USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Aaj, hum do currency pairs ke dilchasp dynamics pe ghoor karenge: USD/JPY aur USD/CAD. Shuruat mein, chalo hum USD/JPY pair par tawajjo den, jo haal hi mein apni numaya upar ki harkat ki wajah se meri tawajjo ko apni taraf kheench raha hai. Rozana ke time frame ko dekhte hue, yeh zahir hai ke pair ne pichle mahine mein qaribi 950 points ke qeemat hasil ki hai. Is bharpoor izafa mein pair ki qeemat mein izafay ki taqat ko samne rakhte hain, jis se USD/JPY pair ki taqat ko maujooda market mahol mein izhar kiya gaya hai.
Rozana ke time frame chart se aik ahem guzarish ye hai ke USD/JPY pair ne sirf aik mazboot upar ki rahat nahi dikhayi hai balkay 155.80 qeemat ke asooli haftawar ki madd mein bhi guzishta hai. Ye breakout pair ke mazeed upar ki harkat ke liye aik ahem ishara hai, kyun ke ye darust karta hai ke is market mein kharidne wale abhi haath mein mukhya haath rakhte hain. Haalaanki, resistance area ke tootne ke bawajood, abhi koi fori signs neeche ki taraf muddat ke trend ki taraf nahi hain. Is ka saboot hai kharidne ke dabaav ka mustaqil dominans, jo pair mein upar ki momentum ko barqarar rakhta hai

Maujooda market shiraa'tat ke hawale se, meri nigaah USD/JPY pair par musbat hai. Jaari kharidari ka jazba ye darust karta hai ke currency pair ke liye mazboot support hai, kyun ke kharidne wale qeemat ko mazeed buland rakhte hain. Market ko qareeb se nigaah mein rakhna zaroori hai kisi bhi momentum ki tawajjuh ke koi signs ke liye, kyun ke kharidarun ke mazeed dakhil honay se qeemat mein kisi intiqaali ya ulte pher se dabaav aa sakta hai. Magar, aise ishaaron ke abhaav mein, mera iraada hai ke USD/JPY pair ko kharidte rahen jab tak qeemat 154.30 ke neeche rahe

Ikhtitami tor par, USD/JPY pair ab mazboot upar ki harkat dikhata hai, aur haftawar ki resistance area ka tootna mustaqbil ki mazeed shiraa't ke liye ek ummedwar ishara hai. Mera tajziya hai ke jab tak qeemat 154.30 ke neeche rahe, pair par bullish stance qaim rakhen, jab ke market dynamics mein kisi bhi mowqay par ehtiyaat aur tayyar rehna zaroori hai.

Barah-e-Karam USDJPY market ki halat par tawajjo den, lagta hai ke kuch trading dinon mein buyers ki taraf se dabi hui dabao ne MA100 indicator ko kamyabi se guzar gaya hai. Main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke buyers ka MA100 indicator ko guzar jana trend ki halat ko palat diya hai jo pehle bearish trend tha ab ek bullish trend ban gaya hai, isliye main andaza lagata hoon ke USDJPY market ke buyers USDJPY ke qeemat ko barhane mein kamiyab rahenge aur bullish trend ki halat mein lambi dair tak chalega.

Isi doran, aap dekh sakte hain ke basement indicator RSI (14) bhi ek khareed signal ko manzoori de raha hai, kyunke yeh lambi position ka intikhab se muttafiq nahi hai - uski curve ab upar ki taraf mukhsoos hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Upar di gayi wajah se, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke khareedari ki mumkinat ab zyada se zyada hain, aur isliye ek lambi karobar kholna bilkul munasib hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke take profit ko channel ke oopar ke satha, jo ke 157.905 ke qeemat par maujood hai, nazdeek dekhein. Jab order munafa mand zone mein chala jaye, toh position ko breakeven par le jane ka mashwara diya jata hai, kyunke market hamare umeed ko jhooti harkaton ke sath bhatakta hai.

Main H4 timeframe se banaayi gayi mapping ke mutabiq khareedari dakhil hone ke signals dhoondhne ki tajwez deta hoon, yeh lambi muddat ke liye ho sakta hai, buyers ka dabao USDJPY ki keemat ko H4 timeframe par upper resistance area tak pohanchne ke liye le jayega ya 160 ke qeemat ke aas paas, beshak yeh waqt zyada le sakta hai lekin bullish trend ki halat lambi muddat ki halat hai isliye yeh bohot mumkin hai.

Monday se le kar Wednesday tak USDJPY ki movement barhne ki taraf tend karta hai. Magar, range itni bari nahi hoti. Rozana ki range sirf qareeb qareeb 90 pips hoti hai. Pichle hafton mein hamain pata tha ke USDJPY ki movement zyadatar niche ki taraf thi. Magar, jab candle ne 151.75 ke qeemat tak pohanch gayi, tab ek rukh ki tabdeeli shuru ho gayi. Halan ke us waqt nazdeek tareen support 153.75 par tha. Magar, yeh nahi ke USDJPY ka girna jari rahega. Ab USDJPY ka position khud 155.32 ke qeemat par trade ho raha hai. Supply area ko choone mein sirf kuch aur candles baki hain.
Agar h1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaye, toh 152.03 ke qeemat par support ko guzar nahi gaya hai, to USDJPY ki movement barhti rahi hai. Sawal yeh hai ke iske baad yeh barhti rahegi ya gir jayegi? Meri raay mein, USDJPY ab bhi barhegi kyunke correction abhi mukammal nahi hua hai. Meri taksim hai ke mustaqbil mein USDJPY 159.26 ke qeemat tak correction karega. Is tak pohanchne ke liye abhi sauon pips ka safar baki hai. Is tak pohanchne ke liye, ek tareeqa yeh hai ke candle ko supply area par 156.15 ke qeemat par guzar jana chahiye. Maslan, agar yeh guzar nahi paata, to wahan iltiqa ho sakti hai aur yeh movement wapas neeche chali jaye.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye to, candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Jab se candle consistently us line ke upar move kar raha hai, trend bullish hone ki taraf tend karta hai. Yeh indicator yeh dikhata hai ke barhne ki mumkinat abhi bhi maujood hai jab tak koi naya crossover na ho. Iske alawa, candle abhi bhi kumo cloud ke upar move kar raha hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke bullish dabao abhi bhi kaafi mazboot hai.

Dusra, stochastic indicator ka tajziya kiya jaye to, yeh line neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai aur apni kamtar level 20 par ja rahi hai. Main mehsoos karta hoon ke jab yeh apne sabse kamtar level tak pohanchega, tab USDJPY ka barhna shuru hoga. Lagta hai ke yeh filhal nahi hoga kyunke stochastic indicator abhi bhi upward crossover nahi hai. Magar, main bhi hoshiyar rehta hoon kyunke iske baad USDJPY mein giravat ho sakti hai.

To aaj ke tajziye ka nateeja yeh hai ke USDJPY ke barhne ki mumkinat abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Iske alawa, Ichimoku indicator se, candle ka position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Jab tak 159.24 ke qeemat par supply area ko nahi chooa gaya hai, main abhi bhi USDJPY ka barhna tawaqqo karta hoon, chahe giravat ho. Isliye, main dosto ko ye sujhata hoon ke pehle sirf buy positions par tawajjo dein. Maqsad 157.96 ke qareeb qareeb qarzayat mein rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss 152.03 ke qareeb qareeb support par rakha ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair apni urooj rukh jari rakhta hai, jisay Budh ke pehle European session mein 155.30 par trade kiya gaya hai. Ye teesri musalsal rozana izafa ko darust karta hai, jo ke mazid mazboot ho rahi US Dollar (USD) ki wajah se. Federal Reserve (Fed) ke ziada darjan darja banae rakhne ki mumkinat ne USD ko farogh diya hai, jabke Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ke sakht rujhanat bhi is pair ke izafay mein hissa daal rahe hain.
Reuters ke mutabiq, President Kashkari ke taqreerat ishara deti hain ke interest rates mein taveel muddat tak koi tabdeeli ki umeed hai, halan ke rate barhane ko puri tarah se nahi khatam kiya gaya hai. Ye soch Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin ke saath milti hai, jo ke jazbat mein buland interest rates America mein maqool qadamoon ko dabaa sakte hain, lekin ye zaroori hain taake inflationary dabao ko kam karein aur unhein markazi bank ke 2% ka nishana paas layein.

Wahi par, Japanese Yen (JPY) dabao ke neeche rehta hai, haalaanki mukhtasir taqat hasil hui thi peechle haftay mein Japanese authorities ke dakhil hone ki tawajo se. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke data ke mutabiq, adaron ne shumaar kiya hai ke qowwat Japani authorities ne 29 April ko lagbhag ¥6.0 trillion aur 1 May ko lagbhag ¥3.66 trillion ko JPY ki madad ke liye tayyar kiya tha. Magar ye dakhilat mumkin hai ke sirf mufeedarfa relief faraham karein, Japan aur America ke darmiyan interest rate farqat ka bohot bara hona dikhaya gaya hai

Japanese authorities ne mukhtalif currency harkatoo ke khilaf tanbeeh ki jaari rakhi hai, Finance Minister Shunich Suzuki ke dohrane par ke authorities intehai kharji tabadlat ki jawabi karwai ke liye tayyar hain. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda ne bhi kaha hai ke unhein Yen ki harkatoo ka asar inflation par tajziya karna hai taake policy ke faislon ko inform kiya ja sake

Assalam Alaikum!
Char-ghante ke chart par dollar/yen ke jode ki naqal o harkat ko dekhte hue, mujhe yah tasleem karna chahiye keh maujudah izafa meri tawaqqo se qabile gaur sabit hua. Mujhe lagta hai keh qimat 155.00 ki satah se gir jayegi. Jab tak qimat 158.00 ki satah ke qarib pichle muqami buland satah ko update nahin karti, tab tak suratehal bears ke liye khatarnak nahin hogi. Halankeh, mujhe nahin lagta hai keh yah mumkin hai. Chunkeh qimat ooper ki taraf badhi hai, lehaza niche ke hadaf ko bhi ooper ki taraf revise ki gayi hai.
Is waqt, dollar/yen ki jodi 155.25 par trade kar rahi hai. Qimat TMA indicator ki oopri line ka test kar rahi hai, is tarah bulls ko 155.75 par naya hadaf muqarrar karne ki ijazat milti hai.
Takniki nuqtah nazar se, Stochastic aur ZigZag indicators overbought conditions aur ooper ki taraf islah ke ikhtetam ko zahir kar rahe hain. Halankeh, traders ko naye chote order kholte waqt traders ko muhtat rahna chahiye.
156.80 ke qarib pending orders ka tasfiyah karna ya girawat ki surat me market par amal karte hue positions kholna behtar hai.
Niche ki lahar ki surat me, hadaf 152.75 ki support satah aur April ki shuruaat me record ki gayi qimaton par waqe honge. Suratehal zahir karegi keh aaya bears zyada gahraayi me fisalne ke liye taiyar hai ya nahin.

USD/JPY H4 US Dollar - Japanese Yen. Sab ko acha din aur zyada munafa! Abhi mere trading strategy ke mutabiq jo ke Heinen Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlestick indicators ke set par mabni hai, mujhe ye batata hai ke currency pair ya instrument khareedne ka waqt aa gaya hai, kyunke system ke istiqamat ke signals dikhate hain ke bulls ne apni jagah badal li hai.. Aur is lehaz se ab sirf khareedna hi pehle taleem hai. Heinen Ashi candles, jo traditional Japanese candles ke mukhtalif hote hain, price quotes ki qeemat ko mulaim karte hain aur musalsal signals ke sath waqt ki murnawat aur corrective pullbacks aur impulse shots dekhne mein madad karte hain. Linear channel indicator TMA (Triangular Moving Average), jo chart par moving averages par based hokar mojooda support aur resistance lines ko draw karta hai, trading mein bhi shandar madad karta hai, asset ki movement ke boundaries ko wohi waqt ke mutabiq dikhata hai. Signals ko aakhri filter karte hue aur ek transaction mukammal karne par aakhri faisla karne ke liye, RSI oscillator ka istemal kiya jata hai, jo trading pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. Ye trading instruments ka intikhab technical analysis process ko behtar banata hai aur galat market dakhil hone se bachata hai. To, is maujooda doran, in pairs ke chart par, ek situation paida hui hai jab Heskin Ashi candles ka rang neela ho gaya hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke bullish mood ab bearish mood par hawai hota hai, aur is lehaz se aap market mein dakhil hone ka acha moqa talash kar sakte hain lambi trade ke liye. Price quotes linear channel ka niche ka hadood (red dotted line) se bahar gaye, lekin, sab se kam numaya pehunch kar, woh wahan se door ho gaye aur central line of the channel (yellow dotted line) ki taraf rukh badal gaya. Isi doran, aap dekh sakte hain ke basement indicator RSI (14) bhi ek khareed signal ko manzoori de raha hai, kyunke yeh lambi position ka intikhab se muttafiq nahi hai - uski curve ab upar ki taraf mukhsoos hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Upar di gayi wajah se, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke khareedari ka amal abhi sab se zyada mumkin hai, aur isliye lambi transaction kholna kafi munasib hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke take profit ko channel ke oopar ki satha (blue dotted line) par 157.905 ke qeemat par dekhne wale hain. Jab order munafa mand zone mein chala jaye, toh position ko breakeven par le jane ka mashwara diya jata hai, kyunke market hamare umeed ko jhooti harkaton ke sath bhatakta hai.

Outlook for USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
Char-ghante ke chart par dollar/yen ke jode ki naqal o harkat ko dekhte hue, mujhe yah tasleem karna chahiye keh maujudah izafa meri tawaqqo se qabile gaur sabit hua. Mujhe lagta hai keh qimat 155.00 ki satah se gir jayegi. Jab tak qimat 158.00 ki satah ke qarib pichle muqami buland satah ko update nahin karti, tab tak suratehal bears ke liye khatarnak nahin hogi. Halankeh, mujhe nahin lagta hai keh yah mumkin hai. Chunkeh qimat ooper ki taraf badhi hai, lehaza niche ke hadaf ko bhi ooper ki taraf revise ki gayi hai.
Is waqt, dollar/yen ki jodi 155.25 par trade kar rahi hai. Qimat TMA indicator ki oopri line ka test kar rahi hai, is tarah bulls ko 155.75 par naya hadaf muqarrar karne ki ijazat milti hai.
Takniki nuqtah nazar se, Stochastic aur ZigZag indicators overbought conditions aur ooper ki taraf islah ke ikhtetam ko zahir kar rahe hain. Halankeh, traders ko naye chote order kholte waqt traders ko muhtat rahna chahiye.
156.80 ke qarib pending orders ka tasfiyah karna ya girawat ki surat me market par amal karte hue positions kholna behtar hai.
Niche ki lahar ki surat me, hadaf 152.75 ki support satah aur April ki shuruaat me record ki gayi qimaton par waqe honge. Suratehal zahir karegi keh aaya bears zyada gahraayi me fisalne ke liye taiyar hai ya nahin.

kaam ka bazaar report bhi herat angez sath aya. Data ne dikhaya ke maheenay March mein bazaar ne 303,000 nonfarm payroll jobs shamil kiye, jo ke muaashre ke mahireen ki 200,000 ki tawaqqat se bohot zyada aur tareekhi ausaaf 190,000 se ziada hai. Report ne yeh bhi dikhaya ke average ghantay ki kamai maheenay bhar mein 0.3% barh gayi, jo ke barhti hui tanqeedi girawat ko darust karti hai, jo ke Fed policymakers mein mahangi ke lehaz se fikar ka sabab ban rahi hai. Fed ke numainde Logan aur Bowman ne mojooda surat-e-haal ko taqreeban bilkul waise hi bayan kiya, keh ke mahangi ke barhne ka progress ruk gaya hai. Ji haan, mahangi ki surat-e-haal kaafi complicated hai, lekin aise reports dollar ko pasand aati hain, jo ke iski bullish tawaanaiyon ko

barha deti hain.Easter ke taqreebat ke doran, Fed Chair Jerome lPowell ne ishara diya ke mazboot data mahangi ko thanda karne mein ziada itminan hasil karne ke liye rate cut cycle ko taakhir dene ki mumkinat ko jata sakti hai. TIPS bonds ki yield, jo ke mahangi ke expectations ka aik behtareen dalil hai, barhti ja rahi hai. December mein, yeh 2.06% tak gir gaya tha, jabke Jumma ko, yeh nishandeh 2.45% par ek paanch mahine se ziada ooncha pohanch gaya. USD/JPY jodi ne do dino mein maqsad ke lehaz se mukammal shorat 150.80-151.95 ko cover kiya. Jumma ko, keemat ne wazan ki rekha (surkhi harkat wali moving average) se aur 150.80 ke lehaz se oopar ki taraf murna shuru kiya. Aaj subah, maqsad ke simt ki baundi aur global keemat ka channel (neela) ke musalsal line ko imtehaan kiya gaya hai. Marlin oscillator ka signal line musbat tor par oopar ki taraf mojood hai. 151.95 ke oopar mustaqil ho jaane se keemat ko maqsad ke lehaz se 154.25 tak pohanchne ka rasta khul jayega. Keemat ka neeche ki taraf harkat mumkin hai jab keemat 150.80 ko paar kar legi. Jodi mein achi hesiyat hai ke oopar jaaye. 4 ghantay ka chart dekhte hue, keemat balance indicator line ke oopar musalat ho gayi hai, aur 151.95 par resistance ko test kar rahi hai. Marlin oscillator uptrend territory mein hai. 151.95 ke oopar mustaqil ho jaane se MACD line par nazdiki maqsad ko 152.45 tak khulne ka rasta khul jata hai. Kal ki kam keemat par 151.58 ko paar kar dena bullish dabao ko halka kar dega aur tawajju ko 150.80 par shift karega

par dekha gaya hai, woh hairan kun bullish taiz raftaar ka zahir hona hai. Is barhte hue keemat ka tezi se barhna, traders ke liye ek dilchasp afsana ki nishani hai, jo ek wazeh oopri shakal ki tameer se saboot hai. Ye maqalah is ahem qeemat ki karkardagi ke peechay ke dynamic mein gehri tahqiq karta hai aur potential mustaqbil ke trends ke liye wazahat faraham karta hai. USDJPY jodi ne apni keemat ke harek raftar mein aik numaya izafa dekha hai, khaaskar H4 time frame mein. Ye tezi market mein mazboot bullish jazbaat ka izhar hai, jo uptrend ke saath mawafiq moqay talashne wale traders ke liye ek mufeed mahol ki alaamat hai. Qareeb se ghoor se, ye wazeh ho jata hai ke keemat ke amal ne effectively ek oopri shakal ki tameer ki hai. Ye dhancha sakht market trend ka ek ahem nishan hai, jis se potential mustaqbil ke keemat ke barhne ke imkaanat ko pehchana ja sakta hai. Market dynamics ko samajhne ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke hum USDJPY ke mukhtalif factors ko madda-e-asar tor par ghoor se dekhen. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur monetary policies jese cheezon ka bhi asar ho sakta hai. Is waqt, jab ke global economic recovery ki ummeed hai, USDJPY ke bullish raftaar ko samajhna aur analyze karna zaroori hai.



Is bullish trend ke peechay ke kuch muddat hotay hain, jinmein technical analysis ka istemal mukhtalif chart patterns, trend lines, aur indicators ke zariye keemaat ke future raftar ko pehchanna mein madadgar sabit hota hai. Ye analysis, traders ko market ke mukhtalif moqay aur entry/exit points ke baray mein behtar samajh pohanchnay mein madadgar hoti hai. Lekin, yaad rahe ke market mein kisi bhi waqt tabdeeliyan ho sakti hain, is liye risk management ka hona zaroori hai. Traders ko apni positions ko monitor karte rehna chahiye aur market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. Aakhir mein, USDJPY ke H4 time frame par dekha gaya bullish trend, traders ke liye ek behtareen mauqa hai takay woh market ke movements ko samajh sakein aur munafa kamane ka faida utha sakein. Lekin

USD/JPY ke liye correction mode ka imkaan hai, jo ke market mein volatility aur uncertainty ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is tarah ki situation mein, traders aur investors ko market ki movement ka dhyaan rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar agar woh important support level ko monitor kar rahe hain jo 155.68 hai. Agar yeh support level tor diya gaya, toh yeh ek bearish signal ho sakta hai aur market mein aur neeche ki taraf movement ka darustikaar ho sakta hai. Yeh support level torne ki surat mein, traders ko aur bhi cautious hona chahiye, kyun ki yeh ek indication ho sakta hai ke market ka trend badal raha hai. Is situation mein, technical analysis ka istemal karke aur bhi confirmations hasil ki ja sakti hain, jaise ke moving averages aur oscillators ka istemal. Agar yeh sabhi indicators bhi bearish signals dete hain, toh yeh support level ka tor jyada important ho jata hai. Lekin, ek support level ka torne ka matlab yeh nahi hota ke market mein sirf bearish movement hi hogi. Kabhi-kabhi, ek temporary correction ke baad market phir se upar ki taraf ja sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko market ki movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur additional confirmation ke liye aur bhi indicators ka istemal karna chahiye. Is samay, global events aur economic data bhi USD/JPY ke movement par asar daal sakta hai. Geopolitical tensions, central bank policies, aur economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, inflation, aur employment data market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain. In sabhi factors ko dhyaan mein rakhte hue, traders apne trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain. Overall, USD/JPY ke liye correction mode ka imkaan hai, lekin support level ko torne ka matlab sirf bearish movement ka nishchit indication nahi hai. Traders ko market ki movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur additional confirmations ke liye technical analysis ka istemal karna chahiye, sath hi global events aur economic data ka bhi dhyaan rakhna chahiye.

. Jumma ko barhne ke baad, Mangal ko isne apni zyada tar faida diye hue gairan qaim kar diye is wajah se ke Japanese authorities ke qadamon ke bary main fikar thi. Ye intervention ke shak speculation is wajah se aayi ke USD/JPY joda 34 saal ke ucheyi par pohanch gaya tha. Yen ki kamzori ke peechay ka sab se bara karkun Japan aur United States ke darmiyan farq farq interest rate ka phelana hai. US Federal Reserve se mutaliq Japan ke markazi bank ke muqablay mein zyada arse tak uncha interest rate ka barqarar rehna mutawaqqa hai. Ye interest rate ka farq US dollar ko zyada kashish karne wala invest banata hai, jo yen ke muqable mein izafa shudah talab aur ek mazboot dollar ke sath le aata hai. Budh ke din, dollar ne Asian session mein apni upar ki rukh ko jari rakha. Ye izafa US data ke mutabiq madde nazar inflation ke khilaf lade jane wale Federal Reserve ke hawkish monetary policy stance ke barhne wale market expectations se aya tha.
Magar dollar ke liye ye musbat jazba risk-off mahol ke dabe paon hawale se rok diya gaya tha. Raat bhar US stocks mein kami aur Asian markets mein kaafi farokht ka barhao yen ki safe-haven appeal ko dobara zinda kar diya, jo ke FOMC ki aham meeting se pehle USD/JPY jode ke liye kuch rukawaton ka sabab bana.


/JPY joda ek mustaqil barhawah par hai, teen daswaiyon ke daira mein unchaai tak pohanch gaya hai. Ye uthalta howa trend Jumma ko oper ati shak ki wajah se ek waqtan-fa-waqtan trading session ka samna kiya. Agar dollar apne upar ke dabaav ko barqarar rakhta hai, to joda 159.20 level ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aik ahem Fibonacci extension level. Mazeed izafay se ye 34 saal ke unchaai par 160.20 tak pohanch sakta hai, aur ho sakta hai ke ye 200% Fibonacci level tak 163.25 tak pohanch jaye. Dosri taraf, agar USD/JPY bechnay ke dabaav ka samna karta hai, to usay pehle support mil sakta hai joda 156.25 Fibonacci level par. Is level ka torhna ek decline ko start kar sakta hai joda 154.24 level ki taraf, jo ke saptah ke pehle se ghatne wale talab ko rokne wala ahem Fibonacci retracement point tha. Agar ye kamzori jari rahe, to November 2023 ki unchai 151.90 bears ke liye agle bara hurdle ban sakta hai. Aaj ke FOMC meeting ke baad USD/JPY jode ke mustaqbil ki muntazir rasta ko mutasir karne wala aik aham factor hone wala hai.

USDJPY

USDJPY market ne khaas tor par tawajju hasil ki hai, khaaskar halat ke tazadat ko darust karne wali haalat ke nateejay mein. Khaas tor par, kharidne walon ka dabao sirf kuch trading session ke doran shandar asar dikha raha hai, MA100 indicator ko kamiyabi se guzar gaya hai. Yeh tajwez ek aham nateeja paida karta hai: kharidne walon ka maqbool MA100 indicator ko kamiyabi se guzar jana pehle ke bearish trend ka palat jana hai, jise ab bullish manzar mein tabdeel kar diya gaya hai. Iss natayej ke natije mein yeh maana jata hai ke USDJPY market kharidne walon ke kabze mein rehne ke liye tayar hai, jo USDJPY ke qeemat ko mustaqil izafa ki taraf dhamakta hai aur ek mustaqil bullish trend ko barhawa deta hai.

Sath hi, attention ko RSI (14) ke neeche ke indicator par bhi maqsad dya jata hai, jo ke khareedne ka signal mazboot banata hai. Indicator ke mojooda ooper ki taraf ki manzil, overbought limit se duri ke saath, ek long position ka intikhab sabit karta hai. Yeh tajwez dekhte hue, kharidari karne ki sambhavna ko ehsas shuda buland maqami darja diya jata hai, is liye ek long transaction ka aghaz mustahiq hai. Muntazim take profit levels ko channel ke ooper ki boundary ke qareeb set kiya gaya hai, jo ke price quote 157.905 par mojood hai. Jab order munafa ke domain mein dakhil hota hai, to hikmat yeh diktati hai ke market ke umeedon ko nakarne ka mauka mil sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, H4 timeframe par kiye gaye mapping se hasil ki gayi kharidne ka signals ka ehtram karna mustahiq hai. Yeh signals, lamba arsa darust karne wale, kharidne walon ke dabao ke zor par chalte hue maujooda bullish sentiment ke sath milte hain. Iss natayej ke natije mein, USDJPY ke qeemat ko H4 timeframe par ooper ki resistance area ki taraf chadhte hue tajwez kiya jata hai, jo ke 160 ke qeemat par hai. Jab ke yeh chadhao lamba arsa tak jari ho sakta hai, to bullish trend ki lambi dairafti fitrat aise ek manzar ko khaas tor par mumkin bana deta hai.

Summarize karte hue, USDJPY market ke haal ki taza tareen taraqqiyan ek paradijm shift ko dikhate hain, jahan kharidne walon ne apni dominance qaim ki hai aur ek bullish trend ko shuru kiya hai. MA100 indicator ko kamiyabi se guzar kar aur RSI (14) ke supportiv indications se mazboot kiya gaya, market mustaqil izafa ke liye tayar hai. Investors ko buy entry signals ka faida uthana chahiye, bullish momentum ka istemal kar ke muntazam munafa ke levels ki taraf rukh karne ke liye. Lambi dairafti chadhao ke liye wazeh mauqe ke bawajood, mazid bullish trend aise strategies ka qaabil-e-amal hone ko nuqsan se barqarar karta hai.

action dynamics ka gehra samajh zaroori hai. Kya haal hi ki harkat ek neechay ki trend ki jari rahi hai ya ek mojooda reversal ka ishaara hai, yeh mukhtalif factors par munhasir hota hai jo traders ko dekhna zaroori hota hai.Pehli baat, moharrah karobar ka baray mein jaaiz tafseel se nazar daalna zaroori Hi. Maamlaat jaise ke ma'ashiyati peshangoiyan, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies market ke jazbaat aur rukh par asar daal sakti hain. Agar haal hi ki neechay ki harkat market mein mojooda bearish jazbat ke mutabiq ho, toh yeh haqeeqat mein trend ka jari rehna darust kar sakta hai. Dusri baat, qeemat action aur volume patterns kajaiza faraham karta hai. Ek musalsal downtrend aam tor par neechay ki oonchaaiyon aur neeche ki ghataon ke sath jata hai, jo barhate hue farokht ki dabaavat se sath hota hai jo barhate hue trading volumes mein zahir hoti hai. Mutabiqat ke doosri suraagh mehez, ek qayam shuda pattern ke tootne ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jaise ke price aur momentum indicators mein bullish divergence ya farokht volume mein aik khaas izafa. Teesri baat, ahem support aur resistance levels kajaiza zaroori hai. Agar price ek ahem support level ke qareeb pohanchti hai aur bar bar is se neeche girne mein kamyabi nahi milti, toh yeh ishaara ho sakta hai ke farokht ki dabaavat kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, jo aik reversal ka rasta ban sakta hai. Mutasira ho gaya hai. Yaksan, agar aik ahem support level ko yaqeenan tor par toor diya jaata hai, toh yeh neechay ki trend ko maxil kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators ko shamil karna mazeed taweez ya mukhtalif signals faraham kar sakta hai. Maslan, short-term moving averages ke long-term ke upar aik bullish crossover ya aik ahem support level par reversal candlestick pattern, aik potential reversal ke liye case ko mazboot kar sakta hai.Traders ke liye ahem hai ke wo chaukanna rahein aur sirf aik indicator ya signal par itmad na karein. Market shara'it bari tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, aur ghalat signals aam hain. Is liye, mukhtalif tajziyaati aalaat aur techniques ka istemal kar ke trading decisions ko tasdiq karna aur ghalat fehmi ka khatra kam karna madde nazar hai. Aakhir mein, yeh tajziya kehna ke haal hi ki market harkat ek downtrend ka jari rehna hai ya ek potential reversal ka ishaara hai, mukhtalif factors ki comprehensive analysis ko zaroori hai jin mein market context, qeemat action, volume patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur technical indicators shamil hain. In factors ko musahida karte hue, traders market mein potential opportunities ko faida uthane ke liye mutasir decisions le sakte hain aur apni strategies ko us ke mutabiq adjust

USD/JPY Technical Analysis.

USD/JPY jodi kal ek shaant din tha, thora sa
izafa hua sath hi sir ke oopar thori si lambayi. Aaj bhi top ko thoda neeche daba diya gaya, abhi tak bhaloo ke liye umeedon ki bohot kam wajah hai. Unho ne bhi keemat ko samjha aur bilkul upar reh gaye. Neeche utarne ki koshishen foran ruk jaati hain. Wave structure apni tarteeb ko oopar ki taraf bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line se ooper hai. Magar CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai, abhi abhi is ne upper zone ko upar se neeche cross kiya hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf girne ke imkan ko barha deta hai. Magar zahir hai ke wo abhi tak maximum ko thora sa update kar sakte hain. Ek kamzorai ke doraan kam honay ki koshish hui jis mein keemat ne pehla ahem support level 153.40 tak pohanch gayi aur jaise ke chunni gayi ho, keemat is ilaqa se phir se upar chali gayi. Main ab bhi ek islaahi giravat ka intezar karta hoon jo 151.90 ke darje ke aspaas hai, yeh sirf aik level nahi hai, balkay yahan mukhya tadak level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ke liye maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat ne isay lagbhag aik mahine tak neeche dabaya hua hai, isay barhne ka hosla nahi darya. Magar ab bhi main yeh samajhta hoon ke wo ise aik magnet ki tarah apni taraf khichenge, torhne ke baad ek ulta test zaroori hai, chahe hum naye bulandiyon tak bhi chale jayein jo terminal ki puri tareekh mein kabhi nahi dekhi gayi hain. Jab tak yeh wapas giravat maujood na ho, aap khareed nahi sakte; aap market ke bilkul upar ko pakad sakte hain. Yeh zahir hai ke yahan aik critical peak hai, spring ko dabaya gaya hai aur aik jungli giravat ho sakti hai. Meri ray mein, yahan par H4 par ek mirror level ka banne ka intezar karna chahiye ya kam az kam H1 par, keemat ke izaaf ke kinare par, taake support resistance mein badal jaaye aur ek islaahi wapas giravat ki taraf nishana lagaya jaye 151.90 ke ilaqa tak. H4 par, jab mojooda top ko update kiya gaya, to MACD indicator par aik bearish divergence bana, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap nahi bechte, to aap bilkul khareed nahi sakte. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi ahem iqtisadi khabrein nahi hain.


Jab moving average daam ke neeche rehta hai, to hume giravat se bachne ke liye khareedne ki tajweez hai. Dusra MACD indicator hamari khareedne ki stance ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai, jabki oscillator ka histogram 0 ke ooper hota hai to yeh nafa ka imkan darust karta hai. Hum 154.48 se bullish trend-based raasta ka tajziya karte hain, aur yeh market mein munafa hasil karne ka ek mufeed waqt hai. Humen mashwara hai ke nuksan ko had mein rakhein aur 154.29 par set stop karein, jo take profit level 155.08 ke teen guna kam hai. Pichle kuch ghanton mein, USD/JPY jodi ne ek mustaqil upar ki taraf rukh dikhaya hai, khaaskar hourly waqt frame mein. Uska raasta numaya tha, aur aaj ki performance ne naye urooj ko dekha hai.

USD/JPY ka technical tajziya.
USD/JPY pair kal ek sakoon wala din tha, thori si izafah ke saath sar ke oopar ki halki phelayi. Aaj bhi sar ko thora neeche daba diya gaya, abhi tak bearish ke liye koi zyada ummeed nahi hai. Woh bhi keemat samajh gaye aur bilkul sar par reh gaye. Neeche jaane ki koshishen foran rok di jaati hain. Lahron ki tarteeb oopar ki taraf jaari hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke oopar hai. Magar CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai, haal hi mein upper zone se neeche se guzra hai, yeh neeche ki taraf jana ka imkaan barhata hai. Magar zahir hai ke woh abhi tak maximum ko thora sa update kar sakte hain. Ek kami ki koshish hui jis mein keemat ne pehla ahem support level 153.40 tak pohanch gaya, aur jaise hi kaat gya, keemat phir se upar ki taraf daud gayi. Main ab bhi taqreebati kami ka intezar kar raha hoon jo keemat ko 151.90 ke aspas le aaye, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yeh yahan ka mukhya jheel hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat ne ek mahine tak is ke neeche dabaya tha, bahar nikalne ki himmat nahi ki. Magar ab woh yahan se lautna nahi chahti. Magar main ab bhi samajhta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah khichenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, chahein woh aage naye unchayon tak jaayein jo terminal ke poori tareekh mein kabhi nahi dekhi gayi hain. Jab tak yeh wapas nahi hota, aap na khariden; aap market ka seedha sar pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahan ek nihayati nishaan hai, spring ne daboch liya hai aur ek jungli girawat ho sakti hai. Mere khayal mein, yahan H4 par ek bearish divergence bana MACD indicator par, yeh ek wajah hai ke agar aap nahi bechte, to aap zaroor nahi khariden. Aaj ki economic calendar mein koi ahem economic khabar nahi hai.

Jaise ke moving average keemat ke neeche rehta hai, hume bechne ka mashwara dete hain kyunke yeh kamiyon se bachata hai. Dusra MACD indicator hamara bechna ka nazariya aur bhi mazboot karta hai, jahan tak ke oscillator ka histogram 0 ke upar hai jo munafa ki sambhavna darust karta hai. Hum 154.48 se shuru hone wali ek bullish trend-based manzil ki umeed rakhte hain, aur yeh market mein munafa ke liye anokha waqt hai. Humne nuqsaan ko had tak mehdood karne ka mashwara diya hai jo keemat 154.29 par set kiya gaya hai, take profit level 155.08 se teen guna kam hai. Pichle kuch ghanton mein, USD/JPY pair ne ek mustaqil urooj trend dikhaya hai, khaaskar ghanton ki time frame mein. Uski manzil ka safar dekhnay layak hai, aur aaj ki performace ne usay naye unchaiyon tak pohanchaya hai.