USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ka qeemat ab 154.55 zone ke aas paas chal rahi hai. Aur khareeddaar apni nuqsan ko cover kar rahe hain. Hum keh sakte hain ke yeh manzar ek correction process hai. Is ke baad, bechnay walay wapas aa sakte hain aur qeemat ko 154.00 zone ke neeche le ja sakte hain baad mein. Mazeed, tawaqo aksar kamiyabi ka raaz hoti hai. Market trends ko shakl dene wale maaloomat ka musalsal izafa hone ke sath, traders ko hamesha mutawazi rehna chahiye, jo ke agle maaloomat ka agla toofan jo mumkin hai, jis se moka ka manzar badal sakta hai, ke liye hamesha tayar rehte hain. Is liye, agle aanay wali khabron ka aitbaar sirf ek ehtiyaat bardaasht nahi hai; balkay yeh aaj ke tezi se guzar rahe trading mahol mein aik str


ategic zaroorat hai. USD/JPY ke mojooda market ke mutabiq, barhtay khareeddaar dabao ki maujoodgi ki nishandahi aaj ke market ki jazbat ko tasdiq karti hai. Is pas-e-pusht, forokht karne walon ko apne aapko ek khatre mein paate hain, jis se trading ke liye ehtiyaat aur strategy ki zaroorat hoti hai. Maaloomat ke anay wale data ka faida uthate hue aur kharidari taraf ki trades ki positioning ke zariye, traders faizmand market conditions ka faida utha sakte hain aur wapas hasil kar sakte hain. Ek aqalmand take-profit strategy aur aa rahe mauqe par chokas nazar rakh kar, is manzar mein safar ka kamyabi ka dair-o-dewaar istifadah adaptability, peeshangoi, aur mustaqil amal par mabni hota hai. USD/JPY ke market ke support zone 154.00 ko baad mein mumkin hai ke guzar jaye ga. Magar, humein USD/JPY se mutaliq aanay wali khabron par nazar rakhni chahiye. Mazeed, khareeddaar dabao ke musalsal barhne ka saath ek saboot hai ke muasir khareeddaar jazbat ki mojoodgi ko tasdiq karti hai. Is mustaqil aur bharak uthne wale barhne wale dabaav ka ishare hai ke abwaab mein mojood hassasiyat ko neeyat karta hai. Khareeddaar aur bechnay walay dynamics ka tanasub market ki shirayon ko dekhti hui awr aanay wale khabron ka izhaar karte hain. Main ummeed karta hoon ke USD/JPY ke market US trading session ke doran girne lage ga

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair abhi khareedne walon ki taraf se ek bullsih asar ka samna hai. Ye ek moqa hai ke long positions kholne ka ghor kiya jaaye. 1 ghante ka time frame dekh kar, traders ko 154.827 par aik ahem resistance level ka pata chalta hai. Ye level faida lenay ke liye ek maqsad ki tarah hai, jahan traders ko sabhi mojudah long positions ko band karne ka tawajjo dena chahiye. Khaas tor par trading strategies par ghaur karne se pehle, abwaqt hai ke mojooda market ke haalaat ko samajhna zaroori hai jo USD/JPY currency pair par asar daal raha hai. Taaza tajziya ke mutabiq, khareedne walay ziada asar andaz hain, jo market mein ek bullish jazba ka izhar karta hai. Ye darust karta hai ke long positions shuru karne ke liye ek behtareen mahol hai, jo ke ooncha rukh istemal karne ka faida utha sakte hain. H4 timeframe mein zoom karne se USD/JPY currency pair ke andar ke daam ghoomne aur ahem levels ke baare mein ahem maloomat milti hai. Ab mojooda mein ooper ka resistance level nazar aata hai jo 154.827 par hai. Ye level do maqsad ada karta hai: pehla, ye mazeed oopri harkat ke liye aik nafsiyati rukawat ka kaam karta hai, aur doosra, ye faida uthane ka aik maqsad darust karta hai.

Positions kholne ka matlab mojooda market ke dynamics ke saath milta hai, jo ke traders ko ooncha rukh istemal karne ki anumati deta hai. Magar zaroori hai ke risk management ke tadabeer ka amal kiya jaaye aur wazeh faida lenay ke maqasid qaim kiye jaayein. Trading mein, risk management mustaqbil ki kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Kisi bhi position mein dakhli hone se pehle, traders ko apni risk bardasht ka andaza lagana chahiye aur munasib position sizes qaim karna chahiye. Ye is baat ko darust karta hai ke mumkinah nuqsan ko qudrat yafta hadood mein rakha ja sake, halaat ke aksar ulte hone par bhi. Is ke ilawa, key support levels ke neeche stop-loss orders qaim karna maazid nuqsanat ko kam karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Jab USD/JPY currency pair 154.827 par ooper ka resistance level nazdeek aata hai, traders ko fayda uthane ke kargar tareeqon ka ta'aluk banana zaroori hai. Aik tareeqa ye hai ke daam is level tak pohnchte huye dheere-dheere long positions ko band kiya jaaye, rupyon ko rakh kar. Digar tareeqa ye hai ke jab daam resistance level tak pohnchta hai, to mojoodah long positions ko band kiya jaaye, faiday ko muntaqil kar ke aur mojoodah mojoodah market ke haalaat ko dobara dekhein.

USD/JPY currency pair ab moment mein kharidarun ki taraf se bullish asar ka samna kar rahi hai. Yeh aik moqa hai ke lambi positions kholne ka ghoor kiya jaye. 1 ghantay ka waqt frame ka tajziya kar ke, karobarion ko 154.827 par aham rukawat ka pata lagaya ja sakta hai. Yeh level faida hasil karne ke liye maqsad ka kaam karta hai, jahan karobarion ko tamaam mojooda lambi positions band karne ka ghoor karna chahiye. Khas trading strategies mein dakhil hone se pehle, zaroori hai ke USD/JPY currency pair ko mutadid market conditions ka asar samajhna. Taaza tajziya ke mutabiq, kharidar significant asar daal rahe hain, jo ke market mein bullish jazbaat ko darust kar raha hai. Yeh daryaft karata hai ke ooncha samay lambi positions ki ibtida ke liye moqamiat ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai, oopar ki raftar ka faida utha kar. H4 waqt frame mein zoom kar ke, USD/JPY currency pair ke daam gharelo harkat aur ahem levels ke baray mein ahem maloomat faraham karta hai. Ab, ooncha rukawat level numainda taur par 154.827 par qaim hai. Yeh level do kaam ki rukawat ka kaam karta hai




Moujooda market dynamics, jo karobarion ko oopri raftar par sawar hone ki ijaazat deta hai. Magar, risk management tadabeer ko amal mein laana aur wazeh munafa lenay ke maqasid qaim karna ahem hai. Trading mein, risk management lambay arsay tak kamiyabi ke liye intehai zaroori hai. Kisi bhi position mein dakhil honay se pehle, karobarion ko apni risk bardasht ka jaiza lena chahiye aur munasib positions ki qaim karna zaroori hai. Yeh yaqeeni banata hai ke mumkinah nuqsaanat ko qaboo mein rakha ja sakay, hata ke mukhalif daam harkat ki surat mein bhi. Mazeed, ahem support levels ke neeche stop-loss orders ka qaim karna neeche ke risk ko kam karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Jab USD/JPY currency pair ooncha rukawat level 154.827 tak pohnchta hai, to karobarion ko mufeed munafa lenay ki strategies tayyar karni chahiye. Ek tareeqa yeh hai ke daam is level ke qareeb pohnchta hai to lambi positions ko dhaire dhaire band kar diya jaaye, safar ke doran munafa hasil karna. Doosra, karobarion ko mumkinah hotay hi saari mojooda lambi positions band karne ka intikhab karne diya jaaye jab daam rukawat level tak pohnchta hai, faida hasil kar ke aur mazeed opportunities ke liye market ke sharaait ko dobara tajziya kiya jaaye.

Outlook for USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
Char-ghante ke chart par dollar/yen ke jode ki naqal o harkat ko dekhte hue, mujhe yah tasleem karna chahiye keh maujudah izafa meri tawaqqo se qabile gaur sabit hua. Mujhe lagta hai keh qimat 155.00 ki satah se gir jayegi. Jab tak qimat 158.00 ki satah ke qarib pichle muqami buland satah ko update nahin karti, tab tak suratehal bears ke liye khatarnak nahin hogi. Halankeh, mujhe nahin lagta hai keh yah mumkin hai. Chunkeh qimat ooper ki taraf badhi hai, lehaza niche ke hadaf ko bhi ooper ki taraf revise ki gayi hai.
Is waqt, dollar/yen ki jodi 155.25 par trade kar rahi hai. Qimat TMA indicator ki oopri line ka test kar rahi hai, is tarah bulls ko 155.75 par naya hadaf muqarrar karne ki ijazat milti hai.
Takniki nuqtah nazar se, Stochastic aur ZigZag indicators overbought conditions aur ooper ki taraf islah ke ikhtetam ko zahir kar rahe hain. Halankeh, traders ko naye chote order kholte waqt traders ko muhtat rahna chahiye.
156.80 ke qarib pending orders ka tasfiyah karna ya girawat ki surat me market par amal karte hue positions kholna behtar hai.
Niche ki lahar ki surat me, hadaf 152.75 ki support satah aur April ki shuruaat me record ki gayi qimaton par waqe honge. Suratehal zahir karegi keh aaya bears zyada gahraayi me fisalne ke liye taiyar hai ya nahin.

USD/JPY ke liye correction mode ka imkaan hai, jo market mein volatility aur uncertainty ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is tarah ki situation mein, traders aur investors ko market ki movement ka dhyaan rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar agar woh important support level ko monitor kar rahe hain jo 155.62 hai. Correction mode mein, ek currency pair ya kisi bhi financial instrument ki keemat mein temporary decline hoti hai. Ye decline normal market fluctuations ka hissa hota hai aur kabhi-kabhi ye ek trend reversal ki shuruaat bhi ho sakta hai. USD/JPY ke case mein, agar correction mode shuru hota hai, toh iska impact market mein volatility aur uncertainty badha sakta hai. Is tarah ki situations mein, traders aur investors ko chahiye ki woh market ki movement ko closely monitor karein. Technical analysis ka istemal karke, woh important support aur resistance levels ko identify kar sakte hain. USD/JPY mein, ek important support level 155.62 hai, jo ki ek crucial level hai jise traders aur investors ko dhyaan mein rakhna chahiye. Agar USD/JPY ka rate is support level ke neeche jaata hai, toh ye indicate kar sakta hai ki market mein bearish pressure badh rahi hai aur further decline ki sambhavna hai. Is situation mein, traders ko apne trading strategies ko adjust karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jaise stop-loss orders lagana ya positions ko hedge karna. Saath hi, fundamental analysis bhi important hoti hai. USD/JPY ke case mein, economic indicators aur geopolitical events ka bhi impact ho sakta hai. For example, agar US dollar ki value kam hoti hai ya phir Japan ke economy mein koi negative news aati hai, toh ye USD/JPY pair par bearish pressure daal sakta hai. Lekin, correction mode ka matlab ye nahi hai ki market mein sirf negative movement hi hogi. Kabhi-kabhi, correction periods mein bhi opportunities hote hain. Agar traders ko market ki movement ko sahi tarah se samajh aa gaya hai, toh woh is samay mein bhi profit earn kar sakte hain. Isi liye, market analysis aur risk management ka importance hamesha hota hai, chahe market bullish ho ya phir bearish. Overall, USD/JPY ke liye correction mode ka imkaan hai, jo market mein volatility aur uncertainty ka sabab ban sakta hai. Traders aur investors ko chahiye ki woh market ki movement ko closely monitor karein aur apne trading strategies ko adjust karein, khaaskar important support level jaise 155.62 ko dhyaan mein rakhte hue.

Mangalwar (7 May) ko, American dollar aksar currencies ke muqable mein barh gaya aur din bhar barqarar taraqqi ki. American dollar ne Japani yen ke muqable mein bhi doosre mubadlaati din barh kar 0.55% ke hisaab se 154.73 par pohanch gaya.
Pichle haftay ke Federal Reserve policy meeting aur ek naqabile itminaan American employment report ke baad, is saal do darjat ki sarmaya dar ki ummeedon mein izafa ho gaya hai. Bank of Japan ki moasir madad ke saath, USD/JPY ne tez aarziyaan dekhi hain. Magar, Federal Reserve ke amli Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne Milken Institute conference mein kaha ke aitemad-e-bahami mein rukawat a gai hai aur aitemad mazid buland hai, iska ek hissa gharoon ke mustaqbil par, jiska matlab hai ke Fed ko "tawil muddat tak" kaam karna parega. "Borrowing costs ko waqt ke saath mustaqil rakhein, aur shayad saal ke doran bhi."

Magar yaad rakha jaana chahiye ke Japan ke Wazir e Khazana ke maali officer Makoto Kanda ne kaha ke Japan ko kisi bhi be-intiha aur khuwari foreign exchange harkaton ke khilaf action lena pad sakta hai, jo ishara karta hai ke Bank of Japan ab bhi market mein dakhal denay ke liye tayyar hai. Bank of Japan ka aitemad dakhal ke progress ko ek had tak mehdood karega aur shayad thandak daalne ka asar hoga.

Technical graphics ke lehaz se, USD/JPY ab bhi oversold rebound ke darmiyan hai, aur upper side ko 155 ke qarz ki muhafizat par tawajjuh deni chahiye, jo ke lamha ba lamha zikr ki gayi hai. Agar is se upar nikal jata hai, to American dollar ko mazeed unchiyon ki talash hoti hai; agar rukawat ka saamna hota hai, to American dollar mein mazeed gehri sudhaar se ihtiyaat rakhi jani chahiye.

USDJPY MARKET ANALYSIS
Tuesday (7 May) ko, U.S. dollar doosri currencies ke khilaf barh gaya aur din bhar barqarar taraqqi se barh raha raha. U.S. dollar ne doosre musalsal trading din Japanese yen ke khilaf bhi mazbooti dikhayi, jo 154.73 tak 0.55% izafa hua.

Pichle haftay ke Federal Reserve policy meeting aur ek kamzor U.S. employment report ke baad, is saal do darjaat ki interest rate cuts ke liye market ki umeedein barh gayi hain. Bank of Japan ki timely intervention ke saath mil kar, USD/JPY ne tezi se wapas le lena tajurba kiya. Magar, Federal Reserve ke aham sadar Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne Milken Institute conference mein kaha ke inflations ka progress ruk gaya hai aur inflations abhi bhi mukhtalif wajohat ki wajah se buland hai, jo ke ghar banane ki market mein izafa hone ki wajah se hai, iska matlab hai ke Fed ko "aik lambay arsay tak" kaam karna parega. "Borrowing costs ko waqt ke sath mustaqil rakhna, aur shayad saal bhar ke doran bhi."

Magar, yaad rakha jana chahiye ke Japanese Ministry of Finance ke maali officer Makoto Kanda ne kaha ke Japan ko kisi bhi be tarteeb aur tajziyaati foreign exchange harkat ke khilaf action lena ho sakta hai, iska matlab hai ke Bank of Japan abhi bhi market mein intervene ke liye tayar hai. Bank of Japan ka ye irada arbitrage trading ka progress kisi had tak mehdood kardega aur thanda karne ka asar hoga.

Technical graphics ke lehaz se, USD/JPY abhi bhi oversold rebound mein hai, aur upper side ko 155 ke resistance par tawajjo deni chahiye, jo ke lambay aur chhote ke darmiyan aik aham had hai. Agar ye ooper se guzar jata hai, to U.S. dollar ko mazeed bulandiyan talash karne ki umeed hai; agar yahan rukawat aaye, to U.S. dollar mein mazeed gehri correction ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

" Har indicator apni faiday aur nuqsanat rakhta hai. USDJPY pair par, Ichimoku indicator quwwat dikhata hai, jahan market 155.203 level par trade ho rahi hai, Senkou Span A 154.111 aur Senkou Span B 153.225 lines ke oopar. Madhyam-muddat ke izafay par nazar rakhte hue kharidari karne wale is ilaqe ko 'cloud' kehte hain. Main kharidari ka tajziya kar raha hoon aur ye try karunga ke indicators doosra signal na dein jab tak. Kamzor pehlu Tenkan-sen 154.912 aur Kijun-sen 154.623 lines ke milti-julti ka nishaan hai, jo tanazzul ke liye mohtaat hain aur penetration ke baghair signals wapas karain ge. Ye product (jo ke "Golden Cross" ke naam se bhi mashhoor hai) khareedne ke liye bohot hi qabil-e-qadar hai. In signals ke milaap ko taqatwar bullish signal samjha jata hai, is liye izafay ki umeed hai. Mujhe paisa kamana hai. Mere paas sirf paisa kamana hai. Jab waqt aya ke cloud ke liye wapas jana tha, main ne tijarat band kar di.
Subah bakhair sabko!

USD/JPY pair ne Asian session mein chhota sa izafa kiya. Yen phir se baray currencies ke khilaf gir gaya. Mukhtalif factors ne Japanese yen ko neecha daba diya hai. Khaaskar, investors ko yakeen nahi hai ke Japan ki maeeshat barhegi. Pair bhi US dollar ke dynamics ke mutabiq izafa kar raha hai. Yen par izafi dabao Federal Reserve ki monetary policy se bhi ata hai. Is pair ke liye, din ke pehle hisse mein kuch neechay ki tajaweezain ho sakti hain, lekin kul mila kar, main umeed karta hoon ke izafa jari rahega. Bullion ne is currency pair par poora control qaim kiya. Ek mawafiqat ka waqt 154.25 level hai, jis ke oopar main kharidari karunga, 156.25 aur 156.75 levels ko nishaan banate hue. Pair neeche jayega, 154.25 level ke oopar tootega, phir milayega, phir raasta khulega 153.75 aur 153.25 levels tak.

pair hal kuch dino ke baad shumali taraf lautne ke baad tay shumali rukh par chal diya. Tezi se farokht ki dabao ki alaamat ke tor par, aik puri bearish candlestick ban gayi, jo aik niche ke rukh ki isharat di, jo pichle din ke range ka minimum se neeche reh gaya.

Technical analysis ko potential trends ki pehchan aur market ke harek pher se samajhne ke liye ahem maana jata hai. Yeh context farokht ki taraf market ki tasneef mein ahem tabdili ki isharat deti hai jab aik puri bearish candlestick ban jati hai. Is candlestick pattern mein, band hone wali keemat shuru hone wali keemat se kafi kam hoti hai, jo shuru hone wali aur band hone wali keemat ke darmiyan kafi bara fasla batati hai. Aik bearish candlestick jo pichle din ke range ke minimum se neeche rehta hai, tezi se farokht ki dabao ki alaamat hai aur trend mein ulta pherna bhi ho sakta hai.


Iske ilawa, candlestick pichle din ke range ke minimum se neeche reh gaya, jo niche ke pherne ko credibility jodta hai. Is natije mein, na sirf farokht ki dabao session ko dominat ki, balkay yeh bhi keemat ko unke peechle low se neeche girne ki ijazat di. Iss tarah, farokht karne wale EUR/JPY ke keemat ko notice karte hain, jo market dynamics mein ahem tabdili ki isharat hai.
Euro aur yen ke darmiyan exchange rates, Japan aur Eurozone ke official currencies, forex market mein widey trade hoti hain. Economic growth, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies in dono currencies ke darmiyan dynamics ko affect karte hain. Finance data releases, geopolitical tensions, aur market sentiment mein tabdiliyan, EUR/JPY pair mein dekhi gayi ulte pherne ko influence kar sakti hain. Traders dono regions mein developments ko closely monitor karte hain takay har currency ki relative strength ko assess kiya ja sake aur uske exchange rate mein potential shifts ko anticipate kiya ja sake. Maslan, Eurozone economy mein unexpected developments, jaise ke disappointing economic indicators aur political stability ke concerns, investors ko unke euro positions ko reevaluate karne par majboor kar sakte hain, jo farokht positions mein izafa kar sakta hai.
Iss ulte pherne ke natije mein, traders aur investors ne apne trading strategies ko naye market dynamics par capitalize karne ke liye adjust kiya ho sakta hai, jo EUR/JPY pair aur broad market trends, jaise ke risk appetite mein tabdili ya doosre currency pairs ke movement mein changes, par asar daal sakte hain

USD/JPY Chart Review:

USD/JPY

Trading activity ko Jumeraat ko koi significant movement na mila USD/JPY currency pair ke liye. Is natije mein, ye apni position ko pehle session se weekend ke doran barqarar rakha, jari hai ek consolidation phase ke andar jo ke 151.40 level ke ird gird mabni hai. Halankeh, mujhe ab USD/JPY quotes mein potential izafa ka intizar hai, jo ke is pair ki haal hi ki bulandiyon ko update kar sakta hai 152.06 par aur shayad ise 152 level ke darmiyan ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Aise harkat se 153.18 level ki taraf ka rasta saaf ho sakta hai, lekin iske aage ke rukh ka mustaqbil ghaib hai. Lekin, in darustiyon tak puhanchne ke baad is currency pair ke rukh mein palatne ki mumkinat ka iqrar zaroori hai. Agar keemat 151.98 ke resistance se oopar jaati hai, to hum mazeed umeed kar sakte hain ke agle nishanay ke iradah ke liye 160.87 ki taraf aur phir iske baad, main keemat ko oopar laane ke baad 170.76 ke tootne wale resistance ke baad keemat upar ja sakti hai.

Agar 152.06 level ke upar se breakout hota hai, toh ziada buying pressure ki umeed hai, jo ke pair ko ooncha le ja sakta hai. Lekin, ehtiyaat baratne ke liye zaroori hai aur qareebi shuruaat ya palatne ke patterns ke liye qeemat ke amal ko nazar andaz karne ke liye prices ko nazdeek se dekhna zaroori hai. Niche ki taraf, agar pair upar le jane ki raftar ko barqarar rakhne mein kami hoti hai aur bechnay ki dabaw ka samna karta hai, toh ye apni mojooda leval se wapis ho sakta hai. Aise surat mein, traders ko ahem support levels par tawajjo deni chahiye, jaise ke 151.40 level, jo ke mazeed girawat ke khilaf ek ahem rokna kar sakta hai. Kul milake, hal hi ki consolidation phase traders ke liye market ke dynamics aur potential future directions ka jayeza lene ka mouqa deta hai, lekin forex trading mein mojoodah tawaqo mein bhaariyat rakhne ke liye zaroori hai aur strategies ko iske mutabiq adjust karne ke liye.

US dollar ki keemat British pound, euro aur doosri badi currencies ke muqable mein qareeb-e-qareeb unchi satah par qaim rahi, jab ke mazeed taqatwar ma'ashi daleelat ke baad. Mutabiq, US dollar ki keemat Japanese yen ke muqable mein (USD/JPY) record tor par bulandi par rahi aur 154.76 resistance level ki taraf barhti rahi, jo ke 34 saalon ki bulandi hai. Japan ki taraf se sirf zaban se mukhalifana dakhal ka silsila jari raha, yen ki keemat ke girne ka raasta, buland trend jaari raha aur dollar ke fayde yen ke muqable mein rukne ka koi aasar nahi tha. Japani. Mehfooz Inflation daro aur US jobs ke muntakhib figures ke baad, jo ke US dollar ki keemat ko paanch mahinay ki bulandi tak pohanchane mein madad ki, dollar ke liye musbat mawaadon ka momentum barh gaya, ma'ashi calendar ke data ke natayej ke mutabiq. Elaan kiya gaya ke US ke retail sales maheenay ke ahwaal mein 0.7% tak barh gayi, yani ke market ki tawaqo se zyada double 0.3% figure.
Is ke ilawa, ishtihar ke mutabiq, retail sales ka control group measure - jo petrol, gariyan, khidmat e khana aur tameeri materials ko shamil nahi karta - March mein 1.1% tak barh gaya, jis se 0.4% ki tawaqo se zyada ke imkanat ko peechay chor diya. Dukaanon, online sellers aur restaurants mein puri iqsam ke total revenue ne maheenay ke ahwaal mein 0.7% tak tezi se barhna jari rakha, jo ke pichle saal ke muqable mein 2.4% saalana barh gaya. Ada ki gayi qeemat ka hissa pehle May se oonchi satahon tak pohanch gaya, jo ke saboot ke mutabiq United States of America mein inflation daro mein dobara tezi se barh rahi hai.

Aam tor par, Federal Reserve ke US interest rate cuts ki tadaad ke liye market ki tawaqoat 2024 mein tezi se ghat gayi hain, jab ke Société Générale aakhri badi institution thi jo is ko warn kiya ke ab wo Federal Reserve se 2020 mein interest rate cuts ka intezar nahi karti hai. 2024

Isi doran, ye tawaqo ki tabdeeli ke darmiyan US dollar ke tabadlay ke dar barh gaye, jab ke stock markets dabao mein aagaye. Is par tajziya karte hue, MUFG Bank Ltd ke Forex market analyst Derek Halpenny kehte hain: "US dollar ki mazeed qeemat mein izafa ka raasta yahan se saaf hai, jab ke US CPI data bazaar ko bank ki pehli interest rate cut ki shuru hone ki timing ko dobara sochnay par majboor karta hai.

Ek ahem signal ubhar aata hai jab 154.12 ka darwaza tora jata hai, iske baad jab ye point ke neeche jamav hojata hai, yeh darust waqt hai sochnay ka keh farokht ka waqt aaya hai. Downtrend ke dobara shuru hone se pehle thora sa upar ki tezigi ka intezar karte hue, samajhdar taur par tayyari karni chahiye ke giravat ka silsila 153.15 ke darjay ke baad jaari rahega. Mazeed strategy ki raushni mein pata chalta hai ke 153.00 ka nishaan kitna ahem hai. Is mukammal kamzori ka tod karne aur is local minimum ke neeche jamav karne se farokht ke liye ek behtareen mauqa pesh ata hai, khas tor par agar market ne neeche ka rujhan dikhaya ho. Ye juncture market ke rukh ka faida uthane ke liye ek faida mand entry point darust karta hai. Iske ilawa, kisi bhi mumkin upward impulses ke liye chaukanna rehna lazmi hai. Halankeh waqtan fa waqt upar ki tezigi ho sakti hai, lekin mukhtasar rukh ke mutabiq, barqarar rukh ka intezar hai. American session ke opening mein market ka nigrani rakhna ahem hai, kyunkeh agar koi bhi upar ki tezigi na ho, to yeh yeh dawam rahe waqai rukh ko sabit karta hai. Agar keemat in darajat tak pohanchti hai, to yahan se ek rukh ya upar ki harkat ka imkan hai, jo karobari faislo mein complexity ko barhata hai. Waqt ki ahmiyat ko zaroorat se zyada zor dena, bechne ka moqa sahi waqt par milta hai jab 153.70 ke local minimum ko tora jata hai aur is ke darjay is ke neeche baqi rehtay hain. Yeh strategy hamare market dynamics par mutabiq hai, jo ke rukh aur trends ko behtareen tor par faida uthane ka ahd karata hai. Ikhtitami tor par, mojudah market ke manzar mein tajziyat se bhara faida mand farokht ka mauqa mojood hai, jo tafseeli tajziya aur waqtan fa waqt karwai ke zariye wazeh hota hai

Market dynamics ke mushkil aloodgi ko dekhte hue, is fluctuation ko shakal dene wali finesse mein gehri gahrai mein dakhil hona zaroori hai. Pehle to, chalo zikar hai upar darj zail darajat ke ahmiyat ki. 153.70 aur 154.80 ke darmiyan ka fasla ek ahem maidaan-e-jang ka kaam karta hai, jo market ke hilne dholne ko ek tang range mein band kar deta hai. Is fasle ne khareedne wale aur farokht karne wale dono ko numaindagi ke liye, jis se asaas darjen mein murah dekha ja sakta hai. Is range ke andar, 154.12 ka tor ek rukh mein tabdil hone ki nishani hai, jis se farokht karne wale ka faisla ho jata hai. Yeh tor sirf ek nafsiyati dabaav ka tor nahi hai, balkay ek takneeki nazuk nukaar hai, jis se traders naye bearish momentum ko dekh kar farokht karne ki dabao mein aate hain

USD/JPY apni jeetne wali daur mein phail gaya, jab Federal Reserve ki monetary policy par tang fehmi thi. Fed ke Kashkari ne buland darjat ke keemat ko qaaim rehne ka intezar karte hain aur mazeed keemat barhane ka intezar nahin kiya ja sakta. Japani authorities ke dabav ke bawajood, Japanese yen ki qeemat gir gayi. USD/JPY Budh ke early European session mein 155.30 ke qareeb trade kiya, jo teesri muddat mein faida dar muddat darust kar raha tha. Dollar ki qeemat Federal Reserve ke buland darjat ke imkaan par barh gayi. Is ke ilawa, Minneapolis Fed ke Sadar Neel Kashkari ke bullish comments ne hare rang ke sath diya, jo USD/JPY jodi ko barha diya. Reuters ne Tuesday ko report kiya ke Sadar Kashkari ke taqreeban tabadlay par tawaqo ki wajah se buland darjat ke liye tabdeel hone ki umeed hai. Halan ke darjat ki barhish ka imkaan kam hai, lekin poori tarah se rad nahi kiya gaya hai.
Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Richmond Federal Reserve ke Sadar Thomas Barkin ne peer ko kaha ke darjat ki barhish amreki ma'ashi growh ko rok sakti hai. Magar, buland darjat ki madad se mahangi daab ko kam kar sakti hai, jo ke markazi bank ke 2% maqsood ke qareeb le aati hai.

Pichle haftay, Japanese yen mein izafa dekha gaya speculation ke daira mein ke Japani authorities ke intervention ka mumkinah hai. Reuters ne Bank of Japan se data darust kiya ke Japanese authorities ne 29 April ko kareeb 6.0 trillion yen aur 1 May ko 3.66 trillion yen ko JPY ko support karne ke liye alag kar diya. Magar, Japan aur United States ke darmiyan darjat ki wazeh farq ke bawajood, ye interventions sirf waqtan-fa-waqtan rahat faraham kar sakti hain. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne warning dohrayi ke authorities behtar taur par jawabi foreign exchange volatility ka jawab denay ke liye tayar hain, jab ke Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Yoda ne tasleem ki keh wo darust niti fazool tabdeeliyon ka faisla karne ke liye istemal karte hain. Ham currency ki harkat ka asar jaiza karenge.

USDJPY Chart Tahlil Ka Jaiza:

Is se, ye ishara deta hai ke zyada tar USD/JPY ki tashfeeq shayad pehle se hi ho chuki hai jaise ke US daro ki tajdeed mein taizi se wazeh ho gayi hai. Aam tor par saal ke agle hisse mein bias kam rehta hai, lekin kafi zyada nahi. Sochte hain ke saal ke ikhtitami daira ghatao ke lehaz se mid se le kar high 130s tak ja sakta hai, agar ek sakht crash dekha jaye to jo pair pre-pandemic levels par laut sakta hai. 140.80 pehla neeche ka level hai jo dekha jaye ga, khaaskar is saal kai moqon par 50 hafton ka moving average ke qareeb honay ki wajah se. Neeche, 137.70 ko 12 mahinon se zyada ka waqt guzra hai jo support aur resistance ka kaam karta hai, aur 134.00 is ke neeche ka agla level hai. Upar ke taraf, USD/JPY ko agay barhne mein mushkil ho sakti hai agar takreban 145.00 ke ooper na jaye agar taqreeban purane nisab 38.2% Fibonacci wapas barhata hai.

USDJPY ne aakhri ek haftay aur aadhe mein kahi jaldi nahi kia hai. Lekin trend wazeh tor par bullish hai baad mein rates ne teen mahinon mein aik aik chadhaav dekha. USD/JPY ne chandar mahine June mein pichle do saalon ke unchaaiyon ko masroof kia aur 151.91 se 151.95 ke qareeb jaise ke chandar mein unchaai ki, 181.97 mein March mein ek izafati unchaai ki. Us level ki jaldi rad e amal ne kuch logon ko top ke liye bulaya, lekin humne kisi mazeed neeche ki taraf ki taraf se jawab ka koi nateeja nahi dekha. Is tarah rates ek mazboot taqsim karne wale paitern mein qaid hain jo ke lagbhag 152.00 handle ke neeche nazar aata hai. Bulls is support level ko bachane ke liye mehnat kar rahe hain, jahan 100 din ka EMA bhi hai, lekin jab tak jode pehle-resistance- jo ke ab support bana hai - jo ke 148.00 par hai, pair bada breakdown ka shikaar hai.



USD/JPY pichle hafte 154.77 tak barh gaya lekin uske baad wapas chala gaya. Ibtida ka jazbati bias is hafte pehle se neutral hai. 154.77 ka toot is bade trend ko dobara shuru karega. Lekin 4H MACD mein bearish divergence sharaait ko madde nazar rakhte hue, 155.20 Fibonacci level se mazboot resistance ka samna karna hoga pehli koshish par sudhar lane ke liye. Neeche, 153.58 ka toot bias ko neeche ki taraf mod de ga, gehri pullback ke liye 55 D EMA tak (jo ab 150.83 par hai). 140.25 se muasir halaat ko teesri leg ki surat mein dekha jata hai, up trend ka jo 127.20 (2023 ki kamdar) se hai. Agla nishana 127.20 se 151.89 se 140.25 par 61.8% projection hai jo 155.20 par hai. Tasawwur abhi tak bullish rahega jab tak 146.47 ka sahara qaim rahe, gehri pullback ki surat mein bhi. USD/JPY waqtanfi neutral hai. Upar ki taraf, 154.77 ka toot bada trend dobara shuru karega. Lekin 4H MACD mein ikhtilaf ki sharaait ki taaleem par se upar ki taraf se qarz hadd ko 155.20 Fibonacci projection level tak mehdood hona chahiye. Neeche, 153.58 se niche bias ko niche ki taraf mod de ga, gehri pullback ke liye.

USD/JPY mein dono manfiyat aur short term mein bullish trend hai. Ek kharidari ko shumar kiya ja sakta hai jab tak keema 154.15 JPY ke ooper rahe. Har resistance ka toot ek taqatwar signal hai ke mojooda trend jaari rahega. Pehla bullish maqsood 154.72 JPY hoga. Savdhani, 154.15 JPY ke neeche wapas jaana trend kamzor hone ka ishara hoga aur ek mumkin sudhar daur tab ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, aap door reh sakte hain jab tak mool trend dobara shuru hone ka signal na ho. Mukhalif trend ke khilaf trading ka khatra zyada ho sakta hai. Kharidar ka bullish maqsood 154.78 JPY par set hai. Is resistance mein bullish momentum ko barha dega. Savdhani, short term abhi mukabla asal trend ke mukable mein zyada seemit lagta hai. Ziada arsay ke tasawwurati units ko tashkil dena chahiye takay mumkinah overbought cheezon ko pehchana ja sake jo short-term sudhar ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Usd/Jpy Intraday Analysis.

USDJPY currency pair aaj 155.354 tak ka resistance level ka samna kar sakta hai, jo ke kai levels mein se ek hai jahan kharidaron ki kamiyabi tasdeeq ki ja sakti hai. Agar bullish trend jaari rahe, to yeh level kharidaron ke liye take profit point ke tor par apni ahmiyat ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai. Maujooda quote 155.324 ke baray mein dosray levels ke sath mushabihat ke hawale se, lambi position ko kholna mumkin hai, halankeh thora sa 155.324 ke neechay karna pasandeeda hai. Mere liye is waqt kharidaron ko ghoornay ke liye ahem level 154.658 hai. 154.658 ke neechay, main lambi positions ko kholne se bachna pasand karta hoon kyunke bohot zyada khatra hai, jahan bechne wala moamala apni taraf kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, priority bechne ki di jayegi. Kul mila kar, is waqt, main bullish momentum par qayam hoon aur 155.354 ka resistance level mufeed execution ke sath pohanchne ka intezar kar raha hoon.

Mawjooda chart par, aap foran note kar sakte hain ke pehle darja ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke instrument ki taraf isharat karta hai aur intekhab shuda waqt frame (waqt-frame H4) mein maujood trend ki halat ko dikhata hai, zyada se zyada 30% ke kona mein oopar ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo uttar taraf ki dominent trend movement ko takat deta hai. Baraks, qarardadah channel (convex lines) jo qareeb future ki taraf ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal hota hai, kaafi wazeh oopar ki taraf ki taraf hai. Ghair linear regression channel ne golden line ko linear channel ka nichla se oopar cross kiya hai aur quotes mein izafa dikhata hai.

Qeemat ne linear regression channel ke blue resistance line 2nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin 157.907 ke zyada hadd tak pohanchi (HIGH), jis ke baad us ne apna izafa rok liya aur girne lag gaya. Instrument ab 157.744 ke qeemat level par trading kar raha hai. Sab se oopar di gayi sab se oopar di gayi tafseelat ke mablagh par, mein umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas laut kar aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (148.502) FIBO level 38.2% ke nichay jama ho jayenge aur mazeed neeche jayenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 147.731, jo ke FIBO level 23.6% ke sath milta hai. Bechnay ki transaction mein dakhil hone ki munasibat aur durusti ko mukammal tor par RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ne manzoori de di hai kyun ke woh ab overbought zone mein hain.