usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY

Pair filhal 143.10 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai jabke ye weekly peak 143.80 se retreat kar gaya hai, jo ke early US trading hours mein Monday ko dekha gaya tha. Is decline ka sabab softer US Dollar (USD) aur market sentiment ka safe-haven assets ki taraf shift hona hai. Traders ab Thursday ko aane wali weekly US Initial Jobless Claims report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke US ki economic aur employment conditions ke hawalay se nayi insights de sakti hai. Pair abhi takriban 143.14 ke level par trade kar raha hai.

**USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:**

Recent Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke June meeting minutes ke hawalay se kuch members mein rising import prices ko le kar concern barh raha hai, jo ke weak JPY ki wajah se ho rahe hain. Yeh inflationary pressures mein izafa kar sakte hain. Ek member ne highlight kiya ke cost-push inflation agar inflation expectations aur wage growth ko barha de to ye underlying inflation ko aur zyada exacerbate kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, BoJ ka Quarterly Outlook Report jo ke Thursday ko release kiya gaya, is baat ka izhar karta hai ke wages aur inflation expectations se zyada barh sakti hain, jo ke inflation expectations aur tighter labor market ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne indicate kiya ke agar economic ya financial conditions deteriorate karti hain to Federal Reserve action lene ke liye tayyar hai. Goolsbee ne emphasize kiya ke Fed ka forward-looking stance hai aur agar conditions collectively aise develop hoti hain jo deterioration show karain to hum usay fix karain ge, jese ke unhon ne Reuters ko bataya. Yeh Fed ki commitment ko underscore karta hai ke wo possible economic challenges ko proactively address karain ge.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Technically, pair apne descending channel ki upper boundary test kar raha hai, jo ke 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas 143.59 ke level par hai. Agar yeh resistance level break hota hai to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair 144.50 ke "throwback support turned resistance" ko challenge kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair apna upward trajectory maintain karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh descending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar sakta hai jo ke throwback support ke kareeb 140.21 ke level par hai, jo December mein observe kiya gaya tha.

Agar pair 142.00 ke neeche girta hai to agla support level 141.44 ka low ho sakta hai, jiske baad significant support 140.28 par dekha ja sakta hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to agla support August 6 ka daily low 143.61 ho sakta hai, aur phir recent cycle low 141.69 tak pair ja sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne oversold territory se exit kiya hai lekin iska flat slope ongoing consolidation ko suggest karta hai.

Humari tehqiqat ka mauzoo USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki haliya soorat-e-haal ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY pair ne abhi abhi 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat hui, jis ke baad pair ne upward correction ki koshish ki, aur kharidaar 144.53 ke resistance level tak kuch ground wapas hasil karne mein kamyab hue. Iss muqam se sell positions kholna munasib ho sakta hai, aur mazeed girawat ka target 140-141 range tak ho sakta hai. Dosri surat mein, agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound hota hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, aur agle resistance 146.38 tak ponchne ka aim ho sakta hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel jhanda ki tarah nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur uski lower boundary se bounce off hua hai. Agar price 144.49 ko tor de, toh 145.69 ka target lekar khareedari ki strategy munasib ho sakti hai USD/JPY pair ne abhi hal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi thi, lekin American trading session ke akhir tak 100 points ka izafa hotay hue recovery ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears abhi tak price ko 144.99 ke key level ke neeche dhakelne mein nakaam rahe hain, jis se downward trend ke jari rehne par shak paida hota hai. Maujooda market ki uncertainty ko dekhte hue, ehtiyat ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke price kuch dinon tak is level ke aas-paas reh sakti hai. US dollar index ne ek mazboot weekly support level ko choo liya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke dollar jald hi ek corrective rebound kar sakta hai. Speaker is waqt sirf sell positions lene ka soch raha hai aur buy karne ka koi irada nahi rakhta. Currency pair ne neeche se 143.99 level ko test kiya hai aur ab 144.49 tak upar chali gayi hai, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls Asian trading session ke dauran price ko mazeed 49 points tak le jaa sakte hain. Maujooda price 143.43 hai, jo 141.70 ke aham support level se thoda upar hai. Yeh level unn traders ka key target ho sakta hai jo girawat par bet kar rahe hain. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed girne ka rujhaan rakh sakta hai. Lekin Bank of Japan ke hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein zyada girawat ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Woh pehle hi ishara de chuke hain ke woh yen ki qeemat mein tezi se utar chadhav par mudakhlat kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar yeh ziyada mazboot ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target haqeeqat par mabni nahi lagta, kyun ke Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye bazaar mein yen ki badi miktar inject kar sakta hai

USD/JPY

USD/JPY ka qeemat ka jaiza lay rahe hain. Hourly time frame par primary trend downward hai, jo ke moving averages aur purana oscillator show karte hain. Ye moving averages, jo ke zyada bara time frame ka average price dikhate hain, sahi alignment mein hain decline ke liye, chhota moving average bara wale ke neeche hai. Daily histogram ka placement suggest karta hai ke agle kuch hafton mein instrument neeche jaane ka imkaan hai. Lekin, four-hour chart par histogram aur linear oscillator zero line ke upar chale gaye hain, jo short-term mein ek upward movement ka signal dete hain, jo shayad takreeban aik hafta tak rahe. Andrews' pitchfork, jo pivot points ke ird gird hai, ek ascending channel show karta hai aur pair iske andar mustaqil chal raha hai. Ab price middle line tak pohanch chuki hai, jo mazeed gains ka imkaan deta hai, aur price shayad 145.29 ke level tak ja sake supply zone mein. Agar ye zone hit hoti hai, to price puray average daily movement ke 144.59 level tak bhi ja sakti hai.

USD/JPY ki price 145.54 se upar move karti hai, to ye bullish reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise mein pair resistance levels 145.91 aur shayad 146.24 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin agar ye upward movement ko maintain nahi karti, to bearish trend aur bhi mazboot ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar pair 145.05 ke neeche girti hai. Aise mein further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain, price 144.88 tak ja sakti hai aur shayad 144.25 tak bhi extend ho sakti hai. Bigger context bhi bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.24, weekly Pivot level 145.29, aur daily Pivot level 145.91 se neeche trade kar raha hai. Ye indicators USD/JPY par overall downward pressure ko reflect karte hain. Monthly Pivot level pehle 153.85 tha, jo market dynamics mein significant shift ko highlight karta hai. Isi tarah, weekly Pivot level pehle 147.65 tha, jo recent period mein downward trend ko darshata hai.
USD/JPY pair mein aik tezi se girawat dekhi gayi hai, jo ke 145.00 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai. Is girawat ka sabab Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ki hawkish guidance thi. Ueda ne ye dohraya ke BOJ ko iss saal interest rates mazeed barhane ki zarurat hai, aur agar economic aur inflationary conditions expectations ke mutabiq hon, toh central bank kisi bhi qadam uthane mein hichkichahat nahi karega. Is bayaan se Japanese yen mein mazid izafa hua, jis ne USD/JPY pair par selling pressure daal diya. Is waqt yeh 144.80 support level ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai.
USD/JPY pair ke overnight decline ka sabab bani. Iske ilawa, US manufacturing sector se aayi negative data, jo ke dopahar mein release hui, ne mazeed decline ko fuel kiya. Filhal yen zyada tar ek haven ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, doosri major currencies ke muqable mein dollar ke khilaf. Aaj S&P 500 index kareeban 3% gira, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke yen ki haven ke tor par demand barh rahi hai. A slight pullback is pair ko "discount" par khareedne ka moqa faraham karta hai. Lekin yeh market hai, aur yehan hamesha unexpected movements ho sakti hain. Main dekh raha hoon ke yeh pair 144.89 support level ke aas-paas kis tarah react karta hai, jabke broader market sentiment par bhi nazar rakhi hui hai.

sakta hai. Aise mein pair resistance levels 145.91 aur shayad 146.24 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin agar ye upward movement ko maintain nahi karti, to bearish trend aur bhi mazboot ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar pair 145.05 ke neeche girti hai. Aise mein further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain, price 144.88 tak ja sakti hai aur shayad 144.25 tak bhi extend ho sakti hai. Bigger context bhi bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.24, weekly Pivot level 145.29, aur daily Pivot level 145.91 se neeche trade kar raha hai. Ye indicators USD/JPY par overall downward pressure ko reflect karte hain. Monthly Pivot level pehle 153.85 tha, jo market dynamics mein significant shift ko highlight karta hai. Isi tarah, weekly Pivot level pehle 147.65 tha, jo recent period mein downward trend ko darshata hai.
USD/JPY pair mein aik tezi se girawat dekhi gayi hai, jo ke 145.00 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai. Is girawat ka sabab Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ki hawkish guidance thi. Ueda ne ye dohraya ke BOJ ko iss saal interest rates mazeed barhane ki zarurat hai, aur agar economic aur inflationary conditions expectations ke mutabiq hon, toh central bank kisi bhi qadam uthane mein hichkichahat nahi karega. Is bayaan se Japanese yen mein mazid izafa hua, jis ne USD/JPY pair par selling pressure daal diya. Is waqt yeh 144.80 support level ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai.
USD/JPY pair ke overnight decline ka sabab bani. Iske ilawa, US manufacturing sector se aayi negative data, jo ke dopahar mein release hui, ne mazeed decline ko fuel kiya. Filhal yen zyada tar ek haven ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, doosri major currencies ke muqable mein dollar ke khilaf. Aaj S&P 500 index kareeban 3% gira, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke yen ki haven ke tor par demand barh rahi hai. A slight pullback is pair ko "discount" par khareedne ka moqa faraham karta hai. Lekin yeh market hai, aur yehan hamesha unexpected movements ho sakti hain. Main dekh raha hoon ke yeh pair 144.89 support level ke aas-paas kis tarah react karta hai, jabke broader market sentiment par bhi nazar rakhi hui hai.

candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi . Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon.




airhtein agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho ja

Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tam
fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna

price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohon


sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market

sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-havUSD/JPY ki price 145.54 se upar move karti hai, to ye bullish reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise mein pair resistance levels 145.91 aur shayad 146.24 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin agar ye upward movement ko maintain nahi karti, to bearish trend aur bhi mazboot ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar pair 145.05 ke neeche girti hai. Aise mein further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain, price 144.88 tak ja sakti hai aur shayad 144.25 tak bhi extend ho sakti hai. Bigger context bhi bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.24, weekly Pivot level 145.29, aur daily Pivot level 145.91 se neeche trade kar raha hai. Ye indicators USD/JPY par overall downward pressure ko reflect karte hain. Monthly Pivot level pehle 153.85 tha, jo market dynamics mein significant shift ko highlight karta hai. Isi tarah, weekly Pivot level pehle 147.65 tha, jo recent period mein downward trend ko darshata hai. USD/JPY pair mein aik tezi se girawat dekhi gayi hai, jo ke 145.00 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai. Is girawat ka sabab Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ki hawkish guidance thi. Ueda ne ye dohraya ke BOJ ko iss saal interest rates mazeed barhane ki zarurat hai, aur agar economic aur inflationary conditions expectations ke mutabiq hon, toh central bank kisi bhi qadam uthane mein hichkichahat nahi karega. Is bayaan se Japanese yen mein mazid izafa hua, jis ne USD/JPY pair par selling pressure daal diya. Is waqt yeh 144.80 support level ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai.
USD/JPY pair ke overnight decline ka sabab bani. Iske ilawa, US manufacturing sector se aayi negative data, jo ke dopahar mein release hui, ne mazeed decline ko fuel kiya. Filhal yen zyada tar ek haven ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, doosri major currencies ke muqable mein dollar ke khilaf. Aaj S&P 500 index kareeban 3% gira, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke yen ki haven ke tor par demand barh rahi hai. A slight pullback is pair ko "discount" par khareedne ka moqa faraham karta hai. Lekin yeh market hai, aur yehan hamesha unexpected movements ho sakti hain. Main dekh raha hoon ke yeh pair 144.89 support level ke aas-paas kis tarah react karta hai, jabke broader market sentiment par bhi nazar rakhi hui hai.
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ID: 13129614en demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak poho

Hum current pricing behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. General mein, consistent bullish surge complex pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Sell entry point establish hoga agar yeh stabilize karta hai, potentially pair ko next support level 144.73 par le jaye. Lekin agar bulls upper hand reclaim karte hain, price stabilize ho sakti hai 145.93 ke upar, bullish trend continue karte hue. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ne 50% resistance level 149.62 ki advance complete nahi ki hai, bears ne intervene kiya, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish ki hai. Chart shows price rebounding slightly angle of 1/8 se, resting just above angle of 1/13. Agar bearish movement momentum gain karta hai,

US dollar ne Thursday ki subah Japanese yen ke muqable mein mustahkam hone ke asaar dikhaye, aur 142 yen ke qareeb qaim raha. Ye level pehle bhi kai martaba ahmiyat rakhta raha hai, is liye is martaba bhi market ki tawajjo ka markaz hai. Ab sawal ye hai ke kya Wednesday ka bullish hammer aane wale din mein mazeed izafa ka sabab banega. Ab tak market ka rad-e-amal kuch musbat raha hai. Aane wala Producer Price Index (PPI) ka data market pe asar daal sakta hai, magar traders ko lagta hai ke mehngai abhi tak zyada rehne ka imkaan hai aur woh is soorat-e-haal mein mutmain dikhayi dete hain. Dosra ahem waqiya Federal Reserve ka 18 tareekh ko faiz ki sharah ka faisla hai, jahan 25 basis points ki kami ki umeed hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh pehle se hi market ki qeematon mein shamil hai.

Uske baad tawajjo Bank of Japan par hogi, jo apni policy do din baad announce karega. Japan ke paas faiz barhane ki limited salahiyat ko dekhte hue, faiz ka faraq US dollar ke haqq mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Yeh imbalance waqt ke sath dollar mein mazeed sarmaya ka izafa kar sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair 145 yen se ooper nikal jata hai, toh hum ek aham recovery dekh sakte hain. Magar abhi humara focus us downward momentum ko rokne par hai jo pair ke mustahkam hone ke dauran dekhne ko mil raha hai. Agar pair 141 yen ke neeche jata hai, toh yeh intehai negative development hogi jo ke aur ziada girawat ka raasta khol sakti hai.

Kul mila kar, abhi ke price action se lagta hai ke market ek consolidation phase mein hai, jahan log ahem central bank ke faislay ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake koi faislay kun qadam uthaya ja sake. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan, dono hi is pair ki agli bari direction tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge.

USD/JPY pair filhal ek notable downward trend mein hai, jo zyada tar Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke contrasting monetary policies se influenced hai. Recent decline USD/JPY ka mainly market ke expectations ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ke September 17-18 ke meeting mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ka hawala de rahe hain. In expectations ke bawajood, recent upward movement ke bawajood, US Dollar (USD) apni gains extend nahi kar paya. Is waqt, market mein cautious sentiment Japanese Yen ki demand ko safe-haven asset ke tor par barha raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par additional pressure daal raha hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ka FY2025 tak interest rates ko raise karne ka potential plan Fed ke anticipated rate cut ke bilkul opposite hai, jo pair ke downtrend ko aur fuel kar raha hai. Traders decisive moves lene se hesitant hain, aur US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka wait kar rahe hain jo Fed ke next policy steps aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko impact karegi. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair clear bearish signals de raha hai. Filhal pair 143.20 ke day’s opening level ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke aas-paas hai. Price moving average trend line ke neeche bhi trade kar rahi hai, jo ek critical level hai jahan volume distribution aksar hota hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Agar price 143.20 level ke upar move kar jati hai, to resistance levels 143.69 aur shayad 143.75 ki taraf rise dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar price 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh further decline karne ki umeed hai support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke bhi neeche hai, jo corrective mood ko suggest karta hai. Hourly chart par, pair apni previous range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche slip kar gaya hai, jo sellers ke currently dominant hone ka signal hai. Lekin traders ko possible false breakout ka bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye. Overall, technical indicators bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha to further declines ka potential hai.

USD/JPY Market Ka Aj Ka Forecast

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USD/JPY market kal 142.00 zone tak pohanch gaya tha, jo traders ke liye ek important area ban gaya hai. Lekin, buyers ka momentum lagataar gir raha hai jab se negative US Core PPI data release hua hai. Ye report expected se kamzor thi, jo US economy mein inflationary pressure kam honay ka ishara karti hai. Is wajah se US dollar kamzor hua aur USD/JPY pair par asar pada. Natija ye hai ke buying strength kam ho gayi hai, aur market mein ek ehtiyaati soch dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Aaj ka market action zyada tar mazeed economic data releases, khaaskar US inflation expectations aur consumer confidence reports par mabni ho sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ki direction ko taayun karne mein aham kirdar ada karega.

Main ek buy order ko pasand karta hoon short-term target ke sath 142.47 tak. Halankeh buyers is waqt mushkil ka samna kar rahe hain, lekin aanay wali news data unhein ek moka de sakti hai ke wo dubara apni strength hasil kar sakein aur prices ko ooper push karen. Agar US inflation expectations ya consumer confidence mein koi positive shift aata hai, toh US dollar ki demand barh sakti hai, jo buyers ko un ke recent nuqsan se recover karne mein madad de sakti hai. 142.47 ka level ek reasonable target hai, kyun ke ye ek near-term resistance area hai jahan traders expect karte hain ke price temporarily ruk jaaye gi, us ke baad agla move decide ho ga. Waise, agar market mein favorable developments hoti hain, toh USD/JPY buyers apne peechlay nuqsan ko successfully cover kar sakte hain.

Traders ko hoshyar rehna chahiye, inflation expectations aur consumer confidence data par close monitoring rakhni chahiye taake dekh sakein ke bullish sentiment sustain hota hai ya nahi.

Dekhte hain ke aglay chand ghanton mein kya hota hai.
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Jumay ke din, JPY ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 14-mahinon ki neechey ki had ko chua, aur 140.41 tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat ek wasee market trend ko zahir karti hai jahan JPY ko pressure ka samna hai, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy mein tabdeelion ki wajah se ho raha hai. BoJ ka hawkish stance ikhtiyar karna aur 0.25% ke qareeb interest rates barhane ka faisla Yen carry trade ke khaatma ka sabab bana. Is ke ilawa, "Yenterventions" ke zariye Yen ko mazboot karne ki koshishon ne is currency ko Greenback ke muqable mein multi-decade lows se 12.5% se zyada ka izafa dikhaya.
Yen ka halya sentiment monetary policy, market interventions, aur global economic conditions ka aik pechida khel hai. JPY ka historic lows se recover karna aur USD ke muqable mein is ka halya performance currency markets ki dynamic nature ko zahir karta hai, jo ke policymakers ke liye challenges paish karta hai.

Bank of Japan ka Ehtiyaati Rawaaya Interest Rates ke Hawalay Se

Japan ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil ab bhi pechida hai, jahan BoJ ke officials ne mazeed rate hikes ka imkaan zahir kiya hai. Lekin, market mein barhati hui volatility ke jawab mein unka rawaya zyada ehtiyaati ho gaya hai. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market developments ko qareebi tor par dekhte rahega, magar monetary policy ke faislay BoJ ke daira-e-ikhtiyar mein rahenge. Yeh ehtiyaati stance economic growth ko barhawa dene aur currency stability ko qaim rakhne ke darmiyan aik balance ka izhar hai.

Analysts ka Rai ke Hawalay Se

Julius Baer ke halya tajziya ke mutabiq, BoJ ko abhi ke levels ke ilawa mazeed baray rate hikes karne ki zaroorat nahi hogi. Analyst ka khayal hai ke jab market conditions mazid stable ho jayengi, toh 500-basis point interest rate ka faraq jo JPY aur USD ke darmiyan hai, currency movements ko mutasir karega. Magar analyst yeh nahi samajhta ke qareebi mustaqbil mein Yen mein koi khaas izafa dekha jayega.

Trading Strategy with USD/JPY Prices Hamara focus USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ki live analysis par hai. Price Action method aur "bearish engulfing" pattern ke mutabiq expected outcome puri tarah se waisa nahi tha jaisa pehle lag raha tha. Is model mein proportionality bohot aham hai. Humay ek signal mila—bearish Doji, jise maine chart mein highlight kiya hai. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke dono signals apne targets ko agle haftay achieve karenge. Pehle case mein maine 101 points ki decline anticipate ki thi, spread ko baghair shamil kiye, lekin mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke trading instrument mazeed neeche ja sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ke hisaab se, main expect karta hoon ke price 100th level se neeche 142.04 par break hoga, aur scenario step by step 138.1 par 141.39 aur 161.7 par 140.82 tak khele ga. Growth agar channel ki upper boundary tak hoti hai, to faida mand hoga, lekin main sharp upward move ka intezar karoon ga apni position adjust karne se pehle.

D1 Time Frame Analysis:

D1 time frame mein USD/JPY ne 141.72 par double touch kiya, lekin Friday ke end tak is critical support se koi mazboot rebound nazar nahi aaya. Tuesday se bears ka dominance tha, jinhon ne pair ko week ke doran neeche ki taraf dhakel diya. Halanke ek double bottom bana hai, jo prices ko upar push kar sakta hai, aur bulls ke liye 147.21, 151.82, 154.36, 157.87, aur 162.01 jaise levels breach karna mumkin ho sakta hai. Lekin kuch inconsistencies hain: do indicators jo main chart ke neeche hain, decreasing buy volumes aur short recovery ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Maine pehle 141.72 level par focus kiya tha, kyunke yeh prices ko bounce karwa sakta hai, aur agar momentum barhta hai, to indicators bhi flip ho sakte hain. Downtrend ab tak intact hai, lekin reversal ka bhi chance hai jab market tension barhti hai. Ideally, main price ko current position se 140 tak le kar bechne ka intezar karoonga. Yeh sab se zyada mumkin scenario hai. "Trend is your friend," lekin yeh hamesha trading ke liye favorable nahi hota.