usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur

**Technical Analysis**
**USD/JPY H-1**

USD/JPY market ki situation ko dekhte huye, mere trading plan mein kuch market movement ke options hain, jinmein intraday trading mein kafi achha munafa hasil kiya ja sakta hai. Option (1) ahem hai. Ismein growth dynamics shamil hain, jo ke 145.520 ke mojooda price ko daryaft kar ke zahir hoti hai jo ke Fibonacci grid tool ke zariye banaye gaye area mein hai, jiske values 100% (145.215) aur 150% (145.766) hain. Mai rebounds par buy karna chahta hoon 100% (145.215), 123.6% (145.475), 138.2% (145.636) aur 176.4% (146.057) ke area se. Market aksar bilkul sahi pip-to-pip level tak pohanchti hai, jo ke trading limit orders mein madadgar hota hai. Option (2) backup ke taur par hai. Agar 100% level (145.215) se niche break hoti hai, toh yeh bearish market interest ka izhar karta hai. Is liye ek mauqa hai ke correction par sell kiya jaye jab 100% (145.215) level break ho, jahan target 50% level (144.664) aur usse neeche hoga.

**Technical Analysis**

**USD/JPY H-4**

Agar USD/JPY ko bara taur par dekha jaye, toh downtrend ko extend karein aur samjhein ke pair ne uptrend ko tod diya hai, aur agar trend badla nahi, toh pair ek achi correction ki taraf ja raha hai. 147.18 se neeche, kam az kam yeh technically hona chahiye, ya toh pair mojooda level par kuch dair tak stable rahe aur phir barh jaye, lekin correct ho. Yahan, khud US dollar market-wide correction ke liye tayar hai. Yeh girawat ruk gaya hai aur ab waqt hai 3-4% correction ka, toh growth zyada zahir hai, aur girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar pair 140.50 ke qareeb break karta hai, toh yeh lagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazbootlagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazboot level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. Buyers ko market se bahar nikala ja raha hai.
Click image for larger version

JPY pair abhi 146.91 kay aas paas fluctuate kar raha hai. USD Dollar Index ki weakness abhi bhi bearish control main hai aur yeh 102.50 resistance level kay neeche trade kar raha hai. Technical indicators kay mutabiq, pair 161.40 tak barh sakta hai, lekin price aaj gir bhi sakti hai. European session shuru honay par humein charts par nazar rakhni hogi. RSI abhi 53.6393 par hai jo dikhata hai ke market uptrend main hai lekin aglay kuch dino main neeche ja sakta hai. MACD indicator 6.537 par hai aur low volume bar show kar raha hai. USD/JPY 20 aur 50 period ki exponential moving average kay upar hai jo bullish signal dikhata hai. Minor support aur resistance areas hain jo entry points kay liye use kiye ja sakte hain. Market ka rise resistance target 151.84 par hit kar sakta hai jo primary resistance level hai. Agar aap buy kartay hain to price range 161.40 tak target ki ja sakti hai aur teesra target 171.30 kay aas paas ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price girta hai to primary support level 139.83 par hai. Agar sell hota hai to doosra support level 124.14 par hai. Us kay baad, price teesray resistance level 101.10 ko test kar sakta hai. Technical point of view say, best approach yeh hai kay trend kay mutabiq short positions open ki jayein taake profit mil sake.USD/JPY ka impulsive price movement supply area 147.22 - 146.68 tak pohanch gaya hai. Is se price ko correct ho kar RBS area 144.29 tak girne ka chance milta hai aur phir wahan se upward rally continue ho sakti hai. EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ko cross kar kay golden cross signal generate kiya hai, jo is baat ko indicate karta hai ke trend bullish hai. Stochastic indicator bhi support kar raha hai ke price correct ho. Parameters jo overbought zone 90 - 80 level par cross kar rahay hain, yeh dikhata hai ke overbought point ab pohanch gaya hai. Agar koi reversal candlestick pattern, jaise bearish engulfing ya dominant break, nazar aaye to yeh surety milegi ke price correct ho raha hai. Lekin agar Japanese Yen ka outlook weak hi rehta hai aur buyers profit taking nahi karte, to price increase ka rally supply area ko pass kar kay continue ho sakta hai.Trading plan ke liye behtari yeh hai ke abhi BUY moment ka intezar kiya jaye, kyun ke trend already bullish hai jab se golden cross signal aaya hai. Entry position RBS area 144.29 par rakhi ja sakti hai jab

hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur

ko ahmiyat dete hain. BoJ ne yeh kaha hai ke agar ma'ashi halaat khaas tor par behtar hotay hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain. Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain. Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai. Aakhir mein, Japanese yen ki kami ka asal sabab BoJ ki raahnuma monetary policy, mukhtalif ma'ashi data, aur incoming Prime Minister ke dovish bayanat hain. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, jahan resistance aur support levels ko pehch ana gaya hai. Jaise jaise Japanese ma'ashiyat apne recovery ke rukh par

hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024

hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur

USD/JPY H-1**
USD/JPY market ki situation ko dekhte huye, mere trading plan mein kuch market movement ke options hain, jinmein intraday trading mein kafi achha munafa hasil kiya ja sakta hai. Option (1) ahem hai. Ismein growth dynamics shamil hain, jo ke 145.520 ke mojooda price ko daryaft kar ke zahir hoti hai jo ke Fibonacci grid tool ke zariye banaye gaye area mein hai, jiske values 100% (145.215) aur 150% (145.766) hain. Mai rebounds par buy karna chahta hoon 100% (145.215), 123.6% (145.475), 138.2% (145.636) aur 176.4% (146.057) ke area se. Market aksar bilkul sahi pip-to-pip level tak pohanchti hai, jo ke trading limit orders mein madadgar hota hai. Option (2) backup ke taur par hai. Agar 100% level (145.215) se niche break hoti hai, toh yeh bearish market interest ka izhar karta hai. Is liye ek mauqa hai ke correction par sell kiya jaye jab 100% (145.215) level break ho, jahan target 50% level (144.664) aur usse neeche hoga.

**Technical Analysis**

**USD/JPY H-4**

Agar USD/JPY ko bara taur par dekha jaye, toh downtrend ko extend karein aur samjhein ke pair ne uptrend ko tod diya hai, aur agar trend badla nahi, toh pair ek achi correction ki taraf ja raha hai. 147.18 se neeche, kam az kam yeh technically hona chahiye, ya toh pair mojooda level par kuch dair tak stable rahe aur phir barh jaye, lekin correct ho. Yahan, khud US dollar market-wide correction ke liye tayar hai. Yeh girawat ruk gaya hai aur ab waqt hai 3-4% correction ka, toh growth zyada zahir hai, aur girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar pair 140.50 ke qareeb break karta hai, toh yeh lagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazbootlagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazboot level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. Buyers ko market se bahar nikala ja raha hai.
Click image for larger version

ko ahmiyat dete hain. BoJ ne yeh kaha hai ke agar ma'ashi halaat khaas tor par behtar hotay hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain. Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain. Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai. Aakhir mein, Japanese yen ki kami ka asal sabab BoJ ki raahnuma monetary policy, mukhtalif ma'ashi data, aur incoming Prime Minister ke dovish bayanat hain. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, jahan resistance aur support levels ko pehchana gaya hai. Jaise jaise Japanese ma'ashiyat apne recovery ke

hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevate d rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024

hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur

Agar aap USD/JPY pair ka latest chart dekh rahe hain, to breakout ki tasdiq karna zaroori hoga. Breakout ko confirm karne ke liye, humein dekhna hoga ke price ne resistance level (aapke case mein 143.83) ko clear tor par cross kiya hai aur uske upar stable hai, yaani ke price ne us level ke upar close kar diya ho. Agar price ne resistance level ko break kiya aur uske upar candle close hui, to ye breakout confirm hoga. Warna agar price wapas neeche aayi ya resistance level se reject hui, to iska matlab ye hai ke breakout abhi tak nahi hua. Aap MACD aur volume indicators ko bhi dekh sakte hain — agar breakout ke saath high volume ho aur MACD bullish divergence confirm kare, to breakout zyada mazboot hoga. Agar breakout abhi tak nahi hua, to aap ko intezaar karna chahiye jab tak price confirmation milti hai. USD/JPY currency pair ne haali mein 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya hai, jo yeh ishara deta hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad, pair mein 99 points ka girawat hui, lekin buyers ne corrective move ki koshish ki aur price ko dobara 144.53 ke resistance level tak le aaye. Is mukaam par, sell positions kholna aik strategic move ho sakta hai, jisme 140-141 ke range tak mazeed girawat ka target ho sakta hai. Agar price 144.53 ke resistance level se rebound hoti hai, to recovery ka aghaz ho sakta hai, jisme agla target 146.38 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel flag pattern ki tarah lagta hai, jo downtrend ke dobara shuru hone ka imkaan zaahir karta hai. Dusri taraf, H4 chart par pair ek descending channel ke andar move kar raha hai aur recently isne apni lower boundary se bounce liya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke upar break karti hai, to buying strategy adopt karna mumkin ho sakta hai, jisme target 145.69 ho sakta hai. Pichle Jumme ko, Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 14-mahinay ka sabse neecha level, yani 140.41, touch kiya. Yeh girawat badi market trend ka hissa hai, jisme Yen ki kamzori Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy mein tabdeelion ke sabab se hui. BoJ ne haali mein hawkish stance apnaya aur interest rates ko 0.25% par barhaya, jisse Yen carry trades unwind hui. Iske ilawa, Yen ko "Yen interventions" ke zariye support mila, jisse usne multi-decade lows se USD ke muqable mein takreeban 12.5% recovery hasil ki.

yeh downward trend Japan mein possible interest rate hike ke hawalay se barhti hui speculation ke bawajood mitigate ho sakti hai. Japan ki economy ne doosray quarter mein exceptional growth dikhayi, jo 3.1% annualized rate par thi. Yeh mazboot economic expansion pehle ke slowdown ke baad aayi hai, jo Japanese economy ki resilience ko highlight karti hai aur aagey anay wale monetary policy decisions ko bhi asar andaz kar sakti hai. Is waqt yeh pair Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke potential interest rate hike aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke darmiyan kashmakash mein hai. Traders baray ghour se BoJ ke special session ko dekh rahe hain aur Governor Ueda ke comments ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke yeh Japan ke future monetary policy ke hawalay se clues de sakte hain. Sath hi, US ka ahem inflation data bhi release hone wala hai, jo pair ke short-term trajectory par significant asar dal sakta hai.
**Bank of Japan Ki Interest Rate Strategy Par Guftagu:**

Japan ka parliament ek khaas session rakhnay wala hai jisme Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rate hike ke faislay par guftagu ki jayegi jo unke akhri meeting mein liya gaya tha. Lower house financial affairs committee ke zariye organize kiya gaya yeh session, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ko bhi mad’oo karne ka plan hai, jaise ke Reuters ne hakoomati zarayeh ka hawala dete hue report kiya. BoJ ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ne kaha ke agar market volatility economy ke forecasts ya risk assessments ko asar andaz karti hai, to central bank ki interest rate strategy badal sakti hai. Recent financial market volatility ko dekhte hue, Uchida ne BoJ policies ke economic growth aur inflation par asraat ko baray ghour se dekhne ki zaroorat par zor diya.

**Fed Ka Hawkish Tone Inflation Concerns Ke Darmiyan:**

Dussri taraf, US Federal Reserve ab bhi inflation control par focus kiye hue hai. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne dobara yeh baat ki ke inflation risks ab bhi upar ki taraf hain, aur labor market ki strength ne Fed ki policy outlook ko aur complex banadiya hai. Bowman ne ishara diya ke Fed apni aglay meeting mein, jo September mein hogi, interest rates cut karne ke liye tayar nahi hoga. Jald release hone wale kuch ahem US economic indicators, jaise ke Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI), investors ke focus mein honge, taake yeh dekha ja sake ke price growth ab bhi stable hai ya nahi. Yeh figures USD/JPY pair ke outlook ko significant taur par asar andaz kar sakti hain.

**USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis:**

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, jo is waqt takreeban 143.78 ke level par hai, ka saamna ho sakta hai. Agar price 200-day EMA ke upar break karti hai, to yeh pair ko key resistance ka test karne ke qareeb le ja sakti hai jo 143.44 par hai, jo pehle support ke tor par kaam karta tha lekin ab resistance ban gaya hai. Traders is breakout ko dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh pair mein further bullish momentum ka ishara

momentum hai aur doosri taraf downside ka khatra. Agar pair 144.038 ke aham resistance level ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh bullish pressure ke kamzor honay ki nishani ho sakti hai. Yeh resistance level market ke liye ek psychological aur technical barrier ka kaam karta hai. Agar yeh breach na ho paya, tou traders apni long positions ko reduce kar sakte hain, jo ke pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level barqarar na raha, tou market mein volatility barh sakti hai, kyun ke direction ka aur tasdeeq ka intezaar hoga. Agar pair upar jata hai lekin phir 143.733 se neeche girta hai, tou outlook kaafi bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh price level ek pivot point ka kaam karta hai jahan upward momentum aur reversal ke darmiyan farq hota hai. 143.733 se neeche girnay ka matlab yeh hoga ke buyers market par apna qabza kho chuke hain aur sellers ke liye raah khuli hai. Is surat mein agla aham level 144.361 ka support hoga. Agar selling pressure yahan barh gaya, tou market mein ek correction phase shuru ho sakta hai, aur traders neeche ke price points par apni positions establish karna chahein ge. Agar 144.361 ka level barqarar na raha, tou bearish sentiment tasdeeq ho jaye gi aur downside risk aur barh sakta hai. Aik ziada bearish scenario mein, USD/JPY pair apni decline ko aglay support level 144.73 tak barh sakta hai, jahan buyers market mein phir se daakhil honay ki umeed hai. Yeh level bullish traders ke liye ek mazboot support ka kaam kar sakta hai jahan woh apni positions consolidate kar sakein aur potential rebound ke liye tayar ho sakein. Agar buying interest is support level par mazid barh gaya, tou market mein downtrend temporarily ruk sakta hai, aur pair ko stabilize honay ka moqa milay ga. Lekin agar yeh level bhi defend na ho saka, tou downside momentum mazeed barh sakta hai, aur traders is se bhi neeche ke support levels ko target karna shuru kar denge. US dollar par pressure ke bawajood, USD/JPY currency pair ne H4 chart par apni northern trend ko barqarar rakha, kyun ke iske quotes MA100 indicator ki middle line ke neeche break nahi hue. Isi wajah se mein yeh umeed karta hoon ke iske quotations jald hi dobara growth shuru karenge, kyun ke yeh ek possible bullish zigzag wave "C" ko develop kar raha hai. Iski waves "A" (jo ke ek initial diagonal hai) aur "B" (jo ke ek plane hai) pehle se hi form ho chuki hain. Histogram aur MACD indicator ki signal line bhi bullish zone mein hai, jo asset ki northern uptrend ke liye support ka izhaar karti hai.

Japanese Yen ki kamzor hoti hui surat-e-haal ne USD/JPY pair ki price movement ko barhawa diya hai. Price ne 146.50 ki high price ko bhi paar kar liya, jisse break of structure hua. Ab kaha ja sakta hai ke maujooda price pattern structure higher high - higher low ki condition mein hai. Iske ilawa, EMA 50 jo ke SMA 200 ko cross kar chuka hai, yeh dikhata hai ke trend bullish hai. Price EMA 50 ke qareeb move kar raha hai jab ke 147.25 ki high prices par rukne ke baad yeh downward correction phase mein ho sakta hai. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche correct nahi hota aur RBS area 144.36 ya SMA 200 jo ke dynamic support hai, tak nahi jata, toh yeh price rally ka izafa 146.50 ke high prices ko paar karne ke baad jari reh sakta hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke mutabiq, downtrend momentum dikhai diya hai kyun ke histogram ne negative area yani level 0 ke neeche cross kiya hai. Magar abhi histogram ka volume itna zyada nahi hai jab ke price upward move kar raha tha. Yeh bhi ek potential hai ke agar price do Moving Average lines ke upar rehta hai, toh histogram dobara positive area mein cross kar sakta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke level 50 ko cross kar chuke hain, yeh price increase rally ko support karte hain. Kyun ke parameters ne abhi overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein dakhil nahi hue, is liye buying ka saturation point abhi tak nahi mila, aur price ke barhne ka chance hai. Bullish trend direction ke darmiyan aur break of structure ke baad, BUY ka wait karna behtar hai. Entry position ko place karna jab price RBS 144.36 area tak correct ho jo ke SMA 200 ke saath dynamic support ke taur par hai. Confirmation us waqt karni hogi jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 aur level 20 ke darmiyan cross karein. AO indicator ka volume histogram jo downtrend momentum dikhata hai, level 0 ke qareeb ho aur positive area mein cross karne ka signal de. High prices 146.50 ko take profit ke liye use karna chahiye aur stop loss low prices 142.98 par place karna zaruri hai.