USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time qeemat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Maine aik currency pair chart ka tajziya kiya aur qeemat ke harkaat se faida uthane ka aik mauqa dekha. Yeh tajziya sirf technical nahi hai; ismein bariki aur ghaur se dekhnay ki zarurat hai. Mukammal jaiza lene ke baad, mujhe aik ruchanat dekhne ko mili jo 156.983 par aik potential sell ka ishara de rahi thi. Yeh resistance mazboot lagti hai, aur agar sab kuch plan ke mutabiq raha, toh yeh pair is nuqtay se giregi. Main is qeemat ke 148.158 support level tak girne ki umeed karta hoon, jahan main profits le sakoon. Magar market na qabil-e-peshgoi hoti hai, aur agar structure badalta hai aur reversal signal milta hai, toh mujhe nuqsan uthana padega. Agar 156.983 level likely hota hai, toh yeh nai support ban sakti hai, jo is level se buying ka aik mauqa pesh karti hai. Correction 154.79 tak ho chuki hai, jo continued girawat ka ishara deti hai. Growth ho sakti hai correction ke baad bhi, magar girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar aik upward correction hota hai, toh girawat follow karegi.

Bazar aksar chotay traders ko khareedne par majboor karta hai pehle girawat se pehle. Main predict karta hoon 154.89 ka test, jiske baad girawat jari rahegi. Ek upward correction ke baad, qeemat zyada gir sakti hai. 154.39 ka aik false breakout ziada girawat ka sabab banega. Yeh concrete sell signals nahi hain magar aik soch hai potential movements par. Maine weekly time frame mein decrease ke approximate targets identify kiye hain, specifically 146.918. Yeh level likely monthly time frame par tha, magar weekly level par bhi liquidity dikhai, jahan qeemat frequently react karti thi, kabhi support aur kabhi resistance ke taur par. Is target tak pohanchne ka tareeqa deep pullback involve kar sakta hai bullish side ki taraf, head and shoulders pattern ka doosra shoulder banate hue, ya phir shoulder banaye baghair. Candle ka body aur shadow shoulder levels ko mark karti hai, magar is scenario mein candle ka body par ziada focus zaroori hai

USD/JPY bhi, abhi abhi weekly chart dekha aur main keh sakta hoon, ya shayad shikayat karoon, ke main long term me kaam karne ka aadat nahi rakhta, chahe bull ho, chahe kuch khaas risks ho, bina kisi faayde ke rehne ka, lekin aakhir me, ek bara munafa lene ka, na ke woh jo maine yen pairs ke liye abhi apne liye tay kiya hai, jo ke 100 ya thoda zyada hai. Aakhir me, mujhe yaad hai ke tum aur maine kaha tha ke do akhri chotiyon tak girawat hogi, yeh nahi ho sakta ke na ho - pichle hafte candle ka local minimum 151.94 par tha. Lekin yeh sirf buddhe ka grumbling hai, kuch aur nahi

Aur ab, lagta hai ke dollar-yen ne expected targets ko reach kar liya hai, lekin isse koi yaqeen nahi mila. Is silsile me, mere liye yeh bohot asaan hota hai jab pair rapidly grow kar raha hota hai aur local maximums ke zone me hota hai to sale ke options ko consider karna. Aur ab, yeh dubara se growth ko resume kar sakte hain, ek aur zigzag northern direction me bana sakte hain, ya Fibonacci grid ke rollback benchmarks ko finish kar sakte hain - jo ke matlab hai ke dollar-yen 148 ki figure ke beech tak gir sakta hai. Aur direction me galti ki cost kaafi achi ho sakti hai, kyun ke, shuru me, main stops set nahi karta. Pichle hafte dollar aur yen neeche gaye. Support 157.163 test hui. Price ne support 155.447 ko reach kiya. Hafte ke aakhir me yeh roll back hui aur 157.163 marks se upar band hui, in reasons ke liye maine last week growth ko resistance 161.241 tak priority di thi, lekin mere forecast ke contrary, price ne poora hafta phir neeche ka safar kiya. Support 157.163 toot gayi. Support 155.447 bhi toot gayi. Hafte ka end 153.584 marks par hua, jahan koi priority nahi thi. Agar yeh 153.584 marks ke upar open hota hai, to yeh ek purchase hai resistance 155.447 tak, agar yeh marks ke neeche open hota hai, to yeh ek decline hai 151.589 marks tak

USDJPY currency pair. Pichle trading week mein, US dollar ne apni taqatwar girawat se bechne walon ko khush kiya, is haftay mein bhi kuch girawat hai. Pehle, 157.72 support level aur ascending line ke qareeb rukawat thi, unhone upar jane ki koshish ki, lekin phir bhi in rukawaton ko tor diya. Natijatan, qeemat aik haftay aur adhe mein qareeban 650 points tak ooper se gir saki. Phir bhi, MACD indicator par bearish divergence kaam kar raha tha, jo keh bohat lambay arsay se yahan par kaam nahi kiya gaya tha. Lekin wave structure ab bhi apna order upar banata ja raha hai, wave structure abhi tak toota nahi hai. Lekin MACD indicator ab lower sales zone mein ja chuka hai aur apne signal line ke neeche hai. Aur ab bechne ka koi matlab nahi hai, agar yeh sirf 157.72 resistance level se mumkin tha, aur ab level ne rebound kiya hai aur mazeed girawat ka sawal hai. Qeemat phir se 157.72 ko tor kar ooper ja sakti hai aur pehle se tor diye gaye horizontal resistance level 160.32 tak pohnch sakti hai. Main is level se abhi bechna pasand nahi karta, bas itna hi, yahan se mazeed girawat 151.97 ke mukhtasir support level tak normal nazar aati hai, lekin kuch aisa bhi lagta hai keh yeh itni asani se ho nahi sakta. Doosre baray pairs qareebi mustaqbil mein US dollar ko mazbooti denay par tawajjo rakhte hain, jo yahan girawat ko rok sakta hai. Haan, yakeenan, Japanese currency ne apni zindagi ko lambay arsay se jee rahi hai, lekin iski US dollar ke zariye doosre instruments par irtiqaa wazeh tor par kamzor ho gayi hai. Euro aur pound gir saktay hain, aur yahan par mukhalif ki taraf izafa hona chahiye, lekin yeh pair bhi asani se gir sakta hai. Aaj sirf aik ahem khabar hai, Moscow waqt ke mutabiq 17-00 - USA mein secondary housing market par sale

USD/JPY market traders ke liye dono opportunities aur challenges pesh kar raha hai. Selling pressure mein izafa, jo ke JPY news events se mutasir hai, trading strategies ko carefully aur informed tor pe use karne ki zaroorat hai. Genuine signals ko pehchanna, effective risk management ko implement karna, aur adaptable rehna traders ke liye important hai. D1 chart ke insights aur disciplined news monitoring approach is baat ko emphasize karti hai ke informed aur flexible rehna kitna zaroori hai. Continuous learning, technology ka effective use, aur healthy work-life balance bhi successful trading ke key components hain.
Market evolve hota rehta hai, aur jo traders in principles ko adopt karenge, wo apne trading goals achieve karne aur forex trading ke dynamic world mein thrive karne ke behtar position mein honge. Yahan humein apni mistakes ko control karne mein vigilant rehna chahiye, kyun ke errors trading efforts ko complicate kar sakte hain. D1 chart ne aaj selling opportunity indicate ki hai, suggest karta hai ke is context mein long positions enter karna wise nahi hoga. Sellers daily high zone se market mein enter karne ki koshish karenge aur daily low point tak aim karenge. Lekin agar USD/JPY market resistance ya daily high zone ke upar rehta hai, to sellers ko cautiously proceed karna chahiye aur clear rejection signal ka wait karna chahiye pehle. Upcoming news events ko monitor karna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke ye market direction ko significantly influence kar sakte hain.

D1 chart ke insights aur news events ko monitor karne ki importance disciplined aur informed approach ki zaroorat ko further emphasize karte hain. Jaise market evolve hota hai, adaptable aur new information ke responsive rehna trading success ke liye crucial hoga

USD/JPY currency pair ka market phir se successfully seller ne takeover kar liya, jo trading mein dominate karne mein kamiyab raha. Seller ne resistance area 157.15-157.10 par buying pressure ko maintain karte hue price ko wapas girane mein kamiyab raha, jis se buyer price ko upar le jaane mein phir se fail ho gaya. Seller ne is opportunity ko use karte hue stronger selling pressure apply kiya, jisse USD/JPY pair ki price ko kaafi deep weakening rate mein suppress kar diya. Daily timeframe pe Bollinger Bands indicator ka use karte hue dekha gaya ke price indeed Middle Bollinger Bands area ke neeche hai aur currently price seller ke control mein hai, jo Lower Bollinger Bands area ko approach kar rahi hai. Yeh area bearish sellers ka target ban sakta hai aaj ke trading mein. Market support bhi bearish candlesticks ke dominance se dekha ja sakta hai, jo indicate karta hai ke USD/JPY market pair abhi bhi ek kaafi strong bearish trend mein hai. Agar Lower Bollinger Bands area at price 155.24-155.20 validly break ho jata hai, toh USD/JPY pair ki price aur bhi deep weaken ho sakti hai, jiska next target buyer's demand support area ki taraf hoga.
Wednesday ke morning Asian market session mein trading ne dikhaya ke buyer resistance ka effort kar rahe hain taake price ko wapas bullish banake nearest seller resistance area 156.60-156.62 ke upar penetrate kare. Agar yeh successfully penetrate ho jata hai, toh USD/JPY pair ki price aur bhi upar soar karegi, jiska next target seller's supply resistance area 157.45-157.47 hoga. Lekin agar yeh fail hota hai, toh USD/JPY pair ki price phir se sellers ke control mein aa jayegi, jo price drop ko target karke support area 155.22-155.20 ko test karegi

USDSD/JPY currency pair abhi 0.8935 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, jo ke din ke opening position ke qareeb hai. D1 (daily) chart par yeh 153.84 par mojood hai, ek level jahan trading volume aam tor par kam hota hai. Opening level ke nazdeek yeh position is waqt ek balance market ko ishara karta hai, jahan na to khareedne walay aur na bechne walay ka khaas dominion zahir hai. Lekin kuch indicators ishara dete hain ke aane waale waqt mein ek oonchi harkat ho sakti hai.
Agar qeemat D1 chart par 154.00 level ke ooper qaim reh sakti hai, to yeh jodi apni oonchi rukh ki taraf jaari rakhegi. 154.00 level aik ahem support level hai, jo mazeed izafay ke liye bunyadi buniyad ka kaam karta hai. Agar qeemat is level ke ooper rehti hai, to agla maqsad 155.00 hoga, jo ke traders ke liye aik nafsiyati resistance point hai jo qeemat ke amli harkaton ke liye aik maqbooza bunyadi number ke tor par kaam karta hai.

155.00 ke ooper, agla ahem maqsad 157.00 ya mazeed ho sakta hai. 157+ tak ki yeh mumkin harkat bullish trend ka jari rehne ka ishara hai, jise haalat-e-haal mein market ki mojooda surat-e-haal ne saath diya hai. In levels par chal rahi khareedari dabao yeh dikhata hai ke traders mazeed izafay ke intezar mein apni positions jama karne ke liye tayyar hain. Yeh khareedari dabao tawiil muddat ke liye ahem support faraham karta hai, jis se short term mein mazeed neechay ki harkaton ki imkanat kam hoti hain.

Is pair ke liye oonchi harkat ke liye abhi bhi jagah mojood hai bina kisi bari farokht ki dabao ke. Yeh technical setup, jis mein 154.00 level ki bunyadi support bhi shaamil hai, USD/JPY pair mein mazboot bullish trend ke liye aik mazboot case banata hai.

Bunyadi taur par, maweshi sharaait bhi is oonchi harkat ko support karti hain. US dollar ki taqat, jo maweshi taraqqi aur interest rate ke farq se jari hai, USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish sentiment mein izafa karta hai. Japan ki maweshi policies aur market interventions bhi yen ki kamzori ko support karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ke oonchi harkat ko faida pohanchata hai

khaas risks ho, bina kisi faayde ke rehne ka, lekin aakhir me, ek bara munafa lene ka, na ke woh jo maine yen pairs ke liye abhi apne liye tay kiya hai, jo ke 100 ya thoda zyada hai. Aakhir me, mujhe yaad hai ke tum aur maine kaha tha ke do akhri chotiyon tak girawat hogi, yeh nahi ho sakta ke na ho - pichle hafte candle ka local minimum 151.94 par tha. Lekin yeh sirf buddhe ka grumbling hai, kuch aur nahi.
Aur ab, lagta hai ke dollar-yen ne expected targets ko reach kar liya hai, lekin isse koi yaqeen nahi mila. Is silsile me, mere liye yeh bohot asaan hota hai jab pair rapidly grow kar raha hota hai aur local maximums ke zone me hota hai to sale ke options ko consider karna. Aur ab, yeh dubara se growth ko resume kar sakte hain, ek aur zigzag northern direction me bana sakte hain, ya Fibonacci grid ke rollback benchmarks ko finish kar sakte hain - jo ke matlab hai ke dollar-yen 148 ki figure ke beech tak gir sakta hai. Aur direction me galti ki cost kaafi achi ho sakti hai, kyun ke, shuru me, main stops set nahi karta. Pichle hafte dollar aur yen neeche gaye. Support 157.163 test hui. Price ne support 155.447 ko reach kiya. Hafte ke aakhir me yeh roll back hui aur 157.163 marks se upar band hui, in reasons ke liye maine last week growth ko resistance 161.241 tak priority di thi, lekin mere forecast ke contrary, price ne poora hafta phir neeche ka safar kiya. Support 157.163 toot gayi. Support 155.447 bhi toot gayi. Hafte ka end 153.584 marks par hua, jahan koi priority nahi thi. Agar yeh 153.584 marks ke upar open hota hai, to yeh ek purchase hai resistance 155.447 tak, agar yeh marks ke neeche open hota hai, to yeh ek decline hai 151.589 marks tak

USD/JPY Currency Pair Decline: Key Factors

USD/JPY currency pair ne recently ek notable decline face kiya hai, jo US dollar par substantial selling pressure ki wajah se hua. Is downturn ka sabab ek series of discouraging economic reports the jo United States se aaye, jahaan key indicators expectations se kaafi neeche gire. Yahaan hum un primary factors par baat karenge jo is decline mein contribute kar rahe hain aur iske broader implications ko forex market ke liye dekhenge.

Key Economic Reports

1. Employment Data:
   • Recent US employment reports ne job creation mein slowdown indicate kiya, jahaan non-farm payrolls ne forecasted pace se bohot slow growth dikhayi.
   • Unemployment rates ne unexpected increases show ki, jo US labor market ki strength par confidence ko undermine karta hai.
2. Consumer Spending:
   • Data ne weaker-than-anticipated growth reveal ki consumer spending mein, jo economic activity mein potential slowdown ka indication deta hai.
   • Lower consumer spending reduced economic momentum ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ek weaker US dollar mein contribute karta hai.
3. Industrial Production:
   • Industrial production par reports ne manufacturing output mein declines ko highlight kiya, jo further economic sentiment ko dampen karta hai.
   • Reduced industrial activity overall economic growth par impact kar sakta hai, jo dollar par increased selling pressure ko lead karta hai.

Impact on USD/JPY

Negative economic reports ne investors ko apne positions ko reassess karne par majboor kiya, jo ek swift sell-off of the US dollar ka sabab bana. Ye sell-off, in turn, USD/JPY currency pair par downward pressure exert kar raha hai.



Broader Market Implications

Disappointing US data ke ripple effects global markets mein mehsoos kiye gaye, jo kai currencies par asar karte hain. Notably, Canadian dollar ne resilience aur considerable strength dikhayi, ba-wajood broader market trends ke. Ye divergence un unique factors ko highlight karta hai jo different currency markets mein play kar rahe hain aur region-specific economic conditions ki importance ko underscore karta hai.

Conclusion

USD/JPY currency pair ki recent decline ye baat underscore karti hai ke economic data ka forex markets par significant impact hota hai. Jaise hi key US indicators expectations se kam rahe, resulting selling pressure dollar par broader market reactions ka sabab bana. Traders aur investors ko economic reports ko closely monitor karte rehna chahiye, kyunki ye indicators currency movements aur market sentiment ko shape karne mein crucial role play karte hain.

USD/JPY Market Analysis: Key Levels to Watch for Tuesday and Wednesday Trading

Mangal ko, USD/JPY currency pair ne kaafi bearish harkat dekhi jab farosh (sellers) ne bazaar par qabza hasil kiya. Unhone asar dar resistance zone 157.15-157.10 par jor diya, aur asar se qeemat ko neeche girane mein kaamiyabi hasil ki, is tarah kharidaaron (buyers) ko overpower kar diya. Yeh selleron ke zyada pressure ke natijay mein USD/JPY pair mein kami aayi.

Daily timeframe analysis jo Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karta hai, ye yeh darust karta hai ke qeemat Middle Bollinger Band ke neeche hai aur Lower Bollinger Band ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke is waqt selleron ka qabza hai aur Lower Bollinger Band, jo ke 155.24-155.20 ke aas paas hai, aik key bearish target ban sakta hai. Bearish candlesticks ki baariyat bhi USD/JPY bazaar mein mazboot bearish trend ka ishaara karti hai. Agar qeemat is support zone ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh aur kamzor ho sakta hai, shayad agle kharidari demand area tak pohanchne ka mauqa mile.

Budh ki subah ki Asian session mein, kharidaar bearish momentum ka muqabla karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Unka maqsad 156.60-156.62 ke qareeb paish (breakout) karna hai. Agar is level ka kaamiyabi se barh jata hai, toh USD/JPY pair phir agle farosh resistance zone 157.45-157.47 tak upar ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar kharidaar is resistance ko todne mein nakam rahe, toh qeemat dobarah seller control ki taraf wapas aa sakti hai, jis mein potential kami ho sakti hai jo support area 155.22-155.20 ko test karegi.

Traders ko sochna chahiye ke agar qeemat support area 155.22-155.20 ke neeche girti hai toh sell position enter karna chahiye, taking profit (TP) target ko 154.67-154.65 par rakhte hue. Doosri taraf, agar qeemat successfully 156.60-156.62 ke resistance area ko todti hai, toh buy position lene ka bhi sochna chahiye, TP target ko 157.45-157.47 par rakhte hue. In key levels ko monitor karna USD/JPY bazaar mein informed trading decisions lene ke liye bohat ahem hoga.

USD/JPY

Jese hi hum ek naye trading mahine ka aghaaz karte hain, humne rozana chart ko price channels aur pivot levels ke saath update kiya hai. Price channels upward trend ko support karte hain, jese ke neela channel monthly price movement aur upward trend ko darshata hai. Isi tarah, laal channel, jo ke pichle mahine ki price movement ko kahta hai, wo bhi upar ki taraf hai. Buying aur selling operations ke liye pivot level 153.30 hai, jo ke yeh tay karega ke kaunsi operation perform karni hai. Nateeja yeh hai ke May ka sone ka trend upar ki taraf honay ki umeed hai, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke price monthly pivot level ke upar trade kare, jahan purchasing operations 154.50 par shuru ki ja sakti hain.

USD/JPY ki price ek support area mein trade kar rahi hai daily chart par, monthly level 153.10 aur lower channel line se support ke saath. Daily chart ko kal update kiya gaya tha jab ek naya monthly opening hua, aur ab humare paas ek price triangle pattern hai jo ke laal aur neela channels ke intersection se bana hai, ek bearish aur doosra bullish, jo ke price 154.80 movement ko pichle do mahino se darshata hai. Zahir hai ke price 153.10 tak upar jaane ki umeed hai, abhi ke liye 153.55 ke upar rehkar.

Price ne kal upper channel lines ke nazdeek resistance area mein trading shuru ki. Kal ke trading mein jab price lower channel lines aur monthly support level 152.50 tak pohanch gayi toh price takreeban 450 pips gir gayi. Aaj ke trading mein prices upar ki taraf khich gayi hain aur ab wo ek mazboot support area mein hain, jo ke monthly support level aur lower channel lines hain. Nateeja yeh hua ke yeh monthly pivot level tak pohanch gayi, jo ke price ko upar le gaya.

Is waqt, price monthly pivot level se resistance ka samna kar rahi hai, jo shayad ise wapas neeche ki taraf le ja sway, channels ko break karte hue aur girne par majboor kar de. Agar aaj trading 154.70 ke pivot level ke upar band hoti hai, toh traders ke paas ek bullish scenario dastiyaab hoga.

USDJPY currency pair. Pichlay trading haftay mein, US dollar ne bikau daron ko apne mazboot giraawat se khush kiya. US ki taraf se aik khabar aayi, jo ke umeed se bohat behtar nikaali gayi aur qeemat tezi se neeche chali gayi, lekin sirf Japanese currency ne nahi balki market ke lagbhag tamam rangon ne American currency ko kamzor kiya. Canadian dollar ko chhod kar, iska exchange rate aaj tak behtareen hai. Takreeban 400 points tezi se neeche chalay gaye. Giraawat ke doran, qeemat ko aik upar ki taraf ki support line ka sahara mila, jo wave ke base ke saath banai gai thi, aur phir se ooper uchhal gayi, uske baad dobara neeche gayi aur phir se uchhal gayi aur ab bhi is line ke saath dabav mein hai. Lekin wave ka dhacha ooper ki taraf ban raha hai, MACD indicator udhar ki upper buy zone mein hai, lekin iski signal line se neeche. Ab do options hain. Ya to dubara ooper badey aur horizontal resistance level 160.30 tak paunchay, ya phir neeche jaayein aur ascending line ko tod dein. Main ooper ki taraf badhne ke haq mein hoon kyunki CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur wahan ek growth signal nazar aa raha hai - bullish convergence. Aur raaste ke hisaab se, ye aik kaafi acha signal hai. Aur asal mein, ye koi baat nahi ke uptrend tamam hua hai aur gehri correction aa rahi hai. Shayad, jiss tarah se zyada sellers ko ikattha karna hai jo sochte hain ke waqai mein reversal ho gaya hai, qeemat aaj yahan ek din ke liye sidewise chalti rahegi. Yahan positions ki accumulation hogi aur ye aasani se upar le jayegi, jab ke resistance level 160.32 ko todte hue. Har surat mein, agar hum bechne ka sochte hain, to ab bechne ka behtareen waqt nahi hai. Lekin main khareedne ki bhi khaweesh nahi rakhta, kyunki ye line ne is se pehle bhi kaafi achi deviations diye hain, lekin sirf aik line nahi hai, balki horizontal support level 157.72 bhi hai. USD/JPY pair ne haftay ka aakhri doran mujhe positive note par khatam kiya, jo Bank of Japan ke interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ke faislay aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish outlook ne support kiya. Jab ke pair 159.06 par trade kar raha hai, strong market fundamentals aur technical indicators ki wajah se ye supported hai, BoJ aur Fed ke darmiyan monetary policy ka fark pair ke ooper ki taraf ki momentum ko aage badhata rahega. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ke sath aane wali economic data ka observation karna chahiye taakay pair ki future movement ko samjha ja sake.

Chalo hum USD/JPY currency pair ke real-time price assessment par dhyan dene. Maine ek currency pair chart ka tajziya kiya aur price movements ke buniyad par ek trading opportunity ki pehchaan ki. Yeh tajziya sirf technical nahi hai; ismein tasawwur aur tafreeq ki zarurat hai. Puri jaanch par talash karte huye, maine dekha ke ek directional movement hai jo 156.983 par ek potential sell opportunity ka ishaara de rahi hai. Yeh resistance kaafi mazboot lagta hai, aur agar sab kuch theek raha to yeh pair is point se neeche chale jana chahiye. Mujhe umeed hai ke price is support level tak 148.158 tak gir jayegi, jahan main profit le sakta hoon. Magar, market unpredictable hai, aur agar structure shift hota hai aur koi reversal signal milta hai, to mujhe nuqsan ka samna karna padega. Agar 156.983 ka level mazboot raha, to yeh ek naya support level ban sakta hai, jahan se mujhe buying opportunity mil sakti hai. 154.79 par ek correction ho chuka hai, jo dikhata hai ke girawat shayad jaari rahe. Growth corrections bhi ho sakte hain, magar girawat phir se shuru honi chahiye. Agar koi upward correction hota hai, to girawat phir se shuru hogi.

Chhote traders aksar market mein kharidari karne ka irada rakhte hain jab pehle giravaton ke baad. Main andaza lagata hoon ke price 154.89 ka tajziya karegi, uske baad girawat jaari rahegi. Upar ki taraf correction ke baad, price phir se giregi. 154.39 par ek false breakout bhi girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh concrete sell signals nahi hain, balki mumkinah movements ke bare mein khayalat hain. Maine weekly time frame par girawat ke liye andazay targets tay kiye hain, khaaskar 146.918 par. Yeh level monthly time frame par bhi nazar aata hai, magar weekly level par, liquidity ke sath, price aksar is par react karti hai, support aur resistance ke darmiyan chalti hai. Is target ke aas paas ek gehri pullback hone ki sambhavna hai jo bullish side ki taraf ho sakti hai, jo "head and shoulders" pattern ka dusra shoulder banane ki wajahban ban sakti hai, ya yeh bina shoulder ke bhi ho sakta hai. Candle ki body aur shadow shoulder levels ko mark karti hai, magar is scenario mein yeh behtar hoga ke candle ki body par dhyan diya jaye.

Jo jora (pair) tha, uska karnama (performance) kuch sooraj kash (subdued) raha, 160.00 ke zehni rokawat ka darwaaza (psychological resistance level) ke neeche pichle hafta ke trading session mein. Ye iske baad hai ke investors ke darmiyan kuch andazay (speculation) chal raha tha ke Japanese authorities shayad yen ki farak (movement) ko kanta (temper) karne ke liye daakhil (intervene) ho sakti hain, taake koi bhi nihayat zyada gunjain (significant downside pressure) na aaye.

USD/JPY ke buniyadi pehlu (Fundamentals):

Japan ki foreign exchange market mein daakhil hone ki fikr (concerns) haal hi mein barh gayi, jo Masato Kanda, ek muhim currency diplomat, ke bayan (remarks) ki wajah se hai, jismein unhone is baat ka izhar kiya ke government zaroorat par daakhlat ke liye 24/7 tayar hai. Is ke ilawa, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy ko mazid sakht karnay ki umeed bhi barh gayi hai. Kamzor yen ne inflation ko barha diya hai, ye export ki competitivity mein izafa kar raha hai aur import ke kharche ko barhata hai, jaise ke haal ke BoJ meeting ke minutes mein ek rukun ne is baat ka izhar kiya tha ke foran policy mein tabdeeliyan (adjustments) karni chahiye taake inflation ki levels ko sanbhal (stabilize) kiya ja sake.

Jab market ke shiraakatdar (participants) apni nigahein (await further developments) daakhil hone ki sambhavnayein (potential interventions) aur Bank of Japan ke monetary policy faisally (decisions) par rakhein, USD/JPY ke jore mein jari kaari (continued volatility) ki sambhavnayein hain. Traders ko mashwara (advised) diya jata hai ke wo technical levels ko nazar rakhain, khaaskar 160.00 ka aham rokawat (resistance) aur 153.12 ke aas paas support levels, taake aane wale price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Dakhla (Technical Outlook):

Fanaani tor par, USD/JPY ka jora is waqt Ascending Triangle chart formation ke horizontal rokawat (resistance) ke paas hai hourly timeframe par. Ye pattern March 11 ke low tak 146.51 ke aas paas aur July 02 ko 161.97 ke recent high ke darmiyan hai. Agar ye jora multi-year high 162.00 ke upar nikalta hai, toh ye joray ko nayi manzil (uncharted territory) ki taraf le ja sakta hai, shayad 163.00 ke aas paas levels tak.


21-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ka hona 153.84 aur 153.96 ke aas paas, bullish trend ki tasdeeq (underscores) karta hai. Ye indicators ye darust karte hain ke jore ke upar jaane ka izafa (upward momentum) mein buniyadi taqat hai. Iske muqablay, agar ye 153.12 ke recent low se neeche jata hai, toh USD/JPY 151.84 ke May 3 ke low ki taraf jaye ga, phir 150.00 ke zehni support tak.

Foreign exchange market mein Japanese Yen (JPY) aur US Dollar (USD) ke hawale se kaafi halchal hai. Tuesday tak, Yen thora sa upar 160.00 Yen per Dollar par chal raha hai. Yeh sideways movement Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki bond market players ke sath critical negotiations ke doran hai. BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy se exit strategy talash kar raha hai, jo policy das saal se zyada se chal rahi hai. Unka maqsad yeh hai ke kis tarah se bond-buying program ko scale back ya completely stop karein.
Wahin, US Dollar Index (DXY) ko Monday ko thora nuksan hua. Yeh index US Dollar ki value ko chhe doosri major currencies ke against track karta hai. Is nuksan ka source? France ke second round elections ke inconclusive results ke baad markets mein relief. Lekin yeh relief short-lived hai kyunki market ka focus US par shift ho gaya hai. Yahan, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apna semi-annual monetary policy report Congress ke samne pesh karne wale hain. Jabke koi major policy announcements expect nahi kiya ja rahe, agar Powell ke comments mein koi bhi pessimism ya September mein interest rate cut ka ishara hota hai, to market movements significant ho sakte hain.

Yen-Dollar kahani par wapas, Yen thora dip karke 160.00 Yen per Dollar par aa gaya. Yeh dip kaafi tha ke ek technical indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ko "overbought" territory se bahar nikal de. Lekin Yen pichle hafte ke momentum ko capitalize nahi kar paya. Japan mein interest rates ko badhane ka pressure barh raha hai, BoJ ke bond market participants ke sath discussions iske key drivers hain. Downside par, Yen ke liye ek crucial support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar par hai. Yeh level Monday ke rebound mein ek vital role play kiya tha. Upside par, Yen 162.00 Yen per Dollar par resistance face karta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to Yen naye multi-decade highs ko reach karne ka potential rakhta hai

Aane wale din Yen ke liye crucial honge. Agar current rally fizzles out hoti hai aur Yen phir se key support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar ko test karta hai, to 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak decline pehla major downside support ho sakta hai jo dekha jayega. Yeh SMA pichle 55 dinon ke average Yen-Dollar exchange rate ko represent karta hai, aur agar is level ke neeche drop hota hai, to yeh Yen ke liye ek significant decline signal kar sakta hai

USD/JPY pair ne kal pichle din ke range ka minimum update karne aur top se bottom tak local support level ko test karne ke baad, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 160.209 par hai, bounce kiya. Din ke closing ke natije mein, thori si bullish advantage ke sath uncertainty ki candle bani. Overall, main yeh samajhta hoon ke buyers aaj dikhai gayi weakness ka faida uthane ki koshish kar sakte hain aur mujhe poori ummed hai ke qareebi resistance level ko retest kiya ja sakta hai, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 161.951 par hai. Agar price is resistance level tak pohanchti hai, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur upar move karna jari rakhe. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 164.500 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke upar consolidate karne par, main aage further northward movement anticipate karunga, jo resistance level 168.000 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo trading ke further direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main yeh bhi samajhta hoon ke price ke northern target ki taraf move karte waqt southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jinhein main nearby support levels se bullish signals search karne ke liye istemal karne ka plan banata hoon, overall bullish trend ki formation mein uptrend ke resumption ki anticipation ke sath.
Dusra scenario price movement ka yeh hoga ke 161.951 resistance level ko test karne ke baad reversal candle bane aur southern movement resume ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 160.209 ya support level 157.671 par wapas aa jaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals search karta rahunga, upward price movement ke resumption ki expectation ke sath.

General mein, mukhtasir mein yeh kehna chahta hoon ke aaj ke nearest support level se sellers ki weakness ko dekhte hue, main poori ummed karta hoon ke price qareebi resistance level ki taraf northward move kar sakti hai, lekin phir market situation ke mutabiq decisions liye jayenge, jis mein bullish scenarios ko priority di jayegi.