USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY


Introduction
The US Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY) are two of the most traded currencies in the global financial market. The exchange rate between these currencies is influenced by a variety of factors, including economic policies, financial conditions, and global economic situations.

US Dollar (USD)
The US Dollar is the official currency of the United States and is widely regarded as the world's primary reserve currency. Its value is influenced by several factors, including the US economic performance, the policies of the Federal Reserve, and global geopolitical events. The USD's strength and stability make it a benchmark in the global financial market.

Japanese Yen (JPY)
The Japanese Yen is the official currency of Japan and is considered one of the most stable and liquid currencies in the world. The value of the Yen is influenced by Japan's economic conditions, the policies of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), and the country's trade balance. Japan's status as a major exporter also impacts the Yen's value, with demand for Japanese goods affecting its exchange rate.

Factors Affecting the Exchange Rate
The USD/JPY exchange rate is influenced by several factors:
-Economic Performance**: The economic performance of both countries significantly impacts the exchange rate.
Monetary Policies**: The policies of the central banks, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, play a crucial role in determining the value of the currencies.
Interest Rate Differentials**: Differences in interest rates between the US and Japan can drive changes in the USD/JPY exchange rate as investors seek higher returns.
Global Financial Market**: The state of the global financial market, such as trade agreements, geopolitical tensions, or global pandemics, can also influence the exchange rate.
Safe-Haven Status**: The Yen is often seen as a safe-haven currency, meaning it tends to appreciate during times of global economic uncertainty or market volatility.

Historical Analysis
Historically, the USD/JPY exchange rate has seen significant fluctuations. Periods of economic growth in the US have often led to a stronger Dollar, while economic crises or uncertainty have sometimes boosted the Yen's value due to its safe-haven status. Additionally, Japan's persistent low interest rates and deflationary pressures have influenced the long-term trends of the exchange rate.

Recent Situation
In recent times, the USD/JPY rate has experienced considerable changes due to factors like economic recovery post-pandemic, shifts in monetary policies, and varying global economic conditions. The US Dollar has shown both strength and weakness against the Japanese Yen, reflecting the dynamic nature of the global economic landscape.

Conclusion
When comparing the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen, it is essential to consider various factors. Economic performance, monetary policies, interest rate differentials, and the state of the global financial market play a crucial role in determining the exchange rate between these two currencies. For investors, understanding these factors and aligning their investment strategies accordingly is vital to navigating the complexities of the forex market.

Hello, dear members! Koi mukhtalif alternatives maujood nahi hain; ab se yeh girna shuru hoga, ya baad mein 161.50 pe. 161.85 pe, khaas resistance hosakta hai. Kuch indications hain potential U-turn ke, magar market zyada farq nahi par raha. Japanese economy tel ke imports par depend karti hai, jo ke seedha exchange rate ko affect karti hai. Maujooda tel ke price situation yen ki value ko affect karti hai, aur demand us hisaab se adjust hosakti hai. Magar abhi bhi yeh uncertain hai ke yeh kitna hoga. General taur pe, main expect karta hoon ke yeh 161.00 tak girayga. Halaankeh humein kuch resistance mili extended position pe, limited accumulation form hui hai. Situation abhi bhi clear nahi hai. Is liye, main suggest karta hoon ke koi bhi moves karne se pehle concrete signals ka wait karein. Maujooda H4 chart yeh indicate karta hai ke agar aapko sell-off ka signal dikhai deta hai, to zaroori hai ke active wave ke lower point 162.80 se niche jaye. Yeh likely ek correction ya reversal trigger karega following a three-wave structure. Agar price maujooda level se upar jane ki koshish karti hai, to yeh 161.58 ke around resistance face karegi, aur advisable hai ke stop losses accordingly set kiye jayein

USD/JPY pair mein, kal price ne pura din consolidate kiya, jis ka natija ek candle of indecision tha jo ke pehle din ke range mein close hui. Overall, main yeh consider karta hoon ke yeh accumulation ek bullish breakout pe end hoga aur jaise ke main pehle mention kar chuka hoon, jab bullish scenario pe kaam kar rahe hoon, to main resistance level 164.500 pe nazar rakhoonga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do scenarios hosakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur bullish movement continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price next resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka wait karunga, jo ke market ki further direction determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi hai ke price further north higher targets ki taraf push kare, magar filhaal, main is option ko consider nahi karta kyunki mujhe iski quick realization ke prospects nazar nahi aate. Alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb pohonchti hai, to ek reversal candle formation hosakti hai aur price ka movement downwards resume hosakta hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 160.209 ya support level 157.671 pe wapas jaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals search karta rahunga, expecting ke price apna upward movement resume kare. General taur pe, agar hum briefly baat karein, to abhi main consider karta hoon ke price nearest resistance level ki taraf push hosakti hai, aur phir main market situation assess karunga, bullish scenarios ko priority dete hue

Hello mate! Mujhe #USD/JPY ka situation samajh nahi aa raha. Main expect nahi kar raha tha ke price 160 tak chali jayegi. Nahi, mera wahan pe ek original plan tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke is device pe fundamental tareeke se kaam karna abhi bhi development hai. Lekin aakhri do trading weeks mein sales mein correction dekhi gayi hai. Aur is correction pe, jitna main samajhta hoon, ek internal rollback shuru hua hai. Aur yeh rollback doosri wave pe bhi hai. Oh, main is situation mein trading se wary hoon. Kyunke doosri wave ko sabse saaf, sabse understandable mana jata hai kisi bhi engine pe, trading is recommended. Aur teesri pe, market makers ka swan song chal raha hota hai: ya to woh karenge, ya nahi karenge. Rollback minimal hoga ya nahi, ya woh rocket ko space mein launch kar denge - yeh sab kuch unpredictable hai, kyunke market comrades wahan apne maamlaat settle kar rahe hain, debit aur credit ko balance kar rahe hain. Wave technique ke mutabiq is instrument ka, mujhe samajh aaya ke, asal mein, 157.80 pe rollback khatam ho sakta hai. Hum ek naya entry catch kar sakte hain aur teesri wave ko develop kar sakte hain. Ab mujhe kuch nazar nahi aata. Notation technique ke mutabiq, yeh produce hota hai: MA100 abhi ke liye bullish trend establish kar raha hai - yeh north pull kar raha hai five degree angle pe. Humari sari candles MA100 ke upar zone mein form ho rahi hain. Teeno Bollinger bands present hain - humari key moving average ke upar, matlab market buy mode mein hai. Hum abhi Semaphore ke Global Sell Signal ke neeche trade kar rahe hain. Lekin is pe major complaints hain. Zyada specific, is situation pe jahan yeh appear hua. Kyunke price Ballinger Band ke upar zone tak nahi pohanch saka - iska matlab bulls ne apne sab plans fulfill nahi kiye. Dusra cheez jo mujhe confuse kar raha hai woh yeh hai ke Ballinger Bands ne chart cut ko cross kiya hai, jo bhi ek sure sign hai ke pair pe hidden bulls hain. Main market ke bahar rehta hoon

DJPY currency pair ke latest technical analysis ke mutabiq, ek mazboot bullish trend nazar aata hai. Ek technical indicator jo is manzur ko support karta hai woh EMA 50 ka position hai jo EMA 100 ke oopar hai. Ye shart aam tor par bullish signal ke tour par consider ki jati hai kyun ke EMA 50 jaldi time frame mein price movements ko reflect karta hai EMA 100 ke mukable. Jab chhota EMA lamba EMA se oopar hota hai, to yeh darshata hai ke chhote term ki momentum zyada hai aur price ko upar ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY ne ahem resistance level 157.704 ko toorna hai. Is resistance ke tootne ka matlab hai ke kharidari ki takat kaafi mazboot hai jo price ko pehle upper limit ke tour par consider kiya gaya tha, woh paar karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Ek tootne wala resistance level aksar ek naya support level ban jaata hai, isliye price is level ke aas paas correction ya



consolidation ka samna karna tend kar hai pehle apne upward movement ko jaari rakhne se pehle. Abhi, price pehle wale high point 160,174 ke neeche hai. Yeh high point bullish trend ke jaari rehne ke liye tootna zaroori hai. Agar price is high level ko paar kar leti hai, to phir aage ke izaafay ki bohot zyada mumkinat khuli huyi hain. Pehle wale high level ko tootna aksar yeh baat confirm karta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi mazboot hai aur jaari reh sakta hai. USDJPY currency pair H1 timeframe par ab kaafi mazboot bullish signs dikhata hai. Is bullish tendency ka ek main indication yeh hai ke price 159.901 resistance level par atkaa hua hai. Pehle, price ne 159.296 support level tak ek correction ka saamna kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support area tak neeche kheench gaya tha. 159,296 support level tak pohanchne ke baad, price ne phir se bullish strength dikhayi aur barhti huyi. Yeh darshata hai ke 159,296 support ne price girne ko rokne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai aur buyers ke liye phir se market mein daakhil hone ka modd hai. Is support ko chhootne ke baad huyi price increase darshata hai ke market sentiment abhi taak buying power dwara dominate ki ja rahi hai. Abhi, price phir se 159,901 resistance level ke qareeb ja raha hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke jaari rehne ko taay karta hai. Agar price 159,901 resistance ko toorna kaamyaab hoti hai, to yeh signal dega ke kharidari takat kaafi mazboot hai ke price ko upar ki taraf le ja sake. Is resistance ke tootne se price ke aur increase ke opportunities khul sakti hain. USD/JPY currency pair ki price action assessment ka mozu hai. USD/JPY currency pair mein ek potential intervention ke asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Pair ki price significant taur

USD/JPY currency pair ek interesting rasta par hai jab yeh apni upward momentum regain karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Haal hi mein, yeh pair 155.76 level par significant resistance ka samna kar raha tha. Bulls ki koshish ke bawajood, candlestick is critical zone ko break karne mein kamiyaab nahi hui, jo dikhata hai ke yeh abhi bhi further gains ke liye ek strong barrier hai. Technical charts dikhate hain ke USD/JPY ne mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments ki wajah se kai fluctuations face kiye hain. 155.76 par bounce yeh suggest karta hai ke substantial buying interest mojood hai, jo support provide karta hai aur further decline ko rokta hai. Bullish traders ke liye yeh bounce ek pivotal moment hai, jo upward trend ko resume karne ke liye ek potential turning point signal karta hai. Lekin, candlestick ka 155.76 zone ko break na kar paana yeh dikhata hai ke bears abhi bhi considerable pressure exert kar rahe hain. Yeh aik aise scenario create karta hai jahan market participants ko strength ya weakness ke signs closely dekhne chahiye. Agar pair is resistance level ko break karta hai, toh yeh ek nayi upward move lead kar sakta hai, jo higher resistance levels ko target kar sakti hai.
Fundamental factors bhi USD/JPY ke behavior mein ek crucial role play karte hain. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments sab pair ke movements ko influence karte hain. Misal ke taur par, US Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance US dollar ki strength ko significantly impact karta hai, jabke Japan ki economic outlook aur Bank of Japan ki policies yen ki performance ko affect karti hain. Iske ilawa, market sentiment aur risk appetite bhi pair ke trajectory ko influence karte hain. Global uncertainty ke dauran, yen aksar US dollar ke against safe haven ki tarah strengthen hota hai. Iske muqabil, optimism aur risk-taking ke periods mein, US dollar yen ke against gain karta hai. Traders aur investors jab USD/JPY pair ko monitor karte hain, toh technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels provide valuable insights kar sakte hain potential future movements ke bare mein. Yeh tools trends, overbought ya oversold conditions, aur key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain.

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USD-JPY PAIR REVIEW
Aaj ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair ka aaj phir se 157.60 ke qareeb barhne ki tendency hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke H1 time frame mein USDJPY currency pair ki movement ne bullish engulfing candle banaya hai, jo BUY USDJPY ke liye bohat taqatwar signal hai 157.60 ke qareeb.

Lekin humein USDJPY ke aaj ke downward correction par bhi tawajjo deni chahiye, kyun ke RSI 14 indicator ki meri nazar mein USDJPY ki keemat 157.46 par overbought hai, yaani ke bohat zyada khareed ke liye saturated hai, isliye Asian market mein USDJPY ko 10-40 pips tak gehri neeche ki taraf correction honay ka khatra hai.

USDJPY H1 time frame par bullish signal deta hai ek taqatwar bullish engulfing candle ke zariye, lekin RSI par overbought hone ke baad downward correction ko bhi dekhna chahiye. SBR area aur potential correction ko madde nazar rakhte hue USDJPY ko 157.00 tak SELL karne ki strategy bohat wise lagti hai.

H4 time frame par bhi USDJPY mein head and shoulders pattern banne ki alamat nazar aati hai, jo agar neckline around 157.00 toot jaye toh reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Yeh SELL signal ko mazeed mazboot karta hai jo aapne zikr kiya hai.

SELL USDJPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods bhi support karte hain, kyun ke jab USDJPY keemat ne 157.46 ko touch kiya toh woh SBR area mein thi, yaani support se resistance ban gayi thi, isliye aaj USDJPY ko 157.00 tak downward correction ka khatra hai.

Aaj ke technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya hai ke future mein USDJPY ko 157.00 tak SELL karna hai.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj USDJPY currency pair ka movement phir se barhne ke imkanaat hain aur yeh 157.60 ke price tak ja sakta hai. Yeh is liye ke H1 time frame mein USDJPY currency pair ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai jo ke BUY USDJPY ka bohot strong signal hai aur yeh 157.60 tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin humein aaj USDJPY ke downward correction se bhi hoshiyar rehna chahiye kyun ke meri RSI 14 indicator par observation ke mutabiq, USDJPY price 157.46 par overbought hai yaani ke yeh zyada kharidari ki wajah se saturated hai, is liye yeh imkaan hai ke Asian market mein USDJPY 10-40 pips tak neeche ja sakta hai.
USDJPY H1 timeframe mein ek strong bullish engulfing candle ke sath bullish signal de raha hai, lekin downward correction ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai kyunki RSI pe overbought condition hai. 157.00 tak USDJPY ko SELL karne ki strategy, SBR area aur potential correction ko dekhte hue, bohot aqalmandana lagti hai. H4 timeframe mein, USDJPY head and shoulders pattern banane ke asraat dikha raha hai jo ke reversal ka indication ho sakta hai agar neckline 157.00 ke qareeb tooti. Yeh SELL signal ko mazid mazboot karta hai jo aapne mention kiya hai

SELL USDJPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods bhi support karti hain kyunki jab USDJPY price 157.46 par aaya tha tab yeh SBR area mein tha yaani support become resistance, is liye bohot imkaan hai ke aaj USDJPY neeche correction dekhe aur 157.00 tak pohanch sakta hai. Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine subah USDJPY ko 157.00 ke price tak future mein SELL karne ka faisla kiya hai

Channel M15 bhi isi direction mein point kar raha hai. Dono channels ka ek hi direction mein move karna is instrument ki upward movement ko highlight karta hai. Ab mere liye purchases zaruri hain. Channel ke bottom, level 161.204 ke around, main entry point consider karta hoon. Mandi ki umeed hai ke market 162.030 tak uthega - yeh channel ka upper border hai, jahan se market decline karega. Agar market upper border ke paas zyada der tak raha, to aksar decline hota hai channel ke bottom tak. Main downward movement ko skip karta hoon bina sales ke. Selling ka matlab hai trend ke against jaana, aur agar pullback na ho aur growth continue ho. Isliye, main market mein entry ka method pullback ke sath use karta hoon. Mujhe lagta hai yeh method strong players ke sath kaam karega, jo bears se lar kar upar jayenge. Is case mein top tak pohanchne ke chances significantly barh jate hain

Pehla scenario price ke is level ke upar hold karne aur upward move continue karne se related hai. Agar yeh plan hota hai, to main price ke next resistance level, jo 164.500 par located hai, tak move hone ka intezar karunga. Agar price is resistance level ke upar hold karta hai, to main aage northward movement ka intezar karunga, aur next resistance level 168.000 tak pohanchne ka. Is resistance level ke around, main trading pattern ki formation ka intezar karunga jo further trading direction decide karne mein madad karega. Main is movement ke doran pullback ka bhi possibility consider karta hoon, jo ke mujhe nearest support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne mein madad karega, in anticipation ke price movement upward continue karega, global bullish trend ke formation ke sath. Ek aur alternative price movement ke liye jab resistance level 161.951 ke kareeb ho, reversal candle ki formation aur south ki taraf corrective movement ka plan hai. Agar yeh plan hota hai, to main price ke support level 160.209 tak return hone ka intezar karunga ya next support level 157.671 tak. In support levels ke around, main bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, in anticipation ke price movement upward continue karega. Overall, summarize karne ke liye, filhal main price ke north push hone ki possibility consider kar raha hoon towards nearest resistance level, aur agar buyers ne iske upar hold kar liya, to phir main apna target door ke northern target pe shift kar dunga

Jumma ke din, early trading mein US dollar thora sa Japanese yen ke muqablay mein piche reh gaya. Kam az kam mukhtalif post ke liye, yeh thoda sa aasani se sabit hua keh is se pehle ke nuqsanat ki taraf mauqa mil raha hai. 160 yen level aik dilchaspi angaiz manzil hai, jo market mein umooman izafa ki taraf ishara deti hai. Amreeki aur Japanese interest rates mein farq is tawanai mein aham kirdar ada karte hain.
In tafseeli al-khasbat ke mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke pair aakhir mein dubara uncha nishan hasil karne ki koshish kare. Magar ehmiyat hai keh sardi ka trading aksar kam margin se mutasir hota hai, jo market ke amal ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Agar pair 160 yen level se neeche gir jaye, to yeh bearish mood ko trigger kar sakta hai. Magar mukhtalif nazariya ke mutabiq, market ke hissadaran aakhir mein ittefaq par pohnchenge, shayad uncha safar ke maqsad mein.

Hum is dor mein ho sakte hain jahan market haal ki kamai ko tasdeeq karta hai, lekin overall trend uncha rehne ki taraf muntazir nazar aata hai. Traders ko rozana bhar hone wale interest rates ka ilm hona chahiye jo musbat soch ko support karte hain. Agar price 160 yen se neeche gir bhi jaye, to 50-day EMA jo 157.75 level ke qareeb hai, kai doosre ahem levels ke sath, aik mumkin support zone faraham karta hai.

Ikhtitami guftagu mein, mein customer ban kar rahunga aur umeed karta hoon keh pair ooper jayega. Bunyadi asal cheezain jaise ke interest rate farq is nazariye ko support karte hain. Chhotey arse ki shaded hosla afzai ke mozu par bhi, overall trend naye izafa ke liye tayar nazar aata hai, jo haalat ko khareedne ke liye aik dilchaspi angaiz mauqa banata hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne H-4 (four-hour) chart par interesting price behavior dikhaya hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan complex interplay ko reflect karta hai. Pehle, pair ek upward trend channel mein tha, jo strong bullish momentum ko suggest karta tha. Traders aur investors ne isse US dollar ki Japanese yen ke muqable mein continued strength ka sign samjha, jo shayad interest rates, economic performance aur dono mulkon ke darmiyan geopolitical stability jese mukhtalif macroeconomic factors se mutasir tha Lekin, haal ke movements ne market dynamics mein potential shifts ko suggest kiya, jo bullish trend ki sustainability par sawal uthate hain. Kai technical indicators ne caution ka signal dena shuru kar diya. Misal ke taur par, Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai, overbought levels ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. Ek RSI reading 70 se upar aam tor par indicate karti hai ke asset overbought hai aur correction due ho sakta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai jab pair higher prices sustain karne mein mushkilat mehsoos kar raha hai
Iske ilawa, moving averages, jo price data ko smooth out kar ke ek specified period ke liye trends identify karti hain, ne kuch mixed signals dikhaye hain. Jab ke shorter-term moving averages abhi bhi longer-term ones ke upar ho sakte hain, jo continued upward trend ko indicate karta hai, unke darmiyan gap kam ho raha hai. Yeh convergence point kar sakta hai weakening trend par, jahan buyers apni dominance kho rahe hain aur sellers control hasil kar sakte hain
Ek aur significant factor resistance levels ka mojood hona hai, jo price points hain jahan selling pressure buying pressure ko overcome kar leta hai, jiski wajah se price reverse ya stall ho jati hai. H-4 chart par, USD/JPY pair ne kuch key levels ke ird-gird strong resistance encounter kiya hai. Agar pair yeh resistance levels ko convincingly break nahi kar pata, to yeh reversal ya consolidation phase ko lead kar sakta hai, jahan price sideways range mein move karti hai
Mazid, fundamental analysis ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Economic indicators jese ke US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, Japanese economic data, aur Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki central bank policies pair ki price action ko shape karne mein crucial roles play karti hain. In factors mein kisi bhi significant changes se substantial volatility aur market sentiment mein abrupt shift aa sakta hai
In conclusion, jab ke USD/JPY currency pair H-4 chart par ek upward trend channel mein tha, jo bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai, recent movements aur technical indicators potential shifts in market dynamics ko suggest karte hain. Traders ko key resistance levels, moving averages, aur RSI readings ko closely monitor karna chahiye possible trend reversal ya continuation ke signs ke liye. Iske ilawa, relevant economic events aur policy decisions ke bare mein updated rehna crucial hoga pair ke direction mein potential changes ko navigate karne ke liye

USD/JPY currency pair. Pichle trading hafta mein, American dollar ne sellers ko apni zordar decline se khush kiya. US ki news ayi, indicators expected se bohot zyada kharab nikle aur price neeche gir gayi, magar sirf Japanese currency ke against nahi, balki almost puray market spectrum mein. Canadian dollar ke ilawa, jo ab tak mazboot hai. Takriban 400 points bohot jaldi neeche gir gaye. Is decline ke dauran, price ne support payi ek ascending support line ki form mein jo waves ke bottoms ke sath built hui thi aur wahan se upar rebound hui, phir dobara descent aur rebound aur dobara line ko press kiya. Magar wave structure upar ki taraf apna order banata ja raha hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, magar apni signal line ke neeche. Aur ab do options hain. Ya to phir se grow karna aur horizontal resistance level 160.30 tak pohchna, ya neeche jaana aur ascending line ko break karna. Main growth ke haq mein hoon kyunke CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur uspe growth signal dikh raha hai - ek bullish convergence. Aur line ke base par, yeh ek acha signal hai. Aur waise bhi, yeh zaroori nahi ke upward trend puri tarah khatam ho gaya hai aur ek deeper correction follow karega. Shayad ziada sellers ko recruit karne ke liye jo sochte hain, achha, akhirkar, ek reversal, price ab bhi yahan ek din ke liye sideways ja sakti hai. Positions ka accumulation hoga aur woh asani se unhein phir se bilkul top tak le ja sakte hain, resistance level 160.32 ko break karte hue. Har haal mein, agar sales ko consider karte hain, to abhi line par bilkul best jagah nahi hai. Magar main waqai mein khareedna bhi nahi chahta kyunke yeh line pehle hi upar se kuch achay departures de chuki hai, magar sirf line nahi, yahan horizontal support level bhi hai 157.72.

USD/JPY pair Monday ko 158.00 ke around trade kar rahi thi. Daily chart suggest karta hai ek potential weakening trend, pair key support level ko break kar rahi hai. Additional, ek technical indicator jo momentum ko measure karta hai, wo neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, bearish sentiment ko reinforce karte hue. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to pair dobara apne June low 154.55 ko revisit kar sakti hai. Magar, ek reversal ka chance abhi bhi hai. Resistance levels jo 14-day Exponential Moving Average aur ascending channel ke lower boundary ke kareeb hain, kuch support offer kar sakte hain. Agar price action wapas ascending channel ke andar chali jati hai, to yeh ek renewed bullish sentiment signal kar sakta hai USD/JPY ke liye, potential target channel ke upper limit ke kareeb ho sakta hai. Essentially, assassination attempt ne currency market mein volatility inject ki hai. Agle kuch hafton mein yen further weaken ho sakti hai risk aversion aur Japanese authorities ke potential intervention ke wajah se, magar technical indicators suggest karte hain ke ek possible trend reversal ho sakta hai agar USD/JPY pair key support levels ko dobara capture kar leti hai. Agle kuch haftay yen aur dollar ke future trajectory ko determine karne mein crucial honge, US election ke developments aur Japan ki further intervention attempts ko closely dekhna padega

USD/JPY Price Movement

Hamara guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke price ko live dekhne ke sath hai. Mere paas dono directions mein positions hain, lekin main ziada bullish side ki taraf hoon. Bearish shadows aur minimum level 157.175 ko dekhne ke baad, yeh mumkin hai ke ek ahista ahista bullish movement small zigzags mein ho. Agar US dollar doosri currencies ke muqable mein kamzor ho jata hai, to yeh zaroori nahi ke Japanese yen ke khilaf bhi yeh trend follow kare. Is liye, pehla scenario bullish movement ka hai. Lekin, bearish attempt ziada mumkin nahi lagti. Yeh recent decline ke baad daily chart pe ek correction ki tarah lagti hai. Choti correction ke baad, zigzag pattern ban sakta hai chahe bullish ho ya bearish side pe. Mujhe bullish zigzag pasand hai.



Mujhe umeed hai ke 157.009 level ko is hafte ke end, shayad Friday ke close ke qareeb test karne ki koshish hogi. Iske baad, do outcomes mumkin hain: ek to annual high 161.959 tak wapas jana, ya phir 157.009 se niche gir ke 153.659 tak jana, jo ke 38.2 Fibonacci level ke mutabiq hai. Yeh dosra scenario ziada pasand hai aur mere cross-rate sell orders ke sath align karta hai, jo isko bohot favorable banata hai. Hume kal ke market opening ka intezar karna hoga dekhne ke liye ke kya bears yen ko 157.509 se niche push kar sakte hain. Price hourly chart pe ek descending channel mein thi, jo upper border 158.709 tak pohonchi aaj. Is level ko hit karne ke baad, pair ka growth ruk gaya aur price decline hui. Lekin, decline develop nahi hui aur price ne upward movement resume ki, channel se bahar nikalte hue. Maine ek ascending channel identify kiya hai aur umeed karta hoon ke price upper border 159.809 tak barhe gi. Is target ko pohonchne ke baad, ek reversal ho sakta hai, aur price lower border 159.059 tak move kare gi.

Kal ke trading ke dauran, Thursday ko Japanese yen 155.37 yen per US dollar tak jump kar gaya tha, lekin phir retreat karke six-week high tak pohanch gaya. Yeh movement shayad Japanese authorities ke ek aur suspected intervention ke baad dekhi gayi thi. Wednesday ke session mein, yen ke price mein lagbhag 1.4% ka izafa hua, jo pichle hafte ke lagbhag 2% ke gains ko continue karta hai. Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq, authorities ne 11 aur 12 July ko taqriban 6 trillion yen kharide intervention ke through. Ministry of Finance ke suspected large-scale intervention aur US dollar ki kamzori (jo ke lower inflation data ka natija thi) ne markets ko yen ke khilaf bet karne par reconsider karne par majboor kiya, aur shayad yeh currency par short squeezes ka sabab bana.
Reliable trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, analysis likhte waqt US dollar ke against Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka price level 157.80 ke aas paas stable hai.

Investors ab Bank of Japan ke policy meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain jo July ke aakhir mein hogi, jahan umeed hai ke bond purchases ko kam karne aur shayad dobara interest rates badhane ka plan announce kiya jaega. Data front par, Japan ne June mein ek surprise trade surplus report kiya kyunki export growth ne imports ko outpace kar diya.

Dusri taraf, 10-year Japanese bonds ki yield Bank of Japan ke interest rates badhane ke bets ki wajah se barh gayi. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, Japanese government bonds ki 10-year yield 1.05% se upar chali gayi, jo ke teen hafte ke lowest levels se rebound thi, jab Finance Minister Kono Taro ne Bloomberg ko bataya ke yen ko support karne ke liye Bank of Japan ko July mein dobara interest rates badhane ki zarurat hai. Central bank se yeh umeed bhi ki ja rahi hai ke is mahine bond purchases ko kam karne ka plan announce karega. Traders ko lagta hai ke yen ke sharp rise se Bank of Japan ko is saal ke doosre rate hike ko postpone karne ka kaafi space mil sakta hai.

Japanese yen ka price 161.95 yen per US dollar ke 38 saal ke lowest levels se lagbhag 4 percent rebound kar gaya, jise analysts ne government intervention se attribute kiya. Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq, authorities ne currency ko support karne ke liye 11 aur 12 July ko taqriban 6 trillion yen kharide.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, US initial unemployment claims umeed se zyada barh gayi. Ek official announcement ke mutabiq, 13 July ko khatam hone wale period mein unemployment benefits claim karne wale logon ki tadaad 10,000 se barh kar 243,000 ho gayi, jo ke ek naye weekly high ko represent karti hai aur market expectations 230,000 se zyada hai. Yeh results aur bhi major releases ke sath add hoti hain jo US labor market ke declining trend ko indicate karti hain, aur growing expectations ke mutabiq Federal Reserve record borrowing costs ko September tak kam karne ka set hai.

Wahin, 6 July ko khatam hone wale hafte mein outstanding claims 20,000 se barh kar 1,867,000 ho gayi. Initial claims ka four-week moving average, jo week-to-week volatility ko smooth out karta hai, 1,000 se barh kar 234,750 ho gaya. Non-seasonally adjusted basis par, claims 36,824 se barh kar 279,032 ho gayi, jisme Texas (+11,537) aur California (+6,917) mein expansions note ki gayi.

Dusri taraf, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index United States of America mein July 2024 mein 13.9 tak barh gaya, jo ke three months ka highest level hai, June ke 1.3 ke comparison mein aur expectations 2.9 se kaafi better hai. Reading ne show kiya ke Philadelphia mein manufacturing activity generally expand hui, jahan overall activity, shipments (27.8 vs. -7.2), new orders (20.7 vs. -2.2), aur employment (15.2 vs. -2.5) positive turn hui.

USD/JPY ke aaj ke expectations:
Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, US dollar ke against Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka price ab bhi downward correction path par hai, aur 155.00 level ke niche move karna downward correction ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Dusri taraf, isi period ke dauran, resistance level 158.80 par rahega, jo bulls ke movement ko wapas psychological resistance 160.00 ki taraf pave karega. Dollar/yen ka price central banks ki policies aur investors ke risk appetite ke course se affected rahega, iske ilawa Bank of Japan ke plans to intervene in currency markets to adjust exchange rate bhi impact karega.

**USDJPY Paar Ki Technical Analysis**

**4-Hour Chart**

Iss haftay mein mazeed girawat ka intezar hai jabke qeemat ne blue channel ko tor diya. Qeemat ne is haftay ke aghaz mein girti hui price channels mein trading shuru ki jo ke pichle do hafton ke trend ko darsha rahe hain. Shuru mein, qeemat ko niche wale channel line se support mila, lekin jab qeemat weekly pivot level tak pohanchi, to yeh wapas niche chali gayi aur weekly pivot ke sath ek price peak banayi.

Is haftay ke trading mashware mein focus selling opportunities par rakhein, kyun ke hamare paas do levels hain jahan par sell kiya ja sakta hai. Pehla level current level hai jahan par qeemat ne channel tor diya aur kuch waqt tak sideways direction mein chal sakti hai aur phir girawat shuru hogi aur 156.26 level ko tor de gi. Dusra level sell ke liye 154.61 level ke niche hoga, jahan qeemat ne price channels ko downward tor diya.

Economic side par, Japanese yen ke price ne recent mein momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha jab authorities ne currency ki kamzori se nimatna shuru kiya. Yen ne khas tor par girawat dekhi aur policymakers baar baar yeh ishara de chuke hain ke woh currency ko support karne ke liye interven karne ko tayar hain. Lekin yeh kafi nahi hai, ya dair ho chuki hai?... Bloomberg News ke data ke mutabiq, Tokyo forex markets mein shayad doosri dafa daakhil ho ga Friday ko aur lagbhag $13.5 billion pump kare ga. Yeh tab hua jab Japanese officials ne qareeban $20 billion ke kareebi interven kiya ho ga. Forex market trading ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price 158.80 level par stabilize hui, recent selling operations ke baad jo ise 157.15 support level tak le gayi thi, lekin dobara se pair girawat shuru kar raha hai.

Japanese yen ke performance par comment karte hue, Hirofumi Suzuki, chief forex analyst Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation mein, ne Business News Network ke interview mein kaha: "Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke 2 trillion yen ke scale par intervention ka imkan hai." "Mujhe lagta hai ke strategy ka maqsad tha market participants ko movement ko pehle se parhne se rokna."

Akhir mein, agar yeh move sahi hai, to yeh recent step ek mahine baad aa raha hai jab currency regulators ne Forex foreign exchange markets mein $36 billion intervention ki thi. Mahireen ka kehna hai ke Tokyo ke leaders yeh measures istemal kar rahe hain jab US data aur foreign speculators ko release kiya ja raha hai. Lekin market watchers ka kehna hai ke yeh moves traders ko yeh signal dete hain ke yeh moves bohot choti hain, aur observers mazeed paise pump karne ka mashwara de rahe hain yen ko support karne ke liye.

Greetings aur Good Morning doston!
Kal, USD/JPY market mein thodi si tabdeeli dekhi gayi. Yeh 156.60 zone ke aas paas pohanch gaya tha. Aur, US dollar ke positive news data ke saath, buyers ki value barh rahi hai. Isliye, short-term traders ko trading mein ehtiyaat aur soch-samajh kar chalna chahiye. D1 chart bhi selling hints dene mein bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh chart aapko potential market directions ke bare mein valuable insights deta hai, jo traders ko support aur resistance ke key levels identify karne mein madad karta hai. D1 chart ko dhyan se monitor karne se traders prevailing market trends ko achhe se samajh sakte hain aur apne strategies accordingly adjust kar sakte hain. Yeh high-probability trading opportunities identify karne mein bhi madadgar ho sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, USD/JPY market traders ke liye ek dynamic aur complex environment present karta hai. Selling pressure ka steady increase aur JPY news events ka asar dono challenges aur opportunities create karte hain. Is market ko successfully navigate karne ke liye, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni hogi, genuine signals identify karne honge, aur common mistakes se bachna hoga. D1 chart ke insights aur news events ko monitor karna disciplined aur informed approach ki zarurat ko aur bhi emphasize karta hai. Jaise market evolve hota hai, naye information ke saath adapt aur respond karna trading success ke liye crucial hoga. Hum ek sell position open kar sakte hain short target 156.45 ke saath. Traders ko long-term perspective bhi maintain karna zaruri hai. Jabke short-term market movements volatile aur unpredictable ho sakti hain, long-term view traders ko broader trends par focus karne aur temporary fluctuations se sway na hone mein madad karta hai. Yeh approach traders ko apni overall trading strategy par focused rakhta hai aur emotional trading ke pitfalls se bachata hai. Apne trading mein stop loss zaroor use karein aur US trading zone ke dauran ehtiyaat baratain.

Aapka next week successful ho