usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY H4 Chart

Pichlay hafte ke akhir mein, ye pair positive note par close hua, jo ke puray hafte ki general upward trend ko continue karta hai. Is maheenay ke shuru mein, pair ne ek buying pattern mein trading shuru ki thi, jo ascending channels se characterize ki gayi thi aur pichlay do maheenay ki price trend ko reflect karti thi. Pehle, price ko monthly pivot level 158.10 se support mila, lekin phir ek downward solid wave mein chali gayi, jo ke monthly pivot level ko break karke decline karti rahi. Price ko monthly level 157.50 par support mila, jis se ye rise karke pichlay hafte ko monthly pivot level ke upar close kar gayi. Jaise jaise price is maheenay ke opening level ke qareeb ja rahi hai, yeh agle dinon mein mazeed rise ka signal day rahi hai. Mujhe 155.56 ke qareeb channel ke middle line tak decline ka intezar hai. Recent exchange rate rise ke baad, fall ab continue ho raha hai. Aik false breakout 159.44 par dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jiske baad fall continue hoga. Priority ho gi ke exchange rate ko lower kiya jaye aur medium term mein sales open ki jaye, khas tor par agar 157.29 ka range likely ho.



Thursday ko, Japanese yen ne US dollar ke against 157.41 tak surge kiya, jo ke pehle 38 saal ke low 161.5 se sharply rebound tha. Yeh reversal US mein weak inflation data ke release hone ke baad hua, jis ne dollar ko pressure mein daal diya aur yeh expectations barha di ke Federal Reserve nazdeek arse mein US interest rates cut kar sakta hai. Aisi move se Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan substantial interest rate differential narrow ho jaye ga, jis ne is saal yen ki significant depreciation mein contribute kiya tha. USD/JPY pair ka sharp rise 161.5 level se economic data releases ke forex markets par impact ko highlight karta hai. Inflation data, khas tor par, crucial role play karta hai kyunke yeh directly central bank policies ko influence karta hai. Recent weak US inflation figures ne market participants ko anticipate karaya ke Federal Reserve ki monetary policy mein potential shift ho sakta hai, tightening se easing tak, jo ke dollar ki appeal ko yen ke muqable mein kam kar dega. Technically, USD/JPY mein 38 saal ke low se rebound ko broader downtrend mein correction ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Pair ka 157.41 ki taraf movement market ke naye economic realities aur interest rate policies ke hawalay se expectations ko recalibrate karne ka signal hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake pair ke potential future direction ko behtar samajh sakein.

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USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis

Pichle kaam se logical hafte mein Japanese yen ne neeche ki taraf se btton banaya aur ab shuru se strong ho raha hai. Keemat pehle tak pohanchi 161.95 ke area mein lekin is level tak nahi ponchay, iske bad reversal shuru hua aur tezi se gir gaya, signal zone breaking kar ke ab tak 158.43 ke level se neeche gir gaya hai. Is tarah, muntazir mustaqil taraqqi ke scenario ka asar nahi hua. Issi waqt, keemat ka chart super-trending red zone mein move kar raha hai, jo bechnay ki dabao ki alamat deta hai.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se hum aaj bullish hain, jis pe pair ke liye 160.95 ke level ke upar short-term support pe aitmad rakha gaya hai, sath hi simple moving average ka pullback, price ko neeche se support karne ke liye, technical indicator ke saath bharta hua. Hamain 161.85 ko pehla target ke tor par dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jis ke upar break profit barhane ke rastay kholega aur pair ko 162.20 aur 162.70 ke taraf le jayega. Yaad rakhain ke 160.95 ke neeche jaane se pair pe negative pressure dalayga, 160.40 aur 160.10 ko dobara test karne ke liye pehle ka trend banane se pehle. Niche diye gaye chart ko dekhen:

Abhi keemat haftay ke darwazay ke karib tezi se gir rahi hai. Ahem support area dabao bardasht nahi kar saka aur ab keemat kam ho rahi hai, jo zahir karta hai ke preferred vector neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai. Keemat ab 158.43 ke level ka reversal retest kar rahi hai, jo ke ab major resistance zone ke qareeb hai. Is level ka retest aur us ke baad ka bounce naya neeche ki taraf mujmi wave ke raste ko khol dega, jis ka nishana 154.75 aur 153.35 ke areas mein hoga.

Agar resistance ko paar kiya jata hai aur keemat 160.26 ke reversal level ko tor deti hai, to aik signal milayga mojooda scenario ko cancel karne ke liye.

Japanese bezati hafte ke akhri din our jari reh gayi, jisey Japani authorities ne shak ki mission ke saath darust kiya tha. Yen ne pichle hafte karib 2% izafa kiya tha, jis se tezi se kami ki pareshani barh gayi. Reuters ke mutabiq, Bank of Japan (BOJ) dwara di gayi data ne bataya ke taqreeban intervention Thursday ko mumkin hai. Data ne ishara diya ke BOJ ne yen ki kami ko rokne ke liye 3.37 trillion yen se 3.57 trillion yen kharch kiye hain. Sath hi, US dollar ne ek karkardagi dar mara mell karne ka mustaqbil baadshah Trump par koshish ko rang pe laga kar taqat hasil ki. Ye waqiya investors ke darmiyan risk avoid kardari ko bharkaya, jinhe dollar ke samjhi jane wali surakshitai ki taraf le gaya. Magar, dollar ke liye yeh tezi shayad muqarar nahi rahegi. US mehengai mein kami ki nishaniyo ke mutabiq, September mein Federal Reserve rate cut hone ke umeed badh gayi hai. Yeh mumkin rate cut dollar ki appeal ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Investors aane wale economic data release, jese June ke US retail sales figures, par nazar rakh rahe hain, Federal Reserve ke monetary policy stance ke bare mein mazeed isharon ke liye. CME Group ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, markets ab mojooda dor ke September Fed meeting mein 25 basis point rate cut hone ke 85.7% imkaniat samajh rahe hain, jo sirf ek hafta pehle 71.0% se barh kar hai.On the one hand, the USD/JPY pair aligns with the dollar's overall downward trend, driven by US inflation data. On the other hand, and this is purely my subjective view, the yen could end its persistent decline at any moment. If this happens, the discussed pair might continue to drop even if other US dollar pairs shift their rates. Japan is gradually showing positive market data. On Friday, it reported an increase in industrial production by 3.5%, surpassing the forecast 1.7%, which is notable compared to the previous 0.8% decline. We can confirm that the pair holds at 156.79 (Murray 4.7). If this support is likely, the bears might target the 155.23 level (Murray 3.7). However, more than the likelihood of this is needed to resume short positions, even if this barrier is likely. The resistance, strengthened by the Kijun H4 line, now stands at 158.35 (Murray 5.7).

Aaj ka din khair maqdam! USD/JPY currency pair ka chaar ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum dekh rahe hain ke ek descending channel ban raha hai. Yeh assessment do sets ke lower highs aur lower lows ke banne se kiya gaya hai, jo channel ke hone ko confirm karta hai. Filhal, bears ne 155 figure ke midpoint ke aas-paas ek aur intraday low banaya hai. Technical nazariye se, yeh ek potential upside retracement ka ishaara hai, jo chaar ghante ka stochastic oscillator bhi darshata hai.

Lekin, yeh ummeed hai ke USD/JPY pair 157.20 level ke aas-paas resistance ka samna karega, jo descending channel ke upper boundary ke sath align karta hai. Jab yeh resistance tak pohnchayega, toh yeh expected hai ke pair apni downward trajectory ko dobara shuru karega. Is anticipated rise ke bawajood, pair ke quotes zyada tar active selling zone mein rahenge, jo bears ko apni influence banaye rakhne mein madad karega.

Jab agla local maximum zigzag indicator ke zariye identify hota hai, toh yeh short-selling ke liye ek opportunity provide kar sakta hai. Lekin, zaroori hai ke ek relatively tight stop-loss use kiya jaye kyunki US dollar ke Japanese yen ke muqablay mein strength ke primary factors puri tarah se address nahi hue hain. Mera trading strategy straightforward hai: main ek confident crossover dhoondta hoon, khaaskar price level 156.220 par, jo meri entry ko confirm karega.

Chart ko close se dekhte hain taake potential trading signals ko identify kiya ja sake. Chaar ghante ka stochastic oscillator ek imminent retracement ka ishaara de raha hai, jo imply karta hai ke kuch short-term upward movement ho sakti hai. Lekin, overall trend bearish hi rahega, aur descending channel yeh indicate karta hai ke koi bhi upward movement resistance level 157.20 tak hi limited rahegi.

Zigzag indicator, jo significant price movements aur trends ko identify karne mein madad karta hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke pair jaldi resistance ka samna karega. Yeh humari expectation ke sath align karta hai ke short-term retracement ke baad decline dekhne ko milegi. In levels ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai taake best entry points for short positions determine kiye ja sakein.

Additionally, simple moving averages (SMAs) ka use bhi further confirmation provide kar sakta hai. 9-period aur 22-period SMAs khaaskar useful hain short-term trends aur potential reversals identify karne mein. Jab price in moving averages ko intersect karti hai, toh yeh trend direction mein change ka signal de sakta hai, jo traders ke liye valuable insights offer karta hai.

Summary mein, jabke USD/JPY pair mein short-term retracement ki possibility hai, overall trend bearish hi rahega descending channel ke andar. Key levels jo dekhne chahiye woh hain 156.220 for potential entries aur 157.20 as a resistance level. Stochastic oscillator, zigzag indicator, aur moving averages jese tools ka use karke trading signals ko identify karna aur strategy ko enhance karna mumkin hai.

In indicators aur levels ko nazar mein rakhte hue, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur USD/JPY pair ke price movements se faida utha sakte hain jo chaar ghante ke descending channel ke andar ho rahi hain.

USD/JPY

Wednesday ko jo market pair USD/JPY timeframe tha, woh bikul sellers ke control mein tha jo keemat ko kaafi nicha le gaye bearish trend mein jab buyers phir se price ko upar nahi le paye, kyunki unhe seller's resistance area ko break karne mein kamiyabi nahi mili jo keemat 158.48-158.45 par tha, jise baad mein sellers ne bechne ki dabav ko barhane ke liye istemal kiya aur isse price ne bearish trend mein kaafi tezi se neeche jaane mein kamiyab raha.


Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ki madad se dekha gaya ke price ko sellers jari rakhte hain jo USD/JPY market pair ko control kar rahe hain aur unhone successfully Lower Bollinger bands area ko break kiya jo keemat par 157.04-157.00 tha, jo pehle se hi buyers ke dwara maintain kiya gaya tha. Bahut zyada strong bearish candlesticks ke dominance se bhi strong seller pressure nazar aata hai jo dikhata hai ke USD/JPY market pair bearish trend mein neeche tezi se girta rahega aur agla bearish target buyers ke demand support area tak jaega jo keemat par 152.75-152.70 hai aur abhi tak bearish seller pressure dwara test nahi kiya gaya hai.

Thursday ke trading mein European market session ke pehle buyers ne strong re-entry kiya jabki sellers ko abhi bhi difficulty thi buyer's support area ko break karne mein jo keemat par 155.60-155.50 hai aur jo buyers ne maintain kiya tha, isliye price direction reverse hua aur bullish movement mein upar gaya. Bullish buyers ka target hai ke price ko upar le jaane ki koshish seller's resistance area tak jo keemat par 157.80-157.84 hai. Agar buyers is area ko break karne mein kamiyab nahi hote, to price neeche tezi se bearish trend mein neeche jaega aur bearish target buyers ke support area tak hoga jo keemat par 155.27-155.25 hai.

Nateeja:

Sell entry kiya ja sakta hai agar seller's ko nakli buyer support area ko break karne mein kamiyab ho gayi jo keemat par 155.27-155.25 hai, TP target area ke liye jo keemat par 154.38-154.35 hai.

Buy entry kiya ja sakta hai agar buyer's ko nakli seller resistance area ko break karne mein kamiyab ho gayi jo keemat par 157.80-157.84 hai, TP target area ke liye jo keemat par 159.50-159.53 hai.

The USDJPY pair price movement seems to still be in a downward correction phase and is currently below the EMA 50. However, the current trend direction remains in a fairly strong bullish condition because the distance between the two Moving Average lines is still far. If the price remains below the EMA 50 or level 157.00, the downward correction phase may continue to occur until it reaches the SMA 200 as dynamic support. Here there has been no break of structure so there is still potential for the USDJPY pair price movement to move up again in accordance with the bullish trend direction. However, if we look at the RSI indicator parameters (14) which have been below level 50 and are almost entering the oversold zone at level 30 - 20. The downward correction phase may continue because the price has not reached the selling saturation point so there is still room for the seller to control the course of trading. The medium-term trading plan may place a SELL entry position because the current price movement is below the EMA 50. Confirmation to open a position if the RSI indicator parameters (14) experience rejection around level 50 after successfully reaching the oversold zone. Take profit can be placed at low prices 151.87 or SMA 200 as dynamic support while cut loss when close prices are above EMA 50.

In today's trading, there is starting to be resistance from buyers who are trying to push the price of USDJPY up and maintain the bullish trend situation, I think there will be an equally large opportunity between buyers and sellers to control the USDJPY market in today's trading, even though the seller's pressure is currently having great strength, but the long-term trend situation that is running on the USDJPY market is still a bullish trend, therefore it is best to wait until there is great strength from buyers or sellers as the main information in making estimates that a bullish trend or bearish trend will be built which can be followed as an entry signal

Main ne pehle hi possible decline ke forecast se door move kar liya hai. Halanki mere paas possible decline ke hawale se thoughts hain, yeh wazeh hai ke level 155.69 current situation mein correction ke liye ek important point hai. Ek nazar mein, lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke paas decline ka potential hai, lekin bearish potential ab bhi projection mein mojood hai. Iske bawajood, main dekhta hoon ke current main direction price ke increase mein hai, is dynamic ke dominance aur decline level se possible reversal ki wajah se. Hourly analysis ke basis par, hum dekhte hain ke main scenario USD/JPY ke growth par pressure hai, aur bullish trend ke agle development ke sath, hum is dynamic mein acceleration ki umeed rakh sakte hain. Main recommend karta hoon ke har decline phase mein support level se purchases karen jab tak pair 155.69 level ke upar hold karti hai.
Currency pair ne apni activity se hamein motivate kiya hai lately, to main foran technical analysis ki taraf jaoonga daily chart ke liye ek general understanding ke liye. Mujhe diagonal support ke breakout par tawajju deni hogi, yeh hamein kaafi arse se work kar raha tha, aur kal humne ise impulse ke sath break kiya, hum is baat par bhi tawajju dena nahi bhool sakte ke hum MA 500 ke horizontally strong level tak pahunche, jo instrument ko rebound karne par majboor karega. Yeh Asian session mein pehle hi ho raha hai, humne Fibonacci grid ke level 88.2 ko test kiya aur uske baad humne 50 points upar rebound kiya bina InstaForex spread ke size ko shaamil kiye. Kul mila ke, relatively short medium-term period mein, unhone previous high se 660 points fall kiya, zaroori hoga ke hum US dollar ke liye three stars category ke news par bhi focus karein - inhein hum yahan baad mein analyze karenge

USDJPY pair ko daily time frame par working day ke liye dekhen. Hamein sirf do indicators chahiyein: nine aur twenty-one periods ke exponential moving averages. Signals simple aur familiar hain: in moving averages ka intersection price level 158.048 par hota hai. Sabr karo, 5-minute time frame par price pullback ka intezar karo, phir market sell entry initiate karo. Trade se trade tak main composed rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf calculated risks leta hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 3 meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabar 24 tak extend hota hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi. Bank of Japan apni agli meeting jo 29 July ko hai, us se bond-buying reduce karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback le chuka hai. Magar woh apni communication mein ehtiyaat kar rahe hain kyunke yeh aik critical issue hai. US bond holdings reduce karne se Japan-US relations mein friction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai. USD/JPY ke hawale se kal, thodi si southern pullback ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur dheemay dheemay northern direction mein push karti rahi, jis se pehle din ki range mein ek chhoti reversal candle bani. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke is instrument ke liye price movement north ki taraf jari rahegi aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke current accumulation ke khatam hone ke baad, ek impulsive breakout resistance level 164.500 tak ho ga. Jaise ke main pehle bhi keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur north ki taraf further move karay. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh hum price ko resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move hota dekh sakte hain. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main is possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon ke price aur zyada north ki taraf push ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, main is scenario ko nahi dekh raha kyunke mujhe iski jaldi realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata. Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price southern movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, Jodi ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko paar karna bearish outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke jodi ko zehni sarhad 161.00 ke imtehan mein pohancha sake. Mazeed izafa se jodi 161.31 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke tehat saaloon se nahi

USD/JPY pair mein, kal price ne south ko correction ki, jis ke natijay mein ek bearish candle bani, jo developing accumulation ke andar close hui. Aaj Asian session ke doran, sellers ne confidently price ko south ki taraf push kiya aur peechle din ke range ke neeche break kar diya. Iss case mein, main anticipate karta hoon ke nearest support level se potential bounce ho, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq, 160.209 par located hai. Is support level ke kareeb, do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle banay aur price ka upward movement resume ho. Agar yeh plan play out karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level par return kare, jo ke 161.951 par located hai. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close ho jaye, to main further northward movement anticipate karunga, jo 164.500 ke resistance level tak ho sakti hai. Iss resistance level ke kareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo next trading direction determine karne mein madad karega. Yaqeenan, yeh mumkin hai ke price ko aur bhi upar push kiya jaye towards resistance level at 168.000. Lekin yeh situation par depend karega aur price movement ke doran news flow ke influence par depend karega aur price ka reaction designated higher northern targets par kaisa hota hai. Ek alternative scenario price movement ka, jab support level at 160.209 retest ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke price is level ke neeche close ho aur further corrective southward movements continue kare. Agar yeh plan unfold karta hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level at 157.671 ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke kareeb, main bullish signals search karunga, anticipating a resumption of the upward price movement. General tor par, aaj ke din mujhe is instrument mein kuch khaas interesting nazar nahi aa raha. Overall, main northern trend ke continuation ki taraf inclined hoon, is liye main nearest support levels se bullish signals ki talash mein hoon.

As of writing, USD/JPY pair 156.353 par flat trade ho raha hai upper half of the chart mein. Is forum par Instaforex indicator thoda faida dikhata hai buyers ke liye pehle section mein, jo 55.28% ka range hai. Doosre part mein, indicator neutral position dikhata hai. Yeh pair aaj humein kya surprises dega? Japan se aane wali important aur interesting news mein trade balance ko highlight kiya hai. United States: Initial jobless claims aur industrial activity index bhi highlight kiya hai. Isliye hum fundamental analysis conduct karte hain bina technical analysis bhoolay. Short mein, kya hota hai? Main expect karta hoon pair pehle north ko correct karega 157.10 level tak aur phir south ko 155.40 level tak. Sabko good luck

Iska asar yeh hai ke US dollar ne kal yen ke against girawat continue ki, lekin yeh girawat ziada serious nahi thi. Ab dusra attempt downside ko hai, lekin weak hai, sirf RSI neechay ki taraf curve ho raha hai aur Stochastic bhi, although weak hai, still upside point kar raha hai. Halanki, current downward trend shayad continue na kare. Dekhte hain. Agar baad mein hum 155.35/07 area mein girte hain, yeh lower moving averages aur Bollinger Bands moving averages hain. Wahan dekhte hain agar price in dono lines ke upar break kar sakta hai ya phir ek line se wapas upar uthta hai. Halanki, ab hum dusra rise dekh sakte hain. Agar aisa hota hai, pehle growth shayad midline of the Bollinger Bands aur lower moving averages tak pohanchti hai, jo currently 157.62 aur 158.15 par hain. In dono lines ke aas paas dekhte hain agar price upar break karta hai ya ek line se neeche wapas uthta hai (although move up ziada strong nahi hai, chance hai ke hum dusri rejection pehle dekh sakte hain). Agar upar, next level of resistance moving average ke upar ho sakta hai 158.78 par. Humein yeh bhi dekhna hoga agar price upar move karti hai jab hum iske paas pohanchtay hain. Agar aisa hota hai, upar ki taraf push upper Bollinger Bands tak ho sakta hai, jo 159.55 par hain. Sabko trading mein good luck

USD/JPY Pair Analysis:
Chalain dobara pehli din ke hafta war USDJPY currency pair ke daily chart ko dekhtay hain. Guzishta trading hafta mein, US dollar ne sellers ko apni shandaar girawat se khush kiya. US se news aayi, indicators umeed se kaafi kharab niklay aur price tezi se niche chali gayi, lekin sirf Japanese currency hi nahi thi jis ne American currency ko kamzor kiya, yeh taqreeban poora market spectrum tha. Siwaye Canadian dollar ke, iski exchange rate aaj tak majboot hai.
Taakreeban 400 points tezi se niche gir gaye. Girawat ke doran, price ko support mili ek ascending support line ki surat mein jo wave ke base ke sath banayi gayi thi aur wapas upar chal gayi, phir niche gayi aur phir se is line par daba di gayi. Magar wave structure apna order upar ki taraf bana raha hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke niche hai. Aur ab do options hain. Ya to phir se barhna aur horizontal resistance level 160.30 ke area tak pohanchna, ya niche jana aur ascending line ko torhna. Main growth ke haq mein hoon is level tak kyun ke CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur wahan ek growth signal nazar aa raha hai - bullish convergence.
Aur path ke base par, yeh ek kaafi acha signal hai. Aur aam tor par, yeh fact nahi ke uptrend mukammal taur par khatam ho gaya hai aur ek deeper correction aa rahi hai. Shayad, zyada sellers ko recruit karne ke liye jo samajhte hain ke aakhirkar ek reversal ho gaya hai, price yahan aik din sideways move karegi. Positions ka accumulation hoga aur woh asani se usay phir se upar kheench sakte hain, jab ke resistance level 160.32 ko todti hui. Kisi bhi surat mein, agar hum sales ko consider karte hain, ab waqt behtareen nahi hai. Magar main bhi kharidna nahi chahta, kyun ke is line ne kayi acha deviations diye hain isse upwards, lekin yahan sirf ek line nahi, balki ek horizontal support level bhi hai 157.72 ka.
USD/JPY pair ne hafta ek positive note par khatam kiya, Bank of Japan ke faislay ke support mein ke interest rates ko waisa hi rakha aur Federal Reserve ka hawkish outlook. Jab ke pair 159.06 par trade kar raha hai, strong market fundamentals aur technical indicators ke support ke sath, BoJ aur Fed ke darmiyan monetary policy ka ikhtilaf shayad pair ke upward momentum ko barqarar rakhega. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna chahiye, sath hi aanay wale economic data ko, taake pair ke future movement ko andaza lagaya ja sake.

pair ko Bollinger indicator aur vertical tick volumes ka istemal karte hue 30-minute time frame pe trade karta hoon. Bollinger envelope ke upper limits ke qareeb quote ki position bullish dynamics ka ishara de rahi hai. Main abhi ke price se long position open karne ka tajurba kar raha hoon, jo 158.804 tak target kar raha hai, jo upper Bollinger limit ke sath align karta hai. Main vertical volume formation ko closely monitor kar raha hoon. Agar price 158.804 tak pohanch jaye, toh main position close karne ka plan rakhta hoon, lekin agar volume growth stable rehti hai, toh main ise zyada der tak hold kar sakta hoon. Market volatility meri strategy ka aik ahem hissa hai. Aik aur significant level 158.538 hai, jo Bollinger envelope ka middle hai. USD/JPY H4 H4 pe, Japanese yen ka main impulse 151.86 ke low se ascending hai, aur nearest significant resistance first impulse zone ke level ke sath hai. Agar repeat breakout hota hai, toh USD/JPY ka price next impulse zone 164.75 ki taraf apna growth continue kar sakega, lekin yeh indicator mujhe bohot shak mein dalta hai, aur yeh fact nahi hai ke yeh exactly work out hoga. Jab tak quotes 161.70 ke level se niche hain, bears ke paas abhi bhi opportunity hai ke woh southern rollback ko ascending fan ke angle aur first zone ke lower border 159.82 tak continue kar sakein. Agar





southern direction ko older time frames se support milta hai aur 159.82 ka support toot jata hai, toh USD/JPY pair Monday ko 158.00 ke qareeb trade ho raha tha. Daily chart aik potential weakening trend suggest kar raha hai, jahan pair aik key support level ke niche break kar raha hai. Additionally, aik technical indicator jo momentum measure karta hai, downwards point kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce kar raha hai. Agar yeh trend continue hota hai, toh pair apne June low 154.55 ko revisit kar sakta hai. Lekin, aik reversal ka chance abhi bhi hai. Resistance levels jo 14-day Exponential Moving Average aur ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb hain, kuch support offer kar sakti hain. Agar price action wapas ascending channel mein chadta hai, toh yeh renewed bullish sentiment signal kar sakta hai USD/JPY ke liye, aik potential target ke sath jo channel ke upper limit ke qareeb hai. Asal mein, assassination ki koshish ne currency market mein volatility inject kar di hai. Near future mein yen aur ziada weak ho sakta hai risk aversion aur Japanese authorities ke potential intervention ki wajah se, lekin technical indicators suggest karte hain ke aik possible trend reversal ho sakta hai agar USD/JPY pair key support levels ko recapture karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai. Agle kuch haftay yen aur dollar ke future trajectory ko determine karne mein crucial honge, US election mein developments aur Japan ki further intervention attempts pe close attention pay karte hue

Japanese yen ki qeemat gir kar 161.75 per US dollar ke qareeb aa gayi, jo ke 38 saal mein sabse neeche ka level hai, jabke US dollar ki qeemat barh gayi hai. Yeh baat Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke interest rate cuts par ehtiyat bharay approach ke i'lan ke baad hui. Powell ne kaha ke unhein aur data ki zaroorat hai taake yeh yaqeen hasil ho ke inflation sustainable tor par 2% ki taraf ja raha hai, halaanke unhone economy aur labor market ke slowdown ke aasar par bhi chetavni di.




Bank of Japan ke July ke monetary policy meeting se pehle bhi Japanese yen ki qeemat gir gayi, halaanke umeed thi ke woh phir se interest rates barha sakte hain aur is mahine bond purchases ko kam karne ka plan announce kar sakte hain. Central bank par yeh pressure hai ke woh monetary conditions ko zyada aggressively normalize kare, kyun ke kamzor yen se import costs barh jaati hain, jo inflationary risks ko barha deti hain.

Chart suggest karta hai ke buying ka moka hai. Hum buy trades ko 161.098 par open karenge aur stop order 160.901 par rakhenge. USD/JPY currency pair buying ke liye favorable conditions dikhata hai. Abhi ki qeemat 161.058 par hai, to abhi khareedna zyada munafa de sakta hai. Humein ek mazid acceptable support level dhoondhna hoga, jo 160.254 hai, aur stop loss 160.229 par set karna hoga. Iske liye qeemat ko in expected levels tak girna hoga. Lekin, profit level 161.780 par strong result de sakta hai, jo stop-profit ratio ko impressive bana deta hai. Level 160.817 ek accumulation area create kar sakta hai, isliye is par tawajju deni chahiye. Lekin yeh choti choti tafseelat hain. Sabko good luck aur profit ki umeed hai; umeed karta hoon ke yeh plan aaj kaam kare.

Former US President Donald Trump par qatal ki koshish ke baad Saturday ko currency market mein halchal mach gayi, jiski wajah se Japanese yen (JPY) ki qeemat kam ho gayi aur US dollar ki qeemat barh gayi. Yeh tabdeeli investors ke risk se bachne ki waja se hui hai, jo ab uncertainty ke samne US dollar ki taraf ja rahe hain. Analysts ka kehna hai ke agar yeh waqia Trump ko aanay wale election mein zyada support dilata hai, to yeh "Trump victory trade" ko trigger kar sakta hai. Is se dollar mazid mazboot ho sakta hai aur US Treasury yield curve bhi badal sakta hai.

Is surat-e-haal mein ek aur complexity Japanese authorities ki potential intervention hai taake yen ke girawat ko roka ja sake. Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq unhone Thursday ko yen ki depreciation ko slow karne ke liye significant sums kharch kiye hain. Yeh intervention is waqt aayi jab yen ne dollar ke muqable mein 38 saal ka low touch kiya. Yeh decline US consumer prices ke June mein slowdown ke data se aayi, jo expectations barhati hain ke Federal Reserve September tak interest rate cut kar sakta hai.




Technical indicators par nazar daalein to USD/JPY pair Monday ko 158.00 ke ird gird trade ho raha tha. Daily chart yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh pair ek key support level se neeche gir gaya hai. Ek technical indicator jo momentum ko measure karta hai, woh neeche point kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Agar yeh trend jari rehta hai to yeh pair June ki low 154.55 ko wapas dekh sakta hai. Lekin reversal ka bhi chance hai. Resistance levels 14-day Exponential Moving Average aur ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb kuch support de sakte hain. Agar price action wapas ascending channel mein aata hai to yeh USD/JPY ke liye renewed bullish sentiment ka signal ho sakta hai, jiska potential target channel ke upper limit ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

In short, Trump par qatal ki koshish ne currency market mein volatility paida kar di hai. Near future mein yen aur kamzor ho sakta hai risk aversion aur Japanese authorities ke potential intervention ki waja se, lekin technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/JPY pair agar key support levels ko wapas hasil kar le to trend reversal bhi ho sakta hai. Aanay wale weeks yen aur dollar ki future trajectory ko determine karne mein crucial honge, khas tor par US election aur Japan ki further intervention attempts ke developments ko closely dekhna hoga.

Aaj hum kuch high-impact news events ki umeed kar rahe hain jo mukhtalif currencies ko mutasir karengi. High-impact news ke ilawa, kuch low aur medium-impact events bhi agenda par hain. Yeh combination forex market mein significant volatility paida karne ka imkaan rakhta hai, khas tor par un currency pairs mein jo in events se mutasir hongi.

Traders ke liye, yeh heightened volatility mauqe aur risks dono pesh karti hai. Fluctuations ko effectively navigate karne ke liye acha money management bohot zaroori hai. Proper money management aapke capital ko protect kar sakta hai aur profitable trades ka potential barha sakta hai, khaaskar jab market activity increased ho.

Sab se pehle, high-impact news events substantial price movements ka sabab ban sakte hain, kyunke yeh aksar naye information pesh karte hain jo market sentiment aur expectations ko badal sakti hain. Yeh events GDP growth rates, employment figures, inflation data, ya central bank announcements jaise economic data releases ho sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar GDP report positive hoti hai to currency mazboot ho sakti hai, jabke ek dovish central bank statement usay kamzor kar sakti hai.




Medium aur low-impact news events bhi market movements mein apna hissa daal sakte hain, halaanke kam had tak. Yeh minor economic reports, central bank officials ke speeches, ya geopolitical developments ho sakte hain. Inka immediate impact chota ho sakta hai, lekin yeh phir bhi market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur overall volatility mein contribute kar sakte hain.

Is context mein, traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye. Kuch strategies yeh hain:

1. Stay Informed: Economic calendar par nazar rakhein aur high-impact news events ke timing se waqif rahein. Yeh samajhna ke yeh events kab schedule hain, aapko potential market movements ka andaza lagane mein madad de sakta hai.

2. Adjust Position Sizes: High volatility ke doran, apni position sizes ko kam karne ka sochain taake risk limit ho sake. Choti positions aapko larger-than-expected price swings ko manage karne mein madad de sakti hain.

3. Use Stop-Loss Orders: Stop-loss orders implement karein taake aapke trades ko significant adverse movements se bachaya ja sake. Ek well-placed stop-loss aapke losses ko limit kar sakta hai agar market aapki position ke khilaf chala jaye.

4. Avoid Overtrading: High volatility tempting ho sakti hai, lekin overtrading se bachna zaroori hai. Apne trading plan par amal karein aur short-term market noise par impulsive decisions na lein.

5. Diversify: Agar aap multiple currency pairs trade kar rahe hain, diversification se risk ko spread karne mein madad mil sakti hai. Apna sara capital ek hi trade ya highly correlated trades mein na daalein.

Nateeja yeh hai ke aaj ka forex market anticipated high-impact, medium-impact, aur low-impact news events ki wajah se bohot zyada volatile hone wala hai. Traders ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye, robust money management techniques apnani chahiye, aur latest developments se waqif rehna chahiye. Aisa karke, aap volatility ko effectively navigate kar sakte hain aur informed trading decisions le sakte hain.