usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action analysis hamare is discussion ka markazi point hai. Daily chart par, maujooda surat-e-haal pehle ke resistance level ke upar breakout dikhati hai, jahan buying threshold 146.01 par tay ki gayi hai. Lekin, abhi tak koi selling threshold nazar nahi aayi. Is context ko dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke price buying level ki taraf potential downward correction dekh sakta hai, jo ongoing trend ke saath purchase ka mauqa faraham karega.
Correction phase shayad USD/JPY currency pair ke liye khatam ho chuka hai. Price 139 mark se rebound hui, bullish engulfing pattern bana, aur ab hum doosri growth wave dekh rahe hain. Price ne Friday ko Ichimoku Cloud mein entry ki, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan intense battle ka ishara hai. Upar ki taraf trend ko confirm karne ke liye 149.02 par breakthrough zaroori hai, uske baad price Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary ki taraf barh sakti hai aur shayad 153.04 ka level bhi test kar sakti hai.

Jabke US Dollar ko challenges ka samna hai, Japanese Yen (JPY) ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se zyada aggressive moves ki umeed se support mil raha hai. BoJ ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ne dohraaya ke central bank apni monetary easing policies ko tab adjust karega jab economic activity aur prices unki projections ke saath milti hain. Is wajah se Yen kaafi strong bana hua hai, kyunki markets BoJ se agle rate hikes ki umeed kar rahe hain, khaas tor par Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ke liye jo August ke liye steady inflation growth, fresh food ko chhod kar, 2.2% dikhane ki umeed hai.

Federal Reserve ke officials ke recent remarks ne US Dollar par pressure dal diya hai, aur market sentiment, jo Fed Tool ke zariye dikhai de raha hai, September mein 25 basis point rate cut ki sambhavana ko already factor in kar raha hai. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, jo aksar hawkish rehte hain, ne sujhav diya ke shayad ab monetary policy ko ease karne ka waqt aa gaya hai, jo ke cooling inflation aur higher-than-expected unemployment ki taraf ishara karta hai. Iske bawajood, Bostic ehtiyaat barat rahe hain, aur kisi bhi policy shift ko support karne se pehle agle jobs aur inflation data ka intezaar karne ka faisla kiya hai.

USD/JPY Ki Haalati Jaiza
Hamare jaari jaiza ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ki recent price movements aik upar ki taraf jhoka dikhati hain. Ye pair haal hi mein 141.51 ke ahm support level se upar aaya hai, jo ke naya bullish jazba dikhata hai. Pichle chand hafton mein, USD/JPY ne mazbooti se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya hai jab ke ye key resistance levels ko test kar raha hai.
USD/JPY ka 148.04 se upar nikalna is pair ki bullish momentum ke liye bohot zaroori hai. Agar ye level tod diya jata hai, to traders agle upar ke movement ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain. Agla target 148.72 bilkul theek nazar aata hai, jo ke haal ki trend ke mutabiq hai. Traders ko 147.40 par stop-loss lagana zaroori hai taake wo apne risk ko behtar tor par manage kar saken. Ye stop-loss level haal ki price action ke thoda neeche rakha gaya hai, jo market ke retrace hone par cushion faraham karega. Agar USD/JPY ka rally jaari rahta hai aur ye 148.72 ko successfully clear karta hai, to 149.33 ka target bhi mumkin hai. Ye level sirf ek psychological milestone nahi balki technical analysis ke mutabiq bhi aage ke faide ki sambhavanayein dikhata hai. Traders jo 148.04 se upar ke confirmed breakout ke baad long positions lete hain, unhe ye target hasil karna aasaan lag sakta hai, utsalar agar broader market mein bullish sentiment bana rahe.

Price Movement aur Breakout Ki Sambhavnayein

141.51 se upar aate hi, pair ne bullish outlook ke liye ek buniyad di hai. Lekin 148.04 ka resistance point abhi bhi aik bada rukawat hai, jo further upward movement ko rok raha hai. Agar USD/JPY is level ko todne mein kaamyaab hota hai, to humein 148.72 ki taraf price movement mein tez ravaani dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is surat mein, traders ko 147.40 par stop-loss tay karna chahiye, jo unke risk ko effectively manage karne mein madadgar hoga.

Targeting aur Technical Indicators

Agar USD/JPY 148.72 ko clear kar leta hai, to 149.33 tak pohanchne ki sambhavna hai, jo aik psychological milestone hai. Technical analysis bhi ye dikhata hai ke is target tak pohanchna mumkin hai. Lekin market correction ki bhi sambhavnayein hain, jo 149.33 par selling pressure ko janam de sakti hain aur price ko 146.2 tak le ja sakti hain. Ye correction traders ko lower price point par long positions enter karne ka mauqa de sakti hai. Technical indicators jese ke moving averages aur RSI bhi bullish outlook ko support karte hain, jo ye darust karta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye upar ki taraf aur growth ki sambhavnayein hain

USD/JPY apne earnings ko retrace karte hue Monday ke Asian trading mein 149.00 ke upar mazbooti se qaim hai. Yeh pair nayi quwwat se milta hai, kyunke bazaar mein geopolitical tensions ke dar ke saath ehtiyaati trading ho rahi hai. Magar, Japan aur US ke darmiyan US dollar ki quwwat ke sabab yeh tension kam ho sakti hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh pichle hafte 50-day simple moving average ke upar pehli dafa mid-July ke baad se move aur July-September Fibonacci retracement ke 38.2% level se upar rehna bulls ke haq mein hai. Sath hi, oscillators bhi daily chart par positive traction gain kar rahe hain aur abhi overbought zone se door hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY pair ka raasta downside ki taraf kamzor hai.

Isliye, agar koi agla decline hota hai, toh nayi buying ko attract karne ka zyada chance hai, aur yeh girawat 148.00 mark ke qareeb limited rehni chahiye. Yeh mark ek crucial point ke taur par kaam karega, jo agar break ho gaya, toh technical selling ka signal milega aur USD/JPY pair ko 147.00 mark aur 146.50 area tak le ja sakta hai, jahan 147.35 intermediate support hai. Doosri taraf, 149.00 ka round figure ab foran ek resistance ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, jo overnight high ke qareeb 149.55-149.60 region tak hai. Iske upar bulls ka target 150.00 psychological mark ko wapas haasil karna hoga, jisse momentum mazeed barh kar 150.75-150.80 region ke 50% Fibo level tak pohanch sakta hai.

Japanese yen ne apne US counterpart ke muqable mein Friday ko girawat dekhi, jo August ke aghaz ke baad se apne sabse neeche level se recovery ko kaat diya. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke financial policy par blunt comments ke saath, Japan ki real wages mein teen mahine mein pehli baar girawat dekhi gayi, domestic spending slow hui, aur raw material ke costs mein pressure kam hone ke asar dikh rahe hain. Yeh sab Bank of Japan ke rate hike plans par shak paida karte hain. Yeh wajah se JPY kamzor hota hai aur USD/JPY pair ko kuch neeche se buyers ka support milta hai, jabke US dollar mein thoda si rise hai.

Ise ke saath, yakiniyat hai ke Federal Reserve interest rates mein cut karega kyunke labor market ke weakness ke asaar hain, lekin traders ne aggressive policy easing ka prospect rule out kar diya hai. Yeh USD ke near two-month peak se corrective withdrawal ko limit karne mein madad karta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko kuch support deta hai. Halankeh, ek softer risk tone safe-haven JPY ke losses ko limit karta hai aur currency pair ko US Producer Price Index ke data ke aage limit kar sakta hai. Magar, fundamental backdrop yeh suggest karta hai ke spot prices ka raasta downside ki taraf hai.

JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain. Short-term interest rate swaps market mein December policy meeting par 25 basis point hike ke sirf 30% chances hain USD/JPY pair Asian session ke dauran ek chhoti trading range mein navigate kar raha hai, aur pichlay din ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Hal hi mein Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, khaaskar Monday ko. Yeh tabdeeli ziada tar uss wajah se hai ke market Federal Reserve ke aanay wale meeting ke hawalay se intezaar kar raha hai, jo Wednesday ko mutawaqqa hai. Traders in developments ko qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh pair ke direction ko asar kar sakte hain. Bunyadi tor par Yen ke liye outlook mazboot lagta hai. Hal hi ke data ne currency ki high demand zahir ki, khaaskar Japan ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) August mein 3.0% YoY barh gaya, jo ke October 2023 ke baad se sabse ziada hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy par

USD/JPY Price Move

Chaliye usd/jpy currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis karte hain. USD/JPY pair hourly chart par ek uptrend dikhata hai, jahan price 133-period moving average ke upar rehta hai, jo bullish movement ko confirm karta hai. Magar, chhoti time frame par price 133-period moving average ke neeche close ho raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke primary uptrend ke andar ek potential correction ho sakti hai. Price agar 148.01 level ke upar consolidate karta hai, tab long positions lene ka waqt samjha ja sakta hai. Ek alternative selling opportunity tab paida hoti hai jab price 145.16 ke neeche close karta hai. Lekin, hourly chart par established uptrend ke andar buying hi favored strategy rahegi. Aaj USD/JPY pair mein buying sentiment bohot strong hai, kyun ke order book zyada tar buyers ke haq mein hai.

Trend ab bhi bullish hai, aur upward momentum bulls ko favor kar raha hai. Bulls ne apni strength dikhayi hai, har support level par market ko consistently upar push kiya hai, jo bullish trend ko drive kar raha hai. Agar yeh behavior barqarar rehta hai, toh hum ek solid bullish wave ki tawaqo kar sakte hain jo USD/JPY ke liye 149.05 tak target karegi, jo ek critical resistance level hai. Halankeh dauran girawat ke saath lows upar uth rahe hain, primary support level 147.12 ko hold karna zaroori hai taake upward movement barqarar rahe. Correction ka hona USD/JPY ke liye mumkin tha, lekin main agay further growth ke liye optimistic hoon. Iss waqt pair EMA8 par 147.11 aur EMA20 par 147.41 ke darmiyan trade kar raha hai. Main expect karta hoon ke yeh range se breakout hoga aur price 149.81 tak pohonchega. Agar downward movement ko continue karna hai, toh pair ko support breach karna hoga, jisse EMA50 par 146 aur EMA200 par 145.21 ke darmiyan buy zone tak ka rasta khul jata hai.

USDJPY currency pair ka M30 timeframe pe achi signal mil chuki hai, aur ab waqt hai ke iski tafseelat ka jaiza liya jaye. USDJPY ki qeemat resistance level se upar chali gayi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne market par qabza kar liya hai. USDJPY ki qeemat ka barhna aur higher low ka banna yeh zahir karta hai ke ab ka lowest price 149.224 pehle ke lowest price 149.164 se zyada hai. Is harkat se yeh andaza hota hai ke USDJPY ab ek uptrend mein hai, aur yeh waqt hai ke buying opportunities dhoondhi jayein.

USDJPY ki qeemat mein izafa abhi tak base supply level se ruk gaya hai. Filhal, USDJPY ki qeemat upper Bollinger bands ke ird gird move kar rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke qeemat ab neeche middle Bollinger bands ki taraf ja sakti hai. USDJPY ke significant izafa ne isko overbought bana diya hai, aur Stochastic Oscillator ne level 80 ko touch kar liya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke ab qeemat neeche level 20 ki taraf move karegi. Bollinger Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator indicators ka istemal karte hue, yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke USDJPY ki qeemat neeche jaayegi.

USDJPY ki price analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, yeh trend ke sath upar jaayegi. Lekin, agar aap yeh samajhte hain ke USDJPY ki qeemat mazeed barhegi, toh bhi foran buy transaction nahi karna chahiye. Sabar karein aur USDJPY ki qeemat ko base demand zone tak girne ka intizar karein taake aap behtareen price pe entry le sakein. Jab bullish pinbar ya engulfing candle ka confirmation milay jiska candle body base demand ke upar ho, tab hi buying karein. Loss ka limit 149.223 pe rakhein, jo ke base demand ke neeche hona chahiye, aur take profit 149.866 par, jo ke base supply ke neeche ek fresh zone hai. Agar USDJPY ki qeemat base demand se neeche gir jati hai, toh buy signal expire ho chuka hoga, kyun ke is se trend reversal ka ishara milega.

Agar USDJPY ki qeemat base demand ko touch kiye baghair foran upar chalti hai, toh aapko foran buy karne ki zaroorat nahi hai kyun ke yeh technical requirements puri nahi karta. Aap sell limit pending order laga sakte hain 149.866 pe jo ke base supply ke neeche ho, kyun ke ab USDJPY overbought hai. Loss limit ko 149.993 pe rakhein jo ke base supply ke upar ho, aur take profit ko 149.363 par set karein jo ke base demand ke upar hai.

mein economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy shifts shaamil hain. U.S. dollar ki taqat traders ke liye aik ahem nuqta raha hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ne aik hawkish stance qaim rakha, ye ishara dete hue ke interest rates lambay arsay tak buland reh sakte hain. Is ne dollar ko doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid taqat di, jisme yen bhi shaamil hai. Is ke baraks, Bank of Japan apni accommodative monetary policy jari rakhey hue hai, jisme ultra-low interest rates shamil hain, jo economic growth ko barhawa dene ke liye hain. Ye monetary policy ka ikhtilaaf dollar ki taqat mein izafa karta hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat ke liye acha mahaul faraham karta hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, EMA8 aur EMA20 ke darmiyan jo abhi trading range hai, woh aik consolidation phase ki nishani hai, jo aksar kisi bade price movement se pehle dekhi jaati hai. EMA8 jo 147.11 par hai, wo immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai, jabke EMA20 jo 147.41 par hai, wo resistance ka kaam de raha hai. Agar is range ke upar breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko zahir karega aur 149.81 ka target hasil ho sakta hai. Yeh target khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh key psychological levels aur pehle ke resistance areas ke saath milta hai.Is breakout ko hasil karne ke liye, market sentiment ko dollar ke liye optimistic rehna hoga. Agar economic indicators, jaise ke employment data ya inflation reports, U.S. economy ki taqat ko zahir karti hain, to traders is par positively react karenge, jo USD/JPY ko upar le jaane mein madadgar hoga. Is ke ilawa, agar Japanese economy mein kamzori ke koi asar nazar aate hain ya Bank of Japan apni policies taper karne ka ishara deti hai, to yeh bhi pair ke bullish outlook ko barhawa de sakta hai.Lekin bearish scenario ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Agar downward movement hona hai, to pair ko EMA8 aur EMA20 ke banaye hue support levels ko breach karna hoga. Agar price EMA20 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai aur price ko EMA50 jo 146 par hai, aur EMA200 jo 145.21 par hai, ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Ye levels critical support areas ko represent karte hain, aur traders inhein buy zones ke taur par dekhte hain. Agar price in levels ke upar qaim nahi reh pata, to yeh current trend ke reversal ka ishara de sakta hai, jo traders

khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ne aik hawkish stance qaim rakha, ye ishara dete hue ke interest rates lambay arsay tak buland reh sakte hain. Is ne dollar ko doosri currencies ke muqable mein mazid taqat di, jisme yen bhi shaamil hai. Is ke baraks, Bank of Japan apni accommodative monetary policy jari rakhey hue hai, jisme ultra-low interest rates shamil hain, jo economic growth ko barhawa dene ke liye hain. Ye monetary policy ka ikhtilaaf dollar ki taqat mein izafa karta hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat ke liye acha mahaul faraham karta hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, EMA8 aur EMA20 ke darmiyan jo abhi trading range hai, woh aik consolidation phase ki nishani hai, jo aksar kisi bade price movement se pehle dekhi jaati hai. EMA8 jo 147.11 par hai, wo immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai, jabke EMA20 jo 147.41 par hai, wo resistance ka kaam de raha hai. Agar is range ke upar breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko zahir karega aur 149.81 ka target hasil ho sakta hai. Yeh target khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh key psychological levels aur pehle ke resistance areas ke saath milta hai.Is breakout ko hasil karne ke liye, market sentiment ko dollar ke liye optimistic rehna hoga. Agar economic indicators, jaise ke employment data ya inflation reports, U.S. economy ki taqat ko zahir karti hain, to traders is par positively react karenge, jo USD/JPY ko upar le jaane mein madadgar hoga. Is ke ilawa, agar Japanese economy mein kamzori ke koi asar nazar aate hain ya Bank of Japan apni policies taper karne ka ishara deti hai, to yeh bhi pair ke bullish outlook ko barhawa de sakta hai.Lekin bearish scenario ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Agar downward movement hona hai, to pair ko EMA8 aur EMA20 ke banaye hue support levels ko breach karna hoga. Agar price EMA20 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai aur price ko EMA50 jo 146 par hai, aur EMA200 jo 145.21 par hai, ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Ye levels critical support areas ko represent karte hain, aur traders inhein buy zones ke taur par dekhte hain. Agar price in levels ke upar qaim nahi reh pata, to yeh current trend ke reversal ka ishara de sakta hai, jo traders

USD/JPY H4 time frame par price action kuch ahem harkatain zahir kar raha hai. Guzishta Jumay ko, USD/JPY pair ne $150.29 ka high hit kiya, jo ek ahem resistance level tha aur kaafi traders ka dehaan is par tha. Magar, agar hum haali haalat ko dekhein to price thoda pullback kar chuki hai aur ab 149.84 ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai. Is recent high se retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, aur market mein upward trend mein potential exhaustion ke signs nazar aane lagay hain. Meri rai mein, USD/JPY pair is time frame mein bearish lag raha hai. $150.29 high se retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, ya kam az kam buyers ki pehle ki dominance ko challenge kar rahe hain. Haali sessions mein price ne mushkil se 150 ke upar push kiya aur wahan levels ko barqarar rakhne mein struggle kiya. Yeh extended bullish movement ke baad downward correction ke aghaz ko zahir kar sakta hai.Kayi factors is bearish outlook mein contribute karte hain. Pehla, 150.00 ka psychological barrier historically USD/JPY ke liye mushkil level raha hai jise lamba arsa barqarar rakhna challenging hota hai. Bohat se traders is level ko overbought territory samajhte hain, aur is wajah se market mein selling pressure ka silsila ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logon ki taraf se jo strong rally ke baad apne profits lena chahte hain.Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Haal mein market sentiment mein tabdili, jo economic news, interest rate updates, aur geopolitical developments ki wajah se hui hai, USD par boojh dal sakti hai. Agar risk aversion barhta hai ya agar Federal Reserve interest rate hikes ko pause karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor bana sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY ke bearish view ko mazeed reinforce karega.Haalan ke 149.84 tak ka current pullback thoda moderate lagta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke price is level par kaisa behave karti hai. Agar yeh 149.80 ke upar qaim rehne mein nakam hoti hai aur 149.50 se neeche girti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke bearish movement mazeed taiz ho jaye. Traders mumkin hai ke key support zones par qareebi nazar rakhein taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke kya pair apni downward trajectory ko jari rakhay gi.USD/JPY pair H4 chart par recent high $150.29 ko hit karne ke baad bearishness ke signs zahir kar raha hai. 149.84 tak retreat yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers influence hasil kar rahe hain, aur technical aur fundamental outlook dono hi possible correction ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko is environment mein ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur further price movements aur market conditions par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bearish trend ko confirm kar sakti hain.

Japanese yen (JPY) apni sab se neechey level par tha August ke aghaz se, lekin Jumay ko Asian session ke doran US dollar ke muqable mein thoda barh gaya, aur apni do din ki losing trend ko khatam kiya. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke paas interest rates barhane ka gunjaish hai, kyun ke JPY thoda mazboot hua hai, jo Japanese authorities ke verbal intervention aur behtar domestic inflation statistics ka natija hai.Magar, investors ko lagta hai ke BoJ is saal interest rates nahi barhaye ga, kyun ke naye siyasi leadership ki monetary policy preferences aur 27 October ko hone wale general election ke hawalay se uncertainty hai. Yeh cheez JPY ke significant appreciation ko rok sakti hai, jab ke US Dollar (USD) ke irtibaat bullish mood ke saath aur favorable risk tone bhi JPY ke barhne mein rukawat dal sakta hai. Technically dekha jaye, to raat ko 150.00 ka psychological threshold break karna, ya wo range jo 3 din se barqarar hai aur is haftay ke aghaz se maintain hui thi, bullish traders ke liye ek naye catalyst ke tor par dekhi ja sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, daily chart ke oscillators abhi tak overbought area se bahar hain aur positive territory mein mazbooti se hain. Is ka matlab yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair ka least resistance upward hai.Is liye, koi mazeed decline ab bhi buying opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai, aur mazboot support ziada tar 149.20 ke qareeb milne ka imkaan hai. USD/JPY pair ka corrective decline taiz ho kar 148.60-148.55 range tak pohnch sakta hai, jo ke 149.00 ke round number ke qareeb ho ga. Is ke baad swing low jo guzishta haftay 147.35–147.30 zone mein tha, wo ek crucial turning point ban sakta hai, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya, to yeh bearish traders ke haq mein ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar momentum raat ke swing high jo ke 150.30 zone mein hai, ke upar barh gaya, to yeh continue kar sakta hai aur August ke monthly swing high jo ke 150.85–150.90 range mein hai, tak pohnch sakta hai. Agar price 151.00 ke upar thodi aur khareedari hoti hai, to yeh USD/JPY pair ke optimistic view ko mazid support faraham karegi aur short-term growth ka rasta 152.00 region tak khol degi.

USD/JPY ka price action forecast dekhte hue, hum abhi tak is currency pair ka analysis kar rahe hain. Main bhi yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke USD/JPY aur upar jaayega, kyunke yeh 141.51 ke support level se rebound kar chuka hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke yeh pair kaafi arsay se barh raha hai, lekin 148.04 aik ahem resistance bana hua hai, jo mazeed progress ko roknay ka sabab hai. Agar price is level ko torh deti hai, to hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 148.72 tak barh sakta hai, jahan 147.40 ko stop-loss level rakha ja sakta hai. Is halat mein, 149.33 ka target set karna munasib lagta hai, jiske baad pair reverse ho kar 146.2 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh correction aapko long positions mein dakhil honay ka mauqa de sakta hai, aur technical indicators bhi is move ko support karte hain.

Aane wali Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market aik critical challenge ka samna karegi, kyunke yeh apni position 148.00-149.29 ke range ke upar qaim rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hogi. Yeh zone buhat ahem hai jo market ke aglay potential direction ko tay karega, khaaskar bulls ke liye. Agar price is range ke upar qaim rehne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to bulls ko mazeed price upar dhakelne ke liye zaroori momentum mil sakta hai. Ek ahem level jisko dekhna hoga wo 147.90 ka support hai. Agar price is support ke upar rehne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to yeh bulls ko aur bhi taqat aur aitmad dega ke woh mazeed aage barh sakein, aur 148.00 ke psychological round mark ko target kar sakein.

148.00 ka level buhat ahem hai aur iske importance ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Is level ke upar cross karna mazeed higher levels ke liye raasta khol dega, khaaskar 148.70 aur 149.63. Yeh levels historically buhat ahem resistance zones rahe hain, aur agar price inke upar jaati hai, to yeh market mein mazeed bullish momentum ka ishara dega. Traders jo long positions ke liye dekh rahe hain, unke liye yeh levels critical milestones ke taur par kaam karenge. Agar price in resistance points ke upar successfully break aur close kar jati hai, to yeh signal hoga ke market continued upward trend ke liye tayar hai.

Lekin market ka movement is baat par bhi mabni hoga ke bulls key support levels par control qaim rakhte hain ya nahi. Agar price 149.00 mark se niche girti hai, to yeh ek potential reversal ya kam az kam short-term retracement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is level ke niche girna bullish momentum ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur bears ko market mein daakhil hone ka mauqa de sakta hai, jo ke price ko aur niche dhakelne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Aise scenario mein traders ko 147.90 ke support level ko dekhna hoga. Agar yeh support breach hota hai, to yeh market mein gehri correction ka signal ho sakta hai, jahan lower levels test karne ka imkaan hoga.




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samajhne mein crucial hai. 1.30400 area ke ird-gird ek significant barrier samne aaya hai, jahan price ne kafi significant reaction dikhaya hai. Ye level major resistance point ka kaam karta hai, jahan traders short positions consider kar sakte hain ya apni profits ko protect karne ke liye stops tighten kar sakte hain. Traders ke liye agla significant resistance level 1.3040 ke ird-gird hai. Ye area ek pivot point raha hai, jo aksar reversal ya consolidation ki taraf lead karta hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke upar momentum maintain nahi kar pata, toh ye market mein prevailing bearish sentiment ko darshata hai.
Agar price is level ko todne mein kaamyab hoti hai, toh ye further upside movement ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jise bullish traders attract ho sakte hain. Ek aur important level 1.30289 hai, jo bhi resistance ka kaam karta hai. Agar pair is level ke qareeb dobara aata hai, toh traders dekh rahe honge ke market kaise react karta hai. Is point par rejection ye signal de sakti hai ke bulls ground khote ja rahe hain, jabke breakout higher targets ki taraf rally ka stage tayyar kar sakta hai.

Niche taraf, 1.3051 wo level hai jahan immediate support dekha gaya hai. Ye area downward movement ke khilaf ek safeguard ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo potential selling pressure ke liye ek foundation banata hai. Is level ke neeche girna bullish positions ke liye chinta ka sabab ban sakta hai aur isse significant decline trigger ho sakta hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.2351 ke neeche girta hai, toh ye further decline ka darwaza kholta hai, jiska target 1.30352 hoga. Aise halat mein long positions rakhne wale traders ke liye ye chinta ka sabab banega, kyunki ye prevailing market sentiment ko khatam karega.

1.3062 aur 1.30739 zones ki importance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta. Ye areas currency pair ke overall trend ka tayin karne ke liye crucial hain. Agar price 1.30739 ke upar break hoti hai, toh ye momentum ka shift signal kar sakta hai, nayi buying interest ko attract karta hai aur price ko higher resistance levels ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Lekin agar ye levels par momentum maintain nahi hota, toh ye jaldi se support ki taraf girne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Technical side par, Bollinger Bands aur moving averages mere analysis mein key tools rahe hain. Bollinger Bands ne ye dikhaya hai ke price kitni tightly move kar rahi hai, jahan upper aur lower bands range-bound trading ke containment zones ke tor par kaam kar rahe hain. Waqt ki is relative calm ne scalpers aur range traders ke liye mauqa

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par humari discussion ka markaz hai. Daily chart par, maujooda scenario pichle resistance level ke upar breakout ko darshata hai, jahan buying threshold 146.01 par tay ki gayi hai. Lekin, ab tak koi selling threshold nazar nahi aayi. Is context mein, main ek potential downward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon jo buying level ki taraf ho sakta hai, aur yeh ongoing trend ke sath purchase ka mauka faraham kar sakta hai. Correction phase shayad USD/JPY currency pair ke liye khatam ho chuka hai. Price ne 139 ke mark se rebound kiya, bullish engulfing pattern bana, aur hum pehle se hi growth ki dusri lehar dekh rahe hain. Price ne Friday ko Ichimoku Cloud mein entry ki, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan tezi se ladai ko darshata hai. Upar ki taraf trend ki tasdeeq ke liye 149.02 par breakthrough zaroori hai, jiske baad price Ichimoku Cloud ki upper boundary tak barh sakti hai aur shayad 153.04 ka level bhi test kar sakti hai.

Jahan US Dollar ko challenges ka samna hai, wahin Japanese Yen (JPY) ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke zyada aggressive moves ki umeed se support mil raha hai. BoJ ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ne dohraaya ke central bank apni monetary easing policies ko tabdeeli karega agar economic activity aur prices unke projections ke sath milti hain. Is wajah se Yen relatively mazboot raha hai, kyunki markets BoJ se mazeed rate hikes ki umeed kar rahe hain, khaaskar Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ke pehle, jo August ke liye 2.2% ke steady growth in inflation ko darshata hai, fresh food ko chhod kar.

Federal Reserve ke officials ke haal ke bayanon ne US Dollar par bojh dala hai, aur market sentiment, jo Fed Tool se darshaya gaya hai, September mein 25 basis point ke rate cut ki umeed kar raha hai. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic, jo aam tor par hawkish hain, ne suggest kiya ke shayad monetary policy ko aasan karne ka waqt aa gaya hai, inflation ke thande hone aur unanticipated unemployment ke zyada hone ki taraf ishaara karte hue. Is ke bawajood,

USD/JPY ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
Mai aap ke ek kamyab tejarati din ki khawahish karta hun!
Dollar/yen ka joda musalsal badhta ja raha hai, har roz ki candle pichle wale se zyada hai, jo musalsal ooper ki movement ke imkan ka ishara karti hai. Is satah par ham sirf andazah laga sakte hain keh kharidar kahan hadaf kar rahe hain. Ibtedai taur par, hadaf 150.000 ke round figure par muqarrar kiya gaya tha. Halankeh, jaisa keh rally jari hai, yah 150.815 ya 150.950 tak badh sakti hai. Ham is muddae par bad me wapas aayenge, kiyunkeh isme kuch khususiyat hain.
Takniki nuqtah nazar se, growth index aur volumes kharidari ke ilaqe me hai, jis se pata chalta hai keh dollar/yen ke jode ki ooper ki ovement abhi darmiyani muddat me khatam nahin hui hai. Halankeh, stochastic niche ki taraf mud gaya hai, jis se zahir hota hai keh 4-ghante ke chart par, aaj ooper ka rujhan kamzor hona shuru ho sakta hai.
Qalil muddat ki ghantawar time frame ko dekhte hue, growth index ab bhi kharidari ke ilaqe me hai, lekin hajam aur stochastic indicator dono kam ho rahe hain. Yah ishara karta hai keh European session ke dauran, ham stochastic ko ooper ki taraf palat te hue dekh sakte hain, jiski wajah se ek mukhtasar muddat ki rally ho sakti hai. Halankeh, 4-ghante ke data ki buniyad par, mai 149.578 ki taraf Jonubi (niche ki taraf) movement ki tawaqqo karta hun aur mumkena taur par 149.320 par ascending channel line tak niche jayega.
Majmui taur par, aaj mai kami ki tawaqqo karta hun, jo mumkena taur par 149.320 ya 148.900 tak pahunch sakta hai.

اکتوبر 18 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

جمعرات کو، امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ی جوڑا تھوڑا سا بڑھ گیا، جس کی حمایت اسٹاک انڈیکس میں اضافے سے ہوئی۔ تاہم، یہ اضافہ ین اور اسٹاک مارکیٹ دونوں کے لیے تھکن کے آثار ظاہر کرتا ہے۔ روزانہ چارٹ پر مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ ایک ٹرپل ڈائیورژن بن گیا ہے، اور قیمت ایک تنگ ویج کے اندر سکیڑ دی گئی ہے۔

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ایس اینڈ پی 500 چارٹ پر بھی اسی طرح کا پچر بن گیا ہے۔ نتیجتاً، 149.38 سے نیچے قیمت کا استحکام 143.60 کی سطح کی طرف جوڑے میں کمی کا باعث بن سکتا ہے، جو قریب آنے والی ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ ہم آہنگ ہے۔ ستمبر کے لیے چین کی صنعتی پیداوار پر آج کا مثبت ڈیٹا کل کی مارکیٹ کی امید کو برقرار رکھنے میں ناکام رہا (چین a50 -0.26%)۔

ایچ -٤ چارٹ پر، قیمت 149.38 پر سپورٹ لیول پر حملہ کرنے کے لیے تیار ہے، جبکہ مارلن آسیلیٹر کمی کے علاقے میں جانے کے لیے تیار ہے۔ قیمت کی ایک مطابقت پذیر تبدیلی اور ان کی متعلقہ حدود کے نیچے آسیلیٹر نیچے کی حرکت کو رفتار فراہم کر سکتا ہے۔

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