usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ke price analysis:
Main dollar-yen jodi ki ghantawar chart ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Pehle to, jodi ek khaas range ke andar trade ki gayi phir uss se niche se tor di gayi. Magar, is manzar mein, kharidne wale ne wazni volume ikhata kiya, unke volumes ke neeche kharidne wale limits ko trigger karte hue, jiski wajah se jodi ke raaste mein uthaan ki sambhavna zaahir hui. Iske baad, jodi ne range ke mukhaalef se bhaagidari ki simaon ko dobara dekha aur uss ke andar trading ko dobara shuru kiya. Jab jodi apne kharidne wale volumes se door chali gayi, to kharidne ke hudood asar andaz hue. Yeh pattern range ke neeche ke mukhaalef borders ke qareeb aur barhne ki sambhavna ko dikhata hai, jahan kharidne wale ne apna volume barha diya. Ab, halaat 30-minute timeframe pe mamooli nazar aate hain, jinhe kam volatility trading ke taur pe pesh kia gaya hai, jo apne apne mushkilat ka set hai. Hamare apartment ki functionality ki mehdood muddat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, meri fori maqsad yeh hai ke 153.00 ke aas paas ke local maximum ke baare mein updates ko nigrani mein rakho. Ek global high ka potential bana rehne ka tawajjo bhi rakhte hue, yaani, hamare raaste ki taraf, nazar-e awwal ke qareeb 100 points ke liye abhi theoretiqee tor pe kuch waqt hai, jab tak koi pullback ka intezaar na karna pare




Magar, aaj ke news backdrop se kuch kam umeed hoti hai. Fed ki hal taqreeron ne market ko ghair mustaqil bana diya hai, khaaskar kisi wazi inflation reports ke mojoodgi mein, ek trend jo ke main umeed karta hoon ke jaari rahega. Keemat ka raasta ek giravat se taharti hui raftar se uthane ki taraf badal gaya jab linear regression channel 2nd LevelSupLine ke neeche se guzra, haalaanki 146.443 ke lowest quote value tak pohnchne ke baad. Ab, instrument 150.671 ke level pe trade ho raha hai. In tajawuzat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main mazeed market price quotes ka uparward movement tawaqqa karta hoon linear channel ke golden average line (LR) ke taraf, jo 152.318 pe mojood hai, jo 138.2% fibo level ke saath milta hai. Iske baad, 151.876 ke 2nd LevelSupLine channel line ke ooper consolidation ka tawaqqa hai, jo ke 123.6% FIBO level ke saath milta hai.

:USD/JPY Technical Analysis


USD/JPY nay naye haftay ko taqreeban aik tenth ke sath 151.300 se shuru kiya. Ye zameen har gaya hai baad interventionist comments se Japan ke currency chief Masato Kanda ke jinse afraad ka khayal tha ke Japanese authorities apni currency ko taawun ke liye market operations istemal karenge. Deputy Finance Minister for International Affairs Kanda yen ki kamzori ka jawab de rahe the, jo ke tareekhi haddo pe hai, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne aik tareekhi faisla liya ke wo 2007 se pehli dafa interest rates ko barhane ka faisla karegi peechle Tuesday ko policy meeting mein. . Ye harkat nihayat achaanak lagti hai, kyunke barhte hue interest rates aam tor par currency ko taqwiyat dene ke bajaye, kamzor karne ka sabab bante hain. Yen ki mojooda kamzori asoolon ke mutabiq nahi hai aur wazeh tor par shauqiyat se chal rahi hai," Kanda ne reporters ko Monday ko kaha. "Hum zyada volatility ka muamla karne ke liye munasib aamal uthayenge aur koi bhi options barabar nahi hain," unhone kaha, The Japan Times ke mutabiq. Unse authorities ya yen ke open market par khareedari ke mawaqay ke bare mein poocha gaya to Kanda ne kaha: "Hum tayyar hain.






USD/JPY ne 150.000 ke oopar levalon ko chhua, tareekhi 2022 mein ye hua tha jab currency ne 151.950 tak barhaya tha US dollar ke muqable mein. Currency futures market ke data Masato Kanda ke nazriye ko support karta hai ke shauqiyat ne Bank of Japan ke faislay ke bad daman par zor dala. U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) se aayi data ne dikhaya ke shauqiyat jese hedge funds haqiqatan yen par bearish (short) bets ko badhaya Bank of Japan ke March meeting ke hafte mein, jabke rumors the ke BOJ Interest rates barhaye jayenge. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY ne bearish hanging Japanese candlestick pattern (circled) ko Thursday ko banaya, jo ke qareebi muddat mein uksane aur pullback ka barhne ka zyada khatra dar hai. Ye ke currency pair ne 2023 aur 2022 ke intervention highs ko test kiya hai jab ke bearish pattern banaya hai to agle decline ke imkaan barh jate hain. Friday ke red candlestick ne Thursday ke hanger ko tasdeeq di aur mazeed downside ke imkaan ko barha diya. Lekin, Japanese candlesticks sirf short-term reversal patterns hote hain, to nichle move ko mamooli arsay tak mukammal ho sakta hai. Pullback ka tausee umeed hai ke 50-day simple moving average (SMA) pe 149.123 pe support pohanchega. Dusri taraf, agar currency pair rebound karta hai aur 152.000 ke oopar saaf hojata hai, to ye yeh dikhata hai ke bulls ko ooper haath me rakhta hai aur Bank of Japan is kaafi nahi kar pa rahi ke currency ko aage barhaye. Lekin, us ke khilaf quwatun ke bawajood, aise ek harkat ko buland jana mumkin nahi hai, jisme agli round number 153.000 ek mutawaqqa hadaf hai.

Maine USD/JPY currency pair ki haqeeqati keemat ka tajziya kiya aur chaar ghante ke chart par chhote se ittehad ko dekha, jo che mumayyiz candlesticks ko shaamil karta tha. Do mumkinat hain: ek giraavat ya hali keemat se 45-70 points ka izafa. Magar, main musalsal chadhne ka intezar karta hoon aur bechnay se guraiz karta hoon. Agar kisi baat par chadh jaaye, toh main farokht karna iraadi hoon 149.76-149.97 ki rukawat zone mein jahan pe maine 100 points ke stop loss ke sath farokht shuru karna hai aur 450-500 ka nafa had tak rakha hai.

USD/JPY uptrend line ke upar trading kar raha hai, jahan se chadh gaya hai aur uptrend ke ooper had tak pohanch gaya tha, phir lower had ke taraf wapas gaya aur chadhne wale oblique level ko tor diya. Yeh phir doosre lower ascending oblique level pe aagaya hai. 149.09-148.85 ki support zone se rukh mein sahil barhna mukhtalif izafa ki taraf le ja sakta hai jahan tak 149.43-149.58 ki rukawat zone ko torne ka imtihan liya ja sakta hai. Iss zone ka toot jahaaz ki pehli lower manzil 148.66-148.59 ki support zone ko dekh sakta hai.

H1 chart par, USD/JPY ne meri bullish kharidne ki level 147.457 ko paar kiya, zyada se zyada 190 points chadha, jo ke buland bullish rafter ko darust karta hai, mohtalif rukawat ke bawajood, bullish raftar mazboot hai, jo shayad buland rukawaton ki taraf nishaan le sakta hai 149.450, 150.10, aur 150.650. Agar bullish rafter jari rahe, toh bearish trend lines ko tor kar izafa ko mazeed boost mil sakta hai. Haalaanki, bearish nishaanat ke liye sharaat abhi tak mumkin nahi hain, lekin 148.600 ki bearish farokht ki level ko toorna izafa ko 148.150-148.000, 147.400, aur 146.900-146.650 ki sahoolat ki taraf ishaara kar sakta hai. H1 chart par USD/JPY jodi ke liye bearish jazbat zyada taiz maloom hota hai. Agar izafa rukawat ki rukawat ke taraf jata hai, toh overbought haalaat barh sakte hain, jiski wajah se ek durust kharidne ki level ki taraf ek islaah hosakti hai.

Currency trading mein, US dollar ne Japanese yen ke khilaaf thori se harkat ki during Monday's trading session, traders ne market momentum mein potential value areas ko tawajju se dekha Muamla khaas tor par, 152 yen darja tak haalaan ke qareeb ki qadeem high levels ke qareeb ka hai, jo future direction market growth ko ahmiyat deti hai

Is peechay-daar manzar ke pesh-e-nazar, short-term reanalysis strategy apna lena munasib nazar aata hai Halan ke market sentiment aakhir mein tootnay ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin aise tabdeeli achanak nahi ho sakti Balkay, market participants taiyar hain ke wo U S dollar ka potential dekhein 152 yen mark key upar apna pair qaim rakh sakta hai

Aakhir mein, beshak dhair, agar bhi sabar se, kamiyabi ke baad jo ke zehniyat ki important 155 yen level tak pohonchnay ki sambhavna darust hai, to qeemat kaafi market interest ko trigger karne ki umeed hai Support ke lehaz se, 150 yen levels aur 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ne neeche ke dabaav ko rokne ke liye mazboot rukh adopt kiya hai






Iske ilawa, central banks ke darmiyan mukhtalif interest rate ke farq market sentiment aur ongoing direction ka aham factor bana rehta hai Isi wajah se, traders aik strategy ka sahara lete hain jo har trading period ke ikhtitam par takmeel hone wale musalsal munafa ko ahmiyat deta hai Isi liye, do currencies par discount ki tawajju ba'ais nafrat hoti hai, aur koi bhi taraqqi ko khaas tor par 152 yen ki barri kamiyabi ke mutaliq as a legitimate buying opportunity dekha jata hai, khaaskar jab ke ek numaya 152 yen ki kamiyabi ka anjaam ki umeed hai

Jabke Japanese yen vs U S dollar approach market fluctuations aur geopolitical events ke asar mein ata hai, a disciplined trading approach jo key technical norms aur fundamentals ko madde nazar rakhta hai, zaroori hai taake traders market environment mein paisa baratamizi kar sakein

Currency trading mein, US dollar ne Monday ke trading session mein Japani yen ke khilaaf thora sa istirahat liya, jahan traders market momentum mein potential value areas ke liye tafteez se nazar rakhte rahe Maamla, khaaskar 152 yen darja ke qareeb mojood akhri uroojat ke paas, mustaqbil ki rah ka ahmiyat ke sath wabasta hai

Is pehlu ke dastakhat, chand dinon mein chand dinon mein darusti ka dobara jaiza lene ka soch bana lagta hai Halan ke market ka mahol aakhir mein kharab hone ki taraf chala jata hai, lekin aise tabdeelii jaldi nahi hoti Balki, market ke shiraaqee shirkat daaron ko amreeki market ke mojoodgi ka mawaazna karne ke liye taiyaar hai Dollar 152 yen ke muqadmat ke upar apne kadmo ka theekana rakh sakta hai

Yeh soch kar ke aakhir mein, bhi sabr se kamiyabi se jo tajwez karta hai ke zehni tor par ahem 155 yen darja tak aik mumkinah charahar dena, keemat kaafi market dilchaspi ka trigger hone ki umeed hai Support ke lehaz se, 150 yen ke daraje aur 50 din ke exponential moving average (EMA) ne neechayi dabaav ke liye mazboot rukawat bana rakhi hai

Iske ilawa, markazi bankon ke darmiyan interest rate ke farq baaqi market ki dilchaspi aur musalsal rah ki aik bunyadi manzil raheta hai Natijatan, traders aik strategy par aitmaad rakhte hain jo har trading dour ke ikhrajat ko pehle barabar karta hai Is wajah se, do currencyon par kisi bhi chhoot ki tawajjo bilkul bhi dilchasp nahi hai, aur kisi bhi behtari ko aik qabil-e-qubool buying opportunity ke tor par dekha jata hai, khaaskar 152 yen ke mukhtalif aakhas ke muntazir iraaday ke sath

Jabke Japani yen vs US dollar ka nazariya market ke tabdeeliyon aur jughrafiyai waqiyat ke asar ka shikaar hai, aik discipline trading approach jo key technical norms aur asaasiyat ko hisaab mein leta hai, traders ke liye zaroori hai takay wo maarkat mahol mein paisa hoshiyaar taur par harkat kar sakein

H-4 Timeframe Analysis
USD/JPY ka tajziya karte hue dekha gaya hai ke tawajjuh ke badalte maahol mein, USD/JPY ke exchange rate ne chand arsay mein barhao kar liya aur hadood ki bulandiyon ko choo liya hai, jahan pe 151.79 tak pahunch gaya. Lekin, price ka momentum kamzor hai, RSI aur Stochastic overbought levels ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo dikhata hai ke buyers jald hi ihtiyaat bhare ho sakte hain. Agar price 151.79 ke support line ke upar barhti rahe, toh yeh temporary resistance line 152.37 ki taraf tezi se barh sakti hai. Is area se bahar nikalne par, buyers 2024 ki unchi 151.93 ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo pair ko seedha barhti keemat wale price channel ke upper boundary tak le jaayega, jo 153.80 hai. Agar sellers bhi is level ko tor dete hain, toh woh 50-day moving average aur 150.038 ke construction zone ke darmiyan ka area target kar sakte hain. Nuksaan 149.499 pe rook sakta hai pehle 148.76 ke support line ko test karne se pehle. Seedhe shabdon mein, USD/JPY pair ke liye dobara ek upward correction ka muqam hai, lekin traders intezaar kar sakte hain. Neeche chart dekhein:



Daily Timeframe Analysis

USD/JPY ne 151.20 resistance level ke qareeb isteqamat hasil ki hai, tajziyat ke achanak nuksanat se bach kar. Bilkul haal hi mein, Japanese authorities ke foreign exchange market mein dobaara istisnaat karne ki pareshaniyon ki wajah se. Haalanki haalat ki girawat ke bawajood, USD/JPY ke overall trend mein bullish mizaj hai, aur pehla trend break 150.45 aur 149.20 support levels ki taraf ja kar nahi ho sakta. Abhi tak, yeh trend jari rahega jab tak Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan wazeh siyasi takraar hai aur jab tak Japan currency ko mazeed girne se rokne ke liye market mein hastakshep karta hai. Neeche chart dekhein:

USDJPY ka daily time frame chart dekhte hue pichle haftay ki movement ka jayeza lena aik ahem hissa hai jab hum currency pairs ke future ka andaza lagate hain. Haftay ke shuru mein, Tuesday ko USDJPY ne aik mazboot bullish engulfing candle banaya. Yeh candle ishara deta hai ke market mein kharidari ka daawa tha aur isse price ne neeche se upar ki taraf tezi se chalna shuru kiya. Pichle haftay ke Wednesday se Friday tak, USDJPY ke price ne diagram mein dikhaye gaye resistance level ke saath safar kiya. Yeh safar mutawazan aur tarteeb ki mohabbat karne wala tha, jo ke traders ke liye aik aham parameter hota hai. Lekin, Jumeraat ko price mein kami aayi aur iska natija USDJPY ne aik bearish candle paida kiya. Is bearish candle ki wajah se, market mein thori si ghabrahat ka mahol paida hua. Ye ghabrahat aam tor par is tarah ke reversal patterns ke baad dekha jata hai. Magar, hamain yaad rakhna chahiye ke ek hi candle se puri taur par market ka trend decide nahi hota.



Is waqt, humein RSI (Relative Strength Index) ki taraf dekhna bhi zaroori hai. RSI ek technical indicator hai jo market ki overbought ya oversold conditions ko dhoondhne mein madad karta hai. Agar USDJPY ka RSI 70 ke qareeb hai, to yeh ishara ho sakta hai ke market overbought hai aur ek reversal ka khatra ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar humein dekhte hain ke USDJPY ka RSI normal ya phir kam hai, to yeh ishara ho sakta hai ke market mein abhi tak koi tezi ke khatre ka ehsaas nahi hai. Aakhir mein, hamare pass doosre factors bhi hain jinhein hamen madadgar sabit ho sakta hai, jaise ke volume aur market ke baki indicators. In sab ko mila kar, ham market ka behtar andaza laga sakte hain aur apni trading strategies ko is mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Yad rahay, market ka andaza lagana aik mushkil kaam hai aur ismein kai factors shamil hote hain. Is liye, hamesha apni research aur analysis ko mazbooti se karna chahiye aur risky situations mein apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

pair mein aik numaya uptrend dekha gaya hai, jis par analysts aur traders ne 146.04 level ko nishana banaya hai. Ye upar ki taraf ki harkat ek mazbooti ka nishaan hai jismein Amriki dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf taqat hasil hoti hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic asraar, siyasi waqiaat aur market ki janib se daakhal honay wale tasuraat par mabni ho sakta hai. Haal hi mein USD/JPY pair mein jo taraqqi dekhi gayi hai, us ke peechay aham tajwezat aur asbaab ho sakte hain jaise ke Amriki Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke darmiyan monetary policies ka farq. Federal Reserve shayad zyada hawkish stand apnaye ho, buniyadi dar ko barha kar ya mustaqbil mein tight karnay ke economic tajweezat ka ishara kar ke. Mutasir Japan ki buniyadi policies jaise ke accommodative monetary policy, shaayad quantitative easing measures ko shaamil karna, Japan ki economic behtar hone ya dafa ho rahi deflationary pressures ko support karne ke liye. Is ke ilawa, America aur Japan ki economic data releases bhi USD/JPY pair ke rukh par asar daal sakti hain. Mazboot Amriki economic indicators jaise ke GDP ka izafa, rozgar ke figures ya consumer spending data Amriki dollar mein bharosay ko barha sakti hain, currency ki demand ko barha kar aur yen ke khilaf pair ko upar ki taraf daba sakti hain. Mukhalif, Japan se koi dilchaspi ka economic data, jaise ke dhaee karobari utpaad ya slow export numbers, yen ko bhari tarah tor par bhoj dal sakta hai aur pair ke upar ki raftar mein shamil ho sakta hai. Siyasi aur marketi jazbat bhi currency ke harkat ko shakl dete hain. Amriki aur Japani darmiyan taajurbat ke koi bhi tabdeeliyan, siyasi tanazur, ya baray policy announcements investor ki nazar mein asraat daal sakti hain aur currency ke cash flow ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, investors ke darmiyan risk ki khwahishon mein tabdiliyan ho sakti hain jo yen jaise safe-haven currencies ki demand ko mutasir kar sakti hain, shayad iski taqat ko kami kar ke USD ke nisbat mein panchadegi.

Japan ke statistics bureau ne riport kiya ke Japan ka saalana qaumi istemal shuda sheheri mulki maheenati shahkaar index tezi se barh raha tha - 2.8% pehle ki riport 2.2% ke mukaable mein. Bank of Japan ke pasandida tanqeedi nishaan jo taza products ko shamil nahi karta, 2.8% se barh gaya, jaise ke pehle ki reading 2.2% thi. 2% ke had tak barhti hui baqaidgi daromadar ke daab ka samna karne se Bank of Japan ko interest daro ko musbat daraje par rakhne ki ijaazat degi, baghair kisi gherayi stance ke. Mazeed, Japanese hukoomat ki currency market mein dakhal ke barhte hue tawaan honay ke bare mein afraad ke afraad ki umeedain Japanese yen ko madad faraham kar rahi hain. Japan ke wazir-e-kharja ne kaha ke currency ke rates mustaqil taur par chalne chahiye aur unho ne taza tabdeeliyon ko ek taizur ke saath taul dala hai. Rozana chart par, jodi moving averages ke upar trade kar rahi hai aur haftawaar ke level 151.909 ke aas paas hai, aur ek daily candle jo is level se upar band hone ki soorat mein 152.500 ki taraf ek aagey chalne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Agar bear taqat dikhane mein kaamiyab ho jate hain aur 150.860 ke mirror level ke neeche sthapit ho jaate hain, to hum 150.0 ke nafsiyati level ki taraf giravat dekh sakte hain

USD/JPY jodi late European session mein Jumeraat ko 151.00 tak gir gayi. JPY ne USD ke khilaaf mazid mazbooti se barhti hoti hui Japan mein garam February mein inflation data ke asar mein muaqqifon ki iktifa mein izafa kiya. Muamla asset ke pressure ke bawajood, USA ki maashi taraqqiyat mein ahem behtar hone ke darmiyan USD ke rate mein zinda hote hue bhi. Agar jodi ka mazeed giravat 150.674-150.561 ke 1/4 zone ke taraf ho, to main agle control zone 153.5-153.736 ki taraf khareedne ka tawajjo deen

Hal Hal Mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke dynamics ka tajziyah kar rahe hain. Ek ahem phenomenon jo dekha gaya hai, woh pair ki qeemat mein significant downward trajectory hai, jis ki mojooda trading qeemat 149.40 hai, jo ke 149.60 ke critical envelope level ke neeche waqif hai. Jab ke mojooda market ki jazbaat bechne walon ke asar ki taraf lean hain, to strongly mashwara diya jata hai ke kharidari ki positions ko shuru karne ka ghor kiya jaye. Mojudah kami mein, aik strategy ke taur par kharidari deals ko priority dene mein shamil hai, sath hi trade ke rukh ke khilaaf qeemat mein harek ko muqarrar karne ka soch samajh kar plan banana bhi shamil hai. Faida hasil karne ke liye aik strategic setting 149.976 ke liye kharidari trades ke liye puri karne ka hisaab hai. Is ke ilawa, aqalmand traders ko kuch trade positions ko qaim rakhne ka mashwara diya jata hai, ek mumkinah lambi muddat ke liye 150.20 ke nishane ki taraf umeed karte hue



Aik narm trading strategy ke hisaab se, ye salah shamil hai ke positions ka hissa band kiya jaye, volume histogram par chokas nigah rakhi jaye. Volume mein qaaim aur musarrat barhao, 150.20 tak ke ziada munafa ka maqsad haasil karne mein bharose ka zariya hai. Volume histogram ko qareeb se nigrani karna zaroori hai, khaas tor par mumkinah reversals ke doran, kyun ke ye aik wazeh uptrend development ka ahem nishan hai. H4 chart mein zoom karte hue, qeemat ka movement aik descending channel ke borders mein mehdood rehta hai. Ibtidaai umeedon ke bawajood ke jo ke upper limit ki taraf chadhaav ka intizaar tha, qeemat ne aik u-turn diya, neeche ki taraf rukh karne ka. Hourly chart ke intricacies ne market dynamics ke jawab mein keen observation aur strategic decision-making ki ahmiyat ko zahir kiya hai. Traders ko USD/JPY currency pair ke complexities ko samajhne aur un par tayyar rehne mein hoshiyar hona chahiye, macro aur micro-level analyses ke dwara zahir kiye gaye nuqsanat ko mad e nazar rakhte hue

Rozana waqt ki frame hamesha meri pehli pasand hoti hai charts ki tajziya ke liye taake hamain mojooda market ke halat ka saaf nazar aaye. Rozana ka trend ab bhi kaafi bullish hai, kyunke aaj subah bhi, maine ek ahem qeemat ka izafa dekha, lagbhag 110 pips, yaqeenan, qareeban 95 pips ke aas paas. Maqool hai ke haftay ke pehle din, markets aksar dheemi raftar par hoti hain, as Asian session early morning mein side mein hoti hai, jisse trading week ki chain ki shuruaat hoti hai. Mojudah halat par buniyad banakar, qeemat mumaayyanat tak pichla maheena, yaani 151.85, ko dobara test kar sakti hai.
Pichle haftay se, is pair mein qeemat ki harkat ko H4 waqt ki frame ke kharidarion ne ghalab kiya hai. Kharidarion ki taqat qeemat ko kai resistance levels se guzarne mein kafi hai, halaanke harkat thodi dheemi hai. Kyunki aaj subah is pair mein market ki harkat bohot tezi se thi, isne aksar dikhaya ke pair ki qeemat ka gap band hone se pehle thodi si giravat thi. Qeemat aaj subah mazboot resistance level ko test kar sakti hai, jo pichle haftay ka sab se buland qeemat tha, 151.50, jo ke aaj subah sab se mazboot hai. Is waqt lambi position lena bekaar hoga, is liye mein pehle dekhna pasand karta hoon ke kya hota hai, kyunke lambi position lena bekaar hoga jab ke qeemat ne lagbhag ek resistance level tak pohanch chuka hai.

Daakhilay ka mansooba.

Aaj ke daakhilay ka mansooba USD/JPY pair par, mein market mein dakhil hone se pehle qeemat ko resistance level tak pohanchne ka intezar karunga, wazeh hai ke confirmation ka intezar kar raha hoon. Qeemat ka halat resistance area ke qareeb hone ki wajah se, yeh behtareen waqt dakhilay ke liye nahi hai. Sell position mein dakhilay ke liye, mein lagbhag 40 pips ka intezar karunga resistance area tak 150.50 par, TP ke sath 60 se 70 pips.

Market dynamics mein taaqat ki pehchan karna aur trading ke complexities ko samajhna, ek maharat hai jo kamyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Japanese yen ki amriki dollar ke khilaf dekhi ja rahi trend mein 146.48 support daraje tak girne se aik ahem tabdeeli ka saboot hai, jo ke paanch hafton mein uski kamtarin nukta hai. Magar, jodi ne 147.00 darje ke qareeb thabat hasil ki hai, jo ke market ka muawazna ki ek satah ki nishaani hai. Ye harkat US mehangaai ke figures ki tawaqo par hai, jo investor ki raaye ko bana rahi hai.
Trading ke liye, market dynamics ke mukhtalif pehluon ka iqrar karna zaroori hai. Quantity analysis ke ilawa, market psychology aur timing ko samajhna trading strategies ko shakal denay mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Mukarrarat darajat par stops lagana aik qisam ka insurance ka kaam karta hai, jis se ghair mutawaqqa bazar ke tabdeeliyon se jhukao ke khatre ko kam kiya ja sakta hai, jabke muhasabah ki gayi maneuvering ko behtareen faiday hasil karne ke liye ijazat di jati hai. Strategic points par trading decisions ko thos karna, jaise ke 147.07 se 148.13 ke darmiyan, market volatility ke darmiyan isteqamat faraham karta hai, jo maloomat par mabni aur hoshiyar trading practices ko asaan karta hai.


Market dynamics mein taaqat ki pehchan karna aur trading ke complexities ko samajhna, ek maharat hai jo kamyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Japanese yen ki amriki dollar ke khilaf dekhi ja rahi trend mein 146.48 support daraje tak girne se aik ahem tabdeeli ka saboot hai, jo paanch hafton mein uski kamtarin nukta hai. Magar, jodi ne 147.00 darje ke qareeb thabat hasil ki hai, jo ke market ka muawazna ki ek satah ki nishaani hai. Ye harkat US mehangaai ke figures ki tawaqo par hai, jo investor ki raaye ko bana rahi hai. Trading ke liye, market dynamics ke mukhtalif pehluon ka iqrar karna zaroori hai. Quantity analysis ke ilawa, market psychology aur timing ko samajhna trading strategies ko shakal denay mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Mukarrarat darajat par stops lagana aik qisam ka insurance ka kaam karta hai, jis se ghair mutawaqqa bazar ke tabdeeliyon se jhukao ke khatre ko kam kiya ja sakta hai, jabke muhasabah ki gayi maneuvering ko behtareen faiday hasil karne ke liye ijazat di jati hai. Strategic points par trading decisions ko thos karna, jaise ke 147.07 se 148.13 ke darmiyan, market volatility ke darmiyan isteqamat faraham karta hai, jo maloomat par mabni aur hoshiyar trading practices ko

subah ko is low se ek reaction mila, jis se price bounce up hui aur imbalance zone mein chali gayi, jo ke jumme ko girawat ke doran ban gayi thi. Ab price interest zone mein hai, aur ek neeche ki muddat mukhtalif rukh ki kafi sambhavna hai, jo ke ek kam time frame par structure break se control ki ja sakti hai. Jaise ke maine pehle hi weekend mein apne messages mein likha tha, pair abhi bhi range mein hai aur horizontal channel ke shetraon ka jawab deti hai, jisme wo lambay arsay se hai, aur aaj subah se neeche ki had se upar ka rebound shuru hua. Ab price range ka darmiyan mein pohanch rahi hai, aur bohot sambhavna hai ke price is area ka jawab degi, lekin hum dekhte hain ke price aage kaise behave karta hai.
Market consolidation ka potential paish aane wala samna ek scenario ka khatra bhi shaamil hai jisme market sirf apne pehle ke uncha darjat mein wapas laut jaaye. Current market dynamics ka analysis darust karta hai ke ek mohtasib pullback neeche ki support zone tak mumkin hai. Is mutawaqqa correction ko technical indicators aur mojooda market sentiment ka ek tajziya ke milawat se mutasir kiya ja raha hai. Situational samajhne ke liye, market consolidation ke asarat ko samajhna zaroori hai. Halan ke ye process stability faraham kar sakti hai, lekin ek khufia masla hai ke ye sirf market ko pehle ke uncha darjat tak wapas le ja sakta hai. Ye ek potential sustained upward momentum ki kami ko darust karta hai, jo ke investors ke liye ikhtiyati rukh ikhtiyaar karna zaroori bana deta hai. Mojooda market landscape ka tajziya karke, mukhtalif technical indicators madad faraham karte hain ke mutawaqqa pullback ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Ye indicators moving averages, relative strength index (RSI) aur doosre chart formations jese asool shamil hain. In factors ke ekjama hone se market mein ek potential correction ki ishaarat milti hain, jisme neeche ki support zone ek ahem dilchaspi ka markaz banati hai.

Iske alawa, mojooda market sentiment ke interaction ka ye tajziya ko mazeed complicate karta hai. Investor perception, news flow aur overall market psychology asset prices ke rukh ko mutasir karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. In factors ka careful assessment ek prevailing sentiment ko dikhata hai jo ke ikhtiyaati rukh ki taraf majboor hai, jo ke market mein ek pullback ko joshila kar sakti hai. In dynamics ko manage karte hue,

USD/JPY ka fundamental analysis:

Jumeraat ko, US dollar index mein 0.45% izafa hua, lekin Japanese yen 0.12% ghat gaya 151.44 par, jo peechle saal Bank of Japan ki taraf se kuch kam intervention ke muqable mein hai. Is saal teen tafreehi keemat girayeen ke iqraar se pehle, Fed ne aik din ke quotes ko tafreehi maqsad ke liye 5.25% se 5.5% tak ke range mein giraya. Lekin, Fed ne ye bhi kaha ke wo consumer prices ko tab tak kam nahi karegi jab tak wo ye pakka na ho ke muddat ke doran inflation mustaqil tor par 2% target tak girayegi. Fed aur doosri central banks ke mulkoon ke various tafreehi keemat ki asurati programs hain, jese ke Switzerland ki achanak tafreehi keemat mein girawat ka mishwar dikhata hai. Lekin, abhi dollar bulls pe pehle hain. Ye tawaqqa ki jati hai ke agar tabadla charge 150.25 USD/JPY ke neeche nahi gir sakta to ye trend jaari rahega. Sirf 150.25 ke neeche band ho jana is girawat ko palat sakta hai.


USD/JPY ka technical analysis:

USD/JPY ne peer, 25 March ko aik chhote se sudhar kiya. Dollar 0.03 percent izafa hua aur trading mein 151.47 par band hua, thoda neeche se jo ke ant mein 151.86 par pahuncha tha. Japan ke wazir-e-kharja ne speculators ko taqatwar currency ko kamzor karne ki koshish karne se pehle ishaara kiya ke yen thodi der ke liye izafa hua. Japan ke finance ministry ke chief currency officer ne peer ko kaha ke yen ki mojooda kamzori bunyadi asoolon par nahi hai, jo haal mein yen ke kharab hone ke dhamakon se mutaliq sarkari tanbeehon ko dohrata hai. Traders 152.00 ke mark ko dekh rahe hain kyun ke yeh aik mumkinah intervention ke ishaaron ka pehloo hai. Is saal ka USD/JPY ka uncha darja ye dikhata hai ke US Dollar bulls ab bhi khel mein hain. Lekin, Bank of Japan ka intervention ka khatra hone ki wajah se behtar hoga ke ye izafa ho. Agar Bank of Japan haqeeqatan bazaar mein intervention nahi karti, toh umeed ki jaati hai ke speculators 152.55 ke resistance level par ihtiyaat se nazar rakheinge.

USD JPY D1



Chart mein 151.864 ke darje par, yeh instrument girne laga aur MA 21 tak pohancha, lekin uss se neeche nahi gaya. Aur abhi woh uss par oopar jane ki koshish kar raha hai. Shayad wo resistance levels, jin ke qareeb woh trade kar raha hai, usay oopar jane se rok rahe hain. Mere khayal mein, mukhtalif resistance levels mein se ek ahem level Res C hai: 151.612 aur agar keemat isay oopar torh sakti hai, to phir movement ka target 151.94 ya 152.043 ke darje ho saktay hain. Agar keemat in values tak barh sakti hai, to indicator ke dwara banaye gaye bearish pattern Bearish AB=CD ki ahmiyat kam ho sakti hai. Is mumkinah pattern ke point D ka ooncha had 151.919 hai. Agar keemat phir bhi resistance level W1 Res C: 151.449 ke neeche jati hai aur apni movement ko south ki taraf mazboot karta hai, to aise ek movement ka target support level Sup: 150.497 ho sakta hai aur agar yeh level neeche







torh jata hai, to shayad hum 150.018 ke qareeb keemat dekh saktay hain. Tezi se stochastic (5.3.3), overbought zone tak pohanchne se pehle, ek mumkinah girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Dheemi tezi se stochastic (50.10.25) jo ke 91.1 aur 92.3 ke qeematon ke saath wazeh tor par overbought zone mein hai. Jo humein umeed dilata hai ke qareeb hi is zone se nikal jayega. Agar aisa manzar haqiqat mein pesh aaye, to bearish pattern Bearish AB=CD aasani se aajaye ga.u.keh sakte hain, ke wo kal ki giraftari ke leye zyada se zyada setaadi kar chuke hain. Is ke ilawa, Japan Bank ka bhi parallel negative interest rates se nikalna, keh sakte hain, bilkul koi khas kirdar nahi ada kia, halankeh yeh aik ahem