usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Trading Opportunities

Humari guftagu ka main mauzu USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hoga. Agar USD/JPY ka jora market khulne ke baad apni downward movement jaari rakhta hai, to nazar 140.62 volume level par honi chahiye, jo ke current price ke neeche hai. Agar price is level tak pahunche aur 140.62 par accumulation banay rakhe, jo mazeed decline ko rok sake, to yahan se ek corrective pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is surat mein, cost 140.62 se upar 143.43 level tak ja sakta hai, jahan accumulated trading volumes hain, taake us area ko test kiya ja sake. Agar ye test fail hota hai aur 143.43 resistance ban jata hai, to humein sharp reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo price ko recent minimum se neeche le ja sakta hai. Agle chand ghanton mein, humein mumkin outcomes par nazar rakhni hogi.

Technical analysis, jo forex neural network se support hota hai, ek upward movement ka ishara deta hai jo resistance level 143.61 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Buyers ke paas prices barhane ka momentum hai, jo isay primary scenario bana raha hai.




Dusra Scenario:

Lekin, ek doosra scenario bhi mumkin hai. Agar bulls upar ki taraf push banay rakhne mein nakam hote hain, to bears control hasil kar sakte hain, jo price ko neeche ek significant support level tak le ja sakta hai, jahan se baad mein recovery ka imkaan hai. US dollar abhi khaas tor par kamzor hai, aur kai currency pairs uske khilaf mazboot hain. Iske ilawa, prices critical global levels par atki hui hain jab reversal aam tor par mumkin hota hai. Lekin, agar price yahan traction hasil nahi kar pati, to ye in levels ko tut kar current direction mein jaari rakh sakta hai.

Ye bhi note karna zaroori hai ke sona kuch waqt se overbought hai, aur jab reversal ka sochna logical lagta hai, ye apni upward trajectory jaari rakhta hai. Ye global economic conditions mein long-term shift ka ishara deta hai, aur humein aise trends dekhne ko mil sakte hain jo ek ya do saal tak chal sakte hain, jahan prices ek hi direction mein move karengi.

Humare analysis ka mawzoo USD/JPY currency pair ka mojooda pricing behavior hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain. Short-term interest rate swaps market mein December policy meeting par 25 basis point hike ke sirf 30%

support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna donon mein balance banana zaroor

overall consensus yeh hai ke actively sell karna chahiye. Iske madde nazar, pair ka trend bearish rahega. Monday ke significant news releases mein, US se koi bara event expected nahi hai, kyun ke yeh holiday hai. However, Swiss business activity index ka neutral forecast hai. In factors ke dekhte hue, main anticipate karta hoon ke pair downward move karega, aur sales ka support level 0.8469 tak poch sakta hai, jabke resistance level 0.8519 tak buying ka chance ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko zahir karta hai. Thodi dair pehle Swiss inflation data report (CPI m/m) release hui thi, jisme result 0.0% aaya hai, jo ke pehle -0.2% tha. Is neutral inflation result ke sath, mumkin hai ke USD/CHF pair ke price mein izafa ka rally continue rahe. Mazeed, trend direction ab bullish condition mein hai, kyun ke EMA 50 ka SMA 200 ke sath cross hona ek golden cross signal deta hai. Agar rally do Moving Average lines ke upar consistent rahti hai, toh structure break hone ka chance hai. Invalidation level high prices 0.8540 par hai jo ke current price range se zyada door nahi, aur price psychological level 0.8500 ke upar hai. Magar, uptrend momentum jo Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se zahir hota hai, usmein bearish divergence ka signal ban raha hai. Yeh is liye hai kyun ke histogram volume level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, jo USD/CHF pair ke price increase ke rally ke sath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Saath hi, Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone ke ird gird baar baar cross kar rahe hain, yeh bhi yeh indicate karte hain ke price increase buying ke saturation point tak pohanch gaya hai. Trading plan ke hawale se, aapko ab bhi BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye, kyun ke golden cross signal abhi fresh samjha jata hai. Entry position tab leni chahiye jab price EMA 50 ya qareebi RBS area 0.8507 par down ho. Tasdeeq tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 se level 20 tak cross karte hain, jabke AO indicator ka histogram consistently level 0 ya positive area ke upar rahta hai. High prices 0.8540 ko take profit ka target banaya jata ha

USD/JPY pair correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, guzishta haftay ke akhri dino mein decline ke baad. Filhal kuch short-term upward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin overall trend downward trajectory ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara karta hai. Key levels jo dekhne wale hain, wo reversal point 141.35 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to selling opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 set kiye ja sakte hain.Dosri taraf, agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar jata hai, to ek bullish scenario shayad unfold ho sake, aur price higher resistance levels ko test karne ka imkaan hai, jo 141.65 aur 141.85 par hain. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein wapas aa sakte hain, anticipate karte hue ke broader downward trend continue karega.Mujmuan taur par, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan fundamental aur technical dono factors is ki movement ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Market abhi Federal Reserve ki policy decisions ke implications ka andaza lagane ke liye weigh kar raha hai, sath hi Japan ki economic performance par bhi nazar rakhe hue. Traders ko alert aur tayar rehna chahiye kyun ke significant US data ke release hone ke baad volatility ka imkaan hai.Jese jese din guzarta hai, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke pair in developments par kaise react karta hai. USD/JPY ka established support ya resistance levels ko break karna, future price action ke liye clearer signals provide karega. Market sentiment aur key economic indicators par nazar rakh kar, traders apne aap ko is currency pair ke complexities ko navigate karne ke liye effective tor par position kar sakte hai
USD/JPY 144.50 ke upar close karta hai, toh main apni selling position se exit kar loonga. Relative Strength Index (RSI) iss waqt 50.00 ke mark se neeche, yani 47 par hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai, aur asset ne descending channel ke upper boundary ko chhoya hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend banne ka imkaan hai.
Iss waqt meri short trade 0.14 lots ki hai jo ke loss mein chal rahi hai, lekin main umeed rakhta hoon ke market meri taraf turn karega. Kul mila kar, bearish price action aur buniyadi signals ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair ke neeche janay ka imkaan zyada hai.

USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain

/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai

USD/JPY market 4-hour time frame par bullish trend ke sath chal raha hai. Jab European aur American market sessions ka aghaz hoga, tab market mein zyada volatility ka intezar hai, jahan harakat mein tezi aasakti hai. Iss haftay USD/JPY pair ko dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke lagta hai bullish continuation ka ishara de raha hai, khaaskar jab kal raat ke buying volume ne 144.85 ke resistance area tak pohanchne ki koshish ki thi.
Iss surat-e-haal mein, ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke market mein mazeed izafa karne ki koshish ho rahi hai kyun ke abhi tak upward phase mein movement ho rahi hai. Mere agle trading plan mein, main 145.16 ke area ke ird gird buy entry lene ka soch raha hoon. Market ke movement pattern ko dekhte hue, khaaskar jab market ne chand ghanton mein upar ki taraf harakat ki, lekin izafa utna zyada nahi hua.

Iss waqt, yeh nazar aa raha hai ke bullish options ka mauqa abhi bhi mojood hai kyun ke jab se September ke shuru mein trading phase ka aghaz hua, lagta hai ke price mein mazeed izafa hone ke asar hain. Is hafta ke aakhir tak long-term trend ko follow karte hue trading ki tayyari ka soch sakte hain. Buyer ka ghalba abhi bhi market trend ko aage barhane ka mauqa de raha hai taake upar wale target areas tak pohanch sakein.

USD/JPY ke movement ki prediction ke mutabiq, price mazeed bullish trend mein chal sakti hai. Agle movement mein price ke upar jane ka imkaan hai. Lekin, ideal trading position lene ke liye intezar karna zaroori hai jab market mein volatility barhti hai, khaaskar jab European session ka aghaz ho chuka hai. Agle chand ghanton mein agar izafa hota hai, to traders ke liye yeh acha mauqa ho sakta hai ke wo is surat-e-haal ka faida uthakar ideal position mein buy trading kar sake

USD/CHF ke daily timeframe par price movement ka jaiza lete hue, aakhri hafte ki trading sessions mein sellers ka asar zyada dekhne ko mila hai. Ye haalat candlestick ke movement se zahir hoti hai, jo Thursday se Friday tak consistently neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. Agar hum pichle dinon ke daily movement ko dekhein, to ye sideways pattern banata hai, jo bearish situation ko darshata hai aur volatility bhi moderate hai. Haalankeh shuruat mein kuch bullish correction movement dekhne ko mili, lekin aakhri hafte ki bearish movement pichle mahine ke market trend ka jari rukh hai, jo ye darshata hai ke market ab bhi bearish trend ki taraf barhne ke liye potential rakhta hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, jo indicators ka istemal kiya gaya hai unki condition ke aadhar par. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line ka direction bilkul wazeh hai; pehle ye line aksar level 50 ke kareeb hoti thi, lekin ab ye level 30 ke aas paas ruk gayi hai. MACD (12,26,29) ke histogram bars bhi ab zero level ke neeche hain aur inka shape bearish movement ka izhar kar raha hai. Isliye, daily timeframe par market ka haal yeh darshata hai ke price abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. USD/CHF ke technical data ke mutabiq, main chhote timeframe H4 par market movement ka jaiza lena chahta hoon. Is mahine candlestick bilkul Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 ke neeche chal rahi thi, lekin is hafte ki shuruat mein bullish correction ki taraf badhi takriban 0.8515 tak. Lekin seller ki mazboot pressure ne price ko dobara neeche ki taraf le aaya jab tak market ne aaj subah band nahi kiya. Price abhi bhi Monday ke opening price se kafi neeche hai, jo is hafte ke market ko bearish dikhata hai. Ek baar phir, main Relative Strength Index (14) ka analysis kar raha hoon jo Lime Line ka signal de raha hai, jo ab 30 ke level ke kareeb hai, yeh darshata hai ke market is hafte mein neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. MACD (12,26,29) par yellow line histogram ki downward movement ko follow kar rahi hai, jo bearish movement ka indication hai

yeh zaroori hai ke hum strong bearish trend ko bhi dekhain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese yen ke fundamentals Bank of Japan ke recent interest rate hike ki wajah se abhi tak kaarfarma hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai. Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay hue hain. Jumay ke session ke end par, USD/JPY is range ke lower boundary ke qareeb fluctuate kar raha tha. Agar Monday ke din koi significant tabdeeli nahi hoti, to pair ke 139.00 ke neeche break karne ka imkaan hai, aur naye lows 139 range mein dekhe ja sakte hain. USD/JPY ko sell karne ke liye, ek clear break ka intizaar karna chahiye, jo ke recent low ke neeche ho, break ko ek updated low se confirm karein, aur phir ek northern correction ka intezar karain. Jab correction khatam ho, to selling opportunities ideal hongi. Buyers ke liye, 143.82 resistance level ke ooper positions lena favorable

USD/JPY Ki Wasee Nazar Mein Tehqiqat -

USD/JPY ki currency pair par ghor karein to yeh wazeh hota hai ke abhi ek wasee downtrend nazar aa raha hai, aur yeh bhi dekha gaya hai ke pair ne apni pehle ki uptrend line ko break kar diya hai. Agar yeh trend aise hi barkarar rehta hai, to lagta hai ke pair aik achi correction ki taraf ja raha hai jo ke 147.18 se neeche ho sakti hai. Yeh ek technical zaroorat bhi hai ke USD/JPY pair ya to current level par kuch waqt ke liye sideways rahe ya phir flat ho jaye aur phir upar ki taraf jaye, lekin filhaal correction ka imkaan zyada hai.
Dollar khud bhi market mein overall correction ke liye tayar hai, uski girawat ruk gayi hai, aur ab lagta hai ke 3-4% ki correction ho sakti hai. Yeh nishandahi karta hai ke dollar ki value wapas barh sakti hai, lekin filhaal girawat ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai.

Ahem Levels Aur Technical Analysis



Support Aur Resistance: Agar yeh pair 140.50 ke aas-paas break karta hai, to yeh ek naya low establish karega jo ek powerful support level ke barabar hai. Is level ka break hona ek mazboot downtrend ka pata deta hai. Dusri taraf, 145.00 ka level ek psychological barrier hai jo pair ki uptrend ko rok sakta hai.
Descending Channel: Daily chart analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke USD/JPY descending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf bhi nishandahi karta hai ke koi bhi upar ki taraf move hona mushkil ho sakta hai jab tak ek mazboot signal na mil jaye.









14-Day RSI: Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se neeche hai jo ke bearish sentiment ki taraf ishara kar raha hai lekin abhi oversold nahi hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf bhi ishara karta hai ke abhi bhi neeche ki taraf move hone ki gunjaish hai.
Moving Averages: USD/JPY pair 9-day moving average ko 143.01 par test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to agla support 139.58 par ho sakta hai jo June 2023 ka sabse low tha. Agar pair wapas upar ki taraf jaata hai, to 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) 143.55 par uske liye pehla mukhalifat ho sakta hai.

Bunyadi Wazahat


Federal Reserve Ka Faisla: Aaj 18:00 GMT par Federal Reserve ke 25bp ya 50bp ki rate cut ke faislay ka intezar hai. Agar 25bp ka regular cut hota hai to USD/JPY pair mein thora recovery aane ki ummed hai, lekin ab tak pair ne 20-day EMA ko todne mein mushkil ka saamna kiya hai jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke upar ki taraf move mehfooz nahi hai.
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy: BoJ Governing Council member Junko Nagakawa ke hawkish comments ke baad se Japanese yen (JPY) ki taqat badhti nazar aa rahi hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ne bhi yeh kaha hai ke woh 2025 ke economic forecasts ko dekhte hue interest rates barhate rahenge, jo ke yen ke liye support provide karta hai.
US CPI Data Aur Treasury Yields: US dollar ki kamzori aur US Treasury yields ki girawat se pehle CPI data release hone wala hai jo market ko Fed ki rate cut policy ke hawalay se raushan karega. Agar inflation data neeche aata hai to yeh dollar ki mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara karega.
University of Michigan Inflation Forecast: Yahan bhi inflation forecast ki release market ki direction ko further wazeh karegi.

Natija


Wasee taur par dekha jaye to USD/JPY ka trend bearish hai, aur agar pair 140.50 ka level todta hai to girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Filhaal traders ko resistance levels 143.55 (20-day EMA), 145.00 (psychological barrier), aur 147.25 (50-day EMA) par nazar rakhni chahiye. Aur support levels ke liye 143.01, 139.58, aur 140.50 ke break hone par focus karna chahiye.
Jab tak BoJ aur Fed ke monetary policies mein koi tabdeeli nahi aati, lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye pressure neeche ki taraf hi rahega.

USD/JPY Price Insights -


Hum abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki price assessment par nazar daal rahe hain. Is waqt, humein intezaar karna hoga ke yeh girawat ka scenario khatam ho jaye. Aisa mumkin hai ke yeh ek temporary bearish correction ho jo sirf buyers ke stop-losses ko trigger karne ke liye hai, uske baad bullish trend wapas aasakta hai. Lekin humein poori tarah se direction reversal ka bhi ehtimal hai, jis wajah se agle moves ko predict karna thoda mushkil ho raha hai.
Agar hum yeh samjhein ke 139.55 level se humein abhi bhi ek northern movement ka ihtimal hai, to 146.52 se 142.18 tak ki decline us correction ka hissa ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke ek strong chance hai ke hum 143.51 ke upar wapas charh sakte hain aur 146.52 tak pahunch sakte hain taake jo price movement ka "debt" bana hai wo poora ho sake. Dusri taraf, agar 143.51 ko tod diya gaya, to price neeche ki taraf push karegi aur downtrend ke continue hone ka risk barh jayega. Is scenario mein, main 139.55 level ko agle target ke tor par dekhunga.




Ahm Support Aur Resistance Levels

Is Tuesday ko, USD/JPY market ko 143.00 level ke upar rehne ki challenge ka saamna hai. Yeh level market mein agle probable direction ka faisla karega. Agar yeh support level 143.00 par mazboot rahta hai, to bulls ko yeh mauka milega ke wo price ko mazeed upar push karein aur 144.00 ke round mark ko target karein. Agar price is level ke upar chali gayi, to yeh 144.70 aur 145.00 ke levels ko expose karegi.
Lekin, agar price 143.00 ke level ke neeche gir gayi, to phir bears ke paas price ko aur neeche ki taraf le jane ka acha chance hoga. Is scenario mein, pehla target 142.60 ho sakta hai, uske baad 142.00. Agar price is level ke neeche break kiya to phir 141.50 aur 141.30 ke levels expose ho jayenge. Daily trading diagram abhi bhi upside ki taraf signal kar raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke price is ke mutabiq move karegi.










Buying Opportunity Aur Future Outlook


Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements par tafaqqi kar rahe hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke ek acchi buying opportunity hai 4-hour chart par. Abhi current price 142.168 par hai, aur yeh ek potential entry point provide karti hai. Profit-taking target 145.450 hai jo buyer support ke saath achievable lagta hai.
Pichhle Friday ko clearing campaign ke comfort zone ne future growth ke liye ek acha environment diya tha, aur Wednesday ke options ki expiry 25 September ko hui thi. Lekin, Monday aur Wednesday ke call options ko hit karne mein rise kamyaab nahi ho saka. Agle Monday ke option ke liye comfort zone abhi ke level se teen strikes upar hoga, jo future growth ke liye ek positive indicator hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY pair ke girne ka ehtimal hai. Lekin, Wednesday se pehle growth ke liye calls se upar target karna behtar nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh ek expiration level trigger kar sakta hai.
Yeh sab factors mil kar is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke agle kuch dinon mein market volatility dekhne ko milegi, aur traders ko ehtiyat ke saath apne positions ko manage karna hoga.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Bears par control rakhne me bears nakam rahe kiyunkeh bulls ne pahal kar ke un ke mansubon me khalal dala. Yah qayas araiyan ki ja rahi hain keh Japanese ministry me bade paimane par raddobadal ke natije me tabdili aayi hai, jiski wajah se yen kamzor ho raha hai. Is pas manzar ke khilaf, the US dollar/Japanese yen joda ab 144.26 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Agar bulls qimat ko mazid ooper le jana jari rakhte hain to, asset ke 147.30 ke nishan tak pahunchne ki ummid hai. Aaj, dollar/yen ka joda 143.52 ki muzahmati satah se ooper mazbut ho gaya, jahan kharid signal paida hua. Filhal, bulls qimat ko badhane ke liye har mumkin koshish kar rahe hain, aur agar yah ooper ki raftar barqarar rahti hai to, yen jald hi numaya izafa dekh sakta hai. Yaumiyah chart se pata chalta hai keh kal ek mazbut bullish candlestick bani thi, aur aaj usi tarah ki ek aur candle tashil pa rahi hai, jo kharidaron ke liye ek aur musbat ishara hai.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY currency pair ki price assessment. Chaar ghante ke time frame mein, bulls downtrend ko challenge karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin jaise ke pehle bhi kaha gaya, yeh abhi tak correction hai, reversal nahi. Bears kisi bhi waqt control dobara hasil kar sakte hain. Price 1/12 angle ke neeche hai aur 75% resistance level 143.20 ke neeche hai, jo shayad bulls ke liye reach karna mumkin ho, lekin bears jab tak strong defense na karain, yeh momentum neeche shift ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair ne Asian session ke doran apne girawat ke baad recovery shuru ki, jab yeh MA moving average channel ke lower edge ko chhuta. Bulls ne bohot se bearish movements ko absorb kiya hai aur ab 144.57 resistance level par nazar rakhte hain. Agar buyers is level ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain aur 30-minute ke liye is se upar close karte hain, toh mujhe lagta hai ke upward momentum continue rahega, jo 145.54 se 144.21 ke range tak ja sakta hai.




141.83 level ka retest bhi ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, bearish support level 147.50 ki taraf girawat kharidne ka mauqa de sakti hai. USD/JPY pair abhi tak 139.59 tak nahi gaya, lekin main isay nazar andaaz nahi kar sakta, kyunki downtrend abhi bhi dominant hai. Turant targets nahi hain kyunki price sirf 140.17 ke neeche nahi gaya, balki 140.00 level se bhi neeche gir gaya, lekin yeh move sustain nahi kar paya, jo false breakout ka nishan hai.

Kal market ne achi recovery dekhi, jo ke lows se kareeb 300 points ka izafa tha, lekin pichli girawat ko dekhte hue, yeh abhi bhi kafi nahi hai. Aaj dollar aur Fed par focus hai, aur yeh dekhna hai ke rate kitna girega—market ki umeed hai ke 0.5 ka reduction hoga. Officials ke bayan bhi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Filhal, meri position neutral hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke 135 ki taraf wapas aane ki sambhavna hai, aur main wahan kharidne par ghoor kar sakta hoon, khaaskar choti potential stop ko dekhte hue.