usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai

**USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis:**

Mein USD/JPY ke business pair ki wazahat karke khush hoon. Jaise hum dekh rahe hain, Japanese Yen mein Monday ko girawat hui, halaanke domestic data positive tha. Yeh baat global aur local economic factors ke complex interplay ko highlight karti hai. Japan ka Manufacturing PMI August ke liye thoda behtar hoke 49.8 par aaya hai, jo July mein 49.5 tha. Yeh thodi recovery ki taraf ishara karta hai, lekin phir bhi manufacturing sector mein contraction dikhata hai, jisne Yen ke liye enthusiasm ko kam kar diya ho sakta hai. Investors lagta hai ke global economic conditions aur dusre currencies, khas tor par US Dollar ki relative strength par zyada tawajjo de rahe hain.

America mein, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index ke latest data ne consumer spending mein mazbooti dikhayi, jis ne Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein kisi significant rate cut ki umeedon ko kam kar diya. Is development ne US Dollar ko mazboot kiya hai, kyunke aggressive monetary easing ke imkaanaat kam ho gaye hain. Mazboot Dollar ne, apne baraks Yen par downward pressure dala, jis ki wajah se uski girawat hui. Kul mila kar, market ka focus Fed ke actions aur US economic outlook par hai, jo Japan ke positive, lekin modest, economic data ko overshadow kar raha hai.




Technical Analysis:

USD/JPY pair ek uptrend mein hai, jo US aur Japan ke monetary policy expectations ke beech divergence ke sabab se hai. Yeh 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Pair ko 147.00 ke aas paas immediate resistance ka saamna hai, aur agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh 148.50 ki taraf barhne ka potential hai. Halaanke, RSI overbought territory mein hai aur MACD momentum mein slowing ke signs dikha raha hai, isliye short-term pullback ya 144.50 support level ke aas paas consolidation mumkin hai is se pehle ke uptrend resume ho.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

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Kal ke trading session mein ek mazboot bullish trend ke bawajood, USD/JPY mein izafa hua, jisne pichlay 20 saal ki sab se oonchi level 148.25 ko tod diya, aur ab yeh 147.00 ke psychological level ke upar pahunch chuki hai. Kal ki range kareeban 150 pips thi, jahan 146.90 sab se neechey aur 148.90 sab se ooncha daam tha.




USD/JPY ke chalan ko dekhte huye, lagta hai ke is mein mazeed izafa hone ki sambhawna hai, jahan psychological level 148.00 mustaqbil ke liye ek aim ban sakta hai. Daily time frame pattern ke hisaab se, daam mein pehle ek correction ka imkaan hai kyunke stochastic aur RSI is waqt overbought zone mein hain. H4 time frame par bhi stochastic aur RSI saturation aur ek pehle technical correction ki sambhawna dikha rahe hain. Lekin, bullish trend abhi bhi bohot taqatwar hai, isliye Ema 7 time frame H1 aur Ema 7 time frame H4 sab se qareeb support ban sakte hain, jahan buyback ke liye dobara entry ki ja sakti hai. Aane wale dinon mein USD/JPY ke liye buy option abhi bhi dominate karega.

Trading Wisdom: USD/JPY Ke Daam

Hamari guftagu ka maqsad hai USD/JPY currency pair ke daamon ki live evaluation karna. 141.74 support zone tak ke tez girawat ne un logon ke liye khatrey ko be-naqaab kiya jo tezi se faida hasil karne ki koshish mein the, lekin risk management ko nazar-andaz karte hue bade nuqsan mein mubtala ho gaye. Jab Japan ki economy ke ahem reports aayi aur central bank ne interest rate 2.4% tak badha diya, humne Japanese yen ki remarkable mazbooti dekhi, jis ne iske muqabil ki currencies mein khaas girawat paida kar di. Tehqiqi tor par, is high-volatility instrument ki paishgoi karna mushkil hai, lekin zaroori hai ke iski volatility aur uske asraat ko madde nazar rakha jaye. Daily hourly chart par ek sideways trend 148.01 level ke qareeb bana hua hai, jahan keemat chhatti dafa bhi is mark ko break karne mein naakam rahi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara hai ke ek bara player yahan mojood hai, aur agar yeh resistance zone se breakout hota hai toh keemat mein ek khaas harkaad ho sakti hai.




Isliye, meri salah yeh hai ke is currency pair mein chhote lot size ke sath trading karein aur stop orders lagaein, taake mumkin nuqsan ko kam se kam rakha ja sake, kyun ke surat-e-haal kisi bhi waqt ulat sakti hai. Dollar-Yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par ek girawat dekhi, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko todte hue nikal gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal paida kiya tha jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin yeh signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke keemat ne is level ko juma ke din se niche gira diya. Yeh false breakout us waqt hua jab keemat ne is resistance ko upar se gira diya. Peer ke din, ek naya buy signal ubhar kar aya, jismein dobara 151.644 resistance ka aim tha, aur keemat is target tak pohanch gayi. Iske baad, yeh level tak wapis hui aur dobara upar janay ki koshish ki, lekin phir se us tootay hue level par wapis aa gayi. Breakout ki tasdeeq ho gayi, aur kal ke target ke tor par 151.644 resistance set kiya gaya hai.

Chart mein, hum USD/JPY exchange rate ko dekh sakte hain. Jab aap trades dekhte hain, toh main hamesha yeh suggest karta hoon ke hourly charts ko dekh kar major timeframes ke trend ke saath align karein. Aaj Asia mein, Tokyo CPI ka inflation report Japan se aaya jo ke 2.6% hai. Yeh forecast 2.4% se zyada hai, jo bears ke liye faida mand hai, kyun ke yeh Bank of Japan ke liye saal ke aakhir tak ek aur rate hike ka buniyad bana raha hai. Magar aaj ki technique ke saath thoda ehtiyaat baratne ki zaroorat hai.

Wajah yeh hai ke price ne daily trend line ke upar se drop kiya hai, aur yeh sab is hafte ki shayad sabse important khabar ke, yani USA mein personal consumption ke news ke mauqe par ho raha hai. Yeh inflation report aksar direction set karti hai. Main ne apne plan ke mutabiq trend line se pair ko sell kiya hai, lekin ab yeh threat mein hai, lekin sab kuch data par depend karega.



Jaisa ke main dekh raha hoon, ab tak support zone 143.85-141.20 ne acha kaam kiya hai aur aage southern movement ko rok liya hai, is liye main yeh nahi kahta ke mera plan kaam nahi karega, aur hum dheere dheere 151.84 ke qareeb pohonch sakte hain. Yaqeenan, main yeh 100% expect nahi karta ke bull 650 points upar pohonch sake, lekin main daikhunga ke koi mauqa miss na ho jaye, kyun ke mere khayal mein yeh sale mein enter karne ke liye ek zabardast moka hai. Aur is liye agar USD/JPY ki price 145.20 se zyada mehngi ho jati hai, aur hum 146.00 ke resistance level se upar ja sakte hain, toh northern trend ke targets 149.40 ho sakte hain.

USD/JPY ko sell karne ka scenario bhi isi tarah hai. Magar iske liye aapko asset ko 143.36 ke cost se neeche le kar aana hoga. Is level ko paar karna local minimum 141.65 tak pohonchne ka ishara hoga.

**USD/JPY**

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke daamon ki live evaluation se mutaliq hai. 141.74 support zone tak ki tezi se girawat ne un logon ke liye khatrey ko be-naqaab kiya jo sahi risk management ko nazar-andaz karte hue tez faide ki koshish kar rahe the, lekin yeh jaldi se bade nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakta tha. Jab Japan ki economy ke bare mein ahem reports samne aayi, jahan central bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen ki remarkable mazbooti dekhi, jis ki wajah se uske mukhalif currencies mein khaas girawat aayi.

Technical point of view se, is high-volatility instrument ki paishgoi karna mushkil hai, lekin zaroori hai ke uski volatility aur mumkin asraat ko madde nazar rakha jaye. Daily hourly chart par ek sideways trend 148.01 level ke qareeb bana hai, jahan keemat chhatti dafa bhi is mark ko break karne mein naakam rahi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke koi bara player yahan mojood hai, aur agar is waqt ke resistance zone se breakout hota hai, toh keemat mein ek khaas tahrik ho sakti hai.




Isliye, meri salah yeh hai ke is currency pair mein chhote lot size ke sath trading karein aur stop orders lagaein, taake mumkin nuqsan ko kam se kam rakha ja sake, kyun ke surat-e-haal kisi bhi waqt ulat sakti hai. Dollar-Yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par ek girawat dekhi, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko todte hue nikal gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal paida kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin yeh signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke keemat ne is level ko jumma ke din se niche gira diya. Yeh false breakout us waqt hua jab keemat ne is resistance ko upar se gira diya. Peer ke din, ek naya buy signal ubhar kar aya, jismein dobara 151.644 resistance ka aim tha, aur keemat is target tak pohanch gayi. Iske baad, yeh level tak wapis hui, aur phir se upar janay ki koshish ki, lekin phir se us tootay hue level par wapis aa gayi. Breakout ki tasdeeq ho gayi hai, aur kal ke target ke tor par 151.644 resistance set kiya gaya hai.

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis

USD/JPY currency pair is abhi kafi mushkilat ka saamna kar rahi hai neeche jaane mein. Mahine ke shuruat se hi jab se market khuli hai, price Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators se neeche gir chuki hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke market abhi bhi ek strong bearish condition mein hai. Yeh girawat ki surat-e-haal asal mein guzishte mahine ke market trend ke mutabiq hai, jahan candlestick abhi bhi decline phase mein hai.

Weekly timeframe mein bearish candlestick ki formation yeh dikha rahi hai ke lagataar saat hafton se bearish trend chal raha hai. Yeh surat-e-haal seller ke honslon ko barhati hai ke woh aaj raat ke market mein zyada se zyada dabaav dalein. Agar aaj ki market condition ko ghour se dekha jaye toh abhi bhi yeh 144.46 price level ke aas paas sideways movement kar rahi hai. Lekin mere hisaab se yeh izafa sirf chand lamhon ke liye hai, aur qeemat ke dobara bearish trend ki taraf janay ka imkaan hai. MACD indicator par histogram bar ka position abhi bhi zero level se neeche hai, jo yeh sabit karta hai ke market bearish trend mein hi move kar rahi hai.

Agle chand dinon ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke market mein ek aur bearish potential ho sakta hai. Jo maine market mein observe kiya hai, uske mutabiq seller troops se tawaqqo ki ja rahi hai ke woh qeemat ko dobara neeche dhakel dein. Guzishte do hafton ke trend se bhi yeh nazar aata hai ke USD/JPY currency pair abhi bhi seller ke qabze mein hai.

Japanese yen ne pichlay trading haftay mein apni taqat mein izafa kiya hai aur ek choti si decline ke darmiyan apne kuch nuqsanat ko wapas hasil kiya hai. Price 147.45 level se rebound hui hai aur 143.53 level tak pohanch gayi hai, jahan ek aur support mila jis ne decline ko mazeed barhne se roka. Iss tarah se, mutawaqqa downward scenario abhi tak poori tarah se reverse nahi hua aur jari hai. Iske darmiyan, price chart supertrend red zone mein rehta hai, jo yeh izafa karta hai ke seller ka dabao barhta ja raha hai.




USD/JPY pair ne US Treasury bonds ki yield ke sath apni direct correlation ko break kiya hai, jo dollar ke girne ke baad hua, jab Federal Reserve ke meeting ke natayij aur Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole Forum mein speech ke baad dollar ki qeemat neeche aayi. Yeh pair 143.93 tak gir gayi hai, jo pehle ki closure 144.51 thi. Yeh pair Tuesday ko 143.91 ki low se 145.17 ki high tak gayi thi. Dollar ne Tuesday ko Wall Street par lower close kiya, aur woh losing streak ko continue karte hue nazar aya jo guzishte haftay ke akhir se shuru hui thi, jab Federal Reserve meeting ke baad aur Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole Forum mein speech ke baad dollar gir gaya tha.

USD/JPY D1 Chart Analysis

Yeh currency pair abhi ek range ke andar trade kar raha hai, jahan se price ke neeche gir ke support level 145.46 tak jaane ka imkaan hai selling pressure ki wajah se, ya phir upar uth ke resistance level 147.91 tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai buying interest ki wajah se. US dollar, Japanese yen ke muqable mein apni qeemat kho raha hai kyunke bond yields mein kami hui hai. Haal ki market volatility ke baad, traders ab zyada settled nazar aa rahe hain. Bank of Japan ke iss bayan ke baad ke agar volatility jari rehti hai toh woh rates nahi barhayenge, yen par dabao barh gaya hai.

USD/JPY pair ke paas 145.99 se 146.79 ke range mein support hai, aur agar yeh 145.99 ke neeche girta hai, toh usse mazeed downward momentum mil sakta hai. Jab se risk appetite wapas aaya hai, USD/JPY ne apna downward trend dobara se shuru kar diya hai. Buyers weekly high 147.88 ko todne mein nakam rahe, jis ki wajah se pair 146.99 se neeche gir gaya. Momentum abhi bhi bearish hai, halaan ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke kareeb hai. Agar USD/JPY 145.99 se neeche girta hai, toh sellers agla challenge 8 August ki low 145.43 par karenge, aur uske baad 7 August ki low 144.27 par. Yeh levels pohanchne ke baad, agla support 6 August ki daily low 143 par ho ga.

USD/JPY ke haliyah pattern ko dekhte hue, yeh mumkin hai ke uski movement mein mazeed izafa ho aur woh psychological level 148.00 ko future trades ke liye pohanch sakti hai. Daily time frame pattern ke mutabiq, price pehle correct hone ki salahiyat rakhti hai kyunke stochastic aur RSI abhi overbought hain. Aage chal kar, D1 time frame par bhi stochastic aur RSI oversaturation dikha rahe hain aur pehle ek technical correction ka imkaan hai. Bullish trend ke abhi bhi kaafi strong hone ki wajah se, EMA 7 time frame D1 aur EMA 7 time frame D1 ab bhi sabse qareebi support banay rahne ke imkaan hain aur inko re-entry buyback areas ke tor par istamal kiya ja sakta hai unki strong bullish trend ki wajah se.




Aane wale dinon mein USD/JPY ke liye trading options mein buy option ab bhi dominate karegi USD/JPY ki movement ko. Is liye, main suggest karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chote lot sizes ke sath trade kiya jaye aur stop orders set kiye jayein ta ke mumkin losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunke surat-e-haal achanak kharab bhi ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne D1 chart par ek decline dekha tha, jiske baad ek rise aayi thi jo ke 147.103 resistance se break kar gayi. Yeh breakout ek buy signal generate kar raha tha jo ke 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin yeh signal galat tha, kyunke price Friday ko is level se neeche gir gayi. Yeh false breakout tab hua jab price ne upar se is resistance ko tod diya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal saamne aaya, jo dobara se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price ne is target ko pohanch liya. Uske baad Tuesday ko yeh is level par wapas aayi, ek aur upward movement ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level par wapas gir gayi. Breakout confirm hua, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance set kiya gaya hai.

USD/JPY Analysis

Daily Timeframe

Chaliye D1 period chart par nazar daalte hain - USD/JPY currency pair. Hum abhi bhi sideways movement mein hain, kabhi thoda neeche gaye, kabhi thoda upar aaye, lekin overall dekha jaye toh Friday se koi khaas tabdeeli nahi hui hai. Pichle hafte ke dauran bears ne price ko neeche dhakelna jari rakha, lekin bulls ne bhi muqabla kiya aur lambi girawat hone nahi di. Aisa lagta hai jaise price sideways ja rahi hai lekin ek downward slope ke saath. Wave structure abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ban raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin abhi bhi apni signal line ke upar hai.

Yahan par aap dekh sakte hain ke horizontal resistance level 146.56 par hai, jise bulls ne upar dhakelne ki koshish ki, lekin woh price ko grow hone se rok raha hai. Seedha sa kehna yeh hai ke woh is level ke neeche ghoom rahe the, jab tak USA ki taraf se Friday ko news nahi aayi. Nayi home sales ke numbers USA se aaye, aur US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ki speech hui. Is news ke aane par, price ne yaqeen ke saath neeche ki taraf jana jari rakha, mujhe nahi pata wahaan kya hua, ya Fed ke head ne kya kaha, lekin US dollar poore market mein kamzor hua, sirf Japanese currency ke muqable mein hi nahi.

Mumkin hai ke price ab August ke mahine ke current minimum ko update karne ja rahi hai, abhi usse update karne ke liye points mein kaafi faasla hai, takreeban 350, lekin is pair ke liye yeh aisa hai jaise kisi aur pair ke liye 100 ho. Mujhe woh waqt yaad hai jab yeh pair aram se samjha jata tha, aur sirf 30 points din mein chalta tha, yeh kab tha... Hala ke agar August ke mahine ke minimum ko update karte hain, toh shayad bullish divergence indicators MACD aur CCI par ban jayegi, ek ya dono par ek saath. Yeh signal yahan maujood ho sakta hai aur issey pehle se hi predict kiya ja sakta hai indicators ki abhi ki position ko dekh kar.




Yeh nikalta hai ke abhi kaam ka priority chhote periods mein hai aur din ke andar sirf neeche ki taraf jab rollback hote hain aur sale se mutabiq formations nazar aati hain, yeh halat tab tak rahegi jab tak minimum 141.79 ko update nahi karte, uske baad dekhenge. Filhal, meri raye mein downward trend ke kamzor hone ke koi nishaan nahi hain. Aaj economic calendar mein bhi koi important khabar nahi hai.

USD/JPY H4 Chart

Pichle trading haftay mein Japanese yen ki mazbooti jaari rahi aur thodi si girawat ke baad apne kuch nuksan ko wapas hasil karne mein kaamyaab rahi. Price ne 147.45 level se rebound kiya aur 143.53 level tak pahunch gayi, jahan use ek aur support mil gayi, jis ne mazeed girawat ko rok diya. Is tarah, expected downward scenario abhi tak puri tarah ulta nahi hua aur jaari hai. Isi dauran, price chart abhi bhi supertrend red zone mein hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ka pressure barh raha hai. USD/JPY pair ne US Treasury bonds ki yield se apne direct correlation ko tod diya hai, yeh dollar ke girne ke baad hua, jab Federal Reserve ke meeting ke natayij aaye aur Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole Forum mein speech ki. Yeh pair 144.51 ke previous close se gir kar 143.93 par aa gaya. Yeh Tuesday ko 143.91 ke low se upar uth kar 145.17 tak gaya. Tuesday ko Wall Street par dollar ne lower close kiya, jo pichle hafte ke aakhir mein Federal Reserve ki meeting aur Jerome Powell ki speech ke baad se chal rahi girawat ka hissa tha.



Technical Analysis:

Tuesday ko USD/JPY ne 144.90 par trade kiya, aur 145.00 ke aas-paas ke psychological threshold ko touch karne ki koshish ki. Daily chart ke analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair downtrend line ko test kar raha hai, jo negative bias ke kam hone ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 30 ke zara si upar hai, jo yeh dikhaata hai ke bearish trend confirm ho gaya hai. Negative side par, agar USD/JPY pair downtrend line ke neeche rehta hai, toh yeh 5 August ke saat mahine ke low 141.69 ke aas-paas trade kar sakta hai. Agar yeh is level se neeche break hota hai, toh yeh flashback support 140.25 ke qareeb aa sakta hai. Resistance ki baat ki jaye, toh nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 145.67 level par hai, woh ek immediate barrier hai jise USD/JPY pair cross karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Agar yeh pair is level se upar nikalta hai, toh yeh us region ko investigate karne ke qabil ho sakta hai jo throwback se resistance mein tabdeel ho chuka hai, 154.50 par.




USD/JPY ki movement mein ek aham factor U.S. aur Japan ke darmiyan monetary policy ke contrasting outlooks hain. Bank of Japan (BoJ) se tawaqqo ki ja rahi hai ke woh apne bond-buying program ko kam karega aur shayad interest rates ko barhane par bhi gaur karega. Iske baraks, U.S. Federal Reserve se yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke woh September mein apne policy-easing cycle ka aaghaz karega, aur markets saal ke akhir tak teen interest rate cuts ki peshgoi kar rahe hain. Yeh tafreeq recent U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ke release se aur bhi mazboot hui, jisne improving inflationary environment ko highlight kiya aur U.S. Dollar (USD) ke bulls ko defensive par rakha.

USD-JPY D1 Analysis Chart

Mere khayal mein, dollar/Japanese yen pair ki girawat kafi achi nazar aa rahi hai. Bear ne 143.85 mark ko todne ki koshish ki hai, lekin ab tak yeh bull ko mazboot upar ki taraf move karne se roke hue hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke south side yahan se continue nahi kar sakta; balki main ek upward correction ka intezar kar raha hoon taake resistance level 151.84 ke qareeb short position mein entry le saku. Mujhe nahi lagta ke bear aise moves ko trading ke dauran madde nazar rakhega. Sirf do possibilities hongi: ya toh 151.84 se sell transaction successful hoga, ya phir bull mazbooti se consolidate karega aur hum buy ke liye signal ka intezar karenge.




Bulls ne 145.15 level se bina 150 level ka intezar kiye ek daily reversal coordinate kiya. Yeh meri tawaqqa ke khilaf tha kyun ke maine socha tha ke USD-JPY, 144.50 aur 145 levels ko todne ke baad, 145.50 par trend ko test karega. Lekin, woh trend tak pohanchne se pehle hi ulta chalay gaye, aur ab yeh bahut mumkin hai ke bears is pair ko niche 142.50 level tak drive karenge. Yen aur franc ke growth ke koi wazeh catalysts nazar nahi aa rahe, isliye yeh saaf nahi hai ke yeh itni tezi se kyun barh rahe hain. Iske baraks, US consumer confidence par favorable information release hui thi; lekin yeh news sirf mukhtasar arsay ke liye broadcast hui aur iske baad currency sell-off ho gayi. Ab woh round number 144 hai jispar humein nazar rakhni hogi; agar yeh consolidate hote hue is level ko todta hai, toh USD-JPY 142.50 ki taraf move karega. Lekin agar 144 se rebound hota hai, toh woh trend ko target kar sakte hain aur shayad usse break through karne par majboor kar dein.

USD/JPY Price Trends
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price trends ka ongoing assessment kar rahe hain. Hourly time frame par primary trend downward hai, jaisa ke descending moving averages aur purana oscillator dikhate hain. Yeh moving averages, jo higher time frames par average prices ko represent karte hain, decline ke liye sahi alignment mein hain, jahan shorter moving average longer one ke neeche hai. Daily histogram ka placement yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh instrument agle kuch hafton tak decline continue karne wala hai. Lekin, four-hour chart par histogram aur linear oscillator zero line ke upar move kar gaye hain, jo short-term upward movement ki possibility ko indicate karte hain, shayad yeh movement takreeban ek hafte tak rahe.

Andrews' pitchfork, jo pivot points ke around hai, ek ascending channel ko dikhata hai, aur pair is channel mein steadily move kar raha hai. Ab price middle line tak pohanch gayi hai, jo is channel ke andar mazeed gains ki possibility ko dikhata hai, shayad 145.29 level ko selected supply zone mein target karte hue. Agar yeh zone touch hota hai, to price poore average daily movement ka level 144.59 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai.




Aaj, pair rise hui aur is channel ki upper boundary tak, 144.97 level ko touch karte hue, pohanch gayi. Jab yeh upper level touch hua, to pair ki upward movement ruk gayi aur price decline karne lagi. Yeh pair downward move continue kar sakta hai, aur 141.62 ke aas paas pohanch sakta hai. Pair ke chart ko bearish with Distances indicator ke sath analyse karne ke baad, mein yeh conclude karta hoon ke buying ko prefer karna shaayad behtar ho. Naya channel upward price direction ko indicate karta hai, jo bulls ki advantage ko highlight karta hai.

Zigzag line bhi upward direction ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke long positions ko prefer karna chahiye. CIP oscillators, jo signals ko filter karne mein madad karte hain, dono buyers ke liye favourable zones mein hain. Mein apni position hold karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab tak price 61.8% Fibonacci level 152,309 tak pohanch nahi jata.

USD/JPY H4 Chart

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke price performance ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Is waqt USD/JPY currency pair par bearish trend ka zabardast asar hai. Lekin, mein abhi do mumkin sooratein dekh raha hoon. Pehli soorat yeh hogi ke bear apna downward trajectory bina kisi khaas correction ke jari rakhe, jo ke price ko support zone 130.39 se 127.69 ke darmiyan la sakta hai. Dusri soorat yeh hai ke 144.99 ke qareeb se ek khaas correction ho, jo ke price ko 151.83 ke qareeb le jaaye. Is soorat mein, mein sell position shuru karne ka sochunga; warna mein dekhte rahunga aur koi action nahi lunga. Ahem indicators downward movement ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, aur price MA 72 trend line ke neeche hai, jo aam tor par volume reduction ke ilaaqe hote hain. Main ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hoon aur mujhe kisi bhi tarah ki ekdam se smooth movement ki tawakku nahi hai; price ya to 141.694 ke recent low se neeche gir sakti hai ya phir uttar ki taraf jaa sakti hai.




Technical Analysis: USD/JPY ne Tuesday ko 144.90 par trade kiya, aur 145.00 ke psychological threshold ko pohanchne ki koshish ki. Daily chart ke tajziye ke mutabiq, pair downtrend line ko test kar raha hai, jo negative bias ke kamzor hone ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 30 ke aas-paas hai, jo confirm kar raha hai ke bearish trend abhi bhi maujood hai. Negative side par, agar USD/JPY pair downtrend line se neeche rehta hai, toh yeh August 5 ke saat maheene ke low 141.69 ke aas-paas trade kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break karta hai, toh pair flashback support 140.25 ko approach kar sakta hai. Resistance ki baat karein, toh nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 145.67 level par hai, wo turant barrier hai jo USD/JPY pair overcome karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Agar yeh couple is level se upar jata hai, toh yeh throwback ke area ko investigate kar sakta hai jo resistance mein tabdeel ho chuka hai 154.50 par.

USD/JPY abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin MACD aur RSI kuch momentum hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. 23.6% Fibonacci ek strong resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. USD/JPY apni downward move continue kar raha hai, khas tor par jab se uptrend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ko cross karne ki koshish fail hui, jo lows of 161.94 se 141.60 aur 149.50 tak tha. Market abhi bhi 23.6% Fibonacci 146.45 aur 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche hai, isliye wapas upar move karne ke significant signs nazar nahi aa rahe.
Lekin, technical oscillators ek weak bearish structure ko dikhate hain. MACD abhi bhi negative territory mein hai lekin trigger line ke upar hai, jabke RSI 30 level ke nazdeek thoda sa rise kar raha hai. Aage chal kar downside moves ka immediate support 143.40 par mil sakta hai, jo ke 141.60 ke more than seven-month low se off hai, usse pehle ek lower low 140.20 par ho sakta hai jo December 24 ko register hua tha.

Agar bulls control hasil kar lete hain, to agle hurdles 23.6% Fibonacci 146.45 aur 38.2% Fibonacci 149.50 honge. Agar price isse bhi upar jata hai, to 200-day SMA par 151.30 ka penetration ek upward correction ko signal kar sakta hai. Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY ek bearish structure maintain kar raha hai jo 161.94 ke peak ke baad shuru hua tha, lekin broader perspective mein pair abhi bhi bullish hai aur 200-week SMA ke kaafi upar hold kar raha hai.

Bullish se Bearish: Forex Strategies: USD/JPY abhi 144.73 ke range mein hai. Hum is channel mein 1.00 Fibo ke continuation ko dekh rahe hain jo 145.42 tak hai, aur phir ATR target area 146.00 tak hai. Humein wahan ek bearish reaction ki umeed hai. USDX ki direction ko monitor karein kyunki yeh sab kuch change kar sakta hai. Pair ke liye average daily true range (ATR) 188 pips per day hai aur iska 90-day average 160 pips per day hai. Meri forex analysis kehti hai ke USDX abhi rise kar raha hai.

USD/JPY Price Movement
Main USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing ki real-time analysis kar raha hoon. USD/JPY market ne dollar sell karne ko ab tak delay kiya hai, taake is hafte ke akhir mein aane wale aham statistics ka intezar kiya ja sake. U.S. personal consumption index ke inflation report, jo Friday ko schedule hai, ek critical data point hai jis par nazar rakhni chahiye. Aisa hi kuch guzishta hafte bhi hua tha jab Powell ke speech ne Friday ko primary momentum drive kiya tha. Hum dollar se related news ka intezar kar rahe hain jabke market downward trend par hai aur daily trend line ke neeche hi raha hai. Ab hum choti time frames par focus shift karte hain taake market movements se faida uthaya ja sake. Aaj subha ke aghaz mein, mujhe umeed thi ke dollar-yen pair kam az kam 146.52 level tak rise karega, jahan potential sellers ke stop orders hain. Ek aur level 145.17 par hai, jise main samajhta hoon ke is hafte test kiya ja sakta hai, jo shayad sellers ke stops ko shake out karega. Filhal, mujhe downward trend mein koi weakness nazar nahi aa rahi. Khaas tor par, aaj ke liye koi aham economic events schedule nahi hain.




Agla step, D1 chart ka muaina karein USD/JPY currency pair ke liye. Jabke market sideways movement mein lagta hai, thodi si minor oscillation hui hai, jisme slight drops aur rises aaye hain, lekin overall, Friday se ab tak zyada kuch change nahi hua. Guzishta hafte bears ne price ko neeche push karne ki koshish ki, lekin bulls ne bhi resist kiya, jis se koi significant decline nahi hua. Movement zyadatar sideways hi hai lekin slight downward bias ke sath. Wave structure ab bhi downward trend ko favor karta hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hi hai, halan ke yeh abhi bhi apni signal line ke upar hai. U.S. dollar har taraf se weak hua, sirf yen ke against nahi, jo ke market-wide effects ko signal karta hai. Price August ke naye low ki taraf ja rahi hai, jisme lagbhag 350 points ka faasla hai, jo is pair ke liye manageable distance hai.