usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

trend mein potential exhaustion ke signs nazar aane lagay hain. Meri rai mein, USD/JPY pair is time frame mein bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bearish trend ko confirm kar sakti

USD/JPY pair ne recently strong bullish momentum dikhayi, jisme 150.65 ke key confluence level aur 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko break kar diya gaya hai. Is upward move ne bullish traders ko kaafi energize kiya hai, lekin resistance 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke qareeb, yani 153.20 mark par, saamne aayi hai jo ke July-September decline ka retracement hai. Halanki, is pause ke bawajood, US dollar ka overall outlook favorable lag raha hai, khas tor par US Treasury yields ke barhne aur Federal Reserve ki dheemi monetary policy easing ki wajah se.Japan mein aane wale general elections ke sath siyasi uncertainty bhi ek factor ban raha hai. Pehle ke surveys yeh dikhate hain ke ruling Liberal Democratic Party apni majority kho sakti hai, jo political stability aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy ke future direction par shak dal raha hai. In uncertainties ki wajah se yen ki strength ke chances kam ho gaye hain, khas tor par ek mazboot US dollar ke against.Technical standpoint se dekha jaye to, agar 153.20 resistance ka decisively break hota hai, to yeh pair ke uptrend ko extend kar sakta hai, jisse price 154.00 aur 154.30 supply zone tak jaa sakti hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rahti hai, to yeh pair aur bhi higher levels test kar sakti hai, jisme 154.75 horizontal resistance, psychological 155.00 mark, aur July 30 ka swing high 155.20 region ke aas paas included hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 152.00 support level ke neeche break karti hai, to short-term pullback ka trigger ho sakta hai, jisme pair intermediate support 151.45-151.40 aur shayad 151.00 zone tak pohanch sakti hai.Iske bawajood, yeh retracement buying opportunities de sakti hai, kyun ke 150.65 ka confluence level ab strong support ban gaya hai, jo renewed bullish momentum ke liye ek solid base ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar price is level ke neeche jaane mein kamiyab hoti hai, to near-term bias bearish traders ke favor mein shift ho sakta hai.Given the prevailing bullish sentiment for the US dollar, jo geopolitical factors aur US economic strength se support ho rahi hai, traders ko yeh key technical levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye

USD/JPY karansi pair, jo ke is waqt lagbhag 152.30 par trade kar raha hai, ahista ahista bearish trend dikhaya hai, jo kuch market ke do-mind honay ka ishara hai. Pair ki movement slow hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke traders koi significant economic ya policy announcement ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke price ko ek wazeh direction mein le ja sakti hai. Iss gradual bearish trend ke bawajood, kuch strong indicators hain jo dikhate hain ke USD/JPY pair aglay kuch dinon mein ek bara movement dekh sakta hai. Kuch ahem factors, jaise ke interest rate expectations aur geopolitical dynamics, iss potential shift ko shape de sakte hain. Ek ahem factor jo USD/JPY ko affect kar raha hai wo U.S. Federal Reserve ki interest rate policies hain. Fed inflation ko control karne ke liye rate hike kar raha hai, jo ke traditionally dollar ko strengthen karta hai. Lekin, agar Fed apne rate hikes ko pause karne ya slow down karne ka ishara deta hai, toh ye dollar mein weakness la sakta hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko neeche ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Waisa hi, agar Fed apni hawkish stance maintain karta hai, toh ye dollar mein ek tezi se upar ki taraf movement la sakta hai. Ye uncertainty jo U.S. economy mein hai, traders ke liye mushkil bana deti hai ke wo pair ki direction ka andaza lagayen, aur ye aane wale Fed comments ya economic data ke basis par sharp moves ka stage set kar sakta hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki policies bhi ek aur important driver hain. Tareekhi tor par, BoJ ne apni economy ko support karne ke liye ultra-low interest rate policy rakhi hai, jo zyada tar ek weaker yen ka sabab banti hai. Magar, rising inflation pressures aur changing global economic landscape ki wajah se Japan ka central bank apni approach ko reconsider kar sakta hai. Agar BoJ apne stance ko hawkish ki taraf shift karta hai, hatta ke subtly bhi, toh ye ek strong yen ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko jaldi se neeche dhakel sakta hai. BoJ ki policy mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka ishara traders ke liye kafi maani rakhta hai, aur wo yen ke potential appreciation ka faida uthana chahenge. Japan ke policy mein tightening ka sirf ek imkaan bhi market mein unpredictability create karta hai, aur traders koi bhi shift ka signal milne ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Technical analysis bhi kuch aur clues provide karta hai ke USD/JPY pair apne current pattern se breakout kar sakta hai. Pair ne kuch key resistance aur support levels ke qareeb trade kiya hai, jahan par traders ne khas taur par 152.50 level ko monitor karna shuru kar diya hai. Agar price is point ko breach karti hai, toh ye momentum-based trading set kar sakta hai jo ek tezi se upar ki taraf trend lead karega. Dusri taraf, agar pair kuch ahem support levels ke neeche girta hai, toh ye ek bearish trend ko confirm kar sakta hai

USD/JPY ke setup mein kuch fundamental aur technical factors ke wajah se aane wale dinon mein ek bara move hone ka andaza hai jo ke U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ko influence kar rahe hain. Ek primary factor jo USD/JPY ko impact kar raha hai woh hai U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy stances. Fed ka stance tightening ki taraf raha hai, aur woh steady rate hikes ke zariye inflation ko control karna chahta hai. High-interest rates aam tor par dollar ki strength ko mazid barhate hain, kyun ke higher returns foreign investments ko attract karte hain. Lekin, hal hi mein kuch discussions hui hain ke agar U.S. economy mein significant slowdown ke asar nazar aaye toh Fed rate hikes ko rokne ya dheema karne ka soch sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai toh dollar ki relative appeal kam ho sakti hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish trend ko mazid support de sakti hai.
Iske baraks, Bank of Japan ne kayi salon se ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai, jo yen par low yields ka sabab ban rahi hai. Hal hi ki kuch spekulasiye is taraf ishaara kar rahi hain ke agar inflation ka pressure barhta hai ya yen ki bohot zyada depreciation hoti hai, toh BOJ apni policy ko adjust karne ka soch sakta hai. Agar BOJ ek kam dovish stance ki taraf shift karta hai toh ye yen ki significant strengthening ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish movement ko mazid influence kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, USD/JPY global risk sentiment ke liye bhi sensitive hai. Jab bhi heightened uncertainty hoti hai, yen aksar safe-haven currency ke tor par act karta hai, jo ke stability ki talash mein investors ko attract karta hai. Yeh USD/JPY par ek bara downward pressure dalne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, khaaskar agar geopolitical tensions ya global economic concerns barhte hain. Misal ke tor par, trade tensions, energy price fluctuations, ya China jese bade economies mein economic uncertainty, yen ki demand ko mazid barha sakti hai.

Technical indicators bhi ek potential shift ka ishara de rahe hain. 152.30 resistance level ke paas ek prolonged period mein rehna aur decreasing momentum ka hona aksar ek breakout ya breakdown se pehle hota hai. Agar USD/JPY ne recent support levels ke neeche break kiya, toh yeh downward direction mein ek tezi se hone wale move ka sabab ban sakta ha

USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye

hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye

Friday ke North American session ke doran USD/JPY ne tezi se 152.00 level tak jump kiya. Yeh movement U.S. Dollar par aane wale selling pressure ke baad hui, jo ke U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data ke weak hone ke baad dekhne ko mili. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo USD ko chay barray currencies ke against measure karta hai, 104.30 ke qareeb retreat hui, jo ke short-term adjustments ko reflect karta hai. USD/JPY ke liye market sentiment abhi bhi cautiously chal raha hai kyun ke traders U.S. ke inflation indicators aur Japanese economic data par focus kar rahe hain. Jaise ke U.S. Dollar mixed inflation signals par react kar raha hai aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni dovish policy ko continue kar raha hai, toh pair mein dubara volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Dono hi Fed ki next interest rate policy aur Japan ki monetary stance USD/JPY ki direction par asar daal sakti hain.
Recent data ne consumer prices mein easing ko suggest kiya hai, magar core Consumer Price Index (CPI) se ye lagta hai ke underlying inflation ab bhi zyada hai. Iss se 50 basis-point rate cut ki umeed kam ho gayi hai jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke agle meeting mein expected thi. Inflation concerns ki waja se USD mein thodi recovery hui, aur is month ka high level touch karne ke qareeb hai, jab ke broader market mein risk-on sentiment safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) ki demand ko kam kar raha hai, jo USD/JPY ko mazid support de raha hai. JPY ke liye challenges barh rahe hain kyun ke Japan ka Producer Price Index (PPI) mein unexpected 0.2% ki girawat dekhi gayi, aur annual rate bhi slow hote hue 2.5% par aa gaya. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke board member Naoki Tamura ke comments ne bhi expectations ko influence kiya hai, jismein unhone kaha ke easy policy se shift mein kaafi waqt lagega. Iss stance se JPY ki losses limit hui hain, aur market participants cautious hain ke JPY mein rapid strengthening na ho. USD/JPY ki Technical Analysis. Pair ka pehla resistance level 153.24 par hai, jise cross karna mushkil ho sakta hai, jab ke doosra barrier 153.72 ke qareeb hoga. Agar yeh Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) break ho jayein toh bearish sentiment weak ho sakta hai, aur pair descending channel ke upper edge, jo ke 151.10 par hai, tak bhi ja sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf agar price 152.00 se break kare toh pair 151.00 ke support zone tak ja sakti hai, jo bearish

Meri rai mein, USD/JPY pair is time frame mein bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bearish

USD/JPY ke setup mein kuch fundamental aur technical factors ke wajah se aane wale dinon mein ek bara move hone ka andaza hai jo ke U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ko influence kar rahe hain. Ek primary factor jo USD/JPY ko impact kar raha hai woh hai U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy stances. Fed ka stance tightening ki taraf raha hai, aur woh steady rate hikes ke zariye inflation ko control karna chahta hai. High-interest rates aam tor par dollar ki strength ko mazid barhate hain, kyun ke higher returns foreign investments ko attract karte hain. Lekin, hal hi mein kuch discussions hui hain ke agar U.S. economy mein significant slowdown ke asar nazar aaye toh Fed rate hikes ko rokne ya dheema karne ka soch sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai toh dollar ki relative appeal kam ho sakti hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish trend ko mazid support de sakti hai.
Iske baraks, Bank of Japan ne kayi salon se ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai, jo yen par low yields ka sabab ban rahi hai. Hal hi ki kuch spekulasiye is taraf ishaara kar rahi hain ke agar inflation ka pressure barhta hai ya yen ki bohot zyada depreciation hoti hai, toh BOJ apni policy ko adjust karne ka soch sakta hai. Agar BOJ ek kam dovish stance ki taraf shift karta hai toh ye yen ki significant strengthening ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish movement ko mazid influence kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, USD/JPY global risk sentiment ke liye bhi sensitive hai. Jab bhi heightened uncertainty hoti hai, yen aksar safe-haven currency ke tor par act karta hai, jo ke stability ki talash mein investors ko attract karta hai. Yeh USD/JPY par ek bara downward pressure dalne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, khaaskar agar geopolitical tensions ya global economic concerns barhte hain. Misal ke tor par, trade tensions, energy price fluctuations, ya China jese bade economies mein economic uncertainty, yen ki demand ko mazid barha sakti hai.

Technical indicators bhi ek potential shift ka ishara de rahe hain. 152.30 resistance level ke paas ek prolonged period mein rehna aur decreasing momentum ka hona aksar ek breakout ya breakdown se pehle hota hai. Agar USD/JPY ne recent support levels ke neeche break kiya, toh yeh downward direction mein ek tezi se hone wale move ka sabab ban sakta ha

jahan dono investors aur traders aane wale economic aur geopolitical factors ka intezar kar rahe hain. Mojooda cautious sentiment ke bawajood, USD/JPY ke setup mein kuch fundamental aur technical factors ke wajah se aane wale dinon mein ek bara move hone ka andaza hai jo ke U.S. dollar aur Japanese yen ko influence kar rahe hain. Ek primary factor jo USD/JPY ko impact kar raha hai woh hai U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki monetary policy stances. Fed ka stance tightening ki taraf raha hai, aur woh steady rate hikes ke zariye inflation ko control karna chahta hai. High-interest rates aam tor par dollar ki strength ko mazid barhate hain, kyun ke higher returns foreign investments ko attract karte hain. Lekin, hal hi mein kuch discussions hui hain ke agar U.S. economy mein significant slowdown ke asar nazar aaye toh Fed rate hikes ko rokne ya dheema karne ka soch sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai toh dollar ki relative appeal kam ho sakti hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish trend ko mazid support de sakti hai.
Iske baraks, Bank of Japan ne kayi salon se ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai, jo yen par low yields ka sabab ban rahi hai. Hal hi ki kuch spekulasiye is taraf ishaara kar rahi hain ke agar inflation ka pressure barhta hai ya yen ki bohot zyada depreciation hoti hai, toh BOJ apni policy ko adjust karne ka soch sakta hai. Agar BOJ ek kam dovish stance ki taraf shift karta hai toh ye yen ki significant strengthening ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish movement ko mazid influence kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, USD/JPY global risk sentiment ke liye bhi sensitive hai. Jab bhi heightened uncertainty hoti hai, yen aksar safe-haven currency ke tor par act karta hai, jo ke stability ki talash mein investors ko attract karta hai. Yeh USD/JPY par ek bara downward pressure dalne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, khaaskar agar geopolitical tensions ya global economic concerns barhte hain. Misal ke tor par, trade tensions, energy price fluctuations, ya China jese bade economies mein economic uncertainty, yen ki demand ko mazid barha sakti hai.

Technical indicators bhi

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair, jo ke filhal 152.37 par trade ho rahi hai, recent movement ki wajah se traders ka focus ban chuki hai, khaaskar jab se yeh downward trend mein hai. Aaj kal yeh pair thore se bearish trend mein hai, jo ke aksar market ki hesitation ya cautious approach ko show karta hai, kyun ke traders potential future movements ko analyze karte hain. Market ka pace alag alag global economic factors par depend kar sakta hai, jaise fluctuating interest rates, Japan ki monetary policies, aur U.S. Federal Reserve ka stance. Phir bhi, kuch aise signs hain jo ke agle kuch dino mein significant movement ka potential show kar rahe hain, kyun ke kai conditions align ho rahi hain.Yeh bearish trend broader market mein ek bada pattern form karne ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Aise kuch reasons hain jo ke is movement ko push kar sakte hain. Pehle toh, Federal Reserve ka stance interest rates par important hai. Agar Fed rate hikes ko rokne ya kam karne ka ishara deta hai, to U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo ke pair ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai. Wahan par, agar Fed inflation ko aggressively tackle karte hue hawkish approach ko emphasize karta hai, to dollar mazid strong ho sakta hai, aur sharp upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. U.S. policy mein is tarah ke changes ek pronounced swing ke liye catalyst ban sakte hain.Japan ka central bank, Bank of Japan (BoJ), bhi is outlook mein significant role play karta hai. Historically, BoJ ne ultra-loose monetary policy rakhi hai, khaaskar jab ke Fed iske muqablay mein tight stance rakhta hai, jo ke yen ko dollar ke muqablay mein weak karta hai. Lekin agar Japan inflationary pressures ya dusre economic factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue apni policy ko tighten karta hai, to yen mein significant strength aa sakti hai. Aisi shift USD/JPY mein sharp drop cause kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar BoJ ka stance global tightening trends ke sath aligned ho jaye. Traders BoJ ke kisi bhi minor signal ko closely dekh rahe hain, kyun ke aise signs pair par substantial effects daal sakte hain.Technical indicators bhi insight provide karte hain. Recent chart patterns potential breakout ya breakdown ki taraf ishara karte hain. Yeh pair resistance levels ke kareeb hover kar raha hai, aur agar yeh kisi specific price point ko break karta hai, to momentum-based trading trigger ho sakti hai. Technical analysis use karne wale traders key levels, jaise 152.50 aur 153, ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyun ke in levels ko cross karna bullish continuation ko confirm kar sakta hai, jab ke break below deeper bearish trend ko support kar sakta hai.
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Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne naye tejarati hafte ka aaghaz mutassir kun gap ke sath kiya. 153.65 aur 154.60 ki satah ko muzahmat ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh dollar/yen ka joda in nishanat se gir kar Jumah ko ikhtetami satah 152.27 par aa jayega.
Aam taur par, Americi dollar haar man ne wala nahin hai. Jodi pahle hi 140 ilaqe se 130-140 pips tak badh chuki hai. Sath hi, mai Federal Reserve ki sud ki sherah me kami aur Bank of Japan ki sherah me izafe ke bad dollar/yen ki jode me tawil muddati mandi ke reversal ki ummid kar raha hun. Yaqinan, Fed ki janib se ek aur sherah me kami aur yen kharidne ki aur aur wajah ifq par hai, lekin itni mazbut rally waqai mutassir kun hai kiyunkeh market me utar-chadhaw bulan bani hui hai.

اکتوبر 28 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

ہفتے کے انتخابات میں حکمران لبرل ڈیموکریٹک پارٹی کی "قریبناک ناکامی" کے بعد جاپان کی اسٹاک مارکیٹ (نِکی 225 میں آج صبح 1.86 فیصد اضافہ ہوا) پر امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے نے پرجوش انداز میں جواب دیا۔ جاپان کے اگلے وزیر اعظم کا سوال اس وقت تک کھلا رہتا ہے جب تک اتحادی سمجھوتوں کو حتمی شکل نہیں دی جاتی۔



اس جوڑی نے دن کا آغاز 153.60 پر مزاحمت کرتے ہوئے وقفے کے ساتھ کیا۔ اس سطح سے اوپر کا استحکام 156.79 کی طرف مزید نمو کو ہوا دے سکتا ہے، جس کے بعد ممکنہ الٹ پلٹ آج کے فرق کو بند کر سکتا ہے۔ تاہم، اگر کوئی اہم بریک آؤٹ نہیں ہوتا ہے — جیسا کہ ابتدائی نشانات بتاتے ہیں — امریکی انتخابات سے پہلے "کلین اپ" کے طور پر کام کرتے ہوئے، فرق کو ختم کرنے کے لیے قیمت موجودہ سطح سے پلٹ سکتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر ایک غیر جانبدار موقف کو برقرار رکھتے ہوئے لیکن ممکنہ اوپر کی طرف تعصب کے ساتھ، ایک طرف حرکت کرتا ہے۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، مارلن کی سگنل لائن صفر لائن سے تین الٹ جانے کے بعد تیزی سے بڑھ گئی۔ تاہم، اس تیز چڑھائی کے نتیجے میں ہم آہنگی پیدا ہوئی ہے۔ اگر قیمت 153.60 سے نیچے مستحکم ہوجاتی ہے، تو یہ خلا کو ختم کرنے کے ارادے کا اشارہ دے گا، جو ممکنہ طور پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے قریب سپورٹ لیول 151.80 تک نیچے لے آئے گا۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Friday ke North American session ke doran USD/JPY ne tezi se 152.00 level tak jump kiya. Yeh movement U.S. Dollar par aane wale selling pressure ke baad hui, jo ke U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data ke weak hone ke baad dekhne ko mili. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo USD ko chay barray currencies ke against measure karta hai, 104.30 ke qareeb retreat hui, jo ke short-term adjustments ko reflect karta hai. USD/JPY ke liye market sentiment abhi bhi cautiously chal raha hai kyun ke traders U.S. ke inflation indicators aur Japanese economic data par focus kar rahe hain. Jaise ke U.S. Dollar mixed inflation signals par react kar raha hai aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni dovish policy ko continue kar raha hai, toh pair mein dubara volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Dono hi Fed ki next interest rate policy aur Japan ki monetary stance USD/JPY ki direction par asar daal sakti hain.
Recent data ne consumer prices mein easing ko suggest kiya hai, magar core Consumer Price Index (CPI) se ye lagta hai ke underlying inflation ab bhi zyada hai. Iss se 50 basis-point rate cut ki umeed kam ho gayi hai jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke agle meeting mein expected thi. Inflation concerns ki waja se USD mein thodi recovery hui, aur is month ka high level touch karne ke qareeb hai, jab ke broader market mein risk-on sentiment safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) ki demand ko kam kar raha hai, jo USD/JPY ko mazid support de raha hai. JPY ke liye challenges barh rahe hain kyun ke Japan ka Producer Price Index (PPI) mein unexpected 0.2% ki girawat dekhi gayi, aur annual rate bhi slow hote hue 2.5% par aa gaya. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke board member Naoki Tamura ke comments ne bhi expectations ko influence kiya hai, jismein unhone kaha ke easy policy se shift mein kaafi waqt lagega. Iss stance se JPY ki losses limit hui hain, aur market participants cautious hain ke JPY mein rapid strengthening na ho. USD/JPY ki Technical Analysis. Pair ka pehla resistance level 153.24 par hai, jise cross karna mushkil ho sakta hai, jab ke doosra barrier 153.72 ke qareeb hoga. Agar yeh Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) break ho jayein toh bearish sentiment weak ho sakta hai, aur pair descending channel ke upper edge, jo ke 151.10 par hai, tak bhi ja sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf agar price 152.00 se break kare toh pair 151.00 ke support zone tak ja sakti hai, jo bearish momentum ko mazid intensify karegi.

Usdjpy ne Monday ko early three-month low touch karne ke baad US dollar ke khilaf thodi recovery ki, lekin major appreciation filhal unlikely lagta hai kuch specific factors ki wajah se. Bank of Japan ke potential interest rate hike ke hawale se uncertainty aur ruling coalition ki parliamentary majority ka loss yen par asar daal raha hai. Global risk sentiment bhi generally positive hai jo riskier currencies ko safe-haven assets, jaise yen, par preference deta hai, aur is wajah se yen weak raha hai. Strong US economic data ne Federal Reserve ke less accommodative approach ki expectations ko reinforce kiya hai, jis se US Treasury yields upar gaye hain aur dollar ki appeal increase hui hai. Mazeed deficit spending aur Donald Trump presidency ke potential concerns ne bhi dollar ko support kiya hai aur yen ki upside ko limited rakha hai.USD/JPY ne recently 200-day SMA aur 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (July-September decline) ko break kiya hai, jo bullish outlook ko strengthen karta hai. Yeh positive momentum pair ko 154.00 level tak push kar sakta hai aur shayad 154.35-154.40 supply zone tak bhi le jaaye. Aik further extension se 155.00 psychological level aur late July ke swing highs (155.20 ke qareeb) ka retest bhi ho sakta hai. Lekin daily chart par RSI overbought territory mein enter ho gaya hai, jo bullish traders ke liye caution ka signal hai. Near-term consolidation ya minor pullback se healthy correction aasakti hai pehle ke further upward moves dekhe jayen.
Summing up, yen ne thodi resilience dikhayi hai, lekin iska overall outlook bearish hi lagta hai. Japan mein uncertainty, strong US economy, aur rising US yields jese factors ka combination ab bhi US dollar ko favor karta hai. Traders ko overbought conditions aur potential near-term corrections ka khayal rakhna chahiye, lekin overall trend USD/JPY ke liye bullish hi hai.Mujhe lagta hai ke ab USD/JPY market mein sellers ke favor mein shift ho sakti hai. Yeh potential reversal pair ko 151.76 level tak drop kar sakta hai. Buyer aur seller forces ka interplay forex market ka aik fundamental aspect hai, aur in shifts ko recognize karna success ke liye crucial hai. Upcoming economic reports ke impact ko anticipate karte hue vigilant aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai. News ko closely monitor karne se market sentiment ka gauge milega aur strategies ko adjust karne mein asani hogi. Ek proactive approach se potential declines ya rebounds ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai. USD/JPY pair trading ke hawale se bohoton ka focal point raha hai, aur iske movements ko samajhna is hafte ke trading environment ko navigate karne ke liye key hoga. Concluding, buyers ne significant activity dikhayi hai, lekin potential downward shift towards 151.76 careful analysis aur timely decision-making ki importance ko underscore karta hai jab USD/JPY market trade ki jaye.