usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain. Short-term interest rate swaps market mein December policy meeting par 25 basis point hike ke sirf 30% chances hain USD/JPY pair Asian session ke dauran ek chhoti trading range mein navigate kar raha hai, aur pichlay din ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Hal hi mein Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, khaaskar Monday ko. Yeh tabdeeli ziada tar uss wajah se hai ke market Federal Reserve ke aanay wale meeting ke hawalay se intezaar kar raha hai, jo Wednesday ko mutawaqqa hai. Traders in developments ko qareebi tor par dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh pair ke direction ko asar kar sakte hain. Bunyadi tor par Yen ke liye outlook mazboot lagta hai. Hal hi ke data ne currency ki high demand zahir ki, khaaskar Japan ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) August mein 3.0% YoY barh gaya, jo ke October 2023 ke baad se sabse ziada hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy par dubara ghore karne par majboor kar sakta hai,

bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua. Iss waqt, yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bullish options ka mauqa abhi bhi mojood hai kyun ke jab se September ke shuru mein tradingClick image for largClick image for larger version

AUD/USD ka rate Jumay ko taqreeban 0.6800 zone tak pohanch gaya tha. Aaj, umeed hai ke ye qeemat apna safar jari rakhte hue 0.6845 ke agle zone ko jaldi ya dair mein cross kar legi. Is haftay, US Core PPI, CPI, aur berozgari ki shirah jaise ahem economic data traders ko aane wali market ki updates ke bare mein zaroori maloomat faraham karenge. Ye data mehngai ke rujhanat aur rozgar ki surat-e-haal ko samajhne mein madad dega, jo market ke jazbaat ko mutasir kar sakta hai aur faislay kun harkaat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, crude oil supply mein tabdeeliyan is haftay market ke jazbaat ko badal sakti hain, kyun ke tel ki supply mein uthal-puthal se broader economic conditions aur investors ke jazbaat par seedha asar par sakta hai. FOMC meeting minutes bhi is haftay ke liye market ke rujhan ko samajhne mein madadgar honge, kyun ke ye Federal Reserve ke haal hi ke faislon ko samajhne aur future financial policy mein mumkinah tabdeeli ke ishare de sakte hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay mein ziada tar faida technical traders ka hoga, kyun ke ahem reports ke ilawa daily calendar mein ziada khabrein nahi hain. Iska matlab hai ke qeemat mein harakat ziada tar established technical patterns ke mutabiq chal sakti hai. Is surat mein, aqalmand traders apne strategies mein indicators, support aur resistance levels, aur doosri technical tools ka faida utha sakte hain. Umeed hai ke AUD/USD ka rate aaj ya kal 0.6847 zone ko cross kar le.

Humein apne trading mein in technical insights ka faida uthate hue stop losses ka zaroor istemal karna chahiye taake hum risk ko effectively manage kar sakein, khas tor par is relatively quiet period mein jab ke haftay ke aakhri din unpredictable ho sakte hain. Umeed hai ke hum technical analysis ki madad se is haftay trading kar sakein, news releases ke qareeb aane tak zyada wazeh signals ka intezar karte hue aur market ke jazbaat ko madde nazar rakhtay hue apne approach ko disciplined rakhein.

USD/JPY ke haal hi ke girawat ki wajah zyada tar bazar mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ki umeedain hain, jo ke Fed ke aane wale September 17-18 ke meeting mein discuss ki jayein gi. Halankeh recent tezi dekhi gayi hai, lekin yeh umeedain US Dollar (USD) ko apne faiday ko mazeed barhane se rok rahi hain. Dosri taraf, bazar mein ehtiyaat ka rujhan Japanese Yen ki safe-haven asset ke tor par demand ko barhawa de raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par mazeed dabao daal raha hai. Saath hi, BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne tasdeeq ki hai ke bank FY2025 tak interest rates ko barhane ka plan bana raha hai, jo Fed ke umeed ke mutabiq rate cut ke bilkul baraks hai, aur yeh pair ke neeche ki taraf trend ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Traders filhal ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur koi faisla karnay se pehle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke Fed ke agle policy qadam ke hawale se ahem maloomat faraham karega aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko mutasir karega. Technical Tajziya: Technical lehaz se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair mein waazeh bearish signals dekhnay ko mil rahe hain. Is waqt, yeh pair apne roz ke opening level 143.20 se neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke qareeb hai. Qeemat moving average trend line ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem level hota hai jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar qeemat 143.20 level ke upar chali jati hai, to mazeed izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo resistance levels 143.69 aur 143.75 tak jasakta hai. Agar qeemat 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh aur neeche jaegi aur support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh pair apne monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke neeche bhi trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective mood ko zahir karta hai. Hourly chart mein, yeh pair apni pehle ki range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers filhal bazar mein haawi hain. Lekin traders ko ek mumkin false breakout se ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Kul mila kar, technical indicators ek bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha, to mazeed girawat dekhne k USD/JPY ne do mukhtalif directions mein move kiya

AUD/USD ka rate Jumay ko taqreeban 0.6800 zone tak pohanch gaya tha. Aaj, umeed hai ke ye qeemat apna safar jari rakhte hue 0.6845 ke agle zone ko jaldi ya dair mein cross kar legi. Is haftay, US Core PPI, CPI, aur berozgari ki shirah jaise ahem economic data traders ko aane wali market ki updates ke bare mein zaroori maloomat faraham karenge. Ye data mehngai ke rujhanat aur rozgar ki surat-e-haal ko samajhne mein madad dega, jo market ke jazbaat ko mutasir kar sakta hai aur faislay kun harkaat ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Iske ilawa, crude oil supply mein tabdeeliyan is haftay market ke jazbaat ko badal sakti hain, kyun ke tel ki supply mein uthal-puthal se broader economic conditions aur investors ke jazbaat par seedha asar par sakta hai. FOMC meeting minutes bhi is haftay ke liye market ke rujhan ko samajhne mein madadgar honge, kyun ke ye Federal Reserve ke haal hi ke faislon ko samajhne aur future financial policy mein mumkinah tabdeeli ke ishare de sakte hain.

Mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay mein ziada tar faida technical traders ka hoga, kyun ke ahem reports ke ilawa daily calendar mein ziada khabrein nahi hain. Iska matlab hai ke qeemat mein harakat ziada tar established technical patterns ke mutabiq chal sakti hai. Is surat mein, aqalmand traders apne strategies mein indicators, support aur resistance levels, aur doosri technical tools ka faida utha sakte hain. Umeed hai ke AUD/USD ka rate aaj ya kal 0.6847 zone ko cross kar le.

Humein apne trading mein in technical insights ka faida uthate hue stop losses ka zaroor istemal karna chahiye taake hum risk ko effectively manage kar sakein, khas tor par is relatively quiet period mein jab ke haftay ke aakhri din unpredictable ho sakte hain. Umeed hai ke hum technical analysis ki madad se is haftay trading kar sakein, news releases ke qareeb aane tak zyada wazeh signals ka intezar karte hue aur market ke jazbaat ko madde nazar rakhtay hue apne approach ko disciplined rakhein.

bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua. Iss waqt, yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bullish options ka mauqa abhi bhi mojood hai kyun ke jab se September ke shuru mein tradingClick image for largClick ima

ge for larger version

ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain

Aaj ke din ke doosray hissa mein kisi tareekhi asaas par koi imtihan nahi hua. Kam asarail ka asal wajah yeh tha ke Amreeki market se koi aham ma'loomat nahi mili. Ahsas se khilaaf, Federal Reserve ke afraad ke taqreer ne bhi Amreeki dollar ki kharidari ka junoon dobaara bahar nahi kiya, jo ke kisi had tak hairat angiz tha. Aaj Japan ne mazboot ma'loomat pesh ki, jismein tanqeedi ma'ashiyat, gharana kharch aur maujooda hisaab ka balz huya, jisse yen ne dollar ke muqable mein thoda sa imaraad hasil ki, magar is ne aam bazaar ki dyanahar par khaas asar na daala. Jab tak yeh jor neeche gaya, tab tak yeh un speculators ke liye aur bhi aakarshak hota gaya jo dollar ke mazeed mazboot hone ki umeed laga rahe hain, jo ke aakhri Jumme ke din Amreeki rozgar ki mazboot ma'loomat ke baad hai. Aaj ke intraday strategy ke liye mein scenario #1 aur #2 ko amal mein lana chahta hoon.

Buy Signal Scenario #1: Aaj, meri plan yeh hai ke mein USD/JPY ko 148.20 ke entry point par kharidunga (chart par hare rang ki line), jiska target 148.99 (chart par moti hare rang ki line) hai. 148.99 ke level par, mein kharidi position ko exit karke sell trade kholne ka plan bana raha hoon (isse ummeed hai ke is level se 30-35 pips ka lehr aayega). Is jor ki growth ka taleq naye rang se aane ki umeed hai. Ahem: Kharid karne se pehle, yeh yaqeen karlein ke MACD indicator zero line se upar hai aur rise kar raha hai.

Scenario #2: Agar 147.85 ke price level par do musalsal tests hotay hain aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein hota hai, toh mein USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon. Isse pair ki neeche ki potential ko limit mil jayegi aur market ka reversal upar ki taraf hoga. Ummeed hai ke 148.20 aur 148.99 tak ki growth dekhne ko milegi.

Sell Signal
Scenario #1: Aaj meri plan yeh hai ke mein USD/JPY ko 147.85 level ke neeche girne par bechunga (chart par laal line), jisse pair ka jaldi giraawat ka inqilab ho sakta hai. Sellers ke liye key target 147.17 hoga, jahan mein bechne ki position ko exit karke foran kharidi trade kholne ka plan bana raha hoon (isse ummeed hai ke is level se 20-25 pips ka lehr aayega). Agar rozana high ke aas paas koi nakami hoti hai toh selling pressure dobaara aata hai. Ahem: Bechne se pehle yeh yaqeen karlein ke MACD indicator zero line ke neeche hai aur giraawat ki taraf ja raha hai.

Scenario #2: Agar 148.20 ke price level par do musalsal tests hote hain jab MACD indicator overbought zone mein hota hai, toh mein USD/JPY bechne ka plan bana raha hoon. Isse pair ki upar ki potential ko limit mil jayegi aur market ka reversal neeche ki taraf hoga. 147.85 aur 147.17 tak ki giraawat dekhne ki umeed hai.

Trading Wisdom: USD/JPY
Mein is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar raha hoon. USD/JPY ke liye downtrend jaari hai, aur abhi ka trend bearish hai. Agar koi reversal pattern samnay aaye to yeh behtareen time ho sakta hai sell karne ka, lekin meri tajwez hai ke price kafi upar ja sakti hai pehlay ke kisi significant drop ko dekha jaye. Ek mazboot selling level takreeban 146.38 par hai, magar haaliya tez decline yeh batata hai ke external forces, shayad Bank of Japan bhi, market par asarandaz ho rahe hain. Itni taqatwar power ke khilaf jana risky hai. Main ihtiyat se kaam loonga aur pehle market ko dekhonga phir koi qadam uthaoonga. Main yeh dekhna chahta hoon ke price 147.01-148.01 ke range tak barhti hai ya nahi, lekin main mazeed signals ka intezaar karoonga pehlay ke koi faisla loon. ADP data aksar official figures se farq rakhta hai, lekin agar koi surprise aya to yeh USD/JPY pair mein movement laa sakta hai.



Abhi ke liye, USD/JPY waise hi trade kar raha hai jaise expect kiya gaya tha. Yeh pair support level 143.51 se rebound kar chuka hai, jahan broken descending channel aur EMA50 milte hain. Ab main dekh raha hoon ke EMA200 ke qareeb ek resistance test hota hai ya nahi, jo ke ab 144.71 par hai. Agar price is level se bounce karti hai, to yeh chhoti aur short-term selling opportunities ka signal ho sakti hai. Magar agar further growth hoti hai aur yeh 147.01 ke upar consolidate karti hai, to price aage barh sakti hai. Yeh pair abhi trading range 144.71 aur 143.51 mein hai. Bahar ke factors, jaise ke Middle East mein tensions ka barhna, USD/JPY ko upar dhakel sakta hai, kyun ke investors safe-haven assets, jaise yen aur dollar, ki taraf jaate hain. In uncertainties ke bawajood, mujhe umeed hai ke medium term mein yeh pair upar jaaye ga, halan ke yeh bhi mumkin hai ke main ghalat hoon. Is ke ilawa, hum U.S. se ADP employment data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke market ko asarandaz kar sakta hai.

Subah bakhair meri taraf se sab forum members ko! Umeed hai ke aap sab khairiyat se hain aur aaj ke tajziya mein ghootne ko tayar hain. Hamesha ki tarah, mukhtalif currency pairs ke movements par insights share karna ek khushi ka baais hai. Aaj hamari tawajju USD/JPY pair par hai, khaaskar iski price action H1 (one-hour) short-term time frame mein.
Is waqt, USD/JPY pair apni price dynamics mein ek dilchasp marhala guzar raha hai. Filhaal, yeh pair 147.50 level ke qareeb mazboot resistance face kar raha hai. Baar baar koshishon ke bawajood is resistance ko torne mein kamiyaabi nahi mili. Yeh price level traders ke liye ek psychological barrier ka kaam kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bullish momentum filhaal itni taqatwar nahi ke mazeed upar barh sake.

Resistance levels technical analysis mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Jab koi currency pair bar bar kisi khaas resistance level ko test karta hai lekin use break nahi kar pata, to yeh is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke sellers us price point par dakhal de rahe hain, aur price ko mazeed upar jaane se rok rahe hain. Yeh rawayya aam tor par buyers ki taraf se jhijhak ya demand ki kami ka izhar karta hai, jo price ko upar dhakel sake.

USD/JPY ke case mein, 147.50 level ko break na kar pana market ki thakan ka ishara de sakta hai, jahan bulls ek lambi upward trend ke baad apni taqat kho rahe hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke agar resistance successfully breach nahi hota, to market mein ek reversal ki aghaaz ho jaye.

Technical point of view se, yeh surat-e-haal traders ke liye ek potential opportunity bana sakti hai. Agar yeh pair resistance level ko tor leta hai, to yeh bullish trend ki taqat ko confirm karega, aur mazeed gains ka rasta khul jaye ga. Magar jab tak yeh nahi hota, ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyun ke market asaani se apni direction change kar sakta hai. Agar level break nahi hota, to pair support areas ki taraf ja sakta hai, jahan buyers phir se dakhal de kar decline ko rokne ki koshish karenge.

Fundamental factors bhi USD/JPY ke aglay move ko asarandaz kar sakte hain. Dono U.S. aur Japan se aane wali economic data releases, aur interest rates par faislay, pair ki direction par bara asar daal sakte hain. Traders ko kisi bhi aanay wali news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market sentiment ko change kar sakti hai, aur breakout ya pullback ke liye zaroori momentum faraham kar sakti hai.

Trade Analysis aur Japanese Yen ke Liye Trading Tips
145.24 ka price level test karte waqt, MACD indicator kaafi zyada zero mark ke upar tha, jo pair ke upward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Is wajah se, maine dollar khareedna theek nahi samjha. Iske bawajood, mazboot U.S. labor market data ne bade players ko market mein banaye rakha, jisse USD/JPY lagataar upar chalta raha. Aaj ke kamzor Composite PMI aur services PMI reports, jo economists ki umeedon se bhi bura tha, ne yen ke sell-off aur dollar ke khareed ko aur tez kar diya, jisne pair ko mazid mazboot kiya. Iske ilawa, duniya bhar mein chalti hui geopolitical tensions ke chalte, dollar ke barhne ki umeed hai, is liye chahe price high levels par ho, selling mein ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein ziada focus scenario 1 aur 2 par karoon ga.

Buy Signal

Scenario 1: Aaj mein USD/JPY khareedne ka plan kar raha hoon jab yeh 146.92 ke entry point (chart par green line) ko hit karega, aur iski target rise 147.53 tak hogi (chart par thick green line). 147.53 par, mein buy trades ko close karoon ga aur opposite direction mein sell trades open karoon ga, jahan se 30-35 pips ki movement expect karta hoon. Pair ka aaj ka rise sirf ek correction ka hissa hoga. Important! Khareedne se pehle ensure karna hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur upward movement shuru kar raha ho.

Scenario 2: Mein USD/JPY ko tab bhi khareedne ka soch raha hoon agar 146.45 price level par do consecutive tests ho jate hain, aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh downward potential ko limit kar ke market ka reversal upward karwa sakta hai. Rise ka target 146.92 aur 147.53 ke opposite levels tak hoga.

Sell Signal

Scenario 1: Mein USD/JPY ko sirf tab sell karoon ga jab 146.45 level (chart par red line) test hota hai, jo pair ko jaldi se decline karayega. Sellers ka key target 145.95 level hoga, jahan mein sell trades ko close karoon ga aur opposite direction mein buy trades open karoon ga (expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein). Dollar ke bearish market ka pressure pair par bana rahega. Important! Bechne se pehle ensure karna hai ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur downward movement shuru kar raha ho.

Scenario 2: Mein USD/JPY ko tab bhi sell karoon ga agar 146.92 price level par do consecutive tests ho jate hain aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh upward potential ko limit karke market ka reversal downward karwa sakta hai. Decline ka target 146.45 aur 145.95 ke opposite levels tak hoga.

USD-JPY Pair Analysis
USDJPY currency pair ne European trading session mein dobara downward trend dikhana shuru kiya, lekin seller sirf USDJPY currency pair ko naye support area level par test karwane mein kamyab hue, jo 146.40 ka price tha, aur naye support area level tak jo 147.50 par tha le gaye. Uske baad, zyada imkaan hai ke USDJPY currency pair dobara upward trend shuru karega jab American trading session ka bazaar khulega aur raat ke American trading session ke khatam hone tak chalaye ga.

Magar agar hum relative strength index (RSI) indicator period 14 ko dekhein jo close ka signal de raha hai, aur macd indicator period 12.26.9 ko bhi close ke signal par lagayein, toh in indicators ka signal moving average aur bollinger bands indicator ke signal se mukhtalif hai. Relative strength index (RSI) indicator abhi level 50 par dikhai de raha hai, jo ye batata hai ke agar RSI indicator period 14 ka band level 50 ko cross kar leta hai, toh ek naya trend European trading session ke dauran USDJPY currency pair par form hoga.

Lekin macd indicator period 12.26.9 ko dekha jaye toh yeh bearish divergence signal dikhane ki koshish kar raha hai, aur agar histogram fast moving average ka signal cross nahi kar pata, toh ek reversal pattern banne ka imkaan hai USDJPY currency pair mein. Iss surat mein, main is moka ka faida utha kar USDJPY currency pair mein sell order karne ki koshish karoon ga aane wale trading mein.

USDJPY pair trading ke liye aaj ki sifarishat:

- Sell stop: USDJPY pair ko 146.50 - 146.40 ke support area level ke neeche sell karo, aur 60 pips ka target profit (TP) rakho. Stop loss (SL) 30 pips ka rakho. Yeh 1:2 ka profit-loss ratio banata hai jo hum trading transaction ke liye American trading session mein istemal karenge.

- Buy stop: USDJPY pair ko 147.30 - 147.40 ke resistance area level ke upar buy karo, aur 60 pips ka target profit (TP) rakho. Stop loss (SL) 30 pips ka rakho. Yeh bhi 1:2 ka profit-loss ratio hoga jo hum American trading session mein trading ke liye istimaal karenge.

Sell limit option:USDJPY pair ko 147.30 - 147.40 ke price par sell karo, aur 146.50 - 146.40 ke price par target profit (TP) rakho. Stop loss (SL) 148.00 - 148.90 ke price par rakho.

USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
Japanese yen ne pehle pechle trading haftay ki kamzori ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki, magar phir kuch durusti ki aur phir se growth shuru ki. Yeh pair signal zone se bahar nikal gaya aur reversal point 144.97 ko cross kar liya, lekin yeh success ko maintain nahi kar saka aur neeche gir gaya. Is wajah se target area ko pohanchna mushkil ho gaya hai, aur neeche se expected nazar karna sahi nahi hai. Filhal, price chart phir se supertrend red zone mein hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke sellers ka pressure abhi bhi mojood hai.



Agar technical perspective se dekha jaye, 240-minute chart par aaj hum positive lekin ehtiyaat se hain, aur simple moving averages ke positive momentum par bharosa kar rahe hain, saath hi short-term time frames par bhi positive signals dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Traders momentum indicator par bhi bharosa karte hain. Agar trade 144.00 ke upar stable hota hai, to yeh humein positive outlook barqarar rakhne mein madad deta hai, kyun ke agar 145.55 se ooper break confirm hota hai, to pair ke gains barqarar rahengay, aur 146.35 aur 147.30 tak ka raasta khulta hai. Agar neeche dekha jaye, to hourly chart par 144.00 ke neeche close hota hai to upside attempts ruk jayeingi, aur trading session negative territory mein chala jayega, jahan pehli target 143.40 hogi.

Filhal price mixed trading kar raha hai aur weekly basis par neutral hai, jab se local highs establish hui hain. Halankeh key resistance zone toota tha, lekin yeh pair ko apni limits mein rokne mein kaamyab raha, jisse price phir neeche aa gayi aur downward trend abhi bhi relevant hai. Is momentum ko dobara shuru karne ke liye 143.53 ke neeche consolidation zaroori hai, jahan abhi bhi key resistance zone mojood hai. Agar yeh level retest hota hai aur phir se neeche reversal hota hai, to ek nai wave ka raasta khulta hai jo 138.98 aur 137.72 ke area ko target karegi.

Agar price 144.97 ke reversal level ke upar strong hoti hai, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal mil jayega.

USD/JPY Price Interpretation (Roman Urdu)
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ka live analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ko H1 time frame par 144.51 par resistance ka saamna hai. Yeh pair is level ko test kar raha hai lekin abhi tak isay break nahi kar saka, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke aage barhnay ke liye koi strong conditions nahi hain. Iss wajah se price ka 143.51 ke daily balance level tak girna mumkin hai. Agar price is balance se neeche chali jaye, to downward movement H4 support par 140.61 tak barh sakti hai, jaise kal dekha gaya tha. Ek potential reversal is support se ho sakta hai jab tak H4 support nahi toot'ta. Agar 140.61 toot gaya, to bearish shift ka naya target 139.16 aur 137.51 ho sakta hai.



Doosri taraf, agar H1 resistance 144.51 break hota hai, to correction ka silsila D1 resistance 150.16 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke naya growth target set karega. Waisay, agar price 142.86 ke neeche close hoti hai to main selling ko consider karunga. Magar philhal hourly uptrend mein buying ka rujhan zyada strong strategy lag rahi hai.

Agar hum overall situation ko dekhein, to aaj bhi kal jaisa hi scenario hai. Pair aik ascending channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo ke do trend lines ke beech mein hai, aur filhal iss range ke darmiyan hai. Aise conditions mein, aqsar recommend kiya jata hai ke beech se borders ki taraf trade kiya jaye, lekin sawal ye hai ke kis boundary ko target karein. Borders se beech ki taraf trade karna aasaan hota hai kyunki direction ko select karna asaan ho jata hai aur ghalti ka risk kam hota hai. Market jald hi ek clear direction dega. Hourly chart par, USD/JPY pair uptrend follow kar raha hai, aur price 133-period moving average se ooper hai, jo ke upward momentum ko confirm karta hai. Chhoti time frames mein bhi price 133-period average se ooper hai, jo ke continued upward movement ko support karta hai. Main anticipate kar raha hoon ke price 143.76 level tak pullback karegi, us ke baad buying opportunities nikal sakti hain.

ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi. Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua. Iss waqt, yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bullish options ka