USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USDJPY pair ko daily time frame par working day ke liye dekhen. Hamein sirf do indicators chahiyein: nine aur twenty-one periods ke exponential moving averages. Signals simple aur familiar hain: in moving averages ka intersection price level 158.048 par hota hai. Sabr karo, 5-minute time frame par price pullback ka intezar karo, phir market sell entry initiate karo. Trade se trade tak main composed rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf calculated risks leta hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 3 meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabar 24 tak extend hota hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi.
Bank of Japan apni agli meeting jo 29 July ko hai, us se bond-buying reduce karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback le chuka hai. Magar woh apni communication mein ehtiyaat kar rahe hain kyunke yeh aik critical issue hai. US bond holdings reduce karne se Japan-US relations mein friction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai.
USD/JPY ke hawale se kal, thodi si southern pullback ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur dheemay dheemay northern direction mein push karti rahi, jis se pehle din ki range mein ek chhoti reversal candle bani. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke is instrument ke liye price movement north ki taraf jari rahegi aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke current accumulation ke khatam hone ke baad, ek impulsive breakout resistance level 164.500 tak ho ga.
Jaise ke main pehle bhi keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur north ki taraf further move karay. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh hum price ko resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move hota dekh sakte hain. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main is possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon ke price aur zyada north ki taraf push ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, main is scenario ko nahi dekh raha kyunke mujhe iski jaldi realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata.
Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price southern movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai,
Jodi ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko paar karna bearish outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke jodi ko zehni sarhad 161.00 ke imtehan mein pohancha sake. Mazeed izafa se jodi 161.31 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke tehat saaloon se nahi dekha gaya level hai

JPY pair mein ek correction chal rahi hai. Yeh pair shayad kuch gains ko consolidate aur retrace kare ga ek significant upward trend ke baad. 'Support levels' wo price levels hain jahan ek currency pair historically neechay girne mein mushkilat ka shikar hota hai. Is healthy correction ke natije mein naye support levels ban sakte hain, jo market ko overheating se bachate hain Charts par notice kiye gaye zigzag patterns minor fluctuations ko filter karte hain, jo trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) apni upri raftar ki wajah se bullish trend ko dikhata hai. Keemat ka upper band Bollinger Bands ke nazdeek hone ka matlab hai ke kuch pullback ka imkan hai ya bullish trend ka jaari rehna. Demand Index aur Stochastic Oscillator market conditions ko mazeed analyze karte hain. Kharidar aur bechne walon ke darmiyan kuch fark hai kyun ke kharidari aur farokht ke dabao mein balance hai. Stochastic Oscillator, jo closing price ko mukarar price range ke khilaaf napta hai, overbought ya oversold intehaai nahi dikhata, jo keemat ko kisi bhi raaste mein move kar sakta hai aur ek bullish trend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Mazeed, Average True Range (ATR) bhi ahem hai jo market ki volatility napta hai. Traders ATR ke zahir hone wali darmiyan volatility ko mad e nazar rakhte hue munasib stop-loss aur take-profit levels set kar sakte hain, Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke powerful valuing conduct ka evaluation kar raha hoon. USDJPY H4 chart par apni upar ki taraf movement ko continue karne ke liye tayaar hai. Price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke upper limit ke upar hai, jo persistent bullish sentiment ko indicate kar raha hai jo bears ko shaheed nahi kar sakte. Nayi trading week mein dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ke sath yeh 161 ya us se upar move karne ka imkaan hai. Yeh strong upward trend abhi bhi solid hai, supported by Japan ke weakening yen aur negative news.
Recently, CCI indicator H4 par volatility show kar raha tha lekin Friday ke end par ek upward turn dikhaya, jo meri outlook ko support karta hai ke is currency pair ko buy karna chahiye, jo ke zyada time tak grow kar sakti hai, shayad ek saal tak bhi. Agar support level 155.76 par break ho jata hai aur consolidation niche hoti hai, to yeh development outlook ko negate kar dega, aur phir 154.57 ya 153.62 tak sell off ho sakta hai. Weekly chart ke hawale se, maine consistently ek bullish trading

Ibtida mein, U.S. dollar thoda retreat hua Japanese yen ke muqable mein magar uske baad psychologically important 160 yen se upar chala gaya. Yeh outstanding category historical importance aur market recall ke sabab kafi tawajju attract karti hai. Agar yeh is zone se door hota hai to ek major support 158 yen ke qareeb hai, aur ho sakta hai ke 155 yen tak decline ho. Market trends aur interest rate differentials. Overall, market data suggest karti hai ke yen ke muqable mein dollar ke liye continued upward trend hai, magar short term mein thodi spread ke saath. Kisi bhi return ko buying opportunity samjha jaye, khaaskar US aur Japan ke wide interest rate differential ko dekhte hue. Japan ki monetary policy bohot zyada accommodative hai, iske fiscal position se constrained hai, jab ke Federal Reserve relatively high interest rates maintain karti hai.

In developments ko dekhte hue, buying on the dip smart move lagti hai. U.S. dollar ki yen ke muqable mein strength isolated phenomenon nahi hai balki ek broader phenomenon ka hissa hai jisme yen mukhtalif major currencies ke muqable mein ground lose kar raha hai. Higher interest rates in the US. qareebi waqt mein badalne ke imkaan kam hai jo is trend ko confirm karta hai. In conclusion, US ke 160 yen level ke beyond strong momentum ka indication milta hai jo historical levels aur market momentum se supported hai. Traders ko buying opportunities dekhni chahiye pullback ke baad, mazboot support aur different interest rates ko madde nazar rakhte hue jo U.S. dollar aur Japan ke darmiyan hain. Yeh surat-e-haal yen ko dollar aur doosri major currencies ke muqable mein kamzor rakhti hai.

Main trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aage ka trading direction tay karega. Yeh baat zaroori hai ke price ko mazeed north ki janib push kiya ja sakta hai towards more distant northern targets, magar yeh depend karega situation par aur price ke reaction par indicated distant northern targets ke sath saath news flow ke dauran. Ek alternative scenario price movement ke liye jab resistance level 164.500 ko approach karega yeh hoga ke reversal candles ka formation aur corrective southern movement ka resumption. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, main price ke support level 160.209 ya support level 157.671 par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. Iss support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement ka resumption hoga. Mukhtasir taur par, agle haftay main locally anticipate karta hoon ke position accumulation impulsive northern price breakout ke sath khatam hogi, jiske baad nearest resistance level ka testing hoga, aur phir main market situation ke mutabiq action lunga

USD/JPY: Successful Trading ka Raasta
USD/JPY: Successful Trading ka Raasta
The USD/JPY (US Dollar Japanese Yen) currency pair is a popular choice for Forex traders looking to capitalize on market movements. To trade USD/JPY successfully, it's important to understand the key factors that influence its price action.

## Fundamental Analysis
The relative strength of the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen are the primary drivers of the USD/JPY exchange rate. Factors such as interest rate differentials, economic performance, and geopolitical events can all impact the pair's movement. [1][3][4]

## Technical Analysis
Traders can utilize various technical indicators and chart patterns to identify potential trading opportunities in the USD/JPY. Popular tools include moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, and support/resistance levels. [3][5]

## Trading Strategies
One effective strategy for trading USD/JPY is to look for breakouts above key resistance levels or pullbacks to support levels. Traders can also consider using momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to time their entries and exits. [2][5]

## Risk Management
Proper risk management is crucial when trading the volatile USD/JPY pair. Traders should always use stop-loss orders to limit their downside exposure and consider using leverage judiciously. [2][5]

## Conclusion
By combining fundamental and technical analysis, as well as implementing sound risk management practices, traders can increase their chances of success when trading the USD/JPY currency pair. However, it's important to remember that Forex trading carries inherent risks, and traders should always do their due diligence and practice in a demo account before committing real capital. [1][2][3][4][5]

Citations:
[1] USD JPY Urdu Analysis Today - کیا پرائس گرنے لگی ہے؟ - YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx2M4Knd3qU
[2] My Upcoming USD/JPY Forex Day Trade - YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h9hf2661zqI
[3] USD/JPY Discussion - Forex Factory https://www.************.com/thread/...jpy-discussion
[4] USD/JPY Forecast, News and Analysis (US Dollar and ... - FXStreet https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/usdjpy
[5] One Pair USDJPY Beginners Simple Forex Trading profitable ... - YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVh9LbzI-vY

USD/JPY ke hawale se, Friday ko khareedaron ne ek tezi se upar jaane wali harkat nahi kar saki, jis ke natije mein din ke akhri mein ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jismein thori si bullish faida dekhi gayi. Yeh wazeh hai ke is instrument par accumulation ho rahi hai aur aksar yeh accumulation impulsive price breakout ke sath upar ke rukh mein khatam hogi. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya tha, main resistance level ko pakar kar rakhne par tawajju de raha hoon, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 164.500 par hai. Is resistance level ke kareeb, do scenarios unfold ho sakti hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur mazeed upar ki taraf chale. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price 168.000 ke resistance level ki taraf badh jaye. Is resistance level ke kareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo ke mazeed trading direction ka taayun karega. Zaroori baat yeh hai ke main yeh tasleem karta hoon ke price mazeed door ke northern targets ki taraf bhi push ho sakti hai, lekin yeh situation aur price ka indicated distant northern targets par reaction aur news flow ke dauran price movement par depend karega. Price movement ke liye ek alternative scenario jab resistance level 164.500 ke kareeb approach ho toh yeh plan hoga ke reversal candles ka formation aur corrective southern movement ka dobaara shuru hona. Agar yeh plan implement hota hai, toh main intezar karunga ke price wapas support level jo ke 160.209 par hai ya 157.671 par hai us par wapas aaye. Is support level ke kareeb, main bullish signals ki talash jari rakhunga, upar ki taraf price movement ke dobaara shuru hone ki umeed karte hue. Mukhtasir mein, agli hafte main yeh anticipate kar raha hoon ke position accumulation impulsive northern price breakout ke sath khatam hogi, us ke baad nearest resistance level ko test karne ke baad, main market situation ke mutabiq act karunga

Japanese yen US dollar ke mukable mein 159.93 par neeche settle hui hai, jabke yeh pehle 160 ke important psychological level ko breach karne ki dhamki de chuki thi, jo ke Japanese authorities ko Forex currency markets mein intervene karne par majboor kar chuki thi. Exchange rate performance par comment karte hue, Masato Kanda, chief currency diplomat, ne kaha ke Japan yen ke volatile movements ke khilaf “kisi bhi waqt” steps lene ke liye tayar hai, aur currency movements ko stable aur fundamentals ko reflect karna chahiye.

Currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... Japanese yen ki decline recent mein taze hui jab Bank of Japan ke June meeting se opinion summary ne dikhaya ke members next interest rate hike ke baray mein divided hain. Ek member ne inflation ke upside risks ki wajah se jaldi action lene ka kaha, jabke doosray members ne ehtiyaat aur upcoming data se further confirmation ki zarurat par zor diya.

Yeh developments tab aayi jab Bank of Japan ne apne massive bond purchases ko kam karne se inkaar kar diya ek policy decision mein jo pichle hafte liya gaya, aur kaha ke July ke next policy meeting mein apne bond purchasing program ko reduce karne ka plan release karega.

Stock trading companies ke platforms par... Japanese stocks do hafton mein apne highest levels par pohanch gayi hain.

Trading ke mutabiq, Nikkei 225 index of Japanese stocks 0.95% barh kar 39173 par close hui, jabke broader Topix index 1.72% barh kar 2787 par pohanch gayi, pichle session ke gains ko continue karte hue aur do hafton mein apne highest levels par, Japanese yen ki weakness stocks ko support karte hue expectations profits ko enhance kar rahi hai. Japanese export-dependent industries ne bhi faida uthaya. Data ne dikhaya ke Japan's services producer price index May mein 2.5% barh gaya, April ke 2.7% increase se slow hote hue.

Kul mila kar, investors is hafte zyada local economic reports ka intezar kar rahe hain jisme retail sales, industrial production aur May ke unemployment data shamil hain, saath hi Tokyo ke June inflation figures bhi. Index mein heavyweight companies ne strong gains dekhi hain, jaise ke Toyota Motor (4.6%), Mitsubishi UFJ (3.9%), Sumitomo Mitsui (3.2%), Hitachi (4.6%), aur Sony Group (1.9%). Wahi, technology stocks pressure mein thi jab major US semiconductor companies ne selling continue rakhi, jisme sharp losses Disco Corp (-5.5%), Tokyo Electron (-1.7%), aur SoftBank Group (-0.3%) se aayi.

Haal hi mein market ke harkat mein, Japanese yen ne US dollar ke khilaaf numaya taraqqi dikhai hai, jis se uski tareekhi ahmiyat aur mojooda trends mein buland dilchaspi hasil hui hai. Shuruati dino mein, US dollar ne yen ke khilaaf thori si rukh mor liya, lekin baad mein zehniyat mein ahem 160 yen ke mark ko paar kar liya. Yeh tabdeeli currency pair mein aik ahem lamha darj karti hai, jo traders aur analysts ke darmiyan wusat se dilchaspi ko jama karti hai.
Market ke analysts ke mutabiq, mumkin hai ke yen 158 yen ke darje ke aas paas mazboot support se guzare, aur 155 yen ki taraf mazeed giravat bhi ho sakti hai. Yeh darje ahem hai kyunki yeh tareekhi support zones ko numayan karte hain jo mustaqbil ke trading patterns ko asar andaz ho sakte hain.

Is harkat ko mutassir karne wale ahem factors mein samil hain mukhtalif market trends aur US aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate ke farqat. Ab Japan ko kafi aasani se monetary policies maintain karte hue dekha ja raha hai jab ke US Federal Reserve mukhtalif uncha interest rates ko barqarar rakhta hai. Yeh interest rate ke farqat currency ke qeemat ko mold karne mein ahem role ada karte hain, jis mein yen ke khilaaf mazboot US dollar ko faida hota hai.

Strateegi ke tor par, kai market participants yen ke qeemat mein giravat ke mauqe ko faydah mand waqt samajhte hain. Yeh strateegi yen ki kamzori ke mojooda trend ke saath milta hai, jis mein US dollar ke favor mein mukhtalif interest rate aur market momentum se sath sath hota hai.

Aage dekhte hue, 160 yen ke paar hone wala momentum investors aur traders ke liye ek mazboot trend ki nishani hai, jise qareeb se nazar andaaz kiya ja sakta hai. Is se pullbacks ke darmiyan kharidari ke mauqe numayan hote hain, jin mein mukhtalif support levels aur dono economies ke interest rate dynamics shamil hote hain.

Ikhtitami tor par, mojooda market mahaul yen ke fluctuations ko US dollar ke khilaaf istemal karne mein dilchaspi rakhne wale logon ke liye kharidari ke dips par amal ki strategic raaye ki taraf ishara karte hain. Yen jo ke mukhtalif currency trends mein kamzor nazar aati hai, investors ko mustaqbil ke market sentiments aur economic indicators ke sath milne wale mauqon ke liye muhtat rehne ki salahiyat di jati hai. Yeh approach tareekhi levels aur market momentum ke ilawa currency landscape ko shape karne wale impact ke interest rate differentials ko bhi shamil karta hai.

USDJPY 22.04.2024

Market opening ke baad USDJPY currency pair ka urooqa barqarar raha.

Yeh pair aksar trends ko follow karta hai, jaisa ke long-term perspective se zahir hota hai. Magar yeh aksar ziada passengers ko uthar deta hai, jaise pichle haftay hua tha. Humne ek kafi technical growth dekhi, supports ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aur ek buy signal hourly timeframe par bana. Grey bar signal level aur potential ko mark karta hai. Buy signal level par ek brief consolidation ke baad, prices achanak gir gayi aur buyers' risk zone ke neeche chal gayi. Phir yeh jaldi se wapas upar aa gayi. Trendline ne bhi ek acha bounce point banaya, magar mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyadah side effect tha, kyunki ranging market mein, koi bhi trendline se buy nahi kar pata jab tak buy limit orders na lagaye jaayein, jo ke bohot kam traders karte hain. Filhaal, hamare paas hourly timeframe par ek aur buy signal hai, pehle wale se zyada potential ke sath. Iske ilawa, resistance fractals ke break hone ka matlab hai ke uptrend ka dobara shuru hona.

Dusre chart par, main daily timeframe par switch karta hoon. Yahan, yeh yaad dilana zaroori hai ke pehle humare paas price targets ek range ke tor par thay. Range ka lower target 16 April ko set hua tha, magar upper target bhi reach ho sakta hai. Dusre chart par, maine ek Fibonacci grid apply ki hai pehli wave ke baad southern correction ke. Hamara qareebi target level 261.8% par hai, jo ke 155.305 hai. Hourly buy signals ke potential ko moving averages ke hisaab se compare karte hue, yeh Fibonacci level se milta hai. Bawajood iske, market structure for growth toot chuki hai, especially jab hourly timeframe ka reference liya jaye. Iska matlab yeh hai ke extreme market targets tak pahunchna bohot challenging aur tense ho sakta hai. Jaise jaise hum targets ke qareeb jate hain, zyada participants, khas tor par large trend followers, apni positions close karna shuru karte hain, jisse candles upward structure ko tod deti hain.

158.20 ke price test ke doran, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator zero mark ke oopar significant movement dikha raha tha, jo ek mazboot bullish trend ki taraf ishara tha. Kafi arsay tak, MACD overbought area mein tha, jo ek possible selling scenario ki taraf ishara karta tha, yani market overextended ho chuki thi aur price correction qareeb thi.
MACD ek popular momentum indicator hai jo technical analysis mein istemal hota hai trend ki taqat aur tezi ko samajhne ke liye. Is mein do moving averages hote hain, MACD line aur signal line, jo traders ko potential buy aur sell signals pehchanne mein madad dete hain. Jab MACD line signal line ke oopar se cross karti hai, yeh typically ek bullish trend ka signal deta hai, jabki signal line ke neeche cross hone par bearish trend ka indication hota hai. Zero line ek baseline ka kaam karti hai jo positive aur negative momentum ke farq ko dikhata hai.

Iss khaas maamle mein, MACD kafi arsay tak overbought territory mein tha, iska matlab hai ke price tezi se barh rahi thi aur ek reversal mumkin ho sakta tha. Overbought conditions tab hoti hain jab MACD line signal line aur zero mark se kafi upar hoti hai, jo market mein ek zyada bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Aise scenarios mein traders sell signals ke liye dekhte hain, ummeed karte hain ke price correction ho sakta hai.

Jab price 158.20 ke qareeb pahuncha aur MACD ab bhi overbought territory mein tha, yeh sell scenario ke mumkin hone ki sambhavna ko aur bhi mazbooti deta hai. Traders ise ek mauqa samajhte hain profit hasil karne ya short positions mein dakhil hone ke liye, ummeed karte hain ke price mein neeche ki taraf movement ho sakta hai. Price level aur MACD ke extended overbought condition ke combination ne ek potential market correction ki taraf ishara kiya





Yaad rahe ke MACD technical analysis mein ek ahem tool hai, lekin ispe poori tarah aitmaad nahi kiya jana chahiye. Traders ko apne trading decisions ko validate karne ke liye dusre factors aur indicators ko bhi madde nazar lena chahiye. Aur bhi yeh yaad rakhein ke market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, aur woh jo clear sell signal lag raha hai woh jaldi hi ek bullish trend ka continuation ban sakta hai. Isliye risk management aur ek mukammal trading strategy iss tarah ke scenarios ko samajhne mein zaroori hain

Humari guftagu ka mawzu USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movement assessment se mutaliq hai. Price ne 158.987 ke support level aur 159.734 ke resistance ko test kiya. Din ka aakhri price in levels ke neechay khatam hua. Jab price resistance aur support ko test karti hai aur in points ke darmiyan rehti hai, to main aglay din ke liye range trading ko tarjeeh deta hoon. Meri prediction durust thi kyunke price Tuesday ke range mein trade hui, resistance aur support ko chhuye baghair. Upper limit ke nazdeek hone ki wajah se, main support level 158.987 tak girane ko tarjeeh doonga. M30 time frame par noticeable accumulation hai, jahan cluster bullish ki taraf ja raha hai. MACD mazid movement ke potential ko dikhata hai bina kisi mazboot rokawat ke. Is currency pair ki direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunke ye expected movement se align nahi hui. Priority ko current vector par rakha jaye

Agar resistance ka imkaan hai aur bulls is level ke upar position ko secure kar lete hain, to yen ka price barh kar aglay target 161.66 ya thoda sa upar pohonch sakta hai. Lower time frames dikhate hain ke bears ke paas kuch potential hai southern pullback ko extend karne ka. Magar situation nazuk hai, aur agar bulls USD/JPY price ko 159.61 ke upar maintain karte hain, to kal ka high surpass karna mumkin lagta hai. Buyers ne pair ko bullish kiya hai, magar ab ek corrective decline ka imkaan significant hai. Hourly chart me horizontal resistance 159.81 par clearly dikhayi deti hai, jo psychological level 160.01 ke qareeb hai, jise buyers avoid kar rahe hain. Resistance aur sloping mid-term line mil kar converging triangle banati hain. Sustained fall ke liye descending red line 159.51 ko todna aur uske neeche solidify karna zaruri hai, jo sell position ka signal hai. Yen ke liye picture wazeh nahi hai, kyunke ye heavy depend karti hai market ke response par last high 159.91 ke liye

Meri rai mein, Tokyo mein rising inflation rate ke saath Yen ko strengthen hone ka moka milta hai. Kyunke, jaisa ke mujhe samajh aata hai, jab inflation rate barhta hai to aam tor par yeh central bank ke interest rate barhane ki shuruaat hoti hai. Jab central bank ka interest rate zyada hota hai to sarkari bonds par bhi interest rate zyada hota hai. Kyunke sarkari bonds ko safe mana jata hai, khas tor par ek taraqqi yafta mulk jaise Japan ki sarkar ke bonds, zyada foreign investors unhein kharidte hain. To, rising inflation rate ke saath Tokyo mein, yeh akhri tor par USDJPY pair mein bearish movement ko drive kar sakta hai.

Magar, masla yeh hai ke BOJ ka interest rate abhi bhi 0.10% par hai jab ke Fed ka interest rate 5.25% par hai. Sane investors apni capital Japan le kar nahi jayenge balki US le jayenge. To, USD ki demand JPY se zyada hoti hai jo USDJPY pair ko bullish move karwati hai. Aur ek aur masla yeh hai ke, USDJPY pair mein bullish trend hone ke bawajood forex traders khul ke BUY position lene se darte hain. Kyunke yeh mumkin hai ke Japanese sarkar achanak se phir se intervene kare jo ek deep bearish spike bana de.

Is liye, halaan ke price abhi bhi Bollinger Band indicator ke H1 time frame ke upper band area mein hai, main phir bhi BUY position lene se darte hoon. USD/JPY currency pair ne Asian session ke doran kuch zyada change nahi dikhaya. Thodi si upward movement hui hai jo US dollar ke strengthen hone aur Biden aur Trump ke debates ke natije ki wajah se hai. Yen par abhi bhi mukhtalif factors se strong pressure hai. Aaj June ka akhri trading day hai, to partial profit-taking mumkin hai. Economic calendar Friday ko kaafi busy hai. Saari tawajjo geopolitics aur American market ke opening par hai. Is instrument ke liye pehle din ke aadhe mein, main moderate downward correction expect karta hoon, lekin main scenario uptrend continuation ka hai. Anticipated reversal point level 160.15 par hai, main is level ke upar buy karunga aur targeting levels 161.85 aur 162.35 hoga. Alternative scenario mein agar pair downward move karna shuru kar deta hai aur 160.15 mark ko tod kar consolidate karta hai, to path levels 159.85 aur 159.65 ke liye open ho jayega.

Yeh hai meri tafseelat USD/JPY pair ke mutaliq, jo current market conditions aur economic indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue banayi gayi hain.

USD/JPY Price Action Analysis

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price action analysis discuss karenge. Pair ne wedge ke lower limit ko paar kiya, ya phir yeh kehna zyada theek hoga ke narrowing channel ko paar kiya. Yeh purple color mein mark hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers phir se position mein fas sakte hain, jo market ko mazid strength de sakta hai grow karne ke liye. Us waqt north ki taraf continue karna mushkil tha kyun ke buyers ko apni positions close karni padti hain large cycles ke end par. Jaise ke pehle mention kiya tha, global cycles Friday ko close hui. Is mein day, week, month of June, quarter, aur half-year ka closure shamil tha. Itni saari cycles ek sath close hone se, bohot se traders ne shayad apni positions exit ki, jisse long squeeze create hui. Price growth structure likely thi, magar price ek point ko poke karke wapas impulsively return hui, minimum update kiya magar sell karne ka reason nahi diya.

Bohot se log expect karte hain ke Japanese authorities USD/JPY daily time frame par intervention karengi. Main bhi un logon mein shamil hoon jo is intervention ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh samajhna aasan hai ke regulator ko waqt lag sakta hai, shayad Friday tak intezar karte hain jab critical US inflation statistics release hongi. Data ke bawajood jo aam tor par dollar ke khilaf hota hai, trend mazboot rehti hai. Aise data ke saath bhi, dollar likely nahi tha, jo highs ke retest ko suggest karta hai jab tak Japanese authorities ki reaction ka intezar hota hai. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke USD/JPY pair mein ek solid bullish trend hai. Agle hafte ke news events ki potentially highly influential nature ko dekhte hue, apni trades par stop-loss order apply karna advisable hai risk management purposes ke liye.

Price test ke doran 158.20 par, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ne zero mark se upar significant movement dikhayi. Ye action strong bullish trend ko indicate kar raha tha. Kaafi arsey se, MACD overbought area mein tha, jo possible selling scenario ko suggest kar raha tha, kyunki ye indicate karta tha ke market shayad overextended hai aur price correction mumkin ho sakti hai.
MACD ek popular momentum indicator hai jo technical analysis mein trend ki strength aur speed ko gauge karne ke liye use hota hai. Ye do moving averages par mabni hota hai, MACD line aur signal line, jo traders ko potential buy aur sell signals identify karne mein madad deti hain. Jab MACD line signal line ke upar cross karti hai, ye aam tor par bullish trend ka signal hota hai, jab ke signal line ke neeche crossover bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Zero line ek baseline ki tarah kaam karti hai jo positive aur negative momentum ke darmiyan farq dikhati hai.

Is khaas surat-e-haal mein, MACD kuch waqt se overbought territory mein tha, jo ye indicate kar raha tha ke price rapidly rise kar rahi hai aur ek reversal mumkin ho sakta hai. Overbought conditions tab hoti hain jab MACD line signal line aur zero mark se kaafi upar hoti hai, jo market mein zyada bullish sentiment ko reflect karti hai. Traders aise scenarios mein aksar sell signals dhoondte hain, umeed karte hue ke ek potential price correction ho sakta hai

Jab price 158.20 ke qareeb pohanchi aur MACD ab bhi overbought territory mein tha, ye sell scenario ke possibility ko mazid mazbooti di. Traders isay ek mauqa dekhte hain ke profit kama sakte hain ya short positions enter kar sakte hain, anticipate karte hue ke price mein neeche ki taraf movement ho sakti hai. Price level aur MACD ki extended overbought condition ka combination ek potential market correction ko signal karta hai

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ke live jaiza par markaz rakhti hai. Hafte ke akhir tak, USD/JPY currency pair lagbhag 200 points barh gaya, aur 100% control zone 159.69 par apne maqam ko chhoo liya. Mamool ke halat mein, hum is resistance se pullback ki tawakku karte, magar filhal, yeh namumkin lagta hai. Agla target 150% zone ka resistance hai, jo ke 162.41 ke qareeb hai. Agar pullback hota hai, toh potential buys ke liye qareebi support levels 158.46 aur 157.16 hain. Guzishta hafte, USD/JPY ka weekly chart kaafi numaya growth dikhata hai. Resistance 157.162 par mojood tha, aur halaan ke thoda rollback hua, lekin price is level ke upar band hui. Natija-tor par, pichle hafte, maine resistance 159.201 ki taraf growth ko tarjeeh di. Yeh resistance paar ho gaya, aur price is ke upar band hui Yeh hafta, mein mazeed growth ko resistance 161.240 ki taraf tarjeeh deta hoon. Kam az kam, mujhe umeed hai ke price is resistance level ko test karegi. USD/JPY ka 160.21 ka breakdown ko jhootlaana mushkil hai kyun ke specific technical signals is ko support karte hain. 160.21 ka toor dena sirf mumkin nahi, balki kaafi ziyada mumkin hai. Is ke liye, price ko July options par resistance 159.96 ko paar karna hoga aur is ke upar rehna hoga, phir resistance 160.29 ka rukh karna hoga. Agar price 160.09 ke strike ke upar qaem hoti hai, toh yeh 160.74-161.32 tak barh sakti hai. Wahan se, medium ya long term mein bearish shift ho sakta hai, kyun ke yeh levels monthly contract ke peaks ko represent karte hain, aur 160.74 ke upar buying filhal anticipated nahi hai. USD/JPY pair ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jisme critical levels mazeed growth ko darsha rahe hain. In resistance aur support levels ka jaiza lena trading decisions ko soch samajh kar lene ke liye nihayat ahem hoga.

USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ki amooman notice able hui hai, jo key levels ke ird gird mazidam interaction ko nishaan dahi karti hai. Haal hi mein, jodi 158.22 par mojooda resistance barrier ke qareeb pohanchi, halankeh yeh ek naya urooj qayam nahi kar saki. Bad mein, market ki jazbat badal gayi jab bears ne control ikhtiar kiya, aur jodi ko 157.50 ke ahem support zone ke qareeb le gaye. Aaj ki trading session ko ahem ghair mustaqilat ke saath dekha gaya hai, jahan taghirat wazeh tor par izharat e nazar hain, jo barh chadh karobar ke dilchaspi aur mawazna ke liye asar andaz hone ki sambhavnaat darust karti hain. Jese ke trading din barhta hai, mazeed taraqqi ke liye intezar hai, khaas tor par sham ke session ke baare mein. Analysts aur traders dono 157.53 ke ird gird kya USD/JPY pair aik ahem level tak pohanch sakta hai, ke mutaliq tawajjo se izharat e nazar hain.
157.53 ke muntazam level par, market participants mazeed tawazun ke qareeb darust hone wale manazir ke liye tayar hain jo mustaqbil ke trading strategies par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Bunyadi umeedain is taraf mawjood hain ke jodi toot kar, mojooda thalay ke neeche jam ho sakti hai. Baraks, jodi 157.49 ke oopar taqatwar dakhilat ka ehtemam bhi hai. Yeh ek ahem waqt hai market participants ke liye, jo nazdeek ki muddat mein market ki dynamics ke bare mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Jodi 157.53 ke neeche jaane ke imkaanat trading strategies ke liye lehrate hain, khaas kar un logon ke liye jo mojooda market ke mahol mein aik mahol ke mutabiq approach ka tawassul chahte hain. Is ke ilawa, 157.49 ke oopar aik kharidari moqa paida hone ka ihtemam nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Aise manazir ek tawajjuh ki taraf ishaarat kar sakte hain, jis mein traders mojooda mahol mein aham dakhilat ke points talash kar rahe hain. Market observers tawajjo ko mazid ghante ke dauraan khas kar ke USD/JPY pair ki karwai par di gayi hai. In ahem darajat par natije, mojooda market trends ki taaqat ke baray mein qeemat dar nishaanat aur mustaqbil ke qeemat movazna karne ke liye ahem hain.