USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Foreign exchange market mien Japanese Yen (JPY) aur US Dollar (USD) kaafi active hain. Tuesday tak, Yen thoda narrow range mein float kar raha hai, 160.00 Yen per Dollar se thoda upar. Yeh sideways movement Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke bond market players ke sath critical negotiations ke darmiyan ho rahi hai. BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy se exit strategy dhoond raha hai, jo policy das saal se zyada se chal rahi hai. Unka goal hai apne bond-buying program ko scale back ya completely stop karne ka tareeqa nikalna.Dusri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY) ko Monday ko thoda hit laga.Yeh index US Dollar ke value ko chhe dusre major currencies ke against track karta hai. Hit ka source France ke second round elections ke inconclusive results ke baad markets mein relief tha. Magar yeh relief short-lived tha, kyunki market ka focus US par shift ho gaya. Yahaan, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apni semi-annual monetary policy report Congress ke saamne deliver karne wale hain. Koi major policy announcements expect nahi hain, magar agar Powell koi pessimistic hint dete hain ya September mein interest rate cut ka zikr karte hain, toh market mein significant movements ho sakte hain.Wapas Yen-Dollar story par, Yen thoda dip hua 160.00 Yen per Dollar tak. Yeh dip kaafi tha ek technical indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ko "overbought" territory se bahar nikalne ke liye. Magar, Yen ne apne last week ke momentum ko capitalize nahi kiya. Japan mein interest rates raise karne ka pressure barh raha hai, aur BoJ ke bond market participants ke sath discussions iske key driver hain. Downside par, Yen ke liye ek crucial support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar par hai. Yeh level Monday ke rebound mein important role play kiya. Upside par, Yen ke liye resistance 162.00 Yen per Dollar par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh Yen ke liye nayi multi-decade highs ka potential khul sakta haiAane wale din Yen ke liye crucial honge. Agar current rally fizzle out hoti hai aur Yen phir se 160.32 Yen per Dollar ka key support level test karta hai, toh decline towards 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 157.37 Yen per Dollar pehli major downside support hogi. Yeh SMA past 55 dinon ke Yen-Dollar exchange rate ka average represent karta hai, aur agar yeh level ke neeche drop hota hai toh Yen ke liye significant decline ka signal ho sakta hai

USD/JPY ka current market situation sellers ki stability show karta hai. Kal, woh 152.87 zone ke aas-paas the. Buyers ab tak apni value lose kar rahe hain. Aakhir kar, USD/JPY market traders ke liye dono opportunities aur challenges offer karta hai. JPY news events ke influence se selling pressure increase ho gaya hai, jo careful aur informed trading strategies ki zaroorat ko highlight karta hai. Genuine signals ko pehchaan kar, effective risk management implement karke, aur adaptable reh kar traders market ko successfully navigate kar sakte hain. D1 chart ke insights aur news monitoring ke liye disciplined approach ko rakhna bhi zaroori hai, jo informed aur flexible rehne ki importance ko emphasize karta hai. Continuous learning, technology ka effective use, aur ek healthy work-life balance maintain karna bhi successful trading ke key components hain. Jaise jaise market evolve hota hai, traders jo in principles ko adopt karte hain, woh apne trading goals achieve karne aur forex trading ki dynamic world mein thrive karne ke liye behtar position mein hote hain. Yahan, hamein mistakes ko control karne mein vigilant rehna hoga, kyunki errors trading efforts ko complicate kar sakte hain. D1 chart ne aaj selling opportunity indicate ki hai, suggesting ke long positions enter karna is context mein unwise hoga. Sellers likely daily high zone se market mein enter karenge aur daily low point ko aim karenge. Agar USD/JPY market resistance ya daily high zone ke upar rehta hai, to sellers ko cautiously proceed karna chahiye aur clear rejection signal ka wait karna chahiye pehle act karne se. Upcoming news events ko monitor karna bhi vital hai, kyunki yeh significantly market direction ko influence kar sakte hain.

D1 chart ke insights aur news events ko monitor karne ki importance further emphasize karti hai disciplined aur informed approach ki zaroorat ko. Jaise jaise market evolve hota hai, new information ke liye adaptable aur responsive rehna crucial hoga trading success achieve karne ke liye.

Stay blessed and keep calm!"

USD/JPY apne pichle haftay se neeche ki taraf jata raha, aur 155.37 ka support level touch kiya, jo is currency pair ka ek mahina aur adha ka sabse lowest level hai, aur yeh bhi 38 saal mein Japanese yen ka sabse kam value hai. Hafte ke dauran, US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein behtari dikhayi aur 157.86 ka resistance level hit kiya, aur is haftay ke trading ke aghaz mein 157.35 ke aas-paas stable raha. US dollar aur Japanese yen ka value central bank policies aur mumkin Japanese interventions se bohot zyada mutasir hoga.
Pichle budh ko, dollar ki girawat Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke market bets ki wajah se barh gayi. Magar session ke akhri mein, dollar ko US industrial production data ke release ke baad kuch support mila. Ye data dikhata hai ke June mein production levels expectations se zyada the, aur May ke figures bhi upward revise hue.

Thursday ko, United States ke initial unemployment claims ke data ne dikhaya ke nayi claims ke numbers expectations se zyada the, jo US labor market mein stagnation ko reflect karte hain. Is ke bawajood, dollar ne apne losses resist kiye excessive selling ke baad jo exaggerated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts bets ki wajah se hui thi.

Technical analysis bhi dollar ke liye potential downside ka ishara karte hain. Pair is waqt ek key short-term moving average se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karte hain. Ek aur technical indicator, RSI, bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce karte hain. USD/JPY ka support June low ke kareeb mil sakta hai; magar agar yeh level break ho gaya to yeh steeper decline ko trigger kar sakta hai towards May low. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY ek key resistance level ke upar chadh gaya, to yeh psychological 162.00 level ke kareeb dusra hurdle face kar sakta hai.l

Akhir mein, Japanese yen kamzori ke baad ab recovery ke signs dikhata hai. Aane wale Bank of Japan meetings aur mumkin policy shifts, saath hi ek weak hota US dollar, is trend mein contribute kar rahe hain. Traders bohot kareebi se BoJ meeting aur broader economic developments ko monitor kar rahe hain yen ke direction ke further cues ke liye

**USD/JPY Forecast**

Greetings aur Good Morning doston!

USD/JPY ka maqami halat abhi sellers ki stability ko dikhata hai. Kal yeh 152.87 zone ke aas-paas race kar rahe the. Aur buyers apni value kho rahe hain.

Aakhirkar, USD/JPY market traders ke liye dono opportunities aur challenges provide karta hai. Abhi jo selling pressure barh raha hai, JPY ke news events ke asar se, yeh trading strategies ke liye ek aham cheez hai. Genuine signals ko pehchaan kar, effective risk management ko implement karna, aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai. D1 chart ke insights aur news monitoring ko disciplined approach ke saath istemal karna bhi important hai. Trading me continuous learning, technology ka achha use, aur healthy work-life balance bhi successful trading ke key components hain. Jaise market evolve hota hai, jo traders in principles ko apnaate hain woh apne trading goals achieve karne ke liye behtar position mein honge aur forex trading ki dynamic duniya mein thrive karenge.

Yahan, humein apni galtiyon ko control karne mein vigilant rehna hoga, kyunke errors trading efforts ko complicate kar sakte hain. D1 chart aaj selling opportunity ka indication de raha hai, jo ke long positions lene ke liye bekar hai. Sellers daily high zone se market mein enter karenge aur daily low point ko target karenge. Lekin agar USD/JPY market resistance ya daily high zone ke upar rehta hai, to sellers ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur clear rejection signal ka intezar karna chahiye. Aane wale news events ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunke yeh market direction ko significantly influence kar sakte hain.

D1 chart ke insights aur news events monitoring ki importance ko dekhte hue, disciplined aur informed approach apnaana zaroori hai. Market ke evolve hone ke saath, naye information ke liye adaptable aur responsive rehna trading success ke liye crucial hoga.

Stay blessed aur calm raho!

USD/JPY H4 (US Dollar - Japanese Yen). Sab ko as-salam-o-alaikum aur aap sab ko bahut saari duaein! Meri trading strategy jo Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI indicators ko combine kar ke bani hai, mujhe batati hai ke ab currency pair/instrument bechnay ka waqt aa gaya hai, kyun ke system ke consensus indicators ke mutabiq bears dominate kar rahe hain. Hicken Ashi candles, jo traditional Japanese candles ke mukhtalif hote hain aur smooth aur average price movements dikhatay hain, in se reversal moments, corrective rollbacks aur impulse shootouts asani se pata chalte hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi chart par moving average ke basis par current support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, jo asset ke movement range ko dikhata hai. Signal ko final filter aur deal band karne ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo traded pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko batata hai. Aise trading instruments ka intikhab technical analysis ke process ko behtar banata hai aur galat market entries se bachata hai.
Is tarah ke indicators ke combination se chart par ek situation utpann hoti hai jab candles red ho jate hain, iska matlab bullish mode ke bajaye ab bearish mode ko pasand kiya jata hai, aur isliye short trade ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka waqt hota hai. Prices ne linear channel ke upper limit (neeli dotted line) ko cross kiya hai, lekin lowest level tak pohanchne ke baad unho ne ise jump karke channel ke center line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf rukh badla. Direction badal gaya hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ke basement RSI indicator (14) bhi sell signal ko accept kar raha hai, kyun ke short position select karne se yeh contradictory nahi hai - is ki curve downward hai aur oversold level ke upar hai, magar kaafi door tak. Main nateeja nikalta hoon ke ab bechna sab se zyada kaam karne wala hai, aur is liye short deal open karna bilkul justified hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke channel ke lower border (neeli dotted line) par jo price quote 154.520 hai, wahan profit milay ga. Jab order profitable zone mein shift ho jaye, toh us position ko breakeven par laana munasib hai, kyun ke market hamari expectations ko false moves se disrupt karne mein bohat dilchaspi rakhta hai.

Strong selling pressure ke darmiyan, is haftay ki trading mein US dollar ka Japanese yen ke muqablay mein (USD/JPY) girawat dekhne ko mili, jo ke is waqt 152.14 ke support level tak pohnch gayi hai, jo ke pichle teen mahine mein sabse kam hai. Yeh tab hua jab traders Bank of Japan se agle hafte interest rates ke mazeed izafe ki ummeed lagaye hue hain, jisse short sellers apne positions se nikal rahe hain. Is hawale se, ruling party ke senior official Toshimitsu Motegi ne Bank of Japan se monetary policy ko normalize karne ke plan ko wazeh karne ki darkhwast ki, aur kaha ke yen ki zyada girawat se economy par negative asar ho raha hai. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne bhi kaha ke central bank ki monetary policy ka normalization Japan ki growth-based economy mein madadgar sabit hoga. Financial markets filhal agle hafte Bank of Japan ke 10 basis points ke rate hike ka lagbhag 44% chance dekh rahe hain. Is mahine yen ki qeemat mein izafa shuru mein government intervention ke asar se hua, jahan Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq authorities ne 11 se 12 July ke darmiyan tak lagbhag 6 trillion yen khareed liye the. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... US economy ke 2024 ke doosre quarter mein 2% ki growth hone ki umeed hai, jo ke 2024 ke pehle quarter mein 1.4% thi. Is izafe ke bawajood, yeh consecutive quarter ki slowest growth hogi 2022 ke baad se, jab se quarterly growth average 3.1% thi 2021 se 2023 tak, jo ke rising interest rates ke bawajood economy ke slow hone ka ishara hai. Doosre quarter mein consumer spending ke 2.2% tak badhne ki umeed hai, jo pehle quarter ke 1.5% se zyada hai, aur inventories ke lagbhag 1% growth mein shaamil hone ki umeed hai, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta ke GDP estimate ke mutabiq. Magar, residential investment ke pehle quarter ke double-digit growth ke baad contraction hone ke chances hain, aur net trade ke growth par negative impact hone ki umeed hai lower exports ke wajah se.

M15 Minutes Timeframe
Aap ka din acha guzaray! M15 chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo buyers ki koshish ko zahir karta hai jo 153.900 ke level tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh khareedne ka mauqa hai. Behtreen yeh hoga ke hum intezar karain jab tak linear regression channel H1 bhi north ki taraf dekhna shuru kar de. Is liye, main ehtiyat ke saath khareedari karunga. Main channel ke lower edge 153.373 se khareedta hoon. Main sales ko control mein rakhta hoon jo 153.373 se neeche consolidate kar sakti hain, agar yeh hota hai, to main khareedna rok doonga. H1 trend ke saath sales ke barqarar rahne ke imkaanat zyada hain. Buyer na sirf 153.900 ka level achieve karne ki koshish karega, balki us se upar consolidation karne ki bhi koshish karega taa ke trend ko apne haq mein reverse kar sake. Agar yeh kaamyab hota hai, to khareedari jaari rakhi ja sakti hai.

H1 Hour Timeframe

Hourly chart ko dekhte hue, mujhe nazar aata hai ke linear regression channel neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, aur yeh mere liye M15 se zyada ahem hai. Iska matlab hai ke bears taqatwar hain, aur yeh baat ke M15 chart par signal khareedari de raha hai yeh dikhata hai ke market mein ek strong buyer mojood hai. Zaroori hai ke hum price ko theek jagah tak pohanchne dein aur wahan se sell dekhein. Wo jagah jahan se main sales dekhoonga wo channel ka upper border 153.900 hai, jahan se mujhe sell karke channel ke lower border 151.340 tak le jaana hai. Jab target level break ho jaye, to hum mazeed girawat ki umeed kar sakte hain, magar aksar correction ke baad, kyun ke ek developed bearish move hoga, aur bulls apni movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar bulls 153.900 ke level ko cross karte hain, to yeh bullish interest ka sign hoga, jisme sales nafaqam ho jati hain, is liye yeh cancel ho jati hain aur market ke halaat ka dobara jaiza lena padta hai.

Strong selling pressure ke darmiyan, is haftay ki trading mein US dollar ka Japanese yen ke muqablay mein (USD/JPY) girawat dekhne ko mili, jo ke is waqt 152.14 ke support level tak pohnch gayi hai, jo ke pichle teen mahine mein sabse kam hai. Yeh tab hua jab traders Bank of Japan se agle hafte interest rates ke mazeed izafe ki ummeed lagaye hue hain, jisse short sellers apne positions se nikal rahe hain. Is hawale se, ruling party ke senior official Toshimitsu Motegi ne Bank of Japan se monetary policy ko normalize karne ke plan ko wazeh karne ki darkhwast ki, aur kaha ke yen ki zyada girawat se economy par negative asar ho raha hai. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne bhi kaha ke central bank ki monetary policy ka normalization Japan ki growth-based economy mein madadgar sabit hoga. Financial markets filhal agle hafte Bank of Japan ke 10 basis points ke rate hike ka lagbhag 44% chance dekh rahe hain. Is mahine yen ki qeemat mein izafa shuru mein government intervention ke asar se hua, jahan Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq authorities ne 11 se 12 July ke darmiyan tak lagbhag 6 trillion yen khareed liye the. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... US economy ke 2024 ke doosre quarter mein 2% ki growth hone ki umeed hai, jo ke 2024 ke pehle quarter mein 1.4% thi. Is izafe ke bawajood, yeh consecutive quarter ki slowest growth hogi 2022 ke baad se, jab se quarterly growth average 3.1% thi 2021 se 2023 tak, jo ke rising interest rates ke bawajood economy ke slow hone ka ishara hai. Doosre quarter mein consumer spending ke 2.2% tak badhne ki umeed hai, jo pehle quarter ke 1.5% se zyada hai, aur inventories ke lagbhag 1% growth mein shaamil hone ki umeed hai, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta ke GDP estimate ke mutabiq. Magar, residential investment ke pehle quarter ke double-digit growth ke baad contraction hone ke chances hain, aur net trade ke growth par negative impact hone ki umeed hai lower exports ke wajah se.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ki qeemat barh rahi hai. Teesray din bhi lagataar, yeh mazboot ho rahi hai, jo zyada tar investors ke apne paisay safe haven mein rakhne ki wajah se hai. Yeh is umeed ke darmiyan hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni aanay wali policy meeting mein aakhirkar interest rates barha dega. Yeh policy tabdeeli short sellers ko apni positions chor kar nikalne par majboor kar rahi hai, jo Yen ko mazeed mazboot kar rahi hai. Is par mazeed bharak dalte hue, Japan ki ruling party ke senior figures BoJ par zor de rahe hain ke woh apni monetary policy ko normalize karne ke plan ke baare mein zyada wazeh ho, jo interest rate hikes ke zariye hoga. Yeh Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ke growth-based Japanese economy ke vision ke sath milta hai, jo unke khayal mein central bank ki policy normalization par mabni hai. Dosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ko mushkilat ka samna hai. September mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke potential rate cut par barhti hui bets USD/JPY exchange rate par neeche ki taraf dabao daal rahi hain. Market is waqt ye anticipate kar rahe hain ke September meeting mein 25 basis point cut ki 93.6% chance hai, jo peechlay din ki prediction se bohot zyada hai. Ab investors US se aanay wale key data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke unki economy ki sehat par roshni dal sakti hain. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for July aur annual GDP data for Q2 is hafte release hone wale hain. Yeh reports currency movements ko mazeed influence karne wale ahem insights provide kar sakti hain.
USDJPY ki movement Fibonacci levels ke mutabiq. Mere paas is currency pair mein price action par mabni kai trading scenarios hain. Scenario (A) - jo main hai. Main selling opportunities dekh raha hoon kyunki current price 155.182 0% (155.548) aur -50% (154.770) ke darmiyan hai, jo selling pressure zahir karta hai. Kyunki 0% (155.548) previous day ke Daily low ke mutabiq hai, is range mein enter karna selling ke haq mein hai. Main sell karunga -76.4% (154.359) ki taraf jahan main apna profit loonga, apne gains ko badhate hue. Scenario (B) - mukammal tor par scenario (A) ke baraks. Agar market 0% (155.548) aur -50% (154.770) ki range ke upar move karta hai, yeh selling thesis ko invalidate kar deta hai, jo na sirf unattractive balki risky bhi hai. Market reverse kar sakta hai. Is liye, dosray scenario mein, main buying ko consider karunga. Main confirmation ka intezar karunga ke market ne range se breakout kar liya hai, phir main pullback par 0% (155.548) ki taraf buy karunga aur target karunga 50% (156.326). Main wahan apni position ko partially close karunga, break even karunga, aur aim karunga 100% (157.104).

### USD/JPY Market Analysis

**Salam Traders,**

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ka tajziya karenge. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, aaj kuch shandar opportunities hain long trading ke liye. Agar market analysis ko sahi tareeqay se approach kiya jaye, to aaj aapko USD/JPY mein long trades se acchi profits mil sakti hain. Mere paas aaj ek interesting resistance level hai, jismein buying ki koshish karna trade karne ke liye achi baat ho sakti hai. Yeh level hai 154.627.

**Market Situation:**

Filhal, price 154.284 ke aas paas range kar rahi hai. Mere money management ke hisaab se, abhi aur kuch long trades launch karne mein koi masla nahi hai, lekin zaroori hai ke price 153.934 se neeche na aaye. Agar price is level ke neeche jaati hai, to mujhe samajh aayega ke meri analysis galat thi, aur mai trading ko band kar dunga aur din ke baad sirf observer ban kar rahunga.

**Trading Expectations:**

Mujhe lagta hai ke bullish growth ka chance hai, kyunki bade player ka rujhan zyada buying ki taraf hai. Filhal, main bearish trades ko consider nahi kar raha, magar theoretically agar sellers ke attempts successful hote hain aur price 153.241 tak girti hai, to yeh ek target ho sakta hai. Yeh option kafi risky hai, isliye abhi is par focus nahi kar raha.

**Summary:**

Aaj ke din USD/JPY mein long trades par focus rakhna sahi lagta hai, provided price 153.934 ke neeche na aaye. Market ke current behavior se lagta hai ke bullish trend develop ho sakta hai. Bearish trades ke liye, abhi tak koi serious consideration nahi ki gayi hai. Trading ka safar aapke liye profitable rahe!

Advertiser ke mutabiq, Japan ka services sector index June 2024 mein 47.0 par pohanch gaya, jo May mein ek saal aur aadhe ke sabse kam level 45.7 par tha. Yeh bazaar ke andazay 46.3 se zyada tha. Yeh pehli martaba chaar maheenon mein izafa tha, jahan household budget trends mein retail aur doosri relevant indicators ke izafay ki wajah se behtari hui. Employment measure bhi zyada tha. Saath hi saath, corporate trends ka measure non-manufacturing industry ke decline ki wajah se kam hua. Is dauraan, economic expectations index April ke 46.3 se barh kar 47.9 ho gaya, jo November 2022 ke baad pehli martaba chaar maheenon mein izafa tha, aur economy ke recovery par optimism se supported tha

jisse short sellers apne positions se nikal rahe hain. Is hawale se, ruling party ke senior official Toshimitsu Motegi ne Bank of Japan se monetary policy ko normalize karne ke plan ko wazeh karne ki darkhwast ki, aur kaha ke yen ki zyada girawat se economy par negative asar ho raha hai. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne bhi kaha ke central bank ki monetary policy ka normalization Japan ki growth-based economy mein madadgar sabit hoga. Financial markets filhal agle hafte Bank of Japan ke 10 basis points ke rate hike ka lagbhag 44% chance dekh rahe hain. Is mahine yen ki qeemat mein izafa shuru mein government intervention ke asar se hua, jahan Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq authorities ne 11 se 12 July ke darmiyan tak lagbhag 6 trillion yen khareed liye the. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq

Aaj USD/JPY ke liye expectation:
Daily chart ke mutabiq, US dollar aur Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka price downward channel banane ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin yeh koshishien kamiyab nahi hui jab tak currency pair support levels 159.20 aur 157.80 ki taraf move nahi karta. Currency pair shayad narrow range mein move karta rahe jab tak US inflation numbers aur US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ki testimony ke announcements ka reaction nahi aata. Doosri taraf, bulls wapas 161.80 resistance level ki taraf aaye, bearish channel ke attempts ko khatam karte hue

USD/JPY currency pair mein kuch chal raha hai. Is pair ki qeemat zyada barhne ka imkaan nahi hai. Japan ne apni weak yen ke khilaaf stance ko phir se dohraaya hai, jo mere mutabiq price mein zyada izafa nahi hone dega. Mojooda market trends aur economic indicators ke madde nazar, mein short term mein US dollar ke kuch mazboot hone aur phir fluctuation aur potential weakening ki tawaqqa karta hoon. Yeh sirf meri rai hai, aur market dynamics aksar ghair mutawaqqa ho sakti hain. Waqt hi batayega ke yeh forecast kitna durust hai.
Market ne Bank of Japan ke representative ki baat ko skeptically liya, jinhon ne kaha ke Bank kisi bhi waqt intervene kar sakti hai aur 24/7 karne ka imkaan hai. Is announcement ne Friday ko yen mein ek chhoti si spike paida ki, lekin decline uske baad stabilize ho gaya. Trading range 160.16 aur 159.31 ke darmiyan hai, aur yeh pair is range mein hi rehne ka imkaan hai jab tak ke US se koi significant news na aaye—agar Bank of Japan apni verbal warnings se zyada significant interventions na kare. Agar growth 160.16 ko cross karti hai, toh pair ko khareedna risky ho sakta hai, chahe technical indicators kuch bhi kahen. Hum isey closely observe karenge. US mein positive trends pair ko higher targets tak le ja sakti hain, lekin hum dekhenge ke cheezen kaise unfold hoti hain. Agar channel hold karta hai, toh growth target 164th range mein ho sakta hai, jo technical analysis ke mutabiq plausible hai. Humein Bank of Japan ke actions ke hawale se hoshiyar rehna hoga

USD/JPY pair mein traders jo is trend ko pehchan lete hain, woh long positions le sakte hain aur expected upward movement ka faida utha sakte hain support level ke ird gird, bullish momentum ka faida uthane ke liye. Market conditions USD/JPY currency pair ke liye long positions ke liye promising scenario dikhati hain, jahan support levels 161.35-161.21 ko well-held dekha gaya hai aur 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ki taraf potential upward movement ek favorable opportunity hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength jo recent price actions se zahir hoti hai aur expected US dollar weakening bullish outlook ko mazid mazbooti deti hai

The US Dollar moved against the Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) throughout this week's trading, with losses extending to the 152.14 support level, marking the lowest level for the currency pair in over three months. This downward movement is largely due to traders betting on the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raising interest rates again next week, prompting short sellers to exit their positions. Toshimitsu Motegi, a senior official in the ruling party, urged the BoJ to explain its plan to normalize monetary policy by gradually raising interest rates, highlighting that excessive yen weakness negatively impacts the economy. Similarly, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida mentioned that normalizing monetary policy will support Japan's transition to a growth-based economy.

Currently, financial markets see a 44% probability of a 10 basis point interest rate hike by the BoJ next week. The yen's rise this month was initially attributed to government intervention, with BoJ data suggesting that the authority may have bought nearly 6 trillion yen from July 11 to 12.

Looking at the US economy, it is projected to grow by 2% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2024, up from 1.4% in the first three months of 2024. Despite this improvement, it represents the slowest consecutive quarterly growth since 2022. Quarterly growth averaged 3.1% from 2021 to 2023, indicating an economic slowdown amid rising interest rates. Consumer spending is expected to recover and rise by 2.2% in the second quarter, up from 1.5% in the first quarter. Inventories are likely to contribute about 1% to growth, according to GDP estimates from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. However, residential investment is expected to contract after double-digit growth in the first quarter, and net trade is likely to have a negative impact on growth due to lower exports.

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt 0.8935 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, jo ke din ke shuru hone ke position ke qareeb hai. D1 (daily) chart par yeh 153.84 par hai, jahan trading volume aam tor par kam hota hai. Yeh position near the opening level yeh suggest karti hai ke market is waqt balanced hai, na buyers na sellers significant dominance dikhate hain. Lekin kuch indicators suggest karte hain ke upward movement on the horizon ho sakti hai.
Agar price D1 chart par 154.00 level ke upar rehti hai, to pair ka upward trajectory continue rehne ki umeed hai. 154.00 level ek crucial support level hai, jo further gains ka foundation act karta hai. Agar price is level ke upar rehti hai, to agla target 155.00 hoga, jo ek psychological resistance point hai aur traders ke liye round number appeal ki wajah se aam tor par price action ka magnet kaam karta hai.

155.00 ke beyond, agla significant target 157.00 ya us se upar hoga. Yeh potential move 157+ tak bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai, jo current market conditions se supported hai. Ongoing buying pressure in levels par yeh indicate karta hai ke traders positions ko accumulate kar rahe hain further gains ki anticipation mein. Yeh buying pressure substantial support provide karta hai, jo short term mein significant downward movements ke likelihood ko reduce karta hai.

Technical analysis bhi is bullish outlook ko support karta hai. Key indicators, jaise ke moving averages aur relative strength indices (RSIs) yeh dikhate hain ke pair favorable position mein hai further upward movement ke liye. Moving averages, khaaskar D1 chart par, ek positive trend dikhate hain, jahan shorter-term averages longer-term ones ke upar cross kar rahi hain, jo continued bullish momentum ko signal karta hai.

Additionally, RSI overbought levels se neeche hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair ke pass abhi bhi higher move karne ka room hai without significant selling pressure encounter kiye. Yeh technical setup, aur 154.00 level par fundamental support ke sath, ek strong case create karta hai for continued bullish trend in USD/JPY pair.

Fundamentally, broader economic conditions bhi is upward movement ko favor karte hain. US dollar ki strength, economic growth aur interest rate differentials se driven, USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish sentiment ko add karti hai. Japan ki economic policies aur market interventions bhi ek role play karti hain in supporting a weaker yen, jo USD/JPY pair ke upward movement ko benefit karti hai.

Conclusion mein, USD/JPY pair is waqt din ke shuru hone ke level ke qareeb hai 153.84 par D1 chart par. Agar price critical 154.00 level ke upar rehti hai, to pair ka upward movement continue rehne ki umeed hai towards 155.00 aur possibly extending to 157.00 ya us se upar. Current market conditions, jo ke substantial buying pressure aur supportive technical indicators se characterized hain, USD/JPY pair mein further gains ke liye ek favorable environment suggest karti hain. Traders ko in key levels ke ird gird price action ko watch karna chahiye to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.

USD/JPY ki price reverse hui aur dheemi si downward move karti hui, ek uncertainty candle banayi jo thodi bearish bias rakhti thi. Yeh candle aakhir kar 154.36 ke support level ke neeche rahi, jo mere notes ke mutabiq hai. Is support level ke aas paas do possible scenarios ho sakte hain.
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke agar price 154.36 ke support level ke neeche rehti hai, to hum downward movement ka silsila dekh sakte hain. Yeh scenario yeh indicate karega ke bearish pressure itna strong hai ke price ko is key level ke neeche rakh sake. Traders phir selling pressure ke mazeed signs dekhain ge, jo price ko aur neeche push kar sakta hai. Yeh mazeed lower support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jo further technical analysis se identify kiye ja sakte hain.

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke agar price rise kar ke 154.36 ke support level ke upar rehti hai, to hum upward movement ka silsila dekh sakte hain. Yeh suggest karega ke bearish pressure temporary tha aur buyers wapas market mein aa rahe hain. Agar yeh hota hai, to price north ki taraf move karte hue agle resistance level tak pohanch sakti hai, jo 154.53 aur 155.00 ke beech hai. Yeh range crucial hai kyunki yeh agla barrier represent karta hai jo price ko overcome karna hoga for a sustained upward trend.

Agar price 154.36 ke resistance level ke upar rehti hai, to main wait karunga ke price north ki taraf apni movement ko continue kare. Target 154.53 se 155.00 ke resistance range hoga. Yeh area important hai kyunki isko break karna ek stronger bullish trend ko signal kar sakta hai. Traders buying pressure ke signs dekhain ge aur possibly long positions ke entry points dekhain ge.

Is range mein price action ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga. Agar 154.53-155.00 ke qareeb koi hesitation ya reversal signs aate hain, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke resistance strong hai aur hum ek aur downward push dekh sakte hain. Aise case mein, traders apni positions ko reconsider kar sakte hain aur possible retracement ke liye prepare ho sakte hain.

Summary mein, current situation USD/JPY ke sath do key scenarios present karti hai 154.36 support level ke aas paas. Agar price is level ke neeche rehti hai, to bearish trend continue rehne ki umeed hai, jo mazeed declines ko lead kar sakti hai. Lekin agar price 154.36 ke upar move karke rehti hai, to hum upward movement ka silsila dekh sakte hain towards 154.53-155.00 resistance range. Is critical area mein price action ko monitor karna informed trading decisions ke liye essential hoga.