USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY: Technical Analysis

USD/JPY ke hourly chart ka analysis aaj ke liye kaafi important hai. Is waqt price 149.65 ke aas paas strong support dikhata hai, jabke resistance 150.43 par form ho raha hai. Yeh dono levels short-term trading decisions ke liye critical ho sakte hain. Chart ke mutabiq, price abhi moving averages ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Lekin, 149.65 ke support level se recent bounce ye dikhata hai ke buyers ka interest abhi bhi mojood hai, aur yeh ek potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

CCI Commodity Channel Index indicator abhi neutral zone ke kareeb hai, jo market ki consolidation ko show kar raha hai. Agar CCI positive zone mein wapas chala jata hai, to bullish momentum start ho sakta hai, jisme price 150.43 ka resistance tod sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance break ho gaya, to pehla target 150.90 aur uske baad 151.20 ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 149.65 ke neeche girti hai, to selling ka acha chance milega, aur price pehle 149.00 aur phir 148.70 tak ja sakti hai.

Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke apni strategy ke sath sahi risk management karein. Buyers ke liye stop loss 149.40 par hona chahiye, jabke sellers apna stop loss 150.00 par rakh sakte hain. Over-leverage se hamesha bachen aur apne portfolio ka size manage karein. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke support aur resistance levels ka dhyan rakha jaye, kyun ke yeh key decision points hote hain Trading mein patience aur discipline ka hona sabse zaroori hai. Aaj ka chart buyers aur sellers dono ke liye opportunities provide karta hai, magar har trade ek calculated risk ke sath lena chahiye. Market unpredictable hoti hai, isliye apni strategy ko regularly review karein aur zarurat par adjust karein. Trading ka safar tabhi kaamyab hoga jab aap focused aur disciplined rahenge.

USD/JPY Ki Trading Ka Jaiza

Japanese Yen Ki Kamzori Aur BoJ Ka Asar


Tuesday ki European session mein, Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein thodi si kamzori dikhayi, magar girawat ka rujhan dheema lag raha tha. Iski badi wajah Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke bayaan the, jismein unhone kaha ke agar long-term interest rates achanak barhte hain toh BoJ apna bond purchase program barhane ke liye tayar hai. Is announcement ke baad Japanese government bond yields neeche gir gaye, jiski wajah se Yen par neeche ka pressure aya.

USD Ka Mazboot Hona Aur Counter Factors


Saath hi, US Dollar mein thodi si taqat aayi, jisne USD/JPY pair ko support diya. Magar kuch doosre factors bhi tha jo market ko balance kar rahe the. Japan ka service producer price index aur consumer inflation data yeh dikhata hai ke wages barh rahi hain aur companies apne increased labor costs consumers tak pohcha rahi hain. Yeh BoJ ke interest rate hikes ke expectations ko barhata hai, jo Yen ke against zyada bearish speculation ko rok sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, Federal Reserve ke taraf se rate cuts ke expectations bhi hain, jo Dollar bulls ko control mein rakh raha hai aur USD/JPY ke upward movement ko limit kar sakta hai.




Technical Analysis: Resistance Aur Support Levels


Resistance Levels:

• 150.90 - 151.00: Yahaan naye sellers aa sakte hain.
• 151.40 - 152.00: Short-covering rally ki surat mein yahaan tak price ja sakti hai.
• 152.65 (200-day SMA): Yahaan tak pohchne par reversal ka imkan hai.

Support Levels:

• 149.65 - 149.60: Asian session ka low.
• 149.30 aur 149.00: Psychological aur technical support levels.
• 148.65: December 2024 ka low, iske neeche girne se bearish trend confirm ho sakta hai.
• 148.00, 147.45, 147.00: Aage aur girawat ke targets.

Short-Term Outlook: M15 Aur Daily Timeframes

• TF M15 bearish hai aur price 148.67 tak gir sakti hai. Agar yahaan se rebound hota hai toh correction aa sakta hai, lekin girawat 147.60 aur 146.87 tak bhi barh sakti hai.
• Daily TF mein bhi bearish trend hai. Bulls 14-period moving average se upar nahi ja sake, aur price 149.30 ke broken support par wapas aa rahi hai.
• Indicators jese 2 EMA Color Alerts aur 14-period moving average neeche ka signal de rahe hain.
• Iska matlab hai ke choti bullish corrections ke bawajood, USD/JPY ka trend downward hai aur price 145.00 tak gir sakti hai.

Nateeja


USD/JPY pair abhi volatile phase mein hai, kyunki BoJ ke interest rate hike expectations aur Fed ke possible rate cuts ke darmiyan ek tension hai. Agar technical aur fundamental factors ko dekha jaye, toh short-term aur medium-term dono mein bearish pressure zyada lag raha hai.

USD/JPY pair H4 time frame par is time upar ki taraf retracement lene ja raha hai maine Fibonacci retracement tool lagaya hai aur market price is time 23.6 level ko test karne ke liye move kar rahi hai agar price 23.6 level ko upar side se break karti hai toh agla target 38.2 retracement level hoga yeh level technical analysis mein kaafi important hota hai kyun ke aksar price wahan se reversal ya rejection deti hai 38.2 Fibonacci level par hi 50 EMA bhi maujood hai jo is zone ko aur bhi strong resistance banata hai agar price wahan tak pohanchti hai aur bearish candlestick pattern banati hai toh wahan se selling pressure dobara aasakta hai is zone mein sellers active ho sakte hain aur price neeche ki taraf phir se move kar sakti hai agar price 38.2 level par rejection deti hai toh pehla target 23.6 hoga aur agar selling momentum strong hua toh price phir apne previous low tak bhi ja sakti hai RSI indicator is time 30 ke thoda upar hai jo dikhata hai ke price oversold zone se bahar nikal rahi hai lekin agar RSI 50 ke aas paas pohanch kar reversal ka signal deta hai toh selling opportunity mazeed strong hogi agar price 38.2 level ke upar close karti hai toh next resistance 50 Fibonacci level hoga lekin jab tak price 38.2 level se neeche hai bearish trend hi dominant rahega trading ke liye behtar hoga ke confirmation ka intezar karein aur agar 38.2 level par price rejection deti hai toh wahan se short position consider karen stop loss 50 EMA ke upar rakhna safe hoga aur pehla target 23.6 level aur agla target previous low hoga trend overall bearish hai isliye retracement ke baad selling opportunities zyada mazboot lag rahi hain market ka mood bearish hi hai aur jab tak koi strong bullish breakout nahi hota tab tak selling ka plan behtar lagta hai lekin risk management ka khayal zaroor rakhein aur agar price upar ki taraf strong volume ke sath break kar deti hai toh buying ka bhi socha ja sakta hai lekin filhal chart analysis selling side ka support kar raha hai aur short-term traders ke liye yeh level important hai har entry se pehle market reaction ka intezar karna behtar hoga taki false breakout se bacha ja sake aur profitable trade mil sake price action ke sath indicators ko bhi use karna zaroori hai taki confirmation strong mile aur risk reward ratio behtar ho saky.