USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair ka market aaj bina kisi gaps ke khula. Asian session mein price abhi consolidate kar rahi hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh accumulation jaldi hi ek impulsive breakout se upside mein khatam hoga. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya hai, main abhi resistance level pe focus kar raha hoon, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 160.209 pe located hai. Is resistance level ke kareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur apni northern movement continue rakhe. Agar yeh plan chal gaya, to main dekhoonga ke price agle resistance level 164.500 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke kareeb main ek trading setup ka intezar karoonga jo market ke aagey direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Ek aur possibility bhi hai ke door ke northern targets tak pohonch jaye, lekin main unhe abhi consider nahi kar raha hoon kyun ke immediate prospects nahi dikh rahe hain. Doosra scenario yeh hoga jab price 160.209 ke resistance level ke kareeb pohonche aur ek reversal candle formation ho, jo ke southern movement ka resumption la sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price wapas support level 156.786 pe aaye. Is support level ke kareeb main bullish signals dhundta rahunga, umeed karte hue ke price movement ka upward recovery ho. Haan, ek possibility yeh bhi hai ke door ka southern target, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 153.601 pe located hai, tak pohonch jaye. Lekin situation ko assess karna padega aur agar yeh plan execute ho bhi jaye, to main is support level ke kareeb bullish signals dekhna jari rakhoonga, umeed karte hue ke upward movement ka resumption ho. Mukhtasir yeh ke, aaj ke liye mujhe lagta hai ke price upar ki taraf push hoti rahegi aur main najdeek ke resistance level pe nazar rakhoonga, market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategy adjust karte hue.

USD JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast

Mangal ko, USDJPY currency pair ne ek bohot gehri girawat ka samna kiya, kareeban 180 pips ke andar. Us waqt candle RBS zone se guzar nahi saki thi. 154.72 ke price tak girne ke baad, achanak Budhvar ko USDJPY phir se barh gaya ek uthan ke saath jo kisi had tak uncha tha, yani kareeban 180 pips bhi. Jab maine jaanch ki, to pata chala ke USDJPY ki uthan isliye hui thi kyunke candle demand area mein phas gayi thi. Aaj USDJPY trading 156.07 ke price par shuru hui. Is dafa opening position kuch seemit hai kyunke nichle jate hue USDJPY phir se barh gaya.

Agar H1 timeframe se tajziyat ki jaye, to candle abhi tak supply area se guzar nahi sakti hai jo ke 156.38 ke price par hai. Filhal, USDJPY abhi tak apni barhne mein kamyab nahi ho saka hai. Barhne ke liye shart hai ke candle woh supply area guzar sake jo main keh raha hoon. Agar nahi, to yeh mumkin hai ke rukh phir se neeche ki taraf jaaye. Thora thora USDJPY girne laga hai. In do scenarios ke darmiyan, maine yeh peshgoyi ki hai ke USDJPY ko abhi bhi barhne ka moqa hai kyunke upar ek shoulder hai jo bilkul bhi nahi chu gaya, jo ke 157.28 ke price range mein hai. Yeh woh waqt hai jab USDJPY rukh badalne laga.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Iska matlab hai ke USDJPY ka trend bullish hone laga hai. Barhne ka moqa abhi bhi bohot bada lag raha hai. Jab tak koi naya intersection na ho, USDJPY ki movement zyada tar upar ki taraf hogi neeche ki bajaye. Aur agar candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi guzar diya hai, toh yeh pressure kaafi zyada hai.

Is dauraan, stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke USDJPY ka haal bohot zyada over sold hone wala hai kyunke sirf thori der bach gayi hai line ko uske lowest level par chhune ke liye jo ke 20 number par hai. Abhi direction neeche ki taraf hai to upar ka signal abhi tak nahi aaya hai. Jab lowest level ko chhua jaye, toh mumkin hai ke USDJPY phir se apni uthan shuru karega. Bas ab intezar karein ke woh upar ki taraf mud jaye.

Toh aaj ki tajziyat ka ikhtitam yeh hai ke USDJPY apni bullish trend ko jari rakhega, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke USDJPY phir se barhe. Upar ek shoulder bhi hai jo bilkul bhi chu nahi gaya hai, jo ke kareeban 157.36 ke price par hai. Isliye, main doston ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain unse yeh salah deta hoon ke woh sirf buy positions par dhyan dein. Jaise hamesha, nishana najdeek ki resistance par rakha ja sakta hai jo 157.34 ke price par hai aur stop loss bhi najdeek ki support par rakha ja sakta hai jo ke 155.66 ke price par hai.

Price test 155.94 ka tab hua jab MACD indicator zero se niche ki taraf move kar raha tha, jis se dollar sale ka scenario confirm ho gaya tha. Magar, loss record hui deal par kyun ke downward movement nahi aayi. US service sector ki strong statistics se pair aur strong ho gaya. Aaj 30-year Japanese bonds ki sales bhi ho chuki hain, jo market sentiment par asar nahi dal saki. Pair ka growth continue rahega, aur ongoing corrections ek additional reason banengi dollar ko zyada attractive prices par kharidne ka. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenario No. 1 aur No. 2 par rely karunga.
Buy signal

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon jab entry point 156.38 (green line) par pohonch jaye aur 157.64 (chart par thicker green line) tak grow kare. 157.64 ke area mein main purchases se exit karunga aur sales open karunga opposite direction mein (level se 30-35 points ke movement ka andaza lagate hue). Aaj pair ke growth ko trend ke continuation ke hissay mein samjha ja sakta hai. Important! Kharidne se pehle ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur bas abhi grow karna shuru hua ho

Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab bhi kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 155.73 ke do consecutive price tests hon aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market reversal ko upward direction mein le jaega. Hum 156.38 aur 157.64 ke opposite levels tak increase expect kar sakte hain.



Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko sirf tab sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab level 155.73 (chart par red line) update ho aur pair rapid decline kare. Sellers ka key target level 154.84 hoga, jahan main sales se exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein purchases open karunga (level se 20-25 points ke movement ka andaza lagate hue). Daily maximum ke area mein unsuccessful consolidation ki surat mein pair par pressure wapas aa sakta hai. Important! Sell karne se pehle ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche ho aur bas abhi decline karna shuru hua ho

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ka rawaiya tehqeeq kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair tezi se barh raha hai, pehle se zahir hone wale nichlay darjat ko guzar gaya hai aur ab upper downtrend line ke qareeb hai. Haal hi mein ye H1 downtrend channel ke upper had tak pohancha phir 155.73-155.68 ke support zone mein peecha hata. Is support se dobara chadhao, 156.33-156.88 ke resistance zone ki taraf potenial izafa ki taraf ishara karta hai. Agar ye resistance ke neeche consolidation hoti hai to ye 155.19-154.84 ke volume zone ki taraf kami ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai.
Chalo aaj ke USD/JPY pair ke tehqeeq aur trading darjat ko pandrah minute ke time frame mein ghoorte hain. Main moving averages, sath hi parabolic aur MACD indicators ko nigrani mein rakhta hoon. Main ne teen ahem darjat pehchan liye hain: 156.17, 156.25, aur 156.28. Ye darjat limit sell orders rakhne ke liye munasib hain, ek stop-loss 156.37 pe rakha gaya hai. Mera munafa hasil karne ka maqsood 155.hai

USD/JPY pair momentum dobara hasil kar raha hai, bullish manzar ko dobara tajwez dete hue. Mazeed upar ki taraf rawana rawayaat ka intezar hai, maqasid 156.68 aur 157.73 pe hain. Tasawwur ke mutabiq manzar bullish hai jab ke indicator pehle wale ke mutabiq zyada darjat dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi indicator oopar ki taraf mor kar chuka hai, jari bullish momentum ka ishara karte hue. Isliye, bullish rukh mein trading mazid ahem hai. Taaruf mein, USD/JPY ne nichlay darjat ko guzar diya hai aur ab 156.36-156.86 ki taraf nishana rakhta hai. Is ke mazeed izafa ka ghor kiya jaye. Moving averages, parabolic, aur MACD indicators pe nazar rakho. Mazeed bearish rawaiyaat ke liye maqsood bunyadi darjat 156.124, 156.204, aur 156.264 hain

ke ird gird mabni ek consolidation phase ke andar barqarar rakha. Ye phase ek mahatvapurn harkat hai, jo market participants ke sentiment aur future direction ke baray mein ahem maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Consolidation phase ka matlab hota hai ke market mein trading range narrow ho jati hai aur price movements mein kami aati hai. Ye aksar ek trend ke baad ya phir ek upcoming event ya news release se pehle dekha jata hai. Is phase mein traders usually cautious ho jate hain aur price ke around ke levels ko closely monitor karte hain, expecting a breakout in one direction or the other. Is samay, USD/JPY pair ka 151.47 ke aas paas consolidation phase mein rehna ek significant point hai. Agar ye level sustain hota hai, to ye indicate karta hai ke market participants ke beech mein strong consensus hai aur price mein kisi badi movement ki ummed kam hoti hai. Lekin, agar is level ko break kiya jata hai, to ye ek potential trend reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, jisse market mein increased volatility aur directional movement dekha ja sakta hai. Is consolidation phase ke doran, traders apni positions ko adjust karte hain aur upcoming catalysts ka wait karte hain, jaise ki economic data releases, central bank announcements, ya geopolitical events. In sab factors ka impact market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ke price movement par pad sakta hai. Ek chuninda strategy ye ho sakti hai ke traders is phase mein range-bound trading ka faida uthate hue, yani ki support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan trade karte hue, jab tak ke breakout na ho. Breakout ke baad, traders ko apni positions ko adjust karne ki zarurat hoti hai aur trend ke according trading strategies ko implement karna hota hai. Is samay, global economic conditions aur central bank policies bhi USD/JPY pair ke movement par asar dal rahe hain. Economic indicators, jaise ki GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation figures, market mein volatility create kar sakte hain aur currency pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Overall, USD/JPY currency pair ka 151.47 ke darje ke aas paas consolidation phase mein rehna market participants ke liye ek important observation hai. Traders ko market ke upcoming catalysts ka wait karna chahiye aur price ke around ke levels ko closely monitor karte hue, taaki unhe potential breakout ya trend reversal ka pata chal sake aur unka trading s

USD/JPY currency pair ke keemat ka jaiza lene par tawajjo dete hain. Is haftay ka aghaz, umeed ke mutabiq hua, jab pehle aala taraf ki harkat ke baad 156.26 ke horizontal resistance ka imtehaan liya gaya. Agle din, Budh ko ek mazeed kamiyabi par gayi, jo ke kam se kam tawaju shuda US consumer price index ke nateejay the, jis ne amriki dollar ke liye bearish market ka ishara diya. Halankeh ek theek karne wale marhale ke baad, 156.26 ka tora hona mumkin hai, haan lekin ye thora zyada ho sakta hai, keun ke nake jhankhe ke asarat ke bais. Faida hasil karne ke rawayya nazar aata hai jab ke postiono ko adjust kiya jata hai, jo ke aik maqam se intehai bulandion se girne ka ishara deta hai. Magar, pehle ki bulandiyon ki wapas ki koi sambhavna bhi hai jo market ke dynamics ke zor par hai. Ta'ameer ke wazeh pairs ka jaiza euro aur pound ke liye bearish soorat-e-haal ko dikhata hai, jab ke is pair ke liye bullish soorat-e-haal ka ishara deta hai.
USD/JPY pair ne local support level 156.37 test kiya aur phir strong bullish impulse ke sath upwards reverse kiya, ek clear upward reversal candle form hui. Is scenario ko dekhte hue, umeed hai ke aaj nearest resistance level 155.36 pe test hoga. Is resistance level ke near do possible outcomes hain: ya to price is level ke upar consolidate karti hai aur 155.40 resistance tak upwards continue karti hai, ya phir hold nahi kar pati. Agar price 155.00 ke upar break hota hai, to further movements 158 resistance tak expected hain. Is level ke near ek trading setup form hona chahiye, jo trading ke next direction ka ishara dega.

Hum musalsal bullish ki taraf tezi se barh rahe hain, 157 ke darja aur mazeed ke liye umeed hai, shayad 160 tak pohanch jaye. Jod ki safar ki tayyari kar rahi hai, pehla manzil ke tor par 158.17 ka agla qadam jald hi pohancha ja sakta hai. Kharidarein itmenan se hain, aur mazeed vertical qeemat barhne ki salahiyat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Isi liye, hum is josh ko faida uthane ka irada rakhte hain aur maal e maash ko maqsood level ki taraf kharidte hain. Magar agar bullish trend dheema pad jaye, to qeemat ka 157.15 tak girne ka imkan hai, uske baad wo mazeed barhne ka imkan hai, jahan mehngaai ke dar ko pehle rakha jata hai. Shaoor afza market levels ne bullish aur negative qeemat ke harekat ko zahir kiya hai, lekin USD/JPY ke rukh ka durust andaza lagana ek mushkil challenge hai. USD/JPY ke efforts ke natije mein shayad qeemat barh sake, chahe mushkil bhi kyun na ho.

JPY currency pair ne notable decline experience kiya hai, jo prolonged downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Iska movement consistently apne pehle ke significant peak 155.86 ke niche raha hai. Ye decline kai macroeconomic aur geopolitical factors ke karan ho sakta hai. Macroeconomic Factors:

1. Federal Reserve ki Monetary Policy: US Federal Reserve ne apne interest rates ko control karne ke liye various measures adopt kiye hain. Agar Fed apne interest rates ko increase karta hai, toh short-term mein USD strong ho sakta hai, lekin agar market ko lagta hai ki ye hike economic growth ko negatively impact karega, toh USD weaken ho sakta hai.

2. Bank of Japan ki Policy: Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne ultra-loose monetary policy ko follow kiya hai. Japan mein low interest rates aur negative interest rate policy (NIRP) economic stimulus ko maintain karne ke liye use ki gayi hai. Lekin agar BoJ apni policy ko tighten karta hai ya inflation expectations ko adjust karta hai, toh yen appreciate kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY pair mein decline ko lead karega.

3. Inflation Rates: US aur Japan ke inflation rates bhi currency movements ko influence karte hain. Agar US mein inflation high hai aur Japan mein low, toh purchasing power parity (PPP) theory ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ko adjust karna padega, potentially causing a decline.

Geopolitical Factors:

1. US-Japan Trade Relations: Trade imbalances ya bilateral trade agreements ke changes USD/JPY pair ko directly impact kar sakte hain. For instance, agar US-Japan trade tensions escalate hoti hain, toh yen safe-haven currency ke roop mein appreciate kar sakta hai.

2. Global Political Events: Global tensions, jaise Middle East mein conflicts, European Union ke economic issues, ya Asia-Pacific region mein instability, yen ke appreciation ko lead kar sakti hain kyunki yen traditionally ek safe-haven asset mana jata hai.

Technical Analysis:

1. Resistance Levels: USD/JPY pair ka consistently 155.86 ke significant peak ke niche rehna suggest karta hai ki yeh resistance level strong hai. Traders aur investors is level ko watch karte hain aur iske break hone tak short positions maintain kar sakte hain.

2. Moving Averages: Agar 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke niche cross karta hai (death cross), toh yeh bearish signal hota hai aur prolonged downward trend ko reinforce karta hai.

3. Fibonacci Retracement: Past uptrends ke basis par Fibonacci retracement levels identify kiye ja sakte hain. Agar USD/JPY pair ne 61.8% retracement level ko breach kiya hai, toh yeh further downside ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Market Sentiment:

1. Risk Aversion: Global markets mein risk aversion ka environment USD/JPY pair mein yen ki strength ko badha sakta hai. Investors typically safe-haven assets, jaise yen, mein move karte hain jab markets mein uncertainty high hoti hai.

2. Speculative Positioning: Futures aur options markets mein speculative positioning bhi USD/JPY movements ko affect kar sakti hai. Agar speculators significant short positions hold kar rahe hain, toh yeh downward pressure ko maintain kar sakta hai. In summary, USD/JPY currency pair ka notable decline macroeconomic policies, geopolitical events, technical analysis, aur market sentiment ke mix ka result ho sakta ha






i. Agar current trends continue karte hain, toh prolonged downward trend probable lagta hai, lekin ye sab factors dynamic hain aur time ke sath change ho sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko in multiple aspects par nazar rakhni chahiye jab wo apni strategies formulate karte hain.

kar raha hai. Turant support level 148.50 par dekha ja raha hai, jab ke resistance level 169.00 par set hai. Maujooda price action 169.75 mark ke ird gird ek consolidation pattern zahir kar raha hai. Chand aakhri sessions ke candlestick formations, traders mein dooji aur spinning tops ki mojoodgi ke sath, ye ishara kar rahi hain ke market ek significant catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai taake agle direction move ka faisla kiya ja sake. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55 level ke ird gird hover kar raha hai, jo ek neutral stance ko zahir karta hai lekin 50 mark se upar hone ki wajah se halki bullish bias bhi hai. ZigZag indicator, jo trend reversals ko identify karne mein madad karta hai, broader uptrend ke andar choti corrective movements ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Exponential Moving Average (EMA), khaaskar 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, bullish crossover dikha rahe hain, jo ek upward momentum ki potential ko mazid reinforce karte hain. Iske ilawa, Bollinger Bands contract ho rahi hain, jo aam tor par volatility spike se pehle hota hai, is se ye signal milta hai ke ek breakout nazdeek ho sakta hai. Upper band 169.25 par hai aur lower band 169.20 par hai, jo ke current trading range ke qareeb hai. Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, halki si positive hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara karti hai ke buying interest zyada hai banisbat selling ke. Stochastic Oscillator overbought territory mein hai, jo ke 80 level ke ird gird hai, jo ke ek possible short-term pullback ko zahir karta hai agle kisi upward movement se pehle. Is dauraan, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, nisbatan kam hai, jo recent sessions mein subdued volatility ko zahir karta hai. Traders ko resistance level 169.10 se upar ya support level 169.50 se neeche break hone ka intezar karna chahiye taake ek wazeh directional trend ko confirm kiya ja sake. Ye technical indicators ka interplay is baat ka ishara karta hai ke jab tak market ek consolidation phase mein hai, lekin underlying bias ab bhi

ko suggest karta hai. Iska movement consistently apne pehle ke significant peak 155.86 ke niche raha hai. Ye decline kai macroeconomic aur geopolitical factors ke karan ho sakta hai. Macroeconomic Factors:

1. Federal Reserve ki Monetary Policy: US Federal Reserve ne apne interest rates ko control karne ke liye various measures adopt kiye hain. Agar Fed apne interest rates ko increase karta hai, toh short-term mein USD strong ho sakta hai, lekin agar market ko lagta hai ki ye hike economic growth ko negatively impact karega, toh USD weaken ho sakta hai.

2. Bank of Japan ki Policy: Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne ultra-loose monetary policy ko follow kiya hai. Japan mein low interest rates aur negative interest rate policy (NIRP) economic stimulus ko maintain karne ke liye use ki gayi hai. Lekin agar BoJ apni policy ko tighten karta hai ya inflation expectations ko adjust karta hai, toh yen appreciate kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY pair mein decline ko lead karega.

3. Inflation Rates: US aur Japan ke inflation rates bhi currency movements ko influence karte hain. Agar US mein inflation high hai aur Japan mein low, toh purchasing power parity (PPP) theory ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ko adjust karna padega, potentially causing a decline.

Geopolitical Factors:

1. US-Japan Trade Relations: Trade imbalances ya bilateral trade agreements ke changes USD/JPY pair ko directly impact kar sakte hain. For instance, agar US-Japan trade tensions escalate hoti hain, toh yen safe-haven currency ke roop mein appreciate kar sakta hai.

2. Global Political Events: Global tensions, jaise Middle East mein conflicts, European Union ke economic issues, ya Asia-Pacific region mein instability, yen ke appreciation ko lead kar sakti hain kyunki yen traditionally ek safe-haven asset mana jata hai.

Technical Analysis:

1. Resistance Levels: USD/JPY pair ka consistently 155.86 ke significant peak ke niche rehna suggest karta hai ki yeh resistance level strong hai. Traders aur investors is level ko watch karte hain aur iske break hone tak short positions maintain kar sakte hain.

2. Moving Averages: Agar 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke niche cross karta hai (death cross), toh yeh bearish signal hota hai aur prolonged downward trend ko reinforce karta hai.

3. Fibonacci Retracement: Past uptrends ke basis par Fibonacci retracement levels identify kiye ja sakte hain. Agar USD/JPY pair ne 61.8% retracement level ko breach kiya hai, toh yeh further downside ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Market Sentiment

1. Risk Aversion: Global markets mein risk aversion ka environment USD/JPY pair mein yen ki strength ko badha sakta hai. Investors typically safe-haven assets, jaise yen, mein move karte hain jab markets mein uncertainty high hoti hai.

2. Speculative Positioning: Futures aur options markets mein speculative positioning bhi USD/JPY movements ko affect kar sakti hai. Agar speculators significant short positions hold kar rahe hain, toh yeh downward pressure ko maintain kar sakta hai. In summary, USD/JPY currency pair ka notable decline macroeconomic policies, geopolitical events, technical analysis, aur market sentiment ke mix ka result ho sakta hai. Agar current trends continue karte hain, toh prolonged downward trend probable lagta hai, lekin ye sab factors dynamic hain aur time ke sath change ho sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko

raha hai. Chand aakhri sessions ke candlestick formations, traders mein dooji aur spinning tops ki mojoodgi ke sath, ye ishara kar rahi hain ke market ek significant catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai taake agle direction move ka faisla kiya ja sake. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55 level ke ird gird hover kar raha hai, jo ek neutral stance ko zahir karta hai lekin 50 mark se upar hone ki wajah se halki bullish bias bhi hai. ZigZag indicator, jo trend reversals ko identify karne mein madad karta hai, broader uptrend ke andar choti corrective movements ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Exponential Moving Average (EMA), khaaskar 50-day aur 200-day EMAs, bullish crossover dikha rahe hain, jo ek upward momentum ki potential ko mazid reinforce karte hain. Iske ilawa, Bollinger Bands contract ho rahi hain, jo aam tor par volatility spike se pehle hota hai, is se ye


signal milta hai ke ek breakout nazdeek ho sakta hai. Upper band 169.25 par hai aur lower band 169.20 par hai, jo ke current trading range ke qareeb hai. Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, halki si positive hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara karti hai ke buying interest zyada hai banisbat selling ke. Stochastic Oscillator overbought territory mein hai, jo ke 80 level ke ird gird hai, jo ke ek possible short-term pullback ko zahir karta hai agle kisi upward movement se pehle. Is dauraan, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, nisbatan kam hai, jo recent sessions mein subdued volatility ko zahir karta hai. Traders ko resistance level 169.10 se upar ya support level 169.50 se neeche break hone ka intezar karna chahiye taake ek wazeh directional trend ko confirm kiya ja sake. Ye technical indicators ka interplay is baat ka ishara karta hai ke jab tak market ek consolidation phase mein hai, lekin underlying bias ab bhi

Aaj USDJPY currency pair ne lagbhag 180 pips ka aik bara girawat dekha. Us waqt ki candle RBS zone ko paar karne mein naakaam rahi. Jab USDJPY ka rate 154.72 tak gir gaya, to achanak se Wednesday ko woh wapas bara ooper chala gaya, takreeban 180 pips. Tafteesh par maloom hua ke USDJPY ki barhati hui candle demand area mein phans gayi thi. Aaj, USDJPY ne trading 156.07 ki price par shuru ki. Is martaba, opening position kuch mehdood hai kyunke USDJPY phir se neechay ki taraf ja raha hai.
Agar hum ise H1 timeframe se analyze karain, to candle abhi tak supply area, jo ke 156.38 ki price par hai, ko paar nahi kar payi. Filhal, USDJPY apni barhati nahi hosaka. Barhne ke liye zaroori hai ke candle us supply area ko paar kare jo mein bata raha hoon. Agar aisa nahi hota, to mumkin hai ke direction phir se neechay ki taraf mud jaye. USDJPY dheere dheere girna shuru ho gaya hai. In dono scenarios ke beech, meine yeh predict kiya hai ke USDJPY ke paas phir se barhne ka mauka hai kyunke ek shoulder oopar hai jo bilkul touch nahi hui, jo ke 157.28 ki price range mein hai. Yeh woh waqt hai jab USDJPY ne apni direction badalna shuru ki.

Agar hum Ichimoku indicator use karein, to candle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke oopar hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke USDJPY ka trend bullish hone lag gaya hai. Barhne ka mauka ab bhi kaafi significant lag raha hai. Jab tak koi naya intersection nahi hota, USDJPY ka movement zyadatar oopar ki taraf hi hoga, neeche ki taraf nahi. Aur agar candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi paar kar liya, to pressure kaafi zyada hoga

Is waqt, stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke USDJPY significant oversold hone wala hai kyunke yeh apni lowest level 20 ko chhoone ke kareeb hai. Direction abhi neeche ki taraf hai, isliye oopar ki taraf movement ka signal abhi tak nahi aaya. Jaise hi lowest level touch hoti hai, mumkin hai ke USDJPY phir se barhna shuru kar de. Ab sirf intezar hai ke yeh oopar mud jaye

Aaj main aapko trading currency pair USD/JPY ke baare mein batane wala hoon aur umeed hai ke aapko ek bohot acha trading signal milega. Chaliye aaj USD/JPY pair ki price movement check karte hain. USD/JPY takreeban 155.59 pe trade kar raha hai, jo ke doosri currency pairs se kamzor hai. Technically price is waqt negative lag rahi hai, isi liye ab yeh long-term downside movement ke liye tayaar hai. Agle kuch hafton mein yeh 154.60 support ko touch kar legi. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator value 39.1459 hai, is chart mein price bearish lag rahi hai. Iss waqt buying khatarnak hai, lekin choti muddat ke liye buying ek munasib choice ho sakti hai. Sath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator price ke signal ko 0 level ke neeche dikha raha hai, jo ke bearish area hai. Moving averages indicator ne is chart mein confirmed sell signal dikhaya hai

Agar currency pair badhna shuru karti hai aur phir ruk jaati hai, toh yeh 156.01 level tak barh sakti hai. Hum expect karte hain ke price 156.66 level ki taraf barhe gi jo ke doosra resistance level hai. Lekin agar price 156.66 resistance level ke upar merge hoti hai, toh phir main aur zyada upward movement expect karta hoon. Dusri taraf, agar yeh plan lagu hota hai, toh main expect karta hoon ke price support level ki taraf move kare gi, jo ke 155.43 pe hai. Agla support level 154.60 area hoga jo doosra support level hai. Uske baad, pair 150.21 support level ke neeche girti rahe gi is event ke doran. Main price ke wapas 156.01 local resistance level pe aane ka intezar karunga

USD/JPY Daily
Currency pair USDJPY ka dainik chart. Dekha ja sakta hai ke pichle haftay hum kahin nahi gaye thay, aur is haftay ki shuruaat traders ko kuch kami ka samna karwai. Lekin main ab bhi ooper ki manzil par qaim hoon. Tamam puranay arsaon mein trend ooper ki taraf ja raha hai, maheenay ka arsa shuru karte hue aur dekhnay wale arsay H4 tak. Jab peechli umeed ki gayi tezi ne ziada had tak ja ke aik naye teesri lehar ko bahar nikala, jaise ke sarasar trend mein, lekin seedha nahi gaya - yeh palat gaya. Agar pehli lehar par nishana Fibonacci grid par rakha jaye, to aik mumkinah tezi ka nishana nazar aata hai - is grid par 161.8 level. Yeh taqreeban haal hi mein tareekhi uchayi 160.23 ke qareeb hai. To agar keemat grid ke 161.8 level tak pohanchti hai, to zahir hai ke zyada tareen bulandi ko taza kiya jaye ga, mudda yeh hai ke wahan ja kar bahar na jaye. Is tarah, main khud ke liye tay karta hoon ke aaj ke doran, chhote arson mein, sirf ooper kaam karna ab zyada wafadar hai. Is ke ilawa, meri raay mein, doosri currency pairs nazdeek mustaqbil mein US dollar ko mazboot karna chahti hain. CCI indicator ab nichlay garam hone ki zone se bahar ja raha hai aur sath hi aik barhtay hue line par mabni hai jis par keemat pehle se ooper chuki hai. MACD indicator ab bhi ooper ki khareed zone mein hai. Main ooper ki manzil ka izaafa ki tawajjuh ka intezar kar raha hoon. Aaj ke pehle saray ahem khabron ka pehla silsila Moscow waqt 15-15 par: Eurozone mein jama rate, Eurozone mein margin lending rate, European Central Bank ki monetary policy par bayan, ECB interest rate par faisla. Phir 15-30 par: Amreekiyon ko berozgaari ki sahoolat milti hai, Amreeka ki niryat volume, Amreeka ki ijarah volume, Amreekiyon ke liye shuruaati dawayat ki tadad, Amreeki ghair-farm productivity level, Amreeki trade balance. Shayad is khabar se pehle hum aik sideways market mein honge, positions jama kar rahe honge, aur khabron par phir tezi aayegi. Halankeh is jori mein euro nahi hai, lekin EURUSD ke harek harkat doosri pairs par asar daalti hai, is liye khabron ko mad e nazar rakha jaana chahiye

USD/JPY Price Trend Assessment

Hamari discussion ka markaz USD/JPY currency pair ki live price movements ko decode karna hai. 156.95 par local resistance breakout ne daily trend ko continue karne ka ishara diya hai, jo resistance level 160.18—daily range ki upper limit—ko aim kar raha hai. Is area mein sellers ne “Double Top” reversal pattern banaya hai. Maine is scenario ke liye 160.18 par sell limit order set kiya tha. Lekin, market ne reverse kar diya aur breakout area ke neeche gir gaya, jo previous trading idea ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara deta hai, yani 1-2-3 reversal pattern ke andar local top banane ka. Market se aane wale frequent false signals ke bawajood, main ehtiyat se kaam lunga aur pattern ke poora develop hone tak sell position enter nahi karunga.



Aaj, maine USD/JPY positions ka tajziya kiya, noting changes since the first half of the day. Participants ne pair ko 155.42-97 support zone se kharida, hoping for a pullback to resume the uptrend. Lekin, initial long positions itni significant thi ke breakdown trigger ho gaya, jo decline ka sabab bana. Jese jese price girti gayi, participants ne dobara buying shuru ki. Agar woh in positions ko hold karte rahe, to price consolidation ke baad decline kar sakti hai. Pullback par long positions ko reduce aur shorts ko increase karna ek aur low ka sabab ban sakta hai, jiske baad ek upward movement ho sakti hai. Ab tak broken zone ke ird-gird 155 par rollback nahi hua, jahan initial buyers hain. Agar rollback hota hai, to yeh sellers ko invite kar sakta hai, jo ek potential bear trap bana sakta hai. USD/JPY pair complex dynamics aur potential reversals aur traps exhibit kar raha hai. Key levels jo monitor karne honge woh hain 156.97 resistance aur 155.42-97 support ke liye. In areas ko monitor karna crucial hoga informed trading decisions banane ke liye. Yeh analysis market ki movements aur potential traps ko navigate karne ke liye ek structured approach provide karta hai.

[USD/JPY] Hello colleagues. Main joray ka daily chart dekh raha hoon, aur trading teesray din se sideways chal rahi hai. Aaj bhi joray ka sideways movement chal raha hai. Yeh dekhna interesting hoga ke sideways movement aaj bhi continue hoti hai ya hum breakout ki umeed kar saktay hain. Dekhtay hain ke joray ke liye agay kya hota hai. Isay dekhne ke liye, aaj ke liye joray ka technical analysis dekhte hain aur dekhte hain ke hamaray paas kya recommendations hain. Moving averages - neutral, technical indicators - sell, conclusion - neutral. To, technical analysis sideways movement ko suggest karta hai. Aaj ke liye joray ke liye important news releases check karte hain. US mein initial jobless claims ki data release hui, jo negative hai. US Federal Reserve ka balance expected hai. Bank of Japan ke ek board member ne baat ki, aur koi major news expected nahi hai. Mera khayal hai ke aaj ke liye joray mein sideways trading expected hai. Buying opportunities resistance level 156.40 tak possible hain. Main 155.70 ke support level ki taraf selling pressure ki umeed karta hoon. Is liye, mujhe agay bhi joray ke liye sideways movement ka silsila jari rehta nazar aa raha hai. Yeh aaj ke liye ek rough trading plan hai. Sab ko good luck.technical analysis dekhte hain aur dekhte hain ke hamaray paas kya recommendations hain. Moving averages - neutral, technical indicators - sell, conclusion - neutral. To, technical analysis sideways movement ko suggest karta hai. Aaj ke liye joray ke liye important news releases check karte hain. US mein initial jobless claims ki data release hui, jo negative hai. US Federal Reserve ka balance expected hai. Bank of Japan ke ek board member ne baat ki, aur koi major news expected nahi hai. Mera khayal hai ke aaj ke liye joray mein sideways trading expected hai.