USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum! Is jode ne beghair kisi gap ke karobari hafte ka aaghaz kiya, aasani se Shumal ki taraf mud gaya, aur kharidaron ne ise 152.71 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badhna shuru kar diya. Ab tak, qimat sirf 152.21 tak hi pahunchi hai aur ab wapas aa rahi hai. Yah abhi tak wazeh nahin hai keh yah sirf ek retracement hai yah mukammal reversal hai.
Abhi ke liye, yah naqal o harkat sideways channel ke andar ho rahi hai. Farokht karne wale 150.95 ki support satah se niche jane me nakam rahe, jo 149.63 ki agli support satah ki taraf rasta khol sakta tha.
Range ki nichli hadd ke breakout se pahle tezi aa sakti hai. Aise scenario hote hain, lehaza waqt ki batayega. Halankeh, yah abhi tak mukammal taur par ooper ki taraf reversal jaisa nahin dikhta hai, kiyunkeh kafi tasdiqi signal nahin hai.

USD/JPY pair ne pichle hafte aik strong support level 153.79 ko break kar diya tha jiske baad market ne bearish move dikhaya aur price neeche girti rahi ab tak ka last low 150.96 bana hai jo ab aik strong support area ke taur par kaam kar raha hai is time market thora upar ja rahi hai aur resistance level 153.79 ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai agar price is resistance ko break hai to bullish momentum barh sakta hai lekin agar yahaan se rejection leti hai to dobara bearish move shuru ho sakta hai RSI indicator abhi 50 level se thoda neeche hai jo neutral to bearish momentum ko dikhata hai 50 ki EMA bhi price ke upar hai jo abhi tak bearish trend ka indication de rahi hai agar price EMA ke neeche rehti hai to selling pressure barh sakta hai aur market wapas neeche gir sakti hai lekin agar price EMA ke upar nikalti hai to bullish trend develop ho sakta hai aur agla resistance level 155.00 ho sakta hai volume indicator bhi iss time low trading activity show kar raha hai jo batata hai ke market consolidation mode main hai agar price 153.79 ka resistance todti hai to pehla bullish target 154.50 ho sakta hai lekin agar yahaan se rejection leti hai to market wapas 152.50 ya phir 151.50 tak gir sakti hai stochastic indicator bhi neutral zone main hai jo kisi bhi side move ka imkaan dikhata hai overall trend bearish hai magar confirmation ke liye price action aur key levels ka observation zaroori hai traders ko chahiye ke confirmation ka intezar karein aur impulsive moves ka dehan rakhein agar price 153.79 ke resistance se rejection leti hai to selling opportunity ho sakti hai magar agar price is level ko todti hai to bullish momentum barh sakta hai aur market resistance levels ko test kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY Price Levels In View

USDJPY ka H4 chart dekh kar lagta hai ke market ka trend abhi tak downward hai, jo pichle chand dinon mein zyada dominate kar raha tha. Price 155.40 ke resistance level se neeche girne ke baad bearish zone mein chali gayi hai aur ab 152.12 ke aaspaas trade kar rahi hai. Abhi 151.15 ka level ek strong support ke taur par samne aaraha hai. Moving averages ka signal bhi bearish hi hai, jahan 50-day aur 200-day moving averages neeche ki taraf jhukte huye dikh rahe hain. Ye cheez yeh zahir karti hai ke abhi tak market mein pressure neeche ki taraf zyada hai. Lekin, aaj ka thoda sa upward movement ek possible recovery ya reversal ka signal bhi ho sakta hai.

CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator kaafi hopeful lagta hai, jo 100 ke upar hai aur bullish momentum ko zahir kar raha hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke price oversold zone se recover kar rahi hai. Lekin, yeh zaroor yaad rakhein ke overbought zone ke qareeb resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, is liye cautiously chalna zaroori hai. Agar price 152.50 ke upar tikta hai aur consolidate karta hai, toh yeh recovery ke chances ko barha sakta hai. Lekin agar price dobara neeche girti hai, toh 151.15 ka support zone test ho sakta hai. Yeh level strong buying zone ban sakta hai jo potential buying opportunities create karega. Traders ke liye yeh waqt hai apni strategies ko indicators ke mutabiq adjust karne ka aur risk management ka khayal rakhne ka. Market filhaal ek critical phase mein hai jo ya toh recovery ki taraf badhega ya bearish trend ko barqaraar rakhega.

USD/JPY Ka Tehqiqi Tajziya
Haalia Price Action Aur Technical Tajziya


USD/JPY ne mazboot izafa dikhaya aur 152.60 ka target haasil karne ke baad wapas gira. Iss waqt price 152.06 ke qareeb hai, jo recent high se pullback ka izhar karta hai. Support aur resistance levels ka ghoor o fikr zaroori hai.

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Yeh mid-range mein hai lekin thoda downward tilt dikhata hai, jo bullish momentum ke kamzor hone ki nishani hai.
• Awesome Oscillator (AO): Yeh ek halki buy signal flash kar raha hai, jo milay-julay technical signals ka izhar hai.
• Price Movement: Pair pichle din ke trading range mein hi hai, jo flat near-term outlook ko support karta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke slight bearish bias mojood hai, aur price 151.25 ke support level ko test kar sakti hai. Short-term mein cautious selling 151.35 target karne ka mashwara hai, magar volatility ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai.

Bunyadi (Fundamental) Factors Aur Market Ka Taluq


Taza U.S. Federal Reserve ki hawkish policy USD ke liye support bana rahi thi, magar Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne monetary policy tight kar ke JPY ko mazbooti di, jis wajah se USD/JPY niche pressure mein aaya. Yeh sabit karta hai ke Fed ka asar global liquidity par bohot ziada hai.


Aindah Ki Paishgoi Aur Strategy

• Powell ki speech ke baad mujhe lagta hai ke USD mazeed mazbooti dikhayega.
• 152.29 ka breakout expect karta hoon, jo 152.90 aur aage chal kar 153.54 aur 154.22 ko test kar sakta hai.
• Agar 154.00 ka strong breakout hota hai, to 157.10 tak rally ho sakti hai.
• Magar 157.10 par cyclical peak aane ka imkaan hai, jiske baad lambi muddat ki bearish trend shuru ho sakti hai.
• Yeh trend USD/JPY ko 125.00 tak neeche le ja sakti hai jab overextended USD positions unwind hongi.

Tajiron Ke Liye Mashwara

• Short Term: 152.29 ke upar buy positions enter kar sakte hain.
• Risk Management: 151.25 ke neeche tight stop-loss lagana zaroori hai.
• Market Dynamics: Central bank policies aur geopolitical factors ka mutali’a karna bohot ahem hai.

Nateeja

Mujhe short-term bullish trend ka imkaan hai, lekin structural vulnerabilities bhi mad e nazar rakhni chahiye. Adaptive strategies banana zaroori hai taake market ki dynamic halaat ke saath adjust ho sakein.

USD/JPY ne 151.80 ke pivot level per mazboot muzahmat dikhai hai, jo ek ahem qeemat ka nuqta hai jo waqti istahkam ke liye bunyad ka kaam karta raha hai. Agar kharidar is support level se upar rahen to, yeh pair 69 se 134 pips ki numaya rally ka tajurba kar sakta hai, 152.85 aur 153.50 fauri hadaf ke sath. Technical manzar-nama anokha hai, momentum indicators mazboot bearish pressure ki kami ka ishara de rahe hain, jo batata hai ke farokht karne wale control hasil karne ke liye struggle kar rahe hain. Qeemat ke action ke nuqta nazar se, 151.80 se upar qeemat ka istahkam rakhna un traders ke liye ek musbat alamat hai jo oopar ki taraf harkat ki ummeed kar rahe hain. 152.16 se oopar ka breakout bullish case ko mazboot karega, kyunke yeh tasdeeq karega ke demand mazboot hai. Institutional investors aur bade market participants ka kirdar bhi aham hai—agar bade kharidar support level ke qareeb positions jama karte rahte hain, to yeh higher resistance zones ki taraf bullish continuation ke liye ek aur tasdeeq ke taur per kaam kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur trendline




analysis sab USD/JPY ke 151.80 se upar rehne tak musalsal bullish trend ki taraf ishara karte hain. Macroeconomic front per, US aur Japanese monetary policies ke darmiyan farq USD/JPY ke price action ka ek bada driver bana hua hai. Federal Reserve ki higher interest rates ke liye commitment, Bank of Japan ke ultra-loose monetary stance ke muqable mein, US dollar ki mazbooti ko support karta hai, aur mazeed oopar ki taraf harkat ke imkan ko badhava deta hai.
Doosri taraf, 151.80 pivot level se neeche ka faislakun break bearish phase ki shuruat ka ishara de sakta hai, jahan USD/JPY 151.25 aur 150.95 ki taraf gir sakta hai. Agar yeh levels hold karne mein nakam rahe, to mazeed neeche ki taraf harkat ho sakti hai, jo mumkina tor per overall market sentiment ko zyada lambe corrective phase ki taraf shift kar sakti hai. Yeh samajhna zaruri hai ke risk sentiment USD/JPY ki harkat mein ek aham kirdar ada karta hai, kyunke yen ko riwayati tor per mushkil waqt mein safe-haven currency ke taur per dekha jata hai. Agar market ki suraat-e-haal economic slowdown, badhti hui geopolitical tensions, ya global financial instability jaise factors ki wajah se kharab hoti hai, to yen ki demand barh sakti hai, jis se USD/JPY mein tezi se kami ho sakti hai. Traders ko Bank of Japan ki mumkina interventions se bhi agah rehna chahiye, kyunke authorities ne maazi mein yen ki zyada depreciation ko rokne ke liye dakhal diya hai. In khatraat ke pesh-e-nazar, traders ko stop-loss orders, proper trade sizing, aur macroeconomic trends ki qareebi nigrani ke zariye apne exposure ko manage karne per tawajjah deni chahiye. Technical tasdeeq ko fundamental awareness ke sath jodna USD/JPY ke price action ko navigate karne aur current market environment mein behtar trading decisions lene mein zaruri hoga

USD/JPY ek aham inflection point per hai, 151.80 ek major pivot level ke taur per kaam kar raha hai jo pair ki next directional move ka tayyun karega. Agar qeemat ka action is zone se upar stable rehta hai, to 69 se 134 pips ki upward move mumkin ho sakti hai, potential targets 152.85 aur 153.50 per set kiye gaye hain. 151.80 per support base ki tashkeel ne bullish traders ke liye ek structural bunyad faraham ki hai, kisi bhi gehri kami ko rok raha hai. Technical setup kharidar ke favour mein hai, kyunke RSI neutral rehta hai, overbought conditions ka koi mazboot ishara nahin dikha raha hai, jis ka matlab hai ke mazeed upside ki gunjaish hai. Is ke ilawa, bullish price formations, jaise ke higher lows aur higher highs, ishara karte hain ke broader trend ab bhi barqarar hai. 152.16 se oopar ka break upward momentum ki mazeed tasdeeq faraham karega, jo mumkina tor per 153.50 aur hatta ke 154.15 tak extension ki taraf le ja sakta hai agar kharidari ka pressure tez ho jata hai. Mazeed bar-aan, macro-level factors, jin mein US Federal Reserve ka monetary policy stance bhi shamil hai, yen ke muqable mein ek mazboot US dollar ko support karte hain. US aur Japanese government bonds ke darmiyan yield differentials bhi ek aham kirdar ada karte hain, kyunke badhte hue US Treasury yields USD-denominated assets ki taraf global capital ko mutawajjah karke USD/JPY ko oopar dhakelne ka rujhan rakhte hain.
Lekin, agar USD/JPY 151.80 se upar support maintain karne mein nakam rehta hai, to downside risks barh jayenge, jo mumkina tor per 151.25 aur 150.95 ki taraf kami ka sabab ban sakte hain. Ek gehri correction sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hai, khaas tor per agar external factors, jaise ke risk appetite mein kami, equity markets mein




barhti hui volatility, ya unexpected geopolitical developments, yen ki safe-haven appeal ke favour mein hon. Is ke ilawa, Bank of Japan ki policy interventions ab bhi ek wildcard hain, kyunke policymakers ne maazi mein yen ki zyada kamzori ko rokne ke liye action liya hai. Agar market participants aisi interventions ki ummeed karte hain, to USD/JPY per farokht ka pressure barh sakta hai, jo pair ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Is environment ko navigate karne ke liye, traders ko risk management ke liye ek disciplined approach per tawajjah deni chahiye, jis mein well-defined stop-loss levels aur position-sizing strategies shamil hon. Mazeed bar-aan, key economic indicators, jaise ke US inflation reports, employment data, aur central bank commentary per qareebi nazar rakhna, market direction mein mumkina tabdeeliyon ka jaiza lene mein aham hoga. Aakhirkaar, ek well-balanced strategy jo technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko integrate karti hai, traders ko evolving market conditions ke mutabiq hone aur USD/JPY mein apni trading performance ko behtar banane ki ijazat degi

USD/JPY currency pair ka tajzia karte hue, main iske haal hi ke price action, khaas tor per key resistance aur support levels ke sath iske interaction per tawajjah de raha hun. Main observe karta hun ke pair shuru mein mazbooti se badha, 152.60 ke qareeb apne hadaf tak pahunchne se pehle reverse ho gaya. Main note karta hun ke current price 152.06 ke aas paas hai, jo haal hi ki high se pullback ko reflect karta hai. Main volume patterns aur baseline indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Awesome Oscillator (AO) ki market sentiment ka andaza lagane ke liye ahmiyat per zor deta hun. Main RSI ka tajzia karta hun aur ise mid-range mein neutrally move karte hue pata hun, jo ek tentative downward tilt dikha raha hai jo kamzor bullish momentum ka ishara deta hai. Main is observation ko AO ke sath jodta hun, jo ek faint buy signal flash karta hai, ek mixed technical backdrop create karta hai. Main highlight karta hun ke price pichle din ki trading range mein confined hai, jo near-term outlook ko flat sabit karta hai. Indecisive signals ke bawjood, main ek halka bearish bias identify karta hun, jis se main 151.25 support level ke mumkina test ki ummeed karta hun. Main 151.35 ko target karte hue ehtiyat se short-term sales ki sifarish karta hun, agarche main market ki sudden volatility ki propensity ki wajah se chaukanna rehne ki zarurat per zor deta hun.
Main technical setup ko contextualize karne ke liye fundamental factors ki taraf jata hun. Mujhe yaad hai ke haal hi ki U.S. Federal Reserve ki khabar shuru mein USD ke liye favorable lag rahi thi, hawkish rhetoric rate hikes ko support kar raha tha. Lekin, main Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke unexpected influence per zor deta hun, jisne apni monetary policy ko tight kiya, jis se JPY mein capital inflows trigger hue aur USD/JPY per pressure dala. Main conclude karta hun ke yeh episode global liquidity dynamics mein Fed ke





dominant kirdar ko wazeh karta hai, kyunke iski policies aksar regional central bank actions per ghalib aa jati hain. Aage dekhte hue, main current support levels ke qareeb pair ke consolidation ke baad USD ki strength mein dobara uroj ki projection karta hun. Main ise Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki aane wali speech se mansoob karta hun, jis se main ummeed karta hun ke woh prolonged U.S. rate hikes ki expectations ko mazboot karegi. Main Asian trading hours ke dauran 152.29 se oopar breakout ki pesh goi karta hun, jis ke baad 152.90 ko target karte hue upward momentum hoga. Main 153.54 aur 154.22 per subsequent resistance levels outline karta hun, 154.00 ka decisive breach 154.83 per intermediate hurdles ke zariye 157.10 ki taraf rasta kholta hai. Main aagah karta hun ke 157.10 tak pahunchna ek cyclical peak mark kar sakta hai, jo mumkina tor per long-term reversal trigger kar sakta hai. Main iske baad ek bearish trend ubharne ki pesh goi karta hun, pair 125.00 level ki taraf retracing karega kyunke overextended USD positions unwind hote hain. Main traders ko technical signals ko macroeconomic developments, khaas tor per central bank interventions aur liquidity shifts ke sath balance karne ki salah deta hun. Main risk management ki ahmiyat ko dohraata hun, pair ki geopolitical events aur policy surprises ke liye sensitivity ke pesh-e-nazar.
Mukhtasaran, main short term mein USD/JPY ke liye cautiously bullish outlook barqarar rakhta hun, jo Fed policy expectations per anchored hai, lekin main structural vulnerabilities se agah rehta hun jo ek sharp correction catalyze kar sakti hain. Main 152.29 se oopar long positions mein scaling karne ki sifarish karta hun jabke downside risks ko kam karne ke liye 151.25 se neeche tight stop-losses set karta hun. Main conclude karta hun ke technical patterns aur central bank rhetoric ke darmiyan interplay pair ki trajectory ka hukm dega, is dynamic environment mein adaptive strategies ki demand karega

Japanese Yen (JPY) European trading session ke dauran apni downward trajectory per raha, is tashweesh se dabao mein ke Japan US tariffs ka hadaf ban sakta hai. Yeh tashweesh, thode se mazboot US dollar ke sath milkar, USD/JPY pair ko apne rozana gains barqarar rakhne ki ijazat di. Lekin, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke hawkish expectations ne yen ke mazeed nuqsanat ko kam karne mein madad ki aur pair ki upward movement ko cap kiya. Investors aisa lagta hai ke confident hain ke BOJ is saal ek aur interest rate hike implement karega, ek factor jo Japanese government bond yields ko oopar dhakel raha hai. Japan aur US ke darmiyan interest rate differential ka kam hona low-yielding yen ko kuch support faraham kar raha hai, jis se zyada substantial depreciation ko roka ja raha hai. Is support ke bawjood, yen ka overall trend bearish hai. Traders ko ehtiyat barte hue aur USD/JPY pair mein near-term bottom ki tasdeeq se pehle mazboot signals ka intezaar karne ki salah di jati hai. Daily chart per technical indicators negative momentum ko reflect karte rehte hain aur oversold conditions se bahut door hain, jo mazeed downside potential ka ishara dete hain. Pair ka haal hi mein 152.50-152.45 confluence se neeche ka break, jis mein 100-day aur 200-day simple moving averages



shamil hain, bearish traders ke favour mein hai. Yeh confluence zone ab ek resistance level ke taur per kaam karta hai, aur iski taraf koi bhi subsequent rallies fresh selling pressure ko attract karne ka imkan hai. Isliye, jabke kuch short-term upward movement mumkin hai, iske is resistance se limited rehne ki ummeed hai.
Ek potential short-covering rally USD/JPY pair ko wapas 153.00 level ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Lekin, yeh upward move temporary rehne ka imkan hai jab tak ke market sentiment ya fundamental factors mein koi significant shift na ho. Neeche ki taraf, immediate support Asian session low ke aas paas 151.25 area ke qareeb hai. Is level se neeche ka break 151.00-150.95 support zone ke test ka darwaza khol sakta hai, jo Friday ke low se correspond karta hai. Is support zone se neeche ka sustained move phir USD/JPY pair ko medium-term support 150.55-150.50 se neeche aur psychological level 150.00 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Mazeed downside momentum decline ko 149.60 horizontal support level, uske baad 149.00 level aur December low ke qareeb 148.65 area tak extend kar sakta hai. Yeh support levels potential areas represent karte hain jahan kharidar ubhar sakte hain, lekin prevailing bearish sentiment batata hai ke koi bhi bounces corrective nature ke hone ka imkan hai. US tariffs ke bare mein tashweesat, mazeed BOJ rate hikes ki ummeed aur negative technical indicators ka combination JPY ke liye continued downside risks ki taraf ishara karta hai. Traders US trade policy, BOJ policy announcements, aur key technical levels se related developments per qareebi nazar rakhenge taake USD/JPY pair ki future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake

USD/JPY Ka Tajziya (Analysis)

Aam Jaiza


Aaj ke din, USD/JPY ka jo jor hai wo kaafi mazboot hai, jahan bullish momentum is pair par hakim hai. Filhal yeh 155.18 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo key technical levels se upar mazbooti dikhata hai. Yeh maqam is baat ki nishani hai ke market mein buyers ka dakhil hona abhi bhi zinda hai.
Technical Analysis (Fanni Tajziya)

Moving Averages (Chalti Averages)


Price ab dono 50-day SMA (154.58) aur 100-day SMA (154.96) ke upar hai, jo ke upward trend ko mazid taqat de raha hai. Jab price in moving averages se upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko darust karta hai.
RSI (Relative Strength Index)


Abhi RSI 63.57 par hai, jo ke overbought levels ke kareeb hai. Lekin abhi bhi is mein upar janay ki jagah hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke koi badi pullback hone se pehle kuch aur upar ja sakta hai.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)


MACD ab bhi positive territory mein hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko support karta hai. Yeh indicator yeh dikhata hai ke market mein buyers ka dakhil hona ab bhi active hai.
Support Aur Resistance Levels


Filhal resistance 155.25 par hai, jabke support 154.93 par hai. Agar buyers is resistance ko paar karte hain, to hum mazeed upside dekh sakte hain. Lekin agar price support ke neeche dip karti hai, to yeh short-term correction ko trigger kar sakta hai.
Fundamental Analysis (Bunyadi Tajziya)

BoJ Policy (Bank of Japan ki Policy)


Bank of Japan (BoJ) abhi tak cautious hai, aur Governor Ueda ne is baat ka izhar kiya hai ke unhein mazid data ki zaroorat hai pehle ke koi firm moves rate hikes par kiya ja sake. Yeh stance yen ko pressure mein rakhti hai, kyun ke market ko yeh dar hai ke BoJ abhi tak tightening ka soch raha hai.
Fed Outlook (Federal Reserve ka Nazariya)


Federal Reserve ki taraf se haal hi mein 25 basis points ka rate cut kiya gaya hai, saath hi unka conservative forecast future cuts ke liye bhi hai, jo ke U.S. dollar ko mazid taqat deta hai. Fed ka hawkish stance USD ko yen ke muqable mein support karta hai, jo ke is pair ki bullish momentum ko mazid barhata hai.
Economic Data (Ma'ashi Data)


Tokyo mein inflation ab 2.5% tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke pichle saal ke sab se tezi se barh raha hai. Yeh BoJ ko policy shift ki taraf dhakela sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, U.S. economy abhi bhi strong GDP growth aur stable labour market dikhati hai, jo ke dollar ko aur bhi support karti hai.
Aakhir Ka Falasifah


USD/JPY abhi bullish hai, lekin mein BoJ ki stance ki taraqqi ko dekh raha hoon. Agar Japan kisi tightening ki taraf ishaara karta hai, to yeh market ko hila sakta hai. Filhal, dollar abhi bhi control mein hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke traders in indicators aur economic data ko nazar mein rakhein taake wo market ki direction ka andaza laga sakein. Umeed hai ke yeh tajziya aap ke liye faida mand sabit hoga, aur aap behtar trading decisions le sakte hain.

Haalati Jaiza: USD/JPY Ka Hal

Mukaddima


Is haftay, Japanese Yen (JPY) ne ek neeche ki taraf ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya, jo ke America ke tariffs ke khauf ki wajah se tha. Yeh fikr, saath hi thodi si mazboot US dollar ki wajah se, USD/JPY joray ko apne roz marra ke faida ko barqarar rakhne mein madad di. Lekin, Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki taraf se hawkish rukh ki umeed ne Yen ke liye kuch had tak nuqsan ko roka, aur joray ki oonchaai ko bhi simit kiya.
Tariffs Ke Khauf Aur Currency Ki Dynaamik


Bazaar ke hissa daar US tariffs ke mumkinah asraat par ghamgeen hain, jo Yen ki kamzori ka sabab ban raha hai. Mawjooda maashi manzar-e-qabul mein, US dollar ki taqat aur Yen ke khilaaf bearish jazbat ke darmiyan ek narm balance hai. Investor yeh samajhte hain ke BOJ is saal ek aur interest rate ki izafa kar sakti hai, jo ke Japanese government bond yields ko barhawa de raha hai. Yeh barhati hui yield ka mahol kuch had tak low-yielding Yen ko support de raha hai, is liye Yen mein zyada kami nahin aa rahi.

Phir bhi, Yen ka overall rukh bearish hi hai. Trader ko chahiye ke woh ihtiyaat se kaam lein aur USD/JPY joray mein qareeb ke waqt ke neechay ishtiraak karne se pehle mazboot isharaat ka intezar karein. Daily chart par technical indicators abhi bhi negative momentum dikhate hain aur yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke joray abhi oversold halat se door hai, jo ke mazeed neeche ki taraf ka imkaan de raha hai.
Technical Analysis


Aakhri waqt mein, USD/JPY joray ne 152.50-152.45 ke confluence zone ke neeche break kiya, jo ke 100-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ka hissa hai. Yeh break bearish traders ke liye faida mand hai, kyunki ab yeh confluence zone resistance level ban gaya hai. Kisi bhi agle upar ki taraf ke rukh ki taraf agar joray is area ki taraf aata hai to naya bechne ka pressure shamil ho sakta hai.

Halankeh chand chand waqt ke liye upar ki taraf ke harkaat mumkin hain, lekin yeh resistance se simit rahne ki umeed hai. Ek mumkinah short-covering rally USD/JPY joray ko 153.00 level ki taraf wapas le ja sakti hai. Lekin, yeh upar ka rukh tab tak asar daari rahega jab tak market ke jazbat ya buniyadi asraat mein koi aham tabdeel nahi hoti.
Support Levels Aur Neeche Ki Taraf Ka Imkaan


Neeche ki taraf, foran support 151.25 area mein hai, jo ke haal ke Asian session ke low se mutabiqat rakhta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai to 151.00-150.95 support zone ka tajziya khul sakta hai, jo ke Jumme ke low ke mutabiq hai. Is support zone ke neeche kisi bhi deir tak ka chalna USD/JPY joray ko darust mid-term support levels 150.55 aur 150.50 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, aur shayad 150.00 ke psychological level tak bhi.

Mazeed neeche ka jazbat is kami ko 149.60 ke horizontal support level ki taraf le ja sakta hai, aur phir 149.00 level aur December low ke paas 148.65 ki taraf. Yeh support levels wo mumkinah jagaen hain jahan kharidaar samne aa sakte hain; lekin, maujooda bearish jazbat yeh darust karte hain ke kisi bhi bounce ka asar sirf corrective hoga.
Nateeja


America ke tariffs ke khauf, BOJ ke mazeed rate hikes ki umeed, aur negative technical indicators mil kar Yen ke liye mazeed neeche ke khatarat ko darust karte hain. Trader US trade policy se mutaliq developments, BOJ ki announcements, aur key technical levels ko nazar mein rakhte hue USD/JPY joray ki agle rukh ka andaza lagayenge. Jaise jaise market in pechida dynamics ka samna karegi, ehtiyaat har surat mein zaroori rahegi un investors ke liye jo is currency pair mein shamil hain.

USD/JPY ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
Dollar/yen ka joda ab bhi sideways channel se bahar nahin nikal saka. Kal, yah jodi range ke andar rahi, agarcheh kharidaron ne ise 152.71 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish ki. Qimat sirf 152.53 tak hi pahunchi. Iske bad, farokht karne walon ne bartari hasil ki, teezi se qimat ko niche ki taraf mod diya aur ise niche ki taraf dhakel diya. Natije ke taur par, jodi 151.56 tak gir gayi, jis se range mazid kam ho gayi.
Is waqt, yah joda 151.99 ke qarib trade kar raha hai, jo kaledi satahon ke darmiyan yani kharidaron aur farokht karne walon ke pas 50/50 mauqa hai. Kuch ishare se pata chalta hai keh sideways movement jari rahega, aur jab tak koi badi tabdili nahin aati, tab tak kuch bhi tabdil hone ka imkan nahin hai.

فروری 11 2025 کے لیے امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کو، امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑی نے 151.30 سپورٹ لیول سے درست کیا لیکن آج کے سیشن کا آغاز نیچے کی حرکت کے ساتھ کر رہا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر اب بھی بڑھ رہا ہے۔



151.30 سپورٹ لیول کے اوپر آزاد گھومنے پھرنے کی صورت حال پیدا ہو رہی ہے، جو ایک طویل، پیچیدہ اصلاح یا استحکام کے امکان کی تجویز کرتی ہے۔ یہ غیر یقینی صورتحال حل ہو جائے گی اگر قیمت 151.30 سے نیچے محفوظ ہو جائے، 149.38 ہدف کی حمایت کی طرف راستہ کھل جائے۔ جاپان میں آج عام تعطیل ہے۔



چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر زیرو لائن سے نیچے کی طرف مڑنے لگا ہے۔ اگر یہ تبدیلی کارگر ثابت ہوتی ہے، تو ہم جلد ہی قیمت کو 151.30 سے نیچے مستحکم دیکھ سکتے ہیں۔ تاہم، 152.90 کی سطح میں ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی طرف قیمت بڑھنے کا امکان ہے، جو 6 فروری کی بلند ترین سطح کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/GPY
Aam Jaiza


Aaj ke din, USD/JPY ka jo jor hai wo kaafi mazboot hai, jahan bullish momentum is pair par hakim hai. Filhal yeh 155.18 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo key technical levels se upar mazbooti dikhata hai. Yeh maqam is baat ki nishani hai ke market mein buyers ka dakhil hona abhi bhi zinda hai.
Technical Analysis (Fanni Tajziya)

Moving Averages (Chalti Averages)


Price ab dono 50-day SMA (154.58) aur 100-day SMA (154.96) ke upar hai, jo ke upward trend ko mazid taqat de raha hai. Jab price in moving averages se upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko darust karta hai.
RSI (Relative Strength Index)


Abhi RSI 63.57 par hai, jo ke overbought levels ke kareeb hai. Lekin abhi bhi is mein upar janay ki jagah hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke koi badi pullback hone se pehle kuch aur upar ja sakta hai.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)


MACD ab bhi positive territory mein hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko support karta hai. Yeh indicator yeh dikhata hai ke market mein buyers ka dakhil hona ab bhi active hai.
Support Aur Resistance Levels


Filhal resistance 155.25 par hai, jabke support 154.93 par hai. Agar buyers is resistance ko paar karte hain, to hum mazeed upside dekh sakte hain. Lekin agar price support ke neeche dip karti hai, to yeh short-term correction ko trigger kar sakta hai.
Fundamental Analysis (Bunyadi Tajziya)

BoJ Policy (Bank of Japan ki Policy)


Bank of Japan (BoJ) abhi tak cautious hai, aur Governor Ueda ne is baat ka izhar kiya hai ke unhein mazid data ki zaroorat hai pehle ke koi firm moves rate hikes par kiya ja sake. Yeh stance yen ko pressure mein rakhti hai, kyun ke market ko yeh dar hai ke BoJ abhi tak tightening ka soch raha hai.
Fed Outlook (Federal Reserve ka Nazariya)


Federal Reserve ki taraf se haal hi mein 25 basis points ka rate cut kiya gaya hai, saath hi unka conservative forecast future cuts ke liye bhi hai, jo ke U.S. dollar ko mazid taqat deta hai. Fed ka hawkish stance USD ko yen ke muqable mein support karta hai, jo ke is pair ki bullish momentum ko mazid barhata hai.
Economic Data (Ma'ashi Data)


Tokyo mein inflation ab 2.5% tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke pichle saal ke sab se tezi se barh raha hai. Yeh BoJ ko policy shift ki taraf dhakela sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, U.S. economy abhi bhi strong GDP growth aur stable labour market dikhati hai, jo ke dollar ko aur bhi support karti hai.
Aakhir Ka Falasifah


USD/JPY abhi bullish hai, lekin mein BoJ ki stance ki taraqqi ko dekh raha hoon. Agar Japan kisi tightening ki taraf ishaara karta hai, to yeh market ko hila sakta hai. Filhal, dollar abhi bhi control mein hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke traders in indicators aur economic data ko nazar mein rakhein taake wo market ki direction ka andaza laga sakein. Umeed hai ke yeh tajziya aap ke liye faida mand sabit hoga, aur aap behtar trading decisions le sakte hain.

A Closer Look at USD/JPY Prices

USD/JPY ka H4 chart dekh kar lagta hai ke market filhal ek consolidation phase mein hai, jo recent girawat ke baad stability dikhata hai Price abhi 152.00 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai aur thoda recovery mode mein hai. Lekin trend overall bearish hi hai, kyun ke price abhi bhi 50-SMA aur 200-SMA ke neeche hai. Yeh moving averages bearish dominance ko confirm karte hain, aur jab tak price in ke upar nahi aata, selling pressure barkarar rehne ka imkan hai.

OsMA indicator halke bullish momentum ka pata de raha hai, lekin yeh momentum abhi mazboot nahi lagta. Dusri taraf, RSI (14) level 52 ke aas-paas hai, jo na zyada bullish hai aur na hi bearish, balki neutral position show kar raha hai. Abhi ke liye, resistance ka sabse pehla zone 152.80 se 153.00 ke darmiyan hai. Agar price is level ko todta hai, to agla target 154.00 ho sakta hai. Support ki baat karein, to sabse ahm level 151.30 hai. Agar price is level ke neeche jata hai, to girawat ka agla target 150.50 ke kareeb ho sakta hai. Abhi ka scenario fundamental triggers par bhi depend karega, jaise U.S. aur Japan ke economic data aur central bank policies. Agar koi badi khabar aati hai, to market ka rukh tez badal sakta hai. Is liye, cautious rehna aur apni trades ko key levels ke mutabiq plan karna zaroori hai.
Short-term mein pullbacks ka faida uthana better hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai jab tak price 200-SMA ke upar break nahi karta.