullish jazbat zahir hain, trend line MA50 ke upar keemat, jo aam tor par volume mein karaahat laati hai. MA50 line ke oopar barqarar karobar aik mazboot bullish signal hai, jiska matlab hai ke kharidar is market mein drivers hain. 0.9135 ke level par toot jane se upar hone ki sambhavna hai, jo ke aur zyada bullish harkat ko darust karti hai. Is waqt, market ke bullish hawale se, traders ko tawajjo deni chahiye ke trend ki taaqat zyada hai aur kharidari mein ziada imkanat hain. Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, sambhavnaon ko samajhna aur nuqsan ki hadon ko mehfooz karna zaroori hai. Agar market 0.9135 ke oopar jaati hai, to yeh ek aur bullish indication hogi aur traders ko mufeed mauqon ka faida uthane ki ijazat degi. Mehnat aur samajhdaari ke saath, traders ko market ke mizaaj ko theek tarah se samajhne aur uski rafter ko sahi tareeqe se interpret karne ki zaroorat hai. Tehqiqat aur analysis, saath hi risk management, har trader ke liye zaroori hain.

USD/CHF

Amreeki dollar (USD) Swiss Franc (CHF) ke khilaaf mushkil mein hai jo teen din se jari hai, saal ki barhne wali trend ki palat ki ashadgi ka khatra hai. 0.9224 ke qareeb pohnchne ke baad, USD/CHF joda ne 0.9095 tak gir gaya hai jisme dollar ki mazbooti ki wajah se hai. Karobari log ab moharat Amreeki ghair-faami payroll data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jiska tajwez hai April mein 243,000 naukriyon ki izafa. Ye data point USD/CHF ke tanasub par badi asar daal sakta hai. Mazboot jobs report ek mazboot Amreeki ma'ashi ko dikhayega, jo mustaqbil mein interest rates ke barhne ke mazmon ki guftagu ko ikhtiyaar kar sakta hai. Ye, inqilab ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur USD/CHF jodi ke hali girawat ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Magar, haal ki Federal Reserve meeting ne is manzar par kuch shak paida kiya hai. Jab Federal Reserve ne apni mojud monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya, chairman Powell ne tasleem kiya ke muflisi mein taraqqi ki haal ki rukawat hai. Ye ishara karta hai ke Federal Reserve ke 2% inflation target ko haasil karne mein mukhtalif arsa lag sakta hai. Ye taraqqi ki kami, sath hi Federal Reserve ne apni balanced sheet ko ghatey mein tez karne ka (quantitative tightening) dher ghanto ko kam karne ka ilan karne se dollar ke liye josh ko kam kar sakta hai.



Technically, USD/CHF jodi ne kuch pareshani dikhayi hai. Ye do martaba February ke uncha darjat (0.8884) aur 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke oopar utar gayi hai. Ye darr dikhata hai ke barhne wali trend apni inteha ko paas kar sakta hai, khas tor par ek haal hi mein 0.8780 ke qareebi support ke neeche gir gayi. Magar, kuch cheezein hain jo ek mukammal ulta waapas se rok sakti hain. December ke kam low se shuroo hui up trend line wabasta hai, jo ab 0.8765 par imtehan mein hai. Is ke ilawa, January ke uncha 0.8727 thora sa support pesh kar sakta hai aur neeche ki dabao ko halka kar sakta hai. Agar ye support levels qaim na reh payein, toh girawat ko bara moqay par pohncha sakta hai. January ke uncha ko torne se price 0.8680 zone tak gir sakta hai, jo ke October-December ke downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Ek mazeed tezi se girawat 23.6% Fibonacci level par 0.8545 tak pohanch sakti hai. Technical indicators bhi is ulte waapas ka nazriya ko muzmir karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche girne ka intezar hai, jo ke mazbooti mein tabdeel hota hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab apni signal line ke neeche trade karta hai, jo ke ek mumkin girawat ko mazeed support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic oscillator, halankay ab oversold territory mein hai, kehta hai ke is ka rukh girne ka silsila jaari rahega. Ikhtetaam mein, USD/CHF jodi apne crossroads par hai. Anay wale Amreeki jobs data aur Federal Reserve ki haal ki stance ke tabeer ko tay karnay mein ahem factors honge. Jabke technical indicators ek mukammal ulta waapas ka nazariya dikhate hain, kuch support levels mojud hain, jo karobariyon ke liye ek tension wala wait-and-see maahol banate hain.

USD/CHF

Amreeki dollar (USD) ne aakhri teen din se Swiss Franc (CHF) ke khilaf jujh raha hai, jo saal ke upar ki trend ka palat sakta hai, jab USD/CHF pair ne 0.9224 ke qareeb ek saath mahine ka uncha chuna, toh 0.9095 tak gira, mukhtalif dollar ki kamzori par. Ab investors shadeed umeed se Amreeki non-farm payrolls data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo April mein 243,000 jobs ka izafah dikhane ki umeed hai. Yeh data point USD/CHF exchange rate ko khaas tor par asar daal sakta hai. Taaqatwar jobs report ek mazboot Amreeki maeeshat ka ishaara de sakta hai, jo mukhtalif interest rates ke talks ko janam de sakta hai. Yeh, apni bari mein, dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur USD/CHF pair ki maujooda downtrend ko had tak mehdood kar sakta hai. Magar haal ki Federal Reserve meeting ne is scenario par kuch shak paida kiya hai. Jab Fed ne apni maujooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya, to Chairman Powell ne inflation par taraqqi mein hilne ki maamlaat ka aitraf kiya. Yeh darust karta hai ki Fed ke 2% inflation target tak pohanchne mein pehle se zyada waqt lag sakta hai. Is taraqqi ke kami ke saath, jo ke Fed ne balance sheet reduction (quantitative tightening) ki slow pace ko declare kiya hai, yeh dollar ke liye umeed ko kam kar sakta hai.



Technically, USD/CHF pair ne kuch chinta janak nishanat dikhai hain. Yeh do martaba February ke unchi (0.8884) aur 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke muqamiat ko tor diya hai. Yeh dar lagta hai ke uptrend apni charam par pohanch raha hai, khaas tor par ek haal ki giravat ke baad 0.8780 ke qareeb support ko torne ke baad. Magar, kuch elements aise hain jo poori palat ko rokne mein madad kar sakte hain. December ki kam se kam unchi se shuru ki gayi uptrend line ab tak barqarar hai, jo ab 0.8765 par test ki ja rahi hai. Iske ilawa, January ki unchi 0.8727 thori madad aur neeche ki dabav ko halka kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support levels barqarar nahi rah sakte, toh downtrend mein significant momentum a sakta hai. January ki unchi ke neeche girna price ko 0.8680 zone ki taraf girane ka ishara karta hai, jo October-December downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Aur mazeed tezi se giraavat 23.6% Fibonacci level par 0.8545 tak pohanch sakti hai. Technical indicators bhi is bearish nazar se mutabiq lag rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche jaane ki umeed hai, jo ke momentum mein palat ka ishara hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab apne signal line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ek possible downtrend ko mazeed support karta hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic oscillator, haal hi mein oversold territory mein hone ke bawajood, apni nichle raaste ki jari rakhne ki sambhavna ko darshata hai. Aakhir mein, USD/CHF pair ek faislay ka muqam par hai. Anay wale Amreeki jobs data aur Federal Reserve ke haal ki stance ki tabeer aane waale exchange rate ke future direction ko muktazil farma sakte hain. Jabke technical indicators ek palat ka ishara de rahe hain, kuch support levels barqarar hain, jo ke investors ke liye ek intezar-o-dekho ka tense maahol bana raha hai.

Trade karte waqt, kabhi kabhi behter hota hai ke bas intezaar karein aur market ko apni marzi se chalne dein, chahiye profit ho ya na ho. Abhi, USD/CHF currency pair ki trend wazeh tor par oopar ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo ke daramad mein lambay positions shamil karne ke liye mauqay ko ishara karta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar ye pair 61st Fibonacci level tak wapas chala gaya, to ye traders ke liye acha entry point ho sakta hai jo upar ki rukh mein faida uthane ke liye dekh rahe hain. Lambi muddat tak ke is tewar mein bechne ki khawahish hone ke bawajood, faislay se pehle kisi bhi factor ko tajziya karna zaroori hai. Is mamle mein, kuch indications hain jo trend mein ulte rukh ki taraqqi ko favor karte hain. Is liye, sabar ka istemal karna aur lambay positions se pehle jaldi se na nikalne mein hi aqalmandi hai.
Kuch dino se mere sath bohot si deals hui hain, jin mein se zyadatar band ho chuki hain, lekin USD/CHF ke sath kuch bhi kaam nahi karta: jigsaw nahi milta aur yahan, asal mein, koi technical factor nahi hai, Eurodollar ke mamooli Taluqat ki kami ki wajah se. Aur in pairs ke charts dekhte hue ab, hum wahi tasveer dekhte hain: dollar-franc ki growth phir se shuru ho gayi hai aur wazeh tor par darmiyani figure 0.90 ki taraf move kar rahi hai aur mein ye bhi nahi keh raha ke wo peirols se pehle 0.9068 ko test na karein. Aur isi waqt, eurodollar ne bhi meri le leni pe test nahi kiya, wo bhi growth shuru ki hai aur uski keemat 1.0844 ki taraf aa rahi hai - ye matlab hai ke dono euro aur franc ki ek sath izafa hoga. Ye ye kehta hai ke ab bhi dollar-franc foreign exchange market ki koi transaction nahi hoga, wo currency ki qeemat aur trading strategies ko mutasir karne wale kisi bhi tabdilo ke liye chaukanna hain. Chahe wo ma'ashiyati indicators, siyasi waqiat ya central bank ke announcements se ho

Takniki tor par, USD/CHF jodi ne kuch pareshani ka nishan dikhaya hai. Isne February ki bulandiyon (0.8884) aur 200 dinon ka exponential moving average (EMA) ke ahem satah ko do martaba tor diya hai. Ye darasal ye khatra paida karta hai ke uptrend apne peak ke nazdeek aa raha hai, khaaskar haal hi mein 0.8780 ke qareebi sahara ko tor diya gaya hai. Magar, abhi bhi kuch elements hain jo ek mukammal rukh palat ko rok sakte hain. December ki kami se wajib ki gayi uptrend ki lakeer abhi tak barqarar hai, jo ke ab 0.8765 par imtehan mein hai. Is ke ilawa, January ki bulandi 0.8727 bhi kuch sahara pesh kar sakti hai aur nichle dabao ko halka kar sakti hai. Agar ye sahara satahain qaim nahi rakh sakti, to downtrend ko bohot zyada tahqiqat hasil ho sakti hai. January ki bulandi ke neeche tor par keemat girne se keemat 0.8680 khet ko girne ka darja darja darja darja darja hai, jo ke October-December ki downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ko darust karta hai. Aur mazeed tezi se girao 23.6% Fibonacci level par 0.8545 tak pohanch sakta hai

Takneeki isharaat bhi is dardnaak nazariyat ke sath mutabiq nazar aate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche girne ka intezar hai, jo ke momentum mein ek mumkin tabdeeli ko darust karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) abhi apne signal line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek mumkin downtrend ko mazeed support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic oscillator, haalaanki abhi oversold ilaqa mein hai, lekin is kaarobaar ka istemal is ke neeche ke rukh ki jari rakhne ki hidayat deta hai. Aakhri mein, USD/CHF jodi khud ko ek rahguzar par payi hai. Anay wale US jobs data aur Fed ki haal hi mein kharjiyat ke tanazur ko samajhna mubtala ahem factors honge jin se taksim ka mustaqbil ka rukh tay hota hai. Jabke takneeki isharaat ek mumkin rukh palat ki ishaara dete hain, kuch sahara satahain abhi tak barqarar hain, jo ke investors ke liye ek tension bhara intezar ka manzar hai

USD/CHF currency pair, jaisay market ki harkaaton nay umeedon ka muqabla karte hue janib darjanibi dabao ko mukhalfat kiya. Chhoti si southern rukh ki thori dair kay bawajood, keemat jaldi se rukh badal gayi aur northward tareeqay se bhara. Yeh palatvati harkat ne ek bullish candle ka ban jaana, jo keemaat ki upar ki tezi ko darust karti hai. Iske alawa, candle ne peechle din ke high ke oopar band ho gaya, jo keemaat mein mazboot bullish jazba ko darust karti hai. Din ki karobari gatividhi ne bhi keemat ko sthaniya muqablay ka imtehaan lenay par majboor kiya, jisne neeche se oopar ki taraf apni manzil tay ki. Yeh muqabla sthaniya resistant ke imtehaan ne mazeed bazar mein maujooda bullish momentum ki ahmiyat ko barhawa diya. Aisi keemat ki harkat, ek mumkin tootne ka manzar dikhata hai, jahan currency pair kisi bhi ahem resistant staron ko paar kar sakta hai aur apna northward rukh jari rakh sakta hai.
Bazar ki dyanamikat mein tajziya karte hue, keemat ki harkat ko shakhsiyat dene walay mukhtalif factors ko ghor karna ahem hai. Maashiyati nishanat, jughrafiyaai waqiyat, aur markazi bankon ki policies, sabhi videsh mudra bazar ko shakl dene mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Karobariyan aksar technical tajziya, bunyadi tajziya, ya dono ka mishran istemal karte hain takay maujooda bazar ki harkaat ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Technical tajziya mein purani keemat data aur chart patterns ka mutaala kiya jata hai taake trends ka pata lagaya ja sake aur future keemat ke rukh ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Karobariyan moving averages, support aur resistance ke staron, aur mukhtalif indicators jaise tools ka istemal karte hain bazar ke rawayya ka tajziya karne ke liye. USD/CHF pair ke case mein, technical analysts chart patterns aur ahem staron ka mutaala karenge taake sambhav bullish ya bearish trends ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Doosri taraf, bunyadi tajziya maashiyati nishanat, mudra policies, aur jughrafiyai ijtimaat ka tajziya karke ek mudra ki haqeeqi qeemat ka andaza lagata hai. Faisle jaise kefaiz dar ke faislay, rozgar ke reports, aur jughrafiyai tanazaat currency ke qeemat ko mutassir kar sakte hain. Fundamental tajziya ko apne strategy mein shamil karne wale karobariyan maashiyati data releases aur markazi bankon ke bayanat ko qareebi tor par nazar andaz karte hain taake bazar ki harkat ko pehchanein.

USD/CHF

USD/CHF ke session, sath hi ek segment ke sath US session, ek khaas currency pair ki keemat ki manzil 0.9110 ke mark ke taraf gravitate hui, sirf substantial upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish mei nakami ka samna kiya. Dekhi gayi mehdood progress ko ek fuzool breach ne nazar andaz kiya jo ek retracement ke sath sath aya. Aise keemat ki harkat aksar ek mumkin ghair mutawaqqa dowr ke taraf ishara deti hai jo 0.9050 ki had tak le ja sakta hai. Chhoti se rukawat ke bawajood, mukhtalif bullish jazbaat zahir hain. H4 time frame ka tafseelati jaiza deta hai ke 0.9150 ke upar mukammal bandish ka tezabiyat se khatma ho sakta hai jo short position ko barqarar rakhne ki mantakhi nahi rakhta. Isi liye, tanqeedi mohtaat, jahan tijarat ke tareeqon ko dobara jaane ka maqool sabab ban sakta hai, zaroori hai. Shuruati entry sell position mein hoshyari se mukammal ki gayi thi, jo risk management aur capital preservation ki taraf se aik cautious approach ko dikhata hai. Ye ehtiyaat bhari rukh tijarat ke fluctuations ko samajhdarana aur potential inflection points par ghor karne ki ahmiyat ko dikhata hai jo trading strategies ka dobara jaayez karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai.

Poori Asian session ke doran, aur thora sa US session mein phela, currency pair ki keemat dheere-dheere 0.9175 ke mark ke taraf barh rahi thi, lekin ahem upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein kamyabi haasil karne mein kamyabi nahi mili. Ek doosre breakthrough ke bawajood, taraqqi fuzool thi, jo ek baad ke pullback ke liye raasta ban gaya. Aise keemat dynamics aksar ek mumkin descent ke taraf ishara dete hain jo 0.9100 level ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Magar, ye ahem hai ke zyadah se zyadah uptrend barqarar hai. Bech bech mein setbacks ke doran, overarching bullish sentiment qaim hai. Khaas tor par, H4 timeframe par 0.9220 ke mukammal bandish se turant exit ko trigger kar sakti hai. Ye proactive stance zaroori hai ke nigahein mauntor karne aur tayyar rehne ki zaroorat hai ke badalte hue market conditions ko adapt karne ke liye. Poori Asian session ke doran, aur US session ke ek segment mein, keemat dheere-dheere 0.9230 ke mark ke taraf barh rahi thi lekin ahem faiday ko barqarar rakhne mein kamyabi nahi mili. Chhoti si breakthrough ke bawajood, jald hi ek pullback hua. Ye pattern aksar ek mumkin decline ke taraf ishara deta hai jo 0.8930 level ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Stochastic Oscillator jaise indicators, market ki momentum aur overbought ya oversold conditions ko dikhate hain. Agar MACD aur RSI upar ki taraf ja rahe hain, to yeh bullish signal hai. Lekin agar yeh indicators neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain, to yeh bearish signal hai. Is tafteesh aur tajziye ke baad, aapka andaza sahi lag raha hai ke agle haftay pair ke liye upar ki taraf ki chal mumkin hai. Lekin, market hamesha unpredictable hoti hai, isliye hedging strategies ka bhi istemal karke aap apne positions ko protect kar sakte hain. Jaise hi market mein koi naye development hoti hai ya trend change hota hai, aapko apne analysis ko update karna zaroori hai. Aur hamesha risk management ko yaad rakhein, taake aap apne investments ko surakshit rakhein. Happy trading! Forex market ke analysis aur trading strategies ke baare mein baat karte hue, ek majmooi aur tafseeli mawaad tajwez karna mere liye mushkil hai, lekin main koshish karunga aapko aik mufeed aur samajhne mein asaan jawab doun.


Jab aap USD/CHF ke market ki current conditions par baat kar rahe hain aur 0.9125 ke qareeb trading ho rahi hai, toh aap ka zikar PMI data ke release ke waqt hone wale asar ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh sahi hai ke aise economic indicators market ko move kar sakte hain, khaaskar jab wo expectations se mukhtalif hote hain. Aap ne sahi farmaya ke agar data sellers ke favor mein hota hai, toh market mein selling pressure barh sakti hai. 15 pips tak profit maqsad ke saath ek sell-side strategy istemal karna acha idea ho sakta hai, lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap market ki momentum aur volatility ko bhi madde nazar rakhein. Market shiraa'it mein tabdeel hone ki surat mein, aapko apni strategy ko adjust karna hoga. Jahan tak mujhe pata hai, short-term trading mein maqsad ke nishan ko set karte waqt, zyada cautious rehna zaroori hai. Isi tarah, aapko risk management par bhi ghor karna chahiye. Stop-loss orders ka istemal karna aur apne trades ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake aap apne nuqsan ko control mein rakh sakein. Forex market mein trading karte waqt, market ki fluctuations aur unexpected events ko bhi samajhna zaroori hai, jaise ke geopolitical tensions ya central bank announcements. Yeh sabhi factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aap apne trading decisions ko refine kar sakte hain aur market ki shiraa'it ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adapt kar sakte hain. Trading mein tajziya aur flexibility bahut ahem hai, aur ek successful trader wahi hota hai jo market ki halat ko samajh kar apne faislon ko istemal karta hai. Toh, agar aapko market mein selling pressure ki sambhavna mehsoos hoti hai aur aap 15 pips tak profit maqsad ke saath sell-side strategy istemal karna chahte hain, toh yeh sahi ho sakta hai. Bas yaad rakhein ke apni strategy ko monitor karte rahen aur market ke changes ke mutabiq adjust karte rahen.

USD/CHF pair pesh qadmi jumeraat ke early European session mein taqreeban 0.9130 ke qareeb mazboot note par trade kar raha hai. America ki dollar mein mamooli izafa pair ko thori madad faraham kar raha hai. Swiss National Bank ke Chairman Jordan ki taqreer ke baad, Jumeraat ko March ke mahine ke US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index ka final reading jaari kiya jayega. Shakhsi kharch ki expenditure ke mahine ke tanasub ke inratat indicators mein behtareen izafa america ki federal reserve ko interest rates ko September tak kamm nahi karnay dega. Mazeed, Middle East mein barhte hue saiyasi tension, special Israel aur Iran mein, safe-haven assets ke flow ko barhawa denay mein madad faraham kar sakta hai, jo CHF ko faida pohchata hai. Rozana chart par, keemat haftawar ke level 0.9144 ko tor nahi saki, aur Relative Strength Index indicator bearish divergence dikhata hai. Halaankay, neechay ki taraf harkat ke liye, keemat ko trendline ko toorna hoga aur 20-day moving average par 0.9088 ke neeche aaram karna hoga, jahan pair ke giravat ka pehla nishana key level 0.9 hoga. Chalo ghanton ke trading ke liye ghantawar chart par chalte hain. Budh aur jumeraat ke daily candles ne aik side-ways pattern banaya, jahan aik breakout aur tasdeeq 0.9146 ke upper boundary ke upar mazeed upar ki harkat ki alamat hogi pehla nishana 0.9200 ke taraf. Agar 0.91148 ke neeche aik breakout aur tasdeeq hoti hai to moqa milay ga ke 0.9077 ke level ke taraf sale kya jaye, jahan tareekh ke darmiyani shetraf ki taraf nishana banaya jaaye ga. Doosri taraf, agar koi khabron se munsalik keemat ke sudden izafa hota hai, to 0.9146 ke level ke upar jhoota breakout neeche ki taraf ki harkat ki taraf rukawat paida kar sakta hai, jo hamaray nishana 0.9077 ke taraf le ja sakta hai.

USD/CHF

Amreeki dollar (USD) Swiss Franc (CHF) ke khilaf teen dinon se laraai kar raha hai, saal ki upar ki taraf ka trend palatne ka khadshat ka sabab bana hai. 0.9224 ke qareeb paanch mah ke uchayi tak pahunchne ke baad, USD/CHF pair ne mazid dollar ki kamzori par 0.9095 tak giravat dekhi hai. Investors ab ehtiyaat se US non-farm payrolls data ke intezar mein hain, jise April mein 243,000 jobs ki izafa darj karne ka intezar hai. Yeh data point USD/CHF exchange rate par badi asar daalta hai. Mazboot jobs report ameerika ki mazboot maeeshat ka ishaara de sakta hai, jo mustaqbil mein unchi darjat ki batacheet ki baat ko janam de sakta hai. Yeh, apne aap mein dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur USD/CHF pair ke maujooda downtrend ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Magar haal hi mein Federal Reserve ki meeting ne is manzar par kuch shak peda kiya hai. Jabke Fed ne apni mojooda maali siyaasat ko barqarar rakha, chairman Powell ne maqrooz inflation par tawajju ki dili kami ko tasleem kiya. Yeh darust hai ke Fed ke 2% inflation target ko haasil karne mein pehle se zyada waqt lagega. Is progress ki kami ke saath, balance sheet reduction (quantitative tightening) ka dhire dhire hota hua rukh bhi dollar ke liye enthusiasm ko km kar sakta hai.

Technically, USD/CHF pair ne kuch fikar angez nishanat dikhai hain. Yeh do martaba February ki bulandi (0.8884) aur 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke key resistance levels ko paar kar chuka hai. Yeh darr paida karta hai ke upar ki taraf ka trend apni uchayi ki inteha ko paar kar raha hai, khaas taur par ek haal hi mein 0.8780 ke qareeb support ko todkar. Magar, yehan abhi bhi kuch cheezen hain jo puri aik ulatna ko rok sakti hain. December ki kam se kam bulandi se shuroo ki gayi upar ki taraf ki lakeer mojood hai, jo ke ab 0.8765 par test ho rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, January ki bulandi 0.8727 ko kuch support de sakta hai aur neeche ki taraf ki dabaav ko halka kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support levels qaim na rahen, to downtrend mein bohot zyada momentum aajayega. January ki bulandi ke neeche ke giravat 0.8680 zone ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke October-December ka downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Aur mazeed tezi se giravat 23.6% Fibonacci level par 0.8545 tak pahunch sakti hai. Technical indicators bhi is bearish outlook ke sath mutabiq nazar aate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche girne ki umeed hai, jo ke momentum ka aik mumkinah shift darust karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab apni signal line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo aik mumkinah downtrend ko mazeed support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic oscillator, haalaanki ab oversold territory mein hai, lekin aage ki taraf iska downward trajectory ka maafi dene wala hai.

Ikhtitam mein, USD/CHF pair aik maqam par hai jahan par wo rukawat ka samna kar raha hai. Anay wale US jobs data aur Fed ki haal hi ki stance ki tabeer future exchange rate ke rukh ka taeen karne ke liye aham factors honge. Jabke technical indicators aik mumkinah reversal ka ishaara dete hain, kuch support levels mojood hain, jo ke investors ke liye ek intezar ki mazid sitamgar situation peda karte hain.

USDCHF ka zaria local levalon ke aas paas trade ho raha hai - 0.914, mukhya trend Bullish raaste par hai. Market mein kharidne ka daakhil hone ka tawazun oopar se darust hone ke baad samjha jayega - 0.912. Nafa hasil karne aur kaam karne ke leval honge agle Maximum - 0.918. Rok order aakhri impulsive leval ke peechay lagaya jayega - 0.915. Agar currency aham Minimum - 0.914 ke neeche laut jaati hai, jahan currency ka aakhri fix kiya gaya tha adesh shreni ke neeche - 0.914, to Sell positions ka tawazun kiya jayega. Kam karne ke liye maqsood ghatakiya gaye neeche ke Leval - 0.913 honge. Surakshit order aakhri keemat ke golay ke peechay lagaya gaya hai, jahan par nuksan milte hi position ko tredding scenario mein badal diya jayega. Sudhar ke mukhya karrwaai Ameriki dollar mein umeed hai, jo United States mein inflation ke buland star ka sahara hai, jo US Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ko kam karne ka khatra kam karta hai, is liye, main samajhta hoon ke American dollar market ke poore tor par aur swiss franc ke nisbat mein barhta rahega, char ghante ka darmiyani turidi trend ke saath jo ke bhadakta hua Bollinger bands indicator aur moving average line MA55 ke saath support kiya jata hai, waise bhi agar yeh 0.9093 ki support tak chala jata hai toh phir bhi uttar USD/CHF jodi ke liye ek pehlaik hai, isliye agle dino mein ummid hai ke USD/CHF ki keemat barhti rahegi aur pair ke aakhri October ke shuru ke high levalon ki taraf badhegi 0.9240 par hai.