usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Jumay ko, USD/JPY pair ne $150.29 ka high hit kiya, jo ek ahem resistance level tha aur kaafi traders ka dehaan is par tha. Magar, agar hum haali haalat ko dekhein to price thoda pullback kar chuki hai aur ab 149.84 ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai. Is recent high se retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, aur market mein upward trend mein potential exhaustion ke signs nazar aane lagay hain. Meri rai mein, USD/JPY pair is time frame mein bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bearish trend ko confirm kar sakti hain.

Is chart ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair ka analysis kaafi interesting hai. Daily timeframe par yeh saaf dikhai de raha hai ke market ek bullish trend mein hai. Price ne recent dinon mein Moving Averages (MA) ke upar close kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne control apne haath mein le liya hai. Jo red line chart par dikhai de rahi hai, woh 50-period Moving Average hai, jab ke neeli line 100-period Moving Average ko show karti hai. Dono Moving Averages ke upar price ka trade karna yeh batata hai ke market mein abhi tak bullish momentum kaafi strong hai.

Price ab resistance zone ke qareeb hai, jo lagbhag 152.50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan price pehle bhi ruk gayi thi, lekin agar is dafa buyers zyada strong rahe, tou yeh level break ho sakta hai. Agar 152.50 ka level break hota hai, tou price agay aur upar ja sakti hai, aur next major resistance level 153.50 ya 154.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar price ko resistance peh reject kiya jata hai, tou ek correction expected hai. Neeche do strong support levels hain — pehla 148.70 par aur doosra 147.50 par. Agar price in levels tak wapas aati hai, tou wahan se bounce kaafi possible hai, kyun ke yeh levels strong buyer zones ke taur par kaam kar chuke hain.

Stochastic oscillator bhi is waqt overbought zone mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market temporarily thoda pause le sakta hai ya ek chhoti si downward correction dekh sakti hai. Lekin jab tak Moving Averages ke upar price ka movement rahega, market ki overall bullish trend intact rahegi.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, agar aap trade karna chahtay hain, tou price action ko closely dekhna zaroori hai. Agar price 152.50 ka resistance break kar deti hai, tou long trades kaafi faidemand ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh resistance hold karta hai, tou short-term downward correction ka intezar karna aur support levels ke qareeb buying ka sochna ek achi strategy ho sakti hai.

Trading ke doran hamesha apni risk management ko priority deni chahiye aur market ke trend ke mutabiq apne positions adjust karni chahiye.

Is chart ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair ka analysis kaafi interesting hai. Daily timeframe par yeh saaf dikhai de raha hai ke market ek bullish trend mein hai. Price ne recent dinon mein Moving Averages (MA) ke upar close kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne control apne haath mein le liya hai. Jo red line chart par dikhai de rahi hai, woh 50-period Moving Average hai, jab ke neeli line 100-period Moving Average ko show karti hai. Dono Moving Averages ke upar price ka trade karna yeh batata hai ke market mein abhi tak bullish momentum kaafi strong hai.

Price ab resistance zone ke qareeb hai, jo lagbhag 152.50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan price pehle bhi ruk gayi thi, lekin agar is dafa buyers zyada strong rahe, tou yeh level break ho sakta hai. Agar 152.50 ka level break hota hai, tou price agay aur upar ja sakti hai, aur next major resistance level 153.50 ya 154.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar price ko resistance peh reject kiya jata hai, tou ek correction expected hai. Neeche do strong support levels hain — pehla 148.70 par aur doosra 147.50 par. Agar price in levels tak wapas aati hai, tou wahan se bounce kaafi possible hai, kyun ke yeh levels strong buyer zones ke taur par kaam kar chuke hain.

Stochastic oscillator bhi is waqt overbought zone mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market temporarily thoda pause le sakta hai ya ek chhoti si downward correction dekh sakti hai. Lekin jab tak Moving Averages ke upar price ka movement rahega, market ki overall bullish trend intact rahegi.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, agar aap trade karna chahtay hain, tou price action ko closely dekhna zaroori hai. Agar price 152.50 ka resistance break kar deti hai, tou long trades kaafi faidemand ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh resistance hold karta hai, tou short-term downward correction ka intezar karna aur support levels ke qareeb buying ka sochna ek achi strategy ho sakti hai.

Trading ke doran hamesha apni risk management ko priority deni chahiye aur market ke trend ke mutabiq apne positions adjust karni chahiye.

USD/JPY

pair ka price action hamari guftagu ka markazi hissa hoga. Agar market khulne ke baad yeh pair apni neeche ki taraf movement jari rakhta hai, toh 140.62 ka volume level bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai aur 140.62 par demand ban jaati hai jo price ko mazeed girne se rokti hai, toh ek corrective pullback ka imkaan hai. Iss case mein, price 140.62 se recover karte hue 143.43 tak ja sakti hai, jahan bohot ziada accumulated trading volumes maujood hain. Yeh area resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai, aur agar price is resistance ko breach nahi karti, toh yeh ek reversal ka signal ho sakta hai jo price ko phir recent lows ke neeche le jaaye.

Market participants ko aane wale ghanton mein in levels par focus karna hoga. Forex neural networks ka technical analysis upward movement ki support karta hai, jo price ko resistance level 143.61 tak pohanchane ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Buyers ke pass momentum hai, jo price ko mazid barhawa de sakta hai, aur yeh primary scenario ho sakta hai.

Asian trading session mein khaas tor par Friday ko kaafi volatility dekhi gayi, jab yen ne taqat hasil ki, Japan ke naye prime minister ke dobara election jeetne ke baad. Naye hukoomat ki policies abhi tak wazeh nahi hain, lekin initial market reaction yen ke liye positive raha. USD/JPY pair ne bhi is trend ko follow kiya aur 146.51 resistance level se gir kar 143.01 ke support par aa gaya. Yeh girawat lagbhag 350 points ki thi, aur phir price 142.01 tak mazeed 100 points neeche gir gaya.

Friday ko market band hone par price 142.19 par settle hui, jab Monday ko opening 143.92 par hui thi, is dauran total 173 points ka nuqsan record kiya gaya. Yeh hafta relatively calm tha, lekin Friday ki volatility ne market ko hila kar rakh diya. Halankeh pehle yen ko ek safe-haven currency ke tor par samjha jata tha, lekin ab yeh kaafi unpredictable hoti ja rahi hai. Technical analysis is baat ki nishani deta hai ke ek aur decline ho sakti hai jo price ko 140.01 tak ya us se bhi neeche le jaaye.

Mazid harqat par close nazar rakhna zaroori hai kyunke market ka mood har waqt badal sakta hai.

chart ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair ka analysis kaafi interesting hai. Daily timeframe par yeh saaf dikhai de raha hai ke market ek bullish trend mein hai. Price ne recent dinon mein Moving Averages (MA) ke upar close kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne control apne haath mein le liya hai. Jo red line chart par dikhai de rahi hai, woh 50-period Moving Average hai, jab ke neeli line 100-period Moving Average ko show karti hai. Dono Moving Averages ke upar price ka trade karna yeh batata hai ke market mein abhi tak bullish momentum kaafi strong hai.
Price ab resistance zone ke qareeb hai, jo lagbhag 152.50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan price pehle bhi ruk gayi thi, lekin agar is dafa buyers zyada strong rahe, tou yeh level break ho sakta hai. Agar 152.50 ka level break hota hai, tou price agay aur upar ja sakti hai, aur next major resistance level 153.50 ya 154.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar price ko resistance peh reject kiya jata hai, tou ek correction expected hai. Neeche do strong support levels hain — pehla 148.70 par aur doosra 147.50 par. Agar price in levels tak wapas aati hai, tou wahan se bounce kaafi possible hai, kyun ke yeh levels strong buyer zones ke taur par kaam kar chuke hain.

Stochastic oscillator bhi is waqt overbought zone mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market temporarily thoda pause le sakta hai ya ek chhoti si downward correction dekh sakti hai. Lekin jab tak Moving Averages ke upar price ka movement rahega, market ki overall bullish trend intact rahegi.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, agar aap trade karna chahtay hain, tou price action ko closely dekhna zaroori hai. Agar price 152.50 ka resistance break kar deti hai, tou long trades kaafi faidemand ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh resistance hold karta hai, tou short-term downward correction ka intezar karna aur support levels ke qareeb buying ka sochna ek achi strategy ho sakti hai.

Trading ke doran hamesha apni risk management ko priority deni chahiye aur market ke trend ke mutabiq apne positions adjust karni chahiye.

chart ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair ka analysis kaafi interesting hai. Daily timeframe par yeh saaf dikhai de raha hai ke market ek bullish trend mein hai. Price ne recent dinon mein Moving Averages (MA) ke upar close kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne control apne haath mein le liya hai. Jo red line chart par dikhai de rahi hai, woh 50-period Moving Average hai, jab ke neeli line 100-period Moving Average ko show karti hai. Dono Moving Averages ke upar price ka trade karna yeh batata hai ke market mein abhi tak bullish momentum kaafi strong hai.

Price ab resistance zone ke qareeb hai, jo lagbhag 152.50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh woh level hai jahan price pehle bhi ruk gayi thi, lekin agar is dafa buyers zyada strong rahe, tou yeh level break ho sakta hai. Agar 152.50 ka level break hota hai, tou price agay aur upar ja sakti hai, aur next major resistance level 153.50 ya 154.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar price ko resistance peh reject kiya jata hai, tou ek correction expected hai. Neeche do strong support levels hain — pehla 148.70 par aur doosra 147.50 par. Agar price in levels tak wapas aati hai, tou wahan se bounce kaafi possible hai, kyun ke yeh levels strong buyer zones ke taur par kaam kar chuke hain.

Stochastic oscillator bhi is waqt overbought zone mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market temporarily thoda pause le sakta hai ya ek chhoti si downward correction dekh sakti hai. Lekin jab tak Moving Averages ke upar price ka movement rahega, market ki overall bullish trend intact rahegi.

Is analysis ke mutabiq, agar aap trade karna chahtay hain, tou price action ko closely dekhna zaroori hai. Agar price 152.50 ka resistance break kar deti hai, tou long trades kaafi faidemand ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh resistance hold karta hai, tou short-term downward correction ka intezar karna aur support levels ke qareeb buying ka sochna ek achi strategy ho sakti hai.

Trading ke doran hamesha apni risk management ko priority deni chahiye aur market ke trend ke mutabiq apne positions adjust karni chahiye.

USD/JPY ka H1 (1-hour) timeframe lag raha hai. Chart par price 152.068 par trade kar raha hai, aur hum dekh sakte hain ke price ne recently ek strong bullish rally ki hai, jo resistance level ke kareeb hai. Analysis:
Chart mein ek significant support zone dikh raha hai jo 149.760 se 150.545 ke aas paas hai. Yeh area pehle resistance ka kaam kar raha tha, magar ab price ne isey break kar ke upar move kiya hai, aur yeh ab support zone ban gaya hai. Aksar hota yeh hai ke jab price is tarah ka important zone cross karta hai, toh wahan se price pullback karta hai aur phir is support zone ko test karta hai.

RSI indicator bhi humein kuch clues de raha hai. RSI ka value 85.99 par hai, jo overbought zone ko indicate karta hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price bohot zyada upar ja chuka hai aur ab correction ka chance hai. Aam tor par jab RSI itna high hota hai, toh price short-term mein thoda niche aa sakta hai, jese ke hum chart pe black arrow se predict kar rahe hain.
Price Action:
Haal ke price action ko dekhte hue, yeh likely hai ke price 152.068 se thoda niche correct kare, aur phir se support zone 150.545-149.760 ko test kare. Agar yeh zone successfully hold karta hai, toh wapas se ek bullish bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Agar price ne yeh support zone ko break kiya, toh agli bearish target levels 149.760 ke niche ho sakti hain, jo ke sellers ke liye ek achi entry point ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price yeh support hold karta hai, toh buyers ke liye wapas upward move ka intezaar ho sakta hai.

Conclusion:
Filhal market overbought hai aur short-term correction ki umeed hai. Buyers ko support zone ka test dekhna chahiye aur wahan se bounce pe buy karne ka sochna chahiye, jabke sellers ko yeh zone break hone ka intezaar karna chahiye. Proper risk management aur market conditions ko samajhna zaroori hai, kyunke market unpredictable hota hai.

/JPY ke 4-hour (H4) chart ke mutabiq, humein dekhne ko mil raha hai ke market abhi ek strong bullish trend mein hai. Price ne recently apne resistance zone ko break kiya hai, jo ke 151.33 aur 152.31 ke darmiyan tha. Abhi price 152.87 pe trade ho rahi hai, aur yeh movement suggest karti hai ke market mein buyers ka control mazid barh raha hai. Chart pe multiple moving averages nazar aa rahe hain, jo sab upwards direction mein hain. Yeh moving averages humein yeh bata rahe hain ke short-term aur long-term dono trends bullish hain. Iska matlab hai ke USD/JPY ka price abhi mazid barhne ke chances zyada hain. Yellow aur white lines ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke yeh short aur long-term moving averages hain, aur jab yeh dono upward ja rahe hote hain, to market mein buying pressure hota hai.
Price ke neeche kuch important support levels bhi nazar aa rahe hain. Sabse qareebi support level 149.97 ke qareeb hai, aur uske baad 147.27 aur 145.24 pe major support zones hain. Agar price mein koi pullback ya correction aata hai, to yeh levels important honge buyers ke liye. Stochastic oscillator jo chart ke neeche hai, wo overbought zone mein hai, jahan iska value 92.32 ke qareeb hai. Yeh indicator humein yeh bata raha hai ke market mein buying saturation ho sakti hai, yaani price abhi temporarily high point pe hai aur thoda pullback aasakta hai. Magar abhi tak koi strong sell signal nahi hai, isliye trend ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke price mazid barhne ka potential rakhti hai.

Agar aap trade kar rahe hain, to overbought condition ko dekhte hue cautious rahna chahiye. Price ne resistance zone ko break kiya hai, isliye agar market correction hoti hai, to yeh buyers ke liye ek acha entry point ho sakta hai. Magar agar price neeche ke support levels ko break karti hai, to trend change ke signals bhi aa sakte hain. Akhir mein, yeh chart humein ek bullish scenario dikhata hai, lekin overbought conditions aur stochastic indicator k

buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein . Ye setup ek mazid strong bullish movement ke potential ko dikhata hai. Ab tak, bullish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko break kar diya hai, aur meri umeed hai ke is hafte MA 200 ko bhi break karega. Agar aisa hota hai to ye confirm karega ke USD/JPY ka trend officially bearish se bullish mein shift ho gaya hai. Is daur mein buy options par tawajju dena samajhdari hogi kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe par MA 200 ko break karega, jo trend reversal ko confirm karega. H4 timeframe mein bullish movements ka ghalib hona ek solid bullish trend pattern ko janam de raha ha

USD/JPY ka H1 (hourly) chart hai, jahan humein current price 150.88 ke aas-paas trade karti hui nazar aa rahi hai. Chart mein bullish momentum kaafi strong lag raha hai, kyunki price ne upward move banaya hai aur ab resistance level ke qareeb aa gayi hai, jo 151.00 ke aas-paas hai. Is waqt market buyers ke control mein hai, lekin kuch retracement ki expectation bhi hai. Chart pe ek red horizontal line draw ki gayi hai jo 150.32 ka support level show karti hai. Yeh support level kaafi important hai, kyunki agar market wahan se bounce karti hai, to ek bullish continuation ho sakti hai. Arrow se dikhaya gaya pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke price pehle resistance ko test kar sakti hai, phir wahan se thoda pullback lekar 150.32 ka support test kar sakti hai, aur wahan se dubara upar ja kar 151.00 ka level todne ki koshish karegi.Moving average (red line) kaafi aham signal hai, jo overall market ka trend bata raha hai. Is waqt price moving average ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo yeh show karta hai ke buyers abhi tak strong hain. Jab tak price moving average ke upar rehti hai, bullish trend intact rahega. Agar moving average ke neeche close hoti hai, to market ka direction weak ho sakta hai. Is chart mein volume bhi nazar aa raha hai, jo market ki strength aur interest ko dikhata hai. Neeche humein green aur red bars dikhayi de rahi hain. Jab price ne apni latest bullish move ki thi, tab green bars kaafi prominent thi, jo strong buying pressure ko reflect karti hain. Jab tak volume high hai aur price upar jata hai, market ka trend bullish reh sakta hai. Lekin agar volume kam hota hai aur price upar nahi ja sakti, to market mein weakness aa sakti hai.Is chart ka overall conclusion yeh hai ke market abhi bullish lag rahi hai, lekin 151.00 ka resistance kaafi critical hoga. Agar price is level ko todti hai, to next bullish wave dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Agar market retracement leti hai aur 150.32 ka support hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh support level toot jata hai, to market ka trend change ho sakta hai aur selling pressure increase ho sakta hai.Market participants ko support aur resistance levels par close monitoring karni chahiye, taake wo future price movements ka andaza laga sakein

USDJPY Trading Analysis: MACD aur Fibonacci ke Ishare



D1 period chart ka dobara jaiza lete hain, USDJPY trading instrument ka. MACD indicator upar ke zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar barh raha hai, jahan pe descending wave structure pehle hi break ho chuki hai. Pehle, jo descending line aur horizontal resistance level tha 145.00 par, jo closing prices par bana tha, woh upwards break ho gaya. Ye halat ab growth ke haqq mein ho chuki hain, aur MACD indicator ke mutabiq bullish divergence ko ab work out kiya ja raha hai, jo pehle yahan bana tha, aur wedge bhi is point par tha.

Descending Wave aur Fibonacci Levels

September ke aakhri dino mein jo downward rollback tha, usay doosri wave kaha ja sakta hai. Agar hum target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par lagayein, toh ek potential growth ka target dikhayi deta hai - jo ke 161.8 level hai is grid ke mutabiq, jo pehle work out ho chuka hai. Us ke baad price aur upar barh gayi aur resistance level 152.87 ko chhoo liya gaya. Is se upar bhi ek 200 ka level hai target Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq. Is area mein main expect kar raha hoon ke purchase ke liye positions ko fix kiya jayega aur ek rollback pehli short support line tak dekhne ko milega jo neeche pass ho rahi hai.









Price Break aur Decline Expectations

Agar yeh support line break ho gayi, toh phir 137.03 ka level tak decline develop hota nazar aayega. CCI indicator jo use kiya gaya hai, phir se upper overheating zone mein chala gaya hai. Mera khayal hai ke yahan hume shorter periods par sale formations ka intezaar karna chahiye, halan ke abhi tak yeh wahan nahi aaye hain. Ab is peak par buy karna kaafi bekaar hai, kyonke is waqt growth ka potential pehle jaisa nahi raha.

Market Correction ki Aamad

General taur par, market mein doosri badi currencies pehle hi US dollar ki lambi strengthening ke baad kaafi correction signals de chuki hain. Mufassil analysis ki buniyad par abhi sirf sale formations intraday work ke liye consider ki ja rahi hain. Jo bhi upward movements hain, unhe ignore karna chahiye, kyunke growth ko work out karne ka potential pehle jaisa nahi raha. Market ke top par ab trampling shuru ho chuki hai, aur ek correction qarib hai.
Yeh comprehensive review dikhata hai ke USDJPY ke liye filhal sirf sale opportunities ko dekhna zyada munasib hoga, jab ke upward trends ko ignore karna hoga, kyunke growth ka period ab us level par nahi raha.

USD/JPY pair ne recently strong bullish momentum dikhayi, jisme 150.65 ke key confluence level aur 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko break kar diya gaya hai. Is upward move ne bullish traders ko kaafi energize kiya hai, lekin resistance 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke qareeb, yani 153.20 mark par, saamne aayi hai jo ke July-September decline ka retracement hai. Halanki, is pause ke bawajood, US dollar ka overall outlook favorable lag raha hai, khas tor par US Treasury yields ke barhne aur Federal Reserve ki dheemi monetary policy easing ki wajah se.Japan mein aane wale general elections ke sath siyasi uncertainty bhi ek factor ban raha hai. Pehle ke surveys yeh dikhate hain ke ruling Liberal Democratic Party apni majority kho sakti hai, jo political stability aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy ke future direction par shak dal raha hai. In uncertainties ki wajah se yen ki strength ke chances kam ho gaye hain, khas tor par ek mazboot US dollar ke against.Technical standpoint se dekha jaye to, agar 153.20 resistance ka decisively break hota hai, to yeh pair ke uptrend ko extend kar sakta hai, jisse price 154.00 aur 154.30 supply zone tak jaa sakti hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rahti hai, to yeh pair aur bhi higher levels test kar sakti hai, jisme 154.75 horizontal resistance, psychological 155.00 mark, aur July 30 ka swing high 155.20 region ke aas paas included hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 152.00 support level ke neeche break karti hai, to short-term pullback ka trigger ho sakta hai, jisme pair intermediate support 151.45-151.40 aur shayad 151.00 zone tak pohanch sakti hai.Iske bawajood, yeh retracement buying opportunities de sakti hai, kyun ke 150.65 ka confluence level ab strong support ban gaya hai, jo renewed bullish momentum ke liye ek solid base ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar price is level ke neeche jaane mein kamiyab hoti hai, to near-term bias bearish traders ke favor mein shift ho sakta hai.Given the prevailing bullish sentiment for the US dollar, jo geopolitical factors aur US economic strength se support ho rahi hai, traders ko yeh key technical levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

USD/JPY karansi pair ne do din se musalsal positive rukh ikhtiyar kar liya hai, jabke pehle Asian session ke dauran yeh 153.00 region tak gir gaya tha. Abhi yeh mid-153.00s ke qareeb halki si positive bias ke sath trade kar raha hai, lekin ab tak ismein mazboot bullish momentum ka fuqdan hai. Guzishta haftay ke aik maheenay ke low ke qareeb hone ke bawajood, yeh pair abhi bhi complex market sentiment ko zahir kar raha hai, jo ke global economic factors ki wajah se hai.USD/JPY ki harkat Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies se mutasir ho rahi hai. US Treasury bonds (UST) aur Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) ke darmiyan narrowing yield differential ki wajah se pair par dabaao barqarar hai, jo ke qareebi waqt mein anjaam ki taraf nahin dikh raha. Tajir agle economic data releases aur central bank speeches par barah-e-raast nigah rakh rahe hain taake monetary policy ke future direction ka pata chal sake, jo ke USD/JPY ke aindah harakat ka faisla karegi.Aik aham baat San Francisco Federal Reserve ki President Mary Daly ke halia comments hain, jo rate cut ke imkaan par di gayi. Unhoon ne kaha ke inflation gir rahi hai aur US economy slow ho rahi hai, magar kisi bhi rate cut ki magnitude abhi tak wazeh nahi hai. Daly ka bayan AI ke zariye neutral rate kiya gaya, jo 3.6 score ke sath hawkish aur dovish ke darmiyan tha, aur yeh ambiguity market ko rate cuts ke hawalay se ghaflat mein dal rahi hai. Yeh uncertainty Fed ke stance ko mutasir kar rahi hai jo USD/JPY pair ki performance par asar daal rahi hai.Doosri taraf, BoJ ne ek martaba phir apni readiness zahir ki ke agar economic aur price conditions mutabiq rahin to woh rate barhane ke liye tayar hain. Yeh Japan ki monetary policy mein dheemay dheemay tightening ki gunjaish ko zahir karta hai. Nateeja yeh hai ke UST aur JGB ke darmiyan narrowing yield differential USD/JPY pair ko mazeed neeche lay sakta hai.

Technically, spot prices ne abhi haali mein aik significant multi-year trendline tor di hai, jo long-term downtrend ke kamzor hone ki nishandahi kar raha hai. Magar is reversal ko tasdeeq ke liye zaroori hoga ke yeh pair 151.69 ke resistance level ko daily ya weekly chart par toray aur uske upar close kare. Jab tak aisa nahi hota, pair ki momentum uncertain rahegi, aur yeh neeche ke dabaao ke neeche rehega.Momentum indicators, khaaskar Relative Strength Index (RSI), abhi neeche ki taraf ishara de rahe hain, jo ke downward pressure ka izafa zahir karte hain. RSI ki trajectory yeh zahir karti hai ke haali downtrend mazeed barqarar reh sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair par bearish sentiment ko mazid mazboot kar raha hai. Yeh is baat ke mutabiq hai ke US dollar ke kamzor hone ka khauf hai, khaaskar agar US interest rate policy ke hawalay se umeedein tabdeel hoti hain. Agar downtrend jari rehta hai, to traders agle sessions mein mazeed neeche ke targets dekh sakte hain.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi 200 pips se badh kar 153.14 ki muzahmati satah par pahunch gayi, jis ke bad bears ne morcha sambhala aur qimat ko niche khinch liya. Aaj, 151.73 ki support satah ko nishana banate hue, farokht karne walon ka market pae ghalbah qayam hai. Agar qimat is satah ko tod deti hai to, farokht ka signal paida hoga. Agar is tarah ki kami sirf ek pullback hai to, 151.73 ki support satah se ooper ek kharid signal paida hoga. Yaqinan, qimat ke support satah tak pahunchne se pahle ek tezi se reversal ho sakta hai. Aham bat yah hai keh dollar/yen ke jode ne ooper ki raftar hasil kar li hai aur is bat ke aasar hain keh ooper ka rujhan jari rahega.

EUR/USD pair jo filhal 1.0940 level ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, bearish direction mein trend kar rahi hai. Market ne hal hi mein dheemi harkat dikhayi hai, jo ke traders ke taraf se uncertainty ko reflect karti hai jab wo mukhtalif macroeconomic factors ka jaiza le rahe hain. Lekin, bohot se analysts aur market participants anticipate kar rahe hain ke agle chand dino mein ek significant move aa sakti hai, jo ke fundamental aur technical drivers ka mix hoga.

Fundamental side par dekha jaye toh, EUR/USD kaafi had tak Eurozone aur United States ke darmiyan economic performance aur monetary policies ke farq se mutasir hoti hai. Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance ek key factor hai. Agar U.S. economy achi performance dikhati rahi aur inflation ek concern bana rehta hai, toh Fed apna hawkish stance barqarar rakhega, jo dollar ko strong kar sakta hai aur euro par pressure daal sakta hai. Lekin agar U.S. economy mein kisi slowdown ke asaar dikhai dete hain ya Fed se dovish signals milte hain, toh dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur euro ko kuch support mil sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) bhi apne challenges ka samna kar raha hai, jaise ke slow economic growth aur persistent inflation. Agar ECB interest rates ko stable rakhta hai ya economic slowdown ke hawale se rate cuts ka sochta hai, toh euro par neeche ka pressure barh sakta hai, jo bearish trend ko support karega. Lekin, agar ECB se unexpected tightening hoti hai, toh EUR/USD ke trend mein ek reversal aa sakta hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, 1.0940 ka level ek critical support point ban sakta hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche decisively break karta hai, toh ek zyada pronounced bearish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Wahi agar yeh is level ke upar hold karta hai, toh hum ek rebound dekh sakte hain jo ek potential rally ko janam de sakti hai. Traders support aur resistance levels ko ghore se dekhenge takay wo apne positions ke entry aur exit points ko pehchan sakein.

Mazid, ane wali economic data, jaise ke U.S. jobs reports, dono regions ka inflation data aur central bank meetings, agle bade move ke catalysts banenge. Market participants ko tayar rehna chahiye ke jab yeh events unfold honge, volatility barh sakti hai. Aakhri mein, jab ke EUR/USD abhi dheere chal rahi hai, strong indications hain ke ek significant price movement ho sakti hai, jo macroeconomic developments aur market sentiment se mutasir hogi. Traders ko is volatile period mein cautious aur vigilant rehna chahiye jab wo apne trades ko samjhdari se handle kar rahe hain.