usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Winning Trades with USD/JPY
Hum real-time mein USD/JPY karansi jodi ke dynamic pricing behaviour ka jaiza le rahe hain. USD/JPY jodi ka tafseeli tajziya trading mein mazboot etemaad ka izhar karta hai, jahan harkat ek hi rukh mein ja rahi hai. Halaanki utar chadhaav hain, lekin chaar ghantay ka chart ab bhi uptrend ka izhar kar raha hai, jo dollar ki mazid taqat ko darshata hai. Is subah, yeh jodi izafi growth ki potential dikha rahi hai, aur resistance trend line ko tod kar 146.49 ka target level test karne ka irada rakhti hai. Rozana chart ka jaiza yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke yeh jodi abhi tak ascending channel mein trade kar rahi hai, jo ke buyers ke ek baar phir control haasil karne aur apni market positions mazid mazboot karne ko darshata hai. Magar dollar ki aage ki performance bohot ahem hogi, khaaskar aaj ke ADP labour market data ke release ke sath. Halaat complex hain aur clear goals ki kami hai, lekin main ab bhi growth ke imkaniyat par tawajjo de raha hoon. Agar price 141.19 se neeche girti hai, to is level par kharidari ka sochna chahiye.



Upper aur lower levels 144.632 aur 143.771 ka tajziya zyada imkaan hai ke Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karke kiya gaya ho. Moving average 144.201 par hai jo central component hai. Is waqt, asset takreeban 144.124 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ka izhar karta hai. Choon ke price 144.201 ke moving average se neeche hai, bechnay wali positions zyada moqarar hain. Yeh sales is waqt tak rakhni chahiye jab tak lower level 143.771 ko nahi choo liya jata, jo ke Bollinger Band ke neeche ke limit ke mutabiq hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to upside reversal ke imkaanat zyada hain. Price behaviour ka 144.201 ke qareeb monitoring bohot zaroori hai. Agar price upward breakout karti hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke koi mazboot buyer market mein shamil ho gaya hai, jo ke market direction ko reverse kar sakta hai. Bunyadi tor par, USD/JPY jodi ke liye kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke general direction ab bhi downward hai. Magar chand choti baatein hain: koi clear lower targets nahi hain, aur aksar baray pullbacks ke imkaanat hain.

Good morning to all my fellow forum members! Mujhay umeed hai ke yeh paigham aap sab ko achi sehat mein miley, aur aap tayar hain aaj ke analysis mein ghota lagane ke liye. Hamesha ki tarah, yeh aap sab ke sath insights share karna aik khushi ki baat hai, khaaskar mukhtalif currency pairs ke movements par. Aaj hamara focus USD/JPY pair par hai, khaas tor par iski price action ka jaiza H1 (ek ghantay) ke short-term time frame mein karte hue.
USD/JPY pair is waqt aik dilchasp phase se guzar rahi hai apni price dynamics mein. Abhi ke liye, yeh jodi 147.50 level par kafi strong resistance ka samna kar rahi hai, aur is resistance ko todne ki koshishon ke bawajood, ab tak kamiyab nahi ho saki. Yeh price level traders ke liye aik psychological barrier ka kirdar ada kar raha hai, jo aam tor par is baat ki nishani hoti hai ke bullish momentum is waqt itna mazboot nahi ke mazeed upward movement ko barqarar rakh sake.

Resistance levels technical analysis mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Jab aik currency pair bar-bar kisi khaas resistance level ko test kare lekin usay break na kar paye, to yeh is baat ka ishara hota hai ke sellers us price point par stepping karte hain, jo price ko mazeed barhne se rokta hai. Yeh rawayya aam tor par buyers mein do-projection ko dikhata hai ya price ko mazeed ooper dhakelne ke liye demand mein kami ka izhar karta hai.

USD/JPY ke case mein, jodi ka 147.10 ko paar na kar pana market exhaustion ka ishara ho sakta hai, jahan bulls aik lambay upward trend ke baad apni taqat kho rahe hain.

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Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, yeh surat-e-haal traders ke liye aik potential opportunity paish karti hai. Agar yeh jodi successfully resistance ko break kar le, to yeh bullish trend ki taqat ko confirm karegi, jo mazeed gains ka raasta khol de gi. Magar jab tak yeh nahi hota, ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, kyun ke market aasani se reverse direction le sakti hai. Agar yeh level break na ho paya to yeh jodi support areas ka rukh kar sakti hai, jahan buyers ek dafa phir market ko neeche girne se roknay ke liye stepping karein ge.

Fundamental factors bhi USD/JPY ke aglay move par asar daal sakte hain. U.S. aur Japan dono se anay walay economic data releases, aur sood ki sharah ka faisla, jodi ke direction par significant asar dal sakte hain. Traders ko kisi bhi anay walay news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market sentiment ko badal kar breakout ya pullback ke liye zaroori momentum faraham kar sake.

Jab ke USD/JPY pair is waqt H1 time frame mein 146.85 level par resistance ka samna kar rahi hai, nateeja ab tak ghair yaqini hai. Jodi ne is level ko break karne ki kai koshishen ki hain, magar ab tak kamiyabi nahi hui, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke mazeed growth ke liye market ke halaat ab tak ideal nahi hain. Hamesha ki tarah, sabar se kaam lena zaroori hai aur kisi bhi trading faislay se pehle clear signals ka intezar karna chahiye. Traders ko technical indicators aur fundamental developments dono par nazar rakhni chahiye taake aglay imkani move ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Fundamental Analysis
Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke sath budh ke roz apni monetary policy par seedha baat karne ke baad, naye Prime Minister (PM) Shigeru Ishiba ne Japanese Yen (JPY) ko khamzor karna jumeraat ko jari rakha. Pichli session mein Japanese Yen ne February pichle saal ke baad se apni sab se badi girawat dekhi, aur US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein lagbhag 2% gir gaya.

Prime Minister Ishiba ne budh ke roz apni mulaqat ke dauran BoJ Governor Ueda se monetary policy ke mutaliq kisi tafseelat ka mutalba nahi kiya, jaisa ke Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi ne jumeraat ko zahir kiya. Budh ke din, Japan ke Minister of Economic Revitalisation, Ryosei Akazawa ne kaha ke Prime Minister Ishiba ki tawaqo hai ke Bank of Japan kisi mazeed sood ki sharah barhane par sochne se pehle mukammal iqtisadi tajziyaat kare. Kam az kam 50% se bhi kam futures contracts BoJ se December tak sirf 10 basis points ke sood barhane ke imkaanat ko zahir karte hain. Is ke ilawa, Reuters ke mutabiq, yeh umeed hai ke sood ki sharah 0.25% se baraht kar agle sa(u7D: 18499044

**Technical Analysis of USD/JPY Pair**

Jumeraat ke din, USD/JPY 146.80 par fluctuating karta raha. Rozana chart ka ghor se jaiza lene par bullish bias ka izhar hota hai, jahan yeh jodi ascending channel pattern ke upar breakout karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ke jari rehne ka ishara hai.

USD/JPY pair ko 147.21 ke qareeb resistance ka samna hai, jo ke rising channel ke upper border ke qareeb hai, aur yeh pichli baar 3 September ko five-week high tha. Agar yeh jodi is barrier ko break karti hai, to yeh seven-week high 149.40 ko challenge kar sakti hai.

Neeche ki taraf, USD/JPY pair ko 143.20 par ascending channel ka bottom limit aur 144.60 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support faraham karte hain. Agar yeh barrier toot jata hai, to USD/JPY pair gir kar 139.58 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke June 2023 se sab se neeche ka level hoga.

Spot price ne Friday ko US dollar index (DXY) ke muqable mein halki si decline dekhi, lekin yeh downward trend Japan mein possible interest rate hike ke hawalay se barhti hui speculation ke bawajood mitigate ho sakti hai. Japan ki economy ne doosray quarter mein exceptional growth dikhayi, jo 3.1% annualized rate par thi. Yeh mazboot economic expansion pehle ke slowdown ke baad aayi hai, jo Japanese economy ki resilience ko highlight karti hai aur aagey anay wale monetary policy decisions ko bhi asar andaz kar sakti hai.

Is waqt yeh pair Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke potential interest rate hike aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke darmiyan kashmakash mein hai. Traders baray ghour se BoJ ke special session ko dekh rahe hain aur Governor Ueda ke comments ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke yeh Japan ke future monetary policy ke hawalay se clues de sakte hain. Sath hi, US ka ahem inflation data bhi release hone wala hai, jo pair ke short-term trajectory par significant asar dal sakta hai.

**Bank of Japan Ki Interest Rate Strategy Par Guftagu:**

Japan ka parliament ek khaas session rakhnay wala hai jisme Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rate hike ke faislay par guftagu ki jayegi jo unke akhri meeting mein liya gaya tha. Lower house financial affairs committee ke zariye organize kiya gaya yeh session, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ko bhi mad’oo karne ka plan hai, jaise ke Reuters ne hakoomati zarayeh ka hawala dete hue report kiya. BoJ ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ne kaha ke agar market volatility economy ke forecasts ya risk assessments ko asar andaz karti hai, to central bank ki interest rate strategy badal sakti hai. Recent financial market volatility ko dekhte hue, Uchida ne BoJ policies ke economic growth aur inflation par asraat ko baray ghour se dekhne ki zaroorat par zor diya.

**Fed Ka Hawkish Tone Inflation Concerns Ke Darmiyan:**

Dussri taraf, US Federal Reserve ab bhi inflation control par focus kiye hue hai. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne dobara yeh baat ki ke inflation risks ab bhi upar ki taraf hain, aur labor market ki strength ne Fed ki policy outlook ko aur complex banadiya hai. Bowman ne ishara diya ke Fed apni aglay meeting mein, jo September mein hogi, interest rates cut karne ke liye tayar nahi hoga. Jald release hone wale kuch ahem US economic indicators, jaise ke Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI), investors ke focus mein honge, taake yeh dekha ja sake ke price growth ab bhi stable hai ya nahi. Yeh figures USD/JPY pair ke outlook ko significant taur par asar andaz kar sakti hain.

**USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis:**

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, jo is waqt takreeban 143.78 ke level par hai, ka saamna ho sakta hai. Agar price 200-day EMA ke upar break karti hai, to yeh pair ko key resistance ka test karne ke qareeb le ja sakti hai jo 143.44 par hai, jo pehle support ke tor par kaam karta tha lekin ab resistance ban gaya hai. Traders is breakout ko dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh pair mein further bullish momentum ka ishara de sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein 143.40 ke key support level ko test kiya, lekin isay break karne ki koshish mein price wapis upar aagaya aur is critical support level ke ooper trade karne laga, jo positive stability ko maintain karta hai. Yeh recovery yeh dikhati hai ke intraday bullish trend abhi bhi intact hai, kyun ke pair ne is key support level ke ooper apni position banaye rakhi hai. Price action yeh suggest karta hai ke bulls abhi bhi market ka control sambhalay hue hain, aur deeper bearish move ko rok rahe hain, jis se upward momentum zinda hai.Pehle, USD/JPY price apna pehla anticipated target 141.75 tak successfully pohanch gaya tha, jaisa ke kai analysts aur traders ne predict kiya tha. Yeh target short-term trading plan ka aik significant level tha, aur is tak pohanchne par price ne aik tez upward bounce ke saath respond kiya. Yeh strong rebound market mein bullish sentiment ki taqat ko zahir karta hai. 141.75 ko touch karne ke baad, pair ne jaldi se momentum hasil kiya, bearish outlook se nikal kar intraday bearish trend line ko break kar diya jo chart par visible thi. Yeh bearish trend line ka break hona khaas tor par important hai, kyun ke yeh short-term mein market sentiment mein bearish se bullish shift ka ishara hai. Ab jab ke USD/JPY is trend line ke ooper trade kar raha hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish pressure continue kar sakta hai aur aane wale sessions mein price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Is trend line ka breach aik technical shift bhi zahir karta hai, jahan market buying pressure ko selling par tarjeeh de raha hai, jo pair ki value mein aur gains la sakta hai.Is ke ilawa, 143.40 ke key support ke ooper settle hona USD/JPY ki strength ka mazeed confirmation deta hai. Jab tak price is level ke ooper rehti hai, bullish scenario valid rahega, aur traders dips par buying opportunities dhoondh sakte hain. Agar price apna current level barqarar rakhti hai aur apni upward trajectory continue karti hai, to pair higher levels ka aim kar sakta hai.Magar traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur kisi bhi potential reversal par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar agar future sessions mein price 143.40 ke support level ke neeche gir jata hai. Agar price is key level ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh bearish momentum mein wapas shift ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo lower price targets ka retest la sakta hai. Filhal ke liye, USD/JPY ka intraday outlook bullish lagta hai, jab ke price key levels ke ooper stabilize ho raha hai aur mazeed upward movement ke signs dikhata ha

USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ke jode ne 145.98 ki muzahmati satah ko tod kar aur is se ooper mustahkam ho kar mazbuti hasil ki. Aaj, qimat ne 147.24 ki muzahmati satah ka test kiya, jiske bad bears ne pahal hi. Filhal, farokht karne wale dollar/yen ke jode ko niche lane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Un ki koshishen kitni kamyab hoti hai yah dekhna baqi hai. Is waqt, 145.98 ki support satah par wapsi ke bad dobara tezi ka daud shuru hone ke ishare mil rahe hain. Agar qimat 145.98 ki satah ko tod deti hai us se niche fix ho jati hai to, tashish gahra ho sakti hai ya niche ke rujhan me badal sakti hai. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, market ki suratehal gahir yaqini hai. Aakhir kar, 147.24 ki muzahmati satah jis par qimat pahunchi hai, woh kafi mazbut hai, lehaza iska breakout kafi challenging hoga.

USD/JPY currency pair ka real-time price analysis kar rahay hain, jahan filhal price 146.149 per trade ho rahi hai. Yeh behtareen waqt hai current market price par selling ko consider karne ka, kyun ke din ke opening price se duri dikhati hai ke buying momentum qareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye favorable conditions create karta hai.Agar hum 146.149 par market mein entry karte hain, toh stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas set karna chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke near hona chahiye. Jab price is level tak pohanch jaye, toh short positions ko close karna aqalmandi hogi, kyun ke ek corrective rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ke lower boundary tak pahuch sakta hai, aur price correction ko continue karte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point 147.322 ke zone tak ja sakta hai. Is zone se downward rebound ki anticipation ki ja sakti hai, lekin is rebound ki strength abhi uncertain hai.USD/JPY pair ek descending channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, aur downward trend ko maintain karte hue EMA 50 se bounce hui hai. Filhal pair critical support level 145.35 ko target kar rahi hai, jo pehle se test ho chuka hai, aur yeh aur zyada decline ka ishara karta hai, jahan targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ke aas paas hain. Recommendation yeh hai ke selling focus ke sath trade kiya jaye, aur stop-loss ko resistance level 146.59 ke upar set kiya jaye.USD/JPY ne correction phase mein entry ki hai jab price ne kal ke lows ko hit kiya. Market significant news ka intizar kar raha hai, khaaskar Fed ki taraf se minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Agar yeh data significant tariqe se revise hota hai, toh is ka zyada impact ho sakta hai, aur speculation ka sabab ban sakta hai ke September mein Fed rate cut 50 points tak ho sakti hai, jo dollar ki weakness ka sabab banega. Jumay ko, USD/JPY ka daily chart bullish tha. Meri forecast jumay ke liye accurate thi. Maine uptrend ka tajziya kiya tha, kyun ke Thursday ko price rise ho rahi thi aur 141.874 ke level ke upar close hui thi. Jumay ke liye, uptrend ka priority tha aur price poora din rising karti rahi, 143.747 ke resistance ko break kiya aur is level ke upar close hui. Monday ke liye, meri priority uptrend rahegi 145.265 ke resistance tak. Kyun ke price in levels ke upar close hui hai, USD/JPY ne kal ke lows ko hit karne ke baad correction phase mein entry ki hai. Market Fed ki significant news ka intezar kar raha hai, khaaskar minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Yeh revision zyada impact rakh sakti hai, khaaskar agar data mein significant changes aaye. Yeh speculation ko janam de sakti hai ke September mein Fed 50-point rate cut kar sakta hai, jo dollar ko weaken karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops a

USD/JPY: Haal Mein Hone Wali Harkat ka Ek Mukhtasir Jaiza

Jumma ke din, USD/JPY currency pair mein thodi si girawat dekhi gayi, jab ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ke khilaf ye zara neeche chala gaya. Magar yeh girawat Japan mein intehai daaron ka izafa hone ki afwahaat ke bawajood kabhi kabhi rok sakti hai. Japan ki economy ne doosray quarter mein bemisal taraqqi dikhayi, jisme saalana growth rate 3.1% rahi. Yeh mazboot economic expansion pehle wali slowdown ke baad aayi hai, jo Japan ki economy ki taqat ko darshata hai aur aane wale monetary policy ke faislon par asar daal sakti hai.

**Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki Interest Rate Policy**

Japan ki parliament ek khaas session kar rahi hai jisme BoJ ke recent interest rate hike ke faislay par guftagu hogi. Yeh session Lower House Financial Affairs Committee ke zariye organize kiya gaya hai, aur BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ko bhi shaamil kiya jayega, jaisa ke hakoomati zaraye ne Reuters ko bataya. BoJ ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ne kaha ke agar market volatility economic forecasts ya risk assessments ko mutasir karti hai, toh central bank ki interest rate strategy badli ja sakti hai. Unhone is baat par zoor diya ke financial market volatility ka economic growth aur inflation par kya asar ho raha hai, usay barabar dekhna zaroori hai.

**Federal Reserve ka Sakht Mawaqaf aur Mehngai ka Masla**

Doosri taraf, US Federal Reserve ab bhi inflation ko qaboo mein rakhne par tawajju de raha hai. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne dobara yeh baat ki ke inflation ke risks ab bhi barh rahe hain, jo ke Fed ki policy ko zyada pechida bana raha hai labor market ki taqat ki wajah se. Bowman ne ishara diya ke Fed apni agle meeting mein, jo September mein hogi, interest rates cut karne ke liye tayar nahi hoga. Aane wale aham US economic indicators, jaise ke Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI), investors ke liye intehai dilchaspi ke hamil hongay, jab woh price growth ki stability ko samajhne ki koshish karenge. Yeh numbers USD/JPY pair ke outlook par bara asar daal sakte hain.

**USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis**

Technical analysis ke lehaaz se, USD/JPY pair foran resistance face kar sakta hai 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb, jo ke abhi 143.78 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price 200-day EMA se upar nikal jata hai, toh yeh pair ko key resistance test karwane ke liye le ja sakta hai, jo 143.44 par hai — yeh woh level hai jo pehle support tha lekin ab resistance ban gaya hai. Traders is breakout ka intezaar kar ra

USD/JPY Profit Potential

Hamari discussion USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time price action par hai. USD/JPY pair ka recent strength badhne ki wajah ruling party ki leadership mein tabdeeli aur early parliamentary elections ka elan hai. Magar yeh political shifts aise significant economic changes ka sabab nahi lagte, isliye 143.79 support level ka breakdown zyada der tak nahi raha, aur pair jaldi se is threshold ke upar wapas aa gaya. Sabse qareebi resistance jo dollar-yen pair ke liye mazboot ho sakti hai, wo 147.28 ke aas paas hai. Mujhe shak hai ke yeh level short term mein asani se cross ho payega, isliye mein buying opportunities ko consider nahi kar raha. Iske bajaye, mujhe lagta hai sellers phir se koshish karenge ke 143.79 support ko torain, jo USD/JPY ko 142.89-142.49 zone tak push kar sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, toh mein un levels par closely dekhunga ke buying opportunities milti hain ya nahi, magar sirf unhi levels se.

4-hour chart (H4) par Ribbon indicator ek trend signal karta hai aur green color dikhata hai. 30-minute chart (M30) bhi upward trend show kar raha hai, aur Ribbon indicator green hai, jo ongoing bullish movement ko support karta hai. Is basis par, 143.84 level se buying positions consider karna worth ho sakta hai, jisme initial targets us range mein honge. Magar agar Ribbon indicator koi opposing signal deta hai, toh yeh behtar hoga ke existing trades ko close kar diya jaye. USD/JPY pair abhi tak is range mein hai. Har dip se price likely hai ke wapas bounce kare, halaanke 144.59 ke qareeb resistance bhi ban raha hai. Pair koshish kar raha hai ke is resistance ko break karke iske upar stabilize kare. Magar is koshish ki success abhi uncertain hai. Jitna price extreme imbalance zone ke qareeb jata hai, downward rebound ka likelihood utna hi barhta hai. Overall, USD/JPY pair gradually appreciate kar raha hai U.S. dollar ki broad strengthening ki wajah se, jo ke U.S. employment report ke pehle ho rahi hai, jo Friday ko release hogi.

USD/JPY

Trade Analysis aur Japanese Yen ke liye Trading Tips 145.24 price level ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi upar tha, jis wajah se pair ka upward potential limit ho gaya. Is reason ki wajah se maine dollar khareedne ka faisla nahi kiya. Iske bawajood, mazboot U.S. labor market data ne bade players ko market mein rakha, jo USD/JPY ko aur upar push karte rahe. Aaj ke kamzor Composite PMI aur services PMI reports ne, jo economists ki forecasts se bhi kamzor thi, ek aur yen ki sell-off ko trigger kiya aur dollar ki khareedari ko barhawa diya, jo pair ko aur mazboot kar rahi hai. Iske ilawa, dunya bhar mein jari geopolitical tensions ke saath, dollar ke barhne ki umeed hai, is liye current highs par bhi selling mein ehtiyaat barhtein.

Intraday strategy ke hawale se, mein zyadatar scenario #1 aur #2 ko implement karne par rely karunga.

Buy Signal
Scenario #1: Mera plan hai ke aaj USD/JPY ko 146.92 (chart par green line) par pochne par buy karoon, aur 147.53 (chart par thicker green line) tak rise ka aim hai. 147.53 par mein buy trades se exit karne aur opposite direction mein sell trades open karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jahan se level ke neeche 30-35 pips ki downward movement ki umeed hai. Aaj ka pair ka rise sirf correction ka hissa hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle ensure karna hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur upward movement start kar chuka ho.

Scenario #2: Mera plan hai ke aaj USD/JPY ko do baar 146.45 price level ke tests ke baad buy karoon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko upward reversal dega. Umeed hai ke price opposite levels 146.92 aur 147.53 tak rise karegi.

Sell Signal
Scenario #1: Mera plan hai ke aaj USD/JPY ko sirf 146.45 level (chart par red line) ke test ke baad sell karoon, jo pair mein ek quick decline lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target 145.95 level hoga, jahan mein sell trades se exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein buy trades open karunga (expecting 20-25 pips ki opposite movement is level se). Dollar ke against pressure barqarar rahega, jo pair par bearish market ka hissa hoga. Important: Sell karne se pehle ensure karna hai ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur downward movement start kar chuka ho.

Scenario #2: Mera plan hai ke aaj USD/JPY ko do baar 146.92 price level ke tests ke baad sell karoon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko downward reversal dega. Umeed hai ke price opposite levels 146.45 aur 145.95 tak decline karegi.

Hum abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki price assessment par nazar daal rahe hain. Is waqt, humein intezaar karna hoga ke yeh girawat ka scenario khatam ho jaye. Aisa mumkin hai ke yeh ek temporary bearish correction ho jo sirf buyers ke stop-losses ko trigger karne ke liye hai, uske baad bullish trend wapas aasakta hai. Lekin humein poori tarah se direction reversal ka bhi ehtimal hai, jis wajah se agle moves ko predict karna thoda mushkil ho raha hai. Agar hum yeh samjhein ke 139.55 level se humein abhi bhi ek northern movement ka ihtimal hai, to 146.52 se 142.18 tak ki decline us correction ka hissa ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke ek strong chance hai ke hum 143.51 ke upar wapas charh sakte hain aur 146.52 tak pahunch sakte hain taake jo price movement ka "debt" bana hai wo poora ho sake. Dusri taraf, agar 143.51 ko tod diya gaya, to price neeche ki taraf push karegi aur downtrend ke continue hone ka risk barh jayega. Is scenario mein, main 139.55 level ko agle target ke tor par dekhunga.




Ahm Support Aur Resistance Levels

Is Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market ko 143.00 level ke upar rehne ki challenge ka saamna hai. Yeh level market mein agle probable direction ka faisla karega. Agar yeh support level 143.00 par mazboot rahta hai, to bulls ko yeh mauka milega ke wo price ko mazeed upar push karein aur 144.00 ke round mark ko target karein. Agar price is level ke upar chali gayi, to yeh 144.70 aur 145.00 ke levels ko expose karegi.
Lekin, agar price 143.00 ke level ke neeche gir gayi, to phir bears ke paas price ko aur neeche ki taraf le jane ka acha chance hoga. Is scenario mein, pehla target 142.60 ho sakta hai, uske baad 142.00. Agar price is level ke neeche break kiya to phir 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels expose ho jayenge. Daily trading diagram abhi bhi upside ki taraf signal kar raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke price is ke mutabiq move karegi

**USD/JPY Profit Potential**

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka waqt ke mutabiq tajziya kar rahi hai. USD/JPY pair ki taqat mein recent izafa hukoomat ke leadership mein tabdeeliyon aur early parliamentary elections ke elaan ke sabab hai. Magar, in siyasi tabdeeliyon ke baraabar economic asar ki umeed nahi hai, is liye 143.79 support level ke neeche ka breakdown zyada dair tak nahi raha aur pair jaldi is threshold se upar wapas aa gaya. Dollar-yen pair ka qareebi aur aham resistance 147.28 ke qareeb hai. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh level short term mein asaani se hit hoga, is liye mein abhi kisi buying opportunity ko consider nahi kar raha. Balkay mujhe umeed hai ke sellers dobara koshish karenge ke 143.79 support ko break kar sakein, jo USD/JPY ko 142.89–142.49 zone tak push kar sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario develop hota hai, toh mein in levels par closely buying opportunities ko monitor karunga, magar sirf unhi levels se.

4-hour chart (H4) par Ribbon indicator ek signalling trend aur green colour dikhata hai. 30-minute chart (M30) par bhi upward trend ka izhaar ho raha hai, jahan Ribbon indicator green hai, jo ongoing bullish movement ki support karta hai. Is ke buniyad par, 143.84 level se buying positions ko consider karna laayak ho sakta hai, jahan pehle targets usi range mein rakhe ja sakte hain. Agar Ribbon indicator koi mukhalif signal dekhata hai, toh mojudah trades ko close karna behtar hoga. USD/JPY pair filhaal is range mein hai. Har dip ka imkaan hai, jisse price wapas upar bounce kare, lekin 144.59 ke qareeb resistance bhi form ho raha hai. Pair is resistance ko break karne aur iske upar stabilize hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Magar, is koshish ka kamyaab hona abhi mukammal nahi hai. Jitna price extreme imbalance zone ke qareeb aayega, utni zyada downward rebound ki umeed hai. Kul mila ke, USD/JPY pair ahista ahista appreciate ho raha hai, jabke U.S. dollar ki quwwat barh rahi hai ahead of U.S. employment report jo ke Friday ko scheduled hai.

USD/JPY pair abhi 146.91 kay aas paas fluctuate kar raha hai. USD Dollar Index ki weakness abhi bhi bearish control main hai aur yeh 102.50 resistance level kay neeche trade kar raha hai. Technical indicators kay mutabiq, pair 161.40 tak barh sakta hai, lekin price aaj gir bhi sakti hai. European session shuru honay par humein charts par nazar rakhni hogi. RSI abhi 53.6393 par hai jo dikhata hai ke market uptrend main hai lekin aglay kuch dino main neeche ja sakta hai. MACD indicator 6.537 par hai aur low volume bar show kar raha hai. USD/JPY 20 aur 50 period ki exponential moving average kay upar hai jo bullish signal dikhata hai. Minor support aur resistance areas hain jo entry points kay liye use kiye ja sakte hain. Market ka rise resistance target 151.84 par hit kar sakta hai jo primary resistance level hai. Agar aap buy kartay hain to price range 161.40 tak target ki ja sakti hai aur teesra target 171.30 kay aas paas ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price girta hai to primary support level 139.83 par hai. Agar sell hota hai to doosra support level 124.14 par hai. Us kay baad, price teesray resistance level 101.10 ko test kar sakta hai. Technical point of view say, best approach yeh hai kay trend kay mutabiq short positions open ki jayein taake profit mil sake.USD/JPY ka impulsive price movement supply area 147.22 - 146.68 tak pohanch gaya hai. Is se price ko correct ho kar RBS area 144.29 tak girne ka chance milta hai aur phir wahan se upward rally continue ho sakti hai. EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ko cross kar kay golden cross signal generate kiya hai, jo is baat ko indicate karta hai ke trend bullish hai. Stochastic indicator bhi support kar raha hai ke price correct ho. Parameters jo overbought zone 90 - 80 level par cross kar rahay hain, yeh dikhata hai ke overbought point ab pohanch gaya hai. Agar koi reversal candlestick pattern, jaise bearish engulfing ya dominant break, nazar aaye to yeh surety milegi ke price correct ho raha hai. Lekin agar Japanese Yen ka outlook weak hi rehta hai aur buyers profit taking nahi karte, to price increase ka rally supply area ko pass kar kay continue ho sakta hai.Trading plan ke liye behtari yeh hai ke abhi BUY moment ka intezar kiya jaye, kyun ke trend already bullish hai jab se golden cross signal aaya hai. Entry position RBS area 144.29 par rakhi ja sakti hai jab Stochastic indicator confirmation de, jo level 50 ke aas paas cross ho sakta hai. Take profit ke liye target supply area 147.22 - 146.68 par rakhna hai aur stop loss low price 141.66 par.