usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USDJPY ne last few sessions mein very strong seller pressure dikhai hai. Impulsive bearish candles se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke do levels ko penetrate karne mein kamyab rahe. Ye strong indication hai ki bearish trend market ko dominate kar raha hai. Price movement support level 146,429 ko test karta raha hai, jo finally penetrate kiya gaya. Ye bearish movement high level 161,639 se shuru hua, phir decline karta raha until critical support level 146,429 par pahunch gaya. Support level ke penetration se ye dikha hai ki sellers ko market par full control hai, prices ko lower push kar raha hai. Technical analysis se, key support levels ke penetration ke baad bearish trend ka continuation hua hai, especially high trading volume aur negative market sentiment ke saath. Is case mein, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko penetrate karne ke baad bearish pressure continue hone ka possibility hai. Next possible target decline ke liye 140,731 ke level par hai. Ye level significant support level hai aur sellers ke liye target ho sakta hai. H1 Hour Timeframe USDJPY H1 timeframe par increasingly strong bearish movement dikha raha hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke direction se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo continue fall kar raha hai, seller dominance ko indicate karta hai. Important support level 151,900 ke penetration ne downward movement ka continuation trigger kiya hai, significant bearish strength ko dikha raha hai. Today's Asian session mein downward trend continue kar raha hai, sellers ko price movements par dominance dikha raha hai. Lekin technical analysis mein, strong bearish movement ke baad correction phase hoti hai, phir main trend continue hoti hai. My current trading plan upward correction ka wait kar raha hai, better sell momentum find karne ke liye. Area jo main watch kar raha hoon sell entry ke liye 146,522 - 147,428 ke aaspaas hai. Ye area potential resistance level hai jo price se retest ki ja

Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain. Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai. Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai. Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko

USD/JPY Price Action Analysis

Filhaal hum USD/JPY ke price action ka jaiza le rahe hain. Ek nishani jo USD/JPY ke upar jaane ki darjaat dikhata hai woh 145.48 ka barrier todna hai. Abhi candle 146.27 ke supply area mein ruki hui hai, toh shayad USD/JPY shuru mein gir sakta hai pehle se aage barhne se. Meri raaye yeh hai ke USD/JPY ki movement lambay arse tak barhni chahiye, isliye yeh girawat sirf ek temporary phase hai. Agar USD/JPY gire ga toh shayad 145.48 par ek RBS (Resistance Becomes Support) pattern banaye. Yeh ek acha mauqa hoga pullback ke liye. USD/JPY ka trend bullish direction mein move kar raha hai, jaise ke Ichimoku indicator ke analysis se pata chalta hai ke yeh tenkan aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Yeh indicator strong suggestion deta hai ke USD/JPY mein aur zyada faida ho sakta hai agar yeh kumo ko break kar deta hai. Jab tak koi naya intersection nahi hota, USD/JPY ko girne mein mushkil hogi.

Waqt ke sath, stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke USD/JPY abhi overbought hai. Line jo 80 tak pohnch gayi hai iski gawahi deti hai. Yeh condition overbought thi USD/JPY ke sharp rise ke baad kuch din pehle. Naturally, mujhe is situation ka khayal rakhna hoga kyunki isse costs phir se gir sakti hain. Magar, jaise ke maine pehle kaha, girawat sirf ek correction hai. Aaj ke analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke currency pair ke upar jaane ki ab bhi potential hai do wajah se: pehli, candle ne apne najdeek ke resistance ko 145.48 par tod diya; dusri, candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar tha jab Ichimoku indicator use kiya gaya. Isliye, main aapko advise karta hoon ke aap sirf buy position par concentrate karein. Aap apna take-profit goal 149.23 par set kar sakte hain. Aur stop loss 144.58 par set kar sakte hain.

Hello sabko, USDJPY pair filhaal moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai H1 timeframe par, jo support levels 145.90 aur 145.70 se buying pressure ko indicate karta hai. Yeh behtar hoga agar aap partial profits 146.30 par lein aur remaining position ke liye stop loss ko breakeven par trail karein. Stop loss ko 145.50 par adjust kar sakte hain. Fibonacci levels is pair ke liye buying opportunity confirm karte hain. Long positions ke liye additional confidence ke liye, lower timeframe of fifteen minutes ko analyze karna recommend kiya jata hai.

## Japanese Yen Trading Analysis aur Tips

**Price Test aur MACD Indicator:** Jab price 144.60 ka test kiya, MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte

Y currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai.

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Technical Analysis - USDJPY. Pichle din ki daily candle meri Fibonacci grid ke sath bilkul milti hai, jahan level 100-145.555 HIGH ke sath milta hai, aur Fibonacci ke numerical value 0-144.223 LOW ke sath linked hai. Ye Fibonacci setup aaj ke din ke liye trading plan banane ke liye kafi hai. Jab main market price ko Fibonacci grid ke sath compare karta hoon, to dekh raha hoon ke ye range 100-145.555 aur 50-144.889 ke andar hai. Ye ek bullish pattern banata hai, jiske base par main is area mein buying opportunities talash karta hoon. Is range ke andar kuch aur levels hain jo main apni trading mein shamil karta hoon. Levels 61.8-145.046 aur 76.4-145.241 bohot hi precise levels hain jo market uptrends ke doran rely karta hai. Inhe bounce aur breakout dono par trade kiya ja sakta hai. Main aksar breakout ke baad bounces ke liye inka use karta hoon. Apne take profit levels ko main 123.6-145.869 ya 138.2-146.064 par set karta hoon. Aam tor par, market profit levels par momentum kho deti hai, jo ek potential reversal ki nishani hoti hai, aur Fibonacci levels 100-145.555 aur 76.4-145.241 tak pahunchne ki koshish karti hai.

USD/JPY pair kuch din se 145.00 ke key level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Price is mark ko pakad ke rakhi hui hai aur abhi tak is se break nahi ho paayi hai. Isliye, humein kuch news ka intezaar karna chahiye jo chart par significant movement trigger kar sakti hai. Kal US GDP data release hoga. Shayad is se humein current levels se substantial move dekhne ko mil sake.
Agar decline continue hota hai, to main purane low 141.60 ka retest expect karta hoon. Warna, mujhe upar ki taraf move aur 145.00 level ke upar close hone ki ummeed hai, jo local high 149.39 ki taraf increase ko lead kar sakta hai. General tor par, behtar hai ke is waqt market se baahir rahein aur unnecessary risks se bachen.

THE CURRENCY PAIR USD-JPY
Hello! Aapko good morning ke liye mubarakbad. Aaiye, ek dusre ko khush karte hain, kyunki USD/JPY humein khushi nahi de raha. Pichle trading five-day period ke dauran koi movement nahi hui—chahe ye burst bhi kar jaye. Hum ek choti si sideways range mein hain, jiska limit 144.50-143.60 hai. Haan, is sideways range ke baare mein hum khush ho sakte hain, jo scalping ke liye kafi hai. Lekin main hamesha nervous rehta hoon—kya agar flat aaj khatam ho jaye aur hum upar chalein... Hamare indicators abhi kya keh rahe hain: Ek aur level bahut high hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke price us tak nahi pahunchegi. Oops.

Hamare levels phir se mil rahe hain. Resistance mere liye exactly 146.62 par hai, aur support 143.45 par. Abhi tak koi reversal nazar nahi aa raha; ye sirf ek upward correction hai. Lekin mujhe ummeed hai ke pair news ke tehat north ki taraf jaa sake aur dollar early September mein strengthen hona shuru ho. MA100 floor ke almost parallel space ko work kar raha hai—ye ek flat mood ka sign hai week ke andar. MA18 ab tak kaafi purposefully selloff ko work kar raha tha—trend angle pe south ki taraf kheench raha tha. Lekin aakhri kuch dinon ke flat ki wajah se, ye bhi ab parallel to the floor hai.

Iska matlab hai ke week ke andar aur day ke andar continuous corridors hain. Ichimoku cloud is waqt bears ke side par hai. Aur forecast perspective mein, ye apni sell mood ko aur zyada actively pump kar raha hai. Mere sab basement indicator combinations bilkul bhi buy signals nahi de rahe. Halankeh ye clear nahi hai ke kyun, magar growth ka potential clearly nazar aa raha hai. Ab sirf intezaar karna hai. Main MA18 ka test 146.25 ke level par wait kar raha hoon.

Defensive position mein, USD/JPY jorh Thursday ko Asian trading hours ke doran 144.50 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. US dollar (USD) par short-term pressure Federal Reserve (Fed) ke officials ke dovish comments se aa raha hai. Investors US GDP growth estimate ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo dusre quarter ke liye 2.8% barhne ka tajwez diya gaya hai. Wednesday ko, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke deputy governor Ryozo Himino ne kaha ke agar inflation plan ke mutabiq rahe to bank interest rates ko barhate rahega aur financial markets ke health ko dheyan se monitor karega.
Unki baatein BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke pichle hafte ke bayanat se milti hain, jinhon ne kaha tha ke bank ke long-term rate-hike plans abhi ke market turmoil ke bawajood continue rahenge. Ek Reuters survey ke mutabiq, zyada tar analysts ko lagta hai ke BOJ is saal ek baar phir rates barhaye ga, lekin is baar ye December se shuru hoga October ke bajaye. Is ke muqabil, US currency ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein ground khoya hai US Central Bank ke dovish remarks ke bawajood. Fed Chair Jerome Powell kehte hain, "policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai." CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets ne puri tarah se September mein 25 basis point (bps) rate decrease ko priced in kar liya hai, aur zyada significant rate cut ki possibility 36.5% hai.

4H chart
Technical Analysis

Halankeh buyers ne madad ki aur exchange rate ko 144.00 se upar le gaya, lekin wo 145.00 mark ko mazbooti se break nahi kar paye. USD/JPY ka downturn abhi bhi maujood hai. Jaise-jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) barh raha hai, momentum yeh darshata hai ke sellers ne apna kuch junoon kho diya hai lekin wo abhi bhi control mein hain.

USD/JPY ke barhne ke liye, buyers ko 145.00 ko wapas lena padega. Uske baad Tenkan Sen jo 146.39 par hai, Kijun-Sen jo 148.84 par hai, aur daily low jo March 11 ko 146.48 par resistance ban gaya tha, ye sab cross karne honge. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 145.00 ke neeche rahta hai, to 144.00 level test karna mumkin ho sakta hai. Aur bhi niche jaane ki sambhavnayein hain, August 26 ka low 143.44 aur August 5 ka low, jo sabse recent cycle low hai, 141.69 tak.

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide

USD/JPY jorh din ke opening level 144.45 aur daily Pivot level 144.43 se upar trade kar raha hai. Key indicators bullish momentum dikhate hain aur price MA72 trend line ke upar hai, jahan volume distribution aam tor par hota hai.
Agar price 144.85 ke level se upar chali jati hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke jorh resistance levels ki taraf barhega, jo 145.05 aur shayad 145.48 tak ho sakta hai.

Agar price 144.43 ke level se neeche girti hai, to yeh jorh support level 144.15 aur shayad 143.45 ki taraf gir sakta hai.

USD/JPY monthly Pivot level 153.85 (pehle 158.89) se neeche, weekly Pivot level 145.48 (pehle 147.65) se neeche, aur daily Pivot level 144.43 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo pair ke liye corrective sentiment ko darshata hai.

144.43 ke level ke upar, jorh north ki taraf correction ki taraf ja raha hai, jabke 144.43 ke level ke neeche, jorh south ki taraf chalega. Aaj divergence dekha ja raha hai.

price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

USD/JPY jorh din ke opening level 144.45 aur daily Pivot level 144.43 se upar trade kar raha hai. Key indicators bullish momentum dikhate hain aur price MA72 trend line ke upar hai, jahan volume distribution aam tor par hota hai.
Agar price 144.85 ke level se upar chali jati hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke jorh resistance levels ki taraf barhega, jo 145.05 aur shayad 145.48 tak ho sakta hai.

Agar price 144.43 ke level se neeche girti hai, to yeh jorh support level 144.15 aur shayad 143.45 ki taraf gir sakta hai.

USD/JPY monthly Pivot level 153.85 (pehle 158.89) se neeche, weekly Pivot level 145.48 (pehle 147.65) se neeche, aur daily Pivot level 144.43 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo pair ke liye corrective sentiment ko darshata hai.

144.43 ke level ke upar, jorh north ki taraf correction ki taraf ja raha hai, jabke 144.43 ke level ke neeche, jorh south ki taraf chalega. Aaj divergence dekha ja raha hai.

US dollar ne Monday ke subah ke trading session mein halki si recovery dekhi, magar yeh zaroori hai keh dono United States aur Canada ne Labor Day mana, jis wajah se trading activity halki thi. Yani yeh ek tarah se half-day session tha. Is ke bawajood, market mein jo short-term decline dekhne ko mili hai, usko support milne ke chances hain aur lagta hai keh currency pair bottom pattern banane ke process mein hai.

Is outlook ke liye ek badi wajah Bank of Japan ki monetary policy ko tight karne ki limited ability hai. Aggressive tightening Japanese economy ko serious nuksan pohncha sakti hai, isliye central bank ehtiyaat se kaam lene ki ummeed hai. Wall Street ke traders ne rate cut expectations mein zyada optimistic ho gaya tha, jisse market mein kuch corrections aayi hain. Iske natije mein, currency pair ko consolidate karna ya significant rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai taake zyada realistic market sentiment reflect ho sake. Yeh bhi dekhne ko mil raha hai keh traders is pair ko hold karne mein interest rakh rahe hain, jo ke agle kuch waqt mein phir se attraction ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Jabke Federal Reserve ke September mein rates cut karne ki ummeed hai, US mein inflation ab zyada persistent sabit hui hai jo pehle socha gaya tha. Yeh darshata hai keh Fed ko tight monetary conditions ko zyada der tak barqarar rakhna par sakta hai. Lekin, aggressive tightening ke bajaye, Fed dheere dheere aur ehtiyaat se policy ko ease karne ki umeed hai. Yeh slow approach carry trade ko revive kar sakti hai, kyunki traders tezi se ek economic event se doosre event ki taraf shift hotay hain.

Khol kar keh sakte hain keh US dollar apni strength wapas hasil kar sakta hai jab market participants apne monetary policy expectations ko adjust karenge. Cautious central bank moves aur interest yields ki potential combination aane wale weeks mein currency pair ke bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai.

Currency pair ne apne trading session mein Wednesday ko resilience dikhayi, 144.52 par close hua, jabke ek chhoti si dip ke baad daily low 143.70 tak gaya. Ye recovery stronger-than-expected U.S. GDP figures for the second quarter of 2024 ke baad hui, jo Greenback ko Japanese Yen ke muqablay mein support mili. Is rebound ke bawajood, jorh ka long-term bullish trend abhi bhi uncertain hai kyunki ye upward momentum ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai.
Bearish Signals aur Economic Concerns: USD/JPY ko Challenges ka Samna

Jabke pair ka overall trend potential recovery ka darshata hai, recent price action is outlook ko support nahi karti. Pair abhi bhi downward pressure ka shikaar hai, aur agar is week ke end par ek lamba red candlestick aata hai, to yeh four-hour chart par Three Black Crows pattern ke formation ka indication de sakta hai. Ye Japanese candlestick pattern bearish implications ke liye jaana jata hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke aage aur declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

Market dynamics ko add karte hue, Japan ke top currency diplomat Masato Kanda ne G20 ko address kiya, jahan unhone Japanese economy par foreign exchange volatility ke adverse effects ko highlight kiya. Kanda ne soft economic landing ke increased likelihood ko underscore kiya aur economic conditions ko closely monitor karne aur zaroori measures implement karne ki importance ko stress kiya, Reuters ke mutabiq.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis:

Wednesday ko pair ne 0.11% ki decline dekhi lekin ek eight-month low 141.71 tak pahunchne ke baad kuch lost ground recover kar liya. Pair ne is critical level se bounce kiya aur key resistance points ko surpass kiya. Is waqt ke writing ke dauran, spot price 144.51 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo recent fluctuations ke baad stabilize hone
ki koshish ko reflect karta hai.
Four-hour chart ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke joڑا dobara ek niche ki taraf jaane wale channel mein aa gaya hai, jo ke bearish bias ke kamzor hone ki nishandahi karta hai. Is ke bawajood, 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal 30 par hai, jo ke oversold condition ko zahir karta hai. Yeh chhoti muddat mein ek short-term rebound ki mumkinat ko darshata hai.