USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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  • #11611 Collapse

    T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
    U S D / J P Y

    Aap sab ko shubhkaamnaayein! Meri dua hai ke aapka analysis hamesha sahi rahe taake aap consistent profit hasil kar sakein. Is upload mein aap USD/JPY market ke baare mein dekh sakte hain. Chart ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ne Thursday ko $141.68 ko chhua. Filhal USD/JPY ki qeemat 144.34 ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai. Mere khayalat ke mutabiq, is time frame par USD/JPY bullish nazar aata hai.

    Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator buyers ki superiority ko sellers par confirm karta hai kyunki RSI ka reading 71.3635 hai, jo bullish territory mein hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi buyers ki superiority ko confirm karta hai kyunki signal line ya slow line zero line ya midline ke upar hai. Moving averages bhi bullish signal de rahe hain kyunki USD/JPY 50-day exponential moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai.

    T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S


    U S D / J P Y

    Mere khayalat ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ka pehla resistance level 145.04 hai. Is time frame chart par, agar USD/JPY 145.04 ke initial resistance level ko todta hai, toh yeh 146.48 ke resistance level ki taraf barhega, jo ke doosra resistance level hai. Uske baad, USD/JPY 151.76 ke resistance level ki taraf aage barhega, jo ke teesra resistance level hai.

    Dusri taraf, is time frame chart par USD/JPY ka initial support level 143.44 hai. Mere nazar mein, agar yeh 143.44 ke initial support level ko todta hai, toh USD/JPY 141.68 ke support level ki taraf gir jayega, jo ke doosra support level hai. Uske baad, USD/JPY 134.76 ke support level ki taraf aur bhi girega, jo ke teesra support level hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke mere sab trader mere analysis ko follow karenge.
    Indicators used in the chart:
    • MACD indicator
    • RSI indicator (period 14)
    • 50-day exponential moving average (color: Orange)
    • 20-day exponential moving average (color: Magenta)


       
    • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
    • #11612 Collapse

      USD/JPY
      Click image for larger version

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ID:	13155012USD/JPY ka Tajziya (Analysis)
      USD/JPY duniya ke sab se zyada trade hone wale currency pairs mein se ek hai. Yeh pair US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ko represent karta hai. Forex market mein yeh pair aksar safe-haven trading ka ek important indicator hota hai, kyun ke Japan ki economy ko duniya mein stability ka symbol samjha jata hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke USD/JPY ka current analysis kya hai.

      Economic Factors aur Central Bank Policies

      USD/JPY par dono mulkon ki central banks ki policies ka gehra asar hota hai. US Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rates aur monetary policies ko closely dekhna zaroori hota hai. Agar US Federal Reserve interest rates ko barhata hai, toh US Dollar ko strength milti hai, jis se USD/JPY ki value upar ja sakti hai. Iss ke baraks, agar Bank of Japan apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko continue rakhta hai, toh Japanese Yen mazid weak reh sakta hai.

      Japan traditionally low-interest-rate policies ko follow karta hai, jisse carry trade opportunities barh jati hain, jahan investors low-interest currency (JPY) ko sell kar ke high-interest currency (USD) ko buy karte hain.

      Technical Analysis

      USD/JPY ke charts par moving averages aur Fibonacci retracement levels ko dekhna zaroori hota hai. Agar price 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke upar ho, toh yeh bullish trend ka indication hai. Lekin agar price averages ke neeche jata hai, toh market mein bearish sentiment ho sakta hai.

      Stochastic oscillator aur MACD jaise technical indicators ko dekhte hue, agar Stochastic 80 ke upar ho, toh yeh overbought condition ka signal hota hai, jo ke market mein correction ya reversal ka indication de sakta hai. Agar Stochastic 20 se neeche ho, toh yeh oversold condition ko zahir karta hai, jo ke bullish reversal ka chance de sakta hai.

      Geo-Political aur Safe-Haven Demand

      Geo-political tensions ka USD/JPY par bohot asar hota hai, kyun ke Japanese Yen ko safe-haven asset samjha jata hai. Agar duniya mein instability ya financial crisis hoti hai, toh investors apne paisay Japanese Yen mein shift karte hain, jis se USD/JPY neeche ja sakta hai. Halanki, agar global markets stable rehte hain, toh US Dollar mazid strong reh sakta hai.

      Conclusion

      USD/JPY trading ke liye ek dynamic pair hai, jo economic factors, central bank policies aur geo-political events ke mutabiq tez reactions dikhata hai. Isko trade karte waqt short-term volatility aur long-term trends dono ko samajhna zaroori hai. Safe-haven demand aur carry trades ke asar ko bhi dekhna hamesha madadgar hota hai.


         
      • #11613 Collapse

        143.00 ke level se upar bullish prospects hain, jahan target 144.00, phir 144.70 aur 145.00 hain.

        143.00 ke level se neeche bearish prospects hain, jahan targets 142.70, 142.30 aur 142.00 hain.

        Is Tuesday, USDJPY market ko 143.00 ke level ke upar rehne ka challenge face karna padega. Agar yeh support level 143.00 barqarar rehta hai, to phir bulls ko upar ki taraf push karne ka mauka milega, jahan target 144.00 ka round mark hoga. Is level se upar nikalne par 144.70 aur 145.00 ke levels khul jayenge. Lekin agar price 143.00 ke level se neeche chala jata hai, to bears ke paas achhe mauqe honge price ko neeche ki taraf le jane ke liye. Agar yeh scenario samne aata hai, to main pehla target 142.60, phir 142.00 ki umeed karunga. Is level ke neeche break hone par 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels khul jayenge. Daily trading diagram upside ki taraf ishara de raha hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke price is hisaab se move karegi.

        4-hour trading diagram par, price kam hone ki taraf dekh rahi hai. Lekin, yeh aksar chand lamhon ke liye hoga, jab tak price 142.70 ke level se neeche nahi girti. Relative Strength Index 50.00 se upar hai, jo upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Agar price is hisaab se move karti hai, to hum jaldi hi 144.00 ka level dekh sakte hain. Agar is level se upar nikalne mein kamiyabi milti hai, to price 144.70 ki taraf badhegi, jo 145.00 ke psychological level par hamla karne se pehle hoga.

        Dusri taraf, agar price 143.00 ka level tooti hai, to bears 142.60 ke price mark ki taraf badhenge. Is level ke neeche bearish targets 142.30 hain. Iske neeche 142.00 ka psychologically significant support level hai. Agar yeh level bhi toota, to pair apne losses ko extend karegi.

        Lekin abhi ke liye risks upar ki taraf hain, isliye main dollaryen market mein buying opportunities dekhne ka haqdar hoon. Aane wale doran dekhenge ke yeh kaise hota hai. Sabko best of luck!
           
        • #11614 Collapse

          USD/JPY Ka Core Analysis

          Aaj, main USD/JPY currency pair par tawajjoh de raha hoon, jo pichle hafte ke akhir mein bechne ki taraf jhuka hai mukhtalif macroeconomic asbaab ki wajah se. Japan mein, naye Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne sahulat de ne monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka joshala dikhaya hai, jo yen ko kamzor karne ki taraf le jata hai kyunki is se interest rates ghatte hain aur yen ki appeal kam hoti hai. Halankeh Japan ki retail trade ne August mein 2.8% ka saalana izafa dikhaya hai, jo ke andazay se 2.3% zyada hai, lekin yen ab bhi pressure mein hai. Behtar retail sales ne yen ki broader kamzori ko counter karne ke liye kaafi nahi hai, jo ke Japan ki dovish economic approach se nikal rahi hai, aur is se currency ke liye mazeed challenges ka ishara milta hai.

          Is ke muqabil, US dollar ne mazbooti dikhayi hai, jo ke August ke liye Core PCE Price Index ki akhri report ki wajah se hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive rate-cutting cycle ki umeedon ko bhadawa de rahi hai. Halankeh agar Fed waqai mein rate cuts ka faisla karta hai to dollar ki kamzori ka imkaan hai, lekin is waqt currency ab bhi mazboot hai. Yeh mazbooti iski safe-haven asset ke tor par kirdar se hai, jab ke Japan ki dovish stance aur US ke relatively stable economic outlook ke darmiyan ka farq USD/JPY ke dynamics ko asarandaaz kar raha hai. Aane wale waqt mein, agar US ka data economic robustness ki taraf ishara kare, to US dollar yen ke muqabil supported rahega.

          USD/JPY Price Action Analysis

          Technical tor par, USD/JPY mein bearish momentum ke wazeh nishan nazar aa rahe hain. Pichle hafte, ek bullish engulfing pattern ne ek aham support level par kharidari ko encourage kiya, lekin hafte ke aakhir tak, mazboot bechne ka pressure un gains ko ulat diya. Jumme ko ek significant bearish Marubozu candlestick dekhne ko mili, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers trading session ke doran control mein rahe, aur pair ko 141.20 ki taraf le gaye. Is Marubozu pattern ki maujoodgi, jo upper ya lower shadows se mehroom hai, bearish dominance ko darshata hai, aur aane wale sessions mein mazeed girawat ki tayyari kar raha hai.

          Iske ilawa, price 142.92 ke aham level se neeche aa chuka hai, aur agla support 141.78 ab pressure mein hai. Agar is key support se neeche giraawat hoti hai, to 139.56 ki taraf mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai, jo agla bada level hai. Is waqt, 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur ek uptrend line dono current price se upar hain, jo potential resistance zones ki tarah kaam kar sakte hain agar pair recovery ki koshish kare. Kisi bhi upward movement ko in levels par mazboot bechne ka pressure face karna padega. Overall, technical outlook bearish hai, aur price ki girawat jaari rehne ki umeed hai jab tak bulls 141.78 support ko defend nahi karte.
             
          • #11615 Collapse

            USD/JPY Currency Pair Ki Haliya Soorat-e-Haal Ka Tajziya


            USD/JPY currency pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair ne 99 points ki girawat dekhi. Iske baad, kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamiyab hue. Is mauqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 ke range tak ho sakta hai.

            Agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance ka aim 146.38 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai.

            USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai.

            Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta.

            Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai. Bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le ja sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai.

            Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai.

            Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein ek ehtiyaati soch dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aaj ka market action zyada tar mazeed economic data par mabni hoga, jo ke is pair ke liye zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai.


            4o miniUSD/JPY Currency Pair Ki Haliya Soorat-e-Haal Ka Tajziya USD/JPY currency pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair ne 99 points ki girawat dekhi. Iske baad, kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamiyab hue. Is mauqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 ke range tak ho sakta hai.

            Agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance ka aim 146.38 ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai.

            USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai.

            Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta.

            Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai. Bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le ja sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai.

            Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai.

            Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein ek ehtiyaati soch dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aaj ka market action zyada tar mazeed economic data par mabni hoga, jo ke is pair ke liye zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Click image for larger version

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            • #11616 Collapse

              USD/JPY currency pair ka mojooda pricing behavior hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye

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              • #11617 Collapse

                Japanese yen (JPY) ne doosray din bhi girawat ka silsila jaari rakha, jo asal mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se muhayya ki gayi raahnumai aur mukhtalif ma'ashi data ki wajah se tha. Central bank ki September ke monetary policy meeting ka khulasa yeh dikhata hai ke unka koi foran interest rate barhane ka irada nahi hai, wo stability aur ehtiyaat se guftagu ko ahmiyat dete hain. BoJ ne yeh kaha hai ke agar ma'ashi halaat khaas tor par behtar hotay hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain.
                Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain.

                Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai


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                • #11618 Collapse

                  overall consensus yeh hai ke actively sell karna chahiye. Iske madde nazar, pair ka trend bearish rahega. Monday ke significant news releases mein, US se koi bara event expected nahi hai, kyun ke yeh holiday hai. However, Swiss business activity index ka neutral forecast hai. In factors ke dekhte hue, main anticipate karta hoon ke pair downward move karega, aur sales ka support level 0.8469 tak poch sakta hai, jabke resistance level 0.8519 tak buying ka chance ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko zahir karta hai. Thodi dair pehle Swiss inflation data report (CPI m/m) release hui thi, jisme result 0.0% aaya hai, jo ke pehle -0.2% tha. Is neutral inflation result ke sath, mumkin hai ke USD/CHF pair ke price mein izafa ka rally continue rahe. Mazeed, trend direction ab bullish condition mein hai, kyun ke EMA 50 ka SMA 200 ke sath cross hona ek golden cross signal deta hai. Agar rally do Moving Average lines ke upar consistent rahti hai, toh structure break hone ka chance hai. Invalidation level high prices 0.8540 par hai jo ke current price range se zyada door nahi, aur price psychological level 0.8500 ke upar hai. Magar, uptrend momentum jo Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se zahir hota hai, usmein bearish divergence ka signal ban raha hai. Yeh is liye hai kyun ke histogram volume level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, jo USD/CHF pair ke price increase ke rally ke sath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Saath hi, Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone ke ird gird baar baar cross kar rahe hain, yeh bhi yeh indicate karte hain ke price increase buying ke saturation point tak pohanch gaya hai. Trading plan ke hawale se, aapko ab bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye, kyun ke golden cross signal abhi fresh samjha jata hai. Entry position tab leni chahiye jab price EMA 50 ya qareebi RBS area 0.8507 par down ho. Tasdeeq tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 se level 20 tak cross karte hain, jabke AO indicator ka histogram consistently level 0 ya positive area ke Click image for larger version

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                  • #11619 Collapse

                    USD/CHF ke daily timeframe par price movement ka jaiza lete hue, aakhri hafte ki trading sessions mein sellers ka asar zyada dekhne ko mila hai. Ye haalat candlestick ke movement se zahir hoti hai, jo Thursday se Friday tak consistently neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. Agar hum pichle dinon ke daily movement ko dekhein, to ye sideways pattern banata hai, jo bearish situation ko darshata hai aur volatility bhi moderate hai. Haalankeh shuruat mein kuch bullish correction movement dekhne ko mili, lekin aakhri hafte ki bearish movement pichle mahine ke market trend ka jari rukh hai, jo ye darshata hai ke market ab bhi bearish trend ki taraf barhne ke liye potential rakhta hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, jo indicators ka istemal kiya gaya hai unki condition ke aadhar par. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line ka direction bilkul wazeh hai; pehle ye line aksar level 50 ke kareeb hoti thi, lekin ab ye level 30 ke aas paas ruk gayi hai. MACD (12,26,29) ke histogram bars bhi ab zero level ke neeche hain aur inka shape bearish movement ka izhar kar raha hai. Isliye, daily timeframe par market ka haal yeh darshata hai ke price abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. USD/CHF ke technical data ke mutabiq, main chhote timeframe H4 par market movement ka jaiza lena chahta hoon. Is mahine candlestick bilkul Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 ke neeche chal rahi thi, lekin is hafte ki shuruat mein bullish correction ki taraf badhi takriban 0.8515 tak. Lekin seller ki mazboot pressure ne price ko dobara neeche ki taraf le aaya jab tak market ne aaj subah band nahi kiya. Price abhi bhi Monday ke opening price se kafi neeche hai, jo is hafte ke market ko bearish dikhata hai. Ek baar phir, main Relative Strength Index (14) ka analysis kar raha hoon jo Lime Line ka signal de raha hai, jo Click image for larger version

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                    • #11620 Collapse

                      overall consensus yeh hai ke actively sell karna chahiye. Iske madde nazar, pair ka trend bearish rahega. Monday ke significant news releases mein, US se koi bara event expected nahi hai, kyun ke yeh holiday hai. However, Swiss business activity index ka neutral forecast hai. In factors ke dekhte hue, main anticipate karta hoon ke pair downward move karega, aur sales ka support level 0.8469 tak poch sakta hai, jabke resistance level 0.8519 tak buying ka chance ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko zahir karta hai. Thodi dair pehle Swiss inflation data report (CPI m/m) release hui thi, jisme result 0.0% aaya hai, jo ke pehle -0.2% tha. Is neutral inflation result ke sath, mumkin hai ke USD/CHF pair ke price mein izafa ka rally continue rahe. Mazeed, trend direction ab bullish condition mein hai, kyun ke EMA 50 ka SMA 200 ke sath cross hona ek golden cross signal deta hai. Agar rally do Moving Average lines ke upar consistent rahti hai, toh structure break hone ka chance hai. Invalidation level high prices 0.8540 par hai jo ke current price range se zyada door nahi, aur price psychological level 0.8500 ke upar hai. Magar, uptrend momentum jo Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se zahir hota hai, usmein bearish divergence ka signal ban raha hai. Yeh is liye hai kyun ke histogram volume level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, jo USD/CHF pair ke price increase ke rally ke sath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Saath hi, Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone ke ird gird baar baar cross kar rahe hain, yeh bhi yeh indicate karte hain ke price increase buying ke saturation point tak pohanch gaya hai. Trading plan ke hawale se, aapko ab bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye, kyun ke golden cross signal abhi fresh samjha jata hai. Entry position tab leni chahiye jab price EMA 50 ya qareebi RBS area 0.8507 par down ho. Tasdeeq tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 se level 20 tak cross karte hain, jabke AO indicator ka histogram consistently level 0 ya positive area ke upar rahta hai. High prices 0.8540 Click image for larger version

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                      • #11621 Collapse

                        ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain
                        Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai
                        USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke ghair mutwaqqa readings dwara madadgar tha, jo ke shahbere nishchit se hai ke koi bhi potential faida mehdud ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ke upar uth gaya, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 144.55 ilaqe tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin, significant ooper ki raftar muqarrar hona na-karar tha jab tak ke pair 145.60 resistance level ke upar na uth gaya aur 145.00 psychological mark ko haasil na kar leya.
                           
                        • #11622 Collapse

                          USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai.
                          USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain
                          Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai
                          USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke ghair mutwaqqa readings dwara madadgar tha, jo ke shahbere nishchit se hai ke koi bhi potential faida mehdud ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ke upar uth gaya, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 144.55 ilaqe tak le ja sakti hai.



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                          • #11623 Collapse

                            Japanese yen (JPY) ne doosray din bhi girawat ka silsila jaari rakha, jo asal mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se muhayya ki gayi raahnumai aur mukhtalif ma'ashi data ki wajah se tha. Central bank ki September ke monetary policy meeting ka khulasa yeh dikhata hai ke unka koi foran interest rate barhane ka irada nahi hai, wo stability aur ehtiyaat se guftagu ko ahmiyat dete hain. BoJ ne yeh kaha hai ke agar ma'ashi halaat khaas tor par behtar hotay hain, to wo policy mein tabdeeliyan karne ke liye tayaar hain, lekin abhi ke liye wo apne maujooda rukh par qayam hain. Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain.

                            Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai


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                            • #11624 Collapse

                              USD/JPY currency pair ka mojooda pricing behavior hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain


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                              • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
                              • #11625 Collapse

                                Japanese ma'ashiyat ne kuch behtari ke asar dikhaye hain, jese ke Tankan ka bada manufacturing index teesre ruba mein 13 par barqarar raha. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke bade manufacturers ke liye operational halaat waqai mein mustahkam hain, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Iske ilawa, Japan ka unemployment rate August mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, jo July mein 2.7% tha, aur yeh market ki peshgoiyan 2.6% se behtar raha. Yen ki kamzori ka aik aur sabab incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ke dovish bayanat bhi hain. Ishiba ne kaha ke ma'ashi nikaas ko support karne ke liye raahnuma monetary policy ki zarurat hai, aur unhone low borrowing costs ki bhi baat ki. Unke bayanat BoJ ke rukh ke sath milte hain aur yen par downward pressure ko barhate hain.
                                Dainik chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka rate Tuesday ko 144.10 ke ird gird trade hua. Technical analysis se yeh pata chala ke yeh aik ascending channel pattern mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai. 14-day relative strength index, jo 50 ke level ke thoda neeche hai, yeh bhi izhar karta hai ke bullish breakout ka potential hai, jo uptrend ke jaari rehne ki tasdeeq karta hai. Resistance levels ki baat karain to USD/JPY pair ko 146.50 par ascending channel ke upper boundary ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 5-week high 147.21 tak bhi pahuncha sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, channel ki lower limit 142.80 hai. Is level ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ho sakti hai, jahan 139.58 ka area support ka potential rakhta hai, jo June 2023 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai



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