usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Aaj hum USDJPY currency pair ke daily chart ko dekhain ge. Is waqt wave structure neechay ki taraf ban raha hai aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Iss haftay aglay August ke minimum ko update karne ke baad, MACD indicator pe ek bullish divergence ban chuki hai aur doosra CCI indicator bhi lower overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Neechay ki taraf ek false breakout hua, jahan se sirf ek spike chhori gayi aur kal ki daily candle ne inverted hammer ya pin bar banaya, jo ke aam tor par growth ki nishani hoti hai. Aaj kuch growth shuru ho chuki hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh growth kam az kam qareebi horizontal resistance level 143.83 tak barqarar rahe gi. Doosra, zyada door target ek descending resistance line hai jo aakhri do wave peaks par mabni hai. Growth ke signals ko dekhte hue, aaj ke liye sirf khareedari par tawajjoh hai, aur sales ko nahi dekha ja raha. H4 period ke MACD pe bhi bullish divergence hai. Mein zyada growth ki taraf mael hoon, kyun ke chahay trend neeche ki taraf ho aur uske saath kaam karna asan lagta ho, lekin iss waqt aisa nahi hai. Kuch news bhi hai jin par tawajjoh di ja sakti hai: USDA report jo ke global agriculture mein supply aur demand ka andaaza lagati hai, aur 30 saala US Treasury bonds ke liye aukshan. Mujhe divergence par yaqeen hai ke yeh fail nahi karegi, halaan ke yeh bhi mumkin hai ke kuch bhi ho sakta hai, khaas tor par iss currency pair ke hawale se. Peechlay maheenon mein jab price upar ja rahi thi, to bohat si divergences side ways mein kaam kar rahi thin ya zyada se zyada thoda sa decline ki taraf jati thin ya bilkul bhi kaam nahi kar rahi thin Isi dauran, agar mein aaj USDJPY currency pair ke movement ko technical analysis ke zariye dekhun, to yeh dobara 140.75 ke price par girne ki taraf mael hai. Yeh is liye hai ke H1 time frame mein USDJPY currency pair ke movement ne bearish candle engulfing banayi hai jo ke SELL USDJPY ke liye ek bohat strong signal hai 140.75 ke price tak. Lekin humein yeh bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye ke USDJPY ki upward correction bhi mumkin hai kyun ke meri observation ke mutabiq RSI 14 indicator par iss waqt 140.90 par USDJPY price ko oversold yaani ke bohat zyada becha ja chuka hai, isliye bohat mumkin hai ke aaj USDJPY ki movement upar ki taraf correct ho kar 141.50 tak ja sakti hai. BUY USDJPY signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke istemal se bhi support mil rahi hai kyun ke jab USDJPY price 140.90 mein thi, to yeh RBS area mein thi, is liye khareedari ke liye bohat mumkin hai ke buyers enter karein

USD/JPY pair filhal ek notable downward trend mein hai, jo zyada tar Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke contrasting monetary policies se influenced hai. Recent decline USD/JPY ka mainly market ke expectations ki wajah se hai, jo Fed ke September 17-18 ke meeting mein 25 basis point (bps) rate cut ka hawala de rahe hain. In expectations ke bawajood, recent upward movement ke bawajood, US Dollar (USD) apni gains extend nahi kar paya. Is waqt, market mein cautious sentiment Japanese Yen ki demand ko safe-haven asset ke tor par barha raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair par additional pressure daal raha hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ka FY2025 tak interest rates ko raise karne ka potential plan Fed ke anticipated rate cut ke bilkul opposite hai, jo pair ke downtrend ko aur fuel kar raha hai. Traders decisive moves lene se hesitant hain, aur US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka wait kar rahe hain jo Fed ke next policy steps aur USD/JPY pair ke short-term outlook ko impact karegi.
Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair clear bearish signals de raha hai. Filhal pair 143.20 ke day’s opening level ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 142.95 ke aas-paas hai. Price moving average trend line ke neeche bhi trade kar rahi hai, jo ek critical level hai jahan volume distribution aksar hota hai, aur yeh strong selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Agar price 143.20 level ke upar move kar jati hai, to resistance levels 143.69 aur shayad 143.75 ki taraf rise dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar price 142.95 level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh further decline karne ki umeed hai support levels 142.74 aur shayad 142.20 tak. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.24 aur weekly Pivot level 143.75 ke bhi neeche hai, jo corrective mood ko suggest karta hai. Hourly chart par, pair apni previous range 143.69 se 142.14 ke neeche slip kar gaya hai, jo sellers ke currently dominant hone ka signal hai. Lekin traders ko possible false breakout ka bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye. Overall, technical indicators bearish outlook ko support karte hain, aur agar pair key support levels ke neeche trade karta raha to further declines ka potential hai.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen joda 143.92 ki muzahmati satah tak pahunchne me nakam raha kiyunkeh bears ne pahal ki aur qimat ko niche khinch liya. Aaj, dollar/yen ki jodi pahle hi 140.71 ki support satah tak gir chuki hai, aur ab suratehal ka muhtat tajziyah karna qabile qadar hai takeh market me sab se zyada dilchasp pesh raft ko nazar andaz na kiya ja sake. Agar qimat is support satah ko tod deti hai aur is se niche fix ho jati hai, to tawaqqo hai keh dollar/yen ki jodi 138.45 ki gali support satah ki taraf badhte hue nuqsanat me tausie karegi. Halankeh, kuch takniki ishare batate hain keh 140.71 ki satah se ooper kharidari ka signal paida hone ka imkan hai. Is surat me, bulls market par dobara control hasil kar lenge aur jodi ko 142.09 ki muzahmati satah tak dhakel denge.

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise hui jo 147.103 resistance ko break kar gayi. Ye breakout ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin ye signal misleading tha, kyunki Friday ko price is level ke neeche gir gayi. Ye false breakout tab hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche aayi. Monday ko ek naya buy signal nikla, jo dobara se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price ne ye target achieve kiya. Iske baad, Tuesday ko ye level phir se retrace hua, aur ek aur upward movement ki koshish hui, lekin price dobara broken level par wapas aagayi. Breakout confirm ho chuka hai, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance set kiya gaya hai.

se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne policy mein in tabdeeliyon ka wazeh tor par zikar kiya. Ueda ne kaha ke 2% ka inflation target musalsal aur barabar tor par hasil karne ke liye monetary easing ke darajat mein tabdeeli zaruri thi. Ueda ne yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke Bank mazeed interest rate hikes karne ke liye pur azm hai. Yen ki mazid taqat ka sabab Mitsubishi UFJ Bank ka announcement bhi tha ke woh apne short-term prime lending rate ko 1.475% se barhakar 1.625% kar raha hai, jo ke 2 September se laagu hoga. Ye BoJ ke policy shift ke mutabiq ek qadam tha. Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko dabao ka samna hai jabke market participants Federal Reserve (Fed) ki aanay wali interest rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko expected hai. Halaanke Fed se umeed hai ke woh July ke liye rates ko waise hi rakhega, magar September mein rate cut ka speculation barh raha hai. Yeh umeed USD par dabao daal rahi hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein girawat mazeed barh rahi hai. USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya: Ahm Levels aur Trend Analysis
USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha.
Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai. ft no no

se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend


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USD/JPY abhi 143.10 ke qareeb hai, jabke pehle haftay ka high 143.80 ka tha, jo ke Monday ke early US trading hours mein dekha gaya tha. Is kami ka sabab softer US Dollar (USD) aur market ka safe-haven assets ki taraf rujhan hai. Traders ab US Initial Jobless Claims report ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo ke Thursday ko release hogi, aur isse US ke economic aur employment conditions ke hawalay se naye insights mil sakte hain. Filhal pair 143.14 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai.

**USD/JPY ke fundamentals:**

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke June meeting ke recent minutes se maloom hota hai ke kuch members ko girte hue JPY ki wajah se import prices mein izafa par fikr hai. Ye inflationary pressures ko barha sakta hai. Ek member ne kaha ke cost-push inflation underlying inflation ko barha sakta hai agar iski wajah se inflation expectations aur wage growth mein izafa hota hai. BoJ ka Quarterly Outlook Report bhi ye dikhata hai ke wages aur inflation expectations say zyada barh sakti hain, jo ke inflation expectations aur labor market ko tight kar sakti hain.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke agar economic ya financial conditions kharab hoti hain to Federal Reserve action lene ke liye tayyar hai. Unhon ne zor diya ke Fed ka rujhan forward-looking hai, aur agar conditions kharab hoti hain, to Fed unhe theek karne ke liye tayyar hai.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Technically, pair apni descending channel ke upper boundary ko test kar raha hai, jo ke 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 143.59 ke level par hai. Agar pair is resistance level ke upar breakout karta hai, to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair 144.50 ke resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai. Wagarna, agar pair apni upward trajectory barqarar rakhne mein nakam hota hai, to wo descending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 140.21 ke qareeb throwback support par hai, ye level December mein dekha gaya tha.



Agar pair 142.00 ke niche girta hai, to next support level 141.44 ka hoga, phir 140.28 ka strong support dekha jayega. Agar ye levels breach hote hain, to agla support August 6 ka daily low 143.61, aur recent cycle low 141.69 hoga. Halankeh Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory se nikal gaya hai, lekin uska flat slope ongoing consolidation ka ishara de raha hai.

USD/JPY abhi takreeban 143.10 par hover kar raha hai jabkay is se pehlay haftay ka high 143.80 tha, jo ke Monday ko US trading ke dauran record kiya gaya. Is girawat ki wajah aik soft US Dollar (USD) aur market sentiment ka shift hai towards safe-haven assets. Ab jab traders Thursday ko US Initial Jobless Claims report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke United States ki economic aur employment conditions par nayi insights faraham kar sakti hai, pair abhi 143.14 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

**USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:**

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke June meeting ke recent minutes se maloom hota hai ke kuch members rising import prices ke asar par fikarmand hain, jo ke weak JPY ki wajah se badh rahe hain. Is se inflationary pressures mein izafa ho sakta hai. Aik member ne highlight kiya ke agar cost-push inflation inflationary expectations aur wage growth mein izafa kare, tou ye underlying inflation ko bhi badha sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, BoJ ka Quarterly Outlook Report jo Thursday ko release hua, is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke wages aur inflation expectations se zyada barh sakte hain, jo ke inflationary expectations aur labor market ko tight karne ki potential ko dikhata hai.

Chicago Fed ke President Austan Goolsbee ne yeh bhi indicate kiya ke agar economic ya financial conditions kharab hoti hain tou Federal Reserve tayar hai action lene ke liye. Goolsbee ne emphasize kiya ke Fed forward-looking hai aur agar conditions kharab hoti hain tou hum "fix karenge," Reuters ke mutabiq. Is se ye samajh aata hai ke Fed proactively potential economic challenges ko address karne ka irada rakhta hai.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Technical tor par, pair descending channel ke upper boundary ko test kar raha hai, jo ke 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai, takreeban 143.59 ke aas-paas. Agar is resistance level ke upar breakout hota hai tou bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair 144.50 ke resistance level ko challenge kar sakta hai. Agar pair apni upward trajectory maintain karne mein nakam hota hai, tou ye descending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar sakta hai jo ke throwback support ke qareeb 140.21 par hai, jo December mein dekha gaya tha.



Agar pair 142.00 ke neeche girta hai, tou agla support level 141.44 ka low hoga, aur phir 140.28 ka significant support dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Agar ye levels breach ho jate hain, tou August 6 ka daily low 143.61 aur recent cycle low 141.69 pe bhi support mil sakta hai. Halankeh Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory se bahar aaya hai, lekin iska flat slope ye suggest karta hai ke consolidation abhi bhi chal rahi hai.

JPY ka Tajziya

Jumay ke din, JPY ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 14-mahinon ki neechey ki had ko chua, aur 140.41 tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat ek wasee market trend ko zahir karti hai jahan JPY ko pressure ka samna hai, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy mein tabdeelion ki wajah se ho raha hai. BoJ ka hawkish stance ikhtiyar karna aur 0.25% ke qareeb interest rates barhane ka faisla Yen carry trade ke khaatma ka sabab bana. Is ke ilawa, "Yenterventions" ke zariye Yen ko mazboot karne ki koshishon ne is currency ko Greenback ke muqable mein multi-decade lows se 12.5% se zyada ka izafa dikhaya.

Yen ka halya sentiment monetary policy, market interventions, aur global economic conditions ka aik pechida khel hai. JPY ka historic lows se recover karna aur USD ke muqable mein is ka halya performance currency markets ki dynamic nature ko zahir karta hai, jo ke policymakers ke liye challenges paish karta hai.

Bank of Japan ka Ehtiyaati Rawaaya Interest Rates ke Hawalay Se

Japan ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil ab bhi pechida hai, jahan BoJ ke officials ne mazeed rate hikes ka imkaan zahir kiya hai. Lekin, market mein barhati hui volatility ke jawab mein unka rawaya zyada ehtiyaati ho gaya hai. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market developments ko qareebi tor par dekhte rahega, magar monetary policy ke faislay BoJ ke daira-e-ikhtiyar mein rahenge. Yeh ehtiyaati stance economic growth ko barhawa dene aur currency stability ko qaim rakhne ke darmiyan aik balance ka izhar hai.

Analysts ka Rai ke Hawalay Se

Julius Baer ke halya tajziya ke mutabiq, BoJ ko abhi ke levels ke ilawa mazeed baray rate hikes karne ki zaroorat nahi hogi. Analyst ka khayal hai ke jab market conditions mazid stable ho jayengi, toh 500-basis point interest rate ka faraq jo JPY aur USD ke darmiyan hai, currency movements ko mutasir karega. Magar analyst yeh nahi samajhta ke qareebi mustaqbil mein Yen mein koi khaas izafa dekha jayega.

Market Sentiment aur Mustaqbil Ka Tajziya

Spot price performance halya sessions mein mix rahi hai. Asian trading hours ke aakhri dauran, price daily low 140.41 se barh kar 140.71 tak pohonchi. Is uptick ke bawajood, yeh pair apni pehle ki highs se 1.49% neechey hai. Pair ka rujhaan neechey ki taraf hai, jahan pair ne briefly 141.00 mark ko clear kiya tha, magar wapas gir kar 140.00 region ka test kiya.

Spot price ki wasee-tor par recovery ne pair ko multi-decade highs se girne mein madad di hai. Is girawat ne pair ko 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neechey, jo ke 150.31 par tha, dhakel diya. USD/JPY pair ne 141.00 ke qareeb ek support level dhoondha, lekin us ke baad rebound karte hue 140.00 region ka test kiya, jo ke currency markets mein jari volatility aur uncertainty ko zahir karta hai.

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain,

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain,

Jumeraat ko, JPY ne 14 mahine ke naye low par chala gaya USD ke muqablay mein, jo 140.41 par tha. Yeh girawat ek bade market trend ko reflect karti hai jahan JPY dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, jo ke part mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy ke tabdeelon ke wajah se hai. BoJ ka recent faisla, hawkish stance adopt karna aur interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhana, ek aham Yen carry trade ka unwinding trigger kar chuka hai. Iske ilawa, Yen ko stabilize karne ke liye kiye gaye "Yenterventions" ne currency ko Greenback ke muqablay mein multi-decade lows se 12.5% se zyada rebound karne mein madad di hai.

Maujooda market sentiment Yen ke ird gird ek complex interplay ko reflect karta hai jo monetary policy, market interventions, aur global economic conditions ka mix hai. Yen ka recovery historic lows se aur USD ke muqablay mein recent performance currency markets ki dynamic nature aur policymakers ke samne jo challenges hain unhe illustrate karta hai.

Bank of Japan ka Interest Rates par Cautious Approach

Japan ki monetary policy ka outlook complex hai, jahan BoJ officials further rate hikes ki potential ko suggest kar rahe hain. Lekin, unka approach zyada cautious ho gaya hai market volatility ke barhne ke response mein. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne ye emphasize kiya hai ke jab BoJ market developments ko closely monitor karega, monetary policy ke decisions BoJ ki jurisdiction mein hi rahenge. Yeh cautious stance economic growth ko stimulate karne aur currency stability ko maintain karne ke beech ek balancing act ko reflect karta hai.

Analysts ka Future Rate Hikes par Raye

Julius Baer ka recent analysis suggest karta hai ke BoJ ko interest rates ko abhi ke levels se zyada barhane ki zaroorat nahi hai. Analyst ka kehna hai ke jab market conditions stabilize ho jaye, toh JPY aur USD ke beech 500-basis point ka substantial interest rate differential currency movements ko influence karega. Lekin, analyst ko aane wale waqt mein Yen ke substantial further appreciation ki ummeed nahi hai.**

Market Sentiment aur Future Outlook

Spot price ka performance recent sessions mein mixed raha hai. Asian trading hours ke late hours mein, price daily low 140.41 se barh kar 140.71 par trade hui. Iske bawajood, pair ab bhi previous highs se 1.49% neeche hai. Pair ne downward bias show kiya hai, jahan pair briefly 141.00 mark ko clear karne ke baad wapas 140.00 region ko test kar raha hai.

**Spot price ki broad-based recovery ne pair ko multi-decade highs se neeche push kar diya hai. Is girawat ne pair ko 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke niche le aaya hai jo 150.31 par hai. USD/JPY pair ne 141.00 ke aas paas ek floor paayi, lekin uske baad se pair ne 140.00 region ko test karne ke liye rebound kiya hai, jo currency markets mein ongoing volatility aur uncertainty ko indicate karta hai.**

Friday ko JPY ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein 14 mahine ki kam tareen level par chala gaya, 140.41 tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat ek bade market trend ko reflect karti hai jahan JPY dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, jo ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy mein tabdeelion ki wajah se hai. BoJ ka recent faisla hawkish stance apnane aur interest rates ko 0.25% ke aas-paas barhane ka tha, jiski wajah se Yen carry trade ka significant unwinding hua. Is ke ilawa, Yen ko stabilize karne ke liye jo interventions ki gayi, jinhein “Yenterventions” kehte hain, unki wajah se currency ne apne multi-decade lows se 12.5% se zyada ki rebound dekhi.

Yen ke historic lows se recovery aur USD ke muqablay mein recent performance market sentiment ke complex interplay ko reflect karti hai jo monetary policy, market interventions, aur global economic conditions ke beech hai. Yen ka recovery aur USD ke muqablay mein recent performance currency markets ki dynamic nature aur policymakers ke saamne aane wale challenges ko illustrate karti hai.

Bank of Japan ka Interest Rates par Cautious Approach

Japan ki monetary policy ka outlook complex hai, BoJ officials ne further rate hikes ka potential suggest kiya hai. Lekin, unka approach zyada cautious ho gaya hai market volatility ke response mein. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne emphasize kiya hai ke jab BoJ market developments ko closely monitor karega, monetary policy decisions BoJ ke jurisdiction mein rahenge. Yeh cautious stance economic growth ko stimulate karne aur currency stability ko maintain karne ke beech ka balancing act reflect karti hai.

Analysts ka Future Rate Hikes par View

Julius Baer ki recent analysis ke mutabiq, BoJ ko interest rates ko current levels se zyada barhane ki zarurat nahi lagti. Analyst ka kehna hai ke jab market conditions stabilize ho jayein, to JPY aur USD ke darmiyan jo 500-basis point ka substantial interest rate differential hai, yeh currency movements ko influence karne wala key factor hoga. Lekin, analyst ko nazar nahi aata ke near term mein Yen ka substantial further appreciation hoga.

Market Sentiment aur Future Outlook

Spot price performance recent sessions mein mixed raha hai. Asian trading hours ke late mein, price daily low 140.41 se uthi aur 140.71 par trade hui. Is uptick ke bawajood, pair previous highs se 1.49% niche hai. Pair ne downward bias show kiya hai, aur briefly 141.00 mark ko clear karne ke baad phir 140.00 region ko test karne ke liye gir gaya.

Spot price ki broad-based recovery ne pair ko apne multi-decade highs se niche gira diya hai. Is decline ne pair ko 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 150.31 ke niche push kar diya hai. USD/JPY pair ne 141.00 ke aas-paas ek floor dhunda, lekin iske baad se yeh 140.00 region ko test karne ke liye rebound hua hai, jo currency markets mein ongoing volatility aur uncertainty ko indicate karta hai.

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise hui jo 147.103 resistance ko break kar gayi. Ye breakout ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin ye signal misleading tha, kyunki Friday ko price is level ke neeche gir gayi. Ye false breakout tab hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche aayi. Monday ko ek naya buy signal nikla, jo dobara se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price ne ye target achieve kiya. Iske baad, Tuesday ko ye level phir se retrace hua, aur ek aur upward movement ki koshish hui, lekin price dobara broken level par wapas aagayi. Breakout confirm ho chuka hai, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance set kiya gaya hai.

Hum abhi USDJPY ki pricing movement ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Sellers abhi bhi USD/JPY pair ko control kar rahe hain, kyunke yeh saaf hai ke price movement lagataar girti ja rahi hai. Price ko girne mein zyada waqt nahi laga, despite ke purchasers ne isko barhane ki koshish ki. Negative trend ke rawaiye ko dekhte hue, price thodi upar correction de sakti hai FR 127.1 ya FR 161.8 tak, uske baad phir se girne ka imkaan hai. Price ne girte hue low levels ko cross kiya, yaani ke FR 100 - 143.47, kyunke price ne FR 50 - 145.35 aur FR 61.8 - 144.90 ke beech ka retracement khatam nahi kiya. Magar, stochastic indicator ke parameters ne cross kiya hai aur ab level 50 tak pahunchne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jab ke yeh oversold zone (levels 20 se 10) me the. Lekin, lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure excessive price increase ko rok rahi hai.

Current daily period ke pattern ke mutabiq, price ab kai Ema points aur middle Bollinger daily ke neeche nazar aa rahi hai, jo downward pattern ya trend ko mazboot aur dominant banata hai. Yeh bhi dikhaata hai ke RSI aur stochastic indicators se strong downward pattern hai, jahan stochastic 20 area tak severe decline show kar raha hai aur RSI 70 level ko reject kar raha hai. Ek argument ye bhi ho sakta hai ke price ki increase sirf EMA 50 ke paas ek lower high bana sakti hai, phir gir ke naya lower low create kar sakti hai. Agar present invalidation level 147.22 ke high prices ko effectively clear nahi kiya, to market upward correction phase mein rehne ka imkaan hai, jo aakhir mein SMA 200 ko dynamic resistance ke tor par approach kar sakti hai.