USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Aaj USDJPY currency pair ke liye trading ka tajziya kiya gaya. Haqeeqati price movement aur resistance aur support levels ka tawazun karne ke baad, faisla kiya gaya ke aaj sirf khareedari ke liye hi trade karna hai. Price ke barhne ka final target upper resistance level 150.907 hai. Ismein sab positions ka mukammal record shaamil hoga. Aaj ke liye khareedari ke liye, nazdeeki support level 150.009 istemaal kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin ye utna hi behtar nateeja nahi dega jitna ke zyada ummedwar levels se trading karna. Maine 149.947 ke qeemat par ek aur support chuna hai. Ye option mujhe ab sabse dilchasp lag raha hai. Stop losssupport chuna hai. Ye option mujhe ab sabse dilchasp lag raha hai. Stop loss wahi hoga (chahe long position ka opening level kuch bhi ho) aur ye 149.922 par hoga. Tadbeerat tay hui hain, levels mukarrar hue hain, aur main is mansoobe ki amal ki intezar mein hoon.

USDJPY currency pair ka ghantawar chart dikhata hai ke buyers sellers se zyada mazboot hain. Iska saboot hai Moving Average trend indicator period 120, kyun ke indicator ki line price ke
zyada mazboot hain. Iska saboot hai Moving Average trend indicator period 120, kyun ke indicator ki line price ke neeche waqif hai. Ek aur zig zag indicator se chadhne waala structure dikhaya gaya hai; chart dikhata hai ke low aur high barhte ja rahe hain. Is liye intraday main 150.30 ke level se khareedari ka tajziya kar raha hoon pehli maqsad ke liye, jo ke 150.70 ke price level tak hai, doosra maqsad 151.10 ke level ko dekhna hoga, stop loss 150.00 ke level par hoga. Pair 149.70 ke price level ko tor kar mazboot hota hai to aap bech sakte hain. Bechnay ke liye Take profit 149.30 ke level par hai, aur stop loss 150.00 ke level par hai. M15

USD/JPY H1 TIME FRAME

Dollar/yen currency pair Asia session mein halkay izafay ke saath trade kiya gaya. Pair kaafi noticeable taur par trading ke khulaftar gir gaya, lekin yen bhi jald hi apni girawat ko major currencies ke khilaaf dubara shuru kar diya; Main sochta hoon ke pair wapas peechle haftay ki unchiyon par lautega. Pair ke izafay ka mukhya karan ab bhi Japani currency ki kamzori hai. Is instrument ke liye doosra neeche ke rukh ke correction pehle din ke pehle hisse mein kaafi mumkin hai, lekin overall main umeed karta hoon ke upar ka trend jaari rahega. Pair bullon ke control mein trade ho raha hai. Ek mumkin sa conversion point 149.75 par hai, main is level ke upar khareedunga jiska target 150.75 aur 151.25 hai. Beshak, ek alternative option bhi hai: pair apni neeche ki harkat ko dobara shuru karega, 149.75 ke level ko todega aur consolidate hoga, phir raasta khulega 149.45 aur 149.25 ke levels tak. Pichli kaam ki hafte ne hamein ek neeche ke southern trend aur lamba sideways trend dikhaya, jo Bollinger indicator ke moving average line ko toot gaya, jo instrument ki average volatility ke saath average price range ko darshata hai, yeh rozana pattern moving average ko toot gaya aur uttar mein badh gaya, jo uttar ke trend ka jaari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Thursday ke daily candle ne hamein ek bada pattern aur ek fractal indicator diya, jo kehta hai ke 148.90 ke level par ek support hai jo currency pair ko neeche jaane nahi deta, jo yeh darshaata hai ke global target kaam karne ka 151.90 ke level hai, jo pichle saal tak pahuncha gaya tha. Is case mein, hamare paas ek double top trading pattern hai jo ek lambi term ke southern correction ko de sakta hai.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Asslam-o-Alaikum bahio. Kesy hy ap sub log. Abhi ma ne market ka analysis or kuch behtreen emtry dekhi to socha ap logo ke sath share kr do. Yen ne aik bullishness marne ke bd strong bearish show krwa raha hy. Lekin ye entry next week possible ho sakti hy. Pichle trading haftay mein, yen zyadatar ek sideways trend mein raha, neeche se upar ki taraf badhta hua. Price ne 150.2 level se rebound kiya aur ek madhyam upward move shuru kiya, 151.3 level ke upar chadha lekin abhi tak agle level 152.3 ke niche hai, jo ki resistance ke roop mein kaam karta hai, jaise ki sideways movement ka upper limit aur abhi tak control mein nahi hai. Iske alawa, price chart ne green supertrend zone mein vapas laut gaya hai, jo buyers ki taraf se control mein badlav ko dikhata hai.



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Price abhi normal uptrend mein hai, lekin weekly chart neutral hai aur ek hafta pehle ke levels par laut gaya hai. Buyers naye price territory mein kadam jamaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Isi samay, key support areas abhi tak poori tarah se test nahi hue hain aur apni integrity ko banaye rakha hai, jo preferred upward vector ki relevance ko dikhata hai. Shyad, price ko local correction ke roop mein 149.45 ke aas-pass consolidate karne ki zarurat hogi, jahan main support zone ki borders hain, phir naye highs ki taraf badhne se pehle. Aane wale bounce se ek aur upside move hoga jo 153.30 aur 154.50 ke beech ka area target karega.

Agar support break hoti hai aur price 149.81 ke reversal level ke neeche jaati hai, toh current situation ko cancel karne ka signal mil jaayega. Chart neeche dekhein:

usd/jpy currency pair analysis:
Agar hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical analysis h1 timeframe par dekhein, toh nazar aata hai ke 151.74 ke price par supply area ke through nahi gaya hai. Maqsad, yeh hai ke agar yeh na chhuye toh double top pattern ka mauqa ban sakta hai, jo ke market ke jald hi palatne ka ishaara hota hai. Agar izafi izafa jaari rehta hai, toh ummeed hai ke mustaqbil mein gehra girawat ho. Yeh yaqeenan ke aas paas ek naya residue banega jo ke peechle residue ke mutabiq zyada ya kam barabar hoga. Lagta hai ke is ke baad USD/JPY ka maqsad yeh hai ke woh 150.78 ke qareebi support ki taraf giray ga. Umeed hai ke yeh support bhi tor diya ja sake taa ke girawat mazeed gehri ho sake.
Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karte hue tajziya kiya jaye, toh abhi tak neeche jane ke koi signs nahi hain kyunki jab se yeh upar gaya hai, mumkinat, candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke ooper badal gaya hai. Pehle, position line ke neeche thi, lekin afsos ke sath girawat lambi nahi rahi. Candle sirf 150.28 ke price tak giray, uske baad phir se upar uth gaya. Aaj main doosri crossover ka intezar kar raha hoon kyun ke candle abhi tak supply area mein nahi ghus saki hai.




Dusray janib, stochastic indicator ne haqeeqat mein ek neeche ke signal diya hai kyun ke line ne level 80 ko guzar gaya hai. Sab se ahem yeh hai ke lines ne ek doosre ko cross kar liya hai aur neeche ki taraf moor rahi hain. Lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon mein USDJPY mein girawat lamba arsa tak qaim rahegi. Stochastic level 20 par apne kam se kam darje tak jayega.

Aaj ka nateeja yeh hai ke usd/jpy girne ka mauqa hai kyun ke candle abhi tak 151.74 ke supply area mein phansa hua hai. Jab tak yeh area toot nahi gaya hai, mujhe lagta hai ke girne ki imkaanat bohot zyada hain. Isliye, main doston ko yeh salah deta hoon ke woh 151.64 ke price range par ek sell position kholne ki koshish karein jab tak girawat zyada door nahi hai. Take profit target 150.70 ke price par rakh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, stop loss 151.93 par rakha ja sakta hai.

149.15 ki range mein ek tehqiqat hai aur wahan se girawat jaari rahegi. Market mein hone wali izaafa bohot mutadarik tor par ho rahi hai. Us ke baad bhi, behtareen hai ke farokht ki jaye. 148.20 tak ka silsila pehle hi mil chuka hai, is se girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Halqa-e-mojud se, hum shayad aik chota sa izafi impulsion hasil kar sakte hain, lekin is ke baad bhi girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Choti si izafi impulsion ke baad, misaal ke tor par 149.10 tak ki range tak, girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. 149.15 ke trading range ka shikast aur is ke oopar jama hone ka ishaara khareedne ke liye hoga. Agar aap 148.75 ke range ko toorna karne mein kamyab ho gaye, jahan tehqiqat hoti hai, to phir agar keemat is ke neeche theek ho jaye, girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Mumkin hai ke hum 148.05 ke range ka toot jaaye aur is ke neeche qaim ho jaye, ye ek mazeed girawat ke liye ishaara hoga. 146.85 ke range ka toot pehle se ho chuka hai aur aise toot ke baad, hamen ek durust karna milta hai. Durust karna ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Abhi tak 149.10 ke oopar uthna mumkin nahi hai, jiska matlab hai ke wahan par hamare paas mazboot rukawat hai. Phir, hissa ka hissa break-even par shift kar ke, main uttar purab Fibo levels par mojood quotes se jorunga. Mumkin hai ke American session mein 148.55 ke range ko toorna aur is ke neeche qaim ho jaana mumkin ho, jo ke phir girawat ka ishaara sabit hoga

Japani Yen (JPY) ne Thursday ko numaya tabdili ka samna kiya, peechle din tak pohanchi gayi saalana kam se kam sehalat ke qareeb se wapas aayi, lekin Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke mustaqbil ke policy faislon ke baray mein shakhsiyat ke darmaiyan mubhamiyat ke doraan jari rehne ki wajah se kisi khaas chalne ki kamee thi. Haalaanki, BoJ ne is haftay ke pehle hi mazeed sahulat afzaai shirai sharait ko ishaara diya tha, lekin policy normalization ke raftar par khaas hidaayat faraham karne se inkar kiya. Magar, Nikkei akhbaar ki riwayat ke mutabiq, markazi bank ke andar ek source ne bataya ke salana ke ikhtitami dar ke pehle rate hike kar dena, saal ke ikhtitami dour mein ek aur izafa ki tehqiqat ke liye jaga chhod sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, haal ki data release ne zahir kiya ke Japan mein consumer inflation Bank of Japan ke 2% saalana hadaf se kai guna zyada hai. Mazeed, Japan ke bahar nikalne waale wage negotiations se muttafiqeen ke darmiyan wide-spread ittefaq ki bhi muzammat hai ke unki maangon ko pura kiya jaye. Is taraqqi ko agle maheenon mein inflation ko barhawa milna tawajju ko madde nazar rakhte hue samjha jata hai, jis se BoJ ke mazeed policy tighten karne ke imkaanat ko madad milti hai. Is natije mein, JPY ne Asian session ke doran kuch support paya jab ke Japanese authorities ke zariye mulki currency ko barqarar karne ke maamle par shakhein uthi.

Mukablay mein, Amreeki Dollar (USD) ne Asian trading hours mein halka sa kami dekha, peechle session mein hasool ki gayi izafaat ko juzvi tor par khatam kiya. March ki meeting mein interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla karne ke bawajood, Fed ka ye faisla ke is saal teen rate cuts hone ka tajwez dena bazaar ki fehmi par asar andaz hua. Magar is ke bawajood, buland US Treasury bond yields ne USD ko support jari rakha, currency ki istaqlal ko zahir kiya

Aage dekhte hue, market participants Jerome Powell ki mustaqbil ke doran taqreer ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo din ke dusre hisse mein manfiat ki raah ko roshni daal sakta hai aur short-term trading opportunities par asar daal sakta hai

Ek technical hawale se dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair ne aik mazboot intraday izafa mehsoos kiya, jo ke 151.75 zone ke qareeb ruka, basit saal ki pehli peak ke qareeb jo ke Wednesday ko set hui thi. Ek karkardagi breach ke baad multi-decade high jo ke October 2022 mein pohanchi gayi thi, 152.00 ke mark ke aas paas, mazeed bullish momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke January 2023 se observe ki gayi lambi term ki uptrend ko mazid barha sakta hai

Dollar/yen currency pair Asian session mein halkay izafa ke saath trade hui. Pair trading ke shuruaat mein nazar aayi magar yen bhi jald hi apni girawat ko major currencies ke khilaaf dubara shuru kar di; mujhe lagta hai pair pichle haftay ke highs par lautega. Pair ke barhne ka main jazeera ab bhi Japani currency ki kamzori hai. Is instrument ke liye, din ke pehle hisse mein ek aur neeche ki taraf ka tajziya kaafi mumkin hai, magar overall main umeed karta hoon ke upar ki raftar jari rahegi. Pair bullish control ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Ek mumkin mor 149.75 par hai, main is level ke upar kharidunga nishana 150.75 aur 151.25 ke saath. Beshak, ek doosra intikhab bhi hai: pair apni neeche ki taraf ka rukh dobara le sakta hai, 149.75 ke darja ko tor kar aur mazbooti se, phir rasta 149.45 aur 149.25 ke darjyon ko khol dega

Pichli aakhri kaam karne wale haftay ne humein ek neeche ki taraf ka junubi rukh dikhaya, aur ek lamba samay tak ke saman rukh, jo Bollinger indicator ke moving average line ka tootna ka natija tha, jo ke instrument ki ausat ke volatility ke saath ausat ke daire ko darust karta hai, ye rozana ka pattern moving average ko tor diya aur uttar ki taraf barh gaya, jo ke upar ki uttar ki raftar ki jaari rehne ki ishaaraat de sakta hai. Thursday ko rozana ki mombati ne humein ek bara pattern diya aur ek fractal indicator uske neeche aaya, jo ke kehta hai ke 148.90 ke darje par sahara hai jo currency pair ko aur niche nahi jaane deta, jo ke matab hai kaam karne ka global nishana 151.90 ke darja hai, jo ke pichle saal tak pohancha tha. Is mamlay mein, hamein ek double top trading pattern hai jo ek lambay arsay tak ke junubi durusti de sakta hai

USD/JPY pair ke technical outlook ke mutabiq, yeh zahir ho sakta hai ke akhir mein USD/JPY pair 151.00 round figure ki taraf girayega. Bullish sentiment ab bhi mojood hai kyun ke USD/JPY November 2022 mein paunchi multi-decade highs ke qareeb hai. Ahem intraday bullish momentum sirf Wednesday ke year-to-date high, yani 151.75 ke samne ruka. Yeh November 2022 mein paunchi multi-decade high, yani 152.00 ke qareeb note ki gayi thi. Agar yeh level convincing taur par guzara jata hai, to bullish traders isay shuruwat ka wazeh maqam samjhein ge. January 2023 mein shuru hui lambi mor par ab tak kaafi jaddo jehad ko USD/JPY pair par banaya jayega. Ulta, lagta hai ke koi maaynoos correction downturn pehla rate ko 151.00 level ke qareeb layega, jis ke neeche spot kharcha girne ki umeed hai. 150.25 ki taraf aur aik girawat aur ho sakti hai. Thori aur farokht hone se agle ahem sahara ko 149.35–149.30 ilaake mein pata chal sakta hai, khaaskar agar zehni 150.25 rukawat ko tor diya jaye.

Thursday ko Japanese yen (JPY) ki keemat mein aik numaya intraday ulte pulte ka saamna hua, jo ke pichle din ke saalana low ke qareeb gir gayi. Magar Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke mustaqbil ke coverage measures ke baray mein uncertainty ke darmiyan, is plan ka koi agla kadam nahi uthaya gaya. Is haftay se pehle, central bank ne ye zahir kiya tha ke wo aik mufeed monetary policy ko barqarar rakhega, lekin usne coverage normalization ka daur ka rukh nahi diya. Asian session ke doran, ek waqt par US dollar ki kamzori dekhi gayi, jo pichle din ke upar ki taraf ki ja rahi trend ko kamzor kiya, jo USD/JPY exchange rate ko mazeed nichay daba raha tha. Intehai, kharidar lagta hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ne budh ke din kam takleef deh coverage projections ko shaamil kiya tha.

مارچ 22 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

بدھ کو، ین نے 151.82 کی چوٹی کے ساتھ عالمی ہائپر چینل کی سرایت شدہ لائن کا تجربہ کیا۔ کل، قیمت اس مزاحمت پر قابو پانے میں ناکام رہی، کیونکہ فیڈرل ریزرو اور بینک آف انگلینڈ کے اجلاسوں کی وجہ سے یورپی کرنسیوں میں اتار چڑھاؤ آیا۔ یومیہ ٹائم فریم پر مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نیچے کی طرف بڑھنے کا ارادہ ظاہر کرنے لگی۔



تاہم، اگر ڈالر آگے بڑھتا رہتا ہے اور امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا 151.95 کے ہدف کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہوتا ہے، تو یہ 154.25 کے ہدف تک پہنچنے کے لیے ٹریک پر ہو سکتا ہے۔ اس کے آگے عالمی 12 سالہ چڑھتی قیمت چینل کی بالائی حد ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت آج صبح 151.82 کی سطح پر نشان زد ہوئی۔ اگر قیمت 151.95 تک پہنچ جاتی ہے، اور گرتی ہے، ترجیحاً آج کی موم بتی کے کالے رنگ کے طور پر بند ہونے کے ساتھ، مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ ایک تکنیکی اختلاف پیدا ہو جائے گا۔ یہ پہلی نشانی ہو سکتی ہے کہ قیمت 154.25 کی طرف نہیں بڑھے گی بلکہ اس کے بجائے روزانہ ٹائم فریم پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے ذریعے پہنچنے والی سطح کی طرف گہری اصلاح (148.82) میں تبدیل ہو جائے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Thursday ki candle mein bara jism aur lambi saaye hain, jo aik acha bearish signal hai. Dusri taraf, ye adhoora hai aur sirf thori si tarah se hammer ki misaal deta hai. Stochastic is harkat ka jawab diya aur ek sell signal diya, lekin ye saaf nahi hai ke kya girawat jaari rahegi. Quotes ab 34 dinon se 50-day average ke upar hain, aur ab tak pehli taraqqi kharidari par hai. ADX ke mutabiq, sirf ek flat hai, jiski nikat ka raasta ya to upar ya neeche ho sakta hai. 150.86 ke resistance level ka tootna oopri harkat ka jari rehna chahiye. Lekin sambhav hai ke Bank of Japan rashtriya currency ki murawat rokne ke liye videshi mudra intervention badha sakti hai. Aur is mamle mein, humein aik bearish trading week ka samna karna padega.
Peer ke subah, 4 ghante ka chart dekhte hue, US dollar/Japanese yen pair ki halat phir se uttar ki taraf samait rahi hai, jab ke quotes ne sideways trend ka mukhya hissa, 150.00 round level par gira. Yaad dila den ke neeche aur ek border hai, lekin kam bar bears ki taraf se 149.65 par, acha, amuman, keemat phir se barh rahi hai. Humare paas koi aur raasta nahi hai balki USD/JPY ke daam phir se upar ki taraf barhne ka muntazir hai 150.90 ke resistance test tak, jo aaj ke liye is currency pair ka muqami maximum hai aur bulls ko agle upar barhne mein rukawat banata hai, jo mid-February se shuru hui hai.

Halaanki maujooda madday mein rukawat ke andar, kisi bhi had tak mukarar rehne ka intezaar hai. Tawaqo ummeedwaaron ki taraf rukna hai jo upri had todne ka intezar kar rahe hain taake pair ke global maximum ko chunauti den aur shayad 152.20 ko bhi tajweez den.

Market Situation Analysis: USD/JPY (4-Ghante Ka Timeframe)
Aaj ke trading ke fayda-mand hone aur munafa-kam hone ki feasibility aur profitability ko Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD indicators ke signals ke nazar se jaanchna hoga. Ye indicators behtar dakhli taqat ki nishaandahi mein madad karte hain, jabke Fibonacci retracement levels par buniyad rakhkar potential exit points ko bhi madde-nazar rakha jayega.

Lagbagaye 4 ghante ka timeframe (H4) ke saath jura gaya chart ka jaeza lene par saaf hai ke pehla darja ka regression line (golden dotted line) neeche ki taraf mud raha hai, jo south ki taraf zor daar tezi ke sath point kar raha hai. Ye neeche ki taraf mudne wali trend ko aur zyada mazboot kar raha hai. Nonlinear regression channel, jo chart mein dikhaya gaya hai, neeche ki taraf fold hua hai aur upar se neeche guzra nahi sirf golden uptrend line LP balki linear channel ka support line (blue dotted line) bhi. Ab nonlinear regression channel south ki taraf mud raha hai aur bechne wale ki taqat ko tasdeeq kar raha hai.

Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD indicators ko mohlik signals ke liye dekha jana chahiye jo maujooda downtrend ke saath milte hain. Ye indicators se aane wala sell signal bearish sentiment ki tasdeeq karega aur market mein dakhil hone ka moqa pesh karega.

Agar ek kamiyabi se bharpoor trade kiya gaya, to tawajjo ko qareebi sudhar darjat par exit points ka pehchan karne par dena chahiye. Trading chart par extreme points par Fibonacci grid banane se exit points ka behtar planning kiya ja sakta hai. Ye approach traders ko munafa hasil karne aur potential nuksan ko kam karne mein madad karta hai.

Kul mila kar, USD/JPY pair mein saaf neeche ki taraf mudne wali trend ke maujud hone par, traders ko maqbool indicators se sell signals ke liye hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur maujooda market dynamics ka faida uthane ke liye apne dakhili aur kharijati tajarbat ko mansoob karne chahiye.

USD/JPY ke qeemat ko ab kharidar ki terf se barhawa de raha hai jo 151.48 zone ke oopar trading kar rahe hain, jis se is hafte bechne walon ki halat kamzor ho rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, Fed Chair Powell ka agla taqreer aaj bechne walon ko aur bhi kamzor ya mustehkam kar sakta hai. Aakhir mein, global ma'ashi daleelat aur monetary policy decisions market ke jazbat ko tay karte hain.

Mojooda waqt mein, sabhi nazar Tokyo aur Bank of Japan ke news data par hain, khaaskar monetary policies ke hawale se, jo USD/JPY ke bechne walon par dabaav dal raha hai. Ye manzar aise mahol ko peda karta hai jahan kharidar mauqe par qabza kar rahe hain yen ki mustaqil aur pur aitimad qeemat mein izafa karne ke liye.



Halanki aaj ka market kaafi had tak USD/JPY ke bechne walon ko pasand kar raha hai, lekin ehtiyaat ke saath nazdeeki ahem economic data ke izhar hone ki bhi surat mein, is par ghor karna wazeh hai. US Existing Home Sales, Be Rozgar Darja, Flash Manufacturing, aur Service Index jaise khususi metrics ke saath, USD/JPY market mein lachilapan mutawaqqa hai.
Aise lachilapan ke mahol mein, mufeed trend-following strategies ko paalna zaroori hai. Market ke mojooda jazbat ke khilaf tairne ki bajaye, traders ko is ke saath safar karna chahiye, us ke momentum ka istemal karke trading faislon ko inform karne ke liye. Stop-loss intezamat ko amal mein lanay se nuqsanat ko kam karne ka tawakul tayar ho sakta hai, agar achanak market mein tabdeeli aaye.

Ehtiyaat aur tajziyati tareeqe se apna dhang apnane se, traders apne aapko USD/JPY market ke complexities se guzarne ki ma'ashiyat mein jagah de sakte hain, harkaton ka faida uthate hue aur tabdeeli hote hue ma'ashi manzar mein mojood khatron ko kam karte hue. Kul mila kar, market ke mojooda positioning ka madhyaan dekhte hue, ek bechnay walay dhang pasand kiya jata hai, jahan ek taqwiyat ke aane ki umeed hai jald he 151.26 ke level ko test kiya ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:


Agar USDJPY pair mazeed upar jaata hai toh mujhe lagta hai ke resistance apne aap ko mehsoos karega, halankeh hum pehle se hi resistance area mein hain, jo is trading instrument ke purane waqt ke charts par wazeh hai. Isi wajah se main yahan hoon, yahan ke log market manipulation kar sakte hain, aur sachai yeh hai ke mujhe zyada nuqsan uthane ka irada nahi hai. Isi wajah se meri faisla is waqt ke liye ke yeh pair market ke bahar fence par rahna hai aur bas dekhte rehna hai ke USDJPY ka chart agla kya dikhaata hai. Agar hume sharp price movement dekhai deti hai jo upar ki taraf jaati hai aur phir tezi se neeche price girati hai, kahin accumulation area 149.97 mein, toh humein 150.88 ke level ko dyaan se monitor karna hoga, jahan se price 149.97 ke level se upar ja sakti hai test ke liye. Agar, aise haalaat mein, 150.88 ke level ko price upar jaane nahi deta, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, 150.88 ke level se humein tezi se neeche girna mumkin hai.


Mujhe vertical tick volume values par bhi tawajjo di jaati hai. Abhi pair ka quote 151.133 hai, aur trading Bollinger average ke oopar hai jo 150.778 hai, jo upar ki taraf ka trend jaari hone ka ishaara deta hai. Bollinger indicator do ahem levels ko highlight karta hai: upper level - 151.343 aur lower level - 150.214. 151.343 ke level par take profit set kar sakte hain, jabke 150.214 ka level bechnay ka maqsad ban sakta hai. Abhi bechnay ki conditions poori nahi hui hain; short position kholne ke liye sirf price 150.778 ke neeche fix ho jaaye toh wo hi relevant honge. Mehfooz hai ke Bollinger levels ke mutaabiq aise price distribution ke saath, saare long-term positions nuqsan mein band ho sakte hain. Is tarah, meri strategy abhi upar ki taraf trend jaari rakhne par mabni hai, lekin mujhe market ke tabdil hone ki gunjaayish par bhi muntazir rehne ka mauqa deti hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:


Maine (aur na sirf maine) ke dawaray par aazmaya gaya ek strategy hai jo mashhoor Relative Strange Index indicator par mabni hai, jiska default value hota hai. Jaise aap dekh sakte hain, sab kuch bohot saral hai, lekin mere tajurba aur tests ke mutabiq, ye mukhlis hai. Tasveer jo post ke saath jodi gayi hai, usko dekhte hue hum dekh sakte hain ke RSI indicator 70 zone tak pohanchta hai, jo ek signal hai ke bullish movement kamzor ho rahi hai. Shayad ab correction ka waqt ho ya phir trend reversal. Ye chart par price mark: 151.077 se bhi tasdeeq milta hai. Inn sab kuchh kaafi saral lekin samajhne wale bhi logon ke liye hota hai. Iske baad, hum bas market ke mutabiq bech dete hain. Minimum take profits 1 se 2 hote hain. Agar price meri disha mein lamba samay tak na chale, toh bas main haath gata dete hoon aur jo bhi hai, le leta hoon. Nuksan ko kam karne aur apna deposit bachane ke liye maine ikhtiyar kiya hai. Ant mein, hamare mushkil karobar mein hum lalach nahi kar sakte; hamesha khatron ke bare mein sochna chahiye. Minimum stop 15 points hota hai, current time frame par aakhri market extreme se.


Main samajhta hoon ke events bohot dilchasp ho rahe hain, kyunke dollar/japanese yen currency pair ke bulls ne kamyabi ke saath bears ki attack ka jawaab diya jo kal ke data par US Federal Reserve ki faisle ke baad kiya gaya tha ke wo interest rate ko barkarar rakhega aur iske iradon ko saal ke darmiyan kam karega, jahan tak ke char ghante ka chart hai aur ab, hum keh sakte hain, ke wo kal ke giravat ke wave ke zyada se zyada adha hissa wapas le chuke hain. Aur is ke ilawa, Bank of Japan ka bhi nafees interest rates se bahar nikalna, aik mayar mein, bilkul koi rol nahi ada kiya, halankeh ye aik ahem event tha aur Bank of Japan ne 2007 se pehli martaba -0.1% se 0 - 0.1% ke range par rate ko tabdeel kiya. Isliye, market ka reaction mujhe khaas tor par wazeh nahi lagta, lekin doosri taraf, ye bulls ki mazbooti aur unke iradon ke bare mein guftagu karta hai ke woh abhi tak USD/JPY pair ke global maximum ko 152.20 par naye karne ka irada rakhte hain pehle ke Japanese yen asal mein US dollar ke khilaf mazbooti dikhaye.

Mere (aur sirf mere) test ki gayi strategy, jo ke mashhoor Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par mabni hai default value ke saath. Jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, sab kuch bohot saada hai, lekin meri tajurbaat aur tests ke mutabiq, ye mazboot hai. Post ke saath joda gaya tasveer dekhte hue, hum notice kar sakte hain ke RSI indicator 70 zone tak pohanchta hai, jo ke bullish movement ki kamzori ka ishaara hai. Ye waqt ho sakta hai ek correction ka ya phir trend ke palatne ka. Ye bhi chart par price mark ke zariye tasdeeq ho jata hai: 151.077 In tamam kaafi saada lekin samajhne mein aasan tareeqon se manipulations ke baad, hum market ke mutabiq bechtein hain. Kam az kam take profits 1 se 2 hain. Agar price mairi taraf lambay arse ke liye nahi badta, toh mein bas apni haath band leta hoon aur woh le leta hoon jo mujhe pehle se mila hai. Main ghataon ko kam karne aur apna deposit mehfooz karne ke liye follow ki gayi role model. Aakhir mein, humare mushkil kaarobar mein hum lalach nahi kar sakte; humesha khatron ke bare mein sochna zaroori hai. Kam se kam stop 15 points hai, mojooda time frame par aakhri market extreme se.


Mujhe lagta hai ke events bohot dilchasp ho rahe hain, kyun ke dollar/yen currency pair mein bulls ne kamyabi se bears ke attack ka muqabla kiya jo ke kal ke data par US Federal Reserve ki faisla ke baad hua ke wo interest rate ko barqarar rakhega aur uski yeh rai ke wo isay saal ke doran kam karega, grow kar rahi Bollinger indicator ke bands ke darmiyan ke char ghante ke chart par aur ab, hum keh sakte hain, ke wo kal ki giraftari ke leye zyada se zyada setaadi kar chuke hain. Is ke ilawa, Japan Bank ka bhi parallel negative interest rates se nikalna, keh sakte hain, bilkul koi khas kirdar nahi ada kia, halankeh yeh aik ahem waqiya tha aur Bank of Japan ne 2007 se pehli baar rate ko -0.1% se 0 - 0.1% ke range mein badal dia. Is liye, market ka rad-e-amal mujhe shakhsan bohot saaf nahi lagta, lekin doosri taraf, ye bullish taur par mazboot position aur unki iraadon ka ishara hai ke wo abhi tak USD/JPY pair ka global maximum ko 152.20 par update karenge pehle Japan yen haqeeqat mein US dollar ke khilaf mazboot hoti hai.