usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

H4 Timeframe Analysis:

USDJPY pair ki mojooda dynamics ka tajziyatajzi karte hue, be-yaqeeni ka saaya hai jab yeh junior half ke andar resistance level ki taraf mael ho raha hai, jo ek ghantay ka doran me wazeh hai. Bearon ki iraadein mushkil se samajhne layak hain ek dor par ikhtiyar aur upar ki harkat ke darmiyan. Is chain market mahol mein saafiyat ki kami technical analysis ko mushkil bana deti hai, jo aik mufeed dakhli nukta-e-nazar ke liye dairmandi ki zaroorat hai aik lamba mojudah mein dakhil hone ka. Halat ke pesh gowahi ke zariye mohlik se chunotiyan barhane wale Williams' ikhtilaf aur nichlay half mein istehkam ki imtiazaiyat. Ye asrat ek mumkin mukhtasir lehr ko ishara dete hain, halankeh mukhtalif patterns se munasib lagte hain jo peechli currency pairs mein dekhe gaye hain. Is ke bawajood, 152.00 ke qareeb qayam shuda pehla resistance level ko chheen'ne mein bazaar ki mukhtalif jhijhak hai.
Khareedari orders khulne se inkar ka faisla ehtiyaat bhari tareeqay se hai jabke maazi mein mukhtalif primary resistance level ko paar karne mein mukhtalif mushkilat ka samna hai. Jahan tak tajziya ka imkaan hai, lamba dor ka barhta trend mojood hai, halankeh mazid mushkilat ki wajah se numaya primary resistance level ko paar karne mein mukhtalif pareshani ka samna hai. Analysis ke doraan, tawajju aik lambi position shuru karne ka ek zyada wazeh moqa intezar par hai is maharatmand market dynamics ke roshni mein. Bearon ki iraadein tawajju hasil hoti hain, lekin ek impulse aur upar ki harkat ki wajah se saafiyat ka inkaar hota hai. Technical analysis mein chunotiyan hone ke bawajood, aap ek mufeed moqa intezar kar rahe hain aik lambi position shuru karne ka. Fikar hai Williams' ikhtilaf aur nichlay half mein istehkam se, jo aik mumkin mukhtasir lehr ka ishara dete hain. Aap lamba dor ka barhne wale trend ko bina dhaayan diye hue chhod rahe hain aur khareedari orders khulne se inkar kar rahe hain jabke halaat ka nigrani karte hain, khaaskar 151.00 ke qareeb primary resistance level ko paar karne ki jang ke doraan.

H4 Timeframe outlook:


150.70 ke imtehan ne MACD line ka zero se izafa ke sath mila jisko ek kharidari sinyal kehlaya, jo ke 15 pips ki qeemat mein izafa ka bais bana.
Japan ke Khidmaton ka Paidar Musallat Keemat Maahir Index ke data ne market par koi khaas asar nahi dala, lekin mahangai mein kami ke report ne yen ko mazbooti di. Jab tak yen 150 ke oopar rahe, karobari dollar ko khareedna jari rahega, bull trend jari rahegi.

Lambi positions ke liye:
Kharidari karen jab keemat 150.59 (chart par hare rang ki line) tak pohanch jaye aur faida 150.83 par hasil karen. Izafa hoga rozana ke buland ya agar khareedne walon ko mahol ke sthaniya kamzoriyon se bachane mein kamiyabi milti hai.

Kharidari karte waqt, yeh dekhen ke MACD line zero ke upar hai ya isse oopar uth rahi hai. USD/JPY ko kharidne ka tawazo tab karen jab 150.42 ke do mazid keemat imtehan hote hain, lekin MACD line oversold ilaqe mein honi chahiye, kyun ke sirf is tarah market 150.59 aur 150.83 par ulta hoga.

Choti positions ke liye:
Bechne ka faisla karen jab keemat 150.42 (chart par surkhi rang ki line) tak pohanch jaye aur faida 150.15 par hasil karen. Dabao wapas ayega sthaniya buland ke doraan kamiyabi ke mamoor ghati. Magar trend ke khilaf bechne mein ehtiyat rakhen.

Bechne ke doran, yeh dekhen ke MACD line zero ke nichay hai ya isse neeche jati hai. USD/JPY ko bechne ka tawazo tab karen jab 150.59 ke do mazid keemat imtehan hote hain, lekin MACD line overbought ilaqe mein honi chahiye, kyun ke sirf is tarah market 150.42 aur 150.15 par ulta hoga.

Chart par kya hai:
Patli hare rang ki line - USD/JPY ko kharidne ki keemat
Moti hare rang ki line - Keemat jahan par aap Take-Profit (TP) lagasakte hain ya haath se munafa hasil kar sakte hain, kyun ke is se aage ke izafa mumkin nahi hai.
Patli surkhi rang ki line - USD/JPY ko bechne ki keemat
Moti surkhi rang ki line - Keemat jahan par aap Take-Profit (TP) lagasakte hain ya haath se munafa hasil kar sakte hain, kyun ke is se aage ke girawat mumkin nahi hai.
MACD line - Market mein dakhil hone par overbought aur oversold ilaqon ke mutabiq chalne mein ahmiyat hai.



Ahem: Naye karobariyon ko market mein dakhil hone ke faislon par bohot ehtiyat bartni chahiye. Ahem reporton ke ijlas se pehle, market mein dakhil hone se behtar hai taake aap tezi se tabdeel hone wale daroohat se bach saken. Agar aap khabron ke ijlas ke doran trade karna chunen, to hamesha nuksan ko kam karne ke liye stop orders lagayen. Stop orders lagaye baghair, aap apna pura deposit bohot jaldi kho sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap paisay ka nigrani nahi karte aur bade maqamiat par trade karte hain.

Aur yaad rakhen ke tijarat mein kamiyabi ke liye, aapke paas ek saaf tijarati mansuba hona chahiye. Fizool tijarati faislon par adharit baghair tay kiya gaya tijarat faisla ek din ka trader ke liye haarne wala mansuba hai.

Technical Analysis aur Trading Strategy ka Tajzizia
H1 timeframe par aala ko takneeki tajziya ke mutabiq, quotes mein izafa par trading bohot munasib nazar ata hai. Market deal ka algorithm, jo acha munafa hasil karne ke lehaz se sab se faidemand hai, kuch ahem pehli shirayat ka majmooa hai. Sab se pehle, hamein higher timeframe H4 par mojooda trend ki asal rah ka durust andaza lagana zaroori hai, taake hum market ke jazbat ka ghalat andaza na lagayen, jo ke maali nuqsaan ka sabab ban sakta hai. To chaliye, aaj ke din humare aala ke chart ko 4 ghante ka timeframe rakhtay hain aur mukhya shirayat ka jaiza lete hain - H1 aur H4 time periods par trend ki harkat ko zaroori tor par ek dosray ke sath mutabiq hona chahiye. Is tarah, pehli qaid ka pura honay ka jaiza le kar, hum yeh yaqeeni bana lete hain ke aaj market humein long position mein dakhil hone ka behtareen moqa deta hai.



Mazeed tajziya mein, hum teen kaam kartay huay indicators ke isharon par mabni hongay - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hum woh waqt ka intezar karte hain jab Hama aur RSI indicators green aur blue rang mein tabdeel ho jatay hain, jo ke asal tasdeeq hai ke ab kharidaron ko mojooda market par hukoomat hai. Jab yeh hota hai, hum ek khareedari trade khol lete hain. Hum position ko indicators ke mutabiq band karte hain. Aaj, signal ko execute karne ke liye sab se mutawaqqa levels darj zail hain - 151.596. Aglay, hum chart par tawajjo se dekhenge ke qeemat is muntakhib magnetic level ke qareeb pohanchte waqt kaise ravaan hoti hai, aur faisla karenge ke agay kaise barhna hai - kya market mein position chhodna chahiye mazeed magnetic level tak, ya phir pehle se kamaya hua munafa lena chahiye. Ehsas e munafa barhane ke liye, trailing stop ko faa'al kiya ja sakta hai.

USDJPY Pair Ki Mojudah Dynamics Ki Tashkeel Ka Jaiza

USDJPY pair ki mojudah dynamics ka jaiza lenay mein ghaibanaati ka saaya hai jab yeh resistance level ki taraf khich raha hai junior half mein, jo aik ghantay ke doran zahir hota hai. Bearon ki iradon mein shakhsiat ghair wazeh hai dono impulse aur urooj ke harkat ke manzar ke darmiyan. Is sukoonati market mahol mein shafaaf nahi hony ki wajah se technical analysis mein complexity barh jati hai, jo aik faida mand dakhil karne ke liye sabar ki zaroorat hoti hai long position mein. Situasiyon ke uljhanay Williams' divergence aur lower half mein mabaish ke challenges se mukhtalif hoti hain. Yeh tafreehain ek mumkin mufeed lehar ki taraf ishara karti hain, halaanki peechlay currency pairs mein dekhi gayi patterns se mukhtalif hoti hain. Is ke bawajood, 152.00 ke qayam kar resistance level ko torne mein market ki mushkilat ki wajah se puri tarah mutabaadil karne ki jhijak hoti hai.




Khareedari orders kholne se inkar ka faisla ehtiyaat bhari taur par qareebi dor ki market shraitaat ko nigrani mein rakhne ke saath karte hain. Lambi dor ke izafati trend, jis ki maujoodgi hai, ko mustard samjha jata hai kyunki barqiyaat darj e zail mukablay ke sabiq primary resistance level ko guzarne mein masroof rehti hai. Jab tak analysis jaari rehti hai, tawajju aik saaf moqa ka intezar par mabni hoti hai long position shuru karne ke liye roshni mein markazi market dynamics. Bearon ki iradon ka intezar hai, lekin shafafgi ki kami ka shikwa hai ek impulse aur urooj ke harkat ki wajah se. Technical analysis ke challenges ke bawajood, aap ek faida mand moqa ka intezar kar rahe hain long position shuru karne ke liye. Fikron ki uthati hain Williams' divergence aur lower half mein mabaish se, jo ek mumkin mufeed lehar ki taraf ishara karte hain. Lambi dor ke izafati trend ko rad kar diya jata hai aur khareedari orders kholne se inkar kiya jata hai jab ke situation ko nigrani mein rakha jata hai, khaaskar 151.00 ke qayam kar primary resistance level ko torne ki ladaai ke taqreeban.

Moujooda surat-e-haal mein yen market mein, meri pehli tahqeeq sirf shumal ki taraf hai. Wajah yeh hai ke rozana ka harkat-pasand aurat ab tak 148.10 ke darje tak nahi pohanchi hai aur mazeed buland jaari hai. Moujooda market ke halat mein, mazeed izafa ke liye bohot zyada jagah hai, is liye har rukawat ko janub ki taraf ek mohtasib moqa samjha jaa sakta hai 148.10 ke darje tak lambi positions kholne ka. Agli hafte koi ahem khabrein wada nahi karti, is liye agar tail ke daamon mazeed buland rehna jaari rakhte hain, to hum yen ka kamzor hona mutawaqqa kar sakte hain. Ye amal kareebi nigrani ki zaroorat hai, kyunki yeh dollar ke tanasub ka aik ahem aghaz hai, jo phir ek di gayi currency pair ki taraf puri tor par tasleem kiya jata hai. Pichli hafton ki khabron ka koi asar is currency pair ke trading dynamics par kuch bhi nahi tha, kyunki dhamake ke dauran quotes maamoolan be-tahasha baqi rahe. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke bearish camp ne bullish camp se zyada sargarmi dikhai. Is ke sath, peechle walon ke liye mazeed izafa ke liye asaasain hain. Bari khabron ke bawajood, market ahem harkat dikhane ki sakti hai. Bohot dafa hua hai ke market guzishta waqiyat ke aghaz se pehle lamha bhar mein un par rad-e-amal karna shuru kar deta hai. Is maamlay mein ehmiyat hai ke early February mein Fed mulaqat karne wale hain, aur waqt mid-February ke qareeb aa raha hai.
Chart par aap dekh sakte hain ke pehla degree regression line (soni dotted line), aala ka rukh aur moqarar time frame (time-frame H4) par mojooda asal trend ka halat dikha rahi hai, jo ke oopar ki taraf muntazim hai, jo tajziyat shudah aala ki prevailing upar ki taraf trend movement ko dikhata hai. Nonlinear regression channel ka graph dikhata hai ke yeh oopar ki taraf morr raha hai, jis se yeh zahir hota hai ke kharidar jo ke aktiv taur par keemat ko izafa karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur nahi chate ke unka dominant mansab bechne dein

H1 timeframe par instrument ki market situation ka tajziya aaj ke liye munafa kamane ki bulandi ko dikhata hai, ek munafa bhara kharid ka muamla khatam karke. Market mein dakhil hone ka sab se behtareen waqt tay karna kai zaroori shara'it ko shaamil karta hai. Sab se ahem baat ye hai ke aap ko zyada H4 timeframe par chal rahe trend ka rukh tay karna hai, taake market ke mizaj mein ghalti na ho. Is ke liye, aaiye humare instrument ka 4 ghantay ka time frame chart kholain aur mukhtasir qawaid ko check karein - H1 aur H4 time periods par trend movements milna chahiye. Is tarah, pehle qawaid ko pura karte hue, hum yeh yaqeeni banate hain ke aaj market humein aik acha mauqa deta hai taake lamba trade kholain. Hum Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ki taraf dekhte hain ke wo neela aur hara ho gaye hain, jo sab se bari saboot hai ke buyers abhi bohot zyada strong hain sellers se. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum aik kharid ka order khol lete hain. Tehreek se bahar transaction magnetic levels indicator ke signals ke mutabiq hoti hai. Aaj, signals process karne ke liye sab se mutaqarar levels 147.106 hain. Ab sirf yehi baqi hai ke chart par nazar rakhein ke price magnetic level ke qareeb jaate waqt kaisa behave karta hai, aur mushkil faisla karein ke agle magnetic level tak position ko market mein rakhna chahiye, ya kamai hui munafa leni chahiye.

Bull aaj khush hain US dollar/Japanese yen pair mein, aur aam tor par, American dollar aaj puray market mein behtar taraqqi kar raha hai; mukhtalif pair ke lehaz se, hum dekhte hain ke quotes ne 146 figure ke darmiyan pohanch kar unhein oper ki taraf breakout ke liye test kar rahe hain, jo ke Murray indicator ke zareye ek resistance level ke tor par darj nahi hai, lekin hum nange aankhon se bhi wazeh tor par dekh sakte hain ke ye mojood hai, aur main ne screen par ye level kyun ahem hai is waqt, mazeed note kiya hai. To, mojooda waqt mein USD/JPY pair ke quotes 146.46 ke darj par hain, jab ke price ne ab tak mojooda local maximum ko update kar liya hai, haan ke thori miqdar mein, aur H4 stochastic ne ek neeche ki taraf muddat ka ishaara dena shuru kiya hai, jo ke matlab hai ke bulls ka minimum maqsad pehle hi mukammal ho gaya hai.

Magar main yeh manta hoon ke, tezi se barh kar, bulls aasani se ab tak current trading echelon ke 8/8 ke mukhtalif resistance ko pakar sakte hain, kareeb 146.88 ke as paas.

Yeh bulls ke liye faida mand hoga, kyun ke is manover ke baad unhein ek correction ki ijaazat mil sakti hai, jahan 7/8 ke reversal level 146th figure ki shuruaat par support ban jaayega aur baad mein, movement ko jari rakhne ka mouqa mil sakta hai jaisa ke mera screen dikhata hai

Piruwan ko munday ko kisi bhi mool ka koi zyada nahi hua tha, US dollar ka japani yen ke mutalliq ka jo pattern puray haftay mein dekha gaya. Is bay khabri ka koi bara bazaar ko hilane wala factor ya ma'ashiyati announcements ke kuch hissa is sust performance mein shamil nahi hua. Yeh marhala aglay wafir harkat se pehle stabilize hone ka waqt maloom hota hai. Chhoti si kami mumkin hai, lekin yeh strategic investments ke liye ek munasib dakhil karne ka nukta faraham kar sakta hai, khaaskar jab 50-day EMA 148 yen ke qareeb hota hai. Agar koi wazeh taslees hoti hai, toh yeh level shamil hone ka ek dilchaspi ka mauqa paish kar sakta hai.
USD/JPY
1. 152 yen level traders ke liye nazar rakhne ke liye aham hai.
2. Agar dollar is level ko tor sakta hai, toh yeh aur zyada log dollar khareedne par majboor honge, jo ke daam ko mazeed buland kar sakta hai.
3. Amreeki aur Japani mofaad daro mein farq dollar ke liye fayda mand hai, jis se dollar mazboot hota hai.
4. Yeh mojooda trend kuch arsay se chal raha hai, jo ke is ke badalne ka koi sabab nahi hai.

Japan se mukhtalif rukawaton aur konsuliyat ka samna hone ke bawajood, Japan Bank apne bhari qarz ki wajah se mufid daron ko barhane mein qabu nahi pa sakti. Mufid daron ko barhane se is qarz ki adaigi mumkin nahi hoti. Is natije mein, US dollar yen ke khilaf apna manfi rukh jari rakhega. Yeh manzar tabdeel ho sakta hai agar mufid dar barqarar rahein. Halankeh aglay surge ka trigger ghair yaqeeni hai, lekin aam trend ko dekhte hue ek istiqamat ka raasta ikhtiyar karna behtar hai.

USDJPY: Baicharnay Ki Mumkinat Ka Jaiza

Subah ka doosra muzakra USDJPY par jari hai, jahan rozana ki candle par hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh pair ab bhi ek qabil-e-bardaasht bullish trend mein hai jo 2024 se shuru hua hai aur ab tak jari hai, agar hum dhiyan dein toh USDJPY mein manzar yeh hai ke yeh asal mein zyada tar chhote bullish harkatien kartay hain, jahan unhein 151.0 ilaqay ko dobara torne mein mushkilat ka samna hai, jo pichle haftay ke bara harkat ke baad lagta hai ke USDJPY abhi bhi apni pehli shohrat ko barqarar karne mein kuch mushkilat ka saamna kar raha hai aur agar halat aise hain, toh asal mein raasta palat sakte hain aur waqtan-fa-waqtan BB ke darmiyan qareeb bhi ja sakte hain, sath hi oscillator bhi yeh dikhane laga hai ke ek kamiyat ka moqa abhi bhi mojood hai.

Technical Overview - Bullish Channel Breakout, USDJPY Ka Neeche Janay Ka Khatra.

Technical Reference: 150,690 ke neeche bechana jab tak ke, Resistance 1: 150,620 Resistance 2: 150,690 Support 1: 150,335 Support 2: 150,255

Ooper di gayi ek ghante ki chart par, USDJPY ne ulte (upar se neeche) ka signs dikhana shuru kiya hai, yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke qeemat ka bullish channel ilaqa se bahar nikalne ki salahiyat aur abhi qeemat uth rahi trendline ke ilaqe ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, MA jo chal rahi qeemat se upar hai aur OsMA jo negative ilaqe mein dabaav mein hai, is bearish nazar ko bhi mazbooti deta hai.

Ek ghante ki chart par kiye gaye tajziya ke mutabiq, is 15 minute ke time frame par, USDJPY girne ki mumaaslat ko bhi dikhata hai kyun ke zigzag indicator jo ek bearish structure banane laga hai. Agar ooper di gayi surat haal milta julta hai to USDJPY ko 150.255 ke support level tak pohanchne ka moqa hai.

USD/JPY Tafseeli Tehqiqat aur Uptrend Mazboot Hai

USD/JPY pair ki qeemat musbat ilaqa mein mustahkam hai, likhnay ke waqt 150.70 resistance ke qareeb qaim hai, aur jaisa ke maine pehle bhi kaha tha, jab tak nafsiyati factors maujood na hon, pair ka overall trend aagey barqarar rahega. Investors ab 150.00 ke ooper resistance ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo is haftay ke aakhri dino mein U.S. inflation data ke saath saath Fed ke pasandida U.S. economic growth data ka intezar kar rahe hain apni taqdeer tay karne ke liye.

Mukhtalif, global financial stress mein kami ne yen par munfarid transactionon ki kashish ko barha diya hai aur currency ki kami ko barha diya hai, jo ke Japani authorities ki mudakhlat ka imkan barha deta hai. Bank of America ka global financial stress index pichle haftay char saal ke record kam par gir gaya, jo risky assets ke liye investors ki shauqeeni ko zahir karta hai.

Aam tor par, Bank of Japan traders ke pehle se zyada ummidon ke mutabiq monetary policy ko dheere dheere tight karega, jis se mukhtalif currency ka local currency ke khilaf recover hone ka daaira mehdood ho jayega, khaaskar dollar ke khilaf jab ke U.S. yields G10 markets mein sab se zyada hain. Haal hi mein wazeh taur par key economies ki data mein izafa ne U.S. aur European policymakers ko qareebi interest rate cuts se darta howa rehne par majboor kiya hai.

Speculators yen ka mazeed girne ka shart lagate hain. U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission ki data ke mutabiq, leveraged funds aur asset managers ke mila julakar net short yen positions pichle haftay 2022 ke darmiyan se sab se zyada level par pohanch gaye hain.

Aaj ka USD/JPY tajziya:

Rozana chart ke performance ke mukhtalif tareeqon se, USD/JPY pair ki qeemat ab bhi barh rahi hai aur trend jab tak 150.00 ke nafsiyati resistance ke ooper mustahkam rahega, wo barqarar rahega, jab tak Federal Reserve ki mehdood policies aur Bank of Japan ki manfi interest rates se kisi ijtemaiht ki na ho aur United States aur Japan ki maeeshat ke darmiyan talluq jaari rahe. Is haftay key U.S. economic data se aane wale musbat natayej bulon ko ziada taqat dene ki umeed hai, aglay ahem resistance levels 150.85, 151.30, aur 152.00 hain, jin ke technical indicators apne peechlay levels se mazboot rukh dikha rahe hain. Qeemat pehle se hi Overbought hai, Japan ke market mein mudakhlat hone ki baat bari shor goi se ho rahi hai taake currency ko mazeed girne se bachaya ja sake.

EUR/USD mein aaj market chhota sa gap ke saath khula tha, jo ab band ho chuka hai aur ab tak Asia session mein bechne walay apni positions ko hold kar rahe hain aur mujhe lagta hai ke nazdeeki aina support level kaam ayega, jo mere markings ke mutabiq 1.08055 par waqay hai. Jaise maine pehle bhi kai dafa kaha hai, is support level ke nazdeek halat ke do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar is se mutaliq hai ke is level ke neeche qeemat ko mazboot karna aur mazeed janubi harekat. Agar yeh mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main qeemat ko support level 1.06949 par ya support level 1.06561 par janay ka intezar karunga. In support levels ke qareeb, main tijarat ke agay ka rukh mukarrar karne mein madadgar ek trading setup ki tawaqo rakhoonga. Yahan tak ke doosra maslahat janubi nishano ki kaamyaabi ka hai, jisme se aik, mere markings ke mutabiq, 1.05211 par waqay hai, lekin yahan, beshak, aap ko halat ka jayeza lena hoga aur sab kuch us par munhasar hoga ke daam phirne ke saath kis qism ki khabar ka sath milta hai aur qeemat design kiye gaye door ka janubi nishano par kis tarah ka react karta hai. Nazdeeki aina support level 1.08055 ke qareeb pohanchte waqt qeemat ki harekat ka ek alternative mansuba ek murnay wali mombatti banane aur shumali harekat ka dobara shuruh hone ka hai. Agar yeh mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main agle koshish ka intezar karunga ke buyers ko resistance level 1.08883 par ya resistance level 1.09323 par janay mein madad milti hai.
In resistance levels ke qareeb, main tijarat ke neeche ki signals ki talash jari rakhunga, ke qeemat ki neeche ki taraf ki harekat ka dobara shuruh hone ka intezar hai. Aam tor par, isse seedhe kaha ja sakta hai, aaj, maujooda murnay ki signal se jo 1.0883 ke level se bani hai, mujhe shakhsi tor par janubi harekat ko jari rakhne ki zyada rujhan hai, lekin main chahunga ke qeemat ko nazdeeki aina support level ke neeche mazboot karne ke liye intezar karo, taake gehri janubi harekat ke mansube ko ghoorna mumkin ho

Eurusd pair ke peechle tijarat hafte ke ikhtitami mein, buyers bohot faalat thi aur unki barhne wali harekat ke natije mein, hum pehle 1.0848 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaye, aur phir usay toorna, lekin iske upar jamakar mazbooti ke sath ikhtitam ke baad, seriou mushkilat paida ho gayi thi, haan ke volumes bohot zyada the, jo ke 1.0848 ke level ke murnay aur ulta toorna ke baad, barey bears ke dakhilay ke ek koshish ke nazar aate hain, aur aaj hamein in positions ka mazeed amal ke ishare mein dekhnay ke bohot zyada chance hain ek mazeed dollar ka mazboot hona ki surat mein

Technical analysis of USDJPY:

Moujooda USDJPY pair ki market ke manzar nama par, chal rahi urooj wali rah ka paigham hai. Lekin, milawat ki kami ek khatra lay kar samne aa sakti hai, jo bhalehiyon ko qabu karne aur yen ko neechay dabaane ki ijaazat de sakti hai. USD/JPY rozana M30 time frame chart ke support level tak ya mazeed 150.512 tak girne ki mumkinat hain, jis se ek taraf ko doranay wala channel ban sakta hai. Is ke bawajood, haal hi mein market ki garam jazbaat ka dawam hai, jahan qeemat ko kull rezistens level tak pohanchne ki tamanna zahir hai. Lekin, is maqasid ko hasil karne ke liye mushkilat ka samna hai. Rozana ka chart signals ka tajziya karna, upar ki tor par nikalne ki mumkinat ko mazid taqat deta hai, jo halaat ke paicheedgi ko nazar andaz karta hai.


USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ke rawayya par mojooda haalat muzakarati ka mawad ban gaya hai. Trend support line ko tor kar, currency pair ek tang horizontal channel mein 149.76-150.57 ke darmiyan karobari hai lagbhag ek haftay se, aur koi tootne ki alaamat nahi hain. USD/JPY tezi se barhne ke baad ek waqtanwi rukawat le raha hai, shayad dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se jabke Japanese currency thahri hui hai. Jabke doosri currencies se ubhaar ke nishaan dikhate hain, yeh jora abhi tak be-haal hai. Magar, Federal Reserve ki taaza khabrein market mein kuch garmi daal sakti hain. Abhi, USDJPY pair bullish control ke neechay hai, 150.16 par karobari hai jis ka charam 150.15 hai. Technical indicators jaise MACD aur Parabolic bullish jazbat ko support karte hain, khareedne ke mauqe ko ishaara dete hain. Keemat barhegi, 151.07 ki nishandahi ke saath aur doosra maqsad 151.54 hai.


New York ke haal hi mein hone wale karobari daur mein, achanak keemat mein girawat thi. Magar jab yeh urooj rukh ke nichle had tak pohancha, to yeh sabit hua ke yeh mazboot hai, jis se short-term khareedari ke mauqe nazar aaye. 150.77 ke upar tootne se khareedari rukh ka jari rahna tasdeeq karega. Jabke karobarion ko mojooda manzar par safar karte hain, sabar aur chaukasi ahem sifat hongi. Halankeh USD/JPY qareebi muddat mein mazeed mustaqil ho sakta hai, lekin aik tootne ya palat jane ka imkaan hamesha maujood hai, jo munasib khatarnak zarb-e-azb aur ek naram tarz-e-karobar ki ahmiyat ko izhar karta hai.

USD/JPY H4 TIME FRAME

Yeh mumkin hai ke trade 150.90 tak barh sake, jahan par trading
hoti hai. Wahan se, izafa jaari reh sakta hai. Itni sambhavna hai ke trade 150.28 mein toot na jaaye, aur agar hum uske neeche jam ho jaayein, to yeh ek behtar signal hoga bechnay ka. Abhi, ek bohot choti izafa ke baad, izafa jaari reh sakta hai. 150.70 ke negative range mein trading ke zariye keemat ko neeche le jaana madadgar hoga. Abhi, hum izafa dekh sakte hain, aur hum 150.35 par trade ko toot sakte hain. Agar hum uske neeche jam ho jaayein, to yeh bechnay ka ek signal hoga. 150.25 ke range ke andar trading abhi tak toot nahi gayi hai, aur yeh neeche girne ki sambhavna hai. Jab hum ise toden aur neeche jam ho jaayein, to yeh keemat mein izafa ka signal hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke 150.30 ke range ko toden aur neeche jam ho jaayein, jo phir bechnay ka ek signal hoga. Abhi, ek fitri izafa ke saath, hum 150.30 ke range ko toden aur neeche jam ho jaayein, jo bechnay ka ek behtar signal hoga. 150.30 ke range ke andar trading hai, aur wahan se girawat jaari reh sakti hai. Jab hum 150.75 ke trading range ko toden aur uske neeche jam ho jaayein, to yeh bechnay ka ek signal hoga. Sab se pehle, ehmiyat hai ke mojudah dor (time-frame H4) ke saath joda gaya chart wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke pehli darja ka regression line (zardi dhaari dhabba line), jo ke asaas ke rukh aur mojooda trend ko dikhata hai, wazeh tor par oopar ki taraf mukhatab hai, ek tikh angle par, jo ke ek bohot taqatwar trend ki bewaqt lihaaz se chalne ka ishara hai, jis mein shumali rukh ki baarguzida harkat hai. Ghair linear regression channel ka graph dikhata hai ke yeh oopar ki taraf mukhatab hai, jo ke khareeddaar ki koshishon ko dikhata hai jo ke keemat ke izafa ke jariye jari rakhna chahte hain aur farokht karne walon ko apni mukhdomana position ko nahi dene ka irada rakhte hain. Keemat ne linear regression channel ke 2-nd Level ResLine ka surkhi rang se resistance line ko guzar diya, lekin yeh 150.917 ke zyadaat say zyada keemat (HIGH) tak pohanch gayi, iske baad woh apni izafa band kar di aur mustaqil tor par girne lagi.

Consumer prices january mein 2.2% tak kam hote hue, jo pehle saal ki march se sab se kam tha, aur core inflation 2% tak, asal data taqreeban tawaqquat se behtar nikla. Ye wajah ban gaya "afsaron par sher o shayari, haqiqat par bechayari" ka amal karne ka. Halankeh Moody's Analytics ka khayal hai ke Bank of Japan ko raat ke rate ko zero ke upar uthana mushkil hoga, aur future market monetary policy ki dhimi normalization ki taraf mutawajjeh hai, lekin phir bhi April mein shuruat honay wali hai. Ye hoosiyaar yen parwaraan mein umeed jaga rahi hai. Pehle do mahinon ke aakhir tak, 2024 mein, us ne mukhtalif currencies ke muqable mein U.S. dollar ke khilaf 6.5% se kamzor ho gaya tha, federal funds rate ke muqaddame ke qismat par market ke nazariye ki nayi tajziya, BoJ ki monetary rukao ki dhimi umeed, aur global risk appetite mein izafa ki wajah se. Sach mein, Bank of America ke mashhoor financial stress indicator ne apni aakhri chaar saalon ki sab se kam level tak girne wala hai. Isi surat mein, carry trade operations ka mashhoor hona barh raha hai, aur yen asal funding currency ke tor par nuqsan utha rahi hai. USD/JPY ke liye ek aur bullish factor non-residents of Japan ke darmiyan currency risk hedging ki ziada talab hai. Unhe Japanese stock indices ke 34 saal ki record unchaaiyon se mutasir hote hue kharidte hue dekha gaya hai. Stocks kharid kar, ghair mulki investors sath hi yen ko bhi bechte hain takay emerging risks ko hedge karen

Magar, meray khayal mein, Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke monetary policies ke izafiyaat zyada ahem hain, aur financial stress indicator itna lamba arsa itna kam rehna namumkin hai. Sirf presidential elections cheezon ko nihayat tabdeel kar sakti hain! Agar Donald Trump sarkar mein aaye, to U.S. foreign policy intehai unpredictable ho jayegi. Ghair yaqeeni waza taqwiyat karne ki wajah se Forex ke dollar pairs ki volatility barh jayegi aur carry trade operations ki kashish kam hogi. Yen kuch zakham bhar sakti hai.
March mein, USD/JPY par oopar ki taraf ka trend badalne ka khatra hai, kyunke Japan mein inflation mein neeche ki taraf ka trend hone ke bawajood, BoJ phir bhi raat ke rate ko uthayegi. Ye Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ke hal hi mein di gayi tajwizat ke taqreeban izhaar mein ishara hai ke deflationary soch se inflationary soch ki taraf tabdeeli mein taraqqi ho rahi hai

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:


Dollar ab kamzor ho raha hai, jo ke USDJPY pair par dabao nahi daal raha. Yeh pair asal mein abhi bhi bullish hai, rozana ka time frame dekhte hue resistance ko test kar raha hai jo ke 150.89 ke price par hai. To agar yeh resistance ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh peechle andar kiya gaya pattern ka paanchva projection, jo ke 151.66 ke price par hai, tak wapas ja sakta hai. Yeh bhi agle projection ki taraf jaane ka mouqa kholega. Magar agar yeh inkaar kar diya jata hai, to yeh zyada tar mother bar ke taraf pull back kar sakta hai, jiska support 149.25 ke price par hai. Waisay, intraday position ne H4 time frame mein triangle pattern ke apex ko cross kar liya hai, niche ki taraf girne mein nakami ke baad. To agar yeh divergent zone ke upper line ke ooper rehta hai jo ke triangle pattern ke through bana hai, to yeh project ke direction mein increase jaari rakh sakta hai, jo ke 151.90 ke price range mein hai. Khaaskar agar yeh andar kiya gaya pattern ka nauva projection paar kar leta hai, jiska sabse nazdeek ka resistance 151.17 se 151.27 ke prices par hai.


Magar agar yeh triangle pattern ke base ko paar nahi kar pata, jo ke 150.99 ke price par hai, to yeh nichle line ke area mein push ho sakta hai jo ke divergent zone ke RBS area ke 150.14 ke price par hai. Lekin agar hum thora aur ghor karein to kam az kam USDJPY pair ki movement khud mein zyada tar upar ki taraf rukh rahi hai jo ke maamoolan chhote aur maamoolan mayaar ke hain, jo kam az kam ek khayal deta hai ke USDJPY apne price ko hold karne ki koshish kar raha hai taake yeh zyada ooncha na ude aur November ke aakhri haftay mein sab se uncha area ke qareeb na pohanchay. Agar hum ab mojooda pattern ko dekhein, to USDJPY 150.9 area mein phans gaya nazar aata hai, jahan agar yeh resistance area nahi paar kiya ja sakta, to USDJPY ko phir se ooncha uthna bohot mushkil hoga.

Dollar ab kamzor ho raha hai, ye USDJPY jodi par dabao nahi daal raha. Ye jodi haqeeqat mein ab bhi bullish hai, rozana waqt ke fraim mein aakhri maa ki bar se resistance ka imtehan leti hui hai jo ke 150.89 ke qeemat par hai. To agar ye resistance ko paar kar leti hai, to mukhtalif andaruni bar pattern ki panchwan projection tak wapas ja sakti hai jo ke 151.66 ke qeemat par hai. Ye bhi agle projection par chalne ke liye mauqa khol dega. Magar agar iska inkar hota hai, to ye zyada tar maa ki bar ke taraf pull back kar sakta hai apne support ke taraf jo ke 149.25 ke qeemat par hai. Is dauran, din bhar ke waqt mein jodi ne H4 waqt ke fraim mein triangle pattern ke apex ko paar kar liya hai jab niche wale projection ke niche girne mein kamiyabi nahi mili. To agar aap divergent zone ke upper line ke upar rehenge jo ke triangle pattern ke dwara banaye gaye hai, to aap mutawaqqa rukh mein izafa jaari rakheinge, qeemat ke range 151.90 par. Khas tor par agar ye andaruni bar pattern ke nauwan projection ko paar kar ke apne qareebi resistance tak ka safar tay kare, ya'ni qeemat 151.17 se 151.27

Magar agar ye triangle pattern ke base ko paar nahi kar paata, jo ke 150.99 ke qeemat par hai, to ye zyada se zyada divergent zone ke nichle line area mein daba diya ja sakta hai jo ke qeemat par 150.14 par hai. Lekin agar hum tawajjo dein aur zyada qareebi nazar daalain to kam az kam USDJPY jodi ki movement khud mein wakai zyada tar sirf upar ki taraf jaane wali hai jo ke ghair ahem aur choti karkardagi ko shumar kiya jata hai, jo kam az kam ek khayal deta hai ke USDJPY qeemat ko qayam rakhne mein lar rahi hai taake ye zyada uncha na ude aur November ke aakhri haftay mein unchaai ke qareeb na pahunche. Agar aap mojooda pattern dekhein, to USDJPY 150.9 ke area mein phansa hua nazar aata hai, jahan agar ye resistance area paar nahi kiya ja sakta, to USDJPY ko phir se upar jaane mein bohot mushkil hogi