usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Budh ko, spot price mein USD Index ke muqablay mein aham izafa dekhne ko mila, jo ke 140.80 ke qareeb bearish zone mein pohanch gaya. Yeh barhti hui harkat ne traders ki dilchaspi ko barhaya hai, jo ke Japan ki monetary policy par ghore kar rahe hain. Halankeh central bank ke afsaraan ne sukoot ki nishandahi ki hai, magar bazar ke utar chadhav aur ghalib be yaqiniyon ke baais unka tareeqa zara ehtiyaat par mabni hai.
Yen ki Taqwiat, US Ki Maeeshat Ke Masaail aur Bank of Japan Ki Policy Mein Tabdeeli:

Yen ek mehfooz asasa ke tor par ziada dilchasp bana hai, jo ke duniya bhar mein maeeshat ke susti ke khaufon ki wajah se hai. Khaaskar, United States mein aane wali susti ka imkaan ziada ho gaya hai, jabke uska labor market kamzor dikhayi de raha hai. US mein berozgaari ki sharah 4.3% tak barh gayi hai, jo ke November 2021 ke baad se sabse unchi hai. Is berozgaari ke izafay ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke markazi sudi sharaah mein qabil e zikar katoti ki umeed ko barhaya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders ko umeed hai ke September tak 50-basis point ki sudi katoti ho sakti hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke haali policies ne Yen ki qeemat mein mazeed izafa kar diya hai. Guzishta hafta, BoJ ne bazaar ko hairan karte hue umeed se ziada sudi izafa kiya, jisme key interest rates 15 basis points barh kar 0.15% - 0.25% ke range mein ho gaye. Iske ilawa, central bank ne apni mahana Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ki kharidari ko kam kar ke ¥3 trillion kar diya, jo 2026 ke pehle quarter se asar andaz hogi. In iqdamat ne Yen ki performance ko behtari ki taraf dala hai.

USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya:

Yeh pair 142.00 resistance level ko torhne mein nakaam raha, aur uske baad isne apni girawat ko barhaya, 141.00 ke neeche tak chali gayi, jo ke teen din tak chalti barhti qeemat ka silsila tha. Haal ke taaza update ke mutabiq, yeh currency pair 141.51 par trade kar rahi hai, jo ke 1.48% ka nuksan dikhata hai. 143.80 ke weekly high ko cross karne mein nakaami ne girawat ko mazeed barhaya aur downtrend ko mazbooti di.

Technical Asar:

USD/JPY pair ab 143.33 ke qareeb nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai, jo foran ek rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko "throwback support turned resistance" 144.50 tak test karne ka moka mil sakta hai. Is bearish trend ke bawajood, Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold conditions ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek reversal ka imkaan dikhata hai.

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise hwa

General mein, consistent bullish surge complex pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Sell entry point establish hoga agar yeh stabilize karta hai, potentially pair ko next support level 144.73 par le jaye. Lekin agar bulls upper hand reclaim karte hain, price stabilize ho sakti hai 145.93 ke upar, bullish trend continue karte hue. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ne 50% resistance level 149.62 ki advance complete nahi ki hai, bears ne intervene kiya, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish ki hai

Guzishta haftay mein bears ne bulls ko pehl kar di, jisse price mein izafa hua, lekin bulls ne lambi growth ko rok liya. Wave structure abhi tak neeche ki taraf hi develop ho rahi hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke upar hai. Lagta hai ke price current August ke minimum ko update karne ja rahi hai, aur is minimum ko touch karne se pehle takreeban 200 points ka faasla hai. Agar August ka minimum update hota hai, toh MACD aur CCI indicators par bullish divergence ka imkaan ho sakta hai, dono par ya ek par. Indicators ki mojooda position ko dekhte hue, is signal ki pehl se prediction ki ja sakti hai.
Is waqt, priority younger periods mein intraday downwards movement par hai, jab rollbacks hote hain aur sale ki formation nazar aati hai. Yeh strategy tab tak kaam karegi jab tak 141.66 ka minimum update nahi hota, uske baad dekha jayega. Abhi tak downward pressure kam hone ki koi nishani nahi hai. Low qareeb hai, is liye price ke uske neeche janay ka imkaan hai, agar market ka general movement US dollar ke haq mein hota hai, jo ke kafi mumkin hai. Doosri currencies bhi American dollar ke muqablay mein mazeed kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hain. Har surat mein, trend ke saath kaam karna behtar hota hai, aur humara trend daily chart par downward hi hai.

Beshak, kuch important news bhi aane wali hai. Agar yeh news US dollar ke haq mein hoti hai, toh shayad price low ko cross na karay, halaan ke yeh qareeb hai. 15:30 Moscow time par kuch ahem economic indicators aayenge, jin mein shamil hain: US ke average hourly earnings, non-agricultural sector mein employed afraad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, US ke economically active afraad ka share, private non-agricultural sector mein employed Afraad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, aur US ki berozgaari ki sharaah

USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta

USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta

USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke Baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apnea control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohon

Hamari guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karenge. Price reading indicators ke base par, meri trading approach yeh darshati hai ke is waqt is currency pair ko khareedna faida mand hoga. System ke muttawatar signals yeh ishara dete hain ke bulls ne control hasil kar liya hai, is liye kharidna abhi priority hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein zyada behtareen tareeqay se price quotes ko smooth aur average karti hain, reversals, corrective pullbacks, aur impulsive movements ko identify karne mein madad deti hain. 100 Moving Average channel indicator, jo ke Moving Average chart par current support aur resistance levels ko outline karta hai, kisi bhi waqt asset ke movement boundaries ko clear nazar deta hai. Momentum oscillator pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko highlight karta hai. Yeh tools ka combination technical analysis process ko behtareen banata hai aur galat market entries ke chances ko kam karta hai. Diye gaye pair ka chart dikhata hai ke ranging candlesticks ne blue color le liya hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko darshata hai aur bearish outlook ko piche chhod raha hai, isliye yeh ek achha waqt hai long position lene ka. Price quotes shuru mein channel ke lower boundary ke neeche gir gayi thi, lekin sabse niche pahunchnay ke baad, yeh channel ke central line ki taraf rebound kar gayi. RSI (20 indicator) bhi is buy signal ko support karta hai, kyunki iska upward-directed curve overbought level ke neeche hai, jo ke long position lene ke saath align karta hai. In observations ke madde nazar, successful buys ki probability zyada hai, jo long trade kholne ko justify karta hai. Main channel ke upper boundary ke aas-paas, price quote 141.643 ke qareeb profits lene ki umeed rakhta hoon. Jab order profitable zone mein chale jaye, to position ko breakeven par shift karna aqalmandi hogi, kyunki market dynamics aksar expectations ko galat movements se disrupt karte hain.

Hello. USDJPY asset ke liye, market Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Cloud do lines par مشتمل hai: Span A 144.933 par aur Span B 144.809 par. Jab market cloud ke neeche thi, to yeh lines resistance ke tor par kaam karti thi. Filhal, market price 146.259 par hai, jo Kumo ke upar hai, isse cloud area ek strong support ban gaya hai jahan buying entry point talash kiya ja sakta hai. Bullish sentiment ko ek aur signal confirm karta hai: Tenkan-Sen line 146.188 par Kijun-Sen line 145.709 ke upar cross kar rahi hai, jo ek golden cross banata hai. Crossing aur market ka cloud ke upar hone ki maloomat ek bohot hi powerful buying signal deti hai. Yeh tajwez diya jata hai ke uptrend ke doran buying par ghoor kiya jaye. Upward trend scenario cloud ko break karne ke baad ineffective ho jayega. Dead cross ka intezar karna behtar hoga - Tenkan-Sen line Kijun-Sen line ke neeche aaye. Opposite signal par profit hasil kiya ja sakta hai.

Stefan ka analysis keh raha hai ke USD/JPY ka upward correction jaldi khatam ho sakta hai, aur selling opportunities dekhna zyada behtar hoga jo ke recent months mein downward trend ke saath match karti hain. Ab yeh do scenarios diye gaye hain jahan pe aap buy aur sell kar sakte hain.
Agar USD/JPY 146.44 ko touch karta hai, to buy karna behtar hoga. Aap ka target hoga 147.21 tak, jahan pe aap apne long positions close karke short positions khol sakte hain. 147.21 ke aas paas price ka reverse 30-35 pips ka ho sakta hai. Important: MACD indicator ko zero mark ke ooper dekhna hai aur wahan se rise karna chahiye.
Agar 145.99 pe do dafaa test hota hai aur MACD oversold area mein hai, to yeh market ko reverse kar sakta hai. Phir price 146.44 aur 147.21 tak grow kar sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY 145.99 ko test karta hai, to sell karna sahi hoga. Target 145.41 hoga, jahan short positions close karke aap long positions khol sakte hain. 20-25 pips ka reverse expect kar sakte hain. Important: MACD ko zero mark ke neeche aur decline kartay hue dekhna zaroori hai.
Agar 146.44 pe do dafaa test hota hai aur MACD overbought area mein hai, to sell karna chahiye. Phir price 145.99 aur 145.41 tak decline kar sakti hai.
Is analysis ke mutabiq aap ko MACD indicator aur specific price levels pe focus rakhna chahiye trading decisions lene ke liye.

USD/JPY ka upward correction jaldi khatam ho sakta hai, aur selling opportunities dekhna zyada behtar hoga jo ke recent months mein downward trend ke saath match karti hain. Ab yeh do scenarios diye gaye hain jahan pe aap buy aur sell kar sakte hain.
Agar USD/JPY 146.44 ko touch karta hai, to buy karna behtar hoga. Aap ka target hoga 147.21 tak, jahan pe aap apne long positions close karke short positions khol sakte hain. 147.21 ke aas paas price ka reverse 30-35 pips ka ho sakta hai. Important: MACD indicator ko zero mark ke ooper dekhna hai aur wahan se rise karna chahiye.
Agar 145.99 pe do dafaa test hota hai aur MACD oversold area mein hai, to yeh market ko reverse kar sakta hai. Phir price 146.44 aur 147.21 tak grow kar sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY 145.99 ko test karta hai, to sell karna sahi hoga. Target 145.41 hoga, jahan short positions close karke aap long positions khol sakte hain. 20-25 pips ka reverse expect kar sakte hain. Important: MACD ko zero mark ke neeche aur decline kartay hue dekhna zaroori hai.
Agar 146.44 pe do dafaa test hota hai aur MACD overbought area mein hai, to sell karna chahiye. Phir price 145.99 aur 145.41 tak decline kar sakti hai.
Is analysis ke mutabiq aap ko MACD indicator aur specific price levels pe focus rakhna chahiye trading decisions lene ke liye Yeh analysis batata hai ke USD/JPY pair ke liye abhi kuch uncertain situations hain, magar upward trend abhi bhi dominant lag raha hai. Agar 147.18 ka level break hota hai, to phir 149.40 tak ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level break nahi hota, to situation thodi unclear ho sakti hai. Analyst ke mutabiq 144-145 tak bhi price gir sakti hai, lekin abhi tak koi guarantee nahi hai.
Agar USD mein thoda aur upar jana dikhai de raha hai, to abhi trading karne se pehle thoda wait karna behtar hoga, kyun ke situation ka development dekhna zaroori hai. Black ascending channel ka zikr kiya gaya hai, jisme pair ke break karne ka chance hai, magar trading ka basis us channel pe nahi banana chahiye. Overall, uptrend abhi clear hai, lekin risk management aur proper strategy zaroori hai trading decisions ke liye.

Ek aham resistance level lagbhag 147.141 par mojood hai, jo ek moti laal line se nishan zadah hai. Is ilaqay ko kai dafa price ne test kiya hai, lekin har dafa jab price isay chhoti hai, to wapas neeche gir jati hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke is level par selling pressure bohot zyada hai. Dosri taraf, ek support level 145.148 ke qareeb hai, jo filhal price movement ke liye ek critical point bana hua hai. Yeh support area blue zone se bhi taqatwar bana hua hai, jo demand zone ya potential buying area ko zahir karta hai. Is waqt price support area ke ooper rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price is support par qaim rehta hai aur neeche nahi girta, to yeh mumkin hai ke price wapas upar ki taraf move kare aur resistance level 147.141 ko dobara test kare. Lekin agar yeh support level selling pressure ko bardasht na kar saka aur price isay taqatwar torh deta hai, to yeh umeed hai ke price mazeed gir kar aglay support level 144.000 ya is se bhi neeche chala jaye.

Candlestick pattern par nazar daali jaye, to kuch dilchasp signs dekhne ko milte hain. Ab tak, jab se price resistance area mein apni peak par pohncha hai, wahan se kaafi dominant bearish candlesticks bani hain, jo kafi taqatwar selling pressure ko zahir karti hain. Lekin jab price support level 145.148 ke qareeb pohnchi, to kuch neeche girne ki rujhan mein rokawat dekhne ko mili, jo kuch candlesticks ke lambay neeche wicks se zahir hoti hai. Yeh ek aghaaz ho sakta hai ke buyers is area mein wapas aanay ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur price ko mazeed neeche girne se bacha rahe hain.

Agli trading move ke liye do scenarios nazar mein hain. Pehla scenario bullish hai, jismein main yeh umeed karta hoon ke price support level 145.148 ke uper qaim rahega. Agar aisa hota hai aur koi strong bullish candlestick pattern jaise ke bullish engulfing ya pin bar nazar aaye, to yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke long position enter ki jaye, aur profit target resistance level 147.141 ke qareeb rakha jaye. Dosra scenario bearish hai, agar price support level 145.148 ko significant volume ke sath torhta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho ga ke selling pressure abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Is surat mein, main short position enter karne ka sochunga, aur profit target aglay support area 144.000 par rakhoon ga, jabke stop loss ko torhe gaye

USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta

US dollar aur Japanese yen ke exchange rate par hamari tawajjah hai. USD/JPY ne recent high se drop kiya hai, lekin recovery modest raha hai aur upward correction mere nazariye mein substantial nahi hai. Market mere views se hamesha align nahi karta, lekin bearish trend likely hai.

Lekin, upcoming week ya do hafte mein, agar price 150.01 level ko surpass kar sake, to upward trajectory ka continuation possible hai. Broader financial landscape mein, US dollar ki brief strengthening beneficial ho sakti hai.

Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, price increase 156.65 (9%) se pehle decline 132.46 (50%) ka logical expectation hai.

Friday ko currency pair ko selling pressure ka samna karna pada. Monday ko, main technical indicators ka analysis karunga, market ka next move predict karne ke liye, bearish trend ka persistence ya alternative scenario ka unfold hone ka.

Current signals declining market trend ko point karte hain. Japan se Monday ko koi notable announcements ki expectation nahi hai, kyunki yeh public holiday hai. US important information release karne wala hai, lekin outlook neutral hai.

In circumstances mein, currency pair range mein trade karne ka expectation hai. Selling pressure price ko support level 145.46 par la sakti hai, jabki buying interest 147.91 resistance level par le ja sakti hai.





US dollar Japanese yen ke against ground khote ja raha hai, Treasury bond yields ke decline ke saath. Recent market turbulence ke baad, traders settle down ho gaye hain. Bank of Japan ke statement ne yen par pressure add kiya hai.

USD/JPY pair ko 145.99 aur 146.79 ke range mein support hai, aur agar yeh 145.99 ke neeche drop karta hai, to additional downward momentum mil sakta hai. Risk appetite ke return ke saath, USD/JPY ne apne downward trend ko resume kar diya hai. Buyers ne weekly high 147.88 ko break nahi kiya, jis se pair ko 146.99 ke neeche decline kar diya hai. Momentum abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin RSI oversold territory ke qareeb hai

United States se aane wale weak data ke baad dollar gir gaya, magar yen ke muqable mein dollar phir bhi barh raha, aur New York mein 161.64 par close hua, jo ke din ka 0.1% izafa tha . Yen 161.96 tak gir gaya, jo December 1986 ke baad se sabse kam hai. United States ke data ne dikhaya ke initial unemployment claims ka number 238,000 tak barh gaya week ending June 29 tak, seasonally adjusted. Continuing unemployment claims ka number 1.858 million tak barh gaya week ending June 22 tak, seasonally adjusted, jo ke November 2021 ke end ke baad se sabse zyada hai. ADP employment report ne Wednesday ko dikhaya ke private employment mein 150,000 jobs ka izafa hua June mein (expected 160,000 tha). Institute for Supply Management (ISM) se release hone wale US service sector report bhi weak thi, jisme data dikhata hai ke US service sector purchasing managers' index (PMI) 48.8 tak gir gaya May ke 53.8 se, jo ke chaar saalon ka sabse kam Hi. Yeh is saal doosri dafa hai ke index 50 se neechay gaya hai, jo service sector mein contraction dikhata hai. US factory orders bhi unexpectedly 0.5% gir gaye May mein, jab ke growth expected thi. Aik series of US data ke baad, US interest rate futures market ne September mein rate cut ki probability 74% tak barha di 69% se jo Tuesday late ko thi, London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) ke calculations ke mutabiq. Market bhi yeh samajhti hai ke 2024 mein do rate cuts honge. Weak data ke series ne early trading mein dollar ko thoda frustrate kiya, magar Japanese importers se bargain-hunting orders ke active influx ne yen ki depreciation ko rokna mushkil banaya. Is waqt, investors zyada concern hain ke Bank of Japan interest rates ko barha sakti hai ya nahi. Agar is hawale se koi aur radical action nahi hota, tou intervention ke bawajood, carry trades ka wave rokna mushkil hai. Magar, short term mein, overbought USD/JPY aur bhi bigad raha hai, aur hume profit-taking adjustments ke risk se bachna hoga