usd/jpy

USD/JPY Market Forecast

Sab ko salam aur subah bakhair!

Kal USD/JPY market mein tezi se girawat dekhi gayi aur yeh 140.96 ke zone tak pohanch gaya. Yeh dikha raha hai ke sellers ka ghalba hai aur wo apni value ko zyada der tak barqarar nahi rakh sake. Trading mein kamiyabi kaafi hattak is baat par munhasir hai ke aap kitne flexible aur adaptable hain. Jab ke mojooda market data selling ka achha mauqa de raha hai, traders ko hamesha hoshiyaar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko naye maloomat ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Iska matlab hai ke aanay wale economic events ka khayal rakhna, key indicators ka ghoor se jaiza lena jo ke kisi reversal ka ishara de sakte hain, aur solid risk management practices ko apnana.

Ek ahem practice stop losses ka istemal hai, jo market conditions ke achanak badalne par significant losses se bachata hai. Main short target 140.52 ke sath sell position ko prefer karta hoon. USD/JPY markets bohot zyada volatile ho sakti hain, aur sentiment achanak se badal sakta hai jaise ke central bank announcements, monetary policy mein changes ya geopolitical developments ke sabab. Aise fast-paced environment mein jo traders apni strategies ko foran adjust karte hain, unke liye kamiyabi ke chances zyada hote hain. Jab ke wo log jo apni purani planning par araste rahte hain, unke liye apni position barqarar rakhna mushkil ho sakta hai. Is liye, trading mein flexibility ek bohot zaroori component hai.




Haalan ke mojooda trends sellers ke haq mein hain, trading mein ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai kyun ke financial markets ki nature kabhi bhi unexpected changes la sakti hai. Volatility kaafi jaldi aapke well-considered positions ko ulat sakti hai agar conditions achanak badal jayein. Stop losses ka istemal aur economic developments se well-informed rehna aapke capital ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye zaroori hai.

Aakhir mein, trading mein kamiyabi aksar market opportunities ka faida uthana aur risk management practices ko achi tarah se implement karne ka nateeja hoti hai. Umeed hai ke USD/JPY market agle marahil mein 140.52 ke support zone ko cross karegi.

Aap sab ko kamiyab trading weekend mubarak ho!

USD/JPY Market Forecast for Today

Sab ko salam aur subah bakhair!

Kal USD/JPY market 142.00 ke zone tak pohanch gaya, jo ke traders ke liye aik ahem area hai. Lekin, buyers ko lagataar momentum ka loss ho raha hai, khas tor par negative US Core PPI data ke baad. Yeh weaker-than-expected report US economy mein softer inflationary pressure ka ishara deti hai, jiski wajah se US dollar par asar pada aur USD/JPY pair bhi mutasir hui. Iske natijay mein buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein ehtiyati rujhan barh gaya hai.

Aaj ke market ka rujhan ziada tar aanay wale economic data releases par munhasir hoga, khaaskar US inflation expectations aur consumer confidence reports jo ke USD/JPY ka direction tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada kareingi. Main short-term target 142.47 ke sath buy order ko prefer karta hoon. Halan ke buyers abhi mushkilat ka shikar hain, lekin aanay wali news data unhein mauqa de sakti hai ke wo dobara strength hasil kar ke prices ko upar dhakel saken.

Agar US inflation expectations ya consumer confidence mein positive shift aata hai, to US dollar ke demand mein izafa ho sakta hai, jis se buyers apne recent losses se ubhar sakte hain. 142.47 ka level ek qareebi resistance area hai jahan price action temporarily ruk sakti hai, uske baad traders apne agle move ka faisla karenge.




Lekin agar market mein favorable developments hote hain, to USD/JPY ke buyers apne peechlay losses ko achi tarah se cover kar sakte hain. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye aur inflation expectations aur consumer confidence data ko ghoor se dekhna chahiye taake yeh maloom ho sake ke bullish sentiment barqarar reh sakta hai ya nahi.

Dekhte hain aaj chand ghanton ke baad kya hota hai.

Khush rahen aur mehfooz rahen!

US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ka Tajzia

Jumeraat ki subah US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein thori si stability dikhai, aur yeh 142 yen ke qareeb theher gaya. Yeh level maazi mein kai dafa significant raha hai, is liye yeh koi hairani ki baat nahi ke market ki tawajjo phir se is taraf hai. Ab ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya budh ke bullish hammer ka asar Thursday ko mazeed gains mein tabdeel hoga ya nahi. Ab tak market ka reaction thora positive nazar aa raha hai.

Aane wale dinon mein producer price index (PPI) ka release market par asar dal sakta hai, lekin traders ko lagta hai ke inflation ka barqarar rehna koi nai baat nahi hai, aur wo is baat par kafi mutmaeen hain. Dosra ahem event Federal Reserve ka interest rate faisla hoga jo 18 tareekh ko aayega, jahan 25 basis points ka cut waqar se expected hai, aur yeh lagta hai ke yeh decision pehle se hi prices mein shamil ho chuka hai.

Uske baad tawajjo Bank of Japan ki taraf hogi, jo apni policy ka elan do din baad karega. Japan ke paas ziada interest rates barhane ki salahiyat nahi hai, is liye interest rate differential US dollar ke haq mein hamesha rehta hai. Yeh imbalance waqt ke sath dollar mein mazeed capital flows ko attract kar sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair 145 yen ke level se upar nikal jata hai, to hum aik achi recovery dekh sakte hain. Magar abhi humara focus is par hai ke downward momentum ko roka jaaye jo ke lagta hai ke pair ko stable kar raha hai. Agar yeh 141 yen ke level ke neeche toot jata hai, to yeh bohot negative development samjhi jayegi aur deeper declines ke liye rasta khol sakti hai.




Kul mila kar, mojooda price action yeh suggest karta hai ke market abhi consolidation phase mein hai, jahan key central bank decisions ka intezar kiya ja raha hai. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan dono hi agle bade direction ka faisla karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge.

USD/JPY ka Technical Tajzia

Pichlay trading week ke dauran Japanese yen ne apni position ko mazid mazboot kiya aur apnay pehlay highs ko update karne mein kamiabi hasil ki. Jab price 147.45 ki barrier tak pohchi, to achanak se is ne decline karna shuru kiya, aur aik point par yeh 141.88 tak gir gaya jahan isay support mil gayi. Magar abhi tak yeh apni target area tak nahi pohch saka. Is liye, jo reduction ka scenario tha, wo kuch had tak pura ho gaya hai. Filhal, price chart super trend ke red zone mein hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke sellers ka pressure abhi bhi barqarar hai.

Agar hum technical perspective se dekhein, to aaj ke 240-minute chart par ek wazeh break nazar aata hai jo ke 145.30 ke support level ko tor chuka hai. Simple moving averages ka negative break bhi dekhnay ko milta hai, jo yeh batata hai ke decline ka silsila barqarar rehne ke imkanaat hain, aur is se yeh bhi sabit hota hai ke downtrend mazid barh sakta hai. Aik sustained trade jo pehlay broken support level (jo ke ab resistance level ban gaya hai 145.20 par) ke neeche rahega, iska pehla target 142.75 ho sakta hai. Agar price 145.30 ke upar hourly close hoti hai, to yeh pair ko wapas bullish path par le jayega, jahan 146.50 aur 147.50 tak ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.




Chart Analysis: Abhi ke liye, prices decline kar rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb hain. Main resistance zone ka imtehan liya gaya hai aur yeh abhi tak pressure ko withstand kar raha hai, jo ke downside vector ki ahmiyat ko dikhata hai. Aage barhne ke liye, 144.97 ke level ke neeche consolidation ki zaroorat hai, jo ab main resistance zone ki border ko cross kar raha hai. Agar is level ka retest hota hai aur uske baad ek reversal dekha jata hai, to yeh naye wave ka rasta banayega jo 138.98 aur 136.34 ke area tak target karega.

Agar resistance toot jata hai aur price 147.45 ke reversal level ko tor deti hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

Japanese Yen Trading Analysis aur Mashware

Price ka 141.78 ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se upar ki taraf move karna shuru kiya, jo ke ek sahi entry point ko confirm karta hai dollar ko buy karne ke liye correction ke intezar mein. Is ka natija yeh raha ke pair ne 60 pips ka rise dikhaya. U.S. inflation ke data ne dollar ki demand ko dobarah restore kiya din ke doosray hissay mein, jis ke baad pair ne acha recovery dikhaya apni sharp decline ke baad. Yeh decline Bank of Japan ke board member Junko Nakagawa ke statement ke baad hua, jismein unhone Japan mein mazeed interest rate hikes ki zarurat ka zikar kiya. Aaj dollar mazeed barh sakta hai, magar isay ek acha moka samjha jaye sell karne ka bajaye kisi bara upward correction par bet lagane ke. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada rely karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.

Buy Signal

Scenario No. 1: Aaj mein plan kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko buy karun entry point ke aas paas 142.87 par (chart par green line), aur rise ka target hoga 143.73 ka level (chart par moati green line). 143.73 ke aas paas mein apni long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein shorts open karunga, jismein 30-35 pips ka movement expect karta hoon entry level se opposite direction mein. Aaj ka pair ka growth sirf correction ke framework mein hi umeed ki ja sakti hai. **Important!** Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur upward movement shuru kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj USD/JPY ko mein tab bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar price 142.37 ka test do dafa kare aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market ko reversal dene mein madad karega. Ek rise 142.87 aur 143.73 ke levels tak expect kiya ja sakta hai.

Sell Signal

Scenario No. 1: Aaj mein USD/JPY ko tab sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price 142.37 ka test kare (chart par red line), jo ke pair mein ek tezi se decline ka sabab banega. Sellers ka key target 141.50 ka level hoga, jahan mein short positions ko exit karunga aur foran opposite direction mein longs open karunga (expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein). Dollar par bearish market ka pressure waapas aa sakta hai. Important! Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur downward movement shuru kar raha ho.




Scenario No. 2: Aaj mein USD/JPY ko tab bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar price 142.87 ka test do dafa kare aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upside potential ko limit kar dega aur market ko downward reversal dega. Ek decline 142.37 aur 141.50 ke levels tak umeed kiya ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY: Daily Trading Recommendation

Bears apni value kal se kho rahe hain, jis se market mein bulls ko control milta nazar aa raha hai. Aaj, bulls 142.81 level par actively trade kar rahe hain, strong momentum ke saath aur potential gains ke liye achi positioning dikhate hue. Yeh market behavior ka shift bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, khaaskar jab United States Dollar is haftay mein kuch strength dikhata nazar aa raha hai. Dollar ki yeh strength bullish trend ko support karti hai. In observations ke madde nazar, meri prediction aur recommendation yeh hai ke buy entry consider ki jaye with a target goal of 143.45. Yeh target current market conditions aur recent trading sessions ke upward movement ke sath align karta hai.

Aakhir mein, market ka thorough analysis karna zaroori hai technical aur fundamental dono analyses ke zariye. Technical analysis se key support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur patterns identify kiye jaate hain jo future price movements ka insight dete hain. Indicators jaise moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD ki madad se trend ki strength aur direction samjhi ja sakti hai. Yeh tools entry aur exit points par informed decisions lene mein madadgar hote hain, based on current market conditions.




Bulls ko yeh bhi samajhna chahiye ke fundamental analysis bhi market ko samajhne mein ek critical role play karta hai. Economic reports, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, jo United States Dollar ki strength aur market par uske impact ka context provide karte hain. Misal ke taur par, positive economic data ya favorable policy decisions dollar ki value ko boost kar sakti hain, jo bullish trend ko support karta hai. Iske baraks, negative news ya economic uncertainties market behavior ko influence kar sakti hain aur trading strategy ke effectiveness ko impact kar sakti hain.

Good Luck!

USD/JPY currency pair abhi recently niche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke economic expectations aur current events ka nasha hai. U.S. Federal Reserve se ummeed hai ke wo apne agle meeting mein interest rates kam karega. Aise rate cut aam tor par economic activity ko barhane ke liye hota hai, jo shayad U.S. dollar ko investors ke liye kam appealing bana de. Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan (BOJ) se Friday ko interest rates mein koi tabdeeli ki umeed nahi hai. BOJ ki yeh stability Japanese yen ko U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein relatively strong ya steady rakh sakti hai. Isliye, U.S. rate cuts aur stable Japanese rates ka mix USD/JPY pair ki ongoing decline ko contribute kar sakta hai. Halanki overall bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ke liye kuch dilchasp possibilities hain. Chahe U.S. dollar dusri currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor ho, yeh yen ke muqablay mein thoda rise bhi dekh sakta hai. Yeh unexpected scenario tab ho sakta hai jab market sentiment ya kuch unforeseen economic news influence kare. Crucial U.S. economic reports jaise Core Retail Sales aur Retail Sales data ko dekhna zaroori hai taake yeh samajh sakein ke yeh elements USD/JPY pair ko kaise affect kar rahe hain.
Technical nazariya se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair niche ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo ke pehle ke lows ko tod raha hai aur price pattern ko badal raha hai. Yeh ongoing decline yeh darshata hai ke market mein sellers ka control hai. Technical indicators aur moving averages yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh bearish trend barqarar reh sakta hai, kyunki yeh aam tor par pair ko sell karne ka indication dete hain. Weekly Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq 38.1% mark ke aas-paas support dikhayi deti hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar price aur niche girti hai, to yeh level support provide kar sakta hai, jahan buying interest bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai aur trend reverse ho sakta hai.
Sellers ko price ko significantly niche le jaane mein mushkil ka samna hai. Agar 38.1% level ka support barkarar rehta hai, to 14.5% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf rebound ka mauka ho sakta hai. Traders ko price movements ko 140.84 support level ke aas-paas dekhna chahiye buying aur selling opportunities ke liye, aur 141.55 resistance level ke aas-paas possible buying signals ke liye dekhna chahiye. Aakhir mein, technical outlook yeh darshata hai ke USD/JPY pair shayad nazdeeki dino mein apna bearish trend barqarar rakhe, lekin key support levels aur aane wale economic data iski future direction ko influence kar sakte hain.

Budh ko, spot price mein USD Index ke muqablay mein aham izafa dekhne ko mila, jo ke 140.80 ke qareeb bearish zone mein pohanch gaya. Yeh barhti hui harkat ne traders ki dilchaspi ko barhaya hai, jo ke Japan ki monetary policy par ghore kar rahe hain. Halankeh central bank ke afsaraan ne sukoot ki nishandahi ki hai, magar bazar ke utar chadhav aur ghalib be yaqiniyon ke baais unka tareeqa zara ehtiyaat par mabni hai. Yen ki Taqwiat, US Ki Maeeshat Ke Masaail aur Bank of Japan Ki Policy Mein Tabdeeli:

Yen ek mehfooz asasa ke tor par ziada dilchasp bana hai, jo ke duniya bhar mein maeeshat ke susti ke khaufon ki wajah se hai. Khaaskar, United States mein aane wali susti ka imkaan ziada ho gaya hai, jabke uska labor market kamzor dikhayi de raha hai. US mein berozgaari ki sharah 4.3% tak barh gayi hai, jo ke November 2021 ke baad se sabse unchi hai. Is berozgaari ke izafay ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke markazi sudi sharaah mein qabil e zikar katoti ki umeed ko barhaya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders ko umeed hai ke September tak 50-basis point ki sudi katoti ho sakti hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke haali policies ne Yen ki qeemat mein mazeed izafa kar diya hai. Guzishta hafta, BoJ ne bazaar ko hairan karte hue umeed se ziada sudi izafa kiya, jisme key interest rates 15 basis points barh kar 0.15% - 0.25% ke range mein ho gaye. Iske ilawa, central bank ne apni mahana Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ki kharidari ko kam kar ke ¥3 trillion kar diya, jo 2026 ke pehle quarter se asar andaz hogi. In iqdamat ne Yen ki performance ko behtari ki taraf dala hai.

USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya:

Yeh pair 142.00 resistance level ko torhne mein nakaam raha, aur uske baad isne apni girawat ko barhaya, 141.00 ke neeche tak chali gayi, jo ke teen din tak chalti barhti qeemat ka silsila tha. Haal ke taaza update ke mutabiq, yeh currency pair 141.51 par trade kar rahi hai, jo ke 1.48% ka nuksan dikhata hai. 143.80 ke weekly high ko cross karne mein nakaami ne girawat ko mazeed barhaya aur downtrend ko mazbooti di.

USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai

DJPYCollaps bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai.
USD/JPY mein ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Is liye, apne trading plan mein stop loss ko shaamil karna bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, takay aap apne account ko kisi bhi naqabili tajweez nuksaan se bacha sakein. Market kabhi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tor par chal sakta hai, aur stop loss aapki downside risks ko limit karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai, takay agar market aapke position ke khilaaf chaley, to bhi aapka capital mehfooz rahe.
Is trade mein acha risk-reward ratio barqarar rakhne ke liye stop loss ko aik strategic level par set karna zaroori hoga. Agle chand dinon mein ye wazeh hoga ke kya buyers market mein wapas aa sakte hain aur price ko 141.55 resistance zone ki taraf push kar sakte hain. Agar market sentiment ya USD aur JPY se mutaliq economic indicators mein koi positive developments h

USD/JPY H-1

Hello forum members! Moving average yahan resistance ka kaam kar raha hai aur price ko upar janay nahi de raha. Isi liye mein is pair ko sell karne ka soch raha hoon. Neeche MACD oscillator indicator bhi suggest kar raha hai ke short position open ki jaye. MACD zero se neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko zahir kar raha hai. Dono indicators confirm karte hain ke yeh short trade ka acha waqt hai. Mein 141.09 se sell shuru karne ka soch raha hoon. Is trade se profit kamaane ka mauqa hoga aur naye market opportunities dekhne ka intezaar karenge. Loss limits ka hamesha dhyaan rakhein; mein apna stop-loss 141.29 pe set kiya hai. Risk mera 2% hai deposit ka. Zyada risk lena recommend nahi karta. Hamara price target 140.49 pe trigger hoga jab price wahan tak pohanchega. Ab dekhte hain ke market hume kya dikhata hai aur trade kis level pe complete hota hai.






USD/JPY H-4

Good morning sab ko!

USD/JPY pair Asian session mein tight range mein trade kar raha hai aur kal ke closing levels ke qareeb hi hai. Yen dollar ke against Monday ko weak hua. Yeh movement Federal Reserve ki Wednesday meeting ke hawale se expectations ki wajah se hai. Pair ab correction phase mein enter karne ki koshish kar raha hai, last week ke trading ke end mein girawat ke baad. Mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh growth zyada der tak chalegi. Yen ki demand ab bhi zyada hai. Aaj US markets khulne ka intezaar hai. USA se important data aane wala hai jo currency markets mein kaafi volatility la sakta hai. Mere khayal se din ke pehle hissa mein zyada badi movements nahi hongi aur correction thodi si upar ja sakti hai, lekin overall downward trend resume hone ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 pe expect hai aur mein us se neeche sell karne ka soch raha hoon, targets honge 139.85 aur 139.35. Dusra scenario yeh hai ke pair upar jayega, 141.35 mark ko break karega aur us ke upar consolidate karega, phir raasta 141.65 aur 141.85 tak khul sakta hai. In markers ke basis pe mein phir se sell karne ki koshish karunga.

USD/JPY ke General Points:

Aaj USD/JPY market sellers ke haq mein dikhayi de raha hai, lekin iska asal movement zyada wazeh New York trading session mein hoga jab US Retail Sales aur Core Retail Sales ka data release hoga. Mere khayal mein, USD/JPY market din bhar neutral ya sideways movement kar sakta hai, aur asal movement shaam mein zyada clear hoga. Isi liye, humein apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye. Mein suggest karta hoon ke USD/JPY pe buy order lagaya jaye aur take profit ka point 141.00 level pe set kiya jaye. Risk ko manage karne ke liye, stop-loss level 140.22 pe set kiya ja sakta hai. Is tarah agar market favor mein move karta hai to potential gains ka chance milta hai, aur adverse price movements se bhi bacha ja sakta hai.






Is context mein bhi, USD/JPY pair pe buy order lagana munasib hai. Take profit ka point 141.00 level pe set karna upward movement ka faida uthane ke liye acha hai, agar data release ke baad market conditions favor mein shift karti hain. Yeh target market ke positive trend mein acha chance deta hai gains capture karne ka. Risk management ke liye, stop-loss level 140.22 pe set karna recommended hai. Yeh stop-loss point agar market position ke against move karta hai to losses ko limit karne mein madad karta hai, aur kisi bhi potential downside pe control banaye rakhta hai. Is strategy ko adopt karne se favorable market movements ka faida utha sakte hain jab ke unexpected fluctuations se bhi protection milti rahegi. Din bhar naye information aur market trends ke mutabiq strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai. Aik balanced strategy jo gains ke opportunities ko risk management ke saath combine kare, aaj ke trading environment ko effectively navigate karne mein madadgar hogi. Hamesha professional trading ka approach rakhein.

USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain. D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

USDJPY Technical Overview

Mein Tuesday ke diary mein USDJPY ki possible movements aur trading scenarios ka jaiza loon ga, BBMA aur multi-timeframe techniques ka istemal karte hue. Pehle weekly chart ko dekhta hoon, jahan last week ka closing price 140.82 tha, jo ke ek aham support level 141.00 ke neeche tha. Hairat ki baat yeh hai ke yeh penetration Purple EMA100 ke neeche tha, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke market bearish conditions se mutmain hai aur price action neeche ja raha hai. Is ke ilawa, sellers ka makhsoos target Red Weekly EMA200 ke dynamic support level ko confirm karna hoga, jo ke takreeban 135.28 ke qareeb hai.
Traders ko phir behtareen waqt dekhna hoga ke kab sell karein. Chart ko chhoti time frame, specifically H4 pe adjust karna zaroori hoga. Wahan se yeh wazeh hota hai ke ek bullish reversal pattern form ho raha hai; khaaskar un teen yellow boxes par tawajjo dein. Yeh saabit hota hai ke price decline Awesome Oscillator aur RSI 14 indicators ke sath nahi ho rahi, jo ke bullish divergence show karte hain. Yeh bhi dhyan dena zaroori hai ke price Bollinger Bands ke upper line ki taraf barh sakti hai oversold conditions ko balance karne ke liye, chahe yeh reversal mukhtasir ho ya phir kisi longer-term trend change ka aghaaz. Fed ke rate cut ke mutaliq kaafi arsay se kai andazay lagaye ja rahe hain, khaaskar ke rate cut ka magnitude aur timing. Yeh lagta toh mamooli hai, magar yeh aksar market mein volatility paida karta hai, khaaskar Yen ke liye jo interest rate ke andazay par bohat zyada asar leta hai. Agar Fed waqai 50 basis points tak rate kam karta hai, toh yeh growth ke hawale se khauf ko barha sakta hai, jis se Yen aur zyada gir sakta hai.

USD/JPY

Neeche diye gaye chart mein hum USD/JPY exchange rate dekh sakte hain. Jab bhi trade dhoondhni ho, to mein hamesha yeh mashwara deta hoon ke hourly charts dekhein jo major timeframes ke trend ke sath aligned hoon. Aaj Asia mein, Tokyo CPI ka inflation report Japan se aaya hai jo ke 2.6% hai. Yeh forecasted 2.4% se zyada hai, jo bears ke haq mein hai kyunke yeh Bank of Japan ke liye ek aur rate hike ka buniyad bana raha hai is saal ke akhir tak. Lekin aaj ki technique ke sath zyada ehtiyat baratni hogi. Iski wajah yeh hai ke price daily trend line ke upar se gir chuki hai, aur yeh sab us khabar se pehle ho raha hai jo is haftay ki shayad sab se important news hai — personal consumption data USA ka. Yeh inflation report aksar trend ko set karta hai. Main bhi trend line se pair ko sell kar chuka hoon, lekin ab yeh threat mein hai. Sab kuch data par depend karega.

USD/JPY pair mein tez girawat dekhne ko mili, jo 145.00 ke qareeb aayi, aur iski wajah Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke hawkish guidance ka asar tha. Ueda ne dobara se yeh wazeh kiya ke BOJ ko is saal mazeed interest rates barhane ki zarurat hai. Unhone zor diya ke agar economic aur inflationary conditions expectations ke mutabiq hoon, to central bank dair nahi karega action lene mein. Is bayaan ne Japanese yen ko mazbooti di, jisse USD/JPY pair par selling pressure aya. Filhal, yeh 144.80 ke support level ke qareeb hai.

US dollar ke mazboot hone ke bawajood, jo ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ke 102.00 ke two-week high tak pohanchne se zahir hai, USD/JPY pair ab bhi pressure mein hai. US dollar investors ke ehtiyat baratne ke rujhan ke saath barha hai kyunke aglay US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data ka intezar hai jo ke Jumma ko aa raha hai. Yeh economic data bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke Federal Reserve ab zyadah focus kar raha hai labor market ke downside risks ko manage karne par, jabke inflation ke 2% target tak wapas aane ka yaqeen hai. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Tokyo ka consumer price index (CPI), fresh food ko chhor kar, August mein expect se zyada barha, jo 2.4% tak pohanch gaya, aur Bank of Japan ke hawkish stance ko justify karta hai.

Stock trading front par, U.S. stock indices mein tez girawat dekhi gayi, khaaskar technology stocks mein... Trading ke mutabiq, U.S. stocks Tuesday ko kaafi neeche gir gaye, aur yeh August 5 ke baad ka sab se bura din tha, jo ke economic concerns aur technology stocks mein major sell-off ki wajah se tha. Iske mutabiq, S&P 500 2.1% neeche gaya, tech-heavy Nasdaq 3.1% gir gaya, aur Dow Jones ne 625 points kho diye.