usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Trading enthusiasts ko salam!

Filhal, USD/JPY currency pair 148.923 par quoted hai ek ghante (H1) ke timeframe par. Aaj ke liye preferred direction selling hai, aur main sirf limit orders ke sath kaam karta hoon.

Key Levels aur Strategy:
Resistance Level: Jo sabse behtar resistance level dekha gaya hai, wo 150.900 hai. Is level par price ko neeche le aane ki ummeed hai.
Stop-Loss: Stop-loss ke liye ek relatively safe distance 150.925 rakha gaya hai. Is situation mein, ye distance kaafi hona chahiye.
Support Level: Profit lene ke liye sabse behtar level 148.451 hai. Expected result ke madde nazar, is setup mein itni choti stop-loss ke sath promising lagti hai.
Current Trend Analysis:
USD/JPY pair hourly (H1) chart par downtrend dikha raha hai, jo kayi technical indicators se confirm hai:

Gann SSL aur Scalper MA Indicators: Gann SSL indicator ne Scalper MA indicator ko upar ki taraf cross kiya hai aur ab red hai, jo downtrend ka indicator hai.
30-Minute (M30) Chart: M30 chart par bhi downtrend nazar aa raha hai, jahan Gann SSL ne Scalper MA ko upar ki taraf cross kiya hai aur red hai.
Trading Recommendations:
Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, ye trading strategy recommend ki jati hai:

Entry Point: Sell positions open karne ke liye approximate entry level 149.65 par dekhein.
Risk Management: Agar kisi signal ka trend ke khilaf aata hai, to open position close kar dein aur higher time interval se naya signal ka intezar karein.
Conclusion:
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ka bearish trend hai dono H1 aur M30 charts par. Resistance aur support levels ke sath adhere karke, aur effective risk management strategies ka istemal karke, traders is downtrend se faida utha sakte hain. Resistance level 150.900 aur support level 148.451 ke sath setup favorable risk-reward ratio offer karta hai.

Aap sabko successful trades aur profitable outcomes ki dua ke sath!

**USD/JPY Currency Pair Ka Technical Analysis**

Salam doston!

Is waqt USD/JPY currency pair 148.80 par trade kar raha hai aur 4-hour chart par ye dono 50-period moving average (MA50) aur 200-period moving average (MA200) ke niche hai. Ye alignment price mein kamzori aur downtrend ke liye potential suggest karta hai.

**Support aur Resistance Levels:**
- **Support Level:** Lagbhag 148.00
- **Resistance Level:** Lagbhag 149.50

Agar support level 148.00 ke niche break hota hai to price ke aur niche girne ke signals mil sakte hain. Wahi agar resistance level 149.50 ke upar break hota hai to short-term recovery ke chances badh sakte hain.

**Indicators:**
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** Neutral zone mein hai, is waqt kisi clear overbought ya oversold condition ko indicate nahi kar raha. Ye kisi strong momentum ki kami ko suggest karta hai.
- **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** Bearish signals evident hain, histogram negative zone mein hai aur MACD lines zero line ke niche hain.

**Trading Strategy:**
Is situation ko dekhte hue, downtrend confirm hone par short positions kholna behtar rahega. Agar 148.00 ka support level break hota hai to aage ke declines ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai. Stop-loss ko 149.50 ke resistance level ke upar rakhna zaroori hai taake potential losses se bacha ja sake. Agar price recover hona shuru hoti hai aur resistance level 149.50 ko break karti hai, to short-term trend reversal ka signal mil sakta hai, isliye long positions bhi consider ki ja sakti hain.

**Conclusion:**
4-hour chart par technical analysis USD/JPY market mein continued downtrend ki likelihood dikhata hai. Key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna aur stop-loss orders ka istemal karke risks ko manage karna zaroori hai.

Market conditions ko dekhte hue informed rahein aur trading decisions ko adapt karein, taake potential price movements ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

**USD/JPY Ka Tajziya: Bears Ka Hawa Shuru**

Sab forum ke shaukeenon ko salam!

USD/JPY jo jo neeche ki taraf girta ja raha hai, usme koi shak nahi. Itna bara girawat dekhne ke baad, ek achi pullback bhi zaroori hai. Lekin, abhi bhi girawat ka raasta khula hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke Bank of Japan ke haal ke rate hike ne yen ko majboot banaya hai. Aur aane wale U.S. labor market data bhi bohot important honge. Mere hisaab se, main in levels par trading nahi kar raha, lekin agar price 155.50 ke upar jati hai, to shorting opportunities par nazar rakhoonga.

**Mojooda Market Ke Haalaat**
- **Bank of Japan Rate Hike:** Bank of Japan ka recent interest rate barhawa yen ko support kar raha hai. Yeh policy shift USD/JPY ke bearish momentum ka ek key factor hai.
- **U.S. Labor Market Data:** Aane wale U.S. labor market data market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ki direction ko influence kar sakte hain. In economic indicators ko dhyan se dekhna zaroori hai.

**Technical Indicators:**
- **Envelopes Indicator:** Neeche ki taraf trend ka jaari rehna darshata hai.
- **Momentum Indicator:** Mazboot sell signal de raha hai.
- **MACD:** Negative zone mein hai, jo further price declines ka indication hai.
- **Standard Deviation (StdDev) Indicator:** Sellers ko support kar raha hai.

**Haal Ka Trading Activity**
Kal USD/JPY pair ne early trading mein 149.77 par resistance dekha. Is level ko paar karne mein nakam raha, aur price girti gayi aur 146.41 tak pahuncha. Abhi closing price 146.51 hai. Yeh movement bearish outlook ko mazid barhawa deta hai.

**Strategic Considerations**
- **Short Positions:** Meri strategy yeh hai ke agar price 155.50 ke upar chali jati hai to pair ko short karna focus hoga. Yeh level key point banega potential sell opportunities ke liye, bearish sentiment aur recent price action ko dekhte hue.
- **Pullback Potential:** Neeche ke trend ke bawajood, ek pullback mumkin hai. Market conditions ko dhyan se dekhna zaroori hai. Agar price 145.00 ki taraf move karti hai, to further bearish sentiment trigger ho sakta hai, kyunki Japanese financial officials ne is level ko defend karne ki willing hone ki baat ki hai.

**Risk Management aur Outlook**
- **Stop-Loss Orders:** Key resistance aur support levels ke paas stop-loss orders ko implement karna risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye zaroori hai.
- **Breakeven Strategy:** Jab position profit mein chali jaye, to stop-loss ko breakeven par le aana consider karein taake gains protect ho sakein.
- **Position Sizing:** Market volatility ko bardasht karne ke liye appropriate position sizing zaroori hai.

**Mid-Term Projection**
Mojooda technical setup aur market conditions ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair ka downward trajectory continue rehne ke chances hain. Bank of Japan ka interest rate policy aur aane wale U.S. labor market data pair ki direction ko shape karne mein pivotal honge.

Agar bullish sentiment wapas aati hai, to 155.50 ka resistance level crucial hoga. Lekin, agar 145.00 ke key support level ko break kiya, to further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Market participants ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye.

**Conclusion**
USD/JPY pair bohot se technical indicators aur recent market activity se strong bearish signals dikhata hai. Halankeh pullback ke liye space hai, lekin overall sentiment bearish hi hai. Traders ko key resistance levels par shorting opportunities dekhni chahiye aur agar support levels breach hotay hain to further declines ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Summary yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair ka bearish trend technical indicators aur recent market activity ke saath supported hai. Central bank policies aur economic data releases ke baare mein informed rehna is market ko navigate karne mein crucial hoga. Aapko aane wale haftay mein successful trades ki dua!

Salam dosto!

Chaliye USD/JPY trading instrument ke tajziyaati jaiza par nazar daalte hain. USD/JPY ki closing price ab 146.51 hai. Kaafi saare technical indicators aage chal kar price ke kam hone ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain.

**Envelopes Indicator:** Yeh indicator price ke aur niche jane ki nishani hai.
**Momentum Indicator:** Abhi ek sell signal de raha hai.
**MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** Negative zone mein hai, jo price ke girne ki nishani hai.
**Standard Deviation (StdDev) Indicator:** Sellers ke liye support kar raha hai.

Kal subah trading session ke dauran, USD/JPY ki price upar chali gayi aur 149.77 par resistance se takra gayi. Is level ko paar na karne ke baad, price gir gayi aur 146.41 tak pohnch gayi.

**Market Outlook**
Maujooda technical indicators aur haal ki market activity ko dekhte hue, agle hafte ke liye ye mumkinah harkaat dekhi ja sakti hain:

**Short-term Analysis**
- **Resistance Level:** Main resistance level 149.77 hai. Agar price dobara upar jaye, to is level par nazar rakhna zaroori hai kisi bhi reversal ke asaar dekhne ke liye.
- **Support Level:** Turant support 146.41 ke aas-paas hai, jahan price ne recently touch kiya. Iske neeche girne se aage aur downward pressure ka izhaar ho sakta hai.

**Indicators Summary**
- **Envelopes Indicator:** Aur declines ka potential.
- **Momentum Indicator:** Strong sell signal.
- **MACD:** Negative, bearish sentiment ko dikhata hai.
- **StdDev:** Sellers ko strongly favor karta hai.

**Trading Strategy**
Bearish signals ko dekhte hue, ek ehtiyaat bhari approach zaroori hai. Yeh kuch potential strategies hain:

- **Short Positions:** Agar price resistance level 149.77 ko phir se touch kare aur breach na kare, to short positions consider kar sakte hain. Stop-loss ko is resistance ke thoda upar set karna faida mand hoga.

- **Long Positions:** Halanki overall sentiment bearish hai, agar 146.41 ke aas-paas koi significant reversal dekha jaye to buying opportunity mil sakti hai, target next resistance level around 156.00. Is situation ko market conditions aur technical indicators se closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

**Mid-term Projection**
Bearish outlook ke bawajood, ek upward correction ki possibility hai. Agar market sentiment shift hota hai aur bullish players wapas aate hain, to price 156.00 mark ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Yeh scenario tab hoga jab current resistance levels ko break kiya jaye aur sustained buying pressure dekha jaye.

**Risk Management**
- **Stop-Loss:** Key resistance aur support levels ke aas-paas stop-loss orders implement karna zaroori hai.
- **Breakeven:** Jab position profit mein ho, to stop-loss ko breakeven par move karna faydemand hoga.
- **Position Sizing:** Market volatility ko samajhte hue appropriate position sizing ensure karein.

**Conclusion**
USD/JPY trading instrument abhi predominantly bearish trend dikhata hai based on current technical indicators. Lekin, market dynamics shift ho sakti hain, isliye alert aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai. Key resistance aur support levels ko closely monitor kar ke traders potential entry aur exit points identify kar sakte hain taake profitability maximize ho sake aur risks manage kiye ja sakein.

Aapko agle hafte ke liye successful trades ki dua!

**U.S. Dollar aur Yen: Bazaar Ka Jaiza**

Aaj ke trading session mein U.S. dollar thoda kamzor nazar aa raha hai aur yen ke muqablay mein apni position dobara se hasil karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh tab hua hai jab Bank of Japan ne apne interest rates mein lagbhag 15 basis points ka izafa kiya. Jabke yen in zyada interest rates ke response mein qeemat mein izafa kar raha hai, lekin interest rate differential ab bhi U.S. dollar ke liye kuch support provide kar raha hai.

Is situation mein, yeh mumkin hai ke bazaar aakhir mein dollar ko phir se pasand karne lage. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke aane wale announcement ke baad uncertainty ka samna ho sakta hai. Fed ke mojooda stance ko dekhte hue, bazaar ki halat tez se badal sakti hai, isliye ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai.

**Bazaar Ka Jazbaat aur Interest Rates**

Agar bazaar apni mojooda levels se tezi se rebound karta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishaara ho sakta hai ke recent sell-off sirf chand dor ke liye tha. Yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke traders U.S. aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate differential ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar hain. Dusri taraf, agar Federal Reserve dovish stance apnata hai to is balance mein bara tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Din ke aakhri figures bazaar ke jazbaat ko shape karne ke liye important hongi.

**Hifazati Umeed**

Filhaal, jabke U.S. dollar sustained interest rates se faida utha raha hai, buying opportunities mein interest barh raha hai. Lekin ehtiyaat baratna aur Federal Reserve ke announcement ka closely monitor karna behtareen strategy hai. Agar din ke aakhir mein close 152 yen ke aas-paas hoti hai, to yeh ek strong positive indicator hoga, jo resilience aur dollar ke further gains ke potential ko darshata hai.

**Nishkarsh**

Mukammal taur par, jabke yen ne Bank of Japan ke recent actions ki wajah se thoda izafa dekha hai, interest rate differences ab bhi U.S. dollar ke haq mein hain. Federal Reserve ki expected announcement uncertainty laati hai, jo ehtiyaat ki zaroorat ko darshati hai. Agar bazaar mein ek strong rally hoti hai to yeh commodities se doori aur dollar ke liye favorable conditions ki taraf ishaara kar sakti hai. Filhaal, alert rehna aur buying opportunities ko talash karna behtareen strategy lagti hai.

USD/JPY ka jo pair hai, wo daily opening level 160.85 aur daily Pivot level 160.72 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Main indicators bullish sentiment dikhate hain aur price MA72 trendline ke upar hai, jahan volumes aam tor par kam ho jate hain.

Agar price 161.50 level se upar chali jati hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke pair resistance level 161.60 tak ja sakta hai aur shayad 161.75 level tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Lekin agar price 161.25 level ke niche girti hai, to yeh pair 161.15 level aur shayad 160.85 level tak gir sakti hai.

USD/JPY abhi monthly Pivot level 158.89 (pehle 155.69) ke upar, weekly Pivot level 161.01 (pehle 160.28) ke upar aur daily Pivot level 160.72 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai.

Weekly Pivot level 161.01 ke upar hone ki wajah se pair bullish hai, magar agar yeh level ke niche girta hai, to pair correction ka samna kar sakti hai. Main Japanese government se support ki intezar kar raha hoon aur south ki taraf movement ki bhi ummeed hai.

Is waqt, chart par second bearish candlestick pattern ban raha hai aur jab ke iski full body abhi nahi bani, lekin situation yeh dikhati hai ke sellers resistance de rahe hain jo pair ko north ki taraf move karne se roknay ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Saath hi, relative strength indicator currencies ne Japanese yen ke side ko switch kar diya hai, aur stochastics yeh dikhate hain ke pair overbought hai. Isliye, qareeb mustaqbil mein, humein USD/JPY ka girna dekhne ko mil sakta hai support level 160.80 tak aur shayad thoda niche bhi, lekin resistance 161.25 ko nahi paar karega.

Lekin, yeh sirf technical analysis hai, dekhenge kaise yeh develop hota hai, kyunki kal US inflation data June ke liye aayega, jo ke yeh batayega ke US Federal Reserve September mein interest rates cut karega ya nahi. Agar yeh confirm hota hai, to shayad US dollar market mein aur kamzor ho jayega, jis se Japanese yen ko strength milegi aur trend dheere dheere south ki taraf turn kar sakta hai, lekin impulsive movements abhi nahi dekhe ja rahe.

USD/JPY pair oopar ki taraf ja raha hai, halaan ke abhi market kafi thin hai. Support 151.90 par ek aham zone hai jo potential decline ka lower boundary act karta hai, kyun ke is area mein rejection dekha gaya hai, jis se price ab tak upar gayi hai. Yeh kafi strong possibility hai ke price dobara upar jaayegi aur MA 100 level ko test karegi, jo ke 157.19 par hai. Alternatively, ek lamba target around 160.24 tak ho sakta hai, jo ek fresh supply area hai. Abhi candlestick ki position 200 period ke Simple Moving Average indicator line ke neeche hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers ka strong influence hai USD/JPY pair mein, jo consistently price ko downward push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur bearish trend ko maintain karne ki koshish mein hain jo kuch hafton se chal raha hai.
Doosri taraf, jab Relative Strength Index indicator ka 5-period ka condition monitor kiya, jo ke abhi bhi level 70 se thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi ek strong signal hai ke price abhi bhi downward move kar raha hai. Market high volatility experience kar raha hai, jo ke kuch dinon se dekha gaya hai, kyun ke sellers ke zyada sales transactions ho rahe hain USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khaaskar last Wednesday ko evident tha, jab trading session ke dauran price ne ek significant downward movement experience ki

Smaller timeframe mein, price position monitor ki gayi hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke 50 period ke upar hai aur thodi si upward correction ki hai. Yeh likely hai ke aaj ki price position consolidate karegi area 154.00 - 155.23 ke around, kyun ke aise conditions Tuesdays ko aksar hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekhte hue, yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi bhi ek downward phase mein hai, halaan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend kuch bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar gaya hai trading session ke baad jo July 2024 ke beginning mein tha. Iska matlab hai ke is haftay ke market conditions abhi bhi monthly trend ke consistent hain

USD/JPY ka market wishful thinking ko reality samajh raha hai. Haan, FOMC ke statement aur Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki press conference mein kaafi hints diye gaye the ke September mein Fed ki monetary policy mein easing ho sakti hai. Lekin, saare decisions data-dependent honge. Iss context mein, 2024 ke aakhir tak teen rate cuts ke derivatives mein confidence zyada lag raha hai. Agar aisa hai, to U.S. dollar ke comeback ka acha chance hai.
Powell ne indicate kiya ke FOMC ne July meeting ke dauran rates kam karne par ghor kiya tha, lekin zyada tar officials ne socha ke sab kuch waise hi chhod dena behtar hai. U.S. economy inflation aur unemployment ke hisaab se achi jagah par hai, aur disinflationary processes aur labor market ke cooling se monetary policy easing ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Ye issue phir se September mein Fed ke agle meeting mein discuss ho sakta hai.

Yen apni medium-term rally ko bohot technical tareeke se continue kar raha hai. Strong movements ke bawajood, yeh har technical level ko test kar raha hai. Aaj subah, price 148.82 level ke upar consolidate ho rahi hai. Marlin oscillator ki signal line upar ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo ke ek correction ka ishara de rahi hai. Target range 150.83-151.23 pe hai, jahan pe yeh complete ho sakta hai. MACD line bhi hourly chart par wahin located hai. Jab correction khatam hogi, hum expect karte hain ke price 146.50, jo ke March ka low hai, tak jayegi

4-hour chart par, Marlin price ko upar le ja raha hai, jaldi se correction khatam karne ki koshish kar raha hai. MACD line, jo target range 150.83-151.23 ke just upar hai, iss range ko reinforce kar rahi hai

Hamari guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price changes ka tajziya karenge. Is hafte USD/JPY pair mein tezi se girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke Bank of Japan ke faisle ki wajah se thi jo unhon ne interest rates ko 0.16% tak barha diya. Yeh ek aham shift tha jo positive territory mein gaya. Is action ke natije mein, joڑا lagbhag 901 points gir gaya, aur 149.99 ki ahem level se kaafi neeche aa gaya. Iske ilawa, kal release hui kamzor U.S. labor market data ne September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed ko barhawa diya, jo ke pair par niche ki taraf dabaav ko aur zyada kar diya. Iska natija yeh hua ke yeh crucial sloping support 148.14 ke aas-paas tod gaya aur local support 146.51 ke qareeb ruk gaya. Yeh support level zyada der tak nahi tik sakta, aur price ke niche ki taraf chalte rehne ke imkaan hain, round number aur support 145.01 ki taraf, jahan se ek substantial rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Hourly chart par, price ek descending channel ke andar hai. Friday ko, joڑا girta raha lekin channel ki lower boundary tak nahi pohncha. Isliye, downward movement Monday tak continue rahegi, shayad lower boundary 144.27 tak pohnchne ke saath. Is target ko pohnchne par, ek reversal ho sakta hai, jisme price channel ke upper boundary ki taraf upar ja sakti hai, jo shayad 147.40 tak pohnch jaye. Decline linear rahi, bina kisi significant pullbacks ke. Target 146.81 pura hua, jo ke senior trend line ke along deviation ko indicate karta hai. Ek pullback mirror level ke qareeb ho sakta hai, lagbhag 151.84 ke aas-paas. Lekin, bina clear feedback signals ke, yahan buying trades se bachna behtar hai. Jaise ke dekha gaya, USD/JPY pair lagbhag 1551 points gir gaya bina kisi notable pullbacks ya correction ke.

Hamari behas mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price changes ka tajziya karenge. Is hafte USD/JPY pair mein tez girawat dekhi gayi, jo ziada tar Bank of Japan ke faisle ki wajah se thi ke unhon ne interest rates ko 0.16% tak barhaya, jo ke aik aham tabdeeli hai positive territory mein. Is action ne pair ko taqreeban 901 points neeche girne par majboor kar diya, jo ke critical level 149.99 se kaafi neeche hai.

Iske ilawa, kamzor U.S. labour market data jo kal release hui thi, ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki umeedon ko barhaya jo September mein ho sakti hai, jisne pair par neeche ka pressure aur barhaya. Natija ye hua ke crucial sloping support 148.14 ke qareeb break ho gaya aur local support 146.51 ke qareeb ruk gaya. Ye support level zyada dair tak nahi rahega, aur price likely neeche ki taraf continue karegi towards round number aur support 145.01 par, jahan se aik substantial rebound upside ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehti hai. Jumme ko, pair ne girawat ka silsila jaari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary ko nahi pohoch saka. Isliye, downward movement Monday tak jaari rahegi, aur shayad lower boundary 144.27 tak pohoch sake. Jab ye target hit ho jaye, to aik reversal ho sakta hai, aur price channel ke upper boundary ki taraf move kar sakti hai, jo ke 147.40 tak pohoch sakti hai. Girawat linearly hui, bina kisi significant pullbacks ke. Target 146.81 meet hui, jo ke senior trend line ke saath ek deviation ko dikhata hai. Aik pullback mirror level tak mumkin hai, jo ke 151.84 ke qareeb hai. Lekin

Sales ko mazid barhane ke dabao ke beech, is haftay, Amreeki dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein momentum hasil kiya, jo 152.14 ka noteworthy exchange rate record hui, jo ke pichlay teen mahine ka sabse kam darja hai. Ye taraqqi us waqt hui jab umeedein barh rahi hain ke Bank of Japan agle hafte apni benchmark interest rate ko barha sakta hai, jo short sellers ko apni positions cover karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Is silsile mein, hukoomat ke senior officials, jin mein Toshimitsu Motegi bhi shamil hain, ne Bank of Japan ko apne iradon ko normal karne ki policy wazeh karne ke liye kaha, independent rate hikes ki hifazat karte hue aur ye highlight karte hue ke yen ki lagataar girti hui qeemat mulk ki economy ko nuksan pahuncha rahi hai. Japanese Wazir-e-Azam Fumio Kishida ne bhi kaha ke central bank ki independent monetary policy Japan ke mazboot economic recovery ke liye zaroori hai. Financial markets is waqt Bank of Japan se agle hafte 10 basis point ka interest rate barhane ka 44% chance expect kar rahi hain. Yen ki depreciation pichle mahine ke start mein government interventions ki wajah se hui, aur Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq, central bank ne 11 aur 12 July ke darmiyan takreeban 6 trillion yen khareed liye the in interventions ke dauran.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, US economy ka second quarter of 2024 mein 2% tak barhne ka project hai, jo ke 2024 ke pehle teen mahino mein 1.4% se behtar hai. Ye growth economic constraints ke beech ho rahi hai jo ke 2022 se pehle 3.1% average karti thi, kyunke pichle interest rate hikes ki wajah se slack mojood hai.

Daily chart outcomes ye dikhate hain ke USD/JPY currency pair strongly bearish trend par hai, jahan price 150.00 mark ki taraf ja rahi hai, recent movements ko confirm karte hue aur technical signals ko intensify karte hue jo selling pressure ke saturation point tak le ja sakti hain. Ye currency pair expected hai ke Bank of Japan ke announcements agle hafte tak is pressure mein rahe. Aaj, US dollar GDP growth, weekly jobless claims aur strong durable goods orders ki reports par react kar raha hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action hamari analysis aur discussion ka mawzu hogi. Kal ke U.S. labor market ke negative data ne Japanese yen ko asar andaz kiya, jis se bears ne currency pair ko neeche dhakelne ka silsila jari rakha. Magar, weekend ki news developments pe bohot kuch mabni hoga. USD/JPY ke liye primary resistance levels 147.66 aur 149.60 hain, aur agar yeh levels tord diye gaye aur bulls inpe agle hafte consolidate karte hain, to pair bullish retracement 155.78 aur 157.06 tak dekh sakti hai. Baraks, agar dollar pe pressure qaim rehta hai aur bears 147.66 ke neeche solidify karte hain, to USD/JPY volume-weighted average price 142.61 tak gir sakti hai. Phir bhi, sellers ke liye foran is scenario ko hasil karna mushkil hai.
Ek choti upward correction 149.76 tak age ke declines ka raasta bana sakti hai. Agar upward movement aaj 148.11 tak pohchti hai, to downward trend baad mein qaim reh sakti hai. Isi tarah, agar upward impulse 149.91 tak jata hai, to decline ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Usi waqt, current levels se ek corrective rally ke baad downtrend hone ka imkaan hai. 146.51 se ek modest rise pehle hi ho chuka hai, jo ek aur ghera drop ka ishara deta hai. Mujhe bullish retracement ki tawakku hai, aur agar conditions favorable hain, to main short position enter karne ka irada rakhta hoon, chhoti volume ke sath, kam az kam 100 points ka pullback hone ke baad. Market unpredictable ho sakti hai, aur jabke recent U.S. labor data mein Japanese participation nahi tha, opening se further declines mumkin hain. Boht saalon tak trading karne ke baad, surprises hamesha mumkin hain

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action analysis hamari discussion ka focus point hogi. USD/JPY pair apne pehle trend ko resume kar raha hai, aur 162 yen per US dollar ka aim kar raha hai. Magar, usay 155.509 se upar stabilize hona zaroori hai taake 23.5 Fibonacci level par wapas aa sake aur ascending channel mein re-enter ho sake. Poore buyer comeback ka kehna abhi premature hoga kyunki indicators abhi bhi selling signals show kar rahe hain, halaan ke early signs of reversal aur corrective movement se nikalne ke bhi nazar aa rahe hain. Maine expected kiya tha ke correction zyada gehri hogi. USD/JPY ko Fibonacci levels ke through analyze karte hue, main previous day ki daily candle use karta hoon taake intraday market movement ko profit ke liye determine kar sakoon. 100% level 154.351 par hai, aur bottom 0% 153.016 par hai. Ye straightforward approach involve karti hai Fibonacci grid ko place aur bhool jane ko. Abhi, price 154.745 par hai, jo 100% 154.351 aur 150% 155.018 ke darmiyan hai, jo customer demand ko indicate kar raha hai

Main grid trading method use karte hue pullback levels 100% at 154.351, 123.6% at 154.666, aur 138.2% at 154.861 par buy karunga. Main orders ko target level 176.4% at 155.371 par close karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab tak ke koi impulse is level ko break na kar le, is case mein main breakdown candle ko uske close par close karunga. USD/JPY trading instrument ke analytical review mein, current market value 154.63 hai. Aaj subah, price ko 153.62 par support mili thi. MACD indicator ab positive zone mein hai. Agar price 154.80 se rise hoti hai, toh yeh 157.00 tak pohanch sakti hai. Ye analysis technical indicators aur trading strategies ko incorporate karti hai taake USD/JPY movement ko project kar sake, jo ke traders ke liye ek valuable resource hai

Linear regression channel ne niche ki taraf zameer ki surat mein hai, jo seller ki quwwat ko darshata hai. Faida south ki taraf hai, jo channel ke neeche ke kinare 148.746 ki taraf ja raha hai. Main 150.204 ke level se sales ka ghoor kar raha hoon, jo bulls ko bardasht karna chahiye, warna movement ka gehera correction 150.912 ke level tak badhne ka mauka badh jayega. Target tak pahunchne par sales ke liye rukna behtar hai, kyunke M15 ke along movement ki volatility khatam ho jayegi, jo ulta upward movement ko janam degi. Is surat mein, neeche rehna chahiye, magar behtar hai ke channel ke upper border ke rollback ka intezar karein, taake market mein entry ki jaye aur signal ke saath kharch kam ho.
Senior period H1 par move karta hoon, jahan linear regression channel din ke trading mein asset ke main movement ko determine karta hai. Channel M15 situation ko clarify, correct, aur supplement karta hai. Market dono channels ke zariye assess ki jati hai. Market 149.502 par trade kar raha hai, H1 ke upper edge ke neeche aur M15 ke neeche bhi. Is situation ko main bearish samajhta hoon. Do channels ka complex sales ke prospects ko indicate karta hai, jo purchases ki nazar se knives ki tarah lagte hain, jinmein stuck hokar loss ho sakta hai. Agar bulls 150.204 ke level ke upar consolidate karte hain, to sales ko H1 ke upper part se 150.912 ke level par consider ya supplement kiya ja sakta hai. Current trading session ke liye doosra bearish target 147.226 hai. Aaj USD/JPY ke liye seller ki direction mein movement continue hone ke sketches hain, agar fundamental factors events ka course na badal dein. Price ke barhne ka bhi chance hai, lekin is surat mein correction ki taraf reversal zaroori hoga. Is wave ne prepare kiya hai, isliye movement ke continuation ke liye main jaunga. Pair ne market ke naye version ki taraf jaane ke liye tayari kar li hai, purane version mein kaafi signals the jo aksar nazar andaz rahe

Hamari guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price changes ka tajziya karenge. Is hafte USD/JPY pair mein tezi se girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke Bank of Japan ke faisle ki wajah se thi jo unhon ne interest rates ko 0.16% tak barha diya. Yeh ek aham shift tha jo positive territory mein gaya. Is action ke natije mein, joڑا lagbhag 901 points gir gaya, aur 149.99 ki ahem level se kaafi neeche aa gaya. Iske ilawa, kal release hui kamzor U.S. labor market data ne September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed ko barhawa diya, jo ke pair par niche ki taraf dabaav ko aur zyada kar diya. Iska natija yeh hua ke yeh crucial sloping support 148.14 ke aas-paas tod gaya aur local support 146.51 ke qareeb ruk gaya. Yeh support level zyada der tak nahi tik sakta, aur price ke niche ki taraf chalte rehne ke imkaan hain, round number aur support 145.01 ki taraf, jahan se ek substantial rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai.
Hourly chart par, price ek descending channel ke andar hai. Friday ko, joڑا girta raha lekin channel ki lower boundary tak nahi pohncha. Isliye, downward movement Monday tak continue rahegi, shayad lower boundary 144.27 tak pohnchne ke saath. Is target ko pohnchne par, ek reversal ho sakta hai, jisme price channel ke upper boundary ki taraf upar ja sakti hai, jo shayad 147.40 tak pohnch jaye. Decline linear rahi, bina kisi significant pullbacks ke. Target 146.81 pura hua, jo ke senior trend line ke along deviation ko indicate karta hai. Ek pullback mirror level ke qareeb ho sakta hai, lagbhag 151.84 ke aas-paas. Lekin, bina clear feedback signals ke, yahan buying trades se bachna behtar hai. Jaise ke dekha gaya, USD/JPY pair lagbhag 1551 points gir gaya bina kisi notable pullbacks ya correction ke