USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ko forex market mein traders aur investors ke liye ek ahem maqam hasil hai. Aaj kal yeh pair 159.64 par trade ho raha hai aur is waqt ka trend bearish lag raha hai. Yeh movement is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke Japanese yen US dollar ke muqable mein mazboot ho raha hai. Magar, market ka dheema raftaar yeh dikhata hai ke yeh trend abhi poori tarah se develop nahi hua aur aane wale waqt mein kuch badi tabdiliyan aasakti hain.

Kayi factors hain jo USD/JPY pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. America aur Japan se economic data releases ka forex market par gehera asar hota hai. Misal ke taur par, agar Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan apni interest rates mein koi tabdili karte hain, toh yeh market mein volatility ko barhawa de sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy USD/JPY pair ke liye ek key driver hai. Agar Fed apni interest rate policy mein koi tabdili ka signal dete hain, toh market mein ek tez reaction dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical events bhi currency pairs ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. USD/JPY ke liye, US-China relations, North Korean activities, aur Japanese economic policies bohot ahem hain. Koi bhi unexpected geopolitical event is pair mein sharp movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis bhi future movements ko predict karne mein important role ada karta hai. Is waqt, bearish trend ko kai technical indicators jaise ke moving averages aur trend lines support kar rahe hain. Magar, traders ko key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. Agar price significant support level se neeche break hoti hai, toh yeh aur decline ka sabab ban sakta hai, jabke resistance level ke upar move hona bearish trend ke reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

Market sentiment bhi ek important aspect hai. Agar global economy mein positive developments aati hain ya US se favorable economic data milta hai, toh current bearish sentiment shift ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke large institutional traders ki positioning ko consider kiya jaye aur unka market par potential impact dekha jaye.

Historical trends ko dekh kar bhi future movements ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ka ek history hai sharp movements ki following periods of low volatility. Yeh pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke current slow market ek aane wale storm se pehle ki khamoshi ho sakti hai, jo aane wale dinon mein ek significant movement ka indication de raha hai.

Nateejatan, jabke USD/JPY is waqt bearish trend dikha raha hai aur dheeme raftaar se move kar raha hai, kai factors hain jo significant changes ka sabab ban sakte hain. Traders ko economic data, geopolitical events, technical indicators, aur market sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye. Historical patterns ko dekhte hue, aane wale waqt mein USD/JPY pair mein ek significant movement plausible lagti hai. Jaise ke humesha, forex market mein potential volatility ke liye tayar rehna aur informed rehna zaroori hai.

USD/JPY ANALYSIS



Is hafte ka bullish trend abhi tak dominant hai, mein USD/JPY currency pair mein upside potential dekh raha hoon kyunki kal raat bohat taqatwar buying interest ne keemat ko urooj par le gaya. Kharidari ke fauj ke kaamyaabi se keemat ko 160.86 ke darje tak ooncha pohnchaya gaya hai, aur aane wali raat ke liye mazeed izafa ka potential ab bhi khula hai. Market movement ke aakhri mahine ke itihaas se yeh zahir hota hai ke bullish trend mein ulat chuki hai, jis ne keemat ko 151.98 ke darje se ooncha chhod diya hai. Pichle haftay ke shuru mein kharidari ki koshishen bhi thi. Mujhe yeh nazar aa raha hai ke kharidari ab bhi USD/JPY currency pair mein apni dominance qaim rakh rahi hai.

Graph ki tafseeli tashreehat ke natijay mein yeh pata chalta hai ke is haftay ke market movement mein pichle haftay jaise buyers ke control ke saath consistent raha hai. Is hafte ki rozana tareekh mein bhi market mein mazeed izafa dekha gaya hai, jab tak raat ki trading session mein keemat phir se bullesh rehti hai. Kal raat keemat ne phir se bullish rehne ki koshish ki aur aaj market dobara down correction mein ja raha hai kyunki kharidari ki fauj abhi tak encouragement nahi de rahi hai, jis ka matlab hai ke bullish trend ab tak jaari nahi raha. Is liye aaj ke liye yeh bohat mumkin hai ke market ke keemat ka movement mazeed bullish raste par ja raha hai, kyunki mukhtasir trend abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, aur yeh tahmin kiya ja raha hai ke market doosre buyers ke jawab ka intezaar kar raha hai, jo is haftay ke liye valid trend ko upar le jane ke liye koshish karenge. Dominant market conditions bullish hain jo baad mein 161.00 ke darje ke qareeb izafa ka maqsad banayenge.

Technical Reference:

Kharidari tab tak jab tak keemat 159.890 ke oopar hai
Resistance 1: 160.580
Resistance 2: 160.740
Support 1: 160.000
Support 2: 159.890

USD/JPY ko US trading session ke dauran (26/6/24) mein izafa hone ka mauka hai kyunki keemat abhi tak bullish channel mein phans gayi hai, yeh ek uptrend structure hai jo kehta hai ke downside na tootne tak jaari rahega, izafa ke potential ko bhi Moving Average indicator dikhata hai jo upar jaane ka trend dikhata hai aur MACD jo abhi bullish mauqa dikhata hai kyunki histogram abhi bhi positive area mein hai, keemat ko upar le jaane ke ishaarat dete hue. 15 M chart par bhi USD/JPY ke upar jaane ke mauqe dikhaye gaye hain, aur yeh ek ghante ke time frame ke haalat se kafi mukhtalif nahi hai, iske alawa Moving Average (MA) jab upar jaane ka nishaan deta hai to yeh bullish potential ko jaari rakhta hai. Agar upar di gayi soorat-e-haal se milta julta scenario ho to USD/JPY ko 160.740 ke resistance level tak pohnchne ka mauka hai.

USD/JPY pair


Daily (D1) time frame par, Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqablay mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf takreerat mein yeh zahir ho raha hai ke uptrend mein quwwat nazar aarahi hai. Haal hi mein, pair ne 160.00 ke ek ahem support area se rebound kiya hai, jo ke ek zaroori demand level saabit hua. Is support ke neeche girne ki koshishon ke bawajood, pair ne mazbooti se qaim raha, jisse yeh zahir hota hai ke is ilaqe mein kharidari mein mazboot dilchaspi hai. Is support area ki bardasht is baat ka saboot hai ke yeh traders ke liye ek ahem nukta hai jo dekhne layak hai.

Ahem Resistance aur Support Levels Jab hum price action ko tajziya karte hain, to D1 chart par sab se zaroori resistance areas 160.27 aur 160.65 par hain. Yeh levels ahem rukawaton ko darshaate hain jinhe pair ko apni upar ki manzil tak pohanchne ke liye paar karna hoga. Mutawazan, sab se zaroori support level 159.60 par hai. Yeh level pehle bhi pair ke liye mazboot bunyadi tha, girawat ko rokne ke liye aur upar ki taraf raftar hasil karne ke liye ek launching pad ke taur par kaam aaya hai.



Maujooda market conditions ke hisaab se, meri nazar mein USD/JPY pair par bullish hai. Haal hi mein 160.00 support level se hone wala rebound yeh sabit karta hai ke kharidari mein mazboot dilchaspi jari hai. Isliye, main mashwara deta hoon ke 160.40 ke aas paas ek khareedari position mein dakhil ho jayein. Yeh entry point mojud uptrend aur mukarar support zone ke saath milta hai.

Dakhil Hone, Stop Loss, aur Target ke liye Strategy Ek durust trading strategy ke liye, 160.40 par khareedari position mein dakhil hona munasib lagta hai. Khatra ko efraat se manage karne ke liye, stop-loss order ko 160.60 par rakhna chahiye. Yeh stop-loss level dakhil hone ke point se thoda oopar hai, jisse anjaan market volatility ke khilaf ek bachav milta hai jabki ek munasib



Is trade ke liye target 160.00 aur 159.60 ke darmiyan set kiya gaya hai. Yeh target range is baat ko madde nazar rakhta hai ke pair 160.00 ke qareeb mazboot support area ko dobara pohanch sakta hai, sath hi sath 159.60 ki taraf gehri pullback ki mumkinat bhi hai. Is range ke andar ek mamooli target set kar ke, traders forex market ke inherent uncertainties mein munafa lock kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY pair ki D1 interval par technical analysis ishara deta hai ke uptrend jari hai jis mein ahem support aur resistance levels hain jo traders ko qareeb se nazar rakhte rehna chahiye. 160.00 ke support area ne sabit kiya hai ke yeh ek achha entry point hai pair ko khareedne ke liye. 160.27 aur 160.65 par resistance levels ke saath, aur ahem support level 159.60 par, market dynamics mazeed upar ki sambhavna dikhate hain. 160.40 par buy position mein dakhil hone, 160.60 par stop loss rakhne aur 160.00-159.60 ke target range ke saath, maujood technical landscape ke saath milta julta hai aur risk management aur munafa ki mumkinat mein ek sehmni approach pesh karta hai.

Main ab USD/JPY currency pair ke price movement ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Is manzar nama mein, yeh na-kam interference ke liye gawahi hai, matlab dollar/yen pair ki price movement natural market dynamics ko follow karegi. Agar correction decline hoga, to pehle support levels 158.61-85 aur 159.06-40 ko tootna zaroori hai. Agar yeh levels chuhe jaayein, to potential hai ke 158.31-157.96 tak decline ho sakta hai. Agar ye support level tak pohuncha, to further decline 155-156 range tak bhi ho sakti hai. H-1 time frame se ki gayi technical analysis ke aadhar par, market mein selling strategy se dakhil hona munasib lag raha hai. Chaliye mujhe yeh samjha dein ke short trades is waqt khaas tor par zaroori kyun hain.

Pehle to, mojooda price 50-day moving average ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Yeh indicator market ki overall direction ka andaza lagane ke liye aam istemal hota hai, aur iske neeche trading bearish trend ki to shanakht hai. Yeh downward momentum traders ke liye shorting the market par dakhil hone ke liye ek ahem signal hai. Iske ilawa, pehle trading session ke baaqissa hafte mein, currency pair opening price ke neeche chala gaya aur aakhirkaar din ko ek niche level par band kiya. Opening price se nichle band ke niche band hone ka yeh pattern bearish sentiment ko mazboot karta hai aur lagataar neeche dabaav ki alaamat hain.

Pooray din ke doran, price quotes ne Bollinger band ko top se bottom paar kya. Bollinger bands ek mashhoor technical analysis tool hain jo volatility aur potential price direction ko darust karta hai. Neeche band cross karne ka matlab bearish direction-based trend aur continued decline ke liye buland imkaan ka point hai. Yeh movement ahem hai kyunke yeh signal karta hai ke price neechay chalta rahega, jo is waqt bechne ka ek munasib moqa banata hai.

Ek aur ahem factor RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator hai, jise main nazar andaz nahi karta. RSI ek momentum oscillator hai jo price movements ki tezi aur tabdilko ko napta hai. Overbought (70 se ooper) ya oversold (30 se neeche) period mein trades se bachna zaroori hai, kyunke yeh extremes potential reversals ki alamat hote hain. Abhi RSI selling ke liye ek maqbool zone mein hai, na to overbought aur na to oversold, jo bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Is indicator ka muqaam selling strategy ko support deni ki wajah banta hai kyunke ye indicate karta hai ke downward trend aur chalne ki jagah hai.





In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, take profit target mukhtalif Fibonacci level 211% par hoga, jo ke price value 158.894 ke mukhtas karta hai. Fibonacci retracement levels widely used hote hain technical analysis mein potential reversal levels ko pehchanne ke liye, aur 211% level profit lenay ke liye strategy target hai. Position ka hissa break-even par secure karne ke baad, mein quotes ko lower Fibonacci levels tak pichhe chalne doonga, taake nuqsaan ko kam karte hue potential faiday hasil kiye jaa saken.

Ikhtisar mein, trading 50-day moving average ke neeche, price pehle session mein opening se nichle level par band hone, lower Bollinger band ko cross karna, aur RSI selling zone indicate karna, sab yeh point karte hain ke USD/JPY currency pair ke liye bearish trend hai. Yeh technical indicators mil kar batate hain ke ab market mein short-selling strategy se dakhil karne ka waqt hai, identified support aur Fibonacci levels ko potential targets ke tor par nazarandaaz karte hue.

USD/JPY pair ki haftawar (weekly) chart ka tajziya karte waqt, hum kuch ahem technical aspects aur trends ko madde nazar rakhenge. Ye analysis humare liye iss baat ka ta'yyun karega ke aane wale hafton mein pair ka rujhan kya ho sakta hai. Pehle toh, humein yeh dekhna hai ke 149.691 ka level kitna ahem hai. Yeh level historically ek strong resistance raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke jab bhi price is level ke qareeb aata hai, sellers ka pressure increase hota hai aur price ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Aksar ye bhi hota hai ke kuch investors aur traders is level pe apne profits book karte hain, jiski wajah se selling pressure aur bhi barh jata hai. Recently hafton mein, humne dekha ke USD/JPY pair ne 149.691 ke resistance ko test kiya aur wahan se bounce back kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke resistance ab bhi intact hai aur bears (sellers) abhi bhi control mein hain. Agar hum price action ko dekhein toh, bounce ke baad price ne ek downward movement dikhayi hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke short-term mein bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai. Is bounce ke baad agar hum technical indicators ka sahara lein, toh Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka analysis helpful hoga. Agar price ne 50-period MA ke neeche close kiya hai, toh yeh ek bearish sign hai. RSI agar oversold levels (30 ke qareeb) ko approach kar raha hai, toh yeh possible reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, magar agar RSI neutral ya mid-levels pe hai, toh bearish trend ke continuation ka zyada chance hai. MACD ko dekh kar humein trend ki strength aur momentum ka pata chal sakta hai. Agar MACD line signal line ke neeche hai aur divergence barh rahi hai, toh bearish momentum strong hai. Iska matlab hai ke price aur neeche ja sakta hai. Support levels bhi dekhne chahiyein. Agar price consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, toh nearest support level ko watch karna zaroori hai. Yeh levels wo points hain jahan buyers dubara enter ho sakte hain. Agle kuch supports 145.00 aur 142.50 ke aas paas hain. Fundamentally, USD/JPY pair pe American aur Japanese economic indicators ka asar hota hai. Jaise ke Federal Reserve ki interest rate policies, US ka GDP growth, inflation data aur Japanese economy ki health indicators. Yen traditionally safe-haven currency mana jata hai, toh global uncertainties bhi USD/JPY ko affect kar sakti hain. Conclusively, agar 149.691 ka resistance barqarar rehta hai aur price lower highs aur lower lows banati rehti hai, toh short-term bearish trend ka possibility barh jati hai. Traders ko yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke kya koi fundamental changes aa rahe hain jo trend ko reverse kar sakte hain

USD/JPY jodi ke liye, 157.37 resistance level ko paar karna buyers ke liye ek significant achievement hoga. Yeh indicate karega ke market sentiment Japanese yen ke muqable mein stronger US dollar ki taraf lean kar raha hai. Agla step untested 157.64 resistance level par focus karna hoga, jo agar break ho gaya, toh bullish outlook ko reinforce karega aur price ko 1.5123 resistance level ki taraf drive kar sakta hai
Traders ko potential risks aur market conditions ko bhi consider karna chahiye jo is scenario ko asar kar sakte hain. Geopolitical events, economic reports, aur central banks ki taraf se monetary policy changes jaise factors USD/JPY jodi ke movement ko influence kar sakte hain. In factors se waqif rehna aur vigilant rehna informed trading decisions lene ke liye crucial hoga
Summary mein, USD/JPY karansi jodi ka main resistance level iss waqt 157.37 par hai. Buyers is level ko todne aur untested resistance 157.64 ko target karne ka irada rakhte hain. Agar yeh levels successfully breach ho gaye, toh yeh continued bullish movement ko 1.5123 ke next significant resistance ki taraf le ja sakte hain. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ko apne trades plan karte waqt sab market factors ko consider karte hue cautious rehna chahiye

USD/JPY market analysis

Budh (26 June) ko, USD/JPY ne 160.82 tak pahunch kar ek intraday high hit ki, jo December 1986 se sabse uncha tha, aur 160.69 par band hua, late trading mein 0.7% ki bhartiya. Is saal tak, USD/JPY lagbhag 14% tak badh chuka hai. Investors nirantar do deshon ke bich dar ke vishal antar ka labh uthate hain aur dollar kharid kar yen bechte hain, jo bikri se dab gaya hai.

Analysts ka kehna hai ki traders Japan ke Vitt Mantralay ki dridhta ko test kar rahe hain, jo ne April ke antim saptaah mein aur May ke shuruaati mein 62 arab dollar kharch kar ke yen ko samarthan dene mein lagaya to. UBS ki New York mein videshi mudra strategists Vassili Serebriakov ne kaha, "Aam taur par, hastakshar market ko dheemaa kar dete hain, lekin jab tak maiyaar ka desh ke mudra niti ki sthiti mein bada badlaav na ho, beech kaarun koi madhyam se bhavishya mein bazar ka disha ko parivartit karna kathin hota hai." "USD/JPY ke liye, agar Bank of Japan mudra dar mein zyada prabal kadam uthata hai ya Fed dar ghataane lagti hai, to jodi ko adhik prabal gati dekhai denge. Lekin in do vikasano ke bina, main yakin nahi kar sakta ki hame saaf parivartan dekhne ko milega. Yaha tak ki hastakshar uske upside ko nishchit roop se simit karenge."

Japanese Vitt Mantralay Vitta Mantri Masato Kanda ne budh ko yen ke sthayitva mein atyadhik uljhan ke viruddh bhayanak pratikriya badhani ke liye sanket badha diya, kahate hue ki prashashan "gambhir roop se chintit aur adhik jagaalatar" hai yen ka tej giraavat ke vishay mein. Unhone is baat ka nirdesh diya ki abhi ke yen ki kamjori apratishthit hai. Agar Japanese adhikar ne keval abhasik roop se hastakshar karenge bina vaastavik market vyaapaar ke, to hastakshar ka prabhav simit hone ki umraud hai, aur investors iska avagun kar sakte hain. Iske alava, Ameriki vyakta vyay vyaya (PCE) kimatank sujaav shukravaar ko jari kiya jaaega, aur data ki shakti USD/JPY mein bade uttar-chaal mein pher sakti hai. Agar data majboot hota hai, to USD/JPY aage badhta rahega; agar data kamzor hota hai, to yen ke mandi par dabav ko kuch had tak halka kar sakta hai.

USDJPY takneeki samaiksha

Abhi USD/JPY jodi ek samaikya daur mein hai ek poora bullish TREND ke andar. Agle badhte MOMENTUM ki pushti ke liye 160.900 ke upar ek breakout ke liye dekha ja raha hai. Iske samay, 160.270 ke niche ek toota jaana ek gehra pullback ya palatwaar ki soochna de sakta hai. MACD par anya haathi nishane aur anya vyapari soochakon ke liye RSI par anya chashma rakhen jo anupadeesh sanchaar pradaan kar sakte hain.

USD-JPY PAIR KI PESHGUFTAGU

Meri tajziyon ke mutabiq, is hafte ke market ke liye lagta hai ke USD-JPY pair ke tend ko apni barhti rahnay ki tendency hai kyunkay technicals ke mutabiq ek bullish candlestick Daily time frame par nazar aya hai. Pichle hafte, yeh lag raha tha ke candlestick ne ek bearish correction ka saamna kiya. Kuch hafton se market ke kai halat aur situations ko monitor karte hue, lagta hai ke bullish run ke liye abhi bhi mauka mojood hai market ke situation ke mutabiq jo pichle hafte ke darmiyan se appears.

Is vajah se, kyun ke candlestick ka barhta hua stable rehna, uchaltay hue aur consolidate zone se door rehna ke mutabiq, buyers ko price position ko mazeed barhaane ki ummeed hai. Agar abhi current candlestick ki situation dekha jaye, to bullish rally market ko buyers ke control mein dekhne ka ek reference ho sakta hai. traders ek ache area ka intezar kar sakte hain jahan se Buy signal milay. Isliye aapko H4 time frame mein price movement ka khaas dhiyan dena chahiye. Lag raha hai ke current price movement kareeban 160.59 par chal raha hai. Abhi ke liye, candlestick ka bullish journey jaari rehne ka mauka lagta hai. Lagta hai ke candlestick 100 period simple moving average zone se aur bhi upar badhega. Agla increase aik bullish target 161.06 zone ki taraf jaane ki umeed hai.

Stochastic indicator ki signal line 80 zone ko chu chuki hai, iska matlab hai ke market trend bullish taraf ja raha hai. Is tarah ke mauke ke sath, buyers ki umeed hai ke wo price position barhane par focus karne mein zyada comfortable feel karenge based on technical analysis ke nateeja hai. Agar trend abhi bhi bullish side par jaari hai, to price dheere-dheere target increase ki taraf badhegi, jise se earning ka mauka milta hai. Sirf yehi nahi, mera paigham yeh hai ke zyada confident na hon, aur possibilities ke liye tayyar rahein, ek neeche ki safar ki sambhavna ko yaad rakhein.

USD/JPY currency pair ke movements ko samajhne ki koshish karenge. Yeh chart 5-minute time frame ka hai, jo short-term price action ko dikhata hai. Roman Urdu mein detail se is analysis ko samjha ja raha hai.
Chart par humein multiple support aur resistance levels nazar aa rahe hain. Green lines resistance levels ko indicate kar rahi hain aur red lines support levels ko dikhati hain. Pehla resistance level 158.92 par hai, jabke doosra resistance level 159.15 par maujood hai. Support levels 158.55, 158.34, aur 158.01 par hain.
Shuruat mein, humein price action sideways movement mein nazar aata hai, jahan market mein koi significant trend nazar nahi aata. Yeh consolidation phase hota hai, jahan buyers aur sellers ki strength barabar hoti hai. Thodi dair ke baad, price ne sharp upward movement dikhaya, jo blue trend line se indicate hota hai. Yeh strong bullish move indicate karta hai ke buyers ne market control mein le liya hai.
Is bullish move ke baad, price ne resistance level 158.92 ko test kiya. Yeh level cross karna mushkil sabit hua aur price ne is level ko breach nahi kiya. Is resistance level par selling pressure wapas aaya aur price ne thodi consolidation dikhayi. Consolidation phase ke doran, price ne thodi fluctuation dikhayi, lekin overall trend bullish hi raha.
Price ne support level 158.55 ko retest kiya aur yeh level hold karta nazar aaya, jo buyers ke strength ko indicate karta hai. Support levels par buyers ke strong interest ke wajah se price ne wapas upward movement shuru ki aur resistance level 158.92 ke paas stabilize ho gayi. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein abhi bhi bullish sentiment hai aur price further upward movement dikhane ke liye ready hai.
Short-term mein, agar price resistance level 158.92 ko breach karti hai to hum aur bhi bullish movement dekh sakte hain, jahan price agla resistance level 159.15 ko target karegi. Is level ko breach karna thoda challenging ho sakta hai, lekin agar buyers ka momentum strong raha to yeh level bhi cross ho sakta hai.
Technical indicators jese ke moving averages aur relative strength index (RSI) bhi important hain, jo traders ko market ka sentiment samajhne mein madad karte hain. Is chart par humein overall bullish trend nazar aa raha hai, lekin traders ko careful rehna chahiye aur stop-loss orders use karne chahiye taake risk management secure rahe.
In conclusion, USD/JPY currency pair ka yeh chart short-term bullish trend ko indicate kar raha hai, jahan multiple resistance aur support levels play kar rahe hain. Market ka sentiment bullish hai, lekin cautious trading aur proper risk management zaroori hai.

USDJPY currency pair ke latest technical analysis ke mutabiq, ek mazboot bullish trend nazar aata hai. Ek technical indicator jo is manzur ko support karta hai woh EMA 50 ka position hai jo EMA 100 ke oopar hai. Ye shart aam tor par bullish signal ke tour par consider ki jati hai kyun ke EMA 50 jaldi time frame mein price movements ko reflect karta hai EMA 100 ke mukable. Jab chhota EMA lamba EMA se oopar hota hai, to yeh darshata hai ke chhote term ki momentum zyada hai aur price ko upar ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY ne ahem resistance level 157.704 ko toorna hai. Is resistance ke tootne ka matlab hai ke kharidari ki takat kaafi mazboot hai jo price ko pehle upper limit ke tour par consider kiya gaya tha, woh paar karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Ek tootne wala resistance level aksar ek naya support level ban jaata hai, isliye price is level ke aas paas correction ya consolidation ka samna karna tend kar hai pehle apne upward movement ko jaari rakhne se pehle. Abhi, price pehle wale high point 160,174 ke neeche hai. Yeh high point bullish trend ke jaari rehne ke liye tootna zaroori hai. Agar price is high level ko paar kar leti hai, to phir aage ke izaafay ki bohot zyada mumkinat khuli huyi hain. Pehle wale high level ko tootna aksar yeh baat confirm karta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi mazboot hai aur jaari reh sakta hai.

USDJPY currency pair H1 timeframe par ab kaafi mazboot bullish signs dikhata hai. Is bullish tendency ka ek main indication yeh hai ke price 159.901 resistance level par atkaa hua hai. Pehle, price ne 159.296 support level tak ek correction ka saamna kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support area tak neeche kheench gaya tha. 159,296 support level tak pohanchne ke baad, price ne phir se bullish strength dikhayi aur barhti huyi. Yeh darshata hai ke 159,296 support ne price girne ko rokne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai aur buyers ke liye phir se market mein daakhil hone ka modd hai. Is support ko chhootne ke baad huyi price increase darshata hai ke market sentiment abhi taak buying power dwara dominate ki ja rahi hai. Abhi, price phir se 159,901 resistance level ke qareeb ja raha hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke jaari rehne ko taay karta hai. Agar price 159,901 resistance ko toorna kaamyaab hoti hai, to yeh signal dega ke kharidari takat kaafi mazboot hai ke price ko upar ki taraf le ja sake. Is resistance ke tootne se price ke aur increase ke opportunities khul sakti hain.

Kal, price ne aakhirkar expected maximum 160.20 ko pohanch gaya, lekin significant drop nahi hui. Aaj Asian session ke doran sirf ek correction hui, aur 160.20 level support ban gaya hai lekin pehla important target sellers ke liye ab tak nahi pohancha.

Yen ka downtrend jari hai. Price ne ascending trendline se break kar liya hai jise wo recently flirt kar raha tha. Jab tak pair daily Pivot 160.423 par hai, nearest targets resistances par hain: 161.185; 161.656; 162.127.

Main is waqt buying consider nahi kar raha, kyun ke Bank of Japan apne dollars se achanak intervene kar sakta hai, isliye main wait karunga. Iske ilawa, month ke end ka qareeb hona bhi ek factor hai, jise dekhte hue hum technical pullback ka samna kar sakte hain.

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki price action assessment ka mozu hai. USD/JPY currency pair mein ek potential intervention ke asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Pair ki price significant taur par nahi barh rahi. Japan ne apne stance ko reiterate kiya hai against a highly devalued yen, jo meri expectation ko support karta hai ke price increases limited rahenge. Current market trends aur economic indicators ke base par, main short term mein US dollar ki modest strengthening predict karta hoon, followed by a period of fluctuation aur potential weakening. Ye sirf meri perspective hai, aur market dynamics aksar unpredictable hote hain. Sirf waqt hi is forecast ki accuracy ko reveal karega.

Market ne Bank of Japan ke representative ka skeptical view liya, jisne kaha ke Bank kisi bhi waqt intervene kar sakta hai aur ye likely 24/7 karega. Is announcement ne Friday ko yen mein brief spike ka sabab bana, lekin decline tab se stabilize ho gaya hai. Trading range 160.16 aur 159.31 ke darmiyan hai, aur pair significant US news ke ilawa is range mein rahne ka imkaan hai—jab tak Bank of Japan verbal warnings se zyada substantial interventions nahi karta. Agar growth 160.16 ko surpass karti hai, toh pair ko abhi buy karna risky hai despite technical indicators suggesting otherwise. Hum ise closely observe karenge. US ke positive trends pair ko higher targets par drive kar sakte hain, lekin dekhte hain ke cheezein kaise unfold hoti hain. Agar channel hold karta hai, toh growth target 164th range mein ho sakta hai, jo technical analysis ke mutabiq plausible hai. Humein Bank of Japan ke actions par vigilant rehna hoga.

Meri mushahadat ke mutabiq, is haftay ke market ke liye lagta hai ke USD-JPY pair apni izafa ko jari rakhe ga kyunke technicals ke mutabiq, Daily time frame par ek bullish candlestick nazar aa rahi hai. Guzishta haftay, candlestick ne bearish correction undergo ki thi. Pichle kuch dino mein market ke mukhtalif halat aur surat-e-haal ko dekhte huay, mujhe lagta hai ke bullish run ka mauqa abhi bhi khatam nahi hua hai, jo ke pichle haftay ke darmiyan se market ki surat-e-haal ke mutabiq hai
Is yakeen ke peechay jo buniyad hai, wo ye hai ke candlestick ka izafa abhi bhi stable hai, upar ki taraf move kar raha hai aur consolidation zone se door ja raha hai, jaise ke main ne graph par dikhaya hai. Buyers se yeh umeed hai ke wo price position ko mazeed upar le ja sakte hain. Agar aap current candlestick situation ko dekhen, to bullish rally asal mein market ko buyers ke control mein hone ka hawala de sakti hai. Traders ke liye ek achi area ka intezar karna zaroori hai jahan se Buy signal mil sake. H4 time frame par price movement par tawajju deni chahiye. Lagta hai ke price movement abhi tak 160.59 ke aas paas chal rahi hai. Filhaal, lagta hai ke candlestick apni bullish journey ko jari rakhne ka mauqa rakhta hai. Lagta hai ke candlestick 100 period simple moving average zone se upar aur door chali jaye gi. Agla izafa 161.06 zone mein bullish target ko aim kar raha hai
Stochastic indicator ke signal line ne 80 zone ko chhoo liya hai, jo market trend ko bullish side ki taraf move karne ka ishara de raha hai. Aise mauqo se umeed hai ke buyers mazeed comfortable feel karen ge aur rising positions par focus rakhen ge, technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq. Agar trend abhi bhi bullish side par jaari hai, to price dheere dheere target increase ki taraf move karegi, jo ke profit banane ka ek mauqa faraham karegi. Bas meri yeh guzarish hai ke zyada pur-umeed na ho, abhi bhi doosri imkanaanat hain, neeche jaane ka bhi imkaan hai, us se bhi hoshiyaar rahen

USD/JPY price action ke mutabiq humari guftagu ka ehtemal hai ke USD/JPY currency pair mein intervention ho sakta hai. Is pair ke price mein zyada izafa nahi hoga. Japan ne apna stance dohraya hai ke wo highly devalued yen ke khilaf hai, jo ke mere umeed ko support karta hai ke price mein izafa limited hoga. Maujooda market trends aur economic indicators ke mutabiq, mein short term mein US dollar ke thora mazboot hone ka tajziya karta hoon, iske baad fluctuations aur potential weakening ho sakti hai. Ye sirf mera nazariya hai aur market dynamics aksar unpredictable hoti hain. Waqt hi is forecast ki accuracy ko zahir karega.


Bank of Japan ke representative ne kaha ke Bank kisi bhi waqt intervene kar sakta hai aur yeh 24/7 mumkin hai, ispe market ne shak kiya. Is announcement ne Friday ko yen mein ek brief spike paida kiya, lekin decline tab se stabilize ho gaya hai. Trading range 160.16 aur 159.31 ke darmiyan hai aur yeh pair is range mein reh sakta hai jab tak koi significant US news nahi aati—agar Bank of Japan verbal warnings ke ilawa substantial interventions nahi karta. Aisi koi event ho sakti hai agar growth 160.16 se upar chali jaye, jo ke ab risky hai pair ko khareedna chahye ke nahi, technical indicators kuch bhi kahen. Hum isko closely observe karenge. Positive trends US mein pair ko higher targets tak le ja sakti hain, lekin dekhte hain ke cheezen kaise unfold hoti hain. Agar channel hold karta hai, to growth target 164th range mein ho sakta hai, jo ke technical analysis ke mutabiq mumkin hai. Humein Bank of Japan ke actions pe nazar rakhni hogi.

NIGARI: Karobar ki tajziya aur Japani yen ka tajribati behtareen Paish-e-raft Mein, jab MACD nishandehi zero mark se intehai buland hota gaya, to 156.56 ke qeemat darja barqi hui, jis ne jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko roka. Is liye, maine ise nahi khareeda. Kyunki yeh Amrici session ke ikhtitam ki taraf hua, is liye koi naye daakhilay bazaar mein nahi mile. Kal ke Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke economic activity ke nishandehiyon ne yen ko mazboot kar diya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashiyat ke mohrajaat ko peechey chhoda, jo ke muashion ke tajziyati tawaghan ko girane wala tha. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke yen kharidne walon ki daair tak kitni muddat rahegi, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke sath. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line) ke qareeb ka hisa khareedun taake woh 157.15 (outline par zyada moti hari line) tak chade. 157.15 ke aas paas, maine khareedne ka irada kiya hai aur doosri taraf se farokht karna hai (yeh 30-35 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke muqam par do bar



test hone par (jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai), kharidun. Yeh jodi ka nichley potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek sarhad ka bazaar ulta ho sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izaafa mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechun jab wo 156.56 ke muqam se neeche toot jaye (graph par surkhi line), jo ke jodi mein tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhodunga aur jaldi se kharidun (yeh 20-25 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Jodi ke upar farokht ka dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozi rozi ke uchay par ittefaq nahi karta. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke agar MACD nishandehi zero mark ke niche ho aur bas ab is se girne laga ho, tab main USD/JPY ko bhi bechne ka irada karta hoon. Agar MACD nishandehi overbought area mein ho aur 156.80 ke dauray ke do murattab hon, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh jodi ka sarhadon

nishandehi zero mark se intehai buland hota gaya, to 156.56 ke qeemat darja barqi hui, jis ne jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko roka. Is liye, maine ise nahi khareeda. Kyunki yeh Amrici session ke ikhtitam ki taraf hua, is liye koi naye daakhilay bazaar mein nahi mile. Kal ke Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke economic activity ke nishandehiyon ne yen ko mazboot kar diya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashiyat ke mohrajaat ko peechey chhoda, jo ke muashion ke tajziyati tawaghan ko girane wala tha. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke yen kharidne walon ki daair tak kitni muddat rahegi, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke sath. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line) ke qareeb ka hisa khareedun taake woh 157.15 (outline par zyada moti hari line) tak chade. 157.15 ke aas paas, maine khareedne ka irada kiya hai aur doosri taraf se farokht karna hai (yeh 30-35 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke muqam par do bar test hone par (jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai), kharidun. Yeh jodi ka nichley potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek sarhad ka bazaar ulta ho sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izaafa mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechun jab wo 156.56 ke muqam se neeche toot jaye (graph par surkhi line), jo ke jodi mein tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhodunga aur jaldi se kharidun (yeh 20-25 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Jodi ke upar farokht ka dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozi rozi ke uchay par ittefaq nahi karta. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke agar MACD nishandehi zero mark ke niche ho aur bas ab is se girne laga ho, tab main USD/JPY ko bhi bechne ka irada karta hoon. Agar MACD nishandehi overbought area mein

pressure increase hota hai aur price ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Aksar ye bhi hota hai ke kuch investors aur traders is level pe apne profits book karte hain, jiski wajah se selling pressure aur bhi barh jata hai. Recently hafton mein, humne dekha ke USD/JPY pair ne 149.691 ke resistance ko test kiya aur wahan se bounce back kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke resistance ab bhi intact hai aur bears (sellers) abhi bhi control mein hain. Agar hum price action ko dekhein toh, bounce ke baad price ne ek downward movement dikhayi hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke short-term mein bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai. Is bounce ke baad agar hum technical indicators ka sahara lein, toh Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka analysis helpful hoga. Agar price ne 50-period MA ke neeche close kiya hai, toh yeh ek bearish sign hai. RSI agar oversold levels (30 ke qareeb) ko approach kar raha hai, toh yeh possible reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, magar agar RSI neutral ya mid-levels pe hai, toh bearish trend ke continuation ka zyada chance hai. MACD ko dekh kar humein trend ki strength aur momentum ka pata chal sakta hai. Agar MACD line signal line ke neeche hai aur divergence barh rahi hai, toh bearish momentum strong hai. Iska matlab hai ke price aur neeche ja sakta hai. Support levels bhi dekhne chahiyein. Agar price consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, toh nearest support level ko watch karna zaroori hai. Yeh levels wo points hain jahan buyers dubara enter ho sakte hain. Agle kuch supports 145.00 aur 142.50 ke aas paas hain. Fundamentally, USD/JPY pair pe American aur Japanese economic indicators ka asar hota hai. Jaise ke Federal Reserve ki interest rate policies, US ka GDP growth, inflation data aur Japanese economy ki health indicaagifnfirhfidhxufifnefjdnfjgbgkdjffjtors. Yen traditionally safe-haven currency mana jata hai, toh global uncertainties bhi USD/JPY ko affect k