USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USDJPY Analysis

USDJPY pair ab bullish direction develop karne ki koshish mein hai. Magar jab tak koi achi shot nahi milti, medium-term purchases ke baray mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai. Ye scenario trend line se confirm hota hai jo lower lows par lie karti hai.
Is waqt, price local levels ke qareeb hover kar rahi hai - 157.62. Bullish direction ko continue karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke buyers zone - 157.28 ko break kiya jaye, jahan se price ne kai baar history mein bounce back kiya hai. Bulls ki strength ka confirmation tab hoga jab broken zone ko reverse side par test kiya jayega. Abhi tak koi breakdown nahi hai, is liye longs ke baray mein baat karna jaldi hai.
Main price rebound ko supply zone se, aur subsequent decline ko test area 156.72 tak predict karta hoon. Yahan ek achi opportunity milegi jab reversal structure form hogi, jahan behtareen prices par shopping ki ja sakti hai.
Technical Reference: Jab tak 157,255 ke neeche hai, sell karen. Resistance 1: 157,255 Resistance 2: 157,400 Support 1: 156,525 Support 2: 156,345
USDJPY ke paas aaj raat ke US session mein neeche girne ka mauka hai (31/5/24) bearish signal ki wajah se jo Stochastic indicator de raha hai. Ye neeche girne ka mauka de raha hai kyunki red aur blue lines overbought area mein cross kar chuki hain.
Ek ghante ke chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15-minute chart bhi neeche girne ka mauka de raha hai kyunki OsMA histogram negative area mein aa raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke selling process continue hogi. Agar scenario ke mutabiq jaye, to USDJPY ke paas support level 156.525 ko test karne ka mauka hoga.

Usd/jpy price overview.

Jab main yahan USDJPY bechne ka plan banane ki koshish kar raha hoon, toh mujhe har baar is baat ka samna karna padta hai ke main is currency pair ke saath barabar nahi chal sakta. Kal humne bhi 156.60 ko note kiya tha, jahan se hum bech sakte the, lekin hum wahan tak pohanche hi nahi. Wohi moment yaad aata hai ke pehle hum bohot dair intezar karte hain, aur jab price akhir kaar upar jati hai, toh humare paas time hi nahi bachta.

Aur main aage barh sakta hoon.. Agar kuch aapke plan ke mutabiq ho bhi jaye, toh USD/JPY ajeeb harkatain karne lagti hai aur kuch aisa produce karti hai jo bilkul illogical aur technical nahi hota. Aur, jaise kehte hain, door tak example dekhne ki zarurat nahi. Aaj ka din, H4 chart. Bohot wajibi tor par, jab dollar-yen ne local minimum 154.55 par banayi aur phir growth resume hui, jabke alignment south ke favor mein redraw hui... pullback par bechne aur corresponding zig-zag banne ka intizar tha. Dollar-yen ke case mein, retracement level ko bohot accurately determine karna possible tha - resistance 156.39 par tha, jahan deferment level set tha. Pair ne 156.48 ka high dikhaya aur phir neeche chala gaya. Jaise kehte hain, entry bohot zyada accurate thi... Lekin decline na toh strong tha aur na hi swift, haan ek spike figure 155 par aayi thi, lekin, aap khud samajh sakte hain, 155.72 mere liye kafi nahi hoga.

Sirf theoretical tor par, yeh kaafi possible hai ke USDJPY pair growth continue karega. Maine yahan ek aur version of the channel draw kiya hai, aur ab yeh lagta hai ke price ne iski lower border se bounce kiya hai, isliye logical hai ke hum upper border ki taraf jayenge. Saath hi, RSI aur stochastic indicators bhi upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo further growth ki possibility ko confirm karte hain.

Sirf theoretical tor par, market mein kuch bhi possible hai, khas tor par dollar-yen ke sath - ek bohot surprising pair. Lekin hum theoretical possibilities trade nahi kar rahe, hum apne justifications trade kar rahe hain, aur yahan humein theoretical reflections ya decision-making ki zarurat hai - deal open karne ke liye ya nahi. Maine 156.39 se dollar-yen ko open aur sell kiya hai, aur jabke price profit zone mein hai, sab kuch bohot modest hai.
USD/JPY pair ne phir apni decline ko roka jab yeh apne six-month trend ke qareeb aayi. Toh, original goal mein ghalti thi - original goal trend line par tha aur yeh kal achieve ho gaya. Ab, ek rollback ke baad, is level par ek naya approach possible hai, lekin agar yeh push hoti hai, toh previous tail ke area mein 153rd figure mein, yeh ruk nahi sakti balki seedha final goal 146th figure mein ja sakti hai. Lekin pehle, inhein bechne dein.

Shayad, ab dollar-yen ki situation aisi hai ke kehna zaruri hai ke sab kuch aik saath nahi hota. Lekin downward movement ke development ke liye prerequisites hain, aur is movement mein hissa lene ke opportunities bhi hain. Yeh zyada bura hota agar hamara trading account bas girta aur girta, bina kisi rollback ya corrections ke.
Technical Reference: sell as long as it is below 157.255
Resistance 1: 157.255
Resistance 2: 157.400
Support 1: 156.525
Support 2: 156.345

USDJPY ke paas neeche move karne ka mauka hai US session mein aaj raat (31/5/24) kyunke Stochastic indicator ne bearish signal diya hai jo neeche jaane ka mauka provide karta hai kyunke red aur blue lines overbought area mein cross ho gayi hain.

Ek ghante ke chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 minute chart bhi neeche jaane ka mauka provide karta hai kyunke OsMA ke histogram negative area mein aana shuru ho gaya hai, jo indicate karta hai ke selling process continue hogi. Agar scenario ke mutabiq chalein, toh USDJPY ke paas support level 156.525 ko test karne ka mauka hai.

Salam. Mein ne is jori ke baray mein bohot dino tak guftagu nahi ki. Aur yahan, agar aap rozana ka chart dekhein, toh humein aik ahem din milta hai. Kyunki USD/JPY ascending channel ke had ko test kar raha hai, sath hi sath EMA50 ke support ko bhi, level 154.65 par. Agar din buland band hota hai, toh humein ek khareedne ka signal milega sath hi sath pehla target hoga 155.55 ke level par. Toot jaane ki sorat mein, humein channel se bahar nikalne ka signal milega aur pehla target hoga 152 ke level par. USD/JPY kaafi buland chadha hai, aur Japan ke Central Bank currency interventions ko rate ko stable rakhne ke liye shayad jari rakhe, lekin dollar pichle do mahino se daba hua hai aur ek market correction ho sakta hai, jo ke ab bhi growth ko leke aayega. Isliye, hum 154.65 ke level se aage dekhte hain aur din ke band hone ke background mein, hum faisla kar sakte hain. Japan ne April mein currency interventions par 62 billion dollar se zyada kharch kiya tha aur is mahine aise hi qadam uthane ke imkaan nahi hain, jo ke jodi mein mazeed growth ko jaga sakta hai. Beshak, aap ko zyada se zyada update ka intezar nahi karna chahiye, lekin aap aik side trend par muntaqil hone ka intezar kar sakte hain

USDJPY ke daam ab neeche ki taraf ja rahay hain akhri impulse ki unchai ke neeche - 155.82, jo ke aik ahem darwaza hai. Mein short position mein dakhil hone ka entry point tab sochun ga jab bears beech ka level - 154.59 ke neeche mil jaayein. Jahan pehle levels of growth mere liye maqbool honge - 158.90, jahan kharidaron ne history mein keemat ko palat diya tha. Agar 154.30 pe kharidaron ki zone toot jaaye, aur bears is level ke neeche apna qadam mazboot kar lein, toh price ka girao jari rakhne ke liye dobara bechnay ka moqa mil sakta hai. Girao ki mood ko khatam karne ke liye, ahem maximum - 155.99 ko toorna zaroori hai, jahan sthirit hon. Market ko khareedne ka signal dene ke liye, EMA indicator ko market ko signal dena chahiye, parameters 50-13 ke saath

currency pair hai. Recent mein, ye pair 157.47 ki satah tak badh gaya tha, jo ki kaafi significant hai. Aayiye, dekhte hain kya wajah thi is sudden spike ki, aur kya is rate ka wapis aana sambhav hai. Wajah Badhat Ki

1. Monetary Policy Divergence: US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policies mein farak USD/JPY pair par direct asar dalta hai. Jab Federal Reserve apni interest rates badhata hai aur Bank of Japan unhe kam rakhta hai, to investors US dollar mein invest karna zyada profitable samajhte hain. Yeh divergence USD ko majboot banata hai aur yen ko kamzor karta hai.

2. Economic Data: US ke positive economic data, jaise strong GDP growth, low unemployment rates, aur inflation control karne ki kaamiyabi, dollar ko aur majbooti deti hai. Iske ulat, Japan ka economy ab tak deflation aur slow growth ke issues se joojh raha hai, jo yen ko kamzor karta hai.

3. Geopolitical Tensions: Global uncertainties aur geopolitical tensions ke samay, dollar ek safe haven asset ke roop mein kaam karta hai. Investors aise waqt mein dollar ko prefer karte hain, jis se USD/JPY pair ki value badh jati hai.

Kya Wapis Aana Sambhav Hai?

1. Central Bank Intervention : Bank of Japan ne pehle bhi yen ki excessive weakness ko control karne ke liye market interventions kiye hain. Agar yen bohot kamzor ho jata hai, to Bank of Japan phir se intervene kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ko neeche laa sakta hai.

2. Economic Policy Shifts: Agar Japan apni economic policies mein badlav karta hai, jaise ki higher interest rates ya fiscal stimulus, to yen majboot ho sakta hai. Saath hi, agar US economic data mein girawat hoti hai ya Federal Reserve interest rates kam karta hai, to dollar weak ho sakta hai

3. Technical Corrections: Financial markets mein, bade price movements ke baad technical corrections aam baat hai. Agar USD/JPY overbought territory mein hai, to naturally ek pullback ki ummed ki ja sakti hai.

4. Global Risk Sentiment: Agar global risk sentiment improve hota hai aur investors high-risk assets mein invest karte hain, to safe haven currencies jaise yen demand mein aa sakte hain, jis se USD/JPY ki value neeche aa sakti hai.

Conclusion

USD/JPY ka 157.47 ki satah tak badhna market dynamics, economic indicators, aur geopolitical factors ka natija hai. Lekin, wapas aana bhi sambhav hai, kyonki currency markets bahut volatile hote hain aur inhe central bank interventions, policy shifts, technical corrections, aur global risk sentiment jese factors asani se prabhavit kar sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko yeh sab factors nazar mein rakhte hue apni strategies banani chahiye, taki wo risk ko effectively manage kar saken.

157.30 ka level tor sakte hain, jo humari tawajjo ko 156.37 par shift karega. Agar 157.35 par jhooti breakout hoti hai, to yeh bhi sell ka signal hoga. Filhal, mujhe umiid hai ke ek choti si correction hogi aur phir girawat jaari rahegi. Yen ke H1 chart ko dekh kar maine yeh nateeja nikala ke humne teen-lehron ki upward movement mukammal kar li hai, lekin ab girawat hogi. Halat current level se exchange rate ke neeche jaane ke liye munasib hain. Hum 156.37 level ko cho sakte hain, jahan humein support milta hai. Upward movement ke baad hum ek downward trend ki tawajjo kar rahe hain. Agar 157.30 par breakout hoti hai to phir teen-lehron ki upward movement aur phir ek downward impulse wave hogi. Yeh ab bhi trading ka scenario hai. Jab tak 157.70 range par resistance barkarar hai, girawat jaari rahegi. Hum naye historical highs set kar rahe hain, jo ek acha selling level ho sakta hai. Agar hum 156.37 se neeche girte hain, to yeh ek sell opportunity ka signal hoga, jo rate cut ke aghaaz ko zahir karegaUSD/JPY currency pair phir se trading ka ikhtitam 157.30 level ko cross kiye baghair hui, jo ke usne kai martaba 157.20 resistance ke khilaf test kiya hai. Humne 157.20 level ke upar koi naye bullish candles nahi dekhe, is liye yeh level abhi bhi toota nahi hai. Four-hour chart par Monday ko support area tak girawat ka imkaan hai. Ek nai lehr 156.89 par start ho sakti hai, khaaskar jab stochastic indicator ek downward reversal ka imkaan zahir kar raha hai. Four-hour general trend mein main current local high 157.70 tak uthanay ki gunjaish rakhta hoon, TMA indicator bands ke upper border ko test karte hue, phir girawat hogi. Sideways movement ko dekhte hue, pair US Federal Reserve meeting ke results tak stable rehne ka imkaan hai jo 12 June ko hai. Fed meeting se pehle, USD/JPY pair 156.55-70 ke neeche aur 157.90-158.30 ke upar range mein reh sakti hai. Magar agar support toot jata hai aur price 155.45-156.20 support zone tak girti hai, to scenario badal sakta hai. Agar participants purchases initiate karte hain, to hum ek breakout aur phir 154 aur 152 figures ki taraf girawat dekh sakte hain. Yeh dollar/yen pair ki growth ko fuel provide kar sakta hai. Agar support zone mein break karne ki koshish hoti hai aur price specified range mein rehti hai, to hum mazeed growth dekh sakte hain, jo 160 level ko target karegi. Humein June Fed meeting ke results aur unke comments ka intizaar karna hoga, kyunke unse pehle koi significant decisions hone ka imkaan kam hai

Kai analysts ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ka intezar hai ke woh wahi rukh apnaye. Keemat ke movement ko "ascending triangle" chart pattern ke asar mein dekha ja raha hai. Ye pattern ek corridor ki tarah hai jismein neeche ki taraf dhere dhere uthne wala ek manzar hai. Keemat kuch arse se neeche ke trend line (zameen) aur oonche trend line ke darmiyan dab rahi hai. Jab ye pattern breakout mein muntaqil hota hai, to keemat ko kisi bhi rukh mein tezi se barhne ki ummeed hoti hai.
Achi khabar ye hai ke dollar Japanese yen ke khilaaf mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke USD/JPY mein izaafa la sakti hai. Ye oonchaai ka trend mumkin hai ke aaj US mein musbat maqami dastavezat ka izhaar hua hai. Magar, kuch rukawatein bhi hain jo paar ki jaani hain. Ek bullish scenario ke liye keemat ko 157.77 ka critical resistance level se taqatwar tor par todna zaroori hai. Yahan thori si kamzor maqami khabrein rukawat pesh kar sakti hain. Breakout hone ki sambhavna ke bawajood, sahi waqt ghair maqami hai. Is ke ilawa, bull (investors jo keemat mein izafa ki umeed rakhte hain) 157.77 ke level ko toorna mein museebat utha sakte hain
Oonchaai ki raftar ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, keemat ko 157.40 se ooncha kar dena chahiye. Agar ye na ho sake to 154.80 tak wapas ja sakta hai, jo ke ek support level ka kaam karta hai. Yahan cheezon ka maza aata hai. Haal hi mein ki gayi downtrend ke bawajood, USD/JPY ke asal dhaancha bullish potential ka zahir karta hai. Haal hi ke girawat ke baad ek upswing mumkin hai. Dono taraf ke investors ko is "bullish potential" ka khayal rakhna chahiye. Agar bull resistance levels ko paar karne mein kamyab ho gaye to keemat ko aham oonchaai tak pohanchne ka moqa mil sakta hai. Bar aks, agar bear (investors jo keemat mein girawat ki umeed rakhte hain) 155.50 se 157.70 ke range mein taqat hasil karte hain, to woh keemat ko mazeed neeche dabane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Ye chart pattern aur asli dhaancha yeh ishara karte hain ke haal hi ki downtrend ulta ho rahi hai. Jo investors kuch risk se waqif hain, woh anay wale maqami dastavezat aur keemat ke movement ka apni tafseeli tajziya ke buniyad par muqarrar positions le kar faida utha sakte hain

USD JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast

Mangal ko, USDJPY currency pair ne bohot gehri 180 pips ki kami ka samna kiya. Us waqt candle RBS zone se guzar nahi saki. 154.72 ke qeemat tak girne ke baad, achanak Budh ka USDJPY phir se barh gaya, jo ke kisi kam nahi tha, lagbhag 180 pips tak. Jab maine check kiya, to pata chala ke USDJPY ke barhne ki wajah demand area mein atakne thi. Aaj USDJPY trading 156.07 ke qeemat pe shuru hui. Is bar opening position kuch milti julti hai kyunki USDJPY ne neeche jaane ke baad phir se uth gaya hai.
Agar H1 timeframe se tafteesh ki jaye, to candle ab bhi supply area se guzar nahi sakti jo 156.38 ke qeemat pe hai. Abhi tak, USDJPY apni barhne ki rah par nahi hai. Barhne ke liye candle ko mujhe batayi gayi supply area ko guzar jana chahiye. Agar nahi guzre, to ho sakta hai ke movement phir neeche ki taraf jaaye. Thoda thoda USDJPY ne giravat shuru kar di hai. Inn do scenarios ke darmiyan, main yeh kehta hoon ke USDJPY ke barhne ki mumkinat hai kyunki upar ek shoulder hai jo kisi tarah tak nahi chua gaya hai, jo 157.28 ki qeemat mein hai. Yeh hai jab USDJPY ne raasta badalna shuru kiya.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karke tafteesh ki jaye, to candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Iska matlab hai ke USDJPY trend bullish hone lag gaya hai. Barhne ki mauka abhi bhi bohot zyada nazar aata hai. Jab tak koi nai cross na ho, USDJPY ka movement adhiktar upar hi rhega. Aur candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi guzar diya hai, jo ke dabaav kaafi mazboot hai.

Uske saath hi, stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke USDJPY ki haliat zyada over sold hai kyunki line sirf thodi der ke liye apne lowest level tak pohochne mein hai jo 20 hai. Filhal direction neeche ki taraf hai isliye upar ka signal nahi aya hai. Jab lowest level chua jaye, to ho sakta hai ke USDJPY phir se barhne shuru ho. Chalo bus, upar ki taraf dekhte hain.

To aaj ki tafteesh ka ikhtitam yeh hai ke USDJPY apni bullish trend ko jari rakhega, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke USDJPY phir se barhe. Upar ek shoulder bhi hai jo ab tak kisi tarah tak bhi nahi gaya hai, jo 157.36 ki qeemat pe hai. Isliye, main un dosto ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain mashwara deta hoon ke woh buy positions pe focus karein. Jaise hamesha, target najdik ka resistance rakh sakte hain jo 157.34 ki qeemat pe hai aur stop loss najdik ka support rakh sakte hain jo 155.66 ki qeemat pe hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne Asia ke Wednesday ke trading session mein saaf taur par ek upward swing shuru kiya. Ye ek dip ke baad aata hai jo kal dekha gaya tha jab Japanese Yen ne kuch temporary strength gain ki thi. Lekin yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke ye strength shayad temporary hai. Yen ko kai factors se significant pressure mein rakha gaya hai. Ek key factor ye hai ke Bank of Japan currency exchange market mein continued intervention kar rahi hai.
Bank Yen ke value ko manipulate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin iski effectiveness questionable hai. Jab Asian session close hoti hai, tab sabhi nigahein American markets ke opening ki taraf mudti hain. Yahan par cheezen dilchasp hoti hain. Aaj important economic data releases schedule hain, aur ye USD/JPY pair par significant impact daalne ki potential rakhte hain. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, trading day ke pehle half mein pair ke liye moderate downward correction expected hai. But overall trend kaafi expected upwards hai. Watch karne ke liye ek key level hai 154.75. Agar pair is level ke upar hold kar paata hai, toh ye ek achha buying opportunity present karta hai. Mera target range is scenario mein 156.65 se lekar 157.55 tak hai. Doosri taraf, agar downward correction 154.75 support level ko break kar deta hai, toh pair consolidation phase mein enter ho sakta hai. Ye further decline ka darwaaza khol dega 154.25 ki taraf aur shaayad hi 153.75 tak. Essence mein, aaj ka USD/JPY trading session American market se aane wale data releases par depend karta hai. Ye releases tay karenge ke pair temporary pullback experience karta hai followed by uptrend ka continuation, ya fir agar lower break hota hai aur consolidation phase mein enter hota hai with further decline ke possibility ke saath.

USD/JPY currency pair ne notable decline experience kiya hai, jo prolonged downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Iska movement consistently apne pehle ke significant peak 155.86 ke niche raha hai. Ye decline kai macroeconomic aur geopolitical factors ke karan ho sakta hai.
Macroeconomic Factors:

1. Federal Reserve ki Monetary Policy: US Federal Reserve ne apne interest rates ko control karne ke liye various measures adopt kiye hain. Agar Fed apne interest rates ko increase karta hai, toh short-term mein USD strong ho sakta hai, lekin agar market ko lagta hai ki ye hike economic growth ko negatively impact karega, toh USD weaken ho sakta hai.

2. Bank of Japan ki Policy: Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne ultra-loose monetary policy ko follow kiya hai. Japan mein low interest rates aur negative interest rate policy (NIRP) economic stimulus ko maintain karne ke liye use ki gayi hai. Lekin agar BoJ apni policy ko tighten karta hai ya inflation expectations ko adjust karta hai, toh yen appreciate kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY pair mein decline ko lead karega.

3. Inflation Rates: US aur Japan ke inflation rates bhi currency movements ko influence karte hain. Agar US mein inflation high hai aur Japan mein low, toh purchasing power parity (PPP) theory ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ko adjust karna padega, potentially causing a decline.

Geopolitical Factors:

1. US-Japan Trade Relations: Trade imbalances ya bilateral trade agreements ke changes USD/JPY pair ko directly impact kar sakte hain. For instance, agar US-Japan trade tensions escalate hoti hain, toh yen safe-haven currency ke roop mein appreciate kar sakta hai.

2. Global Political Events: Global tensions, jaise Middle East mein conflicts, European Union ke economic issues, ya Asia-Pacific region mein instability, yen ke appreciation ko lead kar sakti hain kyunki yen traditionally ek safe-haven asset mana jata hai.

Technical Analysis:

1. Resistance Levels: USD/JPY pair ka consistently 155.86 ke significant peak ke niche rehna suggest karta hai ki yeh resistance level strong hai. Traders aur investors is level ko watch karte hain aur iske break hone tak short positions maintain kar sakte hain.

2. Moving Averages: Agar 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke niche cross karta hai (death cross), toh yeh bearish signal hota hai aur prolonged downward trend ko reinforce karta hai.

3. Fibonacci Retracement: Past uptrends ke basis par Fibonacci retracement levels identify kiye ja sakte hain. Agar USD/JPY pair ne 61.8% retracement level ko breach kiya hai, toh yeh further downside ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Market Sentiment:

1. Risk Aversion: Global markets mein risk aversion ka environment USD/JPY pair mein yen ki strength ko badha sakta hai. Investors typically safe-haven assets, jaise yen, mein move karte hain jab markets mein uncertainty high hoti hai.

2. Speculative Positioning: Futures aur options markets mein speculative positioning bhi USD/JPY movements ko affect kar sakti hai. Agar speculators significant short positions hold kar rahe hain, toh yeh downward pressure ko maintain kar sakta hai. In summary, USD/JPY currency pair ka notable decline macroeconomic policies, geopolitical events, technical analysis, aur market sentiment ke mix ka result ho sakta hai. Agar current trends continue karte hain, toh prolonged downward trend probable lagta hai, lekin ye sab factors dynamic hain aur time ke sath change ho sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko in multiple aspects par nazar rakhni chahiye jab wo apni strategies formulate karte hain.

, jo kayi logon ki tawajjo ka markaz ban gayi hai. US dollar ke haaliya mazbooti ko dekhte hue, is dip ne logon ko hairan kar diya hai. Do mumkin sabab hain jo is pullback mein kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Pehla, haaliya izafa kuch investors ko apni profits ko secure karne par majboor kar sakta hai spring ke khatam hone se pehle. Ek aise market mein jo musalsal barh raha ho, profit-taking ek fitri rad-e-amal hoti hai. Dusra, USD/JPY pair mein ek correction ho raha hai. Yeh pair ab mumkin hai ke consolidate kare aur kuch gains ko retrace kare ek significant upward trend ke baad. 'Support levels' wo price levels hain jin ke neeche currency pair ne tareekhi tor par girne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai. Is sehatmand correction ka na byteeja ye hai ke n



aye support levels ban sakte hain jo market ko overheating se bachane mein madadgar hote hain. USD/JPY wapas apne hafte ke shuruat ki position par laut aayega. Hum is waqt badi betaabi se intezar kar rahe hain ke aane wale American trading session mein ehm US economic data release ho. Pehle quarter ke US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data release ka iss currency pair par ghera asar hai. Yeh data American economy ki sehat par keemti insights faraham karta hai aur USD/JPY exchange rate ko khoob asarانداز kar sakta hai. Ek aur aham data point jo monitor karne laayak hai wo hai initial claims for unemployment benefits ki tadaad. Yeh data US dollar ke liye investor sentiment ko اثرانداز kar sakta hai, jo ke US labor market ki haalat par roshni daalta hai.

Is waqt ke dip ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ke liye market sentiment ab bhi bullish hai. Analysts optimistic outlook barqarar rakhtay hain, expect karte hain ke upward trend tab wapas shuru

ko

Japanese yen (JPY) do din se barh rahi hai, shayad is ki wajah yeh hai ke log soch rahe hain ke US Federal Reserve 2024 ke aakhir mein interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai to US dollar kamzor hoga aur yen ke mukablay mein gir jaayega. Lekin, is waqt US aur Japan ke interest rates ka farq dollar ke haq mein hai, jo yen ke barhnay ko rok raha hai (jo USD/JPY exchange rate mein zahir hai). Aur bhi muskilaat yeh hain ke Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne ishaara diya hai ke agar Japan ke long-term interest rates bohot tez barhtay hain to bank mudakhlat karne ko tayar hai. Yeh matlab hai ke wo zyada bonds khareed sakte hain taake rates kam rakhein, jo yen ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, Ueda ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar Japan mein inflation barhta hai to sakht monetary policy bhi lagoo kar sakte hain. Is dauraan, US Dollar Index (DXY) Tuesday ko barh gaya, jo ke US Treasury yields ke barhne ka aks hai. Yeh shayad is liye hai ke investors me ehtiyaat ka rujhan hai Wednesday ko ane wale ahem US economic data ke peesh nazar. Yeh data future ke Fed interest rate hikes ke expectations ko mutasir kar sakta hai, jo ke dollar ko asar andaz karte hain. Jabke mazid Fed rate hikes aksar dollar ko kamzor karte hain, yeh US Treasury yields ko bhi barha sakte hain, jo ke dollar ke value par mutazaad asar daal sakta haiTuesday ko, USD/JPY 156.40 ke qareeb tha. Daily chart suggest karta hai ke consolidation ka period ek symmetrical triangle pattern mein hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se thoda upar hai, aur agar girta hai to bearish trend ka ishara mil sakta hai. Mumkinah price movements ko dekhte hue, agar USD/JPY 157.00 ke psychological level aur triangle ke upper border se upar break karta hai to multi-decade high 160.32 ka retest ho sakta hai. Waisa hi, agar triangle ke lower border se break karta hai to girawat 156.00 tak ho sakti hai, aur phir 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 154.69 ka test bhi ho sakta hai. Mukhtasir mein, ane wale dinon mein USD/JPY pair US rate cuts ke expectations, interest rate differential, B






ank of Japan ki mudakhlat, aur ane wale US economic data ke darmiyan khinchao mein phans sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ka rukh shayad isi baat par munhasir hoga ke kaun si quwat aakhir

USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Meri nazar me, ooper ka rujhan ab bhi barqarar hai. Asuli taur par, yaumiyah chart par US dollar/Japanese yen ke jode me kami ek tawil muddati tezi ke rujhan se mahaz ek islah hai. Aakhir kar, trend line abhi tak nahin toota hai. Qimat ne sirf trendline ko chu kar aur fir wapas ucchal kar test kiya hai. Ab sirf 156.25 (turn_ reversal 6/8) ki muzahmati satah se ooper lautna aur 159.37 mark (stop_reversal 7/8) ki taraf badhna baqi hai.
Lehaza, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh dollar/yen ka joda 156.25 ke nishan se ooper jayega aur ise mazbut oopri raftar hasil karne aur 159.37 aur 162.50 (8/8) ki satahon tak badhne ke liye support ke taur par istemal karega. Halankeh, is me kam az kam do hafte lag sakte hain.
USD/JPY, D1:

جون 6 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے کی پیشن گوئی

کل اور پرسوں، ین نے 38.2% اور 50.0% فبونیکی سطح کے درمیان وسیع رینج کی تجارت میں مصروف رہا۔ توازن اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ساتھ اتار چڑھاؤ واقع ہوا، جو کہ ین کی طرف سے ان لائنوں سے نیچے گرنے کی کوشش کے طور پر ظاہر ہوتا ہے۔ آج، ایشیائی سیشن کے دوران، قیمت دوبارہ ان اشاری خطوط سے نیچے جانے کی کوشش کر رہی ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر ڈاؤن ٹرینڈ ٹیریٹری میں آباد ہے، جو جوڑے کے زوال کو بڑھا سکتا ہے، جس سے اسے 38.2% فبونیکی سپورٹ لیول (155.04) کو توڑنے میں 153.80 یا قدرے کم قیمت پر 23.6% کی نچلی سطح تک پہنچنے میں مدد ملتی ہے، 16 مئی۔ 153.61 پر کم ہے۔ اس کے بعد، ہم 150.90 کی سپورٹ لیول تک کمی کی توقع کرتے ہیں، جہاں قیمت 20 مارچ سے 5 اپریل تک مستحکم ہوئی۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 155.75 کی سطح سے نیچے آ گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن زیرو لائن (تیر) سے نیچے کی طرف مڑ گئی ہے۔ رجحان کم ہو رہا ہے، اور ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 155.04 پر پہلی سپورٹ لیول تک پہنچ جائے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

USD/JPY pair mein kal price previous day's low ko update karne mein nakam rahi aur din ke end tak previous day's range mein ek bullish candle form hui. Iss scenario ke madde nazar, yeh mumkin hai ke buyers price ko nearest resistance level ki taraf push karne ki koshish karen. Iss case mein, main 157.671 resistance level par focus karunga. Iss resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain.Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price iss level ke upar consolidate kare aur apni upward movement ko continue kare. Agar yeh plan play out karta hai, to main anticipate karunga ke price resistance level 160.209 ki taraf advance kare. Jab yeh resistance level break hota hai, main expect karunga ke further upward movement 164.500 resistance level ki taraf ho. Iss resistance level par, main trading setup ka wait karunga taake next trading direction determine kar saku. Zaroori nahi ke yeh higher northern targets tak pohanche, yeh situation par aur price ki news flow aur designated higher northern targets par reaction par depend karega.

Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke 157.671 resistance level par approach karte waqt reversal candle formation ho aur price southern movement resume kar le. Agar yeh plan unfold hota hai, main expect karunga ke price support level 154.524 ya 153.601 par wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals search karunga, expecting ke price upside ki taraf reverse ho.Mukhtasir mein, main yeh samajhta hoon ke ek minor southern retracement ke baad, northern movement aaj dobara shuru ho sakti hai, jo nearest resistance level ko target karegi. Aage ki actions market conditions aur evolving situation par depend karengi.

hum kayi ubharti hue mauqay dekh sakte hain, jo yeh darshaate hain ke agla morh kaafi dilchasp potential rakhta hai, khaaskar jab hum Japanese Yen-based currency pair mein aksar ooper se ooper harkaton ko dekhte hain. Yeh heran kun ho sakta hai, magar yeh bhi ek mauqa hai jo tawajjo ka haqdaar hai. Filhaal, hum kuch mojooda positions par nazar daal rahe hain, aur koshish kar rahe hain ke jaari trend sharaait ko follow karne ka mauqa haasil karein, jo ke downward trend hai. Jab humara paimaana aur sell option 13, 18, aur 28 EMA zones par milta hai to hum apni aglay trading journey mein maximum nateeja haasil kar sakte hain. Iss wajah se, hum entry level 155.72 ka faida utha sakte hain, ke sell option ko neeche wali hadd Bollinger Bands (BB) level 154.40 tak pohanchne ka target banayein. Yeh mauqa mazid zor pakar sakta hai, aur wahan se hum dekh sakte hain ke mauqa pehle ke muqablay mein zyada asaani se haasil ho sakta hai. Stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke USD-JPY condition almost over sold hai kyunki sirf thoda sa waqt reh gaya hai line ke apne lowest level number 20 ko touch karne ke liye. Filhaal direction abhi bhi neeche hai is liye upward signal abhi tak nazar nahi aaya. Jab lowest level touch ho jata hai, to mumkin hai ke USDJPY apna izafa dobara shuru karega. Chaliye bas intizaar karte hain ke yeh upar ki taraf face kare. Is tarah, traders ko hamesha market ke developments ko gaur se dekhna chahiye, aur jaari trend sharaait ke mutabiq theek qadam uthane ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, aur har trading decision mein risk factors ko achi tarah se madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Market conditions aur hamare trading goals ke mutabiq strategies implement karke, hum potential profits ko optimize kar sakte hain aur forex trading activities mein loss ke risk ko kam kar sakte hain.