USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ab ek mazboot bullish nazar aata hai, jo darasl US dollar ke maqami nisbat se Japanese yen ke qeemat mein izafa ka doar darust kar raha hai. Ye bullish lehja mukhtalif factors ki wajah se barh raha hai, jin mein ma'ashi nishanat, market ki janibdari, aur siyasi waqiyat shaamil hain jo US dollar ko yen ke muqablay mein afzal samjhte hain. Is bullish scenario mein sab se ahem takneeki level 156.83 resistance level ko dekhna hai. Ye level tareekhi tor par bulandi ki raqam mein kami ka aham rukh ada karta hai, aur iska kirdar mojooda market ke mansoobah mein aham hai.

Tajwez ya karobar karne walon ke liye jo keen nazron se USD/JPY pair ko nazar andaz kar rahe hain, 156.83 resistance level aik ahem lamha darust karta hai. Agar currency pair is level ko tor kar aur is ke oopar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, to ye zahir hota hai ke mazboot bullish jari hai. Is level ko tor kar aur is ke oopar barqarar rehne ki salahiyat mazboot buland rukh ko dikhata hai, jo tajwez karne walon ko mazeed fawaid ke imkanat mein ziada bharosa faraham karta hai. 156.83 resistance level ke kamyabi tor par, USD/JPY pair ko mazeed bulandi ke resistance zones ko target karne ka stage qaim ho sakta hai. Agla ahem resistance zone 186.90 aur 127.40 ke darmiyan hai. Ye shami ilaqa aik bara potential resistance ka shuba hai jahan pair ko farokht ke dabaav ka samna kar sakta hai. Magar, agar bullish rukh kafi mazboot ho, to pair is zone ke taraf tezi se chal sakta hai, jo mojooda lehjay ke muqablay mein numaya izafa kar sakta hai.

156.83 level ki ahmiyat takneeki tajziye ke mansoobah mein zyada nahi ho sakti. Resistance levels dilchasp rukh darust karte hain jahan farokht ke dabaav barhta hai, aksar qeemat ko phir se mudakhil hone ya barqarar hone se pehle kuch hissa wapas lay jata hai. Is liye, 156.83 ke saaf tor par, aik barabri ke sath tor kar ke, jo ke maamooli trading volume ke saath ho, USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish tasdiq ho gi.

Adaab! Chaliye, USD/JPY currency pair ki takneeki tajziya mein ghus jate hain. Meri dekha dekhi ke mutabiq, tajwez pur amoomi tor par bullish hai, aur mein qareebi mustaqbil mein ek buland rawani ka imkan samajhta hoon. Mujhe tawajjo se dekhta hoon ke mukhya resistance level jo mein nazdeek se dekh raha hoon, woh 156.83 par maujood hai. Agar keemaat is level ko kamiyabi se torr kar H1 time frame chart par muzbooti se milti hai, to yeh mazeed buland rawani ka saboot hoga. Is manzar mein, mujhe umeed hai ke keemaat agle resistance zone ko nishana banaegi, jo 156.90 se 157.40 ke darmiyan hai.

Agar keemaat is gehri resistance area ke ooper muzbooti se milti hai, to yeh buland trend ki taqat ko tasleem karegi aur aik silsila ke shumali rawani ka imkan darust karegi. 156.83 resistance level par tawajjo qaim rakhna intehai ahem hai, kyun ke yeh buland rawani ki mumkin tijarat ka ahem pehlu darust karega.

Moqami resistance level ke qareeb mumkinah manazir ke hawale se, mein do mumkinah nataij dekhta hoon. Pehla manzar keemaat ko faisla se tor kar, aur apne sarne ke safar mein jaari rehna. Is halat mein, mera markazi tawajjo 156.90-157.40 resistance zone par hota hai, keemaat ke buland rawani ko mazbooti se qaim rakhne aur is level ke ooper muzbooti se milne ki salahiyat ko tawajjo se dekhta hoon. Dusra manzar, yeh sochta hai ke keemaat shayad foran 156.83 resistance ke ooper na pohanch sakti hai. Is halat mein, mein mazeed taraqqi ke mawazna karne ke liye intezar karta hoon, keemaat ke agar bas is level ke neeche muzbooti se milti hai ya phir waqtan fwaqtan kamzor pad jati hai. Resistance ke neeche muzbooti se milna yeh ishara de sakta hai ke keemaat dobara tor karne ke liye quwwat ikhtiyaar kar rahi hai, jabke kamzori ek dafa phir buland rawani ke safar se pehle muddat guzarne ki alamat ho sakti hai.

Kul mila kar, USD/JPY pair ko bullish outlook dikh rahi hai, jahan 156.83 resistance level aik ahem mawqaa hai. Is level ke umeedwar tor par muzbooti se mil kar mukammal rawani ke liye rasta kholega, agle nishana 156.90-157.40 resistance zone hoga. Tijarat karnewalon ko is resistance level ke aas paas ke keemaat ka amal tawajjo se dekhna chahiye aur dastawezon par apni tajweezat ko mukhtalif manazir ke mutabiq farogh dena chahiye.

Adaab, chaliye USD/JPY currency pair ki takhliqati analysis par ghoor karte hain. Meri tawajjuhat ke mutabiq, nazriya bullish hai aur qareebi mustaqbil mein ek urdu movement ka intezar hai. Woh ahem resistance level jo main tafseel se nazar rakhta hoon, woh 156.83 par hai. Agar keemat is level ko kamyabi se paar kar leti hai aur H1 waqt mafroor chart par mazbooti se madda kare, to yeh ek mazboot signal hoga mazeed urdu potential ke liye. Is surat mein, main 156.90 se 157.40 ke darmiyan waqt ka resistance zone ko nishana banata hoon. Agar keemat is bade area ke upar mazbooti se madda karti hai, to yeh urdu trend ki mazbooti ko tasdiq karega aur jodha rukh ka ihtimal zahir karega. 156.83 resistance level par qareebi nazar rakna intehai ahem hai, kyun ke yeh ek ahem sanad deta hai mazeed urdu rukh ke liye.

Jari resistance level ke qareebi manazir ke bare mein, main do mumkinah maqasid dekhta hoon. Pehla maqsaad keemat ko mazbooti se paar karne aur apni charhai ka silsila jari karne ka hai. Is surat mein, mera asal tawajjuh 156.90 se 157.40 ke resistance zone par hota hai, keemat ki mazbooti se mazeed urdu rukh ko barqarar rakhne aur is level ke upar mazbooti se madda karne ka. Dusra maqsaad hai ke keemat shayad foran 156.83 resistance ke upar na bhare. Is surat mein, main mazeed waqiyat ka intezar karta hoon ke dekho ke keemat bas is level ke neeche madda karta hai ya ek waqtanfarosh wapas aata hai. Resistance ke neeche madda hona yeh ishara de sakta hai ke keemat doosri baar is se guzarnay ke liye madda kar rahi hai, jabke ek wapas aana taqreeban ek durust karne ka doran darust kar sakta hai, phir ek aur urdu dhakka ke qabal. Kul mila kar, USD/JPY joda bullish nazriya dikhata hai, jahan 156.83 resistance level ek ahem mor hai. Ek kamyabi se guzarna aur is level ke upar madda karna mazeed faida de sakta hai, agle nishana 156.90-157.40 resistance zone hoga. Karobariyon ko is resistance level ke qareeb keemaat ka tawajjuh se dekhte rahna chahiye aur aghaaz hone wale manaziron ke mutabiq apni strategies ko taqreeban karna ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

USD/JPY currency pair abhi dilchasp aur jatil qeemat ki harkaat dikhata hai, jo traders ki tawajju ko apni puraniyon par dhyan dena deta hai, jo is ke mukhtalif pechidgi patterns ko tafseel se jaanch rahe hain. Haal mein, jodi ne ek qabil-e-zikar triangle pattern banaya hai, aik aam technical formation jo amooman market mein aaghaaz ya ulte dauran ko signal karta hai. Yeh khaas triangle pattern is liye dilchasp hai kyunke is ka neeche girna ek downtrend channel ke upper border ke saath milti julti hai jo H1 (aik ghantay) timeframe par dekha gaya hai. Triangle pattern ki tafseel se jaanch karte hue, traders note karte hain ke yeh do taraf se milti julti trendlines se nazar aata hai, jo is wakt ke price action ke sath lower highs aur higher lows ki series ko banate hain. Yeh milavat darust ko ek daur-e-itehad ka duraar darust karta hai, jahan market ke shirakat daron ko tajziya karna mushkil hota hai aur qeemat ki range tang hoti hai. Aise formations aksar ahem price movements ke pehle aate hain, kyunke market ek raah mein tootne se pehle momentum ikhatta karta hai. Arzi maaloomaat ke barhne se, siasi waqiaat, aur market ki jazbaat bhi price ke rukh ka tayyun karte hain. Isliye, jabke technical analysis qeemati idraak faraham karta hai, to ise bunyadi tajziya ke saath mukammal karna chahiye. Currency pair ki qeemat ek uth'te hue channel ke andar nazar aati hai, jiska ooperi had 157.25 ek mumkin resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Agar qeemat is se ulta hojati hai, to agla maqsad 156.83 par neeche ke had tak hosakta hai. Traders ko in ahem levels ka nigrani rakhna chahiye aur trading faislon mein technical aur bunyadi factors ko dono ka tawazun lena chahiye. Uth'te hue channel ke andar qeemat ki istiqraar baazi us baat ki ahmiyat ko samjhaata hai ke trend patterns ko pehchan na kitna zaroori hai.

USD/JPY: Current Market Analysis
USD/JPY pair foreign exchange market ka aik popular aur frequently traded pair hai. Is waqt iski current price 157.28 hai. H4 chart pay dekhain to kal Monday ko ye price 155.26 critical support levels say bounce hui hai aur ab bullish movements k sath upward trend main hai. Chart pay agar technical indicators dekhein to Stochastic Indicator ne crossover show kiya hai aur 80 levels ke ooper confirm buy ka signal de raha hai. Ye signal usually bullish trend ki confirmation hoti hai aur traders ko buy ki side main enter hone ka signal milta hai.



Agar hum price action ko further analyze karain to agar price last high 157.70 ko break karti hai to ye aik strong bullish signal hoga aur ham buy trades main enter ho saktay hain. Is level ka break hona signify karta hai ke market main upward momentum strong hai aur aur ziada buyers market main interest le rahe hain.

Yahan pay aik aur cheez jo traders ko madadgar sabit ho sakti hai wo hai risk management. Support aur resistance levels pay trade karte waqt apna stop loss aur take profit levels zaroor define karain taake unexpected market moves say apni investment ko protect kar saken. Summarize kartay hue, USD/JPY pair abhi bullish movements main hai aur Stochastic Indicator ke signal ke base par ye buy ka achi opportunity show kar raha hai. 157.70 ke level ko dhyan main rakhein aur agar ye break hota hai to buy trades main confidently enter kar saktay hain. Trading main risk management ko nazar andaz na karain aur apni strategy ko follow kartay rahain.

**USDJPY Analysis**
22.04.2024

USDJPY currency pair ne market opening ke baad apni upar ki taraf movement ko jaari rakha.

Yeh pair trends ko follow karta hai, jaise ke long-term perspective se zahir hota hai. Lekin, yeh kabhi kabhi extra participants ko shake off bhi karta hai, jaise ke pichle hafte mein dekha gaya. Humne ek kafi technical growth dekhi, jo supports ko madde nazar rakhte hue hui, aur hourly timeframe par ek buy signal form hua. Grey bar signal level aur potential ko mark karta hai. Buy signal level par thodi der ke liye consolidation ke baad, prices ne sharply drop kiya aur buyers' risk zone ke neeche chale gaye. Phir jaldi se wapas upar aa gaye. Iske ilawa, trendline ne ek acha bounce point ka kaam kiya, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada side effect tha, kyunki ranging market mein, kisi ke paas trendline se buy karne ka waqt nahi hota, agar buy limit orders place na kiye ho, jo ke bohot kam traders karte hain. Filhal, humein hourly timeframe par ek aur buy signal mila hai, jo pehle wale se zyada potential rakhta hai. Iske ilawa, resistance fractals ka break bhi hua hai, jo ke uptrend ke resume hone ko zahir karta hai.

Dusre chart par, main daily timeframe par switch karta hoon. Yahan, humein yaad dilana chahiye ke humare paas pehle price targets range ke form mein the. Range ka lower target 16 April ko set hua tha, lekin upper target bhi reach ho sakta hai. Dusre chart par, maine Fibonacci grid apply kiya hai pehli wave par jo ek prolonged southern correction ke baad aayi thi. Humara nearest target level 261.8% par hai, jo ke 155.305 par hai. Hourly buy signals ke potentials ko moving averages ke basis par compare karte hue, yeh Fibonacci level se align karte hain. Phir bhi, market structure for growth break ho chuka hai, especially jab hourly timeframe ka reference lete hain. Iska matlab hai ke extreme market targets tak pohanchna bohot challenging aur tense ho sakta hai. Jaise jaise targets ke kareeb aate hain, zyada participants, especially large trend followers, apni positions close karna shuru karte hain, jis se candles jo upward structure ko break karti hain.

**USD/JPY Ka Buniyadi Tajziya**

Thursday ki Asian session mein, Japanese yen (JPY) US dollar ke mukablay mazboot hui, aur multi-decade lows ke qareeb se kuch choti choti taraqqi ko barqarar rakha. Maqam ki currency ko kuch support mil rahi hai Japanese authorities ke intervention ke izafa hotay huay imkanaat ki wajah se. USD/JPY exchange rate bhi 152.00 integer mark ke qareeb pohanchi US dollar ke aik din ke slide ke natije mein jo usay aik week ke low ke qareeb le gayi thi. Thursday ke European trading day mein, USD/JPY exchange rate sideways movement mein rahi, aur average 151.70 par thi. Iske ilawa, yeh pair shayad Wednesday ke high 151.95 ke qareeb immediate opposition ko face kare, jo psychological level 152.00 aur March ke high 151.97 ke sath align karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is point ko cross kar sakay, to is mein muqabla upward advance ho sakta hai, jo USD/JPY pair ko 152.50 ke qareeb significant levels discover karne ka mauka dey sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 151.39 ko show kar rahi hai, jo suggest karti hai ke USD/JPY shayad full-scale level 151.50 par quick support ko find kare. Agar latter level break hota hai, to USD/JPY pair negative pressure ko face kar sakta hai, jo shayad 151.00 ke psychological barrier ko test karey aur phir 23.6% Fibonacci retracement phase 150.67 par move kare.


**USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya**

USD/JPY pair ke hawale se situation akhri do hafton mein kuch badli hai. March swing lows se strong recovery ke hawale se, yeh phase consolidation abhi bhi bullish kaha ja sakta hai. Daily chart par oscillators bhi show karte hain ke spot prices ke liye sab se kam resistance ka rukh upar ki taraf hai, chahay wo abhi bhi overbought conditions se door hain. Magar, kisi bhi further gains ke liye position lene se pehle yeh wise hoga ke 152.00 round-figure threshold ke consistent break ka intizar kiya jaye. Magar, koi bhi meaningful drop shayad strong support ko find kare ya preliminary buying aur selling range ke lower end ke qareeb, jo ke takriban 151.00 ke qareeb hai. Pehle se indicate kiye gaye handle ka strong breach, khaaskar horizontal resistance breakpoint 150.80 aur 150.75 ke beech ke niche ka break, is waqt support ke taur par act karta hai aur USD/JPY ko future relevant support ki taraf push kar sakta hai jo ke 150.25 region mein hai. Isi waqt, psychological 150 level bhi hai, jo agar completely broken ho, bearish traders ke perspective ko badal sakta hai aur ek similar corrective slide ke liye rasta khol sakta hai jo eventually 149.00 mark aur 149.35–149.30 region ki taraf move kare.

chart ka jaeza lete hain. Humare paas abhi bhi operation mein ek bullish two-kopeck piece hai, jo ke indicator ki taraf se neela mark kiya gaya hai, aur jo diagonal lines asal wajahon ke liye sab se qareebi support ka kaam karti hain. Kal, mukhtalif currencies ne Jumma ko America dollar ke leye muqarar kiye gaye ahem ma'aashi waqiyat ka acha jawab diya. Khaas tor par, "average hourly wages and changes in non-agricultural employment" statistics musbat thay, jo hamare terminal mein qabil e tawajju halchal ka sabab bane. Halankeh main baad mei


rozana ka chart bhi tajziya karunga, pehle Price Action method par tawajju dene ke liye, magar ehmiyat hai ke 6 June ko hum ne "bullish engulfing" candle pattern dekha, jo 155.11 tak correction ke baad 200 points se zyada izafa ka sabab bana Mukhtalif taur par, USD/JPY jodi ne bhi 155.89 darje mein mazboot support ka pehchan kya hai. Ye support level qeemat ko mazeed girne se rokne wala ek floor ka kaam karta hai. Agar qeemat is level se neeche toot jati hai, to agla downside target doosra support level 155.57 hoga. Is level ko toorna bearish dabao mein izafa ko zahir karega, aur traders mazeed girawat ka tawaqo rakhsakte hain. Ye doosra support level bearish trend ka jaari rehne ya qeemat ka rebound karne ka andaza lagane ke liye ahem hai. In support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan ka ta'alluq traders ko potential market movements ke baray mein ahem maloomat faraham karta hai. Misal ke taur par, jab qeemat ek resistance level ke qareeb aati hai, traders aage ki tezi ya mukhalif reversion ke nishane dhoondte hain. Ek resistance level ke ooper breakout, taqatwar bullish hissas ki alamat ho sakti hai aur mazeed faiday ki sambhavna zahir karti hai. Dusri taraf, agar qeemat resistance ke ooper tootne mein nakam rahe, to yeh ek reversal aur support levels ki taraf girawat ka ishara ho sakta hai Isi tarah, jab qeemat ek support level ke qareeb aati hai, traders ek breakdown ya rebound ke nishane dhoondenge. Ek support level ke neeche tootna taqatwar bearish hissas ki alamat ho sakta hai aur mazeed nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Magar, agar support level qaim rehta hai, to yeh ek potential rebound aur buyers ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka mouka ho sakta hai. Aam tor par, yeh support aur resistance levels trading faislay ke liye ahem points ka kaam karte hain. In levels ke aas paas qeemat ke rawayya ko qareebi tor par dekhte hue, traders potential dakhilay aur nikalne ke nishane, risk ko manage karne, aur market movements ka faida uthane ke liye mumkin points ka pata laga sakte hain. Summar mein, USD/JPY jodi ke rawayya 156.49 resistance aur 155.89 support levels ke aas paas kaunse jore ka majmooa banata hai, yeh

price qareeban 156.195 hai. Yeh level ek ahem point hai, kyunki price ne ise cross kiya hai, jo higher levels ki taraf potential continuation ko point karta hai. Agla significant resistance level 156.775 par hai, jise traders closely dekh rahe hain. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh possibly 157.963 mark ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko signal karega. Lekin, market ke liye healthier hoga ke price pehle 156.775 level se correct kare, taake further gains hone ke liye stable foundation ho. Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair overbought territory mein hai, suggesting ke correction jaldi due ho sakti hai. ZigZag indicator ned recent price swings ko highlight karta hai aur support karta hai ke market ne significant volatility ke sath upward move kiya hai. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ek bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, kyunki current price EMA lines ke upar hai, jo further upward momentum ko confirm karta hai. Bollinger Bands yeh dikhate hain ke price upper band ke near trade kar rahi hai, jo aksar ek overbought signal ke tor par interpret kiya jata hai, aur pullback ki possibility ko reinforce karta hai. Demand Index suggest karta hai ke buying pressure abhi bhi strong hai, lekin caution advise ki jati hai kyunki market current levels ke near resistance face kar sakta hai. Stochastic Oscillator bhi overbought conditions ko show karta hai, jo potential reversal ki taraf hint karta hai. Meanwhile, Average True Range (ATR) increased volatility ko indicate karta hai, jo suggest karta hai ke price movements near future mein more pronounced ho sakte hain.
Agar USD/JPY pair 156.775 resistance level ke upar hold karne mein fail hoti hai aur decline start hota hai, to pehla support jo dekhna hoga wo 156.195 par hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to further downward movement 155.95 aur 155.59 support levels ki taraf ho sakti hai. Agar yeh levels ke neeche sustained drop hota hai, to yeh stronger bearish trend ko indicate karega, jo potentially lower support 151.86 ko target karega. Aisi movement ke case mein, Bank of Japan intervene kar sakti hai, kyunki historically woh yen ki value mein sharp fluctuations ke baare mein concerned rehti hai. Lekin, agar pair 156.195 level ke upar stay karti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain, aur bullish trend continue kar sakti hai.

Summary mein, USD/JPY currency pair ek critical juncture par hai jahan key resistance 156.775 par hai aur support 156.195 par. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI, ZigZag, EMA, Bollinger Bands, Demand Index, Stochastic Oscillator, aur ATR sab suggest karte hain ke market filhal overbought hai aur shayad correction due hai. Traders ko in levels aur indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Agar price 156.775 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh further gains towards 157.963 lead k ar sakti hai, lekin agar yeh level ke upar hold karne mein fail hoti hai, to decline towards lower support levels ho sakta hai. Jaise hamesha, yeh zaroori hai ke both technical aur fundamental factors, including potential i

levels ki taraf potential continuation ko point karta hai. Agla significant resistance level 156.775 par hai, jise traders closely dekh rahe hain. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh possibly 157.963 mark ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko signal karega. Lekin, market ke liye healthier hoga ke price pehle 156.775 level se correct kare, taake further gains hone ke liye stable foundation ho. Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair overbought territory mein hai, suggesting ke correction jaldi due ho sakti hai. ZigZag indicator ned recent price swings ko highlight karta hai aur support karta hai ke market ne significant volatility ke sath upward move kiya hai. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ek bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, kyunki current price EMA lines ke upar hai, jo further upward momentum ko confirm karta hai. Bollinger Bands yeh dikhate hain ke price upper band ke near trade kar rahi hai, jo aksar ek overbought signal ke tor par interpret kiya jata hai, aur pullback ki possibility ko reinforce karta hai. Demand Index suggest karta hai ke buying pressure abhi bhi strong hai, lekin caution advise ki jati hai kyunki market current levels ke near resistance face kar sakta hai. Stochastic Oscillator bhi overbought conditions ko show karta hai, jo potential reversal ki taraf hint karta hai. Meanwhile, Average True Range (ATR) increased volatility ko indicate karta hai, jo suggest karta hai ke price movements near future mein more pronounced ho sakte hain.

Agar USD/JPY pair 156.775 resistance level ke upar hold karne mein fail hoti hai aur decline start hota hai, to pehla support jo dekhna hoga wo 156.195 par hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to further downward movement 155.95 aur 155.59 support levels ki taraf ho sakti hai. Agar yeh levels ke neeche sustained drop hota hai, to yeh stronger bearish trend ko indicate karega, jo potentially lower support 151.86 ko target karega. Aisi movement ke case mein, Bank of Japan intervene kar sakti hai, kyunki historically woh yen ki value mein sharp fluctuations ke baare mein concerned rehti hai. Lekin, agar pair 156.195 level ke upar stay karti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain, aur bullish trend continue kar sakti hai.

Summary mein, USD/JPY currency pair ek critical juncture par hai jahan key resistance 156.775 par hai aur support 156.195 par. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI, ZigZag, EMA, Bollinger Bands, Demand Index, Stochastic Oscillator, aur ATR sab suggest karte hain ke market filhal overbought hai aur shayad correction due hai. Traders ko in levels aur indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Agar price 156.775 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh further gains towards 157.963 lead kar sakti hai, lekin agar yeh level ke upar hold karne mein fail hoti hai, to decline towards lower support levels ho sakta hai. J

This pair tends to adhere to trends, as evident from a long-term perspective. However, it sometimes shakes off additional participants, as seen last week. We witnessed a significant technical growth, which occurred while considering supports, and formed a buy signal on an hourly timeframe. The grey bar signal level marks potential. After a brief consolidation period at the buy signal level, prices sharply dropped and fell below the buyers' risk zone. They quickly rebounded thereafter. Additionally, the trendline served as a good bounce point, but I believe it had more of a side effect because in a ranging market, there isn't always an opportune time to buy from the trendline unless buy limit orders are placed, which very few traders do. Currently, we have another buy signal on the hourly timeframe, which holds more potential than the previous one. Furthermore, there has been a break in resistance fractals, indicating a resumption of the uptrend.

Moving to the second chart, I switch to the daily timeframe. Here, it's important to remind ourselves that we previously had price targets in the form of a range. The lower target of the range was set on April 16th, but the upper target can also be reached. On the second chart, I've applied a Fibonacci grid to the first wave, which came after a prolonged southern correction. Our nearest target level is at 261.8%, which is at 155.305. Comparing the potentials of hourly buy signals with moving averages, they align with this Fibonacci level. However, the market structure for growth has been broken, especially when referring to the hourly timeframe. This means that reaching extreme market targets can be very challenging and tense. As we approach the targets, more participants, especially large trend followers, start closing their positions, causing candles to break the upward structure.

USD 156.56 ke darjaat ka imtehan MACD indicator ke zero mark se buland tareen rawani ke saath hua, jo jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko rok raha tha. Is wajah se, maine khareedna nahi kiya. Ye is liye hua kyunkay ye amrici session ke akhri hisse mein hua, jis se market mein koi naya daakhilay ka mauqa nahi mila. Kal ke musbat machinery orders aur Japan ki trade balance ke figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke Japan ki ma'ashi fa'alat ke indicators ne yen ko mazboot kiya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI maeeshat danon ke tajaweezon se aage nikle, jis se USD/JPY jodi ka thora sa niche ka islaah hua. Lekin, abhi tak ghaur nahi hai ke yen khareedne walay kitna arsa qaim rahenge, khas tor par jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates par mazboot stand rakha hai
Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line ke moqa par) ke aas paas milnay wale mulaqat nukta par khareedna ka irada rakhta hoon, jis ka maqsad 157.15 (graph par moti hari line ke moqa par) tak chadhav hai. 157.15 ke aas paas, main khareedna band karne aur bechna shuru karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jis se 30-35 points ke nichayi chalne ka tawaqo kiya jata hai. Aaj ke pair ke taraqqi par bharosa kiya ja sakta hai kyun ke trend jaari hai
Ahem: Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se ooper hai aur sirf wahan se urdu hai. Main aik saal USD/JPY ko bhi khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar do musalsal darjaat 156.56 ke darjaat ka imtehan lete hain jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqa mein hai. Ye jodi ke nichayi potential ko mehdood karega aur aik ooper ki market ka ulta parivartan layega. Izafa 156.80 aur 157.15 ke darajat par mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechunga jab ye 156.56 ke darjaat se neeche toot jata hai (graph par surkhi line), jis se jaldi mein pair ka tezi se giraav hota hai. Bechne walon ka markazi maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan par main bechnay aur khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon, jis se 20-25 points ke ooper ki chalne ki umeed hai. Agar pair rozana ke uchit ird gird jam nahin hota, to pair par bechnay ka dabav wapas aa sakta hai. Ahem: Bechnay se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur sirf wahan se gir raha hai. Do musalsal darjaat 156.80 ke darjaat ka imtehan jab MACD indicator overbought ilaqa mein hai, to aaj main USD/JPY ko bhi bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon. Ye jodi ke ooper potential ko mehdood karega aur aik neeche ki market ka ulta parivartan layega. Izafa 156.56 aur 156.30 ke darajat par mutawaqqa hai. Jab diary ko update kiya gaya, to kimat 156.99 par waqtan-fa-waqt ruk gayi. Kharidne wale ka control mazboot lag raha hai, jis se kimat ko upar aur haftay ke kam zone se dur kar diya gaya hai
Aglay hafte ke liye, USD/JPY jodi ke bullish trend ka iksaaz kiya gaya hai, buland tareen zone ki taraf mumaalik ho sakta hai. Yeh tawaqo ki jati hai ke kharidne walay market par qaboo rakhenge kyun ke peechlay haftay ke trend ko dekhtay hue, qeemat ko neeche ki taraf durust kiya gaya lagta hai. Is hafte ke bullish candlestick market ke liye josh barha sakti hai, jis se agle hafte tak chadhav jaari rah

May ke liye US labor market data kafi unexpected nikla – nonfarm payrolls US mein May mein 272,000 se barh gaye (forecast tha +185,000), average hourly earnings 0.4% barh gayi (previous month +0.2%), aur labor force 250,000 se kam ho gayi. Nateeja yeh nikla ke yields surge hui aur dollar sabhi major world currencies ke muqable mein mazboot ho gaya.
Yeh data unexpected aur overly contradictory tha. Strong job growth record hui sath hi sath labor force participation kam hone aur unemployment barh ne ke sath. Iske ilawa, dono ISM reports mein employment mein kami dikhayi gayi, jo apne aap mein kafi ajeeb hai aur yeh ya toh calculation errors ko suggest karta hai ya phir data manipulation ko jo upcoming US presidential elections se pehle ho sakta hai.

Yeh data indicate karta hai ke US labor market Federal Reserve ke sab efforts ke bawajood resilient hai. Renewed inflationary pressure ka khatra ab bhi high hai. Non-farm payrolls dusre indicators se contradict karte hain jo ke US economy mein slowdown ko dikhate hain.

Agar hum USD/JPY ke 4-hour chart ko dekhein, toh kuch interesting cheezain nazar aati hain, yani EMA 50 ki position jo abhi bhi EMA 200 ke upar hai (Golden Cross), aur ek Bullish 123 pattern ka zahoor hona jo do Bullish Ross Hooks (RH) ke sath hai. In facts ki buniyad par yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke jald hi USD/JPY ke 157.77 level tak mazboot hone ki potential hai. Magar kyunke kal ka high level 157.20 tor diya gaya, ek downward correction ki potential hai Bullish Fair Value Gap area ke level tak. Magar agar yeh downward correction 155.34 level se neeche nahi girti, toh USD/JPY abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai.
Aaj ke trading session mein yeh ummeed hai ke market relatively contained rahega, jis ki range 157.30 aur 156.70 ke darmiyan rehne ki umeed hai. Neeche ki taraf, ascending channel ka lower boundary 154.90 ke aas paas hai, jo ek crucial support level ke roop mein kaam karta hai. Yeh support 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 154.86 par hai, se bhi mazboot hota hai. Agar USD/JPY pair is support zone ke neeche break karta hai, toh isse increased selling pressure ka samna karna padh sakta hai, jisse ki pair ko neeche ki taraf 152.80 ke aas paas ka next support area tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh analysis sirf informative purposes ke liye hai. Author abhi USD/JPY pair mein trade nahi kar raha hai, balki market mein future direction ke clearer indication ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Wo zyada decisive confirmation of the bullish trend ka wait kar rahe hain, tab tak long position (USD/JPY ko kharidne ke liye) lene se pehle.

Japanese Yen (JPY) Ka Hal Chal:

Japan ki Japanese Yen (JPY) recent market discussions mein bohot highlight ho rahi hai, khaaskar uski three-day gaining streak ke rukne ke baad. Investors Bank of Japan (BoJ) se anay walay signals ko closely scrutinize kar rahe hain, aur is speculation se ke shayad interest rates pehle ke muqablay jaldi barh sakte hain, market dynamics reshape ho rahe hain aur currency pairs, khaaskar USD/JPY, par asar ho raha hai.

Market Sentiments aur Policy Implications:

Japan aur United States (US) ke darmiyan interest rate differential ek aisa factor hai jo JPY par pressure daal raha hai, kyun ke investors zyada returns ke liye dusri jagah dekhtay hain. Central banks, khaaskar Federal Reserve, ke evolving stance se ye scenario aur complex ho raha hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September tak 25 basis-point rate cut ka probability thora barh gaya hai, jo shifting expectations ko signal kar raha hai. Iske darmiyan, BoJ ke bond purchases mein potential adjustments ke speculation se market uncertainties mein izafa ho raha hai.
Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson ke remarks caution dete hain ke inflationary trends ke bare mein premature conclusions na nikalein, aur zaroorat hai sustained observation ki. Inflation data ke recent decline ke bawajood, Fed officials cautious hain aur in fluctuations ko transient nature ka samajh rahe hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:


Ascending triangle ka upper threshold immediate resistance ke tor par samnay aa raha hai, key levels hain 157.40 aur 158.21. In levels ke neeche breach se pair par downward pressure aa sakta hai, jo throwback resistance 160.25 ko target kar sakta hai.
Conversely, upper boundary ke retest ke saath psychological barrier 158.00 ke qareeb, upward surge ka possibility khul sakta hai, jahan high of 160.31 ek significant milestone ke tor par loom kar raha hai.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Steadily Bullish Performance
Is trading week ke shuruat mein, Japanese Cabinet ne mulk ke latest GDP data release kiya. Numbers utne encouraging nahi the. Cabinet ne bataya ke Japan ka GDP growth 0.5% month-on-month contract hua, jo market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Iska natija yeh hua ke USD/JPY exchange rate 157.10 resistance level ke aas paas hi raha.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, Japan ke pehle quarter ka final GDP growth data annual basis par -1.8% negative confirm hua. Yeh estimates se thoda behtar tha. Experts aur analysts ki expectations 1.9% se 2% tak ke decline ki thi. Agar dusre quarter mein bhi GDP growth decline hota hai, toh mulk officially technical recession mein aa jayega. Iske ilawa, Japanese households ke consumption habits bhi fears ko badha rahe hain. Cabinet Office ke data ke mutabiq, domestic demand aur deteriorate ho gayi, first provisional estimate ke -0.1% se -0.2% ho gayi. Isi tarah, private consumption ka data first preliminary data ke -0.7% se aaj -0.8% ho gaya.

Zyada numbers Japan se

Is week, Japanese economy ek series of statistics release karegi jo mulk ke financial situation ke baare mein zyada reveal kar sakti hai. June 12 ko, Bank of Japan apna latest monthly report on corporate goods price indexes release karegi, specifically Producer Price Index. Saath hi, Bank of Japan apna latest interest rate decision Friday, June 14 ko announce karegi. Bank of Japan se ummed hai ke interest rates unchanged rakhegi. Lekin, aaj aur Wednesday ke data, khas tor par agar yeh households aur businesses ke spending mein reduction dikhate hain, toh bank ko kuch sochne pe majboor kar sakte hain.

Overall, Bank of Japan ne mulk ka aadhe se zyada government debt quantitative easing ke do decades ke baad accumulate kar liya hai. Yen ki weakness central bank pe pressure badhati hai ke rates raise kare, jo currency ko support karne mein madad kar sakti hai.

Economic surveys dikhate hain ke kai analysts apne forecasts revise kar rahe hain ke Bank of Japan kab future mein rates aur raise karegi. Saath hi, European Central Bank ne rates cut kiye hain aur uske partner banks bhi same karne ka soch rahe hain. Japan ka aggressive experiment with cheap money ne kai mechanisms ko weaken kar diya hai jo investors ko commercial bonds price karne mein madad karte hain. Ye is liye kyunki jab authorities market mein paisa pump karte hain, demand uske liye kam hoti hai.