USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

US dollar ne aik ahem uptrend line se mazboot rebound dekha hai, utsalar 140 yen ke aas-paas, jo ke pehle bhi kai dafa ahmiyat rakh chuka hai. Pichle hafte, jab Federal Reserve ne 50 basis point ka rate cut announce kiya, to Bank of Japan ne apni maujooda rates ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya, jo bazar ke liye ahm sawalat uthata hai.

Khaas tor par yeh fikar thi ke Japan achanak hawkish stance apna le ga. Magar Japan is mein ab tak kaamiyab nahi hua, kyunke iski maashi buniyad kamzor hai. Mulki maashi dhanchay mein unchi interest rates ko bardasht karne ki taqat nahi hai, kyunke is se qarz mein izafa hoga jo ke maashi nizaam ko tabah kar sakta hai. Japanese hakoomat ko rates ko bohat low rakhne par majboor hona para hai, aur unke paas inhe 25 basis points se zyada barhane ka koi haqeeqi option nahi hai. Agar aisa kiya gaya to yeh na sirf Japan, balke global markets mein bhi financial collapse ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is surat-e-haal ke mad-e-nazar, aisa lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair mein bullish reversal ka aghaz ho raha hai, aur is waqt is market ko short karne ka koi faida nahi. Jab tak dollar 140 yen ke critical level ke upar hai, bazar ka jazba iski bullish momentum ko support karne ki sambhavna rakhta hai. Yeh baat bhi mazid mazbooti se yeh sabit karti hai ke humne is ahm support level ke neeche hafte ke akhir tak band nahi kiya, jo ke US dollar ki taqat ko yen ke muqablay mein jari rakhne ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. Mukhtasir yeh ke, Bank of Japan maashi haqeeqat se majboor hai aur US dollar critical support ke upar mazboot hai, is liye is currency pair ka rukh upar ki taraf dekhai deta hai. Jab tak 140 yen ka level todne ki koi wazeh nishani nahi milti, is market ko short karna bekaar lagta hai

USD/JPY currency pair ke daily chart ka tajziya karenge. Is waqt wave structure neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Is haftay, jab last August ka minimum update hua, to MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence bana, aur doosra CCI indicator neeche overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Neeche ek false breakout hua tha, jahan sirf ek spike chhori gayi thi, aur kal ki daily candle ek inverted hammer ya pin bar bani, jo aksar growth ka sign hota hai. Aaj kuch growth ka aaghaz ho gaya hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh 143.83 ke qareebi horizontal resistance level tak jari rahegi. Doosra, aur door ka target, ek descending resistance line hai jo pichlay do wave peaks par bani hai. Growth signals ki buniyad par, aaj sirf buying positions ko hi intraday kaam ke liye consider kiya jaa raha hai, selling options ko nahin. H4 period ke MACD par bhi ek bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Mein zyada growth ki taraf mayal hoon, kyun ke halanki trend neeche ki taraf hai aur uss ke saath kaam karna zyada asaan lagta hai, lekin abhi yeh situation waisi nahin hai. Aaj kuch news items bhi hai jo dekhni chahiye, jaise USDA ka global agriculture ke supply aur demand par report, aur 30-year US Treasury bonds ka auction. Mujhe divergence par yaqeen hai ke yeh fail nahi hogi, lekin phir bhi forex markets mein kuch bhi ho sakta hai, usatalar USD/JPY ke hawalay se. Jab price 142.37 ka test kar raha tha, MACD indicator zero mark se neeche jaane laga tha, jo selling ke liye sahi entry point tha. Asar mein, pair mein 30 pips se zyada ki girawat hui, aur aaj Asia session ke dauran hum 141.50 ke target level tak pohanch gaye. Japan ki industrial production ke strong data ne dollar par zyada pressure dala, jo downtrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Lekin, ab ke lows par selling karte hue ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai. Thodi correction ka intezaar behtar hoga nayi short positions kholne se pehle. Aaj ke intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 aur Scenario No. 2 par zyada bharosa kar raha hoon. Aaj mein USD/JPY ko 141.51 ke aas paas (green line) buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jisme target level 142.55 hoga. 142.55 par long position se nikal kar ek short position kholunga, aur umeed hai ke wahan se price 30-35 pips neeche ki taraf move karegi. Aaj ka rise sirf ek correction ka hissa lagta hai. Buying se pehle yeh ensure karein ke MACD zero mark se upar hai aur wahan se rise kar raha hai

USD/JPY currency pair ka real-time price analysis kar rahay hain, jahan filhal price 146.149 per trade ho rahi hai. Yeh behtareen waqt hai current market price par selling ko consider karne ka, kyun ke din ke opening price se duri dikhati hai ke buying momentum qareeb hai, jo sellers ke liye favorable conditions create karta hai.Agar hum 146.149 par market mein entry karte hain, toh stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas set karna chahiye. Is trade ka ideal profit target strong support level 145.192 ke near hona chahiye. Jab price is level tak pohanch jaye, toh short positions ko close karna aqalmandi hogi, kyun ke ek corrective rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ke lower boundary tak pahuch sakta hai, aur price correction ko continue karte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point 147.322 ke zone tak ja sakta hai. Is zone se downward rebound ki anticipation ki ja sakti hai, lekin is rebound ki strength abhi uncertain hai.USD/JPY pair ek descending channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, aur downward trend ko maintain karte hue EMA 50 se bounce hui hai. Filhal pair critical support level 145.35 ko target kar rahi hai, jo pehle se test ho chuka hai, aur yeh aur zyada decline ka ishara karta hai, jahan targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ke aas paas hain. Recommendation yeh hai ke selling focus ke sath trade kiya jaye, aur stop-loss ko resistance level 146.59 ke upar set kiya jaye.USD/JPY ne correction phase mein entry ki hai jab price ne kal ke lows ko hit kiya. Market significant news ka intizar kar raha hai, khaaskar Fed ki taraf se minutes ka release aur labor market data ka revision. Agar yeh data significant tariqe se revise hota hai, toh is ka zyada impact ho sakta hai, aur speculation ka sabab ban sakta hai ke

USD/JPY Price Move

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ki live dynamics ka tajziya karte hain. Kai logon ka andaza hai ke ek significant bullish correction ho sakti hai, jo ke us waqt mumkin hai jab market historical support zone 140.36 ke qareeb ho jaye. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke hum strong bearish trend ko bhi dekhain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese yen ke fundamentals Bank of Japan ke recent interest rate hike ki wajah se abhi tak kaarfarma hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai.

Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay hue hain. Jumay ke session ke end par, USD/JPY is range ke lower boundary ke qareeb fluctuate kar raha tha. Agar Monday ke din koi significant tabdeeli nahi hoti, to pair ke 139.00 ke neeche break karne ka imkaan hai, aur naye lows 139 range mein dekhe ja sakte hain. USD/JPY ko sell karne ke liye, ek clear break ka intizaar karna chahiye, jo ke recent low ke neeche ho, break ko ek updated low se confirm karein, aur phir ek northern correction ka intezar karain. Jab correction khatam ho, to selling opportunities ideal hongi. Buyers ke liye, 143.82 resistance level ke ooper positions lena favorable hai.

USD-JPY Pair Forecast

Bunyadi tor par, market ka movement volatility ke lehaz se ziyada dilchasp hai jab ke isay Yen currency se mutaliq kuch aur pairs ke sath compare kiya jaye. Fundamental asrat kaafi ahtimal hai ke price ko neeche le jayenge takay mahine ka sabse uncha price haasil kiya ja sake. Short-term trend jo shuru mein bearish tha, kyunke price ne sabse neecha level haasil kiya tha, ab dobara bullish ho gaya hai aur weekly opening area ko tor kar upar jaa raha hai. Agar price movement 144.85 ke resistance area ko breakout kar leti hai, tou agli trade mein yeh imkaan hai ke buyers price ko upar lekar ja sakein resistance level 2 tak, jo unka target area bhi hai. Lekin ehtiyaat baratni chahiye jab price dubara neeche ki taraf correction mein jaye aur support position 143.50 se guzre. Kyunke market ki aadat hai ke normal bullish trends ke dauran bhi correction phase mein jaa kar naye momentum ka intezaar karti hai, takay upward trend jaari rakha ja sake.

Chalti hui market correction jo bearish trend se price ko upar le gayi hai, yeh sellers ke liye ek warning ho sakti hai ke UsdJpy pair mein sabr se kaam lein aur agli trading position mein jaldbazi na karein. Taakab floating loss ka samna na ho jab ke jaldbazi mein sell position kholte hain. Is waqt koi yaqeen nahi hai kyunke market abhi tak quiet hai. Agay ke liye mera mashwara hai ke Wednesday se market pattern par tawajjo dein kyunke us waqt volatility mein izafa hoga aur ek weekly trend banega.

**Trading Plan:**

Agar hum guzishta do hafton ke market halaat ko dekhein, tou yeh shuru mein aisa lag raha tha ke sellers ka koshish thi ke bearish price ko jaari rakhein, magar strong buyer defense ne support 2 ko breach karna mushkil bana diya aur resultantly ek bullish rally mein tabdeel ho gaya. Market conditions ke lehaz se, agle trading plan ke liye mein yeh suggest karta hoon ke UsdJpy pair ke bullish trend ke continuation ka mauqa dekha jaye aur BUY ka option pasand kiya jaye, jo ke risk management ke sath ho takay loss ka risk minimum rahe.

**Buy / Buy Scenario:**

Beech mahine se jo bullish trend hai, usse mujhe yaqeen hai ke market trend ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai. UsdJpy market mein ab bhi bilkul wazeh hai ke trend asal mein ab bhi bilkul bullish hai. Purchase transaction karne ke liye aap price ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke yeh 144.85 ka resistance tor de, aur take profit ko resistance-2 ya 145.93 points ke aas paas rakhna chahiye. Maximum stop loss ka faasla 45 pips hona chahiye.

**Sell / Sell Scenario:**

Market movements ko anticipate karte hue, jo bearish trend mein ja sakti hai, backup plan ke tor par, agar price level 143.24 tak girti hai tou mein sale trade decide karunga. Ideal profit target 142.10 par rakha jaye aur stop loss ka faasla takreeban 45 pips ke aas paas rakha jaye.

USD/JPY Price Action ka Jaiza**
Spot price pichle paanch trading dinon mein lagataar barh rahi hai, Friday ke US trading hours mein yeh lagbhag 144.10 tak pohanch gayi. Is upward trend ka zyada tar sabab US Dollar ki kami hai. Ab traders Japan ke National Consumer Price Index (CPI) ki release aur Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke aham speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo market ke liye dilchasp mauqay faraham karega.

Japan ka CPI aur Powell ka speech market sentiment ko shape karne mein ek ahm kirdar ada karenge. Yeh events investors ke jazbat par khaas asar daal sakte hain, isliye traders ko kisi bhi naye developments ya data par nazar rakhni chahiye jo interest rates aur economic conditions ke hawale se expectations ko badal sakti hain.

**USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:**

DXY, jo Greenback ki value ko foreign currencies ke basket ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, lagbhag 101.85 par multi-day low tak gir chuka hai. Yeh girawat USD/JPY pair par pressure daal rahi hai, kyunki investors ko umeed hai ke Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko September mein dheela kar sakta hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets mein 25 basis point (bps) ki rate cut ka 77% chance hai, aur agle saal ke liye total 200 bps reduction ki umeed hai, jo aane wale economic data par depend karega.

Investor sentiment is saal ke dauran Fed ke taraf se interest rate cuts ka support kar raha hai, jahan September, November, aur December mein teen quarter-point reductions ki projections hain. Yeh anticipated shift USD par mazeed bechne ka pressure daal raha hai. Kuch officials ne yeh bhi suggest kiya hai ke agar hiring mein significant slowdown ka indication mile, to September mein half-point cut ki possibility ko nazar andaaz nahi kiya ja sakta.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

USD/JPY pair ko immediate resistance downtrend line ke paas face karna par sakta hai, khaaskar 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 143.10 level par. Agar pair is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh current bearish sentiment ko kam kar sakti hai, aur next resistance level 144.50 ki taraf jaane ka rasta khol sakti hai, jo pehl

US dollar kamzor hota hai, lekin is dafa kuch aur factors dollar ko mazboot bana rahe hain. Kam interest rate ka matlab hota hai ke qarz lena sasta hota hai aur economic activity ko tehqiqat milti hai. Magar is dafa, dollar phir bhi mazboot nazar aa raha hai, kyun ke doosri currencies, jaise yen, ke muqablay mein wo zyada stable hai. Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka approach mukhtalif hai. BoJ apni policy ko jari rakhne ka irada rakhta hai, matlab ke woh jaldi interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi karenge. BoJ ne kaafi arse se low-interest-rate policy apna rakhi hai taake economic growth ko barhaya ja sake. Is policy ne yen ko kamzor rakha hai, osallar mazboot currencies jaise US dollar ke muqablay mein. Yeh contrast in policies, jahan US rates kam kar raha hai aur Japan unhein kaafi neeche rakh raha hai, yen ko mazid kamzor kar raha hai. Is yen ki kamzori ke sabab USD/JPY pair mein izafa hua hai, jo investors ko ek moka de raha hai ke wo upward movement se faida utha sakein. Ab bohot se traders yeh dekh rahe hain ke BoJ ka faisla market pe kaise asar andaz hoga, lekin ab tak yen kamzor hi nazar aa raha hai.

USD/JPY pair filhal 143.55 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh ek notable rise dikhati hai. Pair ko 143.68 ka ek key resistance level face karna par raha hai. Yeh resistance ek barrier ki tarah hai jo price ko mazeed barhne se rok raha hai. Hali trend ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke bulls (wo traders jo price ke barhne ki umeed rakhte hain) is level ke ooper push karne mein kaamyab ho sakte hain. Agar yeh hota hai, toh mazeed izafay ka rasta khul sakta hai.

Do ahem moving average indicators bhi yeh ishara de rahe hain ke market bullish phase mein hai. Moving averages wo tools hain jo traders ko price ka rujhan samajhne mein madad karte hain. Jab price in moving averages ke ooper rehti hai, toh aam tor par iska matlab hota hai ke market bullish hai, ya barh raha hai. Is waqt, dono short-term aur long-term moving averages yeh dikhate hain ke upward trend jaari reh sakta hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek positive sign hai jo USD/JPY pair mein mazeed izafa dekhna chahte hain

**USD/JPY Analysis**

Pyaare readers aur participants, shaam bakhair! Aap kaise hain? USD/JPY ke liye, market aakhirkar 144.25 aur 144.70 tak pahunchega. Hum kabhi kabhar dips par buyers dekh sakte hain, lekin ye thoda waqt le sakta hai. Ye market bechne ke liye mushkil hoga, aur sach kahoon to main 143.90 ke aas paas euro kharidne ki taraf zyada jhukav rakhunga, jahan pehle resistance barrier tha aur ab ye support ban jana chahiye.

143.55 ke level par strong resistance milne ke bawajood, euro dollar is level ke neeche fluctuate kar raha hai, jo ke aane wale sessions mein decline ka ishara hai, khaaskar kyunki stochastic indicator negative signals dikhata hai. Phir bhi, EMA50 price ke liye positive support dena jari rakhta hai, jo hamare bullish trend ki umeed ko barkarar rakhta hai.

Agar 144.30 ka level toota, to price par additional negative pressure hoga, jo 144.65 tak ke levels ko target karega, pehle kisi naye positive attempt se pehle. Agle kuch hafton mein, euro ka girna zyada mumkin hai, kyunki Federal Reserve US dollar ko financial system mein inject karta rahega. In factors ke nateeje mein, humein is trend ka samna nahi karna chahiye, aur value ki talash jari rahegi.

Is waqt, aur koi levels nahi hain, chahe 144.10 ka resistance toota ho ya agar price iske upar fix ho jaye aur baad mein is par bounce kare. Humein 145.50 ke resistance ko paar karna hoga taake target tak pahuncha ja sake. Price ko kuch din lagenge ye confirm karne mein ke support 144.45 toot gaya hai, aur phir price target 146.10 ki taraf barh sakta hai.

Is analysis se ye samajhna zaroori hai ke market ki current conditions ko kaise handle karna hai. Patience aur careful analysis se hi behtareen trading decisions liye ja sakte hain. Hamesha market ki volatility aur price movements par nazar rakhein taake kisi bhi potential risk se bach sakein. Trading ke dauran, timely decisions lena zaroori hai, aur in levels ko dhyan mein rakhkar hi koi action lena chahiye.

ishara diya tha ke eurozone inflation kam ho sakta hai, lekin akhir mein bloc-wide figures expectations ke mutabiq hi nikle. Annual consumer price index (CPI) August mein 2.2% tak barh gaya, jo July ke 2.6% se neeche tha. Yeh July 2021 ke baad sab se kam inflation rate tha, jab ke is se pehle saal mein inflation ziyata dekhne ko mili thi. Market ne is inflation data par positive reaction diya, kyonke yeh ECB (European Central Bank) ke monetary policy stance ke liye acha signal tha. Halankeh headline inflation kam hui, lekin analysts ne yeh bhi kaha ke wage growth aur services inflation jaise underlying pressures ab bhi barh rahe hain. Nordea, ek bara financial institution, ka kehna hai ke yeh data ECB ko interest rate cuts mein koi bara tabadla karne par majboor nahi karega. ECB ab bhi dheemi aur ehtiyaat ke sath apni policy ko aagay barhaega, kyonke inflationary challenges abhi barqarar hain. Lambay arsay mein, eurozone mein higher interest rates extra foreign capital inflows ko attract karein gi, jo ke euro ko mazeed support Faraham karega aur EUR/JPY pair ko mazid buland kar sakta hai. Is dauran, German 10-year bonds ke yield bhi apne aik mahine ke high par hai. September ke aghaz mein, German government bond ka 10 saal ka yield 2.33% tak pohanch gaya, jo lagbhag ek mahine ka sab se zyada hai. Traders yeh bet kar rahe hain ke ECB September 12 ke meeting mein interest rate dusri dafa cut karega, kyonke preliminary data yeh dikhata hai ke eurozone inflation August mein 2.2% tak gir gayi, jo July 2021 ke baad sab se kam hai, aur core inflation bhi 2.9% se gir kar 2.8% ho gayi hai. Is dauran, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz ki hukoomat ko regional elections mein nuksan uthana para, jahan far-right Alternative for Germany party ne Thuringia mein jeet hasil ki aur

Pichlay hafte USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye.
Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay k

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ki live dynamics ka tajziya karte hain. Kai logon ka andaza hai ke ek significant bullish correction ho sakti hai, jo ke us waqt mumkin hai jab market historical support zone 140.36 ke qareeb ho jaye. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke hum strong bearish trend ko bhi dekhain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese yen ke fundamentals Bank of Japan ke recent interest rate hike ki wajah se abhi tak kaarfarma hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai. Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal data hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay hue hain. Jumay ke session ke end par, USD/JPY is range ke lower boundary ke qareeb fluctuate kar raha tha. Agar Monday ke din koi significant tabdeeli nahi hoti, to pair ke 139.00 ke neeche break karne ka imkaan hai, aur naye lows 139 range mein dekhe ja sakte hain. USD/JPY ko sell karne ke liye, ek clear break ka intizaar karna chahiye, jo ke recent low ke neeche ho, break ko ek updated low se confirm karein, aur phir ek northern correction ka intezar karain. Jab correction khatam ho, to sell opportunities ideal hongi. Buyers ke liye, 143.82 resistance level ke opper positions lena favorable hai

USD/JPY currency pair ke daily chart ka tajziya karenge. Is waqt wave structure neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Is haftay, jab last August ka minimum update hua, to MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence bana, aur doosra CCI indicator neeche overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Neeche ek false breakout hua tha, jahan sirf ek spike chhori gayi thi, aur kal ki daily candle ek inverted hammer ya pin bar bani, jo aksar growth ka sign hota hai. Aaj kuch growth ka aaghaz ho gaya hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh 143.83 ke qareebi horizontal resistance level tak jari rahegi. Doosra, aur door ka target, ek descending resistance line hai jo pichlay do wave peaks par bani hai. Growth signals ki buniyad par, aaj sirf buying positions ko hi intraday kaam ke liye consider kiya jaa raha hai, selling options ko nahin. H4 period ke MACD par bhi ek bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Mein zyada growth ki taraf mayal hoon, kyun ke halanki trend neeche ki taraf hai aur uss ke saath kaam karna zyada asaan lagta hai, lekin abhi yeh situation waisi nahin hai. Aaj kuch news items bhi hai jo dekhni chahiye, jaise USDA ka global agriculture ke supply aur demand par report, aur 30-year US Treasury bonds ka auction. Mujhe divergence par yaqeen hai ke yeh fail nahi hogi, lekin phir bhi forex markets mein kuch bhi ho sakta hai, usatalar USD/JPY ke hawalay se. Jab price 142.37 ka test kar raha tha, MACD indicator zero mark se neeche jaane laga tha, jo selling ke liye sahi entry point tha. Asar mein, pair mein 30 pips se zyada ki girawat hui, aur aaj Asia session ke dauran hum 141.50 ke target level tak pohanch gaye. Japan ki industrial production ke

ستمبر 24 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جے پی وائی کے لئے پیش گوئی کریں

آج صبح جاری ہونے والے ستمبر کے لئے جاپانی کاروباری سرگرمی (پی ایم آئی) کے اعداد و شمار کو ملایا گیا۔ مینوفیکچرنگ پی ایم آئی 49.8 سے 49.6 تک کمزور ہوگئی ، جبکہ خدمات پی ایم آئی 53.7 سے 53.9 تک مضبوط ہوگئی۔ اس کے نتیجے میں ، سرمایہ کاروں نے بینک آف جاپان کے ذریعہ ممکنہ شرح میں اضافے کی توقعات کو کم نہیں کیا۔ امریکی ڈالر/جے پی وائی جوڑی 143.60 کی سطح پر ہے۔



اگر آج جوڑی اس سطح سے نیچے بند ہوجائے تو ، یہ 139.70-140.27 کی حد تک پہنچنے کی توقعات کو بڑھا دے گی۔ اس کے برعکس ، اس سطح سے قریب قریب 146.50 کی طرف بڑھنے کے امکان کو کھول دے گا ، حالانکہ قیمت کو جمعہ کے روز 144.50 کی چوٹی پر قابو پانے کی بھی ضرورت ہوگی۔ بیلنس لائن نمو کو روک رہی ہے۔

مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن رینج کی اوپری حد سے پلٹنے کا ارادہ ظاہر کرتی ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ، قیمت کی 143.60 سطح سے اوپر اٹھنے کی کوششوں کو ناکام بنا دیا گیا-حالیہ موم بتیاں صرف ان کے سائے سے سطح کی خلاف ورزی کرتی تھیں۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر لائن پر حملہ کر رہا ہے۔ آج کے تجارتی دن کو سیاہ (مندی) موم بتی کے ساتھ بند ہونے کا امکان 60 ٪ سے زیادہ ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Wave structure USD/JPY ki descending shape mein hai, jahan MACD indicator ab bhi income ke decrease zone mein hai, lekin signal line ke upar cross kar chuka hai. Pichle August ke minimum update ke baad, bullish divergence MACD par dekhi gayi thi, aur CCI indicator bhi lower overheating region se upar move kar chuka hai, jo bullish divergence ko confirm karta hai.Last week multi-directional raha, lekin ultimately buyers jeet gaye aur price ko upward push diya, jabke kai baar decline attempt kiye gaye. Horizontal resistance level 143.83 ne price ko upar jane nahi diya, balkay downside par rebound kiya. Lekin neeche se price wapas rebound karke isi level par aa gaya hai, aur abhi isi resistance point par hai. Yeh possibility hai ke jab price is level ko break kare, toh bullish divergence puri tarah se play out ho.Filhal yeh area buying ke liye ideal nahi hai, kyun ke price resistance ke pass hai, aur inclined line bhi waves ke crests ke qareeb hai. Best approach yeh hogi ke wait karein jab tak price clearly is level ko upar break kare aur bullish development shuru ho. Mera target level 149.08 hai, lekin selling ka yahan koi point nahi hai kyun ke bearish scenario unlikely hai.Yeh bhi zaroori hoga ke doosri major currencies apni weakness against USD ko support karein. US dollar ke comparison mein, currencies abhi mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hain. Aaj ka key economic data US Consumer Confidence Index ko 17:00 GMT par release kiya jayega, jo market ke sentiment par asar daal sakta hai.USD/JPY Tuesday ko 143.70 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq pair descending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.Agar price neeche move karta hai, toh USD/JPY pair 9-day moving average ko test kar sakta hai jo 143.01 par hai. Is level ke neeche move karne par price 139.58 area ko explore kar sakti hai, jo June 2023 ka lowest point hai. Agar price upar break kare, toh pair 145.00 psychological barrier ko challenge kar sakta hai.Tuesday ko USD/JPY ne apni best daily performance record ki, jab price 140 level par strong settlement ke baad green mein move kiya. Federal Reserve ka decision between 25bp ya 50bp rate cut aaj 18:00 GMT par expected hai. Regular 25bp rate cut ek partial recovery ko support kar sakta hai, jabke pair 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) 143.55 ko break karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Aage, 145.00 trendline aur 50-day EMA at 147.25 further hurdles bana sakti hain.

USD/JPY ne apne kuch pehle ke gains ko retrace kiya hai, jo Federal Reserve ke July meeting minutes ke natayij ka asar hai. In minutes ne is baat ka ishara diya hai ke U.S. central bank September mein monetary policy ko ease kar sakti hai. Is wajah se U.S. Treasury bond yields, khas tor par 10-year yield, gir gayi hain, jiska asar dollar ki strength par para hai, jo ab yen ke muqable mein kamzor ho gaya hai. Filhal USD/JPY 145.21 par trade kar raha hai, aur pichle levels se koi khaas movement nahi hui hai.Dollar is waqt ek range mein trade kar raha hai, jo 139.40 aur 147.20 ke darmiyan ho sakti hai. Halanki dollar pressure mein hai, lekin is mein utna momentum nahi hai ke wo is mahine ke pehle record kiye gaye low ko challenge kar sake. UOB Group ke analysts, Quek Ser Leang aur Lee Sue Ann ke mutabiq, USD/JPY New York trading ke dauran 143.40 aur 144.70 ke darmiyan fluctuate karta raha, aur 144.34 par settle kiya, jo kisi khaas directional movement ki kami ko darsha raha hai. Hourly chart par dekha jaye, toh bullish momentum kamzor ho gaya hai, aur Commodity Channel Index (CCI) bhi decline kar gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke risks downside ki taraf zaida hain. Key support levels 142 aur 140.40 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) par hain, jabke resistance levels 144.50 aur 147.20 par hain. In technical indicators ko dekhte huye, hamara outlook near-term mein USD/JPY ke liye downside movement ka hai.Lekin, agar prices 145.00 threshold ke upar chali jati hain, toh aage aur upward momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Agla significant resistance Tenkan-Sen par 145.91 hai, uske baad psychological level 146.00, aur phir Kijun-Sen par 146.78 par aata hai. Agar price in resistance points ko break karti hai, toh yeh sustained bullish trend ki taraf shift hone ka ishara ho sakta hai.