USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

umeedain hain, jo ke Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain. Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai, aur yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega. Technical Tajziya: Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Is waqt, yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne k USD/JPY ne do mukhtalif directions mein move kiya

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai.
Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.
Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain. Wave one ke andar paanch waves hain aur wave three bhi waisi hi hai, jo sabse lambi wave hai. Lekin, jo structure sahi tarah se nazar nahi aa raha wo correction wave ka movement hai, yani wave two. Wave two ka movement flat hai aur zyadah monowave lagti hai. Jab ke wave four mein aik tezi se wave ka formation hota hai jo flat aur lamba lagta hai.

wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain

sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua. Iss

Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke gha

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna

USD/JPY H1 time frame chart par hum iss waqt price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain aur currency pair ke aindah direction ka andaza laga rahe hain. Yeh pair pichlay kuch arsay se mazboot bullish trend dikhata aa raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke kharidaar kaafi waqt se market par haavi hain. Hal hi mein, USD/JPY ne 143.30 ke aas-paas support level se bounce back kiya, jo ek mazboot buniyad bana renewed upward push ke liye. Is rebound ka matlab hai ke agar bullish momentum qaim rehti hai aur broader market sentiment U.S. dollar ke haq mein rehti hai, toh yeh pair qareebi arsay mein aur upar ja sakta hai.

Lekin, is positive outlook ke bawajood, pair ab ek aham challenge ka samna kar raha hai 149.50 level par, jo ek significant resistance zone ke taur par samnay aayi hai. Guzishta chand trading sessions mein, yeh resistance level ek mazboot rukawat sabit hui hai, jo price ko apni gains extend karne se rok rahi hai. Har baar jab pair ne 149.50 ke qareeb pohchne ki koshish ki, sellers ne beech mein aakar upward momentum ko rok diya, jisse minor pullbacks dekhne ko mile. Is resistance level ko break na kar paane ka yeh matlab hai ke bullish trend abhi tak barqarar hai, lekin iss doran selling pressure kaafi zyada hai, jo pair ko naye highs tak pahunchne se rok raha hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, 149.50 resistance sirf ek psychological barrier nahi, balki historical price action levels se bhi milta hai. Yeh area buyers aur sellers ke liye badi dilchaspi ka markaz hai. Agar price 149.50 ko break kar leti hai, woh bhi strong volume aur momentum ke sath, toh aage mazeed gains ki rah dekhayi ja sakti hai, jo 150.00 ke psychological level ko ya usse bhi ooper target kar sakti hai. Iske bar’aks, agar pair phir se 149.50 ko breach nahi kar pati aur neeche retreat kar jati hai, toh yeh bullish trend mein temporary exhaustion ka ishara de sakti hai, jisse 147.00 support level ki taraf pullback ho sakta hai.

Is surat mein, traders ko koi bhi additional confirmation, jese ke bearish candlestick patterns ya buying interest mein kami, ka intezar karna chahiye, taake trading decisions liye ja sakein. USD/JPY iss waqt ek critical juncture par hai, jahan 149.50 resistance ek key level ban chuka hai. Agar yeh hurdle paar ho jati hai, toh aage mazeed upward movement ka rasta ban sakta hai. Jab tak aisa nahi hota, traders ko ihtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur dekha chahiye ke pair is pivotal level par kaise behave karta hai, aur appropriate risk management strategies istemal karni chahiye, kyunki aage volatility barh sakti hai.

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko

qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke ghair mutwaqqa readings dwara madadgar tha, jo ke shahbere nishchit se hai ke koi bhi potential faida mehdud ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ke upar uth gaya, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 144.55 ilaqe tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin, significant ooper ki raftar muqarrar hona na-karar tha

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ka jaiza le rahe hain, jo abhi haal hi mein 149.41 ke ahem resistance level ke qareeb selling pressure ka shikar hua hai. Is se ye andaza hota hai ke pichlay kuch hafton mein dekhay gaye bullish momentum mein kami aane wali hai. MACD (12.26.9) indicator thoda optimistic lagta hai, kyun ke red signal line abhi bhi histogram ke neeche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish sentiment abhi tak barqarar hai. Do lambay white candles nazar aaye hain jo aam tor par taqat ki nishani hoti hain, lekin bulls ko 149.41 ke resistance ke samnay apni upward movement ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna hai. Is ke ilawa, H4 chart par ek recent bullish candle ka 50% retracement level wo required buying pressure paida nahi kar saka jo zaroori tha, jis wajah se traders ke liye clear entry aur exit points identify karna mushkil ho gaya hai.Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair mein ek pullback aasakta hai jab yeh mazeed taqat ikattha kare ga taake ek aur upward move kar sake. Hourly chart par yeh pair positive signs dikha raha hai jab ke yeh bearish flag pattern se breakout karke 55-day moving average ke qareeb stable hai. Halankeh yeh upward movement hopeful hai, MACD ki slight positivity yeh batati hai ke mazeed gains aasakte hain pehle ke ek major trend change ho.Agar price SMA-55 se upar breakout kar leta hai, toh yeh bearish trend ki taraf shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo price ko aglay ahem support level tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 145.95 hai. Horizontal line 147.23 par ek ahem support ka kaam karegi jo price ko ahem resistance levels ke upar qaim rakhne mein madad karegi. Traders pending buy orders 147.23 aur 145.95 par rakhne ka soch sakte hain, kyun ke agar 147.23 level ka break hota hai, toh short-selling opportunities mil sakti hain jo aglay support level 145.95 ko target karein gi.Is waqt USD/JPY ka qareebi resistance level 149.15 hai, aur agar price is se upar break karta hai, toh yeh mazeed mazbooti dikha sakta hai aur 1.3626 ke level tak ja sakta hai, aur us ke baad agla target 1.4228 ka resistance level hoga jo teesra resistance level hai. Doosri taraf, qareebi support level 147.22 par hai, aur main sell signals ko dekhunga 144.56 aur 142.00 ke support levels ke ird-gird, jo ke doosra aur teesra support level hai, taake buying opportunity hasil ki ja sake.Halaat ko dekhte hue, recent price movement ke mutabiq, un logon ke liye jo sell direction mein trade karna chahte hain, zyada mauqe nahi hain. Price decline ke chances kam hain lekin hamesha ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyun ke market ka mahol abhi bhi volatile ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY ki Price Action par Base: USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka analysis hamaray liye aaj ka central topic hoga. USD/JPY ne trading week ko 146.69 ke area par correction ke sath khatam kiya, aur upward trend ko continue rakha. Halankeh moving averages bearish trend dikha rahe hain, lekin prices 145.01 ke mark se upar hold kar rahi hain, jo ke US dollar par intense buyer pressure ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh bhi ke current levels se growth ka potential maujood hai. Iss point par hum ek potential price correction ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke support level 145.01 ke qareeb test ho sakta hai. Agar is ke baad rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko 150.01 ke level se upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh decline ko continue karne ka signal hoga, aur possible target 142.01 area ke neeche ho sakta hai.
Bull ne trend line break hone ke baad dobara control lene ki koshish ki, lekin unki efforts sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdoood rahi, aur koi significant breakthrough nahi ho saka.
Dosri taraf, agar bulls dobara trend line ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain aur uske upar position secure kar lete hain, to yeh global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. General movement of average prices neeche ki taraf hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend ko follow kar raha hai. Pehle dynamic filter ki control line correction ko support de rahi thi, lekin ab daily candle patterns yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke sellers gradually momentum gain kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows ke indicators, jisme dynamic RSI bhi shamil hai, neeche ki taraf turn ho rahe hain, halankeh dynamic RSI abhi channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi hui. Junior RSI bhi dheere dheere neeche shift ho rahi hai, jab ke day aur week RSI neeche hain, aur downward trend ke sath aligned hain.
Predict karna mushkil hai ke agli downward move mein price kitni neeche ja sakti hai, lekin sabse qareebi target 145.51 hai. Iske baad ka direction abhi uncertain hai
USD/JPY currency ki wave structure ko dekhen, toh direction ab kaafi clear hai ke yeh bearish trend mein hai. Jo waves ban rahi hain, wo impulsive waves hain, jo wave one ke shuru honay se start hoti hain. Wave one ke andar paanch waves hain aur wave three bhi waisi hi hai, jo sabse lambi wave hai. Lekin, jo structure sahi tarah se nazar nahi aa raha wo correction wave ka movement hai, yani wave two. Wave two ka movement flat hai aur zyadah monowave lagti hai. Jab ke wave four mein aik tezi se wave ka formation hota hai jo flat aur lamba lagta hai.

Agar hum H1 aur H4 timeframe ke trading chart ko dekhein, toh yeh saaf nazar aata hai ke price middle bands aur upper bands ke beech trade ho rahi hai Bollinger Bands indicator period 23 aur 25 ke sath, jo exponential method par lagaye gaye hain. Dono Bollinger Bands indicators yeh signal de rahe hain ke USD/JPY currency pair uptrend yaani bullish trend mein hai, is liye buy option aaj raat ke American trading session mein behtareen option ho sakta hai. Sirf Bollinger Bands hi nahi, balki moving average indicators (period 7 aur period 16 exponential method ke sath) bhi bullish trend ka signal de rahe hain USD/JPY currency pair par. Is liye mujhe yakin hai ke jab American trading session ka market khulega, toh price likely pehle se bane hue resistance levels ko test karega, jo 147.30 - 147.40 ke aas paas hain. Ye humein ek buy order lagane ka moqa faraham karta hai USD/JPY pair par. Technically dekha jaye, toh USD/JPY pair abhi bhi bullish market mein hai H1 aur H4 timeframes ke upar. Thursday ke Asian trading session mein, isne naye resistance area 147.30 - 147.40 ko test kiya tha. Magar European session mein thodi downtrend hui, jahan sellers ne price ko naye support levels 146.40 - 147.50 ke beech test kiya. Uske baad, USD/JPY currency pair expected hai ke American session ke market ke khulne ke baad wapas se upward trend shuru kare aur yeh trend raat tak market close hone tak jaari reh sakta hai.

**USD/JPY Technical Outlook: Bearish Attraction at Support Levels**

Jab USD/JPY pair aham support levels ki taraf girta hai, to yeh buyers ko attract kar sakta hai jo is price ko ek munasib entry point samajhtay hain. Is halat mein, ek rebound ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Khaaskar 146.60 ka level aik significant psychological barrier hai apni historical importance ki wajah se. Agar pair yeh support levels qaim rakhne mein nakam hota hai, to ek bara sell-off shuru ho sakta hai, jo traders ko bearish trend ka faida uthanay ke liye mutasir kar sakta hai.

**Resistance Challenges**

Doosri taraf, 149.00 ka level USD/JPY pair ke liye aik bara challenge hai. Yeh level upward momentum ko rokne mein bohot aham hai. Agar pair is level ko tor nahi sakta, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke bullish sentiment kamzor ho raha hai, jis se profit-taking shuru ho sakti hai aur price wapas support areas ki taraf ja sakti hai. Critical levels ke qareeb hone ki wajah se, agar resistance break nahi hota, to yeh ek retracement ka sabab ban sakta hai, jahan traders ke liye nayi risk-reward opportunities paida ho sakti hain.

**Economic Context**

Is technical analysis ke ilawa, broader economic situation bhi bohot aham hai. Market eagerly key fundamental data releases ka intezaar kar raha hai, khaaskar Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report ka. Yeh report U.S. economic health ka aik bohot bara indicator hai aur historically USD/JPY movement ko bohot mutasir karta hai. Agar NFP report strong nikalti hai, to yeh U.S. dollar ko mazeed mazboot kar sakti hai, jis se bullish sentiment barh sakta hai aur shayad 149.00 resistance level ko torne ka moka milay. Lekin agar report kamzor hoti hai, to bearish pressure barh sakta hai, jo pair ko pehle se mention kiye gaye support levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

**Nateeja**

Aakhir mein, traders ko USD/JPY pair ke behavior ko critical support aur resistance levels par closely monitor karna chahiye, aur upcoming economic data releases ke asrat ko bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Technical levels aur fundamental indicators ka yeh interplay future mein pair ki direction ko shape karega.